FOLD
The Interfold · Ethereum · gru_s8
- token id
- #290
- symbol
- FOLD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-25
- predictions
- 147
Track record at +30d
assessed
19
of 49 predictions shown
direction hit
31.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1975
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1503
actual +0.0099
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.04772 | 0.044269 | -7.23% | – | pending | – | – | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04858 | 0.045197 | -6.96% | – | pending | – | – | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.04751 | 0.044208 | -6.95% | – | pending | – | – | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.04779 | 0.044452 | -6.98% | – | pending | – | – | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.05113 | 0.04713 | -7.82% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.05269 | 0.048338 | -8.26% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.05285 | 0.048247 | -8.71% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.05383 | 0.048834 | -9.28% | – | pending | – | – | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.060215 | 0.053915 | -10.46% | – | pending | – | – | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.059405 | 0.052906 | -10.94% | – | pending | – | – | 0.76 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.06681 | 0.058488 | -12.46% | – | pending | – | – | 0.64 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.06538 | 0.057272 | -12.40% | – | pending | – | – | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.064485 | 0.056569 | -12.28% | – | pending | – | – | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.06178 | 0.054085 | -12.46% | – | pending | – | – | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.064415 | 0.056084 | -12.93% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.06901 | 0.060131 | -12.87% | – | pending | – | – | 0.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.07369 | 0.0637 | -13.56% | – | pending | – | – | 0.48 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.0701 | 0.060695 | -13.42% | – | pending | – | – | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.072825 | 0.062178 | -14.62% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.06417 | 0.055312 | -13.80% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.067655 | 0.05811 | -14.11% | – | pending | – | – | 0.55 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069015 | 0.058385 | -15.40% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066025 | 0.056021 | -15.15% | – | pending | – | – | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.061035 | 0.051468 | -15.68% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.06903 | 0.058204 | -15.68% | – | pending | – | – | 0.48 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.066875 | 0.055919 | -16.38% | – | pending | – | – | 0.48 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.058715 | 0.048565 | -17.29% | – | pending | – | – | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0597 | 0.048912 | -18.07% | – | pending | – | – | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.05971 | 0.048623 | -18.57% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.060325 | 0.049649 | -17.70% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.06106 | 0.050301 | -17.62% | 0.04772 | -21.85% | 0.0066 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.062015 | 0.049067 | -20.88% | 0.04858 | -21.66% | 0.0316 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.07045 | 0.055741 | -20.88% | 0.04751 | -32.56% | 0.1672 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.066755 | 0.052579 | -21.24% | 0.04779 | -28.41% | 0.1094 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.0641 | 0.049943 | -22.09% | 0.05113 | -20.23% | 0.0404 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.05471 | 0.044714 | -18.27% | 0.05269 | -3.69% | 0.0962 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.043735 | 0.038472 | -12.03% | 0.05285 | +20.84% | 0.2346 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.049085 | 0.042396 | -13.63% | 0.05383 | +9.67% | 0.1963 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.04818 | 0.041924 | -12.98% | 0.060215 | +24.98% | 0.2832 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.050545 | 0.043938 | -13.07% | 0.059405 | +17.53% | 0.2452 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.051095 | 0.04474 | -12.44% | 0.06681 | +30.76% | 0.3205 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.05233 | 0.045909 | -12.27% | 0.06538 | +24.94% | 0.2736 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.05138 | 0.045324 | -11.79% | 0.064485 | +25.51% | 0.2996 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.05349 | 0.04731 | -11.55% | 0.06178 | +15.50% | 0.2263 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.05533 | 0.04939 | -10.74% | 0.064415 | +16.42% | 0.2141 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.05607 | 0.05081 | -9.38% | 0.06901 | +23.08% | 0.2434 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.055135 | 0.04988 | -9.53% | 0.07369 | +33.65% | 0.3187 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.05539 | 0.0512 | -7.56% | 0.0701 | +26.56% | 0.2319 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.059025 | 0.05635 | -4.53% | 0.072825 | +23.38% | 0.2146 | ✗ | 1.00 |