FOGO

Fogo · native · gru_s8

token id: #231
symbol: FOGO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-01-15
predictions: 813

Track record at +7d

assessed

264

of 271 predictions shown

direction hit

74.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0890

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0173

actual -0.0583

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004217	0.004166	-1.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-20	oos	0.004277	0.004203	-1.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-19	oos	0.003851	0.003812	-1.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-18	oos	0.003825	0.003779	-1.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-17	oos	0.004002	0.003943	-1.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-16	oos	0.004275	0.004202	-1.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-15	oos	0.004328	0.004272	-1.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-14	oos	0.004691	0.004604	-1.85%	0.004217	-10.10%	0.1056	✓	1.29
2026-10-13	oos	0.004626	0.004555	-1.54%	0.004277	-7.54%	0.0603	✓	1.33
2026-10-12	oos	0.004527	0.004471	-1.24%	0.003851	-14.94%	0.1509	✓	1.32
2026-10-11	oos	0.004822	0.004753	-1.42%	0.003825	-20.68%	0.1915	✓	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.00483	0.004741	-1.84%	0.004002	-17.13%	0.1457	✓	1.27
2026-10-09	oos	0.004737	0.004656	-1.69%	0.004275	-9.74%	0.0693	✓	1.27
2026-10-08	oos	0.004643	0.004553	-1.95%	0.004328	-6.77%	0.0571	✓	1.27
2026-10-07	oos	0.005002	0.004889	-2.26%	0.004691	-6.22%	0.0151	✓	1.27
2026-10-06	oos	0.005411	0.005318	-1.72%	0.004626	-14.51%	0.1038	✓	1.23
2026-10-05	oos	0.005498	0.00538	-2.15%	0.004527	-17.67%	0.1156	✓	1.19
2026-10-04	oos	0.005194	0.005115	-1.52%	0.004822	-7.17%	0.0176	✓	1.25
2026-10-03	oos	0.005281	0.005177	-1.98%	0.00483	-8.55%	0.0417	✓	1.27
2026-10-02	oos	0.005264	0.00517	-1.78%	0.004737	-10.02%	0.0579	✓	1.27
2026-10-01	oos	0.005278	0.005223	-1.03%	0.004643	-12.02%	0.0699	✓	1.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.005272	0.005204	-1.29%	0.005002	-5.12%	0.0352	✓	1.29
2026-09-29	oos	0.005346	0.005268	-1.45%	0.005411	+1.23%	0.0023	✓	1.30
2026-09-28	oos	0.005258	0.005161	-1.85%	0.005498	+4.57%	0.0289	✗	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.005724	0.005613	-1.94%	0.005194	-9.25%	0.1067	✓	1.22
2026-09-26	oos	0.006028	0.005935	-1.54%	0.005281	-12.38%	0.1214	✓	1.23
2026-09-25	oos	0.006524	0.006392	-2.02%	0.005264	-19.31%	0.2004	✓	1.27
2026-09-24	oos	0.006392	0.006238	-2.41%	0.005278	-17.44%	0.1742	✓	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.006317	0.006176	-2.23%	0.005272	-16.54%	0.1457	✓	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.007283	0.007054	-3.15%	0.005346	-26.60%	0.2440	✓	1.11
2026-09-21	oos	0.006888	0.006752	-1.98%	0.005258	-23.67%	0.2094	✓	1.10
2026-09-20	oos	0.006554	0.006377	-2.71%	0.005724	-12.67%	0.1535	✓	1.14
2026-09-19	oos	0.006693	0.0065	-2.88%	0.006028	-9.94%	0.1193	✓	1.14
2026-09-18	oos	0.00689	0.006741	-2.17%	0.006524	-5.31%	0.0774	✓	1.14
2026-09-17	oos	0.006279	0.006154	-1.99%	0.006392	+1.80%	0.0711	✓	1.09
2026-09-16	oos	0.005947	0.005847	-1.68%	0.006317	+6.22%	0.0338	✓	1.08
2026-09-15	oos	0.006045	0.005955	-1.50%	0.007283	+20.47%	0.0640	✗	1.05
2026-09-14	oos	0.006344	0.006255	-1.39%	0.006888	+8.59%	0.0100	✓	1.04
2026-09-13	oos	0.006437	0.006373	-0.98%	0.006554	+1.83%	0.0298	✓	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.00652	0.006457	-0.95%	0.006693	+2.66%	0.0169	✓	1.05
2026-09-11	oos	0.00645	0.006364	-1.32%	0.00689	+6.83%	0.0306	✗	1.05
2026-09-10	oos	0.006153	0.006077	-1.23%	0.006279	+2.05%	0.0353	✗	1.05
2026-09-09	oos	0.006489	0.006439	-0.77%	0.005947	-8.35%	0.0506	✓	1.04
2026-09-08	oos	0.007147	0.007051	-1.34%	0.006045	-15.41%	0.1123	✓	1.12
2026-09-07	oos	0.007177	0.007093	-1.17%	0.006344	-11.61%	0.0986	✓	1.13
2026-09-06	oos	0.007193	0.007133	-0.83%	0.006437	-10.51%	0.0527	✓	1.11
2026-09-05	oos	0.007146	0.007088	-0.82%	0.00652	-8.77%	0.0471	✓	1.11
2026-09-04	oos	0.007173	0.007119	-0.76%	0.00645	-10.09%	0.0646	✓	1.08
2026-09-03	oos	0.007119	0.007088	-0.44%	0.006153	-13.57%	0.0755	✓	1.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.007049	0.006993	-0.79%	0.006489	-7.95%	0.0903	✓	1.22
2026-09-01	oos	0.007102	0.007048	-0.77%	0.007147	+0.63%	0.0027	✓	1.24
2026-08-31	oos	0.007286	0.007247	-0.53%	0.007177	-1.49%	0.0172	✓	1.12
2026-08-30	oos	0.007177	0.007144	-0.47%	0.007193	+0.21%	0.0308	✓	1.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.007514	0.007476	-0.49%	0.007146	-4.89%	0.0660	✓	1.03
2026-08-28	oos	0.007463	0.00741	-0.70%	0.007173	-3.88%	0.0565	✓	1.03
2026-08-27	oos	0.009358	0.009209	-1.59%	0.007119	-23.93%	0.2682	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.009217	0.009057	-1.73%	0.007049	-23.52%	0.2313	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.00897	0.00884	-1.45%	0.007102	-20.82%	0.2062	✓	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.00919	0.009048	-1.54%	0.007286	-20.72%	0.2120	✓	0.89
2026-08-23	oos	0.009352	0.009133	-2.35%	0.007177	-23.26%	0.2402	✓	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.009317	0.00911	-2.23%	0.007514	-19.36%	0.2063	✓	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.009706	0.009449	-2.66%	0.007463	-23.12%	0.2305	✓	0.89
2026-08-20	oos	0.008948	0.008683	-2.96%	0.009358	+4.58%	0.0031	✓	0.82
2026-08-19	oos	0.008426	0.008246	-2.14%	0.009217	+9.38%	0.0072	✓	0.79
2026-08-18	oos	0.008068	0.007893	-2.16%	0.00897	+11.18%	0.0290	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	0.008275	0.008118	-1.90%	0.00919	+11.06%	0.0155	✓	0.69
2026-08-16	oos	0.008578	0.008399	-2.09%	0.009352	+9.03%	0.0480	✓	0.73
2026-08-15	oos	0.008589	0.008386	-2.37%	0.009317	+8.48%	0.0415	✓	0.73
2026-08-14	oos	0.0085	0.008313	-2.21%	0.009706	+14.19%	0.0049	✓	0.73
2026-08-13	oos	0.008677	0.008475	-2.33%	0.008948	+3.13%	0.0498	✓	0.74
2026-08-12	oos	0.008703	0.008498	-2.36%	0.008426	-3.18%	0.0789	✓	0.79
2026-08-11	oos	0.008934	0.00871	-2.51%	0.008068	-9.70%	0.0907	✓	0.78
2026-08-10	oos	0.008901	0.008659	-2.73%	0.008275	-7.04%	0.0523	✓	0.79
2026-08-09	oos	0.00897	0.008772	-2.22%	0.008578	-4.38%	0.0028	✓	0.80
2026-08-08	oos	0.008852	0.00864	-2.40%	0.008589	-2.97%	0.0178	✓	0.80
2026-08-07	oos	0.008729	0.008495	-2.68%	0.0085	-2.62%	0.0246	✓	0.80
2026-08-06	oos	0.008348	0.008153	-2.33%	0.008677	+3.94%	0.0726	✗	0.79
2026-08-05	oos	0.008174	0.008057	-1.44%	0.008703	+6.47%	0.0921	✗	0.80
2026-08-04	oos	0.008171	0.00806	-1.36%	0.008934	+9.33%	0.1093	✗	0.79
2026-08-03	oos	0.008501	0.008358	-1.69%	0.008901	+4.71%	0.0574	✗	0.81
2026-08-02	oos	0.008375	0.008231	-1.72%	0.00897	+7.11%	0.0691	✗	0.80
2026-08-01	oos	0.008311	0.008192	-1.44%	0.008852	+6.50%	0.0499	✗	0.82
2026-07-31	oos	0.008329	0.008193	-1.63%	0.008729	+4.80%	0.0367	✗	0.82
2026-07-30	oos	0.008197	0.008092	-1.28%	0.008348	+1.84%	0.0373	✗	0.88
2026-07-29	oos	0.008067	0.007981	-1.06%	0.008174	+1.34%	0.0144	✗	0.87
2026-07-28	oos	0.008269	0.00819	-0.96%	0.008171	-1.18%	0.0050	✓	0.87
2026-07-27	oos	0.00824	0.008157	-1.01%	0.008501	+3.16%	0.0444	✗	0.87
2026-07-26	oos	0.008781	0.008696	-0.98%	0.008375	-4.63%	0.0134	✓	0.85
2026-07-25	oos	0.00862	0.008555	-0.76%	0.008311	-3.58%	0.0085	✓	0.85
2026-07-24	oos	0.008485	0.008441	-0.52%	0.008329	-1.84%	0.0039	✓	0.87
2026-07-23	oos	0.008905	0.008831	-0.83%	0.008197	-7.95%	0.0702	✓	0.86
2026-07-22	oos	0.009201	0.009124	-0.83%	0.008067	-12.33%	0.0947	✓	0.85
2026-07-21	oos	0.00921	0.009154	-0.61%	0.008269	-10.21%	0.0670	✓	0.85
2026-07-20	oos	0.008997	0.008932	-0.72%	0.00824	-8.41%	0.0622	✓	0.78
2026-07-19	oos	0.008913	0.008847	-0.73%	0.008781	-1.47%	0.0154	✓	0.78
2026-07-18	oos	0.008975	0.008911	-0.71%	0.00862	-3.95%	0.0275	✓	0.73
2026-07-17	oos	0.008969	0.008888	-0.90%	0.008485	-5.39%	0.0485	✓	0.70
2026-07-16	oos	0.009068	0.00895	-1.30%	0.008905	-1.80%	0.0189	✓	0.70
2026-07-15	oos	0.009512	0.009387	-1.31%	0.009201	-3.27%	0.0347	✓	0.70
2026-07-14	oos	0.009631	0.009518	-1.17%	0.00921	-4.37%	0.0493	✓	0.70
2026-07-13	oos	0.009423	0.009295	-1.36%	0.008997	-4.53%	0.0652	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.009672	0.00955	-1.26%	0.008913	-7.85%	0.0793	✓	0.70
2026-07-11	oos	0.009697	0.009603	-0.97%	0.008975	-7.45%	0.0796	✓	0.75
2026-07-10	oos	0.010006	0.009879	-1.26%	0.008969	-10.36%	0.0940	✓	0.75
2026-07-09	oos	0.009274	0.009208	-0.71%	0.009068	-2.22%	0.0220	✓	0.71
2026-07-08	oos	0.009354	0.009268	-0.91%	0.009512	+1.69%	0.0009	✓	0.69
2026-07-07	oos	0.009024	0.008941	-0.91%	0.009631	+6.73%	0.0556	✗	0.72
2026-07-06	oos	0.009936	0.00975	-1.88%	0.009423	-5.16%	0.0152	✓	0.68
2026-07-05	oos	0.009499	0.009419	-0.85%	0.009672	+1.82%	0.0249	✗	0.65
2026-07-04	oos	0.009528	0.00945	-0.82%	0.009697	+1.78%	0.0188	✗	0.65
2026-07-03	oos	0.00991	0.0098	-1.11%	0.010006	+0.96%	0.0025	✓	0.72
2026-07-02	oos	0.009272	0.009168	-1.12%	0.009274	+0.02%	0.0074	✓	0.70
2026-07-01	oos	0.008911	0.008906	-0.05%	0.009354	+4.97%	0.0239	✗	0.67
2026-06-30	oos	0.00913	0.009141	+0.12%	0.009024	-1.17%	0.0669	✗	0.68
2026-06-29	oos	0.009267	0.009249	-0.20%	0.009936	+7.22%	0.0289	✗	0.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.008886	0.008894	+0.09%	0.009499	+6.90%	0.0214	✓	0.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.010396	0.010326	-0.67%	0.009528	-8.35%	0.1135	✓	0.64
2026-06-26	oos	0.011387	0.011279	-0.95%	0.00991	-12.97%	0.1559	✓	0.64
2026-06-25	oos	0.013294	0.012966	-2.47%	0.009272	-30.25%	0.3550	✓	0.67
2026-06-24	oos	0.011746	0.011618	-1.09%	0.008911	-24.14%	0.2518	✓	0.80
2026-06-23	oos	0.011966	0.011827	-1.16%	0.00913	-23.69%	0.2016	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.012642	0.012428	-1.69%	0.009267	-26.69%	0.2422	✓	0.84
2026-06-21	oos	0.012428	0.012269	-1.28%	0.008886	-28.50%	0.2711	✓	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.012832	0.012669	-1.27%	0.010396	-18.98%	0.1433	✓	0.79
2026-06-19	oos	0.012462	0.012326	-1.09%	0.011387	-8.63%	0.0356	✓	0.78
2026-06-18	oos	0.012835	0.01267	-1.28%	0.013294	+3.58%	0.0887	✗	0.78
2026-06-17	oos	0.012688	0.012508	-1.42%	0.011746	-7.42%	0.0191	✓	0.79
2026-06-16	oos	0.013016	0.012809	-1.59%	0.011966	-8.07%	0.0318	✓	0.78
2026-06-15	oos	0.013092	0.012888	-1.56%	0.012642	-3.43%	0.0100	✓	0.82
2026-06-14	oos	0.012842	0.012637	-1.60%	0.012428	-3.22%	0.0150	✓	0.82
2026-06-13	oos	0.012725	0.012525	-1.57%	0.012832	+0.84%	0.0268	✗	0.82
2026-06-12	oos	0.012232	0.012055	-1.45%	0.012462	+1.88%	0.0340	✗	0.79
2026-06-11	oos	0.012412	0.012187	-1.82%	0.012835	+3.40%	0.0604	✗	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.010985	0.010926	-0.54%	0.012688	+15.50%	0.1163	✗	0.70
2026-06-09	oos	0.011482	0.011379	-0.90%	0.013016	+13.36%	0.0913	✗	0.70
2026-06-08	oos	0.011378	0.011339	-0.35%	0.013092	+15.06%	0.1081	✗	0.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.011748	0.011686	-0.53%	0.012842	+9.31%	0.0689	✗	0.68
2026-06-06	oos	0.011652	0.011659	+0.06%	0.012725	+9.21%	0.0469	✓	0.71
2026-06-05	oos	0.011203	0.011235	+0.28%	0.012232	+9.19%	0.0565	✓	0.71
2026-06-04	oos	0.012499	0.012363	-1.09%	0.012412	-0.70%	0.0063	✓	0.61
2026-06-03	oos	0.013995	0.013725	-1.93%	0.010985	-21.51%	0.2002	✓	0.54
2026-06-02	oos	0.013404	0.013125	-2.08%	0.011482	-14.34%	0.0854	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.014529	0.014106	-2.91%	0.011378	-21.69%	0.1597	✓	0.45
2026-05-31	oos	0.01378	0.013436	-2.50%	0.011748	-14.75%	0.0559	✓	0.52
2026-05-30	oos	0.013753	0.01344	-2.27%	0.011652	-15.27%	0.0563	✓	0.45
2026-05-29	oos	0.013702	0.013426	-2.02%	0.011203	-18.24%	0.0953	✓	0.47
2026-05-28	oos	0.013771	0.013494	-2.01%	0.012499	-9.24%	0.0118	✓	0.46
2026-05-27	oos	0.014086	0.013818	-1.90%	0.013995	-0.64%	0.0892	✗	0.51
2026-05-26	oos	0.014748	0.014465	-1.91%	0.013404	-9.11%	0.0148	✓	0.48
2026-05-25	oos	0.015144	0.014855	-1.91%	0.014529	-4.06%	0.0112	✓	0.42
2026-05-24	oos	0.015189	0.014855	-2.20%	0.01378	-9.28%	0.0567	✓	0.41
2026-05-23	oos	0.0154	0.015105	-1.92%	0.013753	-10.70%	0.0822	✓	0.30
2026-05-22	oos	0.015911	0.015559	-2.21%	0.013702	-13.88%	0.1183	✓	0.31
2026-05-21	oos	0.016543	0.016203	-2.05%	0.013771	-16.75%	0.1466	✓	0.30
2026-05-20	oos	0.015889	0.015525	-2.29%	0.014086	-11.35%	0.0829	✓	0.35
2026-05-19	oos	0.021894	0.020583	-5.99%	0.014748	-32.64%	0.3285	✓	0.39
2026-05-18	oos	0.016803	0.016519	-1.69%	0.015144	-9.87%	0.0885	✓	0.40
2026-05-17	oos	0.016754	0.016489	-1.58%	0.015189	-9.34%	0.0800	✓	0.39
2026-05-16	oos	0.017336	0.017054	-1.63%	0.0154	-11.16%	0.0948	✓	0.38
2026-05-15	oos	0.018036	0.017783	-1.40%	0.015911	-11.78%	0.0934	✓	0.38
2026-05-14	oos	0.019797	0.019488	-1.56%	0.016543	-16.44%	0.1488	✓	0.34
2026-05-13	oos	0.019858	0.019472	-1.95%	0.015889	-19.99%	0.1946	✓	0.38
2026-05-12	oos	0.020427	0.020054	-1.83%	0.021894	+7.18%	0.1047	✗	0.36
2026-05-11	oos	0.021038	0.020663	-1.78%	0.016803	-20.13%	0.1852	✓	0.36
2026-05-10	oos	0.02208	0.021609	-2.13%	0.016754	-24.12%	0.2315	✓	0.38
2026-05-09	oos	0.021847	0.021343	-2.31%	0.017336	-20.65%	0.1956	✓	0.38
2026-05-08	oos	0.021547	0.021053	-2.29%	0.018036	-16.29%	0.1494	✓	0.37
2026-05-07	oos	0.019933	0.019579	-1.78%	0.019797	-0.68%	0.0055	✓	0.42
2026-05-06	oos	0.019935	0.019629	-1.53%	0.019858	-0.38%	0.0268	✗	0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.019731	0.019411	-1.62%	0.020427	+3.53%	0.0544	✗	0.64
2026-05-04	oos	0.019845	0.019445	-2.01%	0.021038	+6.01%	0.0635	✗	0.66
2026-05-03	oos	0.019117	0.018643	-2.48%	0.02208	+15.50%	0.1373	✗	0.70
2026-05-02	oos	0.018419	0.018271	-0.80%	0.021847	+18.61%	0.1614	✗	0.70
2026-05-01	oos	0.017603	0.017484	-0.68%	0.021547	+22.41%	0.1918	✗	0.69
2026-04-30	oos	0.017437	0.01727	-0.95%	0.019933	+14.32%	0.1088	✗	0.73
2026-04-29	oos	0.017567	0.017373	-1.10%	0.019935	+13.48%	0.0848	✗	0.73
2026-04-28	oos	0.018426	0.018195	-1.25%	0.019731	+7.08%	0.0347	✗	0.79
2026-04-27	oos	0.018753	0.018529	-1.20%	0.019845	+5.82%	0.0435	✗	0.80
2026-04-26	oos	0.019489	0.019254	-1.21%	0.019117	-1.91%	0.0060	✓	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.018378	0.018181	-1.07%	0.018419	+0.23%	0.0025	✓	0.80
2026-04-24	oos	0.018617	0.018414	-1.09%	0.017603	-5.45%	0.0531	✓	0.82
2026-04-23	oos	0.018527	0.018355	-0.93%	0.017437	-5.89%	0.0305	✓	0.82
2026-04-22	oos	0.018726	0.018552	-0.93%	0.017567	-6.19%	0.0285	✓	0.82
2026-04-21	oos	0.019744	0.01942	-1.64%	0.018426	-6.68%	0.0522	✓	0.84
2026-04-20	oos	0.019238	0.018889	-1.82%	0.018753	-2.52%	0.0239	✓	0.85
2026-04-19	oos	0.020035	0.019584	-2.25%	0.019489	-2.73%	0.0625	✓	0.91
2026-04-18	oos	0.019848	0.019438	-2.06%	0.018378	-7.41%	0.0791	✓	0.92
2026-04-17	oos	0.019895	0.019554	-1.72%	0.018617	-6.43%	0.0534	✓	0.92
2026-04-16	oos	0.0194	0.018999	-2.07%	0.018527	-4.50%	0.0627	✓	0.92
2026-04-15	oos	0.018617	0.018246	-1.99%	0.018726	+0.59%	0.0144	✓	0.92
2026-04-14	oos	0.018823	0.018378	-2.36%	0.019744	+4.89%	0.0452	✗	0.92
2026-04-13	oos	0.01784	0.017503	-1.89%	0.019238	+7.84%	0.0772	✗	0.92
2026-04-12	oos	0.016785	0.016444	-2.03%	0.020035	+19.36%	0.1591	✗	0.90
2026-04-11	oos	0.01739	0.017022	-2.12%	0.019848	+14.13%	0.1213	✗	0.91
2026-04-10	oos	0.018027	0.017663	-2.02%	0.019895	+10.36%	0.0694	✗	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.018975	0.018554	-2.22%	0.0194	+2.24%	0.0024	✓	0.92
2026-04-08	oos	0.018769	0.018381	-2.07%	0.018617	-0.81%	0.0345	✓	0.92
2026-04-07	oos	0.018412	0.018061	-1.90%	0.018823	+2.24%	0.0126	✓	0.92
2026-04-06	oos	0.01834	0.017897	-2.42%	0.01784	-2.73%	0.0765	✓	0.94
2026-04-05	oos	0.019069	0.01859	-2.51%	0.016785	-11.97%	0.1256	✓	0.94
2026-04-04	oos	0.017457	0.017114	-1.97%	0.01739	-0.38%	0.0594	✓	0.91
2026-04-03	oos	0.016753	0.016555	-1.18%	0.018027	+7.61%	0.0068	✓	0.91
2026-04-02	oos	0.016893	0.016678	-1.27%	0.018975	+12.32%	0.0648	✗	0.91
2026-04-01	oos	0.016632	0.016461	-1.03%	0.018769	+12.85%	0.0921	✗	0.91
2026-03-31	oos	0.016769	0.016633	-0.82%	0.018412	+9.79%	0.0535	✗	0.91
2026-03-30	oos	0.016882	0.016759	-0.73%	0.01834	+8.64%	0.0614	✗	0.92
2026-03-29	oos	0.016501	0.016426	-0.45%	0.019069	+15.57%	0.1078	✗	0.92
2026-03-28	oos	0.016659	0.016572	-0.52%	0.017457	+4.79%	0.0387	✗	0.92
2026-03-27	oos	0.017021	0.016906	-0.68%	0.016753	-1.57%	0.0174	✓	0.92
2026-03-26	oos	0.018289	0.018059	-1.26%	0.016893	-7.63%	0.0418	✓	0.90
2026-03-25	oos	0.019583	0.019263	-1.64%	0.016632	-15.07%	0.1059	✓	0.89
2026-03-24	oos	0.018451	0.018199	-1.37%	0.016769	-9.12%	0.0524	✓	0.88
2026-03-23	oos	0.019065	0.018804	-1.37%	0.016882	-11.45%	0.0547	✓	0.88
2026-03-22	oos	0.019144	0.0189	-1.27%	0.016501	-13.81%	0.1103	✓	0.90
2026-03-21	oos	0.019381	0.019108	-1.41%	0.016659	-14.05%	0.1024	✓	0.91
2026-03-20	oos	0.019715	0.019431	-1.44%	0.017021	-13.67%	0.0774	✓	0.91
2026-03-19	oos	0.020893	0.020563	-1.58%	0.018289	-12.47%	0.1020	✓	0.92
2026-03-18	oos	0.021166	0.020841	-1.54%	0.019583	-7.48%	0.0630	✓	0.92
2026-03-17	oos	0.022669	0.022308	-1.59%	0.018451	-18.61%	0.1470	✓	0.91
2026-03-16	oos	0.023768	0.023388	-1.60%	0.019065	-19.79%	0.1545	✓	0.91
2026-03-15	oos	0.023668	0.023264	-1.71%	0.019144	-19.12%	0.1303	✓	0.91
2026-03-14	oos	0.023757	0.023325	-1.82%	0.019381	-18.42%	0.1548	✓	0.92
2026-03-13	oos	0.023046	0.022645	-1.74%	0.019715	-14.45%	0.1328	✓	0.91
2026-03-12	oos	0.023444	0.023017	-1.82%	0.020893	-10.88%	0.0888	✓	0.92
2026-03-11	oos	0.023227	0.022794	-1.86%	0.021166	-8.87%	0.0875	✓	0.91
2026-03-10	oos	0.022927	0.022503	-1.85%	0.022669	-1.13%	0.0430	✓	0.91
2026-03-09	oos	0.023918	0.023398	-2.18%	0.023768	-0.63%	0.0684	✓	0.93
2026-03-08	oos	0.023185	0.02269	-2.14%	0.023668	+2.08%	0.0498	✓	0.93
2026-03-07	oos	0.023544	0.022951	-2.52%	0.023757	+0.90%	0.0190	✓	0.93
2026-03-06	oos	0.022694	0.022167	-2.33%	0.023046	+1.55%	0.0007	✓	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.022218	0.021718	-2.25%	0.023444	+5.52%	0.0814	✗	0.97
2026-03-04	oos	0.022741	0.022176	-2.48%	0.023227	+2.13%	0.0800	✗	0.97
2026-03-03	oos	0.02346	0.022861	-2.55%	0.022927	-2.27%	0.0221	✓	1.06
2026-03-02	oos	0.024244	0.02355	-2.86%	0.023918	-1.34%	0.0217	✓	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.025315	0.024601	-2.82%	0.023185	-8.41%	0.0628	✓	1.14
2026-02-28	oos	0.026588	0.025725	-3.24%	0.023544	-11.45%	0.0935	✓	1.13
2026-02-27	oos	0.027117	0.026163	-3.52%	0.022694	-16.31%	0.1808	✓	1.15
2026-02-26	oos	0.030155	0.028672	-4.92%	0.022218	-26.32%	0.3104	✓	1.13
2026-02-25	oos	0.027762	0.026511	-4.51%	0.022741	-18.09%	0.2286	✓	1.13
2026-02-24	oos	0.028227	0.026626	-5.67%	0.02346	-16.89%	0.2058	✓	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.027473	0.026506	-3.52%	0.024244	-11.76%	0.1667	✓	1.23
2026-02-22	oos	0.025669	0.02488	-3.08%	0.025315	-1.38%	0.0538	✗	1.31
2026-02-21	oos	0.025697	0.024845	-3.32%	0.026588	+3.47%	0.0870	✗	1.31
2026-02-20	oos	0.027143	0.026007	-4.19%	0.027117	-0.10%	0.0837	✗	1.32
2026-02-19	oos	0.023558	0.02299	-2.41%	0.030155	+28.00%	0.2616	✗	1.26
2026-02-18	oos	0.025147	0.024344	-3.19%	0.027762	+10.40%	0.1013	✗	1.29
2026-02-17	oos	0.024497	0.023883	-2.51%	0.028227	+15.22%	0.2338	✗	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	0.02397	0.023402	-2.37%	0.027473	+14.61%	0.2429	✗	1.30
2026-02-15	oos	0.022138	0.021864	-1.24%	0.025669	+15.95%	0.1825	✗	1.28
2026-02-14	oos	0.022964	0.022569	-1.72%	0.025697	+11.90%	0.1638	✗	1.28
2026-02-13	oos	0.022176	0.02194	-1.07%	0.027143	+22.40%	0.2249	✗	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.021047	0.021144	+0.46%	0.023558	+11.93%	0.0966	✓	1.00
2026-02-11	oos	0.020438	0.020565	+0.62%	0.025147	+23.04%	0.2102	✓	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.020966	0.021018	+0.25%	0.024497	+16.84%	0.1728	✓	1.00
2026-02-09	oos	0.022579	0.022477	-0.45%	0.02397	+6.16%	0.0822	✗	1.00
2026-02-08	oos	0.023423	0.023321	-0.44%	0.022138	-5.49%	0.0307	✓	1.00
2026-02-07	oos	0.023904	0.023952	+0.20%	0.022964	-3.93%	0.0499	✗	1.00
2026-02-06	oos	0.026671	0.026508	-0.61%	0.022176	-16.85%	0.1538	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.023714	0.024227	+2.16%	0.021047	-11.25%	0.1937	✗	1.00
2026-02-04	oos	0.02696	0.026764	-0.73%	0.020438	-24.19%	0.1843	✓	1.00
2026-02-03	oos	0.0285	0.028044	-1.60%	0.020966	-26.43%	0.1959	✓	1.00
2026-02-02	oos	0.032828	0.031858	-2.95%	0.022579	-31.22%	0.2290	✓	1.00
2026-02-01	oos	0.033105	0.03221	-2.70%	0.023423	-29.24%	0.2286	✓	1.00
2026-01-31	oos	0.03362	0.03262	-2.97%	0.023904	-28.90%	0.1836	✓	1.00
2026-01-30	oos	0.037213	0.035586	-4.37%	0.026671	-28.33%	0.1122	✓	1.00
2026-01-29	oos	0.035199	0.033715	-4.22%	0.023714	-32.63%	0.0548	✓	1.00
2026-01-28	oos	0.041349	0.039063	-5.53%	0.02696	-34.80%	0.1708	✓	1.00
2026-01-27	oos	0.038897	0.037036	-4.78%	0.0285	-26.73%	0.0983	✓	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	0.036117	0.034453	-4.61%	0.032828	-9.11%	0.0666	✗	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	0.035127	0.033531	-4.55%	0.033105	-5.76%	0.1056	✗	1.00
2026-01-24	oos	0.038441	0.036516	-5.01%	0.03362	-12.54%	0.0420	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.