LONGXIA

? · · gru_s8

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 144

Track record at +7d

assessed

41

of 48 predictions shown

direction hit

68.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.6045

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0864

actual -0.1736

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.02106	0.019991	-5.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-21	oos	0.021215	0.020207	-4.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.020287	-4.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.019542	-3.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.020062	-3.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.026579	-3.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.028234	-2.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.029214	-2.60%	0.02106	-29.79%	0.3632	✓	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.028906	-2.43%	0.021215	-28.39%	0.3517	✓	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.044693	-8.08%	0.021195	-56.41%	0.7442	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.037972	-5.76%	0.020355	-49.49%	0.6244	✓	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.040801	-7.29%	0.02088	-52.56%	0.6566	✓	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.042675	-7.77%	0.02746	-40.65%	0.4280	✓	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.042546	-7.51%	0.029085	-36.77%	0.3715	✓	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.047238	-9.09%	0.029995	-42.27%	0.4582	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.038206	-7.18%	0.029625	-28.02%	0.2323	✓	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.058437	-11.67%	0.04862	-26.51%	0.1768	✓	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.041134	-9.48%	0.040295	-11.32%	0.0043	✓	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.040791	-9.93%	0.04401	-2.83%	0.0873	✓	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.044764	-10.37%	0.04627	-7.36%	0.0436	✓	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.03487	-11.02%	0.046	+17.38%	0.2879	✗	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.094194	-14.51%	0.05196	-52.84%	0.5920	✓	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.031351	-12.67%	0.04116	+14.65%	0.2690	✗	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.062096	-9.97%	0.06616	-4.08%	0.0871	✓	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.062854	-10.50%	0.04544	-35.29%	0.2959	✓	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.079239	-9.70%	0.04529	-48.39%	0.5284	✓	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.093911	-9.53%	0.049945	-51.88%	0.6264	✓	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.117587	-9.67%	0.03919	-69.89%	1.1036	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.09345	-9.66%	0.110175	+6.51%	0.1592	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.15257	-9.25%	0.0359	-78.65%	1.4371	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.126828	-9.06%	0.068975	-50.54%	0.5789	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.216572	-7.56%	0.070225	-70.03%	1.0893	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.217615	-8.68%	0.08775	-63.18%	0.9481	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.206236	-8.88%	0.1038	-54.14%	0.7250	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.202126	-9.05%	0.130175	-41.43%	0.4790	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.206323	-10.56%	0.10344	-55.16%	0.7905	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.190026	-10.82%	0.16812	-21.10%	0.2252	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.173467	-11.49%	0.139465	-28.84%	0.3496	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.144597	-10.23%	0.234285	+45.45%	0.3803	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.129748	-10.35%	0.238305	+64.67%	0.5527	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.135129	-12.59%	0.226335	+46.41%	0.4657	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.065992	-6.42%	0.22224	+215.14%	1.1678	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.036746	-3.53%	0.23069	+505.64%	1.8395	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.047862	-2.63%	0.21309	+333.51%	1.5211	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.057366	-2.51%	0.195995	+233.10%	1.2658	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.053131	-2.60%	0.16108	+195.29%	1.1208	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.072637	-1.97%	0.14472	+95.30%	0.7344	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.085684	-2.34%	0.154585	+76.19%	0.6228	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.