FIRO

Firo · native · gru_s8

token id: #950
symbol: FIRO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 3,135

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

53.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2997

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0667

actual +0.0425

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.8476	0.785038	-7.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-20	oos	0.8371	0.780161	-6.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-19	oos	0.8963	0.832396	-7.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-18	oos	0.9173	0.850947	-7.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.8812	0.81803	-7.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-16	oos	0.922	0.853923	-7.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-15	oos	0.9549	0.882969	-7.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-14	oos	0.93775	0.866783	-7.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-13	oos	1.0017	0.924	-7.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-12	oos	1.0128	0.930537	-8.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-11	oos	0.9873	0.909343	-7.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-10	oos	0.9798	0.90039	-8.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-09	oos	0.9222	0.846746	-8.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-08	oos	0.8936	0.818673	-8.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-07	oos	0.99505	0.911335	-8.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-06	oos	0.9847	0.904878	-8.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-05	oos	1.0559	0.970422	-8.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-04	oos	1.1169	1.0265	-8.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-03	oos	1.0857	0.991477	-8.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-02	oos	1.0794	0.981803	-9.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-01	oos	1.0735	0.974669	-9.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-30	oos	1.0859	0.982316	-9.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-29	oos	1.0804	0.978832	-9.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-28	oos	1.2496	1.1317	-9.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-27	oos	1.2486	1.1336	-9.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-09-26	oos	1.2486	1.1346	-9.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	1.3131	1.1889	-9.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	1.2151	1.1096	-8.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.73
2026-09-23	oos	1.2796	1.1628	-9.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.73
2026-09-22	oos	1.3302	1.2088	-9.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.71
2026-09-21	oos	1.2501	1.1437	-8.51%	0.8476	-32.20%	0.2652	✓	0.75
2026-09-20	oos	1.1219	1.0186	-9.20%	0.8371	-25.39%	0.2105	✓	0.65
2026-09-19	oos	1.217	1.0919	-10.28%	0.8963	-26.35%	0.2021	✓	0.64
2026-09-18	oos	1.199	1.0686	-10.87%	0.9173	-23.49%	0.1613	✓	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.9257	0.85157	-8.01%	0.8812	-4.81%	0.0184	✓	0.25
2026-09-16	oos	0.8081	0.760685	-5.87%	0.922	+14.09%	0.1761	✗	0.24
2026-09-15	oos	0.8086	0.759742	-6.04%	0.9549	+18.09%	0.2065	✗	0.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.7633	0.729466	-4.43%	0.93775	+22.85%	0.2361	✗	0.36
2026-09-13	oos	0.7143	0.687338	-3.77%	1.0017	+40.24%	0.3509	✗	0.33
2026-09-12	oos	0.7453	0.715612	-3.98%	1.0128	+35.88%	0.3294	✗	0.32
2026-09-11	oos	0.7486	0.720104	-3.81%	0.9873	+31.89%	0.2903	✗	0.31
2026-09-10	oos	0.73085	0.705548	-3.46%	0.9798	+34.06%	0.3032	✗	0.32
2026-09-09	oos	0.77315	0.746635	-3.43%	0.9222	+19.28%	0.1966	✗	0.27
2026-09-08	oos	0.8507	0.809237	-4.87%	0.8936	+5.04%	0.0881	✗	0.27
2026-09-07	oos	0.8843	0.838127	-5.22%	0.99505	+12.52%	0.1580	✗	0.26
2026-09-06	oos	1.0139	0.933842	-7.90%	0.9847	-2.88%	0.0410	✓	0.19
2026-09-05	oos	0.88455	0.839965	-5.04%	1.0559	+19.38%	0.2166	✗	0.17
2026-09-04	oos	0.6999	0.695915	-0.57%	1.1169	+59.58%	0.4624	✗	0.13
2026-09-03	oos	0.6648	0.672763	+1.20%	1.0857	+63.31%	0.4716	✓	0.17
2026-09-02	oos	0.6575	0.660443	+0.45%	1.0794	+64.16%	0.4676	✓	0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.6566	0.661749	+0.78%	1.0735	+63.49%	0.4582	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.6867	0.693693	+1.02%	1.0859	+58.14%	0.4332	✓	0.24
2026-08-30	oos	0.6726	0.678934	+0.94%	1.0804	+60.63%	0.4436	✓	0.28
2026-08-29	oos	0.6713	0.680008	+1.30%	1.2496	+86.15%	0.5919	✓	0.26
2026-08-28	oos	0.6639	0.673225	+1.40%	1.2486	+88.07%	0.5967	✓	0.26
2026-08-27	oos	0.6748	0.691797	+2.52%	1.2486	+85.03%	0.5780	✓	0.25
2026-08-26	oos	0.6745	0.687408	+1.91%	1.3131	+94.67%	0.6318	✓	0.25
2026-08-25	oos	0.6911	0.702967	+1.72%	1.2151	+75.82%	0.5295	✓	0.25
2026-08-24	oos	0.676	0.690431	+2.13%	1.2796	+89.29%	0.5995	✓	0.26
2026-08-23	oos	0.7136	0.720805	+1.01%	1.3302	+86.41%	0.5815	✓	0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.7006	0.708417	+1.12%	1.2501	+78.43%	0.5330	✓	0.30
2026-08-21	oos	0.6643	0.679167	+2.24%	1.1219	+68.88%	0.4900	✓	0.33
2026-08-20	oos	0.6627	0.660557	-0.32%	1.217	+83.64%	0.5724	✗	0.36
2026-08-19	oos	0.6468	0.633384	-2.07%	1.199	+85.37%	0.5837	✗	0.35
2026-08-18	oos	0.6224	0.598	-3.92%	0.9257	+48.73%	0.3876	✗	0.30
2026-08-17	oos	0.6235	0.598366	-4.03%	0.8081	+29.61%	0.2455	✗	0.33
2026-08-16	oos	0.6239	0.595281	-4.59%	0.8086	+29.60%	0.2443	✗	0.34
2026-08-15	oos	0.6215	0.593152	-4.56%	0.7633	+22.82%	0.1805	✗	0.33
2026-08-14	oos	0.629	0.599482	-4.69%	0.7143	+13.56%	0.1042	✗	0.36
2026-08-13	oos	0.6267	0.597427	-4.67%	0.7453	+18.92%	0.1413	✗	0.40
2026-08-12	oos	0.6273	0.597749	-4.71%	0.7486	+19.34%	0.1395	✗	0.43
2026-08-11	oos	0.6415	0.610516	-4.83%	0.73085	+13.93%	0.0894	✗	0.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.6254	0.596153	-4.68%	0.77315	+23.62%	0.1484	✗	0.55
2026-08-09	oos	0.6305	0.602929	-4.37%	0.8507	+34.92%	0.2534	✗	0.48
2026-08-08	oos	0.6489	0.619859	-4.48%	0.8843	+36.28%	0.2609	✗	0.48
2026-08-07	oos	0.6318	0.60414	-4.38%	1.0139	+60.48%	0.4142	✗	0.48
2026-08-06	oos	0.6206	0.592375	-4.55%	0.88455	+42.53%	0.2974	✗	0.48
2026-08-05	oos	0.6237	0.595425	-4.53%	0.6999	+12.22%	0.0614	✗	0.48
2026-08-04	oos	0.6509	0.618701	-4.95%	0.6648	+2.14%	0.0436	✓	0.48
2026-08-03	oos	0.656	0.62195	-5.19%	0.6575	+0.23%	0.0499	✓	0.53
2026-08-02	oos	0.6586	0.624788	-5.13%	0.6566	-0.30%	0.0671	✓	0.59
2026-08-01	oos	0.6603	0.625443	-5.28%	0.6867	+4.00%	0.0403	✓	0.60
2026-07-31	oos	0.6649	0.629838	-5.27%	0.6726	+1.16%	0.0607	✓	0.60
2026-07-30	oos	0.6688	0.637684	-4.65%	0.6713	+0.37%	0.0659	✓	0.62
2026-07-29	oos	0.6391	0.609701	-4.60%	0.6639	+3.88%	0.0366	✓	0.62
2026-07-28	oos	0.6317	0.604492	-4.31%	0.6748	+6.82%	0.0314	✓	0.62
2026-07-27	oos	0.6857	0.652021	-4.91%	0.6745	-1.63%	0.1058	✓	0.65
2026-07-26	oos	0.666	0.639858	-3.93%	0.6911	+3.77%	0.0450	✓	0.66
2026-07-25	oos	0.6855	0.656138	-4.28%	0.676	-1.39%	0.1195	✓	0.73
2026-07-24	oos	0.75	0.709937	-5.34%	0.7136	-4.85%	0.1530	✓	0.82
2026-07-23	oos	0.6247	0.604903	-3.17%	0.7006	+12.15%	0.0082	✓	0.92
2026-07-22	oos	0.6896	0.664977	-3.57%	0.6643	-3.67%	0.1524	✓	0.89
2026-07-21	oos	0.651	0.632726	-2.81%	0.6627	+1.80%	0.0374	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.6351	0.616788	-2.88%	0.6468	+1.84%	0.0086	✓	0.92
2026-07-19	oos	0.6101	0.594144	-2.62%	0.6224	+2.02%	0.0465	✗	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.6132	0.597219	-2.61%	0.6235	+1.68%	0.0475	✗	0.90
2026-07-17	oos	0.6091	0.59293	-2.65%	0.6239	+2.43%	0.0658	✗	0.89
2026-07-16	oos	0.6314	0.614124	-2.74%	0.6215	-1.57%	0.0225	✓	0.89
2026-07-15	oos	0.6589	0.639824	-2.90%	0.629	-4.54%	0.0084	✓	0.93
2026-07-14	oos	0.6501	0.633176	-2.60%	0.6267	-3.60%	0.0122	✓	0.92
2026-07-13	oos	0.636	0.618407	-2.77%	0.6273	-1.37%	0.0028	✓	0.93
2026-07-12	oos	0.6463	0.628828	-2.70%	0.6415	-0.74%	0.0230	✓	0.94
2026-07-11	oos	0.6453	0.628025	-2.68%	0.6254	-3.08%	0.0062	✓	0.91
2026-07-10	oos	0.6517	0.633784	-2.75%	0.6305	-3.25%	0.0153	✓	0.91
2026-07-09	oos	0.6119	0.597025	-2.43%	0.6489	+6.05%	0.0590	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	0.6209	0.605491	-2.48%	0.6318	+1.76%	0.0035	✓	0.93
2026-07-07	oos	0.6265	0.611273	-2.43%	0.6206	-0.94%	0.0013	✓	0.94
2026-07-06	oos	0.63	0.614828	-2.41%	0.6237	-1.00%	0.0056	✓	0.94
2026-07-05	oos	0.6357	0.620535	-2.39%	0.6509	+2.39%	0.0408	✗	0.95
2026-07-04	oos	0.6459	0.62977	-2.50%	0.656	+1.56%	0.0351	✗	0.95
2026-07-03	oos	0.6386	0.623	-2.44%	0.6586	+3.13%	0.0415	✗	0.91
2026-07-02	oos	0.6473	0.63144	-2.45%	0.6603	+2.01%	0.0257	✗	0.92
2026-07-01	oos	0.6503	0.635034	-2.35%	0.6649	+2.25%	0.0019	✓	0.94
2026-06-30	oos	0.6606	0.645227	-2.33%	0.6688	+1.24%	0.0609	✓	0.96
2026-06-29	oos	0.642	0.627927	-2.19%	0.6391	-0.45%	0.0428	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.6702	0.654341	-2.37%	0.6317	-5.74%	0.1067	✓	1.01
2026-06-27	oos	0.6664	0.650515	-2.38%	0.6857	+2.90%	0.0078	✓	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.6523	0.637386	-2.29%	0.666	+2.10%	0.0407	✓	0.99
2026-06-25	oos	0.6487	0.634218	-2.23%	0.6855	+5.67%	0.0042	✓	0.99
2026-06-24	oos	0.653	0.637328	-2.40%	0.75	+14.85%	0.1138	✗	0.99
2026-06-23	oos	0.6854	0.665984	-2.83%	0.6247	-8.86%	0.1033	✓	1.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.6992	0.677859	-3.05%	0.6896	-1.37%	0.0177	✓	1.06
2026-06-21	oos	0.7204	0.697087	-3.24%	0.651	-9.63%	0.1229	✓	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.7058	0.682903	-3.24%	0.6351	-10.02%	0.0891	✓	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.7008	0.678309	-3.21%	0.6101	-12.94%	0.1269	✓	1.11
2026-06-18	oos	0.7193	0.695406	-3.32%	0.6132	-14.75%	0.1589	✓	1.10
2026-06-17	oos	0.7489	0.721246	-3.69%	0.6091	-18.67%	0.1596	✓	1.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.7709	0.740436	-3.95%	0.6314	-18.10%	0.1281	✓	1.09
2026-06-15	oos	0.7762	0.743909	-4.16%	0.6589	-15.11%	0.0964	✓	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.7691	0.737875	-4.06%	0.6501	-15.47%	0.1151	✓	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.7705	0.739561	-4.02%	0.636	-17.46%	0.1139	✓	1.08
2026-06-12	oos	0.756	0.726793	-3.86%	0.6463	-14.51%	0.1208	✓	1.08
2026-06-11	oos	0.732	0.704787	-3.72%	0.6453	-11.84%	0.0917	✓	1.08
2026-06-10	oos	0.7157	0.691874	-3.33%	0.6517	-8.94%	0.1062	✓	1.09
2026-06-09	oos	0.7293	0.703476	-3.54%	0.6119	-16.10%	0.1656	✓	1.09
2026-06-08	oos	0.7329	0.70477	-3.84%	0.6209	-15.28%	0.1123	✓	1.10
2026-06-07	oos	0.7127	0.686086	-3.73%	0.6265	-12.09%	0.0912	✓	1.04
2026-06-06	oos	0.7402	0.713527	-3.60%	0.63	-14.89%	0.1827	✓	1.15
2026-06-05	oos	0.7405	0.712997	-3.71%	0.6357	-14.15%	0.1617	✓	1.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.8074	0.768827	-4.78%	0.6459	-20.00%	0.1615	✓	1.12
2026-06-03	oos	0.875	0.827285	-5.45%	0.6386	-27.02%	0.2316	✓	1.14
2026-06-02	oos	0.874	0.822594	-5.88%	0.6473	-25.94%	0.1481	✓	1.13
2026-06-01	oos	0.9156	0.853358	-6.80%	0.6503	-28.98%	0.0919	✓	1.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.895	0.833261	-6.90%	0.6606	-26.19%	0.0203	✓	1.10
2026-05-30	oos	0.912	0.847795	-7.04%	0.642	-29.61%	0.0874	✓	0.93
2026-05-29	oos	0.9561	0.88581	-7.35%	0.6702	-29.90%	0.0885	✓	0.91
2026-05-28	oos	0.9597	0.887788	-7.49%	0.6664	-30.56%	0.1049	✓	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.9509	0.878774	-7.59%	0.6523	-31.40%	0.1250	✓	0.81
2026-05-26	oos	0.9861	0.908978	-7.82%	0.6487	-34.22%	0.1450	✓	0.80
2026-05-25	oos	1.0307	0.948155	-8.01%	0.653	-36.64%	0.1661	✓	0.87
2026-05-24	oos	1.0175	0.934378	-8.17%	0.6854	-32.64%	0.1291	✓	0.88
2026-05-23	oos	0.927	0.853287	-7.95%	0.6992	-24.57%	0.0397	✓	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	0.9386	0.862326	-8.13%	0.7204	-23.25%	0.0216	✓	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.9575	0.880184	-8.07%	0.7058	-26.29%	0.0511	✓	0.90
2026-05-20	oos	1.0566	0.966131	-8.56%	0.7008	-33.67%	0.1435	✓	0.89
2026-05-19	oos	0.9715	0.887755	-8.62%	0.7193	-25.96%	0.0359	✓	0.87
2026-05-18	oos	0.9539	0.871535	-8.63%	0.7489	-21.49%	0.0036	✓	0.88
2026-05-17	oos	0.9369	0.858937	-8.32%	0.7709	-17.72%	0.0406	✓	0.90
2026-05-16	oos	1.0445	0.959118	-8.17%	0.7762	-25.69%	0.0677	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	1.201	1.1023	-8.22%	0.7691	-35.96%	0.2049	✓	0.84
2026-05-14	oos	1.2687	1.1659	-8.10%	0.7705	-39.27%	0.2281	✓	0.81
2026-05-13	oos	1.1912	1.0959	-8.00%	0.756	-36.53%	0.1822	✓	0.85
2026-05-12	oos	1.3903	1.2611	-9.30%	0.732	-47.35%	0.3554	✓	0.80
2026-05-11	oos	1.1881	1.1013	-7.30%	0.7157	-39.76%	0.1767	✓	0.89
2026-05-10	oos	1.1859	1.103	-6.99%	0.7293	-38.50%	0.1533	✓	0.91
2026-05-09	oos	1.1651	1.0801	-7.29%	0.7329	-37.10%	0.1640	✓	0.91
2026-05-08	oos	1.168	1.0803	-7.51%	0.7127	-38.98%	0.2075	✓	0.88
2026-05-07	oos	1.1705	1.0825	-7.52%	0.7402	-36.76%	0.1333	✓	0.90
2026-05-06	oos	1.1673	1.0805	-7.44%	0.7405	-36.56%	0.0588	✓	1.11
2026-05-05	oos	1.0047	0.946614	-5.78%	0.8074	-19.64%	0.1217	✗	1.18
2026-05-04	oos	0.9014	0.856825	-4.95%	0.875	-2.93%	0.2740	✗	1.15
2026-05-03	oos	0.891	0.843712	-5.31%	0.874	-1.91%	0.2237	✗	1.15
2026-05-02	oos	0.8907	0.843679	-5.28%	0.9156	+2.80%	0.1941	✗	1.14
2026-05-01	oos	0.8571	0.813997	-5.03%	0.895	+4.42%	0.1647	✗	1.14
2026-04-30	oos	0.829	0.784696	-5.34%	0.912	+10.01%	0.1878	✗	1.11
2026-04-29	oos	0.821	0.778034	-5.23%	0.9561	+16.46%	0.2415	✗	1.11
2026-04-28	oos	0.9136	0.85847	-6.03%	0.9597	+5.05%	0.1537	✗	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.8744	0.830137	-5.06%	0.9509	+8.75%	0.1815	✗	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.9573	0.903227	-5.65%	0.9861	+3.01%	0.1289	✗	1.12
2026-04-25	oos	0.8181	0.785905	-3.94%	1.0307	+25.99%	0.2769	✗	1.11
2026-04-24	oos	0.7601	0.736618	-3.09%	1.0175	+33.86%	0.3301	✗	1.13
2026-04-23	oos	0.8087	0.782397	-3.25%	0.927	+14.63%	0.1933	✗	1.12
2026-04-22	oos	0.8333	0.802948	-3.64%	0.9386	+12.64%	0.1965	✗	1.12
2026-04-21	oos	0.7887	0.758779	-3.79%	0.9575	+21.40%	0.2153	✗	1.11
2026-04-20	oos	0.7759	0.746168	-3.83%	1.0566	+36.18%	0.3246	✗	1.11
2026-04-19	oos	0.7667	0.732133	-4.51%	0.9715	+26.71%	0.2406	✗	1.08
2026-04-18	oos	0.7735	0.744442	-3.76%	0.9539	+23.32%	0.2309	✗	1.08
2026-04-17	oos	0.7731	0.749499	-3.05%	0.9369	+21.19%	0.2188	✗	1.09
2026-04-16	oos	0.7084	0.687256	-2.98%	1.0445	+47.44%	0.3776	✗	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.7505	0.722619	-3.72%	1.201	+60.03%	0.4492	✗	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.7751	0.741725	-4.31%	1.2687	+63.68%	0.4410	✗	1.08
2026-04-13	oos	0.8106	0.772742	-4.67%	1.1912	+46.95%	0.3614	✗	1.13
2026-04-12	oos	0.7887	0.744587	-5.59%	1.3903	+76.28%	0.4766	✗	1.15
2026-04-11	oos	0.8128	0.770277	-5.23%	1.1881	+46.17%	0.3040	✗	1.16
2026-04-10	oos	0.6947	0.670553	-3.48%	1.1859	+70.71%	0.4322	✗	1.16
2026-04-09	oos	0.6567	0.633661	-3.51%	1.1651	+77.42%	0.4750	✗	1.15
2026-04-08	oos	0.6537	0.630002	-3.63%	1.168	+78.68%	0.4784	✗	1.15
2026-04-07	oos	0.6643	0.642027	-3.35%	1.1705	+76.20%	0.4775	✗	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	0.6347	0.607184	-4.34%	1.1673	+83.91%	0.4589	✗	1.16
2026-04-05	oos	0.6043	0.579643	-4.08%	1.0047	+66.26%	0.3654	✗	1.16
2026-04-04	oos	0.6245	0.595823	-4.59%	0.9014	+44.34%	0.2132	✗	1.17
2026-04-03	oos	0.6235	0.594795	-4.60%	0.891	+42.90%	0.2166	✗	1.17
2026-04-02	oos	0.6293	0.599309	-4.77%	0.8907	+41.54%	0.2057	✗	1.17
2026-04-01	oos	0.6221	0.593788	-4.55%	0.8571	+37.78%	0.2053	✗	1.17
2026-03-31	oos	0.6198	0.591638	-4.54%	0.829	+33.75%	0.2074	✗	1.16
2026-03-30	oos	0.6208	0.592209	-4.61%	0.821	+32.25%	0.1789	✗	1.17
2026-03-29	oos	0.6376	0.607617	-4.70%	0.9136	+43.29%	0.2392	✗	1.16
2026-03-28	oos	0.6315	0.60283	-4.54%	0.8744	+38.46%	0.1955	✗	1.15
2026-03-27	oos	0.6051	0.58061	-4.05%	0.9573	+58.21%	0.3051	✗	1.14
2026-03-26	oos	0.6183	0.593361	-4.03%	0.8181	+32.31%	0.1810	✗	1.15
2026-03-25	oos	0.6875	0.657754	-4.33%	0.7601	+10.56%	0.0513	✗	1.13
2026-03-24	oos	0.6465	0.620799	-3.98%	0.8087	+25.09%	0.1483	✗	1.11
2026-03-23	oos	0.6555	0.629081	-4.03%	0.8333	+27.12%	0.1715	✗	1.11
2026-03-22	oos	0.6279	0.602788	-4.00%	0.7887	+25.61%	0.1374	✗	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.6771	0.647625	-4.35%	0.7759	+14.59%	0.0745	✗	1.11
2026-03-20	oos	0.669	0.640968	-4.19%	0.7667	+14.60%	0.1277	✗	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.6529	0.625977	-4.12%	0.7735	+18.47%	0.1228	✗	1.11
2026-03-18	oos	0.6722	0.644715	-4.09%	0.7731	+15.01%	0.0955	✗	1.09
2026-03-17	oos	0.6644	0.640402	-3.61%	0.7084	+6.62%	0.0824	✗	1.12
2026-03-16	oos	0.6809	0.655755	-3.69%	0.7505	+10.22%	0.1357	✗	1.11
2026-03-15	oos	0.6459	0.622761	-3.58%	0.7751	+20.00%	0.1988	✗	1.09
2026-03-14	oos	0.6292	0.606667	-3.58%	0.8106	+28.83%	0.2419	✗	1.09
2026-03-13	oos	0.642	0.618201	-3.71%	0.7887	+22.85%	0.2465	✗	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.6526	0.627151	-3.90%	0.8128	+24.55%	0.2203	✗	1.09
2026-03-11	oos	0.612	0.590276	-3.55%	0.6947	+13.51%	0.1197	✗	1.11
2026-03-10	oos	0.6458	0.621932	-3.70%	0.6567	+1.69%	0.0258	✓	1.10
2026-03-09	oos	0.6859	0.65985	-3.80%	0.6537	-4.69%	0.0524	✓	1.13
2026-03-08	oos	0.6458	0.625457	-3.15%	0.6643	+2.86%	0.0374	✓	1.13
2026-03-07	oos	0.6502	0.629614	-3.17%	0.6347	-2.38%	0.0185	✓	1.13
2026-03-06	oos	0.7077	0.682778	-3.52%	0.6043	-14.61%	0.1368	✓	1.13
2026-03-05	oos	0.7517	0.721776	-3.98%	0.6245	-16.92%	0.0864	✓	1.12
2026-03-04	oos	0.7127	0.685628	-3.80%	0.6235	-12.52%	0.0019	✓	1.14
2026-03-03	oos	0.721	0.697206	-3.30%	0.6293	-12.72%	0.0773	✓	1.18
2026-03-02	oos	0.7801	0.751606	-3.65%	0.6221	-20.25%	0.1765	✓	1.20
2026-03-01	oos	0.8504	0.818378	-3.77%	0.6198	-27.12%	0.3234	✓	1.24
2026-02-28	oos	0.81	0.780559	-3.63%	0.6208	-23.36%	0.2248	✓	1.22
2026-02-27	oos	0.8276	0.797077	-3.69%	0.6376	-22.96%	0.2250	✓	1.23
2026-02-26	oos	0.7424	0.71816	-3.27%	0.6315	-14.94%	0.1065	✓	1.27
2026-02-25	oos	0.7725	0.74496	-3.57%	0.6051	-21.67%	0.1770	✓	1.27
2026-02-24	oos	0.692	0.677239	-2.13%	0.6183	-10.65%	0.1772	✓	1.22
2026-02-23	oos	0.7031	0.687536	-2.21%	0.6875	-2.22%	0.1182	✓	1.20
2026-02-22	oos	0.7356	0.713379	-3.02%	0.6465	-12.11%	0.1500	✓	1.22
2026-02-21	oos	0.7696	0.744468	-3.27%	0.6555	-14.83%	0.1803	✓	1.26
2026-02-20	oos	0.7956	0.769233	-3.31%	0.6279	-21.08%	0.2003	✓	1.34
2026-02-19	oos	0.8029	0.778374	-3.05%	0.6771	-15.67%	0.1780	✓	1.35
2026-02-18	oos	0.8113	0.787795	-2.90%	0.669	-17.54%	0.2460	✓	1.39
2026-02-17	oos	0.822	0.796565	-3.09%	0.6529	-20.57%	0.2507	✓	1.45
2026-02-16	oos	0.8702	0.838983	-3.59%	0.6722	-22.75%	0.2708	✓	1.44
2026-02-15	oos	0.9231	0.887472	-3.86%	0.6644	-28.03%	0.3914	✓	1.41
2026-02-14	oos	0.9424	0.903036	-4.18%	0.6809	-27.75%	0.3809	✓	1.40
2026-02-13	oos	0.9471	0.909701	-3.95%	0.6459	-31.80%	0.4193	✓	1.35
2026-02-12	oos	0.8499	0.827642	-2.62%	0.6292	-25.97%	0.3715	✓	1.33
2026-02-11	oos	0.8637	0.840149	-2.73%	0.642	-25.67%	0.3426	✓	1.30
2026-02-10	oos	0.9149	0.884966	-3.27%	0.6526	-28.67%	0.3363	✓	1.28
2026-02-09	oos	0.9577	0.922435	-3.68%	0.612	-36.10%	0.4122	✓	1.28
2026-02-08	oos	0.9885	0.950393	-3.86%	0.6458	-34.67%	0.3807	✓	1.26
2026-02-07	oos	1.0725	1.0278	-4.17%	0.6859	-36.05%	0.3885	✓	1.35
2026-02-06	oos	1.1406	1.0848	-4.89%	0.6458	-43.38%	0.4250	✓	1.40
2026-02-05	oos	0.9324	0.916515	-1.70%	0.6502	-30.27%	0.4347	✓	1.33
2026-02-04	oos	1.1532	1.0894	-5.53%	0.7077	-38.63%	0.3359	✓	1.38
2026-02-03	oos	1.1517	1.0821	-6.04%	0.7517	-34.73%	0.2653	✓	1.52
2026-02-02	oos	1.208	1.1246	-6.91%	0.7127	-41.00%	0.3373	✓	1.50
2026-02-01	oos	1.2018	1.1171	-7.05%	0.721	-40.01%	0.2891	✓	1.26
2026-01-31	oos	1.2276	1.1312	-7.85%	0.7801	-36.45%	0.1944	✓	1.33
2026-01-30	oos	1.2832	1.1747	-8.45%	0.8504	-33.73%	0.0275	✓	1.43
2026-01-29	oos	1.2912	1.1767	-8.87%	0.81	-37.27%	0.0358	✓	1.45
2026-01-28	oos	1.4375	1.3134	-8.64%	0.8276	-42.43%	0.0301	✓	1.43
2026-01-27	oos	1.4171	1.2929	-8.76%	0.7424	-47.61%	0.1444	✓	1.48
2026-01-26	oos	1.5084	1.3734	-8.95%	0.7725	-48.79%	0.1947	✓	1.46
2026-01-25	oos	1.3886	1.26	-9.26%	0.692	-50.17%	0.1586	✓	1.46
2026-01-24	oos	1.5632	1.4146	-9.50%	0.7031	-55.02%	0.2479	✓	1.41
2026-01-23	oos	1.6004	1.4407	-9.98%	0.7356	-54.04%	0.2697	✓	1.44
2026-01-22	oos	1.7155	1.5256	-11.07%	0.7696	-55.14%	0.2889	✓	1.44
2026-01-21	oos	1.705	1.5058	-11.68%	0.7956	-53.34%	0.2462	✓	1.43
2026-01-20	oos	1.7586	1.5405	-12.40%	0.8029	-54.34%	0.2318	✓	1.52
2026-01-19	oos	1.7548	1.5399	-12.25%	0.8113	-53.77%	0.1115	✓	1.60
2026-01-18	oos	1.6001	1.4168	-11.46%	0.822	-48.63%	0.0084	✓	1.64
2026-01-17	oos	1.7004	1.5097	-11.21%	0.8702	-48.82%	0.0140	✓	1.66
2026-01-16	oos	1.911	1.6829	-11.93%	0.9231	-51.70%	0.0680	✓	1.62
2026-01-15	oos	1.8505	1.6443	-11.14%	0.9424	-49.07%	0.0508	✓	1.61
2026-01-14	oos	1.8977	1.683	-11.31%	0.9471	-50.09%	0.0124	✓	1.64
2026-01-13	oos	1.4442	1.286	-10.95%	0.8499	-41.15%	0.1524	✗	1.55
2026-01-12	oos	1.3797	1.2197	-11.60%	0.8637	-37.40%	0.1300	✗	1.54
2026-01-11	oos	1.2505	1.1215	-10.32%	0.9149	-26.84%	0.2280	✗	1.55
2026-01-10	oos	1.1019	1.0064	-8.67%	0.9577	-13.09%	0.3409	✗	1.54
2026-01-09	oos	1.155	1.0492	-9.16%	0.9885	-14.42%	0.2930	✗	1.39
2026-01-08	oos	1.1722	1.0616	-9.43%	1.0725	-8.51%	0.3449	✗	1.22
2026-01-07	oos	1.2265	1.1024	-10.12%	1.1406	-7.00%	0.2477	✗	0.83
2026-01-06	oos	1.3002	1.16	-10.78%	0.9324	-28.29%	0.0855	✓	0.76
2026-01-05	oos	1.2657	1.1303	-10.70%	1.1532	-8.89%	0.2088	✗	0.75
2026-01-04	oos	1.2551	1.1236	-10.48%	1.1517	-8.24%	0.1596	✗	0.71
2026-01-03	oos	1.2419	1.1134	-10.35%	1.208	-2.73%	0.1825	✗	0.71
2026-01-02	oos	1.2407	1.1117	-10.40%	1.2018	-3.14%	0.1896	✗	0.71
2026-01-01	oos	1.3103	1.1684	-10.83%	1.2276	-6.31%	0.1389	✗	0.74
2025-12-31	oos	1.3419	1.1927	-11.12%	1.2832	-4.37%	0.1025	✓	0.74
2025-12-30	oos	1.3547	1.1985	-11.53%	1.2912	-4.69%	0.1102	✓	0.79
2025-12-29	oos	1.4501	1.2755	-12.04%	1.4375	-0.87%	0.1010	✓	0.80
2025-12-28	oos	1.2472	1.1307	-9.34%	1.4171	+13.62%	0.2143	✗	0.82
2025-12-27	oos	1.2406	1.1295	-8.96%	1.5084	+21.59%	0.2850	✗	0.86
2025-12-26	oos	1.2271	1.1243	-8.38%	1.3886	+13.16%	0.2181	✗	0.83
2025-12-25	oos	1.373	1.2425	-9.51%	1.5632	+13.85%	0.2115	✗	0.84
2025-12-24	oos	1.2847	1.1741	-8.61%	1.6004	+24.57%	0.2919	✗	0.85
2025-12-23	oos	1.3175	1.2076	-8.34%	1.7155	+30.21%	0.3316	✗	0.85
2025-12-22	oos	1.3396	1.2272	-8.39%	1.705	+27.28%	0.3213	✗	0.84
2025-12-21	oos	1.3321	1.2233	-8.17%	1.7586	+32.02%	0.3661	✗	0.84
2025-12-20	oos	1.352	1.2439	-7.99%	1.7548	+29.79%	0.3041	✗	0.85
2025-12-19	oos	1.3798	1.273	-7.74%	1.6001	+15.97%	0.1764	✗	0.86
2025-12-18	oos	1.4117	1.3092	-7.26%	1.7004	+20.45%	0.1655	✗	0.90
2025-12-17	oos	1.5658	1.4425	-7.87%	1.911	+22.05%	0.1920	✗	0.87
2025-12-16	oos	1.5189	1.4027	-7.65%	1.8505	+21.83%	0.2041	✗	0.86
2025-12-15	oos	1.547	1.4321	-7.43%	1.8977	+22.67%	0.1798	✗	0.88
2025-12-14	oos	1.5612	1.4446	-7.47%	1.4442	-7.49%	0.0672	✓	0.85
2025-12-13	oos	1.6587	1.5317	-7.66%	1.3797	-16.82%	0.1130	✓	0.83
2025-12-12	oos	1.6998	1.57	-7.64%	1.2505	-26.43%	0.2330	✓	0.83
2025-12-11	oos	1.9007	1.752	-7.83%	1.1019	-42.03%	0.4453	✓	0.78
2025-12-10	oos	2.0681	1.9012	-8.07%	1.155	-44.15%	0.4852	✓	0.79
2025-12-09	oos	2.2147	2.0306	-8.31%	1.1722	-47.07%	0.5353	✓	0.78
2025-12-08	oos	2.0749	1.8991	-8.47%	1.2265	-40.89%	0.4425	✓	0.76
2025-12-07	oos	2.1585	1.9748	-8.51%	1.3002	-39.76%	0.4457	✓	0.77
2025-12-06	oos	2.1753	1.9857	-8.72%	1.2657	-41.81%	0.4887	✓	0.76
2025-12-05	oos	2.3701	2.1481	-9.36%	1.2551	-47.04%	0.5557	✓	0.77
2025-12-04	oos	2.4001	2.1684	-9.66%	1.2419	-48.26%	0.5448	✓	0.77
2025-12-03	oos	2.2141	1.9917	-10.04%	1.2407	-43.96%	0.4431	✓	0.79
2025-12-02	oos	2.0663	1.8544	-10.25%	1.3103	-36.59%	0.3252	✓	0.77
2025-12-01	oos	2.0424	1.8264	-10.57%	1.3419	-34.30%	0.3202	✓	0.85
2025-11-30	oos	2.0181	1.8044	-10.59%	1.3547	-32.87%	0.2666	✓	0.91
2025-11-29	oos	2.1995	1.9592	-10.93%	1.4501	-34.07%	0.2634	✓	0.90
2025-11-28	oos	2.2508	1.9893	-11.62%	1.2472	-44.59%	0.4362	✓	0.91
2025-11-27	oos	2.65	2.3429	-11.59%	1.2406	-53.18%	0.6009	✓	0.89
2025-11-26	oos	2.8145	2.4629	-12.49%	1.2271	-56.40%	0.6639	✓	0.92
2025-11-25	oos	2.8099	2.4331	-13.41%	1.373	-51.14%	0.5705	✓	0.95
2025-11-24	oos	3.1104	2.6546	-14.65%	1.2847	-58.70%	0.7189	✓	0.92
2025-11-23	oos	2.6466	2.2715	-14.17%	1.3175	-50.22%	0.5506	✓	0.82
2025-11-22	oos	2.0862	1.7917	-14.12%	1.3396	-35.79%	0.3179	✓	0.61
2025-11-21	oos	2.3982	2.0568	-14.24%	1.3321	-44.45%	0.4593	✓	0.61
2025-11-20	oos	2.928	2.4824	-15.22%	1.352	-53.83%	0.6185	✓	0.53
2025-11-19	oos	3.509	2.9375	-16.29%	1.3798	-60.68%	0.7462	✓	0.25
2025-11-18	oos	3.5056	2.9228	-16.62%	1.4117	-59.73%	0.7072	✓	0.25
2025-11-17	oos	4.2919	3.4601	-19.38%	1.5658	-63.52%	0.7734	✓	0.30
2025-11-16	oos	4.1796	3.3843	-19.03%	1.5189	-63.66%	0.7779	✓	0.33
2025-11-15	oos	3.103	2.6126	-15.80%	1.547	-50.15%	0.4808	✓	0.43
2025-11-14	oos	2.8813	2.4373	-15.41%	1.5612	-45.82%	0.4168	✓	0.41
2025-11-13	oos	2.939	2.4941	-15.14%	1.6587	-43.56%	0.3699	✓	0.39
2025-11-12	oos	2.8393	2.3994	-15.49%	1.6998	-40.13%	0.2976	✓	0.40
2025-11-11	oos	3.1359	2.6006	-17.07%	1.9007	-39.39%	0.2752	✓	0.36
2025-11-10	oos	3.0174	2.5016	-17.09%	2.0681	-31.46%	0.1367	✓	0.38
2025-11-09	oos	2.1958	1.9191	-12.60%	2.2147	+0.86%	0.1748	✗	0.26
2025-11-08	oos	1.794	1.596	-11.03%	2.0749	+15.66%	0.2768	✗	0.12
2025-11-07	oos	1.7824	1.5791	-11.40%	2.1585	+21.10%	0.3282	✗	0.12
2025-11-06	oos	1.4682	1.3142	-10.49%	2.1753	+48.16%	0.5037	✗	-0.00
2025-11-05	oos	1.8578	1.6345	-12.02%	2.3701	+27.58%	0.3431	✗	-0.19
2025-11-04	oos	1.8728	1.6255	-13.20%	2.4001	+28.16%	0.3716	✗	-0.19
2025-11-03	oos	1.5803	1.4215	-10.05%	2.2141	+40.11%	0.4493	✗	0.05
2025-11-02	oos	1.8033	1.6069	-10.89%	2.0663	+14.58%	0.2251	✗	-0.14
2025-11-01	oos	1.5727	1.4128	-10.17%	2.0424	+29.87%	0.3309	✗	-0.15
2025-10-31	oos	1.3608	1.2297	-9.63%	2.0181	+48.30%	0.4598	✗	-0.18
2025-10-30	oos	1.2619	1.1363	-9.95%	2.1995	+74.30%	0.6246	✗	-0.20
2025-10-29	oos	1.4833	1.3312	-10.25%	2.2508	+51.74%	0.4701	✗	-0.29
2025-10-28	oos	1.4321	1.291	-9.85%	2.65	+85.04%	0.6657	✗	-0.25
2025-10-27	oos	1.7264	1.5358	-11.04%	2.8145	+63.03%	0.5306	✗	-0.32
2025-10-26	oos	1.5906	1.4284	-10.20%	2.8099	+76.66%	0.5911	✗	-0.32
2025-10-25	oos	1.4643	1.3164	-10.10%	3.1104	+112.42%	0.7745	✗	-0.36
2025-10-24	oos	1.4757	1.3117	-11.11%	2.6466	+79.35%	0.6045	✗	-0.40
2025-10-23	oos	1.4768	1.3073	-11.48%	2.0862	+41.26%	0.3637	✗	-0.39
2025-10-22	oos	1.2884	1.1471	-10.97%	2.3982	+86.14%	0.6162	✗	-0.52
2025-10-21	oos	1.2338	1.1015	-10.72%	2.928	+137.32%	0.8638	✗	-0.51
2025-10-20	oos	1.2969	1.1513	-11.23%	3.509	+170.57%	1.0123	✗	-0.54
2025-10-19	oos	1.1538	1.0244	-11.21%	3.5056	+203.83%	1.1354	✗	-0.61
2025-10-18	oos	1.2065	1.064	-11.81%	4.2919	+255.73%	1.3069	✗	-0.58
2025-10-17	oos	1.2667	1.109	-12.45%	4.1796	+229.96%	1.2578	✗	-0.56
2025-10-16	oos	1.4108	1.2201	-13.52%	3.103	+119.95%	0.8544	✗	-0.64
2025-10-15	oos	1.5306	1.3083	-14.53%	2.8813	+88.25%	0.6748	✗	-0.72
2025-10-14	oos	1.447	1.2375	-14.48%	2.939	+103.11%	0.7763	✗	-0.70
2025-10-13	oos	1.5624	1.3051	-16.47%	2.8393	+81.73%	0.6792	✗	-0.78
2025-10-12	oos	1.4058	1.1826	-15.87%	3.1359	+123.07%	0.8898	✗	-0.77
2025-10-11	oos	1.5112	1.2242	-18.99%	3.0174	+99.67%	0.8719	✗	-0.68
2025-10-10	oos	1.0842	0.929863	-14.24%	2.1958	+102.53%	0.8249	✗	-0.45
2025-10-09	oos	0.9355	0.853647	-8.75%	1.794	+91.77%	0.7433	✗	0.00
2025-10-08	oos	0.7801	0.736315	-5.61%	1.7824	+128.48%	0.9153	✗	0.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.7782	0.729585	-6.25%	1.4682	+88.67%	0.7447	✗	0.25
2025-10-06	oos	0.717	0.686602	-4.24%	1.8578	+159.11%	1.0627	✗	0.37
2025-10-05	oos	0.6989	0.66897	-4.28%	1.8728	+167.96%	1.0990	✗	0.35
2025-10-04	oos	0.7039	0.672107	-4.52%	1.5803	+124.51%	0.9031	✗	0.35
2025-10-03	oos	0.701	0.66992	-4.43%	1.8033	+157.25%	1.0248	✗	0.34
2025-10-02	oos	0.7127	0.676288	-5.11%	1.5727	+120.67%	0.8766	✗	0.36
2025-10-01	oos	0.6238	0.596726	-4.34%	1.3608	+118.15%	0.8446	✗	0.25
2025-09-30	oos	0.6189	0.587467	-5.08%	1.2619	+103.89%	0.7776	✗	0.25
2025-09-29	oos	0.6369	0.603451	-5.25%	1.4833	+132.89%	0.9098	✗	0.27
2025-09-28	oos	0.5722	0.543041	-5.10%	1.4321	+150.28%	0.9686	✗	0.18
2025-09-27	oos	0.5832	0.552231	-5.31%	1.7264	+196.02%	1.1326	✗	0.18
2025-09-26	oos	0.6207	0.58636	-5.53%	1.5906	+156.26%	0.9906	✗	0.17
2025-09-25	oos	0.5954	0.56279	-5.48%	1.4643	+145.94%	0.9526	✗	0.15
2025-09-24	oos	0.6084	0.576532	-5.24%	1.4757	+142.55%	0.9423	✗	0.12
2025-09-23	oos	0.6103	0.577299	-5.41%	1.4768	+141.98%	0.9415	✗	0.13
2025-09-22	oos	0.5926	0.561135	-5.31%	1.2884	+117.41%	0.8368	✗	0.12
2025-09-21	oos	0.6157	0.584292	-5.10%	1.2338	+100.39%	0.7521	✗	0.07
2025-09-20	oos	0.6	0.570128	-4.98%	1.2969	+116.15%	0.8403	✗	0.40
2025-09-19	oos	0.6327	0.600407	-5.10%	1.1538	+82.36%	0.6822	✗	0.46
2025-09-18	oos	0.5919	0.563925	-4.73%	1.2065	+103.84%	0.8063	✗	0.52
2025-09-17	oos	0.641	0.609044	-4.99%	1.2667	+97.61%	0.7772	✗	0.50

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.