MICRODUCK

microduck · Robinhood · gru_s8

token id: #784
symbol: MICRODUCK
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xd5f1afea47b1a9eab414d2ee740cf1d6d039e725
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-29
predictions: 138

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

of 46 predictions shown

direction hit

100.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

1.0321

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.1883

actual -1.2204

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.003037	0.002478	-18.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-21	oos	0.002985	0.00243	-18.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-20	oos	0.0018	0.001541	-14.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-19	oos	0.001942	0.001642	-15.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	0.001786	0.001523	-14.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.002094	0.001742	-16.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-16	oos	0.002361	0.001925	-18.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-15	oos	0.002423	0.001951	-19.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-14	oos	0.002253	0.001829	-18.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.002043	0.001683	-17.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-12	oos	0.002155	0.001765	-18.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.12
2026-10-11	oos	0.001829	0.001552	-15.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.001829	0.001557	-14.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.001849	0.001571	-15.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.002105	0.001753	-16.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.52
2026-10-07	oos	0.002412	0.001947	-19.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-10-06	oos	0.00238	0.00191	-19.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-05	oos	0.002877	0.002242	-22.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-04	oos	0.002327	0.00191	-17.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.84
2026-10-03	oos	0.001718	0.001453	-15.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.001685	0.001405	-16.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.001688	0.001387	-17.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.00239	0.002127	-10.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.73
2026-09-29	oos	0.003095	0.002761	-10.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.69
2026-09-28	oos	0.003635	0.003184	-12.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.00367	0.003205	-12.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.004564	0.003783	-17.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.004941	0.004011	-18.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.004495	0.003756	-16.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.004587	0.003823	-16.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.004842	0.003967	-18.07%	0.003037	-37.29%	0.2441	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.005348	0.004285	-19.88%	0.002985	-44.18%	0.3312	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.004465	0.003766	-15.65%	0.0018	-59.70%	0.7602	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.004269	0.003591	-15.89%	0.001942	-54.51%	0.6220	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.005603	0.004698	-16.15%	0.001786	-68.12%	0.9811	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.005509	0.004658	-15.45%	0.002094	-61.99%	0.8634	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.003508	-19.25%	0.002361	-45.64%	0.4637	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.005922	0.004973	-16.02%	0.002423	-59.08%	0.8020	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.008547	0.007118	-16.72%	0.002253	-73.64%	1.1928	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.006287	0.005124	-18.49%	0.002043	-67.50%	0.9984	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008404	0.006975	-17.00%	0.002155	-74.36%	1.2311	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.006361	0.00489	-23.13%	0.001829	-71.24%	1.0637	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.008453	0.006697	-20.77%	0.001829	-78.36%	1.3779	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.010485	0.008477	-19.15%	0.001849	-82.37%	1.5760	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.017855	0.015876	-11.08%	0.002105	-88.21%	2.0610	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.018005	0.016023	-11.01%	0.002412	-86.60%	1.9451	✓	1.00