FOGO

Fogo · native · gru_s8

token id: #231
symbol: FOGO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-01-15
predictions: 813

Track record at +30d

assessed

241

of 271 predictions shown

direction hit

89.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2182

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0365

actual -0.2367

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004217	0.004177	-0.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-20	oos	0.004277	0.00421	-1.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-19	oos	0.003851	0.003804	-1.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-18	oos	0.003825	0.00377	-1.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-17	oos	0.004002	0.003919	-2.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-16	oos	0.004275	0.004165	-2.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-15	oos	0.004328	0.004267	-1.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-14	oos	0.004691	0.00459	-2.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-13	oos	0.004626	0.004564	-1.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-12	oos	0.004527	0.004469	-1.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-10-11	oos	0.004822	0.00477	-1.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.00483	0.004748	-1.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-09	oos	0.004737	0.00463	-2.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-08	oos	0.004643	0.004515	-2.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-07	oos	0.005002	0.004877	-2.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-06	oos	0.005411	0.005317	-1.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-10-05	oos	0.005498	0.005388	-2.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-04	oos	0.005194	0.005131	-1.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-03	oos	0.005281	0.00519	-1.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-02	oos	0.005264	0.005184	-1.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-01	oos	0.005278	0.005225	-1.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.005272	0.005183	-1.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-29	oos	0.005346	0.005245	-1.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-09-28	oos	0.005258	0.005134	-2.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.005724	0.005596	-2.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.22
2026-09-26	oos	0.006028	0.00592	-1.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-09-25	oos	0.006524	0.006338	-2.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-24	oos	0.006392	0.00621	-2.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.006317	0.006162	-2.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.007283	0.007009	-3.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.11
2026-09-21	oos	0.006888	0.006743	-2.12%	0.004217	-38.78%	0.4185	✓	1.10
2026-09-20	oos	0.006554	0.006287	-4.07%	0.004277	-34.74%	0.4099	✓	1.14
2026-09-19	oos	0.006693	0.006429	-3.94%	0.003851	-42.47%	0.5211	✓	1.14
2026-09-18	oos	0.00689	0.006657	-3.38%	0.003825	-44.49%	0.5702	✓	1.14
2026-09-17	oos	0.006279	0.006025	-4.04%	0.004002	-36.26%	0.4786	✓	1.09
2026-09-16	oos	0.005947	0.005727	-3.70%	0.004275	-28.12%	0.3659	✓	1.08
2026-09-15	oos	0.006045	0.005836	-3.47%	0.004328	-28.40%	0.3855	✓	1.05
2026-09-14	oos	0.006344	0.006171	-2.72%	0.004691	-26.05%	0.3183	✓	1.04
2026-09-13	oos	0.006437	0.006247	-2.95%	0.004626	-28.13%	0.3829	✓	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.00652	0.006346	-2.66%	0.004527	-30.56%	0.3971	✓	1.05
2026-09-11	oos	0.00645	0.006254	-3.03%	0.004822	-25.24%	0.3448	✓	1.05
2026-09-10	oos	0.006153	0.005973	-2.92%	0.00483	-21.50%	0.2968	✓	1.05
2026-09-09	oos	0.006489	0.006331	-2.43%	0.004737	-27.00%	0.3452	✓	1.04
2026-09-08	oos	0.007147	0.006907	-3.36%	0.004643	-35.04%	0.4425	✓	1.12
2026-09-07	oos	0.007177	0.006985	-2.68%	0.005002	-30.31%	0.3921	✓	1.13
2026-09-06	oos	0.007193	0.007083	-1.52%	0.005411	-24.77%	0.3389	✓	1.11
2026-09-05	oos	0.007146	0.007059	-1.22%	0.005498	-23.05%	0.3294	✓	1.11
2026-09-04	oos	0.007173	0.007123	-0.70%	0.005194	-27.59%	0.4050	✓	1.08
2026-09-03	oos	0.007119	0.007172	+0.75%	0.005281	-25.81%	0.3521	✗	1.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.007049	0.007029	-0.28%	0.005264	-25.32%	0.3980	✓	1.22
2026-09-01	oos	0.007102	0.007063	-0.55%	0.005278	-25.69%	0.4053	✓	1.24
2026-08-31	oos	0.007286	0.007336	+0.70%	0.005272	-27.64%	0.3994	✗	1.12
2026-08-30	oos	0.007177	0.007254	+1.07%	0.005346	-25.52%	0.3876	✗	1.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.007514	0.007634	+1.61%	0.005258	-30.02%	0.4395	✗	1.03
2026-08-28	oos	0.007463	0.007578	+1.55%	0.005724	-23.30%	0.3647	✗	1.03
2026-08-27	oos	0.009358	0.009407	+0.52%	0.006028	-35.58%	0.4893	✗	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.009217	0.009212	-0.05%	0.006524	-29.21%	0.3996	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.00897	0.008998	+0.32%	0.006392	-28.74%	0.4051	✗	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.00919	0.009205	+0.17%	0.006317	-31.26%	0.4351	✗	0.89
2026-08-23	oos	0.009352	0.009243	-1.17%	0.007283	-22.13%	0.3312	✓	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.009317	0.009193	-1.33%	0.006888	-26.07%	0.3934	✓	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.009706	0.009568	-1.43%	0.006554	-32.48%	0.4100	✓	0.89
2026-08-20	oos	0.008948	0.00864	-3.45%	0.006693	-25.21%	0.3430	✓	0.82
2026-08-19	oos	0.008426	0.008167	-3.08%	0.00689	-18.23%	0.2924	✓	0.79
2026-08-18	oos	0.008068	0.007736	-4.11%	0.006279	-22.17%	0.3428	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	0.008275	0.007934	-4.12%	0.005947	-28.13%	0.4027	✓	0.69
2026-08-16	oos	0.008578	0.008189	-4.54%	0.006045	-29.52%	0.4385	✓	0.73
2026-08-15	oos	0.008589	0.008157	-5.03%	0.006344	-26.15%	0.4088	✓	0.73
2026-08-14	oos	0.0085	0.008121	-4.46%	0.006437	-24.28%	0.3779	✓	0.73
2026-08-13	oos	0.008677	0.008286	-4.50%	0.00652	-24.86%	0.3859	✓	0.74
2026-08-12	oos	0.008703	0.00832	-4.40%	0.00645	-25.89%	0.4109	✓	0.79
2026-08-11	oos	0.008934	0.008527	-4.55%	0.006153	-31.13%	0.4720	✓	0.78
2026-08-10	oos	0.008901	0.008482	-4.72%	0.006489	-27.11%	0.4277	✓	0.79
2026-08-09	oos	0.00897	0.008603	-4.09%	0.007147	-20.33%	0.3372	✓	0.80
2026-08-08	oos	0.008852	0.008488	-4.11%	0.007177	-18.92%	0.3258	✓	0.80
2026-08-07	oos	0.008729	0.00835	-4.34%	0.007193	-17.60%	0.3201	✓	0.80
2026-08-06	oos	0.008348	0.00802	-3.93%	0.007146	-14.40%	0.2860	✓	0.79
2026-08-05	oos	0.008174	0.007934	-2.95%	0.007173	-12.25%	0.2692	✓	0.80
2026-08-04	oos	0.008171	0.007941	-2.82%	0.007119	-12.88%	0.2977	✓	0.79
2026-08-03	oos	0.008501	0.008214	-3.37%	0.007049	-17.08%	0.3130	✓	0.81
2026-08-02	oos	0.008375	0.008096	-3.33%	0.007102	-15.20%	0.2903	✓	0.80
2026-08-01	oos	0.008311	0.008041	-3.25%	0.007286	-12.34%	0.2832	✓	0.82
2026-07-31	oos	0.008329	0.008042	-3.44%	0.007177	-13.83%	0.2883	✓	0.82
2026-07-30	oos	0.008197	0.007984	-2.60%	0.007514	-8.34%	0.2276	✓	0.88
2026-07-29	oos	0.008067	0.007902	-2.04%	0.007463	-7.49%	0.2287	✓	0.87
2026-07-28	oos	0.008269	0.008143	-1.52%	0.009358	+13.17%	0.0598	✓	0.87
2026-07-27	oos	0.00824	0.008108	-1.61%	0.009217	+11.84%	0.0603	✓	0.87
2026-07-26	oos	0.008781	0.008693	-1.01%	0.00897	+2.14%	0.1241	✓	0.85
2026-07-25	oos	0.00862	0.008572	-0.56%	0.00919	+6.61%	0.1047	✓	0.85
2026-07-24	oos	0.008485	0.008491	+0.07%	0.009352	+10.22%	0.0715	✗	0.87
2026-07-23	oos	0.008905	0.008888	-0.19%	0.009317	+4.63%	0.0980	✓	0.86
2026-07-22	oos	0.009201	0.009178	-0.25%	0.009706	+5.50%	0.0877	✓	0.85
2026-07-21	oos	0.00921	0.009196	-0.14%	0.008948	-2.83%	0.1062	✓	0.85
2026-07-20	oos	0.008997	0.008948	-0.54%	0.008426	-6.34%	0.1074	✓	0.78
2026-07-19	oos	0.008913	0.008864	-0.55%	0.008068	-9.48%	0.0941	✓	0.78
2026-07-18	oos	0.008975	0.008944	-0.34%	0.008275	-7.80%	0.0742	✓	0.73
2026-07-17	oos	0.008969	0.008901	-0.75%	0.008578	-4.35%	0.0252	✓	0.70
2026-07-16	oos	0.009068	0.008948	-1.33%	0.008589	-5.28%	0.0326	✓	0.70
2026-07-15	oos	0.009512	0.009368	-1.51%	0.0085	-10.64%	0.0783	✓	0.70
2026-07-14	oos	0.009631	0.009544	-0.90%	0.008677	-9.91%	0.0782	✓	0.70
2026-07-13	oos	0.009423	0.009283	-1.49%	0.008703	-7.65%	0.0773	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.009672	0.009583	-0.92%	0.008934	-7.63%	0.0678	✓	0.70
2026-07-11	oos	0.009697	0.009631	-0.68%	0.008901	-8.21%	0.0804	✓	0.75
2026-07-10	oos	0.010006	0.009906	-1.00%	0.00897	-10.34%	0.1076	✓	0.75
2026-07-09	oos	0.009274	0.009242	-0.34%	0.008852	-4.55%	0.0625	✓	0.71
2026-07-08	oos	0.009354	0.009283	-0.76%	0.008729	-6.68%	0.0903	✓	0.69
2026-07-07	oos	0.009024	0.008966	-0.63%	0.008348	-7.49%	0.0821	✓	0.72
2026-07-06	oos	0.009936	0.009749	-1.89%	0.008174	-17.73%	0.1825	✓	0.68
2026-07-05	oos	0.009499	0.009416	-0.88%	0.008171	-13.98%	0.1465	✓	0.65
2026-07-04	oos	0.009528	0.009449	-0.83%	0.008501	-10.78%	0.1096	✓	0.65
2026-07-03	oos	0.00991	0.009781	-1.30%	0.008375	-15.49%	0.1664	✓	0.72
2026-07-02	oos	0.009272	0.009146	-1.36%	0.008311	-10.36%	0.1100	✓	0.70
2026-07-01	oos	0.008911	0.00884	-0.79%	0.008329	-6.53%	0.0910	✓	0.67
2026-06-30	oos	0.00913	0.009034	-1.05%	0.008197	-10.22%	0.1661	✓	0.68
2026-06-29	oos	0.009267	0.009163	-1.12%	0.008067	-12.96%	0.1691	✓	0.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.008886	0.008791	-1.07%	0.008269	-6.94%	0.1084	✓	0.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.010396	0.010195	-1.93%	0.00824	-20.73%	0.2521	✓	0.64
2026-06-26	oos	0.011387	0.011144	-2.13%	0.008781	-22.88%	0.2932	✓	0.64
2026-06-25	oos	0.013294	0.012673	-4.67%	0.00862	-35.15%	0.4352	✓	0.67
2026-06-24	oos	0.011746	0.011471	-2.34%	0.008485	-27.77%	0.3412	✓	0.80
2026-06-23	oos	0.011966	0.011698	-2.24%	0.008905	-25.58%	0.3045	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.012642	0.012272	-2.93%	0.009201	-27.22%	0.3157	✓	0.84
2026-06-21	oos	0.012428	0.012111	-2.55%	0.00921	-25.90%	0.3163	✓	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.012832	0.012535	-2.32%	0.008997	-29.89%	0.3437	✓	0.79
2026-06-19	oos	0.012462	0.012221	-1.94%	0.008913	-28.48%	0.3303	✓	0.78
2026-06-18	oos	0.012835	0.012538	-2.31%	0.008975	-30.07%	0.3579	✓	0.78
2026-06-17	oos	0.012688	0.012395	-2.31%	0.008969	-29.32%	0.3167	✓	0.79
2026-06-16	oos	0.013016	0.012655	-2.78%	0.009068	-30.33%	0.3109	✓	0.78
2026-06-15	oos	0.013092	0.012751	-2.60%	0.009512	-27.34%	0.2735	✓	0.82
2026-06-14	oos	0.012842	0.012483	-2.80%	0.009631	-25.01%	0.2503	✓	0.82
2026-06-13	oos	0.012725	0.012363	-2.84%	0.009423	-25.94%	0.2436	✓	0.82
2026-06-12	oos	0.012232	0.011885	-2.84%	0.009672	-20.93%	0.2085	✓	0.79
2026-06-11	oos	0.012412	0.011978	-3.50%	0.009697	-21.87%	0.2138	✓	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.010985	0.010733	-2.30%	0.010006	-8.92%	0.0999	✓	0.70
2026-06-09	oos	0.011482	0.011126	-3.10%	0.009274	-19.23%	0.1987	✓	0.70
2026-06-08	oos	0.011378	0.011036	-3.01%	0.009354	-17.79%	0.1559	✓	0.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.011748	0.011376	-3.16%	0.009024	-23.19%	0.2319	✓	0.68
2026-06-06	oos	0.011652	0.01133	-2.76%	0.009936	-14.72%	0.1671	✓	0.71
2026-06-05	oos	0.011203	0.010912	-2.59%	0.009499	-15.21%	0.1677	✓	0.71
2026-06-04	oos	0.012499	0.011979	-4.16%	0.009528	-23.77%	0.2221	✓	0.61
2026-06-03	oos	0.013995	0.013239	-5.40%	0.00991	-29.19%	0.2765	✓	0.54
2026-06-02	oos	0.013404	0.012639	-5.71%	0.009272	-30.82%	0.2594	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.014529	0.013687	-5.79%	0.008911	-38.67%	0.3515	✓	0.45
2026-05-31	oos	0.01378	0.013063	-5.20%	0.00913	-33.74%	0.2389	✓	0.52
2026-05-30	oos	0.013753	0.013116	-4.63%	0.009267	-32.61%	0.2558	✓	0.45
2026-05-29	oos	0.013702	0.013141	-4.09%	0.008886	-35.15%	0.2936	✓	0.47
2026-05-28	oos	0.013771	0.013227	-3.95%	0.010396	-24.51%	0.1474	✓	0.46
2026-05-27	oos	0.014086	0.013561	-3.73%	0.011387	-19.16%	0.0649	✓	0.51
2026-05-26	oos	0.014748	0.014255	-3.34%	0.013294	-9.86%	0.0440	✗	0.48
2026-05-25	oos	0.015144	0.014705	-2.90%	0.011746	-22.43%	0.1259	✓	0.42
2026-05-24	oos	0.015189	0.014694	-3.26%	0.011966	-21.22%	0.1215	✓	0.41
2026-05-23	oos	0.0154	0.014887	-3.34%	0.012642	-17.91%	0.1082	✓	0.30
2026-05-22	oos	0.015911	0.015286	-3.93%	0.012428	-21.89%	0.1514	✓	0.31
2026-05-21	oos	0.016543	0.015999	-3.28%	0.012832	-22.43%	0.1641	✓	0.30
2026-05-20	oos	0.015889	0.015352	-3.38%	0.012462	-21.57%	0.1395	✓	0.35
2026-05-19	oos	0.021894	0.019785	-9.63%	0.012835	-41.38%	0.3540	✓	0.39
2026-05-18	oos	0.016803	0.016198	-3.60%	0.012688	-24.49%	0.1725	✓	0.40
2026-05-17	oos	0.016754	0.016156	-3.57%	0.013016	-22.31%	0.1519	✓	0.39
2026-05-16	oos	0.017336	0.016733	-3.48%	0.013092	-24.48%	0.1829	✓	0.38
2026-05-15	oos	0.018036	0.017566	-2.61%	0.012842	-28.80%	0.2427	✓	0.38
2026-05-14	oos	0.019797	0.019311	-2.46%	0.012725	-35.72%	0.3392	✓	0.34
2026-05-13	oos	0.019858	0.019157	-3.53%	0.012232	-38.40%	0.3648	✓	0.38
2026-05-12	oos	0.020427	0.019768	-3.22%	0.012412	-39.24%	0.3810	✓	0.36
2026-05-11	oos	0.021038	0.020446	-2.82%	0.010985	-47.78%	0.5190	✓	0.36
2026-05-10	oos	0.02208	0.021363	-3.25%	0.011482	-48.00%	0.5111	✓	0.38
2026-05-09	oos	0.021847	0.021018	-3.79%	0.011378	-47.92%	0.5193	✓	0.38
2026-05-08	oos	0.021547	0.020747	-3.71%	0.011748	-45.48%	0.4801	✓	0.37
2026-05-07	oos	0.019933	0.019449	-2.43%	0.011652	-41.55%	0.3977	✓	0.42
2026-05-06	oos	0.019935	0.019672	-1.32%	0.011203	-43.80%	0.3988	✓	0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.019731	0.019474	-1.30%	0.012499	-36.65%	0.2907	✓	0.64
2026-05-04	oos	0.019845	0.019434	-2.07%	0.013995	-29.48%	0.1833	✓	0.66
2026-05-03	oos	0.019117	0.018616	-2.62%	0.013404	-29.88%	0.2128	✓	0.70
2026-05-02	oos	0.018419	0.018251	-0.91%	0.014529	-21.12%	0.1593	✓	0.70
2026-05-01	oos	0.017603	0.017486	-0.66%	0.01378	-21.72%	0.1955	✓	0.69
2026-04-30	oos	0.017437	0.017169	-1.54%	0.013753	-21.13%	0.1972	✓	0.73
2026-04-29	oos	0.017567	0.017221	-1.97%	0.013702	-22.00%	0.2053	✓	0.73
2026-04-28	oos	0.018426	0.018044	-2.07%	0.013771	-25.26%	0.2405	✓	0.79
2026-04-27	oos	0.018753	0.018463	-1.55%	0.014086	-24.89%	0.2387	✓	0.80
2026-04-26	oos	0.019489	0.019242	-1.27%	0.014748	-24.33%	0.2365	✓	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.018378	0.018093	-1.55%	0.015144	-17.59%	0.1738	✓	0.80
2026-04-24	oos	0.018617	0.018342	-1.48%	0.015189	-18.41%	0.1835	✓	0.82
2026-04-23	oos	0.018527	0.018346	-0.98%	0.0154	-16.88%	0.1579	✓	0.82
2026-04-22	oos	0.018726	0.018573	-0.82%	0.015911	-15.04%	0.1254	✓	0.82
2026-04-21	oos	0.019744	0.01923	-2.61%	0.016543	-16.22%	0.1636	✓	0.84
2026-04-20	oos	0.019238	0.018663	-2.99%	0.015889	-17.41%	0.1788	✓	0.85
2026-04-19	oos	0.020035	0.01921	-4.12%	0.021894	+9.28%	0.0953	✗	0.91
2026-04-18	oos	0.019848	0.019207	-3.23%	0.016803	-15.34%	0.1483	✓	0.92
2026-04-17	oos	0.019895	0.019433	-2.32%	0.016754	-15.79%	0.1521	✓	0.92
2026-04-16	oos	0.0194	0.018759	-3.30%	0.017336	-10.64%	0.1144	✓	0.92
2026-04-15	oos	0.018617	0.018053	-3.03%	0.018036	-3.12%	0.0513	✓	0.92
2026-04-14	oos	0.018823	0.018155	-3.55%	0.019797	+5.18%	0.0049	✓	0.92
2026-04-13	oos	0.01784	0.017341	-2.80%	0.019858	+11.31%	0.0776	✗	0.92
2026-04-12	oos	0.016785	0.016126	-3.93%	0.020427	+21.69%	0.1198	✗	0.90
2026-04-11	oos	0.01739	0.016806	-3.36%	0.021038	+20.98%	0.1234	✗	0.91
2026-04-10	oos	0.018027	0.01741	-3.43%	0.02208	+22.48%	0.1299	✗	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.018975	0.018157	-4.31%	0.021847	+15.14%	0.0779	✗	0.92
2026-04-08	oos	0.018769	0.01804	-3.88%	0.021547	+14.80%	0.0669	✗	0.92
2026-04-07	oos	0.018412	0.017833	-3.14%	0.019933	+8.27%	0.0129	✓	0.92
2026-04-06	oos	0.01834	0.017533	-4.40%	0.019935	+8.69%	0.0292	✓	0.94
2026-04-05	oos	0.019069	0.018176	-4.68%	0.019731	+3.47%	0.0674	✓	0.94
2026-04-04	oos	0.017457	0.016756	-4.02%	0.019845	+13.68%	0.0129	✓	0.91
2026-04-03	oos	0.016753	0.016213	-3.23%	0.019117	+14.11%	0.0198	✓	0.91
2026-04-02	oos	0.016893	0.016324	-3.37%	0.018419	+9.03%	0.0266	✓	0.91
2026-04-01	oos	0.016632	0.016163	-2.82%	0.017603	+5.84%	0.0414	✓	0.91
2026-03-31	oos	0.016769	0.01631	-2.74%	0.017437	+3.98%	0.0357	✓	0.91
2026-03-30	oos	0.016882	0.016385	-2.95%	0.017567	+4.06%	0.0469	✓	0.92
2026-03-29	oos	0.016501	0.016042	-2.78%	0.018426	+11.67%	0.0050	✓	0.92
2026-03-28	oos	0.016659	0.016187	-2.83%	0.018753	+12.57%	0.0061	✓	0.92
2026-03-27	oos	0.017021	0.016514	-2.98%	0.019489	+14.50%	0.0096	✓	0.92
2026-03-26	oos	0.018289	0.017667	-3.40%	0.018378	+0.48%	0.0705	✓	0.90
2026-03-25	oos	0.019583	0.018889	-3.54%	0.018617	-4.93%	0.0886	✓	0.89
2026-03-24	oos	0.018451	0.017842	-3.30%	0.018527	+0.41%	0.0543	✓	0.88
2026-03-23	oos	0.019065	0.018485	-3.04%	0.018726	-1.78%	0.0739	✓	0.88
2026-03-22	oos	0.019144	0.018438	-3.68%	0.019744	+3.14%	0.0383	✓	0.90
2026-03-21	oos	0.019381	0.018663	-3.71%	0.019238	-0.74%	0.0567	✓	0.91
2026-03-20	oos	0.019715	0.019064	-3.30%	0.020035	+1.62%	0.0078	✓	0.91
2026-03-19	oos	0.020893	0.020088	-3.86%	0.019848	-5.01%	0.0854	✓	0.92
2026-03-18	oos	0.021166	0.020423	-3.51%	0.019895	-6.00%	0.0989	✓	0.92
2026-03-17	oos	0.022669	0.021941	-3.22%	0.0194	-14.42%	0.1381	✓	0.91
2026-03-16	oos	0.023768	0.02306	-2.98%	0.018617	-21.67%	0.2134	✓	0.91
2026-03-15	oos	0.023668	0.022862	-3.41%	0.018823	-20.47%	0.2111	✓	0.91
2026-03-14	oos	0.023757	0.022862	-3.77%	0.01784	-24.91%	0.2885	✓	0.92
2026-03-13	oos	0.023046	0.022212	-3.62%	0.016785	-27.17%	0.2777	✓	0.91
2026-03-12	oos	0.023444	0.022539	-3.86%	0.01739	-25.82%	0.2919	✓	0.92
2026-03-11	oos	0.023227	0.022316	-3.92%	0.018027	-22.38%	0.2490	✓	0.91
2026-03-10	oos	0.022927	0.022021	-3.95%	0.018975	-17.24%	0.1725	✓	0.91
2026-03-09	oos	0.023918	0.022795	-4.70%	0.018769	-21.53%	0.2299	✓	0.93
2026-03-08	oos	0.023185	0.022066	-4.83%	0.018412	-20.59%	0.2613	✓	0.93
2026-03-07	oos	0.023544	0.022299	-5.29%	0.01834	-22.10%	0.2173	✓	0.93
2026-03-06	oos	0.022694	0.02156	-5.00%	0.019069	-15.98%	0.1350	✓	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.022218	0.021114	-4.97%	0.017457	-21.43%	0.1397	✓	0.97
2026-03-04	oos	0.022741	0.021519	-5.37%	0.016753	-26.33%	0.1705	✓	0.97
2026-03-03	oos	0.02346	0.02212	-5.71%	0.016893	-27.99%	0.2469	✓	1.06
2026-03-02	oos	0.024244	0.022697	-6.38%	0.016632	-31.40%	0.2998	✓	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.025315	0.02365	-6.58%	0.016769	-33.76%	0.3855	✓	1.14
2026-02-28	oos	0.026588	0.024609	-7.44%	0.016882	-36.50%	0.3729	✓	1.13
2026-02-27	oos	0.027117	0.02493	-8.06%	0.016501	-39.15%	0.4144	✓	1.15
2026-02-26	oos	0.030155	0.027044	-10.32%	0.016659	-44.76%	0.4648	✓	1.13
2026-02-25	oos	0.027762	0.025133	-9.47%	0.017021	-38.69%	0.3622	✓	1.13
2026-02-24	oos	0.028227	0.025177	-10.80%	0.018289	-35.21%	0.4066	✓	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.027473	0.025246	-8.11%	0.019583	-28.72%	0.3747	✓	1.23
2026-02-22	oos	0.025669	0.023714	-7.62%	0.018451	-28.12%	0.3064	✓	1.31
2026-02-21	oos	0.025697	0.023594	-8.18%	0.019065	-25.81%	0.2683	✓	1.31
2026-02-20	oos	0.027143	0.024552	-9.54%	0.019144	-29.47%	0.2461	✓	1.32
2026-02-19	oos	0.023558	0.021834	-7.32%	0.019381	-17.73%	0.1552	✓	1.26
2026-02-18	oos	0.025147	0.023006	-8.51%	0.019715	-21.60%	0.2310	✓	1.29
2026-02-17	oos	0.024497	0.022547	-7.96%	0.020893	-14.71%	0.1223	✓	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	0.02397	0.022025	-8.11%	0.021166	-11.70%	0.0841	✓	1.30
2026-02-15	oos	0.022138	0.020531	-7.26%	0.022669	+2.40%	0.0066	✓	1.28
2026-02-14	oos	0.022964	0.021117	-8.04%	0.023768	+3.50%	0.0278	✓	1.28
2026-02-13	oos	0.022176	0.020499	-7.56%	0.023668	+6.73%	0.0870	✗	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.021047	0.019754	-6.14%	0.023757	+12.88%	0.1114	✗	1.00
2026-02-11	oos	0.020438	0.019182	-6.14%	0.023046	+12.76%	0.1267	✗	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.020966	0.019537	-6.81%	0.023444	+11.82%	0.1575	✗	1.00
2026-02-09	oos	0.022579	0.020884	-7.51%	0.023227	+2.87%	0.1048	✗	1.00
2026-02-08	oos	0.023423	0.021657	-7.54%	0.022927	-2.12%	0.0615	✓	1.00
2026-02-07	oos	0.023904	0.022426	-6.18%	0.023918	+0.06%	0.0762	✗	1.00
2026-02-06	oos	0.026671	0.024968	-6.38%	0.023185	-13.07%	0.0073	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.023714	0.022717	-4.20%	0.023544	-0.72%	0.0330	✓	1.00
2026-02-04	oos	0.02696	0.025119	-6.83%	0.022694	-15.82%	0.0322	✓	1.00
2026-02-03	oos	0.0285	0.026385	-7.42%	0.022218	-22.04%	0.1067	✓	1.00
2026-02-02	oos	0.032828	0.030063	-8.42%	0.022741	-30.73%	0.2000	✓	1.00
2026-02-01	oos	0.033105	0.030371	-8.26%	0.02346	-29.13%	0.1402	✓	1.00
2026-01-31	oos	0.03362	0.030794	-8.40%	0.024244	-27.89%	0.1059	✓	1.00
2026-01-30	oos	0.037213	0.033465	-10.07%	0.025315	-31.97%	0.0331	✓	1.00
2026-01-29	oos	0.035199	0.031752	-9.79%	0.026588	-24.46%	0.0552	✓	1.00
2026-01-28	oos	0.041349	0.036686	-11.28%	0.027117	-34.42%	0.0007	✓	1.00
2026-01-27	oos	0.038897	0.034912	-10.24%	0.030155	-22.47%	0.1315	✗	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	0.036117	0.032482	-10.07%	0.027762	-23.13%	0.1038	✓	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	0.035127	0.031483	-10.37%	0.028227	-19.65%	0.1917	✗	1.00
2026-01-24	oos	0.038441	0.034321	-10.72%	0.027473	-28.53%	0.0984	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.