GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s8

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

121

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

79.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1115

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0552

actual -0.0865

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.291342	-5.13%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.292084	-4.45%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.288043	-4.03%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.291419	-3.63%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.288498	-3.72%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.294728	-3.56%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.290491	-3.31%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.305898	-4.06%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.305805	-3.71%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.314661	-4.49%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.321571	-4.27%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.329924	-4.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.326782	-4.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.307381	-4.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.310513	-4.16%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.315207	-3.80%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.315296	-4.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.309403	-3.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.312406	-3.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.313168	-4.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.305991	-3.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.309507	-4.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.306288	-4.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.303919	-4.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.315366	-4.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.32718	-4.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.332915	-4.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.33851	-4.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.329149	-3.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.340835	-3.30%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.347144	-3.26%	0.3071	-14.42%	0.1226	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.349669	-6.68%	0.3057	-18.41%	0.1363	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.325776	-4.42%	0.30015	-11.94%	0.0826	✓	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.325426	-4.34%	0.3024	-11.11%	0.0747	✓	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.33536	-6.97%	0.29965	-16.88%	0.1261	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.293006	-3.11%	0.3056	+1.06%	0.0267	✓	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.294227	-3.09%	0.30045	-1.04%	0.0045	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.292741	-2.03%	0.31885	+6.71%	0.0705	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.288864	-2.23%	0.3176	+7.50%	0.0672	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.291256	-1.95%	0.32945	+10.91%	0.1049	✗	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.298566	-1.84%	0.3359	+10.44%	0.0875	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.282907	-1.46%	0.346	+20.52%	0.1726	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.28676	-0.62%	0.3428	+18.80%	0.1590	✗	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.300888	-1.01%	0.3213	+5.71%	0.0511	✗	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.29133	-0.30%	0.324	+10.88%	0.0874	✗	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.296734	+0.18%	0.32765	+10.62%	0.0758	✓	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.300044	-0.10%	0.32845	+9.36%	0.0638	✗	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.293494	+0.07%	0.31975	+9.02%	0.0433	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.296467	+1.79%	0.32535	+11.71%	0.0702	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.288474	+0.90%	0.32695	+14.36%	0.0819	✓	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.281217	+1.41%	0.31835	+14.80%	0.0774	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.288261	+1.61%	0.3226	+13.71%	0.0792	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.285787	+1.43%	0.31945	+13.38%	0.0935	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.289808	+1.87%	0.3168	+11.35%	0.0736	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.287894	+1.86%	0.3292	+16.47%	0.1144	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.312239	+2.54%	0.34275	+12.56%	0.0832	✓	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.312799	+1.81%	0.349	+13.59%	0.0956	✓	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.315253	+2.26%	0.35475	+15.07%	0.0996	✓	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.32026	+2.45%	0.3426	+9.60%	0.0530	✓	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.329814	+1.79%	0.35245	+8.78%	0.0457	✓	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.33756	+0.95%	0.35885	+7.31%	0.0384	✓	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.346274	+1.44%	0.3747	+9.77%	0.0717	✓	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.306653	-1.43%	0.34085	+9.56%	0.0997	✗	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.316054	-3.96%	0.3402	+3.37%	0.0950	✗	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.343771	-5.67%	0.3605	-1.08%	0.0334	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.347093	-5.62%	0.3024	-17.77%	0.1544	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.342953	-5.90%	0.3036	-16.70%	0.1389	✓	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.349901	-6.02%	0.2988	-19.74%	0.1764	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.346601	-5.97%	0.29545	-19.85%	0.1814	✓	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.368511	-6.26%	0.29705	-24.43%	0.2326	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.352319	-6.30%	0.30415	-19.11%	0.1632	✓	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.34857	-6.52%	0.2871	-23.01%	0.2092	✓	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.340236	-6.52%	0.28855	-20.72%	0.1821	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.324058	-6.08%	0.30395	-11.91%	0.0851	✓	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.324413	-6.31%	0.2922	-15.61%	0.1264	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.320067	-6.30%	0.2962	-13.29%	0.1007	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.316983	-6.40%	0.30035	-11.31%	0.0764	✓	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.334481	-6.65%	0.2933	-18.14%	0.1521	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.325267	-6.95%	0.29125	-16.68%	0.1314	✓	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.318425	-7.19%	0.2859	-16.67%	0.1232	✓	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.305503	-6.84%	0.2773	-15.44%	0.1116	✓	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.298301	-7.22%	0.2837	-11.76%	0.0641	✓	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.304183	-7.46%	0.28175	-14.28%	0.0900	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.308504	-6.77%	0.2845	-14.02%	0.0929	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.306685	-6.88%	0.28265	-14.18%	0.0931	✓	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.324848	-7.19%	0.3045	-13.00%	0.0798	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.341437	-7.16%	0.30725	-16.45%	0.1217	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.351348	-6.52%	0.3083	-17.97%	0.1418	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.344454	-7.09%	0.3126	-15.68%	0.1070	✓	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.338378	-6.45%	0.324	-10.42%	0.0514	✓	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.331722	-5.95%	0.3344	-5.19%	0.0014	✓	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.335666	-5.59%	0.34135	-3.99%	0.0076	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.341804	-5.93%	0.3111	-14.38%	0.0989	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.306204	-5.46%	0.3291	+1.61%	0.0756	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.299943	-5.31%	0.36445	+15.06%	0.1948	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.301675	-5.50%	0.36775	+15.19%	0.1977	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.30612	-5.75%	0.36445	+12.21%	0.1733	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.31392	-5.66%	0.3723	+11.89%	0.1699	✗	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.31556	-5.21%	0.3686	+10.72%	0.1538	✗	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.315716	-4.69%	0.3931	+18.67%	0.2178	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.310421	-5.08%	0.376	+14.97%	0.1935	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.322434	-4.72%	0.3729	+10.20%	0.1450	✗	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.329541	-4.54%	0.36395	+5.43%	0.0996	✗	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.332837	-4.26%	0.34505	-0.75%	0.0375	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.332288	-4.62%	0.34625	-0.62%	0.0448	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.337479	-5.08%	0.3416	-3.92%	0.0173	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.356085	-4.99%	0.33865	-9.65%	0.0479	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.358333	-4.83%	0.3583	-4.83%	0.0014	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.362717	-4.99%	0.34955	-8.43%	0.0359	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.367662	-5.17%	0.3431	-11.50%	0.0683	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.363834	-5.25%	0.32795	-14.60%	0.1014	✓	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.367316	-5.53%	0.3215	-17.31%	0.1301	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.37156	-5.86%	0.3287	-16.72%	0.1161	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.370669	-6.09%	0.3309	-16.16%	0.0982	✓	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.369787	-6.11%	0.32935	-16.38%	0.1068	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.355053	-6.15%	0.35	-7.48%	0.0002	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.354011	-6.18%	0.36775	-2.54%	0.0502	✓	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.366474	-6.19%	0.37585	-3.79%	0.0414	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.366969	-6.22%	0.37075	-5.25%	0.0245	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.357204	-6.22%	0.3617	-5.04%	0.0208	✓	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.36724	-6.10%	0.3527	-9.82%	0.0329	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.375473	-6.12%	0.35555	-11.10%	0.0473	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.38503	-6.32%	0.36335	-11.59%	0.0480	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.390049	-6.44%	0.3239	-22.31%	0.1827	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.375523	-6.67%	0.31675	-21.28%	0.1654	✓	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.346388	-6.99%	0.31925	-14.27%	0.0711	✓	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.386358	-6.90%	0.3248	-21.73%	0.1777	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.39746	-6.98%	0.33275	-22.13%	0.1924	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.404968	-7.05%	0.3329	-23.59%	0.2083	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.45804	-7.19%	0.33125	-32.88%	0.3285	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.414889	-7.32%	0.32705	-26.94%	0.2037	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.421166	-7.43%	0.3384	-25.62%	0.2220	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.436066	-7.69%	0.3452	-26.93%	0.2370	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.433719	-7.93%	0.34765	-26.20%	0.2639	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.415665	-8.18%	0.3484	-23.04%	0.2004	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.423785	-8.61%	0.35555	-23.32%	0.1624	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.425329	-9.06%	0.3748	-19.86%	0.1268	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.367883	-9.28%	0.3765	-7.15%	0.0273	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.394937	-9.33%	0.38175	-12.36%	0.0749	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.386942	-10.03%	0.3877	-9.86%	0.0133	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.430588	-10.22%	0.384	-19.93%	0.0905	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.45263	-11.07%	0.3888	-23.61%	0.0712	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.396841	-11.08%	0.3947	-11.56%	0.1680	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.401984	-10.89%	0.3947	-12.50%	0.2106	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.423778	-11.11%	0.39385	-17.39%	0.1307	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.402133	-11.34%	0.3783	-16.59%	0.1488	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.545108	-13.18%	0.37735	-39.90%	0.1636	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.613803	-13.87%	0.39065	-45.18%	0.2379	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.580771	-13.36%	0.3913	-41.63%	0.1558	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.559684	-12.01%	0.3809	-40.12%	0.1484	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.621244	-14.08%	0.3911	-45.91%	0.2567	✓	1.00