KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · gru_s8

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 483

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

154

of 161 predictions shown

direction hit

58.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1673

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0196

actual -0.0452

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.029719	0.028426	-4.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-21	oos	0.029335	0.028052	-4.37%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.029042	-4.78%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.027872	-5.09%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.028078	-5.14%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.032777	-6.08%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.033439	-7.86%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.03103	-7.98%	0.029719	-11.86%	0.0411	✓	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.02963	-7.17%	0.029335	-8.09%	0.0076	✓	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.027133	-6.03%	0.030499	+5.63%	0.1169	✗	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.025701	-6.22%	0.029365	+7.16%	0.1333	✗	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.023749	-5.15%	0.029598	+18.22%	0.2219	✗	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.023468	-6.17%	0.034899	+39.53%	0.3988	✗	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.023547	-6.56%	0.036292	+44.02%	0.4340	✗	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.023161	-6.69%	0.03372	+35.85%	0.3750	✗	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.01978	-4.48%	0.031919	+54.14%	0.4833	✗	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.021536	-5.18%	0.028875	+27.13%	0.2978	✗	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.024599	-8.34%	0.027404	+2.11%	0.1157	✗	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.019254	-5.26%	0.025037	+23.20%	0.2717	✗	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.018466	-4.35%	0.025012	+29.56%	0.3090	✗	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.020634	-6.24%	0.025199	+14.50%	0.2060	✗	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.020281	-5.61%	0.024821	+15.52%	0.2117	✗	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.022386	-7.29%	0.020707	-14.24%	0.0771	✓	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.024353	-8.50%	0.022712	-14.67%	0.0754	✓	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.029476	-11.21%	0.026838	-19.16%	0.0995	✓	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.014143	-3.68%	0.020323	+38.41%	0.3470	✗	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.014423	-3.91%	0.019305	+28.62%	0.2890	✗	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.013271	-1.56%	0.022008	+63.25%	0.5027	✗	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.013064	-1.26%	0.021486	+62.40%	0.4940	✗	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.013459	-1.33%	0.024146	+77.02%	0.5909	✗	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.013417	-1.00%	0.026617	+96.40%	0.7038	✗	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.013607	-0.97%	0.033197	+141.61%	0.9158	✗	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.013267	-1.80%	0.014683	+8.68%	0.0711	✗	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.013562	-1.88%	0.01501	+8.60%	0.0724	✗	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.013265	-1.82%	0.013481	-0.22%	0.0128	✓	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.013528	-2.64%	0.01323	-4.78%	0.1098	✓	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.01349	-3.31%	0.01364	-2.23%	0.0797	✓	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.013007	-0.67%	0.013553	+3.49%	0.0790	✓	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.012946	-0.53%	0.01374	+5.57%	0.0394	✓	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.013193	-0.39%	0.01351	+2.01%	0.0300	✓	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.013921	-0.50%	0.013822	-1.20%	0.0551	✓	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.013948	-0.15%	0.01351	-3.28%	0.0751	✓	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.013917	+0.17%	0.013894	+0.01%	0.0007	✓	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.014063	+0.68%	0.013951	-0.12%	0.0185	✓	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.014285	+0.75%	0.013095	-7.64%	0.0529	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.015034	+0.73%	0.013015	-12.80%	0.1336	✗	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.01587	+0.84%	0.013244	-15.85%	0.1408	✗	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015833	+0.88%	0.01399	-10.86%	0.0944	✗	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016508	+0.85%	0.013969	-14.66%	0.1425	✗	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.016966	+1.04%	0.013893	-17.26%	0.1565	✗	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.017456	+0.32%	0.013968	-19.72%	0.2359	✗	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.017873	+0.46%	0.014179	-20.31%	0.2456	✗	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.018259	+0.63%	0.014925	-17.74%	0.2081	✗	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.017834	+0.56%	0.015738	-11.26%	0.1604	✗	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.017661	+0.60%	0.015695	-10.60%	0.1414	✗	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.018031	+0.67%	0.016369	-8.61%	0.1242	✗	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.017956	+0.93%	0.016792	-5.61%	0.0828	✗	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017388	+0.78%	0.0174	+0.85%	0.0288	✓	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018286	+0.56%	0.017791	-2.16%	0.0087	✗	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.018798	+0.43%	0.018144	-3.07%	0.0283	✗	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.020241	-0.52%	0.017735	-12.83%	0.1310	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.018269	+0.38%	0.017556	-3.54%	0.0611	✗	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.01766	+0.62%	0.017912	+2.05%	0.0231	✓	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017252	-0.22%	0.01779	+2.89%	0.1164	✓	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016701	-0.90%	0.017253	+2.37%	0.1699	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015713	-1.53%	0.018184	+13.96%	0.1726	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.017333	-1.85%	0.018718	+5.99%	0.2481	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.017403	-2.06%	0.020346	+14.50%	0.1923	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.017535	-2.07%	0.0182	+1.65%	0.2969	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.01748	-2.10%	0.017552	-1.70%	0.3582	✓	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.017147	-1.93%	0.017291	-1.11%	0.2350	✓	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.016936	-1.88%	0.016853	-2.36%	0.1446	✓	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.018037	-2.13%	0.015957	-13.42%	0.1503	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017658	-2.04%	0.01766	-2.02%	0.0140	✓	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.016929	-1.81%	0.01777	+3.07%	0.1022	✗	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016677	-1.90%	0.017905	+5.32%	0.1213	✗	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.017466	-1.93%	0.017855	+0.25%	0.0733	✗	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.017827	-2.26%	0.017485	-4.14%	0.0033	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.018053	-2.55%	0.01726	-6.83%	0.0133	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.017853	-2.89%	0.01843	+0.24%	0.0469	✗	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.016776	-2.86%	0.018025	+4.37%	0.0591	✗	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015686	-2.02%	0.01724	+7.68%	0.0563	✗	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014544	-1.83%	0.017	+14.75%	0.0964	✗	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.014909	-1.95%	0.01781	+17.13%	0.1203	✗	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016467	-3.14%	0.01824	+7.29%	0.1146	✗	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.015064	-2.06%	0.018525	+20.45%	0.1883	✗	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.014054	-1.79%	0.018385	+28.48%	0.2633	✗	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013355	-1.22%	0.01727	+27.74%	0.2630	✗	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.016771	-3.06%	0.01601	-7.46%	0.0031	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.012985	-0.50%	0.014815	+13.52%	0.1636	✗	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.014003	-0.80%	0.015205	+7.72%	0.1088	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.01354	-0.55%	0.017	+24.86%	0.2345	✗	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.013009	-0.39%	0.01538	+17.76%	0.2151	✗	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.012957	-0.33%	0.01431	+10.08%	0.1575	✗	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.015005	-0.76%	0.01352	-10.58%	0.0678	✓	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.015854	-0.88%	0.0173	+8.16%	0.0714	✗	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.0155	-0.71%	0.01305	-16.40%	0.1599	✓	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.01606	-0.71%	0.014115	-12.74%	0.1338	✓	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.018792	-1.20%	0.013615	-28.42%	0.3542	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.01925	-1.23%	0.01306	-32.99%	0.4219	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.020602	-1.47%	0.013	-37.83%	0.4980	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.019935	-1.24%	0.01512	-25.09%	0.3519	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.020463	-1.38%	0.015995	-22.92%	0.2707	✓	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.020255	-1.34%	0.01561	-23.96%	0.2869	✓	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.020654	-1.41%	0.016175	-22.79%	0.2384	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.019993	-1.25%	0.01902	-6.05%	0.0651	✓	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.019782	-1.07%	0.01949	-2.53%	0.0779	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.020743	-1.34%	0.02091	-0.55%	0.0340	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.021714	-1.70%	0.020185	-8.62%	0.0285	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.021039	-1.50%	0.02075	-2.86%	0.0178	✓	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.020127	-0.73%	0.02053	+1.26%	0.0030	✓	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.02106	-0.85%	0.02095	-1.37%	0.0451	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.022614	-1.10%	0.020245	-11.46%	0.1552	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.022711	-0.87%	0.019995	-12.72%	0.1892	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.023578	-1.06%	0.021025	-11.77%	0.2516	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.026385	-1.34%	0.02209	-17.41%	0.2824	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.025884	-1.00%	0.02136	-18.30%	0.3034	✓	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.025103	-0.68%	0.020275	-19.78%	0.2993	✓	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.026206	-1.03%	0.02124	-19.79%	0.2790	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.02517	-0.43%	0.022865	-9.55%	0.1442	✓	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.024097	-0.18%	0.02291	-5.10%	0.0213	✓	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.025342	-0.89%	0.02383	-6.80%	0.0578	✗	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.02897	-2.38%	0.026745	-9.87%	0.0229	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.029561	-2.50%	0.026145	-13.77%	0.0190	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.02951	-2.74%	0.025275	-16.69%	0.0357	✓	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.027136	-1.14%	0.02648	-3.53%	0.0663	✗	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.02618	-0.50%	0.02528	-3.91%	0.0457	✗	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.028171	-1.36%	0.02414	-15.48%	0.0688	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.028866	-1.72%	0.02557	-12.94%	0.0481	✓	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.029096	-1.77%	0.029675	+0.19%	0.0765	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.030174	-1.84%	0.03032	-1.37%	0.0662	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.031418	-1.83%	0.03034	-5.20%	0.0296	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.030638	-1.20%	0.02745	-11.48%	0.1083	✓	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.03008	-0.82%	0.02631	-13.25%	0.1169	✓	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.030931	-0.30%	0.02856	-7.95%	0.1597	✓	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.031378	-0.32%	0.02937	-6.70%	0.1692	✓	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.032141	-0.80%	0.02962	-8.58%	0.1672	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.034147	-1.48%	0.03074	-11.31%	0.1694	✓	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.037168	-1.80%	0.032005	-15.44%	0.2777	✓	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.028447	+1.63%	0.03101	+10.79%	0.0043	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.034064	-0.31%	0.03033	-11.24%	0.1123	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.037254	-0.97%	0.031025	-17.53%	0.1416	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.036262	-1.44%	0.03148	-14.43%	0.0639	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.040103	-4.08%	0.0324	-22.51%	0.0903	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.046541	-6.92%	0.03466	-30.68%	0.1444	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.060024	-11.12%	0.03785	-43.95%	0.2686	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.038064	-0.49%	0.02799	-26.82%	0.1233	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.036714	-0.15%	0.03417	-7.07%	0.0698	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.039	-0.46%	0.03762	-3.98%	0.1128	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.043856	-1.14%	0.03679	-17.06%	0.0468	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.050321	-2.22%	0.04181	-18.76%	0.1053	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.053367	-2.45%	0.05	-8.61%	0.0200	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.052264	-2.09%	0.06753	+26.51%	0.2946	✗	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.054869	-2.02%	0.03825	-31.70%	0.3329	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.052258	-2.42%	0.03677	-31.34%	0.2981	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.052197	-2.82%	0.03918	-27.05%	0.2452	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.060516	-2.54%	0.04436	-28.56%	0.2982	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.05948	-2.75%	0.051465	-15.86%	0.1487	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.072154	-2.77%	0.05471	-26.28%	0.2712	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.074391	-2.76%	0.05338	-30.22%	0.3131	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.091345	-2.88%	0.056	-40.46%	0.4425	✓	1.00