KAIA

Kaia · native · gru_s8

token id: #105
symbol: KAIA
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-10-30
predictions: 2,139

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

68.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1619

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0401

actual -0.0578

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04027	0.037497	-6.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.041885	0.039031	-6.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-19	oos	0.040865	0.037957	-7.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.041415	0.038564	-6.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.65
2026-10-17	oos	0.044045	0.040682	-7.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.04206	0.038941	-7.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-15	oos	0.04226	0.039004	-7.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.04303	0.039554	-8.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.046865	0.042534	-9.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.0451	0.041266	-8.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-11	oos	0.05169	0.046433	-10.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.05665	0.049389	-12.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.0605	0.051757	-14.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.03702	0.034478	-6.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.0382	0.035448	-7.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.03959	0.036843	-6.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-05	oos	0.040385	0.037675	-6.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-04	oos	0.03753	0.035499	-5.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.03741	0.03527	-5.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.03605	0.033996	-5.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-01	oos	0.036805	0.034663	-5.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-09-30	oos	0.034525	0.032674	-5.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-09-29	oos	0.033875	0.032102	-5.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-09-28	oos	0.032585	0.031001	-4.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-09-27	oos	0.03336	0.031664	-5.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-26	oos	0.03517	0.033183	-5.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-25	oos	0.034845	0.032771	-5.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-24	oos	0.033055	0.031189	-5.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.031735	0.030231	-4.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-09-22	oos	0.031995	0.030947	-3.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-09-21	oos	0.032695	0.031662	-3.16%	0.04027	+23.17%	0.3042	✗	1.38
2026-09-20	oos	0.030345	0.028962	-4.56%	0.041885	+38.03%	0.3390	✗	1.38
2026-09-19	oos	0.0305	0.028971	-5.01%	0.040865	+33.98%	0.3337	✗	1.39
2026-09-18	oos	0.02997	0.028436	-5.12%	0.041415	+38.19%	0.3568	✗	1.38
2026-09-17	oos	0.0288	0.026937	-6.47%	0.044045	+52.93%	0.4000	✗	1.44
2026-09-16	oos	0.02783	0.026547	-4.61%	0.04206	+51.13%	0.3628	✗	1.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.027105	0.02605	-3.89%	0.04226	+55.91%	0.3657	✗	1.42
2026-09-14	oos	0.02897	0.027909	-3.66%	0.04303	+48.53%	0.3738	✗	1.39
2026-09-13	oos	0.029265	0.028091	-4.01%	0.046865	+60.14%	0.4014	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.0292	0.028006	-4.09%	0.0451	+54.45%	0.3974	✗	1.40
2026-09-11	oos	0.02925	0.027953	-4.43%	0.05169	+76.72%	0.5012	✗	1.41
2026-09-10	oos	0.02735	0.026247	-4.03%	0.05665	+107.13%	0.6576	✗	1.40
2026-09-09	oos	0.03007	0.028995	-3.58%	0.0605	+101.20%	0.6639	✗	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.03181	0.030507	-4.10%	0.03702	+16.38%	0.1381	✗	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.031045	0.029867	-3.80%	0.0382	+23.05%	0.1746	✗	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.03147	0.030616	-2.71%	0.03959	+25.80%	0.1685	✗	1.41
2026-09-05	oos	0.03087	0.030153	-2.32%	0.040385	+30.82%	0.1919	✗	1.40
2026-09-04	oos	0.03047	0.029746	-2.38%	0.03753	+23.17%	0.1218	✗	1.35
2026-09-03	oos	0.030325	0.030137	-0.62%	0.03741	+23.36%	0.1586	✗	1.37
2026-09-02	oos	0.028055	0.027735	-1.14%	0.03605	+28.50%	0.1416	✗	1.35
2026-09-01	oos	0.02888	0.02837	-1.76%	0.036805	+27.44%	0.1350	✗	1.36
2026-08-31	oos	0.029425	0.029108	-1.08%	0.034525	+17.33%	0.0896	✗	1.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.02756	0.027169	-1.42%	0.033875	+22.91%	0.1260	✗	1.28
2026-08-29	oos	0.02883	0.028504	-1.13%	0.032585	+13.02%	0.0559	✗	1.21
2026-08-28	oos	0.028945	0.028807	-0.48%	0.03336	+15.25%	0.0480	✗	1.21
2026-08-27	oos	0.03171	0.031664	-0.15%	0.03517	+10.91%	0.0461	✗	1.17
2026-08-26	oos	0.032735	0.032345	-1.19%	0.034845	+6.45%	0.0007	✓	1.19
2026-08-25	oos	0.03205	0.031692	-1.12%	0.033055	+3.14%	0.0421	✓	1.17
2026-08-24	oos	0.030985	0.030864	-0.39%	0.031735	+2.42%	0.0500	✓	1.18
2026-08-23	oos	0.03155	0.031088	-1.46%	0.031995	+1.41%	0.0944	✓	1.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.031965	0.031237	-2.28%	0.032695	+2.28%	0.0936	✓	1.19
2026-08-21	oos	0.03001	0.029838	-0.57%	0.030345	+1.12%	0.0268	✓	1.23
2026-08-20	oos	0.02631	0.025727	-2.22%	0.0305	+15.93%	0.0510	✗	1.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.023895	0.023241	-2.74%	0.02997	+25.42%	0.0942	✗	1.04
2026-08-18	oos	0.021505	0.020823	-3.17%	0.0288	+33.92%	0.1688	✗	0.94
2026-08-17	oos	0.022885	0.022158	-3.18%	0.02783	+21.61%	0.0682	✗	0.96
2026-08-16	oos	0.022865	0.02199	-3.83%	0.027105	+18.54%	0.0285	✓	0.98
2026-08-15	oos	0.02387	0.022904	-4.05%	0.02897	+21.37%	0.0246	✓	0.98
2026-08-14	oos	0.02463	0.023579	-4.27%	0.029265	+18.82%	0.0277	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.025825	0.02478	-4.05%	0.0292	+13.07%	0.0215	✓	0.94
2026-08-12	oos	0.02619	0.02503	-4.43%	0.02925	+11.68%	0.0301	✓	0.94
2026-08-11	oos	0.02685	0.025588	-4.70%	0.02735	+1.86%	0.1082	✓	0.94
2026-08-10	oos	0.02669	0.025346	-5.03%	0.03007	+12.66%	0.0184	✓	0.93
2026-08-09	oos	0.02702	0.025632	-5.14%	0.03181	+17.73%	0.0373	✓	0.94
2026-08-08	oos	0.02723	0.025872	-4.99%	0.031045	+14.01%	0.0034	✓	0.94
2026-08-07	oos	0.02709	0.025801	-4.76%	0.03147	+16.17%	0.0047	✓	0.95
2026-08-06	oos	0.0267	0.025341	-5.09%	0.03087	+15.62%	0.0069	✓	0.94
2026-08-05	oos	0.02689	0.025555	-4.96%	0.03047	+13.31%	0.0230	✓	0.95
2026-08-04	oos	0.026835	0.025572	-4.71%	0.030325	+13.01%	0.0528	✓	0.94
2026-08-03	oos	0.02633	0.025051	-4.86%	0.028055	+6.55%	0.0704	✓	0.93
2026-08-02	oos	0.0263	0.025084	-4.62%	0.02888	+9.81%	0.0444	✓	0.94
2026-08-01	oos	0.02558	0.024444	-4.44%	0.029425	+15.03%	0.0230	✓	0.93
2026-07-31	oos	0.025195	0.024059	-4.51%	0.02756	+9.39%	0.0609	✓	0.93
2026-07-30	oos	0.026255	0.025096	-4.42%	0.02883	+9.81%	0.0356	✓	0.92
2026-07-29	oos	0.02592	0.024616	-5.03%	0.028945	+11.67%	0.0159	✓	0.90
2026-07-28	oos	0.02609	0.024571	-5.82%	0.03171	+21.54%	0.0496	✓	0.90
2026-07-27	oos	0.025815	0.024497	-5.11%	0.032735	+26.81%	0.0961	✗	0.90
2026-07-26	oos	0.030265	0.028701	-5.17%	0.03205	+5.90%	0.0352	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.02982	0.028373	-4.85%	0.030985	+3.91%	0.0738	✓	0.79
2026-07-24	oos	0.03133	0.029722	-5.13%	0.03155	+0.70%	0.0925	✓	0.79
2026-07-23	oos	0.031295	0.029957	-4.28%	0.031965	+2.14%	0.0701	✓	0.80
2026-07-22	oos	0.032075	0.030845	-3.83%	0.03001	-6.44%	0.1617	✓	0.79
2026-07-21	oos	0.03283	0.031453	-4.20%	0.02631	-19.86%	0.2521	✓	0.79
2026-07-20	oos	0.032295	0.030718	-4.88%	0.023895	-26.01%	0.2975	✓	0.76
2026-07-19	oos	0.03226	0.030519	-5.40%	0.021505	-33.34%	0.3501	✓	0.76
2026-07-18	oos	0.03293	0.031154	-5.39%	0.022885	-30.50%	0.3046	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.033005	0.031075	-5.85%	0.022865	-30.72%	0.2935	✓	0.80
2026-07-16	oos	0.03388	0.031825	-6.07%	0.02387	-29.55%	0.2780	✓	0.81
2026-07-15	oos	0.033825	0.031978	-5.46%	0.02463	-27.18%	0.2376	✓	0.86
2026-07-14	oos	0.0341	0.032359	-5.10%	0.025825	-24.27%	0.2045	✓	0.86
2026-07-13	oos	0.033925	0.031821	-6.20%	0.02619	-22.80%	0.2114	✓	0.91
2026-07-12	oos	0.035005	0.032733	-6.49%	0.02685	-23.30%	0.1951	✓	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.034775	0.032588	-6.29%	0.02669	-23.25%	0.2016	✓	0.88
2026-07-10	oos	0.0349	0.032568	-6.68%	0.02702	-22.58%	0.1965	✓	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.03361	0.031199	-7.17%	0.02723	-18.98%	0.1593	✓	0.86
2026-07-08	oos	0.033225	0.030826	-7.22%	0.02709	-18.47%	0.1650	✓	0.86
2026-07-07	oos	0.03386	0.031224	-7.78%	0.0267	-21.15%	0.1692	✓	0.86
2026-07-06	oos	0.03386	0.031363	-7.37%	0.02689	-20.58%	0.1620	✓	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.03527	0.03284	-6.89%	0.026835	-23.92%	0.2082	✓	0.85
2026-07-04	oos	0.03527	0.032635	-7.47%	0.02633	-25.35%	0.2198	✓	0.86
2026-07-03	oos	0.03542	0.032325	-8.74%	0.0263	-25.75%	0.2193	✓	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.03445	0.031922	-7.34%	0.02558	-25.75%	0.2384	✓	0.82
2026-07-01	oos	0.03365	0.031159	-7.40%	0.025195	-25.13%	0.2505	✓	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.03491	0.032427	-7.11%	0.026255	-24.79%	0.2953	✓	0.84
2026-06-29	oos	0.034985	0.032545	-6.98%	0.02592	-25.91%	0.2791	✓	0.85
2026-06-28	oos	0.034205	0.032097	-6.16%	0.02609	-23.72%	0.2686	✓	0.87
2026-06-27	oos	0.03374	0.031725	-5.97%	0.025815	-23.49%	0.2588	✓	0.87
2026-06-26	oos	0.034035	0.032076	-5.76%	0.030265	-11.08%	0.1318	✓	0.86
2026-06-25	oos	0.03287	0.031057	-5.52%	0.02982	-9.28%	0.1042	✓	0.86
2026-06-24	oos	0.033615	0.03184	-5.28%	0.03133	-6.80%	0.0600	✓	0.88
2026-06-23	oos	0.036615	0.034443	-5.93%	0.031295	-14.53%	0.1275	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.037115	0.034847	-6.11%	0.032075	-13.58%	0.1103	✓	0.83
2026-06-21	oos	0.035715	0.033815	-5.32%	0.03283	-8.08%	0.0711	✓	0.82
2026-06-20	oos	0.03611	0.034353	-4.87%	0.032295	-10.56%	0.0740	✓	0.80
2026-06-19	oos	0.03627	0.034265	-5.53%	0.03226	-11.06%	0.0754	✓	0.80
2026-06-18	oos	0.036305	0.034822	-4.08%	0.03293	-9.30%	0.0799	✓	0.80
2026-06-17	oos	0.03752	0.035599	-5.12%	0.033005	-12.03%	0.0688	✓	0.79
2026-06-16	oos	0.03773	0.035696	-5.39%	0.03388	-10.20%	0.0291	✓	0.81
2026-06-15	oos	0.03768	0.035509	-5.76%	0.033825	-10.23%	0.0292	✓	0.81
2026-06-14	oos	0.037605	0.035309	-6.11%	0.0341	-9.32%	0.0259	✓	0.81
2026-06-13	oos	0.03622	0.03426	-5.41%	0.033925	-6.34%	0.0176	✓	0.80
2026-06-12	oos	0.035945	0.033955	-5.54%	0.035005	-2.62%	0.0279	✓	0.80
2026-06-11	oos	0.0362	0.03444	-4.86%	0.034775	-3.94%	0.0070	✓	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.03395	0.032256	-4.99%	0.0349	+2.80%	0.0465	✓	0.76
2026-06-09	oos	0.0353	0.033711	-4.50%	0.03361	-4.79%	0.0210	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.03753	0.03616	-3.65%	0.033225	-11.47%	0.0750	✓	0.73
2026-06-07	oos	0.03645	0.035213	-3.39%	0.03386	-7.11%	0.0394	✓	0.78
2026-06-06	oos	0.03665	0.035384	-3.45%	0.03386	-7.61%	0.0849	✓	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	0.03783	0.036409	-3.76%	0.03527	-6.77%	0.0660	✓	0.83
2026-06-04	oos	0.04057	0.03874	-4.51%	0.03527	-13.06%	0.0849	✓	0.79
2026-06-03	oos	0.04371	0.041425	-5.23%	0.03542	-18.97%	0.1381	✓	0.77
2026-06-02	oos	0.04449	0.042	-5.60%	0.03445	-22.57%	0.1346	✓	0.79
2026-06-01	oos	0.04831	0.045647	-5.51%	0.03365	-30.35%	0.1860	✓	0.69
2026-05-31	oos	0.046525	0.044321	-4.74%	0.03491	-24.97%	0.0679	✓	0.75
2026-05-30	oos	0.048565	0.045941	-5.40%	0.034985	-27.96%	0.1261	✓	0.72
2026-05-29	oos	0.0488	0.046129	-5.47%	0.034205	-29.91%	0.1482	✓	0.72
2026-05-28	oos	0.048795	0.046267	-5.18%	0.03374	-30.85%	0.1699	✓	0.71
2026-05-27	oos	0.04745	0.045168	-4.81%	0.034035	-28.27%	0.1280	✓	0.72
2026-05-26	oos	0.048745	0.046611	-4.38%	0.03287	-32.57%	0.1774	✓	0.72
2026-05-25	oos	0.05025	0.048389	-3.70%	0.033615	-33.10%	0.1849	✓	0.76
2026-05-24	oos	0.05121	0.049149	-4.03%	0.036615	-28.50%	0.1381	✓	0.76
2026-05-23	oos	0.05229	0.050109	-4.17%	0.037115	-29.02%	0.1622	✓	0.76
2026-05-22	oos	0.05241	0.049981	-4.64%	0.035715	-31.85%	0.2003	✓	0.77
2026-05-21	oos	0.05381	0.051677	-3.96%	0.03611	-32.89%	0.2140	✓	0.77
2026-05-20	oos	0.05157	0.049703	-3.62%	0.03627	-29.67%	0.1622	✓	0.77
2026-05-19	oos	0.0499	0.048012	-3.78%	0.036305	-27.24%	0.1279	✓	0.76
2026-05-18	oos	0.051035	0.049	-3.99%	0.03752	-26.48%	0.1325	✓	0.76
2026-05-17	oos	0.05121	0.049042	-4.23%	0.03773	-26.32%	0.1373	✓	0.76
2026-05-16	oos	0.04589	0.044838	-2.29%	0.03768	-17.89%	0.0450	✓	0.79
2026-05-15	oos	0.04633	0.045627	-1.52%	0.037605	-18.83%	0.0446	✓	0.80
2026-05-14	oos	0.04779	0.047727	-0.13%	0.03622	-24.21%	0.0887	✓	0.81
2026-05-13	oos	0.047315	0.046937	-0.80%	0.035945	-24.03%	0.0883	✓	0.81
2026-05-12	oos	0.04733	0.047504	+0.37%	0.0362	-23.52%	0.0827	✗	0.80
2026-05-11	oos	0.048525	0.04909	+1.16%	0.03395	-30.04%	0.1500	✗	0.77
2026-05-10	oos	0.049455	0.050067	+1.24%	0.0353	-28.62%	0.1298	✗	0.77
2026-05-09	oos	0.04786	0.04809	+0.48%	0.03753	-21.58%	0.0617	✗	0.76
2026-05-08	oos	0.04894	0.048919	-0.04%	0.03645	-25.52%	0.1149	✓	0.76
2026-05-07	oos	0.0471	0.047091	-0.02%	0.03665	-22.19%	0.0415	✓	0.76
2026-05-06	oos	0.04704	0.047837	+1.69%	0.03783	-19.58%	0.0158	✓	0.87
2026-05-05	oos	0.04714	0.047802	+1.40%	0.04057	-13.94%	0.0517	✓	0.91
2026-05-04	oos	0.04624	0.046526	+0.62%	0.04371	-5.47%	0.1357	✓	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.04557	0.04565	+0.18%	0.04449	-2.37%	0.1242	✓	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.04565	0.045752	+0.22%	0.04831	+5.83%	0.1479	✓	0.95
2026-05-01	oos	0.04549	0.045564	+0.16%	0.046525	+2.28%	0.0793	✓	0.95
2026-04-30	oos	0.04543	0.044977	-1.00%	0.048565	+6.90%	0.1085	✗	0.94
2026-04-29	oos	0.04595	0.045257	-1.51%	0.0488	+6.20%	0.1055	✗	0.94
2026-04-28	oos	0.047225	0.046485	-1.57%	0.048795	+3.32%	0.0853	✗	0.98
2026-04-27	oos	0.047815	0.047393	-0.88%	0.04745	-0.76%	0.0407	✗	0.98
2026-04-26	oos	0.048465	0.048503	+0.08%	0.048745	+0.58%	0.0413	✓	0.98
2026-04-25	oos	0.048825	0.048397	-0.88%	0.05025	+2.92%	0.0426	✗	0.97
2026-04-24	oos	0.048445	0.047871	-1.18%	0.05121	+5.71%	0.0738	✗	1.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.048575	0.048175	-0.82%	0.05229	+7.65%	0.1032	✗	1.01
2026-04-22	oos	0.047775	0.047646	-0.27%	0.05241	+9.70%	0.1318	✗	1.02
2026-04-21	oos	0.04836	0.047492	-1.80%	0.05381	+11.27%	0.1089	✗	1.03
2026-04-20	oos	0.04868	0.047702	-2.01%	0.05157	+5.94%	0.0563	✗	1.03
2026-04-19	oos	0.04712	0.046127	-2.11%	0.0499	+5.90%	0.0378	✗	1.04
2026-04-18	oos	0.049175	0.048598	-1.17%	0.051035	+3.78%	0.0325	✗	1.04
2026-04-17	oos	0.051505	0.051026	-0.93%	0.05121	-0.57%	0.0006	✓	1.04
2026-04-16	oos	0.04826	0.0477	-1.16%	0.04589	-4.91%	0.0783	✓	1.03
2026-04-15	oos	0.047365	0.046865	-1.06%	0.04633	-2.19%	0.0680	✓	1.03
2026-04-14	oos	0.047	0.04634	-1.40%	0.04779	+1.68%	0.0612	✓	1.03
2026-04-13	oos	0.048025	0.047223	-1.67%	0.047315	-1.48%	0.0628	✓	1.03
2026-04-12	oos	0.046555	0.045216	-2.88%	0.04733	+1.66%	0.0894	✓	1.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.04747	0.046407	-2.24%	0.048525	+2.22%	0.0727	✓	1.05
2026-04-10	oos	0.04756	0.046345	-2.55%	0.049455	+3.98%	0.0596	✓	1.05
2026-04-09	oos	0.047155	0.045733	-3.01%	0.04786	+1.50%	0.0768	✓	1.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.046845	0.045493	-2.89%	0.04894	+4.47%	0.0536	✓	1.05
2026-04-07	oos	0.047935	0.046519	-2.95%	0.0471	-1.74%	0.0996	✓	1.05
2026-04-06	oos	0.046955	0.045209	-3.72%	0.04704	+0.18%	0.1394	✓	1.07
2026-04-05	oos	0.047035	0.045381	-3.52%	0.04714	+0.22%	0.1320	✓	1.07
2026-04-04	oos	0.04762	0.045618	-4.20%	0.04624	-2.90%	0.1742	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.049055	0.046761	-4.68%	0.04557	-7.10%	0.2027	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.049145	0.046587	-5.20%	0.04565	-7.11%	0.2000	✓	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.04795	0.045859	-4.36%	0.04549	-5.13%	0.1630	✓	1.12
2026-03-31	oos	0.046625	0.044634	-4.27%	0.04543	-2.56%	0.1076	✓	1.12
2026-03-30	oos	0.04476	0.042776	-4.43%	0.04595	+2.66%	0.0697	✓	1.11
2026-03-29	oos	0.044945	0.042876	-4.60%	0.047225	+5.07%	0.0662	✓	1.12
2026-03-28	oos	0.04481	0.04271	-4.69%	0.047815	+6.71%	0.0591	✓	1.12
2026-03-27	oos	0.04618	0.044014	-4.69%	0.048465	+4.95%	0.0938	✓	1.12
2026-03-26	oos	0.04903	0.046911	-4.32%	0.048825	-0.42%	0.0951	✓	1.11
2026-03-25	oos	0.05073	0.048758	-3.89%	0.048445	-4.50%	0.0987	✓	1.11
2026-03-24	oos	0.051635	0.049383	-4.36%	0.048575	-5.93%	0.1332	✓	1.12
2026-03-23	oos	0.051015	0.049058	-3.84%	0.047775	-6.35%	0.1367	✓	1.12
2026-03-22	oos	0.050285	0.048196	-4.15%	0.04836	-3.83%	0.1313	✓	1.14
2026-03-21	oos	0.050655	0.048566	-4.12%	0.04868	-3.90%	0.1075	✓	1.14
2026-03-20	oos	0.051575	0.049467	-4.09%	0.04712	-8.64%	0.1013	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.05155	0.04949	-4.00%	0.049175	-4.61%	0.0978	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.053645	0.05149	-4.02%	0.051505	-3.99%	0.0912	✓	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.05554	0.053585	-3.52%	0.04826	-13.11%	0.1240	✓	1.17
2026-03-16	oos	0.056025	0.054321	-3.04%	0.047365	-15.46%	0.1362	✓	1.19
2026-03-15	oos	0.054755	0.052682	-3.79%	0.047	-14.16%	0.1360	✓	1.19
2026-03-14	oos	0.05436	0.052344	-3.71%	0.048025	-11.65%	0.1391	✓	1.20
2026-03-13	oos	0.05408	0.052233	-3.42%	0.046555	-13.91%	0.1119	✓	1.20
2026-03-12	oos	0.054775	0.052777	-3.65%	0.04747	-13.34%	0.1488	✓	1.20
2026-03-11	oos	0.0551	0.053007	-3.80%	0.04756	-13.68%	0.1553	✓	1.20
2026-03-10	oos	0.055055	0.052847	-4.01%	0.047155	-14.35%	0.1451	✓	1.20
2026-03-09	oos	0.05061	0.048802	-3.57%	0.046845	-7.44%	0.0860	✓	1.19
2026-03-08	oos	0.049545	0.047614	-3.90%	0.047935	-3.25%	0.0961	✓	1.19
2026-03-07	oos	0.05329	0.05117	-3.98%	0.046955	-11.89%	0.1136	✓	1.18
2026-03-06	oos	0.052835	0.050778	-3.89%	0.047035	-10.98%	0.0920	✓	1.18
2026-03-05	oos	0.0539	0.051902	-3.71%	0.04762	-11.65%	0.0238	✓	1.20
2026-03-04	oos	0.05495	0.052732	-4.04%	0.049055	-10.73%	0.0262	✓	1.20
2026-03-03	oos	0.0539	0.051754	-3.98%	0.049145	-8.82%	0.0251	✓	1.25
2026-03-02	oos	0.055295	0.052968	-4.21%	0.04795	-13.28%	0.0865	✓	1.24
2026-03-01	oos	0.05467	0.052464	-4.03%	0.046625	-14.72%	0.1640	✓	1.26
2026-02-28	oos	0.05555	0.053284	-4.08%	0.04476	-19.42%	0.1700	✓	1.24
2026-02-27	oos	0.055635	0.053322	-4.16%	0.044945	-19.21%	0.1728	✓	1.25
2026-02-26	oos	0.056585	0.054255	-4.12%	0.04481	-20.81%	0.1693	✓	1.25
2026-02-25	oos	0.05706	0.054794	-3.97%	0.04618	-19.07%	0.1404	✓	1.25
2026-02-24	oos	0.053045	0.050893	-4.06%	0.04903	-7.57%	0.1259	✓	1.25
2026-02-23	oos	0.05339	0.051238	-4.03%	0.05073	-4.98%	0.1310	✓	1.23
2026-02-22	oos	0.055435	0.053266	-3.91%	0.051635	-6.85%	0.0834	✓	1.24
2026-02-21	oos	0.05691	0.054656	-3.96%	0.051015	-10.36%	0.1210	✓	1.24
2026-02-20	oos	0.05648	0.054302	-3.86%	0.050285	-10.97%	0.0743	✓	1.24
2026-02-19	oos	0.055895	0.053777	-3.79%	0.050655	-9.37%	0.0952	✓	1.24
2026-02-18	oos	0.056555	0.05436	-3.88%	0.051575	-8.81%	0.1271	✓	1.25
2026-02-17	oos	0.05746	0.055211	-3.91%	0.05155	-10.29%	0.1126	✓	1.23
2026-02-16	oos	0.058155	0.05604	-3.64%	0.053645	-7.76%	0.0858	✓	1.24
2026-02-15	oos	0.057145	0.055107	-3.57%	0.05554	-2.81%	0.0812	✓	1.24
2026-02-14	oos	0.06086	0.058335	-4.15%	0.056025	-7.94%	0.1271	✓	1.23
2026-02-13	oos	0.05754	0.055234	-4.01%	0.054755	-4.84%	0.0779	✓	1.22
2026-02-12	oos	0.056635	0.054327	-4.07%	0.05436	-4.02%	0.0898	✓	1.24
2026-02-11	oos	0.05547	0.053288	-3.93%	0.05408	-2.51%	0.0560	✓	1.25
2026-02-10	oos	0.05428	0.052151	-3.92%	0.054775	+0.91%	0.0177	✓	1.27
2026-02-09	oos	0.055225	0.052899	-4.21%	0.0551	-0.23%	0.0389	✓	1.27
2026-02-08	oos	0.055525	0.053135	-4.31%	0.055055	-0.85%	0.0413	✓	1.27
2026-02-07	oos	0.055175	0.052799	-4.31%	0.05061	-8.27%	0.0273	✓	1.28
2026-02-06	oos	0.05691	0.054057	-5.01%	0.049545	-12.94%	0.0025	✓	1.27
2026-02-05	oos	0.049765	0.047981	-3.59%	0.05329	+7.08%	0.0164	✓	1.29
2026-02-04	oos	0.05809	0.054852	-5.57%	0.052835	-9.05%	0.0640	✗	1.46
2026-02-03	oos	0.05907	0.055584	-5.90%	0.0539	-8.75%	0.0656	✗	1.48
2026-02-02	oos	0.06336	0.059047	-6.81%	0.05495	-13.27%	0.0459	✓	1.49
2026-02-01	oos	0.05406	0.050797	-6.03%	0.0539	-0.30%	0.2275	✗	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.05533	0.051622	-6.70%	0.055295	-0.06%	0.2656	✗	1.48
2026-01-30	oos	0.057685	0.053864	-6.62%	0.05467	-5.23%	0.4012	✗	1.57
2026-01-29	oos	0.057685	0.053575	-7.12%	0.05555	-3.70%	0.4022	✗	1.57
2026-01-28	oos	0.06564	0.060848	-7.30%	0.055635	-15.24%	0.3687	✗	1.51
2026-01-27	oos	0.0742	0.067453	-9.09%	0.056585	-23.74%	0.2497	✗	1.53
2026-01-26	oos	0.072245	0.06529	-9.63%	0.05706	-21.02%	0.2585	✗	1.51
2026-01-25	oos	0.07789	0.069053	-11.35%	0.053045	-31.90%	0.2091	✗	1.57
2026-01-24	oos	0.09534	0.081663	-14.35%	0.05339	-44.00%	0.0434	✓	1.46
2026-01-23	oos	0.07218	0.065238	-9.62%	0.055435	-23.20%	0.2474	✗	1.46
2026-01-22	oos	0.05231	0.049498	-5.37%	0.05691	+8.79%	0.5354	✗	1.44
2026-01-21	oos	0.052375	0.049608	-5.28%	0.05648	+7.84%	0.5231	✗	1.44
2026-01-20	oos	0.0505	0.0478	-5.35%	0.055895	+10.68%	0.5530	✗	1.43
2026-01-19	oos	0.05454	0.051675	-5.25%	0.056555	+3.69%	0.5639	✗	1.43
2026-01-18	oos	0.05534	0.052472	-5.18%	0.05746	+3.83%	0.5562	✗	1.42
2026-01-17	oos	0.05924	0.056245	-5.05%	0.058155	-1.83%	0.4853	✗	1.40
2026-01-16	oos	0.05968	0.056594	-5.17%	0.057145	-4.25%	0.4709	✗	1.41
2026-01-15	oos	0.06045	0.057201	-5.37%	0.06086	+0.68%	0.5045	✗	1.41
2026-01-14	oos	0.06351	0.060089	-5.39%	0.05754	-9.40%	0.4377	✗	1.40
2026-01-13	oos	0.06458	0.060726	-5.97%	0.056635	-12.30%	0.4485	✗	1.42
2026-01-12	oos	0.060695	0.056547	-6.83%	0.05547	-8.61%	0.4165	✗	1.42
2026-01-11	oos	0.063625	0.058875	-7.47%	0.05428	-14.69%	0.3170	✗	1.43
2026-01-10	oos	0.06391	0.058801	-7.99%	0.055225	-13.59%	0.3037	✗	1.44
2026-01-09	oos	0.065735	0.060103	-8.57%	0.055525	-15.53%	0.2864	✗	1.44
2026-01-08	oos	0.066905	0.060753	-9.20%	0.055175	-17.53%	0.2922	✗	1.42
2026-01-07	oos	0.06723	0.061507	-8.51%	0.05691	-15.35%	0.3723	✗	1.74
2026-01-06	oos	0.07016	0.063803	-9.06%	0.049765	-29.07%	0.4519	✗	1.75
2026-01-05	oos	0.06713	0.06229	-7.21%	0.05809	-13.47%	0.3676	✗	1.74
2026-01-04	oos	0.06232	0.057164	-8.27%	0.05907	-5.22%	0.3600	✗	1.72
2026-01-03	oos	0.05887	0.05484	-6.85%	0.06336	+7.63%	0.3854	✗	1.71
2026-01-02	oos	0.05862	0.054548	-6.95%	0.05406	-7.78%	0.2581	✗	1.70
2026-01-01	oos	0.05654	0.053028	-6.21%	0.05533	-2.14%	0.2468	✗	1.69
2025-12-31	oos	0.055285	0.051913	-6.10%	0.057685	+4.34%	0.1718	✗	1.68
2025-12-30	oos	0.05597	0.052723	-5.80%	0.057685	+3.06%	0.1651	✗	1.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.05549	0.052436	-5.50%	0.06564	+18.29%	0.1863	✗	1.65
2025-12-28	oos	0.05652	0.053454	-5.42%	0.0742	+31.28%	0.3049	✗	1.65
2025-12-27	oos	0.05792	0.054928	-5.17%	0.072245	+24.73%	0.2659	✗	1.63
2025-12-26	oos	0.055645	0.053706	-3.48%	0.07789	+39.98%	0.3854	✗	1.62
2025-12-25	oos	0.05553	0.053716	-3.27%	0.09534	+71.69%	0.5387	✗	1.62
2025-12-24	oos	0.057815	0.056098	-2.97%	0.07218	+24.85%	0.2179	✗	1.62
2025-12-23	oos	0.058405	0.056701	-2.92%	0.05231	-10.44%	0.1168	✓	1.57
2025-12-22	oos	0.059805	0.058132	-2.80%	0.052375	-12.42%	0.1185	✓	1.57
2025-12-21	oos	0.05937	0.057962	-2.37%	0.0505	-14.94%	0.1320	✓	1.57
2025-12-20	oos	0.060085	0.058633	-2.42%	0.05454	-9.23%	0.1465	✓	1.58
2025-12-19	oos	0.060155	0.058858	-2.16%	0.05534	-8.00%	0.1582	✓	1.58
2025-12-18	oos	0.055325	0.054388	-1.69%	0.05924	+7.08%	0.0806	✓	1.55
2025-12-17	oos	0.06288	0.061267	-2.57%	0.05968	-5.09%	0.1836	✓	1.54
2025-12-16	oos	0.071135	0.06871	-3.41%	0.06045	-15.02%	0.2550	✓	1.50
2025-12-15	oos	0.07128	0.068788	-3.50%	0.06351	-10.90%	0.2541	✓	1.51
2025-12-14	oos	0.07386	0.071209	-3.59%	0.06458	-12.56%	0.2170	✓	1.52
2025-12-13	oos	0.07598	0.073468	-3.31%	0.060695	-20.12%	0.2066	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	0.07473	0.072608	-2.84%	0.063625	-14.86%	0.1420	✓	1.52
2025-12-11	oos	0.07647	0.074609	-2.43%	0.06391	-16.42%	0.1185	✓	1.53
2025-12-10	oos	0.07613	0.074524	-2.11%	0.065735	-13.65%	0.1000	✓	1.53
2025-12-09	oos	0.07899	0.077062	-2.44%	0.066905	-15.30%	0.1137	✓	1.52
2025-12-08	oos	0.07802	0.076143	-2.41%	0.06723	-13.83%	0.1350	✓	1.52
2025-12-07	oos	0.07829	0.076182	-2.69%	0.07016	-10.38%	0.1371	✓	1.52
2025-12-06	oos	0.078055	0.076295	-2.25%	0.06713	-14.00%	0.2050	✓	1.53
2025-12-05	oos	0.07697	0.075383	-2.06%	0.06232	-19.03%	0.2268	✓	1.54
2025-12-04	oos	0.080285	0.078548	-2.16%	0.05887	-26.67%	0.2631	✓	1.54
2025-12-03	oos	0.080975	0.079313	-2.05%	0.05862	-27.61%	0.2433	✓	1.55
2025-12-02	oos	0.07936	0.077853	-1.90%	0.05654	-28.76%	0.2754	✓	1.56
2025-12-01	oos	0.0755	0.074397	-1.46%	0.055285	-26.77%	0.3194	✓	1.61
2025-11-30	oos	0.07825	0.077014	-1.58%	0.05597	-28.47%	0.2827	✓	1.65
2025-11-29	oos	0.078775	0.077489	-1.63%	0.05549	-29.56%	0.2651	✓	1.65
2025-11-28	oos	0.07946	0.07817	-1.62%	0.05652	-28.87%	0.2685	✓	1.65
2025-11-27	oos	0.08123	0.079762	-1.81%	0.05792	-28.70%	0.2554	✓	1.65
2025-11-26	oos	0.08201	0.080671	-1.63%	0.055645	-32.15%	0.3124	✓	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.081745	0.080307	-1.76%	0.05553	-32.07%	0.3659	✓	1.71
2025-11-24	oos	0.08123	0.079745	-1.83%	0.057815	-28.83%	0.3088	✓	1.71
2025-11-23	oos	0.07965	0.078212	-1.81%	0.058405	-26.67%	0.3042	✓	1.71
2025-11-22	oos	0.07711	0.075976	-1.47%	0.059805	-22.44%	0.3162	✓	1.72
2025-11-21	oos	0.076	0.074998	-1.32%	0.05937	-21.88%	0.3043	✓	1.72
2025-11-20	oos	0.079975	0.078608	-1.71%	0.060085	-24.87%	0.3036	✓	1.71
2025-11-19	oos	0.083305	0.081551	-2.11%	0.060155	-27.79%	0.2374	✓	1.78
2025-11-18	oos	0.085825	0.083895	-2.25%	0.055325	-35.54%	0.2673	✓	1.78
2025-11-17	oos	0.084675	0.082851	-2.15%	0.06288	-25.74%	0.1576	✓	1.79
2025-11-16	oos	0.087205	0.085196	-2.30%	0.071135	-18.43%	0.0551	✓	1.80
2025-11-15	oos	0.087915	0.085853	-2.35%	0.07128	-18.92%	0.0045	✓	1.81
2025-11-14	oos	0.086695	0.08482	-2.16%	0.07386	-14.80%	0.0128	✓	1.81
2025-11-13	oos	0.093305	0.091275	-2.18%	0.07598	-18.57%	0.0012	✓	1.85
2025-11-12	oos	0.097945	0.095852	-2.14%	0.07473	-23.70%	0.0306	✓	1.84
2025-11-11	oos	0.098925	0.096862	-2.09%	0.07647	-22.70%	0.0465	✓	1.77
2025-11-10	oos	0.104335	0.102163	-2.08%	0.07613	-27.03%	0.0447	✓	1.77
2025-11-09	oos	0.10086	0.098877	-1.97%	0.07899	-21.68%	0.0087	✓	1.77
2025-11-08	oos	0.1009	0.098695	-2.19%	0.07802	-22.68%	0.0174	✓	1.80
2025-11-07	oos	0.0989	0.096938	-1.98%	0.07829	-20.84%	0.0218	✗	1.77
2025-11-06	oos	0.090015	0.088527	-1.65%	0.078055	-13.29%	0.0927	✗	1.73
2025-11-05	oos	0.091255	0.089858	-1.53%	0.07697	-15.65%	0.1083	✗	1.75
2025-11-04	oos	0.085255	0.08441	-0.99%	0.080285	-5.83%	0.1173	✗	1.73
2025-11-03	oos	0.092745	0.091828	-0.99%	0.080975	-12.69%	0.1016	✗	1.73
2025-11-02	oos	0.104155	0.102824	-1.28%	0.07936	-23.81%	0.0619	✗	1.68
2025-11-01	oos	0.105	0.10348	-1.45%	0.0755	-28.10%	0.0969	✗	1.69
2025-10-31	oos	0.103525	0.102336	-1.15%	0.07825	-24.41%	0.0553	✗	1.68
2025-10-30	oos	0.101955	0.100727	-1.20%	0.078775	-22.74%	0.0507	✗	1.68
2025-10-29	oos	0.107075	0.105497	-1.47%	0.07946	-25.79%	0.0366	✗	1.68
2025-10-28	oos	0.108125	0.106661	-1.35%	0.08123	-24.87%	0.0920	✗	1.72
2025-10-27	oos	0.110265	0.10847	-1.63%	0.08201	-25.62%	0.1188	✗	1.72
2025-10-26	oos	0.111155	0.109116	-1.83%	0.081745	-26.46%	0.1774	✗	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.108175	0.106136	-1.88%	0.08123	-24.91%	0.1421	✗	1.74
2025-10-24	oos	0.108975	0.106441	-2.33%	0.07965	-26.91%	0.1393	✗	1.74
2025-10-23	oos	0.108495	0.105624	-2.65%	0.07711	-28.93%	0.1441	✗	1.75
2025-10-22	oos	0.104775	0.101673	-2.96%	0.076	-27.46%	0.1187	✗	1.74
2025-10-21	oos	0.105805	0.102306	-3.31%	0.079975	-24.41%	0.1465	✗	1.75
2025-10-20	oos	0.10745	0.103464	-3.71%	0.083305	-22.47%	0.1215	✗	1.78
2025-10-19	oos	0.106295	0.102044	-4.00%	0.085825	-19.26%	0.1065	✗	1.78
2025-10-18	oos	0.103095	0.098726	-4.24%	0.084675	-17.87%	0.1169	✗	1.78
2025-10-17	oos	0.102195	0.097738	-4.36%	0.087205	-14.67%	0.1031	✗	1.77
2025-10-16	oos	0.106325	0.101438	-4.60%	0.087915	-17.31%	0.0768	✗	1.77
2025-10-15	oos	0.110215	0.105237	-4.52%	0.086695	-21.34%	0.0860	✗	1.76
2025-10-14	oos	0.113465	0.108605	-4.28%	0.093305	-17.77%	0.0729	✗	1.77
2025-10-13	oos	0.118965	0.11391	-4.25%	0.097945	-17.67%	0.0713	✗	1.77
2025-10-12	oos	0.11111	0.106224	-4.40%	0.098925	-10.97%	0.1222	✗	1.75
2025-10-11	oos	0.105225	0.100081	-4.89%	0.104335	-0.85%	0.1192	✗	1.76
2025-10-10	oos	0.103165	0.098153	-4.86%	0.10086	-2.23%	0.1633	✗	1.79
2025-10-09	oos	0.139145	0.134757	-3.15%	0.1009	-27.49%	0.0794	✓	1.21
2025-10-08	oos	0.143215	0.139127	-2.85%	0.0989	-30.94%	0.1311	✓	1.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.142045	0.137225	-3.39%	0.090015	-36.63%	0.2084	✓	1.18
2025-10-06	oos	0.150835	0.146444	-2.91%	0.091255	-39.50%	0.2665	✓	1.13
2025-10-05	oos	0.149505	0.144714	-3.20%	0.085255	-42.98%	0.3077	✓	1.13
2025-10-04	oos	0.150845	0.145251	-3.71%	0.092745	-38.52%	0.2912	✓	1.13
2025-10-03	oos	0.154465	0.148357	-3.95%	0.104155	-32.57%	0.2391	✓	1.13
2025-10-02	oos	0.155515	0.148821	-4.30%	0.105	-32.48%	0.2439	✓	1.14
2025-10-01	oos	0.155355	0.147959	-4.76%	0.103525	-33.36%	0.2621	✓	1.19
2025-09-30	oos	0.151005	0.143056	-5.26%	0.101955	-32.48%	0.2753	✓	1.22
2025-09-29	oos	0.153365	0.14491	-5.51%	0.107075	-30.18%	0.2548	✓	1.24
2025-09-28	oos	0.154735	0.145625	-5.89%	0.108125	-30.12%	0.3057	✓	1.27
2025-09-27	oos	0.151745	0.142459	-6.12%	0.110265	-27.34%	0.3077	✓	1.31
2025-09-26	oos	0.153365	0.143293	-6.57%	0.111155	-27.52%	0.3106	✓	1.31
2025-09-25	oos	0.14934	0.13911	-6.85%	0.108175	-27.56%	0.2825	✓	1.30
2025-09-24	oos	0.151035	0.142872	-5.40%	0.108975	-27.85%	0.2424	✓	1.38
2025-09-23	oos	0.150805	0.142429	-5.55%	0.108495	-28.06%	0.2481	✓	1.40
2025-09-22	oos	0.151295	0.14271	-5.67%	0.104775	-30.75%	0.2457	✓	1.35
2025-09-21	oos	0.162385	0.152929	-5.82%	0.105805	-34.84%	0.2875	✓	1.31
2025-09-20	oos	0.156835	0.148329	-5.42%	0.10745	-31.49%	0.2564	✓	1.44
2025-09-19	oos	0.156755	0.148205	-5.45%	0.106295	-32.19%	0.2440	✓	1.41
2025-09-18	oos	0.15924	0.150721	-5.35%	0.103095	-35.26%	0.2529	✓	1.44
2025-09-17	oos	0.160025	0.151037	-5.62%	0.102195	-36.14%	0.2652	✓	1.39

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.