MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · gru_s8

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 498

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

159

of 166 predictions shown

direction hit

73.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0832

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0125

actual -0.0435

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04289	0.041965	-2.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.042491	-1.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.043144	-2.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.042934	-2.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.044289	-2.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.045675	-2.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.044351	-2.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.044574	-2.48%	0.04289	-6.17%	0.0599	✓	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.043346	-2.40%	0.043355	-2.38%	0.0034	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.042527	-2.59%	0.04405	+0.89%	0.0333	✗	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.045241	-3.19%	0.043835	-6.20%	0.0002	✓	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.041968	-2.47%	0.045285	+5.24%	0.1039	✗	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.040491	-2.36%	0.046835	+12.94%	0.1646	✗	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.04004	-2.38%	0.04549	+10.91%	0.1198	✗	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.043157	-2.68%	0.04571	+3.08%	0.0877	✗	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.044976	-2.73%	0.04441	-3.96%	0.0295	✗	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.048375	-3.33%	0.04366	-12.75%	0.0325	✓	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.047624	-3.12%	0.04673	-4.93%	0.0296	✓	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.048208	-3.54%	0.04303	-13.90%	0.0813	✓	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.044762	-3.36%	0.04147	-10.47%	0.0418	✓	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.047668	-4.92%	0.041015	-18.19%	0.0948	✓	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.040838	-2.23%	0.044345	+6.16%	0.0871	✗	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.041066	-2.18%	0.04624	+10.15%	0.0860	✗	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.041273	-2.21%	0.05004	+18.56%	0.1538	✗	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.042917	-2.24%	0.049155	+11.97%	0.1013	✗	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.043799	-2.30%	0.049975	+11.48%	0.1263	✗	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.045317	-2.60%	0.04632	-0.44%	0.0148	✓	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.043922	-2.20%	0.050135	+11.63%	0.1243	✗	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.042759	-2.00%	0.04177	-4.26%	0.0091	✓	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.045436	-2.38%	0.04198	-9.81%	0.0346	✓	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.044258	-2.25%	0.042205	-6.78%	0.0086	✓	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.042008	-2.28%	0.0439	+2.12%	0.0185	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.041411	-2.30%	0.04483	+5.77%	0.0192	✓	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.039978	-2.21%	0.046525	+13.81%	0.0919	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.034952	-0.96%	0.04491	+27.26%	0.1104	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.034291	-0.66%	0.04363	+26.39%	0.0991	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.033906	-0.51%	0.046545	+36.58%	0.1490	✗	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.035484	-0.63%	0.045275	+26.79%	0.1141	✗	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.035271	-0.56%	0.04299	+21.20%	0.1272	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.036821	-0.69%	0.042385	+14.32%	0.0774	✗	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.037409	-0.57%	0.04088	+8.65%	0.0304	✗	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.036721	-0.39%	0.03529	-4.27%	0.0364	✓	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.038515	-0.34%	0.03452	-10.67%	0.0722	✓	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.041686	-1.09%	0.03408	-19.14%	0.1504	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.040032	-0.34%	0.03571	-11.10%	0.0978	✓	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.039604	+0.06%	0.03547	-10.38%	0.0448	✗	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.040113	-0.09%	0.037075	-7.66%	0.0314	✓	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.038688	+0.25%	0.037625	-2.50%	0.0187	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.040203	+0.33%	0.036865	-8.00%	0.0023	✓	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.036644	-0.13%	0.038645	+5.33%	0.0346	✗	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.037367	-0.19%	0.042145	+12.57%	0.1002	✗	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.037959	+0.05%	0.04017	+5.88%	0.0470	✓	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.036646	-0.13%	0.03958	+7.86%	0.0302	✗	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.038339	-0.18%	0.04015	+4.53%	0.0186	✗	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.037341	-0.19%	0.03859	+3.15%	0.0012	✓	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.039216	+0.22%	0.04007	+2.40%	0.0048	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.039395	-0.29%	0.03669	-7.14%	0.0409	✓	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.038706	-0.50%	0.03744	-3.75%	0.0132	✓	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.039913	-0.69%	0.03794	-5.60%	0.0434	✓	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.042202	-1.53%	0.036695	-14.38%	0.1387	✓	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.039701	-1.34%	0.03841	-4.55%	0.0545	✓	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.041726	-1.77%	0.03741	-11.94%	0.1005	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.037056	-1.99%	0.03913	+3.49%	0.0723	✓	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.034254	-1.82%	0.03951	+13.24%	0.0325	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.0315	-1.72%	0.0389	+21.37%	0.0486	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.031606	-1.84%	0.04019	+24.81%	0.0315	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.031026	-1.66%	0.04286	+35.85%	0.0369	✗	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.030795	-1.39%	0.04024	+28.85%	0.0040	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.030748	-1.29%	0.04248	+36.37%	0.0284	✗	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.032154	-1.54%	0.03781	+15.79%	0.0301	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.032696	-1.58%	0.03489	+5.03%	0.0568	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.032652	-1.47%	0.03205	-3.29%	0.0432	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.035695	-1.94%	0.0322	-11.54%	0.1151	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.035309	-1.86%	0.03155	-12.31%	0.0681	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.035516	-1.79%	0.03123	-13.65%	0.0868	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.034712	-1.61%	0.03115	-11.71%	0.0661	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.034963	-1.65%	0.032655	-8.14%	0.0496	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.035482	-1.63%	0.03322	-7.90%	0.0394	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.03531	-1.48%	0.03314	-7.53%	0.0518	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.036142	-1.49%	0.0364	-0.79%	0.0029	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.036036	-1.30%	0.03598	-1.45%	0.0317	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.036097	-1.11%	0.036165	-0.92%	0.0464	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.036202	-0.92%	0.03528	-3.45%	0.0722	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.036688	-0.84%	0.03555	-3.92%	0.0214	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.036158	-0.65%	0.03607	-0.89%	0.0175	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.039165	-1.02%	0.03584	-9.43%	0.0931	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.039362	-0.90%	0.03669	-7.63%	0.0654	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.042741	-1.18%	0.03651	-15.58%	0.1191	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.04208	-1.05%	0.0365	-14.17%	0.1100	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.043002	-1.12%	0.03654	-15.98%	0.1362	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.042762	-0.93%	0.037	-14.28%	0.1378	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.043337	-0.81%	0.036395	-16.70%	0.1284	✓	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.043048	-0.72%	0.03957	-8.74%	0.0279	✓	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.04248	-0.70%	0.03972	-7.15%	0.0348	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.043673	-0.86%	0.04325	-1.82%	0.0238	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.044108	-0.84%	0.042525	-4.40%	0.0258	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.042977	-0.75%	0.04349	+0.44%	0.0078	✗	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.045623	-1.03%	0.043165	-6.37%	0.0828	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.047479	-1.14%	0.04369	-9.03%	0.1120	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.048428	-1.25%	0.04336	-11.58%	0.1425	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.046635	-1.32%	0.04278	-9.48%	0.1507	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.045565	-1.15%	0.04405	-4.44%	0.0551	✓	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.046146	-1.14%	0.04448	-4.71%	0.0599	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.046894	-1.13%	0.0433	-8.71%	0.0744	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.047435	-1.09%	0.0461	-3.88%	0.0423	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.04684	-1.04%	0.048025	+1.47%	0.0321	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.04967	-1.29%	0.04904	-2.54%	0.0504	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.048776	-1.28%	0.04726	-4.35%	0.0087	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.050606	-1.39%	0.046095	-10.18%	0.0970	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.051622	-1.52%	0.04668	-10.95%	0.1167	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.050293	-1.45%	0.04743	-7.05%	0.0960	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.048897	-1.36%	0.04796	-3.25%	0.0589	✓	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.044746	-0.87%	0.04733	+4.85%	0.0053	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.044872	-0.79%	0.05032	+11.25%	0.0050	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.047526	-1.17%	0.04941	+2.74%	0.0466	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.04528	-0.90%	0.05132	+12.32%	0.0354	✗	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.046758	-1.04%	0.05242	+10.94%	0.0455	✗	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.046267	-0.95%	0.05103	+9.25%	0.0430	✗	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.046137	-0.80%	0.04957	+6.58%	0.0326	✗	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.050036	-1.29%	0.04514	-10.95%	0.0810	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.054433	-1.94%	0.04523	-18.52%	0.0999	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.054603	-2.19%	0.04809	-13.86%	0.0486	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.055241	-2.19%	0.04569	-19.10%	0.1106	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.053508	-2.18%	0.04725	-13.62%	0.0322	✓	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.055643	-2.45%	0.04671	-18.11%	0.0981	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.060148	-3.25%	0.04651	-25.19%	0.1833	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.055564	-2.71%	0.05069	-11.24%	0.0047	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.055651	-3.20%	0.05551	-3.44%	0.0720	✗	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.057872	-3.99%	0.055825	-7.39%	0.0212	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.059699	-5.04%	0.05648	-10.16%	0.0070	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.059614	-4.94%	0.0547	-12.77%	0.0807	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.046469	-0.39%	0.05704	+22.27%	0.2063	✗	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.046074	-0.04%	0.06217	+34.89%	0.3141	✗	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.043154	+1.49%	0.05711	+34.31%	0.2237	✓	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.047657	+0.95%	0.05749	+21.78%	0.1140	✓	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.050283	+0.36%	0.06028	+20.32%	0.1225	✓	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.049113	+1.31%	0.06287	+29.68%	0.2030	✓	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.045982	+3.10%	0.06271	+40.61%	0.2552	✓	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.047571	+3.17%	0.04665	+1.17%	0.0584	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.051666	+2.17%	0.04609	-8.86%	0.1108	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.055301	+1.86%	0.04252	-21.68%	0.2254	✗	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.055362	+1.47%	0.04721	-13.47%	0.0737	✗	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.059063	-0.11%	0.0501	-15.27%	0.0002	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.060638	-0.54%	0.04848	-20.49%	0.0093	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.062683	-0.60%	0.0446	-29.27%	0.0419	✓	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.061685	+0.10%	0.04611	-25.18%	0.1069	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.063473	+0.12%	0.05057	-20.24%	0.0857	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.067325	-0.30%	0.05429	-19.61%	0.0664	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.06749	-0.31%	0.05456	-19.41%	0.0838	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.073021	-1.21%	0.05913	-20.00%	0.1311	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.076316	-1.37%	0.06097	-21.21%	0.1793	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.079027	-1.40%	0.06306	-21.32%	0.1874	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.079593	-0.91%	0.061625	-23.28%	0.2279	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.085164	-2.11%	0.0634	-27.13%	0.2417	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.081053	-0.68%	0.06753	-17.25%	0.1409	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.080933	-0.23%	0.0677	-16.54%	0.1662	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.085558	-0.51%	0.073915	-14.05%	0.1502	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.089233	-0.79%	0.07738	-13.96%	0.1369	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.091924	-0.87%	0.08015	-13.57%	0.1183	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.098884	-1.37%	0.08032	-19.89%	0.1611	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.103781	-1.52%	0.087	-17.44%	0.1318	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.101946	-1.38%	0.081605	-21.06%	0.1994	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.108192	-1.44%	0.08112	-26.10%	0.2407	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.116801	-1.49%	0.086	-27.47%	0.2458	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.124848	-1.63%	0.08994	-29.14%	0.2679	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.123151	-1.88%	0.09273	-26.12%	0.2516	✓	1.00