MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · gru_s8

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

137

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

74.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1674

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0566

actual -0.1607

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.04613	0.042934	-6.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-21	oos	0.04599	0.043203	-6.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.040737	-6.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.041301	-6.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.041186	-6.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.042337	-6.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.043633	-6.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.042478	-6.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.042525	-6.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.041447	-6.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.040613	-6.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.04345	-7.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.040072	-6.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.038576	-6.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.038004	-7.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.041045	-7.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.042933	-7.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.046309	-7.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.045689	-7.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.04618	-7.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.042927	-7.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.045978	-8.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.038724	-7.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.039002	-7.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.039258	-6.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.040928	-6.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.041781	-6.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.043417	-6.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.042228	-5.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.041265	-5.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.044263	-4.90%	0.04613	-0.89%	0.0756	✗	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.043363	-4.22%	0.04599	+1.58%	0.1046	✗	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.040035	-6.87%	0.043355	+0.85%	0.0457	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.039653	-6.45%	0.04405	+3.93%	0.0936	✗	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.038422	-6.01%	0.043835	+7.23%	0.1105	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.03315	-6.06%	0.045285	+28.32%	0.2224	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.032609	-5.54%	0.046835	+35.67%	0.2682	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.032184	-5.56%	0.04549	+33.48%	0.2400	✗	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.033939	-4.96%	0.04571	+28.00%	0.2439	✗	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.033549	-5.41%	0.04441	+25.20%	0.1794	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.035142	-5.21%	0.04366	+17.76%	0.1458	✗	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.035842	-4.74%	0.04673	+24.20%	0.1642	✗	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.035197	-4.52%	0.04303	+16.72%	0.0924	✗	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.037334	-3.39%	0.04147	+7.31%	0.0337	✓	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.040383	-4.18%	0.041015	-2.68%	0.0401	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.038927	-3.10%	0.044345	+10.39%	0.0575	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.038734	-2.14%	0.04624	+16.83%	0.0860	✗	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.039258	-2.22%	0.05004	+24.63%	0.1392	✗	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.038121	-1.21%	0.049155	+27.38%	0.1323	✗	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.040038	-0.08%	0.049975	+24.72%	0.1595	✗	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.035837	-2.33%	0.04632	+26.25%	0.1246	✗	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.036671	-2.05%	0.050135	+33.91%	0.1756	✗	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.037524	-1.10%	0.04177	+10.09%	0.0193	✗	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.036159	-1.46%	0.04198	+14.40%	0.0469	✗	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.037979	-1.12%	0.042205	+9.88%	0.0175	✗	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.037095	-0.84%	0.0439	+17.35%	0.0573	✗	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.039524	+1.01%	0.04483	+14.57%	0.0572	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.039814	+0.77%	0.046525	+17.75%	0.0702	✓	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.039289	+1.00%	0.04491	+15.45%	0.0339	✓	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.040862	+1.67%	0.04363	+8.56%	0.0249	✗	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.04344	+1.35%	0.046545	+8.60%	0.0783	✗	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.040773	+1.32%	0.045275	+12.51%	0.0597	✗	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.043746	+2.98%	0.04299	+1.20%	0.0670	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.037155	-1.73%	0.042385	+12.10%	0.0109	✓	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.033197	-4.85%	0.04088	+17.17%	0.0020	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.030095	-6.10%	0.03529	+10.11%	0.0628	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.030171	-6.30%	0.03452	+7.20%	0.0881	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.029485	-6.54%	0.03408	+8.02%	0.1038	✓	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.029165	-6.61%	0.03571	+14.35%	0.0885	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.029073	-6.67%	0.03547	+13.87%	0.0693	✓	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.030399	-6.91%	0.037075	+13.54%	0.0708	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.030822	-7.22%	0.037625	+13.26%	0.0704	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.030638	-7.55%	0.036865	+11.24%	0.0698	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.033421	-8.18%	0.038645	+6.17%	0.1331	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.032939	-8.45%	0.042145	+17.13%	0.0219	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.033077	-8.54%	0.04017	+11.07%	0.0853	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.032348	-8.31%	0.03958	+12.19%	0.0988	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.032519	-8.53%	0.04015	+12.94%	0.0971	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.032906	-8.77%	0.03859	+6.99%	0.1391	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.032716	-8.72%	0.04007	+11.80%	0.1367	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.033511	-8.66%	0.03669	+0.00%	0.1918	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.033363	-8.62%	0.03744	+2.55%	0.1687	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.033399	-8.50%	0.03794	+3.95%	0.1952	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.033545	-8.20%	0.036695	+0.42%	0.2143	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.034293	-7.32%	0.03841	+3.81%	0.1588	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.033826	-7.06%	0.03741	+2.79%	0.1694	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.036846	-6.88%	0.03913	-1.11%	0.2546	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.037047	-6.73%	0.03951	-0.53%	0.2319	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.040537	-6.27%	0.0389	-10.06%	0.2883	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.039942	-6.07%	0.04019	-5.49%	0.2693	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.040951	-5.84%	0.04286	-1.45%	0.2134	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.040997	-5.02%	0.04024	-6.78%	0.2489	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.041822	-4.28%	0.04248	-2.77%	0.2174	✓	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.041643	-3.96%	0.03781	-12.80%	0.2248	✓	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.041043	-4.06%	0.03489	-18.44%	0.2461	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.042101	-4.42%	0.03205	-27.24%	0.2728	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.042649	-4.12%	0.0322	-27.61%	0.2742	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.041518	-4.12%	0.03155	-27.14%	0.2516	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.044087	-4.37%	0.03123	-32.26%	0.3284	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.045975	-4.27%	0.03115	-35.14%	0.3517	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.047075	-4.01%	0.032655	-33.41%	0.3322	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.045148	-4.47%	0.03322	-29.71%	0.3322	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.044218	-4.07%	0.03314	-28.11%	0.2836	✓	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.044938	-3.73%	0.0364	-22.02%	0.2139	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.045865	-3.30%	0.03598	-24.14%	0.2590	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.046503	-3.04%	0.036165	-24.59%	0.2911	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.045949	-2.92%	0.03528	-25.46%	0.3253	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.04874	-3.14%	0.03555	-29.35%	0.3370	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.047981	-2.89%	0.03607	-27.00%	0.2990	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.04975	-3.06%	0.03584	-30.16%	0.3388	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.050844	-3.01%	0.03669	-30.01%	0.3352	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.049524	-2.95%	0.03651	-28.45%	0.3277	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.048164	-2.84%	0.0365	-26.37%	0.3073	✓	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.043959	-2.62%	0.03654	-19.05%	0.2485	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.044022	-2.67%	0.037	-18.20%	0.3137	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.046577	-3.15%	0.036395	-24.32%	0.3299	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.044287	-3.07%	0.03957	-13.39%	0.2080	✓	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.045732	-3.21%	0.03972	-15.94%	0.2227	✓	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.045257	-3.11%	0.04325	-7.41%	0.1595	✓	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.045072	-3.09%	0.042525	-8.57%	0.1569	✓	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.048923	-3.49%	0.04349	-14.20%	0.1821	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.053225	-4.12%	0.043165	-22.24%	0.2567	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.053408	-4.33%	0.04369	-21.74%	0.2430	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.054013	-4.37%	0.04336	-23.23%	0.2850	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.052325	-4.34%	0.04278	-21.79%	0.2218	✓	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.054513	-4.43%	0.04405	-22.77%	0.2388	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.059027	-5.05%	0.04448	-28.45%	0.3257	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.054397	-4.75%	0.0433	-24.18%	0.2146	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.054599	-5.03%	0.0461	-19.81%	0.1233	✓	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.056863	-5.67%	0.048025	-20.33%	0.1308	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.05885	-6.39%	0.04904	-22.00%	0.1645	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.058546	-6.64%	0.04726	-24.64%	0.1579	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.044964	-3.61%	0.046095	-1.19%	0.0206	✓	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.04443	-3.60%	0.04668	+1.28%	0.0450	✗	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.041306	-2.85%	0.04743	+11.55%	0.0876	✗	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.045551	-3.51%	0.04796	+1.59%	0.0231	✓	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.047949	-4.29%	0.04733	-5.53%	0.0026	✓	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.046439	-4.21%	0.05032	+3.80%	0.0799	✗	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.043146	-3.26%	0.04941	+10.78%	0.0869	✗	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.044462	-3.57%	0.05132	+11.30%	0.1040	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.048075	-4.93%	0.05242	+3.66%	0.0967	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.051189	-5.71%	0.05103	-6.00%	0.0186	✓	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.050928	-6.66%	0.04957	-9.15%	0.0622	✓	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.053562	-9.42%	0.04514	-23.66%	0.0607	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.054411	-10.76%	0.04523	-25.82%	0.1699	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.056074	-11.08%	0.04809	-23.74%	0.1625	✗	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.055177	-10.46%	0.04569	-25.86%	0.0213	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.056613	-10.70%	0.04725	-25.47%	0.0234	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.05971	-11.58%	0.04671	-30.83%	0.0316	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.059744	-11.75%	0.04651	-31.30%	0.0114	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.064423	-12.84%	0.05069	-31.42%	0.0033	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.067387	-12.91%	0.05551	-28.26%	0.0121	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.070046	-12.61%	0.055825	-30.35%	0.0458	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.070645	-12.05%	0.05648	-29.68%	0.0473	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.075987	-12.66%	0.0547	-37.13%	0.1402	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.072002	-11.77%	0.05704	-30.10%	0.0336	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.071814	-11.47%	0.06217	-23.36%	0.0554	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.076398	-11.16%	0.05711	-33.59%	0.1137	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.079994	-11.06%	0.05749	-36.08%	0.1651	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.083052	-10.44%	0.06028	-34.99%	0.1562	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.090389	-9.85%	0.06287	-37.29%	0.1781	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.096217	-8.70%	0.06271	-40.49%	0.1982	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.093742	-9.31%	0.04665	-54.87%	0.4764	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.100719	-8.25%	0.04609	-58.01%	0.5457	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.110103	-7.14%	0.04252	-64.14%	0.6662	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.118652	-6.51%	0.04721	-62.80%	0.6345	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.116335	-7.31%	0.0501	-60.08%	0.5964	✓	1.00