FOLD

The Interfold · Ethereum · gru_s8

token id: #290
symbol: FOLD
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 147

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 49 predictions shown

direction hit

60.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0479

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0093

actual -0.0051

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04772	0.047564	-0.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-20	oos	0.04858	0.048426	-0.32%	0.04772	-1.77%	0.0122	✓	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	0.04751	0.047414	-0.20%	0.04858	+2.25%	0.0132	✗	0.83
2026-10-18	oos	0.04779	0.047695	-0.20%	0.04751	-0.59%	0.0022	✓	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05113	0.050987	-0.28%	0.04779	-6.53%	0.0713	✓	0.86
2026-10-16	oos	0.05269	0.052513	-0.34%	0.05113	-2.96%	0.0254	✓	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.05285	0.052638	-0.40%	0.05269	-0.30%	0.0076	✗	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.05383	0.053611	-0.41%	0.05285	-1.82%	0.0202	✓	0.87
2026-10-13	oos	0.060215	0.059804	-0.68%	0.05383	-10.60%	0.0908	✓	0.78
2026-10-12	oos	0.059405	0.058998	-0.68%	0.060215	+1.36%	0.0078	✗	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	0.06681	0.066015	-1.19%	0.059405	-11.08%	0.0906	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.06538	0.064755	-0.96%	0.06681	+2.19%	0.0255	✗	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.064485	0.063926	-0.87%	0.06538	+1.39%	0.0197	✗	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.06178	0.061286	-0.80%	0.064485	+4.38%	0.0447	✗	0.60
2026-10-07	oos	0.064415	0.063815	-0.93%	0.06178	-4.09%	0.0214	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	0.06901	0.068277	-1.06%	0.064415	-6.66%	0.0449	✓	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.07369	0.072732	-1.30%	0.06901	-6.35%	0.0514	✓	0.48
2026-10-04	oos	0.0701	0.069209	-1.27%	0.07369	+5.12%	0.0674	✗	0.53
2026-10-03	oos	0.072825	0.071742	-1.49%	0.0701	-3.74%	0.0350	✓	0.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.06417	0.063457	-1.11%	0.072825	+13.49%	0.1361	✗	0.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.067655	0.06683	-1.22%	0.06417	-5.15%	0.0384	✓	0.55
2026-09-30	oos	0.069015	0.067994	-1.48%	0.067655	-1.97%	0.0137	✓	0.57
2026-09-29	oos	0.066025	0.065136	-1.35%	0.069015	+4.53%	0.0584	✗	0.58
2026-09-28	oos	0.061035	0.060241	-1.30%	0.066025	+8.18%	0.0904	✗	0.57
2026-09-27	oos	0.06903	0.067963	-1.55%	0.061035	-11.58%	0.1018	✓	0.48
2026-09-26	oos	0.066875	0.065719	-1.73%	0.06903	+3.22%	0.0489	✗	0.48
2026-09-25	oos	0.058715	0.057763	-1.62%	0.066875	+13.90%	0.1447	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.0597	0.058645	-1.77%	0.058715	-1.65%	0.0028	✓	0.47
2026-09-23	oos	0.05971	0.058646	-1.78%	0.0597	-0.02%	0.0177	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.060325	0.059296	-1.71%	0.05971	-1.02%	0.0283	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.06106	0.06004	-1.67%	0.060325	-1.20%	0.0093	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.062015	0.060896	-1.80%	0.06106	-1.54%	0.0621	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.07045	0.068906	-2.19%	0.062015	-11.97%	0.1045	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.066755	0.065267	-2.23%	0.07045	+5.54%	0.0720	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.0641	0.062588	-2.36%	0.066755	+4.14%	0.0069	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.05471	0.053981	-1.33%	0.0641	+17.16%	0.1691	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.043735	0.043787	+0.12%	0.05471	+25.09%	0.2153	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.049085	0.048937	-0.30%	0.043735	-10.90%	0.0787	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.04818	0.04811	-0.14%	0.049085	+1.88%	0.0023	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.050545	0.050412	-0.26%	0.04818	-4.68%	0.0393	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.051095	0.050986	-0.21%	0.050545	-1.08%	0.0094	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.05233	0.052208	-0.23%	0.051095	-2.36%	0.0303	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.05138	0.051267	-0.22%	0.05233	+1.85%	0.0431	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05349	0.053321	-0.32%	0.05138	-3.94%	0.0350	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05533	0.055122	-0.38%	0.05349	-3.33%	0.0219	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.05607	0.055853	-0.39%	0.05533	-1.32%	0.0062	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.055135	0.054951	-0.33%	0.05607	+1.70%	0.0138	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.05539	0.055288	-0.18%	0.055135	-0.46%	0.0047	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.059025	0.058968	-0.10%	0.05539	-6.16%	0.0428	✓	1.00