KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · gru_s8

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 483

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

131

of 161 predictions shown

direction hit

73.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3937

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0626

actual -0.2150

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.029719	0.026778	-9.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-21	oos	0.029335	0.026428	-9.91%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.027401	-10.16%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.026316	-10.38%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.026525	-10.38%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.031421	-9.97%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.032734	-9.81%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.030393	-9.87%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.028743	-9.95%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.026165	-9.38%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.024763	-9.64%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.022778	-9.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.022796	-8.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.022911	-9.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.022485	-9.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.018912	-8.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.020997	-7.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.024787	-7.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.018993	-6.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.017855	-7.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.020315	-7.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.019896	-7.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.02209	-8.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.02421	-9.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.029616	-10.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.01374	-6.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.014018	-6.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.012596	-6.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.01238	-6.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.012772	-6.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.01286	-5.11%	0.029719	+119.29%	0.8522	✗	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.013114	-4.56%	0.029335	+113.50%	0.8247	✗	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.012483	-7.60%	0.030499	+125.75%	0.8768	✗	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.012777	-7.56%	0.029365	+112.46%	0.8266	✗	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.012523	-7.31%	0.029598	+119.08%	0.8498	✗	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.012687	-8.69%	0.034899	+151.18%	0.9561	✗	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.01273	-8.76%	0.036292	+160.14%	0.9876	✗	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.012028	-8.15%	0.03372	+157.49%	0.9550	✗	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.012075	-7.22%	0.031919	+145.24%	0.9310	✗	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.012284	-7.25%	0.028875	+118.02%	0.7778	✗	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.013018	-6.95%	0.027404	+95.89%	0.6904	✗	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.013094	-6.26%	0.025037	+79.24%	0.5733	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.013094	-5.75%	0.025012	+80.03%	0.5720	✗	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.01343	-3.85%	0.025199	+80.41%	0.5785	✗	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.013676	-3.54%	0.024821	+75.06%	0.5589	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.014414	-3.42%	0.020707	+38.74%	0.3156	✗	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015309	-2.73%	0.022712	+44.31%	0.3387	✗	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015262	-2.76%	0.026838	+71.00%	0.5003	✗	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.015943	-2.60%	0.020323	+24.16%	0.1786	✗	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.0165	-1.73%	0.019305	+14.97%	0.1267	✗	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.016741	-3.79%	0.022008	+26.48%	0.1819	✗	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.017227	-3.17%	0.021486	+20.77%	0.1251	✗	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.017733	-2.26%	0.024146	+33.08%	0.2497	✗	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.01733	-2.28%	0.026617	+50.08%	0.3518	✗	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.017187	-2.10%	0.033197	+89.09%	0.5837	✗	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.017614	-1.66%	0.014683	-18.02%	0.2782	✓	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.017684	-0.60%	0.01501	-15.63%	0.2288	✓	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017101	-0.88%	0.013481	-21.86%	0.3172	✓	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018081	-0.57%	0.01323	-27.24%	0.4057	✓	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.018732	+0.07%	0.01364	-27.13%	0.4057	✗	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.020255	-0.45%	0.013553	-33.39%	0.5495	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.01809	-0.61%	0.01374	-24.51%	0.4385	✓	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.017568	+0.09%	0.01351	-23.03%	0.3135	✗	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.016838	-2.62%	0.013822	-20.07%	0.3629	✓	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016115	-4.38%	0.01351	-19.83%	0.4143	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015036	-5.77%	0.013894	-12.93%	0.3514	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.016561	-6.22%	0.013951	-21.00%	0.4379	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.016608	-6.54%	0.013095	-26.31%	0.5403	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.01677	-6.34%	0.013015	-27.31%	0.6116	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.01674	-6.25%	0.013244	-25.82%	0.5639	✓	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.016513	-5.56%	0.01399	-19.99%	0.5070	✓	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.016297	-5.58%	0.013969	-19.07%	0.4640	✓	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.017347	-5.88%	0.013893	-24.62%	0.5102	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017027	-5.54%	0.013968	-22.51%	0.5241	✓	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.01642	-4.75%	0.014179	-17.76%	0.4708	✓	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016208	-4.66%	0.014925	-12.21%	0.4185	✓	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.016932	-4.93%	0.015738	-11.63%	0.4388	✓	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.017298	-5.16%	0.015695	-13.95%	0.4696	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.017542	-5.31%	0.016369	-11.64%	0.4259	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.017322	-5.78%	0.016792	-8.67%	0.4716	✓	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.016347	-5.34%	0.0174	+0.75%	0.2973	✓	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015242	-4.80%	0.017791	+11.12%	0.2048	✓	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014177	-4.31%	0.018144	+22.47%	0.1521	✓	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.014595	-4.01%	0.017735	+16.64%	0.1818	✓	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016303	-4.10%	0.017556	+3.27%	0.2565	✓	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.014829	-3.58%	0.017912	+16.46%	0.1442	✓	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.013799	-3.57%	0.01779	+24.32%	0.1295	✓	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013067	-3.35%	0.017253	+27.61%	0.0802	✓	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.016463	-4.84%	0.018184	+5.11%	0.1792	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.012643	-3.12%	0.018718	+43.44%	0.1210	✗	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.013627	-3.45%	0.020346	+44.14%	0.1437	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013178	-3.21%	0.0182	+33.68%	0.0910	✗	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.012688	-2.85%	0.017552	+34.40%	0.0842	✗	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.012611	-2.99%	0.017291	+33.01%	0.1832	✗	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.014533	-3.88%	0.016853	+11.46%	0.0541	✗	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.01535	-4.03%	0.015957	-0.24%	0.0388	✓	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.015042	-3.64%	0.01766	+13.13%	0.1682	✗	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.015568	-3.75%	0.01777	+9.86%	0.1586	✗	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.018288	-3.85%	0.017905	-5.86%	0.0021	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.018726	-3.92%	0.017855	-8.39%	0.0035	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.020079	-3.97%	0.017485	-16.38%	0.0990	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.019378	-4.00%	0.01726	-14.49%	0.1455	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.019882	-4.18%	0.01843	-11.18%	0.0704	✓	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.01971	-4.00%	0.018025	-12.20%	0.0930	✓	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.02012	-3.96%	0.01724	-17.71%	0.1730	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.019479	-3.79%	0.017	-16.03%	0.1802	✓	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.019238	-3.79%	0.01781	-10.93%	0.1445	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.020176	-4.04%	0.01824	-13.25%	0.1248	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.021161	-4.20%	0.018525	-16.14%	0.1482	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.020469	-4.17%	0.018385	-13.93%	0.1190	✓	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.019387	-4.38%	0.01727	-14.82%	0.1250	✓	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.020328	-4.29%	0.01601	-24.62%	0.2632	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.021855	-4.42%	0.014815	-35.21%	0.4226	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.021952	-4.18%	0.015205	-33.63%	0.4448	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.022798	-4.33%	0.017	-28.66%	0.4685	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.025331	-5.29%	0.01538	-42.49%	0.6009	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.024789	-5.19%	0.01431	-45.27%	0.6676	✓	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.023983	-5.11%	0.01352	-46.51%	0.6749	✓	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.025049	-5.40%	0.0173	-34.67%	0.5130	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.023958	-5.23%	0.01305	-48.38%	0.7288	✓	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.022894	-5.16%	0.014115	-41.53%	0.5693	✓	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.024139	-5.60%	0.013615	-46.75%	0.6387	✓	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.027787	-6.36%	0.01306	-55.99%	0.8104	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.028362	-6.46%	0.013	-57.12%	0.8657	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.028359	-6.53%	0.01512	-50.16%	0.6553	✓	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.025766	-6.13%	0.015995	-41.73%	0.5072	✓	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.02474	-5.97%	0.01561	-40.67%	0.5073	✓	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.026671	-6.61%	0.016175	-43.36%	0.4868	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.027337	-6.92%	0.01902	-35.24%	0.3177	✓	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.027493	-7.18%	0.01949	-34.20%	0.3061	✓	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.028508	-7.26%	0.02091	-31.98%	0.2924	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.029633	-7.41%	0.020185	-36.93%	0.3273	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.028751	-7.28%	0.02075	-33.09%	0.3312	✓	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.028115	-7.30%	0.02053	-32.31%	0.3196	✓	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.028819	-7.11%	0.02095	-32.47%	0.3906	✓	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.029139	-7.44%	0.020245	-35.69%	0.4040	✓	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.029805	-8.01%	0.019995	-38.29%	0.3765	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.031686	-8.58%	0.021025	-39.34%	0.4107	✓	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.034544	-8.73%	0.02209	-41.64%	0.5603	✓	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.025959	-7.26%	0.02136	-23.69%	0.2784	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.03106	-9.10%	0.020275	-40.66%	0.4152	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.033903	-9.88%	0.02124	-43.54%	0.4436	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.032831	-10.76%	0.022865	-37.85%	0.2810	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.036219	-13.37%	0.02291	-45.20%	0.2846	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.042149	-15.70%	0.02383	-52.34%	0.3414	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.054953	-18.62%	0.026745	-60.40%	0.5162	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.033601	-12.16%	0.026145	-31.65%	0.0410	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.032423	-11.82%	0.025275	-31.26%	0.0449	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.034473	-12.01%	0.02648	-32.41%	0.0499	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.038784	-12.57%	0.02528	-43.01%	0.1889	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.044445	-13.64%	0.02414	-53.09%	0.3739	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.04724	-13.65%	0.02557	-53.26%	0.4078	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.046447	-12.99%	0.029675	-44.41%	0.2669	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.049023	-12.46%	0.03032	-45.86%	0.3040	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.046628	-12.93%	0.03034	-43.35%	0.2412	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.04663	-13.18%	0.02745	-48.89%	0.3306	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.054512	-12.21%	0.02631	-57.63%	0.5289	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.053707	-12.19%	0.02856	-53.31%	0.4543	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.06559	-11.62%	0.02937	-60.42%	0.6382	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.068024	-11.08%	0.02962	-61.28%	0.6672	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.085216	-9.39%	0.03074	-67.32%	0.8346	✓	1.00