HMM

Thinking Cat · Robinhood · gru_s8

token id: #766
symbol: HMM
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-12
predictions: 186

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 62 predictions shown

direction hit

55.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1385

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0085

actual -0.0145

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00679	0.006781	-0.14%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.006935	0.006925	-0.14%	0.00679	-2.08%	0.0098	✓	3.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.006911	0.006907	-0.06%	0.006935	+0.35%	0.0407	✓	3.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.007476	0.00746	-0.22%	0.006911	-7.56%	0.0695	✓	3.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.008448	0.008404	-0.52%	0.007476	-11.50%	0.1427	✓	3.36
2026-10-16	oos	0.008892	0.008834	-0.65%	0.008448	-5.00%	0.0398	✓	3.36
2026-10-15	oos	0.008617	0.008567	-0.58%	0.008892	+3.20%	0.0631	✗	3.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.009034	0.008972	-0.68%	0.008617	-4.62%	0.0635	✓	3.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.008849	0.008788	-0.68%	0.009034	+2.10%	0.0925	✗	3.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.008725	0.008676	-0.56%	0.008849	+1.42%	0.0377	✓	3.48
2026-10-11	oos	0.009124	0.009062	-0.68%	0.008725	-4.37%	0.0451	✗	3.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.010989	0.010876	-1.04%	0.009124	-16.98%	0.2086	✓	3.58
2026-10-09	oos	0.010006	0.009915	-0.91%	0.010989	+9.83%	0.0871	✗	3.58
2026-10-08	oos	0.008488	0.008444	-0.52%	0.010006	+17.88%	0.1329	✗	3.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.010855	0.010745	-1.01%	0.008488	-21.81%	0.1701	✓	3.43
2026-10-06	oos	0.012157	0.012012	-1.20%	0.010855	-10.71%	0.0091	✓	3.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.011895	0.011755	-1.18%	0.012157	+2.20%	0.0421	✗	3.45
2026-10-04	oos	0.013768	0.013578	-1.38%	0.011895	-13.60%	0.1023	✓	3.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.014797	0.014565	-1.57%	0.013768	-6.95%	0.1278	✓	3.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.013097	0.01291	-1.42%	0.014797	+12.98%	0.1266	✗	3.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.014907	0.014634	-1.83%	0.013097	-12.15%	0.0970	✓	3.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.011815	0.011654	-1.36%	0.014907	+26.17%	0.1943	✗	3.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.012816	0.012593	-1.74%	0.011815	-7.81%	0.0605	✓	3.37
2026-09-28	oos	0.010778	0.010655	-1.13%	0.012816	+18.92%	0.1773	✗	3.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.011668	0.011507	-1.38%	0.010778	-7.63%	0.0248	✓	3.39
2026-09-26	oos	0.014306	0.014052	-1.78%	0.011668	-18.44%	0.1877	✓	3.36
2026-09-25	oos	0.013554	0.013291	-1.94%	0.014306	+5.55%	0.0607	✗	3.36
2026-09-24	oos	0.009953	0.009866	-0.88%	0.013554	+36.18%	0.3297	✗	3.50
2026-09-23	oos	0.009004	0.008964	-0.45%	0.009953	+10.54%	0.1044	✗	3.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.009465	0.009406	-0.63%	0.009004	-4.87%	0.0334	✗	3.61
2026-09-21	oos	0.012424	0.012243	-1.46%	0.009465	-23.81%	0.2412	✓	3.51
2026-09-20	oos	0.01087	0.010802	-0.62%	0.012424	+14.30%	0.0965	✓	3.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.011822	0.011728	-0.79%	0.01087	-8.05%	0.0728	✓	3.63
2026-09-18	oos	0.016224	0.015912	-1.92%	0.011822	-27.14%	0.3131	✓	3.61
2026-09-17	oos	0.011992	0.011943	-0.41%	0.016224	+35.29%	0.1182	✗	3.27
2026-09-16	oos	0.012992	0.012907	-0.65%	0.011992	-7.70%	0.0823	✓	3.26
2026-09-15	oos	0.011416	0.011401	-0.13%	0.012992	+13.81%	0.1066	✗	3.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.009685	0.009698	+0.13%	0.011416	+17.87%	0.2955	✓	3.93
2026-09-13	oos	0.008004	0.008018	+0.18%	0.009685	+21.02%	0.1213	✓	3.82
2026-09-12	oos	0.010047	0.010066	+0.19%	0.008004	-20.34%	0.2070	✗	3.71
2026-09-11	oos	0.01206	0.01206	+0.00%	0.010047	-16.69%	0.1852	✗	3.67
2026-09-10	oos	0.010417	0.010421	+0.05%	0.01206	+15.77%	0.1373	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.0096	0.009584	-0.16%	0.010417	+8.51%	0.1059	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.012026	0.011992	-0.28%	0.0096	-20.18%	0.2205	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.012792	0.012742	-0.39%	0.012026	-5.99%	0.0496	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.015676	0.015583	-0.60%	0.012792	-18.40%	0.1817	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.022874	0.022626	-1.08%	0.015676	-31.46%	0.3733	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.018372	0.018242	-0.71%	0.022874	+24.50%	0.2243	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.024546	0.024252	-1.20%	0.018372	-25.15%	0.2579	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.019138	0.018997	-0.73%	0.024546	+28.26%	0.2063	✗	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.021014	0.020842	-0.82%	0.019138	-8.93%	0.0841	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.025262	0.02496	-1.20%	0.021014	-16.82%	0.1572	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.026994	0.026471	-1.94%	0.025262	-6.42%	0.0582	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.022167	0.021787	-1.71%	0.026994	+21.78%	0.2216	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.014283	0.014226	-0.40%	0.022167	+55.20%	0.4385	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.016661	0.016578	-0.50%	0.014283	-14.27%	0.1182	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.02285	0.022535	-1.38%	0.016661	-27.09%	0.3177	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.019711	0.019497	-1.09%	0.02285	+15.93%	0.1524	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.018916	0.018686	-1.22%	0.019711	+4.20%	0.0592	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.01615	0.015983	-1.04%	0.018916	+17.13%	0.1525	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.013719	0.013626	-0.68%	0.01615	+17.72%	0.1612	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.013329	0.013233	-0.72%	0.013719	+2.93%	0.0524	✗	1.00