GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s8

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

150

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

57.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0336

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0057

actual -0.0049

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.305628	-0.48%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.304439	-0.41%	0.3071	+0.46%	0.0084	✗	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.299166	-0.33%	0.3057	+1.85%	0.0229	✗	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.301507	-0.30%	0.30015	-0.74%	0.0046	✓	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.298864	-0.26%	0.3024	+0.92%	0.0121	✗	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.304777	-0.27%	0.29965	-1.95%	0.0170	✓	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.299606	-0.28%	0.3056	+1.71%	0.0195	✗	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.317687	-0.36%	0.30045	-5.77%	0.0556	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.316591	-0.32%	0.31885	+0.39%	0.0065	✗	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.328148	-0.40%	0.3176	-3.60%	0.0324	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.334501	-0.42%	0.32945	-1.92%	0.0156	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.344378	-0.47%	0.3359	-2.92%	0.0250	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.341164	-0.48%	0.346	+0.93%	0.0140	✗	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.319945	-0.42%	0.3428	+6.69%	0.0690	✗	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.322593	-0.43%	0.3213	-0.83%	0.0041	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.326219	-0.44%	0.324	-1.11%	0.0073	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.326905	-0.47%	0.32765	-0.24%	0.0023	✓	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.318476	-0.40%	0.32845	+2.72%	0.0310	✗	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.323844	-0.46%	0.31975	-1.72%	0.0133	✓	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.325293	-0.51%	0.32535	-0.49%	0.0001	✓	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.316816	-0.48%	0.32695	+2.70%	0.0316	✗	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.321038	-0.48%	0.31835	-1.32%	0.0089	✓	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.31797	-0.46%	0.3226	+0.99%	0.0145	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.315264	-0.48%	0.31945	+0.84%	0.0131	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.327553	-0.50%	0.3168	-3.77%	0.0333	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.340857	-0.55%	0.3292	-3.95%	0.0348	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.346958	-0.59%	0.34275	-1.79%	0.0123	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.352432	-0.65%	0.349	-1.62%	0.0097	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.33998	-0.76%	0.35475	+3.55%	0.0425	✗	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.348136	-1.22%	0.3426	-2.79%	0.0164	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.354508	-1.21%	0.35245	-1.78%	0.0058	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.368404	-1.68%	0.35885	-4.23%	0.0320	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.33735	-1.03%	0.3747	+9.93%	0.1051	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.335835	-1.28%	0.34085	+0.19%	0.0144	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.354268	-1.73%	0.3402	-5.63%	0.0527	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.30165	-0.25%	0.3605	+19.21%	0.1776	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.302855	-0.25%	0.3024	-0.40%	0.0038	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.298235	-0.19%	0.3036	+1.61%	0.0297	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.294909	-0.18%	0.2988	+1.13%	0.0069	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.296559	-0.17%	0.29545	-0.54%	0.0018	✓	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.303509	-0.21%	0.29705	-2.33%	0.0218	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.286788	-0.11%	0.30415	+5.94%	0.0556	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.288329	-0.08%	0.2871	-0.50%	0.0041	✗	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.303542	-0.13%	0.28855	-5.07%	0.0499	✓	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.291989	-0.07%	0.30395	+4.02%	0.0431	✗	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.295988	-0.07%	0.2922	-1.35%	0.0071	✓	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.29997	-0.13%	0.2962	-1.38%	0.0150	✓	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.292902	-0.14%	0.30035	+2.40%	0.0241	✗	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.291136	-0.04%	0.2933	+0.70%	0.0181	✗	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.285714	-0.07%	0.29125	+1.87%	0.0051	✓	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.277208	-0.03%	0.2859	+3.10%	0.0315	✗	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.283708	+0.00%	0.2773	-2.26%	0.0148	✗	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.281725	-0.01%	0.2837	+0.69%	0.0042	✗	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.284501	+0.00%	0.28175	-0.97%	0.0080	✗	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.282625	-0.01%	0.2845	+0.65%	0.0054	✗	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.304412	-0.03%	0.28265	-7.18%	0.0680	✓	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.306936	-0.10%	0.3045	-0.90%	0.0115	✓	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.308062	-0.08%	0.30725	-0.34%	0.0043	✓	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.312291	-0.10%	0.3083	-1.38%	0.0116	✓	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.323485	-0.16%	0.3126	-3.52%	0.0374	✓	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.333656	-0.22%	0.324	-3.11%	0.0311	✓	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.340517	-0.24%	0.3344	-2.04%	0.0148	✓	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.310133	-0.31%	0.34135	+9.72%	0.0919	✗	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.327617	-0.45%	0.3111	-5.47%	0.0445	✓	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.362457	-0.55%	0.3291	-9.70%	0.1024	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.365774	-0.54%	0.36445	-0.90%	0.0039	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.362547	-0.52%	0.36775	+0.91%	0.0119	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.370041	-0.61%	0.36445	-2.11%	0.0150	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.36655	-0.56%	0.3723	+1.00%	0.0155	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.390582	-0.64%	0.3686	-6.23%	0.0573	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.373486	-0.67%	0.3931	+4.55%	0.0512	✗	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.369847	-0.82%	0.376	+0.83%	0.0167	✗	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.361075	-0.79%	0.3729	+2.46%	0.0327	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.343065	-0.58%	0.36395	+5.48%	0.0607	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.344193	-0.59%	0.34505	-0.35%	0.0026	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.339638	-0.57%	0.34625	+1.36%	0.0193	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.336762	-0.56%	0.3416	+0.87%	0.0133	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.356039	-0.63%	0.33865	-5.48%	0.0496	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.347091	-0.70%	0.3583	+2.50%	0.0310	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.340582	-0.73%	0.34955	+1.88%	0.0253	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.326032	-0.58%	0.3431	+4.62%	0.0511	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.319733	-0.55%	0.32795	+2.01%	0.0247	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.32671	-0.61%	0.3215	-2.19%	0.0160	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.32888	-0.61%	0.3287	-0.66%	0.0013	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.327529	-0.55%	0.3309	+0.47%	0.0095	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.347835	-0.62%	0.32935	-5.90%	0.0547	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.365288	-0.67%	0.35	-4.83%	0.0429	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.372899	-0.79%	0.36775	-2.16%	0.0124	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.367046	-1.00%	0.37585	+1.38%	0.0229	✗	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.35946	-0.62%	0.37075	+2.50%	0.0308	✗	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.350547	-0.61%	0.3617	+2.55%	0.0322	✗	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.353148	-0.68%	0.3527	-0.80%	0.0004	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.359331	-1.11%	0.35555	-2.15%	0.0102	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.322341	-0.48%	0.36335	+12.18%	0.1209	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.31536	-0.44%	0.3239	+2.26%	0.0273	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.317785	-0.46%	0.31675	-0.78%	0.0034	✓	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.323241	-0.48%	0.31925	-1.71%	0.0115	✓	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.331027	-0.52%	0.3248	-2.39%	0.0189	✓	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.330949	-0.59%	0.33275	-0.05%	0.0046	✓	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.329906	-0.41%	0.3329	+0.50%	0.0088	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.325809	-0.38%	0.33125	+1.28%	0.0210	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.337063	-0.39%	0.32705	-3.35%	0.0332	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.343846	-0.39%	0.3384	-1.97%	0.0160	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.346294	-0.39%	0.3452	-0.70%	0.0039	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.347029	-0.39%	0.34765	-0.22%	0.0038	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.353864	-0.47%	0.3484	-2.01%	0.0137	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.37315	-0.44%	0.35555	-5.14%	0.0510	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.374854	-0.44%	0.3748	-0.45%	0.0018	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.380017	-0.45%	0.3765	-1.38%	0.0083	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.385866	-0.47%	0.38175	-1.53%	0.0096	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.382205	-0.47%	0.3877	+0.96%	0.0157	✗	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.386919	-0.48%	0.384	-1.23%	0.0051	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.392661	-0.52%	0.3888	-1.49%	0.0064	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.392788	-0.48%	0.3947	+0.00%	0.0086	✗	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.391772	-0.53%	0.3947	+0.22%	0.0033	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.376552	-0.46%	0.39385	+4.11%	0.0472	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.375626	-0.46%	0.3783	+0.25%	0.0056	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.388743	-0.49%	0.37735	-3.40%	0.0300	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.389421	-0.48%	0.39065	-0.17%	0.0041	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.379109	-0.47%	0.3913	+2.73%	0.0281	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.389109	-0.51%	0.3809	-2.61%	0.0267	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.397759	-0.55%	0.3911	-2.21%	0.0214	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.408641	-0.57%	0.39995	-2.69%	0.0193	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.414358	-0.61%	0.411	-1.42%	0.0113	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.400016	-0.58%	0.4169	+3.62%	0.0443	✗	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.370394	-0.54%	0.40235	+8.04%	0.0861	✗	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.41246	-0.61%	0.3724	-10.27%	0.1142	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.424552	-0.64%	0.415	-2.88%	0.0320	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.432818	-0.66%	0.4273	-1.93%	0.0180	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.489612	-0.79%	0.4357	-11.71%	0.1132	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.44467	-0.67%	0.4935	+10.24%	0.0846	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.45184	-0.68%	0.44765	-1.60%	0.0232	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.468999	-0.72%	0.45495	-3.69%	0.0300	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.467608	-0.74%	0.4724	+0.28%	0.0237	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.449697	-0.66%	0.4711	+4.06%	0.0504	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.460331	-0.73%	0.4527	-2.37%	0.0054	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.463968	-0.80%	0.4637	-0.86%	0.0032	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.403333	-0.53%	0.4677	+15.34%	0.1086	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.433112	-0.57%	0.4055	-6.91%	0.0629	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.427448	-0.62%	0.4356	+1.28%	0.0633	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.475863	-0.78%	0.4301	-10.32%	0.0975	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.503553	-1.07%	0.4796	-5.78%	0.0087	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.442371	-0.88%	0.509	+14.05%	0.2078	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.447117	-0.88%	0.4463	-1.06%	0.0294	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.471782	-1.04%	0.4511	-5.38%	0.0422	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.448816	-1.04%	0.47675	+5.12%	0.0549	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.616927	-1.74%	0.45355	-27.76%	0.3057	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.699757	-1.81%	0.62785	-11.90%	0.0976	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.65594	-2.15%	0.71265	+6.31%	0.1030	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.623124	-2.04%	0.67035	+5.38%	0.0916	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.702582	-2.83%	0.6361	-12.03%	0.1029	✓	1.00