GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s8

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 456

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

151

of 152 predictions shown

direction hit

55.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0339

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0057

actual -0.0047

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.3105	0.308934	-0.50%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-21	oos	0.3103	0.308912	-0.45%	0.3105	+0.06%	0.0053	✗	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.304383	-0.43%	0.3103	+1.50%	0.0205	✗	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.2991	-0.35%	0.3057	+1.85%	0.0231	✗	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.301477	-0.31%	0.30015	-0.74%	0.0045	✓	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.298842	-0.27%	0.3024	+0.92%	0.0121	✗	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.304842	-0.25%	0.29965	-1.95%	0.0172	✓	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.299784	-0.22%	0.3056	+1.71%	0.0189	✗	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.317744	-0.35%	0.30045	-5.77%	0.0557	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.316737	-0.27%	0.31885	+0.39%	0.0061	✗	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.328096	-0.41%	0.3176	-3.60%	0.0322	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.334545	-0.40%	0.32945	-1.92%	0.0158	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.344315	-0.49%	0.3359	-2.92%	0.0249	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.341163	-0.48%	0.346	+0.93%	0.0140	✗	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.32014	-0.36%	0.3428	+6.69%	0.0684	✗	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.322921	-0.33%	0.3213	-0.83%	0.0051	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.326737	-0.28%	0.324	-1.11%	0.0089	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.327439	-0.31%	0.32765	-0.24%	0.0007	✓	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.319177	-0.18%	0.32845	+2.72%	0.0288	✗	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.324342	-0.31%	0.31975	-1.72%	0.0149	✓	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.325791	-0.35%	0.32535	-0.49%	0.0014	✓	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.317434	-0.29%	0.32695	+2.70%	0.0297	✗	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.321556	-0.32%	0.31835	-1.32%	0.0106	✓	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.318448	-0.31%	0.3226	+0.99%	0.0130	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.315773	-0.32%	0.31945	+0.84%	0.0115	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.328177	-0.31%	0.3168	-3.77%	0.0352	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.341543	-0.35%	0.3292	-3.95%	0.0368	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.347733	-0.36%	0.34275	-1.79%	0.0145	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.353368	-0.39%	0.349	-1.62%	0.0124	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.341017	-0.46%	0.35475	+3.55%	0.0395	✗	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.349892	-0.73%	0.3426	-2.79%	0.0214	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.356236	-0.73%	0.35245	-1.78%	0.0107	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.368488	-1.66%	0.35885	-4.23%	0.0322	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.337552	-0.97%	0.3747	+9.93%	0.1045	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.335926	-1.26%	0.34085	+0.19%	0.0141	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.352501	-2.22%	0.3402	-5.63%	0.0477	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.301459	-0.31%	0.3605	+19.21%	0.1783	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.302723	-0.29%	0.3024	-0.40%	0.0033	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.298442	-0.12%	0.3036	+1.61%	0.0290	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.295078	-0.13%	0.2988	+1.13%	0.0063	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.296851	-0.07%	0.29545	-0.54%	0.0028	✓	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.304001	-0.05%	0.29705	-2.33%	0.0234	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.287368	+0.09%	0.30415	+5.94%	0.0536	✓	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.289118	+0.20%	0.2871	-0.50%	0.0013	✓	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.304291	+0.11%	0.28855	-5.07%	0.0524	✗	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.292811	+0.21%	0.30395	+4.02%	0.0403	✓	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.296902	+0.24%	0.2922	-1.35%	0.0101	✗	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.300887	+0.18%	0.2962	-1.38%	0.0181	✗	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.293948	+0.22%	0.30035	+2.40%	0.0205	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.292349	+0.38%	0.2933	+0.70%	0.0139	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.286826	+0.32%	0.29125	+1.87%	0.0090	✗	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.278366	+0.38%	0.2859	+3.10%	0.0273	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.284832	+0.40%	0.2773	-2.26%	0.0187	✗	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.282803	+0.37%	0.2837	+0.69%	0.0004	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.285565	+0.37%	0.28175	-0.97%	0.0117	✗	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.283645	+0.35%	0.2845	+0.65%	0.0018	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.305605	+0.36%	0.28265	-7.18%	0.0720	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.308119	+0.28%	0.3045	-0.90%	0.0153	✗	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.309313	+0.33%	0.30725	-0.34%	0.0083	✗	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.313579	+0.31%	0.3083	-1.38%	0.0157	✗	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.324804	+0.25%	0.3126	-3.52%	0.0415	✗	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.334915	+0.15%	0.324	-3.11%	0.0348	✗	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.341796	+0.13%	0.3344	-2.04%	0.0186	✗	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.310694	-0.13%	0.34135	+9.72%	0.0901	✗	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.32759	-0.46%	0.3111	-5.47%	0.0444	✓	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.361734	-0.75%	0.3291	-9.70%	0.1004	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.36507	-0.73%	0.36445	-0.90%	0.0020	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.361882	-0.70%	0.36775	+0.91%	0.0137	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.36936	-0.79%	0.36445	-2.11%	0.0131	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.366	-0.71%	0.3723	+1.00%	0.0170	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.389895	-0.82%	0.3686	-6.23%	0.0555	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.372799	-0.85%	0.3931	+4.55%	0.0530	✗	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.369054	-1.03%	0.376	+0.83%	0.0188	✗	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.360203	-1.03%	0.3729	+2.46%	0.0351	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.342254	-0.81%	0.36395	+5.48%	0.0631	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.343147	-0.90%	0.34505	-0.35%	0.0056	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.338585	-0.88%	0.34625	+1.36%	0.0224	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.335762	-0.85%	0.3416	+0.87%	0.0162	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.354817	-0.97%	0.33865	-5.48%	0.0461	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.345769	-1.08%	0.3583	+2.50%	0.0348	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.339173	-1.14%	0.34955	+1.88%	0.0294	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.324953	-0.91%	0.3431	+4.62%	0.0544	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.318648	-0.89%	0.32795	+2.01%	0.0281	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.325509	-0.97%	0.3215	-2.19%	0.0123	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.327396	-1.06%	0.3287	-0.66%	0.0058	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.32634	-0.91%	0.3309	+0.47%	0.0131	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.346577	-0.98%	0.32935	-5.90%	0.0510	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.363893	-1.05%	0.35	-4.83%	0.0391	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.371399	-1.18%	0.36775	-2.16%	0.0083	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.365155	-1.51%	0.37585	+1.38%	0.0281	✗	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.357958	-1.03%	0.37075	+2.50%	0.0350	✗	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.349021	-1.04%	0.3617	+2.55%	0.0365	✗	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.351622	-1.10%	0.3527	-0.80%	0.0039	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.357374	-1.64%	0.35555	-2.15%	0.0048	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.32061	-1.02%	0.36335	+12.18%	0.1263	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.313979	-0.87%	0.3239	+2.26%	0.0317	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.316093	-0.99%	0.31675	-0.78%	0.0020	✓	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.321882	-0.90%	0.31925	-1.71%	0.0073	✓	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.329823	-0.88%	0.3248	-2.39%	0.0152	✓	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.329911	-0.90%	0.33275	-0.05%	0.0077	✓	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.329098	-0.65%	0.3329	+0.50%	0.0112	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.325653	-0.43%	0.33125	+1.28%	0.0215	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.336943	-0.43%	0.32705	-3.35%	0.0329	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.344051	-0.33%	0.3384	-1.97%	0.0166	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.346834	-0.23%	0.3452	-0.70%	0.0054	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.34779	-0.17%	0.34765	-0.22%	0.0016	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.354915	-0.18%	0.3484	-2.01%	0.0167	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.373973	-0.22%	0.35555	-5.14%	0.0532	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.375649	-0.23%	0.3748	-0.45%	0.0039	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.380828	-0.24%	0.3765	-1.38%	0.0104	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.386706	-0.26%	0.38175	-1.53%	0.0118	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.383108	-0.23%	0.3877	+0.96%	0.0133	✗	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.387912	-0.23%	0.384	-1.23%	0.0076	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.393861	-0.21%	0.3888	-1.49%	0.0095	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.393951	-0.19%	0.3947	+0.00%	0.0056	✗	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.392929	-0.23%	0.3947	+0.22%	0.0004	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.377641	-0.17%	0.39385	+4.11%	0.0443	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.376591	-0.20%	0.3783	+0.25%	0.0030	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.389661	-0.25%	0.37735	-3.40%	0.0323	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.390321	-0.25%	0.39065	-0.17%	0.0018	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.379925	-0.26%	0.3913	+2.73%	0.0260	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.389807	-0.33%	0.3809	-2.61%	0.0285	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.398326	-0.41%	0.3911	-2.21%	0.0228	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.409229	-0.43%	0.39995	-2.69%	0.0207	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.414789	-0.51%	0.411	-1.42%	0.0124	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.4005	-0.46%	0.4169	+3.62%	0.0431	✗	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.371103	-0.35%	0.40235	+8.04%	0.0841	✗	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.412658	-0.56%	0.3724	-10.27%	0.1146	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.424428	-0.67%	0.415	-2.88%	0.0317	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.432483	-0.74%	0.4273	-1.93%	0.0172	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.489139	-0.88%	0.4357	-11.71%	0.1122	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.444336	-0.74%	0.4935	+10.24%	0.0853	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.451636	-0.73%	0.44765	-1.60%	0.0228	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.468551	-0.81%	0.45495	-3.69%	0.0291	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.467504	-0.76%	0.4724	+0.28%	0.0234	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.449487	-0.71%	0.4711	+4.06%	0.0508	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.459822	-0.84%	0.4527	-2.37%	0.0065	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.463456	-0.91%	0.4637	-0.86%	0.0043	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.403491	-0.50%	0.4677	+15.34%	0.1082	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.433148	-0.56%	0.4055	-6.91%	0.0630	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.427018	-0.72%	0.4356	+1.28%	0.0643	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.475325	-0.89%	0.4301	-10.32%	0.0963	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.502275	-1.32%	0.4796	-5.78%	0.0061	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.441017	-1.18%	0.509	+14.05%	0.2109	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.44544	-1.25%	0.4463	-1.06%	0.0331	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.469976	-1.42%	0.4511	-5.38%	0.0383	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.446826	-1.48%	0.47675	+5.12%	0.0593	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.614717	-2.09%	0.45355	-27.76%	0.3021	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.697077	-2.19%	0.62785	-11.90%	0.0937	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.653264	-2.55%	0.71265	+6.31%	0.1071	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.62085	-2.40%	0.67035	+5.38%	0.0953	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.697536	-3.53%	0.6361	-12.03%	0.0957	✓	1.00