HMM

Thinking Cat · Robinhood · gru_s8

token id: #766
symbol: HMM
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-12
predictions: 189

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

67.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2589

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0510

actual -0.1307

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.007225	0.007025	-2.76%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-21	oos	0.007181	0.007024	-2.18%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-20	oos	0.006935	0.006818	-1.69%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.006911	0.006811	-1.45%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.007476	0.007321	-2.08%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.008448	0.008185	-3.11%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-16	oos	0.008892	0.00857	-3.62%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-15	oos	0.008617	0.008308	-3.58%	0.007225	-16.16%	0.2251	✓	3.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.009034	0.008679	-3.93%	0.007181	-20.52%	0.2903	✓	3.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.008849	0.008486	-4.09%	0.006935	-21.63%	0.1950	✓	3.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.008725	0.008394	-3.79%	0.006911	-20.79%	0.1985	✓	3.48
2026-10-11	oos	0.009124	0.008718	-4.45%	0.007476	-18.06%	0.0821	✓	3.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.010989	0.010396	-5.40%	0.008448	-23.13%	0.1409	✓	3.58
2026-10-09	oos	0.010006	0.009472	-5.34%	0.008892	-11.13%	0.0176	✓	3.58
2026-10-08	oos	0.008488	0.008143	-4.07%	0.008617	+1.52%	0.0379	✓	3.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.010855	0.010205	-5.99%	0.009034	-16.78%	0.0509	✓	3.43
2026-10-06	oos	0.012157	0.011368	-6.49%	0.008849	-27.22%	0.1512	✓	3.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.011895	0.011098	-6.70%	0.008725	-26.65%	0.0754	✓	3.45
2026-10-04	oos	0.013768	0.012832	-6.79%	0.009124	-33.73%	0.2277	✓	3.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.014797	0.013694	-7.45%	0.010989	-25.73%	0.1442	✓	3.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.013097	0.012086	-7.71%	0.010006	-23.60%	0.1071	✓	3.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.014907	0.013654	-8.41%	0.008488	-43.06%	0.3445	✓	3.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.011815	0.010849	-8.17%	0.010855	-8.13%	0.0119	✓	3.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.012816	0.011668	-8.96%	0.012157	-5.14%	0.0346	✓	3.37
2026-09-28	oos	0.010778	0.009937	-7.80%	0.011895	+10.37%	0.0879	✗	3.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.011668	0.010662	-8.62%	0.013768	+17.99%	0.1744	✗	3.39
2026-09-26	oos	0.014306	0.012914	-9.73%	0.014797	+3.43%	0.1232	✗	3.36
2026-09-25	oos	0.013554	0.012167	-10.23%	0.013097	-3.38%	0.0572	✓	3.36
2026-09-24	oos	0.009953	0.009231	-7.26%	0.014907	+49.77%	0.4602	✗	3.50
2026-09-23	oos	0.009004	0.008543	-5.12%	0.011815	+31.22%	0.3588	✗	3.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.009465	0.00883	-6.71%	0.012816	+35.41%	0.4815	✗	3.61
2026-09-21	oos	0.012424	0.011203	-9.83%	0.010778	-13.25%	0.0910	✓	3.51
2026-09-20	oos	0.01087	0.01013	-6.81%	0.011668	+7.35%	0.0040	✓	3.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.011822	0.010855	-8.18%	0.014306	+21.02%	0.1364	✗	3.63
2026-09-18	oos	0.016224	0.014412	-11.17%	0.013554	-16.46%	0.2021	✓	3.61
2026-09-17	oos	0.011992	0.011307	-5.72%	0.009953	-17.00%	0.4546	✓	3.27
2026-09-16	oos	0.012992	0.012107	-6.81%	0.009004	-30.70%	0.6310	✓	3.26
2026-09-15	oos	0.011416	0.011019	-3.48%	0.009465	-17.09%	0.5785	✓	3.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.009685	0.0096	-0.89%	0.012424	+28.27%	0.1439	✓	3.93
2026-09-13	oos	0.008004	0.00805	+0.58%	0.01087	+35.81%	0.0896	✓	3.82
2026-09-12	oos	0.010047	0.010024	-0.23%	0.011822	+17.66%	0.0212	✓	3.71
2026-09-11	oos	0.01206	0.011873	-1.55%	0.016224	+34.53%	0.1420	✗	3.67
2026-09-10	oos	0.010417	0.010327	-0.86%	0.011992	+15.13%	0.1519	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.0096	0.009397	-2.11%	0.012992	+35.34%	0.3517	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.012026	0.011739	-2.39%	0.011416	-5.07%	0.0093	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.012792	0.012428	-2.85%	0.009685	-24.28%	0.2376	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.015676	0.015138	-3.43%	0.008004	-48.95%	0.5923	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.022874	0.021898	-4.26%	0.010047	-56.08%	0.7464	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.018372	0.017657	-3.89%	0.01206	-34.36%	0.3498	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.024546	0.023557	-4.03%	0.010417	-57.56%	0.7561	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.019138	0.018314	-4.31%	0.0096	-49.84%	0.6585	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.021014	0.02014	-4.16%	0.012026	-42.77%	0.5291	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.025262	0.024212	-4.16%	0.012792	-49.36%	0.6447	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.026994	0.025643	-5.01%	0.015676	-41.93%	0.5260	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.022167	0.021201	-4.36%	0.022874	+3.19%	0.0557	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.014283	0.013854	-3.01%	0.018372	+28.63%	0.2590	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.016661	0.016291	-2.22%	0.024546	+47.33%	0.3977	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.02285	0.022068	-3.42%	0.019138	-16.25%	0.1205	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.019711	0.019143	-2.88%	0.021014	+6.61%	0.1077	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.018916	0.018415	-2.65%	0.025262	+33.55%	0.3215	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.01615	0.015781	-2.28%	0.026994	+67.15%	0.5376	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.013719	0.01348	-1.74%	0.022167	+61.58%	0.4822	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.013329	0.013155	-1.30%	0.014283	+7.16%	0.0885	✗	1.00