HMM
Thinking Cat · Robinhood · gru_s8
- token id
- #766
- symbol
- HMM
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-12
- predictions
- 189
Track record at +30d
assessed
33
of 63 predictions shown
direction hit
97.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3796
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0931
actual -0.4630
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.007225 | 0.006843 | -5.29% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.007181 | 0.006874 | -4.27% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.006935 | 0.006653 | -4.07% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006911 | 0.006621 | -4.19% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.007476 | 0.007109 | -4.91% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.008448 | 0.007902 | -6.47% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.008892 | 0.008245 | -7.28% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.008617 | 0.007985 | -7.33% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.009034 | 0.008319 | -7.92% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.008849 | 0.008134 | -8.08% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.008725 | 0.008022 | -8.06% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.009124 | 0.008325 | -8.76% | – | pending | – | – | 3.55 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.010989 | 0.009883 | -10.07% | – | pending | – | – | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.010006 | 0.008974 | -10.31% | – | pending | – | – | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.008488 | 0.007703 | -9.25% | – | pending | – | – | 3.54 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.010855 | 0.009596 | -11.60% | – | pending | – | – | 3.43 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.012157 | 0.010689 | -12.08% | – | pending | – | – | 3.44 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.011895 | 0.010405 | -12.53% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.013768 | 0.012073 | -12.31% | – | pending | – | – | 3.41 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.014797 | 0.012837 | -13.24% | – | pending | – | – | 3.47 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.013097 | 0.011267 | -13.97% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014907 | 0.012764 | -14.38% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.011815 | 0.010065 | -14.81% | – | pending | – | – | 3.38 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.012816 | 0.010826 | -15.53% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.010778 | 0.009207 | -14.57% | – | pending | – | – | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.011668 | 0.009858 | -15.52% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.014306 | 0.01193 | -16.61% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.013554 | 0.011235 | -17.11% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.009953 | 0.00861 | -13.50% | – | pending | – | – | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.009004 | 0.007993 | -11.23% | – | pending | – | – | 3.53 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.009465 | 0.008268 | -12.65% | 0.007225 | -23.67% | 0.0510 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.012424 | 0.01038 | -16.45% | 0.007181 | -42.20% | 0.2626 | ✓ | 3.51 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.01087 | 0.009348 | -13.99% | 0.006935 | -36.20% | 0.3777 | ✓ | 3.65 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.011822 | 0.009972 | -15.64% | 0.006911 | -41.54% | 0.3936 | ✓ | 3.63 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.016224 | 0.013204 | -18.61% | 0.007476 | -53.92% | 0.6189 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.011992 | 0.010388 | -13.37% | 0.008448 | -29.55% | 0.4153 | ✓ | 3.27 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.012992 | 0.011118 | -14.42% | 0.008892 | -31.55% | 0.4450 | ✓ | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.011416 | 0.010114 | -11.40% | 0.008617 | -24.52% | 0.4295 | ✓ | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.009685 | 0.008849 | -8.64% | 0.009034 | -6.73% | 0.1461 | ✓ | 3.93 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.008004 | 0.007404 | -7.49% | 0.008849 | +10.56% | 0.1226 | ✓ | 3.82 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.010047 | 0.009261 | -7.83% | 0.008725 | -13.16% | 0.2689 | ✓ | 3.71 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.01206 | 0.010986 | -8.90% | 0.009124 | -24.34% | 0.4810 | ✓ | 3.67 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.010417 | 0.009519 | -8.61% | 0.010989 | +5.50% | 0.0636 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.0096 | 0.008612 | -10.29% | 0.010006 | +4.23% | 0.0971 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.012026 | 0.010855 | -9.73% | 0.008488 | -29.42% | 0.2865 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.012792 | 0.011533 | -9.84% | 0.010855 | -15.14% | 0.1122 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.015676 | 0.014248 | -9.11% | 0.012157 | -22.45% | 0.2214 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.022874 | 0.020959 | -8.37% | 0.011895 | -47.99% | 0.6379 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.018372 | 0.016748 | -8.84% | 0.013768 | -25.06% | 0.2782 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.024546 | 0.022722 | -7.43% | 0.014797 | -39.72% | 0.4708 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.019138 | 0.017327 | -9.46% | 0.013097 | -31.57% | 0.3689 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.021014 | 0.019161 | -8.82% | 0.014907 | -29.06% | 0.3430 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.025262 | 0.023271 | -7.88% | 0.011815 | -53.23% | 0.7395 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.026994 | 0.024726 | -8.40% | 0.012816 | -52.52% | 0.7312 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.022167 | 0.020589 | -7.12% | 0.010778 | -51.38% | 0.7119 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.014283 | 0.013359 | -6.47% | 0.011668 | -18.31% | 0.2170 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.016661 | 0.015958 | -4.22% | 0.014306 | -14.13% | 0.1596 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.02285 | 0.021639 | -5.30% | 0.013554 | -40.68% | 0.5300 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.019711 | 0.018858 | -4.33% | 0.009953 | -49.51% | 0.7110 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.018916 | 0.018293 | -3.29% | 0.009004 | -52.40% | 0.7749 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.01615 | 0.015761 | -2.41% | 0.009465 | -41.39% | 0.6133 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.013719 | 0.013541 | -1.30% | 0.012424 | -9.44% | 0.2029 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.013329 | 0.013381 | +0.39% | 0.01087 | -18.45% | 0.2435 | ✗ | 1.00 |