MICRODUCK

microduck · Robinhood · gru_s8

token id: #784
symbol: MICRODUCK
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xd5f1afea47b1a9eab414d2ee740cf1d6d039e725
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-29
predictions: 135

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 45 predictions shown

direction hit

76.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3358

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0322

actual -0.2993

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.001936	0.001806	-6.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-20	oos	0.0018	0.001691	-6.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-19	oos	0.001942	0.001812	-6.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	0.001786	0.00169	-5.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.002094	0.001947	-7.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-16	oos	0.002361	0.002168	-8.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-15	oos	0.002423	0.002211	-8.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-14	oos	0.002253	0.002086	-7.41%	0.001936	-14.07%	0.0871	✓	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.002043	0.001929	-5.58%	0.0018	-11.92%	0.0673	✓	1.10
2026-10-12	oos	0.002155	0.002032	-5.67%	0.001942	-9.86%	0.0468	✓	1.12
2026-10-11	oos	0.001829	0.001777	-2.87%	0.001786	-2.38%	0.0352	✗	1.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.001829	0.001787	-2.31%	0.002094	+14.49%	0.1861	✗	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.001849	0.001811	-2.04%	0.002361	+27.75%	0.2842	✗	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.002105	0.00204	-3.09%	0.002423	+15.11%	0.1641	✗	1.52
2026-10-07	oos	0.002412	0.002301	-4.59%	0.002253	-6.59%	0.0088	✓	1.45
2026-10-06	oos	0.00238	0.002276	-4.39%	0.002043	-14.16%	0.0598	✓	1.66
2026-10-05	oos	0.002877	0.002697	-6.25%	0.002155	-25.11%	0.1473	✓	1.62
2026-10-04	oos	0.002327	0.002265	-2.64%	0.001829	-21.36%	0.1523	✓	1.84
2026-10-03	oos	0.001718	0.001696	-1.30%	0.001829	+6.46%	0.1067	✗	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.001685	0.001643	-2.44%	0.001849	+9.74%	0.1508	✗	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.001688	0.001627	-3.60%	0.002105	+24.70%	0.3123	✗	1.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.00239	0.00241	+0.82%	0.002412	+0.92%	0.0069	✓	1.73
2026-09-29	oos	0.003095	0.003129	+1.11%	0.00238	-23.09%	0.3115	✗	1.69
2026-09-28	oos	0.003635	0.003632	-0.10%	0.002877	-20.86%	0.2788	✓	1.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.00367	0.003665	-0.14%	0.002327	-36.61%	0.4784	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.004564	0.004434	-2.84%	0.001718	-62.36%	0.9521	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.004941	0.004758	-3.71%	0.001685	-65.91%	1.0433	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.004495	0.004403	-2.06%	0.001688	-62.45%	0.9641	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.004587	0.00449	-2.11%	0.00239	-47.90%	0.6209	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.004842	0.004708	-2.77%	0.003095	-36.09%	0.3894	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.005348	0.005155	-3.60%	0.003635	-32.02%	0.3124	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.004465	0.004391	-1.66%	0.00367	-17.81%	0.2192	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.004269	0.004172	-2.27%	0.004564	+6.91%	0.0514	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.005603	0.00549	-2.02%	0.004941	-11.81%	0.1442	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.005509	0.005404	-1.90%	0.004495	-18.41%	0.2843	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004145	-4.57%	0.004587	+5.59%	0.0014	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.005922	0.005759	-2.75%	0.004842	-18.24%	0.3048	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.008547	0.008311	-2.76%	0.005348	-37.43%	0.5432	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.006287	0.006004	-4.49%	0.004465	-28.97%	0.3514	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008404	0.008062	-4.07%	0.004269	-49.20%	0.6859	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.006361	0.005944	-6.57%	0.005603	-11.92%	0.1054	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.008453	0.007928	-6.21%	0.005509	-34.83%	0.3616	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.010485	0.009865	-5.91%	0.004344	-58.57%	0.7925	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.017855	0.017394	-2.58%	0.005922	-66.83%	1.0403	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.018005	0.017592	-2.30%	0.008547	-52.53%	0.7102	✓	1.00