FOLD

The Interfold · Ethereum · gru_s8

token id: #290
symbol: FOLD
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 147

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 49 predictions shown

direction hit

57.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1275

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0512

actual -0.0241

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04772	0.046899	-1.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-20	oos	0.04858	0.047757	-1.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	0.04751	0.046899	-1.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-18	oos	0.04779	0.047155	-1.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05113	0.050233	-1.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-16	oos	0.05269	0.051592	-2.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.05285	0.051583	-2.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.05383	0.05247	-2.53%	0.04772	-11.35%	0.1068	✓	0.87
2026-10-13	oos	0.060215	0.058012	-3.66%	0.04858	-19.32%	0.1759	✓	0.78
2026-10-12	oos	0.059405	0.057162	-3.78%	0.04751	-20.02%	0.1858	✓	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	0.06681	0.0633	-5.25%	0.04779	-28.47%	0.2682	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.06538	0.062274	-4.75%	0.05113	-21.80%	0.1855	✓	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.064485	0.06149	-4.64%	0.05269	-18.29%	0.1465	✓	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.06178	0.058955	-4.57%	0.05285	-14.45%	0.1125	✓	0.60
2026-10-07	oos	0.064415	0.061165	-5.04%	0.05383	-16.43%	0.1158	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	0.06901	0.065328	-5.34%	0.060215	-12.74%	0.0671	✓	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.07369	0.069311	-5.94%	0.059405	-19.39%	0.1312	✓	0.48
2026-10-04	oos	0.0701	0.06599	-5.86%	0.06681	-4.69%	0.0299	✓	0.53
2026-10-03	oos	0.072825	0.068041	-6.57%	0.06538	-10.22%	0.0274	✓	0.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.06417	0.060517	-5.69%	0.064485	+0.49%	0.0768	✗	0.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.067655	0.063625	-5.96%	0.06178	-8.68%	0.0085	✓	0.55
2026-09-30	oos	0.069015	0.064357	-6.75%	0.064415	-6.67%	0.0028	✓	0.57
2026-09-29	oos	0.066025	0.061776	-6.44%	0.06901	+4.52%	0.0978	✗	0.58
2026-09-28	oos	0.061035	0.057049	-6.53%	0.07369	+20.73%	0.2404	✗	0.57
2026-09-27	oos	0.06903	0.06424	-6.94%	0.0701	+1.55%	0.0758	✗	0.48
2026-09-26	oos	0.066875	0.061907	-7.43%	0.072825	+8.90%	0.1606	✗	0.48
2026-09-25	oos	0.058715	0.054287	-7.54%	0.06417	+9.29%	0.1650	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.0597	0.054891	-8.06%	0.067655	+13.32%	0.2065	✗	0.47
2026-09-23	oos	0.05971	0.054755	-8.30%	0.069015	+15.58%	0.2413	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.060325	0.05556	-7.90%	0.066025	+9.45%	0.2027	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.06106	0.056263	-7.86%	0.061035	-0.04%	0.1183	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.062015	0.05649	-8.91%	0.06903	+11.31%	0.1606	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.07045	0.063796	-9.44%	0.066875	-5.07%	0.0087	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.066755	0.06039	-9.54%	0.058715	-12.04%	0.0671	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.0641	0.057878	-9.71%	0.0597	-6.86%	0.0691	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.05471	0.051281	-6.27%	0.05971	+9.14%	0.0495	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.043735	0.043651	-0.19%	0.060325	+37.93%	0.1921	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.049085	0.048025	-2.16%	0.06106	+24.40%	0.1378	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.04818	0.047495	-1.42%	0.062015	+28.72%	0.2115	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.050545	0.04957	-1.93%	0.07045	+39.38%	0.3014	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.051095	0.050241	-1.67%	0.066755	+30.65%	0.2378	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.05233	0.051435	-1.71%	0.0641	+22.49%	0.2226	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.05138	0.050558	-1.60%	0.05471	+6.48%	0.1066	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05349	0.052439	-1.96%	0.043735	-18.24%	0.1443	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05533	0.054155	-2.12%	0.049085	-11.29%	0.0866	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.05607	0.054939	-2.02%	0.04818	-14.07%	0.0862	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.055135	0.054073	-1.93%	0.050545	-8.33%	0.0348	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.05539	0.054672	-1.30%	0.051095	-7.75%	0.0362	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.059025	0.058641	-0.65%	0.05233	-11.34%	0.0539	✓	1.00