GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s8

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

144

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

59.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0812

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0230

actual -0.0284

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.301439	-1.84%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.300741	-1.62%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.29602	-1.38%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.298579	-1.26%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.296092	-1.19%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.301932	-1.20%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.296947	-1.17%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.314165	-1.47%	0.3071	-3.69%	0.0223	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.31344	-1.31%	0.3057	-3.75%	0.0251	✓	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.324116	-1.62%	0.30015	-8.89%	0.0768	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.330331	-1.66%	0.3024	-9.97%	0.0887	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.339558	-1.86%	0.29965	-13.40%	0.1248	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.336328	-1.89%	0.3056	-10.85%	0.0956	✓	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.315868	-1.69%	0.30045	-6.49%	0.0501	✓	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.318527	-1.69%	0.31885	-1.59%	0.0010	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.322294	-1.63%	0.3176	-3.07%	0.0152	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.322641	-1.77%	0.32945	+0.30%	0.0215	✗	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.314922	-1.51%	0.3359	+5.05%	0.0652	✗	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.319425	-1.82%	0.346	+6.35%	0.0806	✗	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.320529	-1.96%	0.3428	+4.85%	0.0678	✗	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.312435	-1.86%	0.3213	+0.93%	0.0293	✗	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.316359	-1.93%	0.324	+0.43%	0.0240	✗	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.313344	-1.91%	0.32765	+2.57%	0.0440	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.310637	-1.95%	0.32845	+3.68%	0.0549	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.322544	-2.02%	0.31975	-2.87%	0.0090	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.335096	-2.23%	0.32535	-5.08%	0.0296	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.340836	-2.34%	0.32695	-6.32%	0.0417	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.346004	-2.47%	0.31835	-10.26%	0.0834	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.334131	-2.47%	0.3226	-5.84%	0.0349	✓	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.342134	-2.93%	0.31945	-9.36%	0.0691	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.348493	-2.89%	0.3168	-11.72%	0.0954	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.358387	-4.35%	0.3292	-12.14%	0.0885	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.331117	-2.86%	0.34275	+0.56%	0.0310	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.329544	-3.13%	0.349	+2.59%	0.0536	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.344737	-4.37%	0.35475	-1.60%	0.0074	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.299365	-1.00%	0.3426	+13.29%	0.1116	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.300655	-0.97%	0.35245	+16.09%	0.1187	✗	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.296808	-0.67%	0.35885	+20.10%	0.1538	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.293528	-0.65%	0.3747	+26.82%	0.2248	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.295452	-0.54%	0.34085	+14.74%	0.1266	✗	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.30232	-0.60%	0.3402	+11.85%	0.1005	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.286345	-0.26%	0.3605	+25.57%	0.2312	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.288395	-0.05%	0.3024	+4.80%	0.0576	✗	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.303205	-0.25%	0.3036	-0.12%	0.0147	✗	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.292265	+0.02%	0.2988	+2.26%	0.0264	✓	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.296533	+0.11%	0.29545	-0.25%	0.0131	✓	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.300244	-0.04%	0.29705	-1.10%	0.0015	✗	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.293138	-0.06%	0.30415	+3.70%	0.0531	✗	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.29246	+0.42%	0.2871	-1.42%	0.0140	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.286218	+0.11%	0.28855	+0.93%	0.0020	✓	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.277938	+0.23%	0.30395	+9.61%	0.0826	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.284686	+0.35%	0.2922	+3.00%	0.0224	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.282411	+0.23%	0.2962	+5.13%	0.0395	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.285382	+0.31%	0.30035	+5.57%	0.0463	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.283342	+0.24%	0.2933	+3.77%	0.0289	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.305695	+0.39%	0.29125	-4.35%	0.0508	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.307383	+0.04%	0.2859	-6.95%	0.0675	✗	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.308582	+0.09%	0.2773	-10.06%	0.1032	✗	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.312771	+0.05%	0.2837	-9.25%	0.0964	✗	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.323269	-0.23%	0.28175	-13.04%	0.1373	✓	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.332642	-0.53%	0.2845	-14.92%	0.1593	✓	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.339773	-0.46%	0.28265	-17.20%	0.1828	✓	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.307309	-1.22%	0.3045	-2.12%	0.0145	✓	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.322739	-1.93%	0.30725	-6.64%	0.0310	✓	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.355624	-2.42%	0.3083	-15.41%	0.1594	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.358866	-2.42%	0.3126	-15.00%	0.1583	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.355542	-2.44%	0.324	-11.10%	0.1125	✓	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.362535	-2.62%	0.3344	-10.18%	0.0981	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.359355	-2.51%	0.34135	-7.39%	0.0753	✓	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.382426	-2.72%	0.3111	-20.86%	0.2186	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.365575	-2.77%	0.3291	-12.47%	0.1124	✓	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.361509	-3.05%	0.36445	-2.27%	0.0066	✓	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.353024	-3.00%	0.36775	+1.04%	0.0401	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.336299	-2.54%	0.36445	+5.62%	0.0839	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.337096	-2.64%	0.3723	+7.52%	0.1026	✗	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.332637	-2.62%	0.3686	+7.90%	0.1059	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.329742	-2.63%	0.3931	+16.08%	0.1771	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.348133	-2.84%	0.376	+4.94%	0.0788	✗	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.338947	-3.03%	0.3729	+6.68%	0.0962	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.332361	-3.13%	0.36395	+6.08%	0.0902	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.318909	-2.76%	0.34505	+5.21%	0.0772	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.31258	-2.77%	0.34625	+7.70%	0.1002	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.319001	-2.95%	0.3416	+3.92%	0.0664	✗	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.321658	-2.79%	0.33865	+2.34%	0.0519	✗	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.320522	-2.68%	0.3583	+8.79%	0.1108	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.339989	-2.86%	0.34955	-0.13%	0.0275	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.357043	-2.91%	0.3431	-6.70%	0.0396	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.364837	-2.93%	0.32795	-12.74%	0.1049	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.35826	-3.37%	0.3215	-13.28%	0.1071	✓	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.352356	-2.58%	0.3287	-9.12%	0.0687	✓	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.344041	-2.46%	0.3309	-6.18%	0.0387	✓	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.346721	-2.48%	0.32935	-7.37%	0.0496	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.35184	-3.17%	0.35	-3.67%	0.0031	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.317321	-2.03%	0.36775	+13.54%	0.1461	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.310759	-1.89%	0.37585	+18.66%	0.1909	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.312895	-1.99%	0.37075	+16.13%	0.1691	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.317982	-2.10%	0.3617	+11.36%	0.1290	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.325564	-2.16%	0.3527	+6.00%	0.0812	✗	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.325671	-2.17%	0.35555	+6.80%	0.0890	✗	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.325604	-1.70%	0.36335	+9.69%	0.1110	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.321589	-1.67%	0.3239	-0.96%	0.0119	✓	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.332686	-1.69%	0.31675	-6.40%	0.0472	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.339419	-1.67%	0.31925	-7.52%	0.0592	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.34196	-1.64%	0.3248	-6.57%	0.0520	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.342533	-1.68%	0.33275	-4.49%	0.0277	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.348795	-1.90%	0.3329	-6.37%	0.0419	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.367908	-1.84%	0.33125	-11.62%	0.1010	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.369632	-1.82%	0.32705	-13.13%	0.1266	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.374522	-1.89%	0.3384	-11.36%	0.1011	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.380068	-1.97%	0.3452	-10.96%	0.0947	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.376428	-1.97%	0.34765	-9.47%	0.0756	✓	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.380853	-2.04%	0.3484	-10.39%	0.0850	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.386236	-2.14%	0.35555	-9.92%	0.0776	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.38656	-2.06%	0.3748	-5.04%	0.0189	✓	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.385131	-2.21%	0.3765	-4.41%	0.0135	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.370619	-2.03%	0.38175	+0.91%	0.0429	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.369613	-2.05%	0.3877	+2.74%	0.0580	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.382209	-2.16%	0.384	-1.70%	0.0125	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.382876	-2.15%	0.3888	-0.64%	0.0210	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.37256	-2.19%	0.3947	+3.62%	0.0549	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.381968	-2.33%	0.3947	+0.92%	0.0192	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.390115	-2.46%	0.39385	-1.53%	0.0038	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.400548	-2.54%	0.3783	-7.96%	0.0693	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.405792	-2.66%	0.37735	-9.49%	0.0869	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.391652	-2.66%	0.39065	-2.91%	0.0170	✓	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.362538	-2.65%	0.3913	+5.08%	0.0582	✗	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.403374	-2.80%	0.3809	-8.22%	0.0842	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.414857	-2.91%	0.3911	-8.47%	0.0828	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.422647	-3.00%	0.39995	-8.21%	0.0737	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.477533	-3.24%	0.411	-16.72%	0.1653	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.433954	-3.06%	0.4169	-6.87%	0.0369	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.440741	-3.12%	0.40235	-11.56%	0.0901	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.457012	-3.26%	0.3724	-21.17%	0.1939	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.455457	-3.32%	0.415	-11.91%	0.1407	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.438053	-3.24%	0.4273	-5.61%	0.0866	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.447347	-3.53%	0.4357	-6.04%	0.0761	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.449963	-3.79%	0.4935	+5.52%	0.0551	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.392698	-3.16%	0.44765	+10.39%	0.0738	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.42137	-3.27%	0.45495	+4.44%	0.0364	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.414357	-3.66%	0.4724	+9.83%	0.1349	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.46011	-4.06%	0.4711	-1.77%	0.0649	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.484107	-4.89%	0.4527	-11.06%	0.0105	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.425272	-4.71%	0.4637	+3.90%	0.2095	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.429814	-4.72%	0.4677	+3.68%	0.2349	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.452707	-5.04%	0.4055	-14.94%	0.0824	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.430479	-5.09%	0.4356	-3.96%	0.1959	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.586585	-6.57%	0.4301	-31.50%	0.1687	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.663968	-6.83%	0.4796	-32.70%	0.1765	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.622486	-7.14%	0.509	-24.07%	0.0724	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.594258	-6.58%	0.4463	-29.84%	0.2064	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.664318	-8.12%	0.4511	-37.61%	0.3419	✓	1.00