LONGXIA

? · · gru_s8

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

Track record at +1d

assessed

46

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

52.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2349

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0117

actual -0.0313

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.02189	0.021913	+0.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.021235	+0.19%	0.02189	+3.28%	0.0343	✓	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.020412	+0.28%	0.021195	+4.13%	0.0199	✓	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.020939	+0.28%	0.020355	-2.51%	0.0255	✗	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.027515	+0.20%	0.02088	-23.96%	0.2870	✗	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.02915	+0.22%	0.02746	-5.59%	0.0576	✗	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.03008	+0.28%	0.029085	-3.03%	0.0228	✗	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.029731	+0.36%	0.029995	+1.25%	0.0009	✓	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.048047	-1.18%	0.029625	-39.07%	0.4664	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.04015	-0.36%	0.04862	+20.66%	0.1788	✗	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.0437	-0.70%	0.040295	-8.44%	0.0656	✓	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.045901	-0.80%	0.04401	-4.88%	0.0484	✓	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.045672	-0.71%	0.04627	+0.59%	0.0099	✗	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.051365	-1.15%	0.046	-11.47%	0.1183	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.040968	-0.47%	0.05196	+26.24%	0.2581	✗	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.064772	-2.10%	0.04116	-37.79%	0.4468	✓	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.045012	-0.94%	0.06616	+45.60%	0.3860	✗	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.044821	-1.04%	0.04544	+0.33%	0.0167	✗	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.04935	-1.19%	0.04529	-9.32%	0.0958	✓	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.038765	-1.08%	0.049945	+27.44%	0.2521	✗	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.105199	-4.52%	0.03919	-64.43%	0.9871	✓	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.035517	-1.07%	0.110175	+206.89%	1.1468	✗	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.068379	-0.86%	0.0359	-47.95%	0.6454	✓	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.069599	-0.89%	0.068975	-1.78%	0.0067	✓	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.086994	-0.86%	0.070225	-19.97%	0.2296	✓	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.102857	-0.91%	0.08775	-15.46%	0.1581	✓	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.128549	-1.25%	0.1038	-20.26%	0.2177	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.102574	-0.84%	0.130175	+25.85%	0.2418	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.165583	-1.51%	0.10344	-38.47%	0.4706	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.138144	-0.95%	0.16812	+20.55%	0.2177	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.230155	-1.76%	0.139465	-40.47%	0.4963	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.233433	-2.04%	0.234285	-1.69%	0.0612	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.221492	-2.14%	0.238305	+5.29%	0.0741	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.217409	-2.17%	0.226335	+1.84%	0.0358	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.224282	-2.78%	0.22224	-3.66%	0.0667	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.207107	-2.81%	0.23069	+8.26%	0.1052	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.189781	-3.17%	0.21309	+8.72%	0.1085	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.15691	-2.59%	0.195995	+21.68%	0.2561	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.14085	-2.67%	0.16108	+11.30%	0.1165	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.147748	-4.42%	0.14472	-6.38%	0.0147	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.069387	-1.61%	0.154585	+119.21%	0.8003	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.038001	-0.23%	0.07052	+85.14%	0.6095	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.049104	-0.10%	0.03809	-22.51%	0.2314	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.058765	-0.13%	0.049155	-16.46%	0.1765	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.054525	-0.05%	0.05884	+7.86%	0.0843	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.073941	-0.21%	0.05455	-26.38%	0.2885	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.087226	-0.59%	0.0741	-15.55%	0.1694	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.