LONGXIA

? · · gru_s8

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

Track record at +30d

assessed

17

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

94.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

1.1771

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.1504

actual -1.2964

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.02189	0.01921	-12.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.018719	-11.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.0181	-11.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.018608	-10.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.024527	-10.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.026111	-10.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.027156	-9.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.026963	-8.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.041598	-14.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.03537	-12.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.03817	-13.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.039876	-13.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.039654	-13.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.043879	-15.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.035421	-13.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.054172	-18.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.037888	-16.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.037205	-17.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.040517	-18.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.031129	-20.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.085702	-22.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.027498	-23.40%	–	pending	–	–	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.055998	-18.81%	–	pending	–	–	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.056626	-19.37%	–	pending	–	–	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.07219	-17.73%	–	pending	–	–	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.086104	-17.05%	–	pending	–	–	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.108508	-16.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.085877	-16.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.141084	-16.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.118602	-14.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.198342	-15.34%	0.02189	-90.66%	2.1579	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.196212	-17.66%	0.021195	-91.11%	2.2471	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.185902	-17.86%	0.020355	-91.01%	2.2193	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.181995	-18.11%	0.02088	-90.60%	2.1791	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.183251	-20.56%	0.02746	-88.10%	1.9620	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.1695	-20.46%	0.029085	-86.35%	1.8306	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.155374	-20.73%	0.029995	-84.70%	1.7278	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.131745	-18.21%	0.029625	-81.61%	1.5347	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.118258	-18.29%	0.04862	-66.40%	0.9677	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.123857	-19.88%	0.040295	-73.93%	1.1793	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.063404	-10.09%	0.04401	-37.59%	0.4456	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.032804	-13.88%	0.04627	+21.48%	0.2640	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.045285	-7.87%	0.046	-6.42%	0.0373	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.055958	-4.90%	0.05196	-11.69%	0.1147	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.052106	-4.48%	0.04116	-24.55%	0.2873	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.072513	-2.14%	0.06616	-10.72%	0.1544	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.085366	-2.71%	0.04544	-48.21%	0.7021	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.