FIRO

Firo · native · gru_s8

token id: #950
symbol: FIRO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 3,135

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

52.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1306

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0268

actual +0.0138

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.8476	0.825634	-2.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-20	oos	0.8371	0.81756	-2.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-19	oos	0.8963	0.873834	-2.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-18	oos	0.9173	0.893233	-2.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.8812	0.861569	-2.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-16	oos	0.922	0.898836	-2.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-15	oos	0.9549	0.928178	-2.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-14	oos	0.93775	0.913074	-2.63%	0.8476	-9.61%	0.0866	✓	0.88
2026-10-13	oos	1.0017	0.970009	-3.16%	0.8371	-16.43%	0.1457	✓	0.87
2026-10-12	oos	1.0128	0.980154	-3.22%	0.8963	-11.50%	0.0905	✓	0.88
2026-10-11	oos	0.9873	0.955724	-3.20%	0.9173	-7.09%	0.0231	✓	0.89
2026-10-10	oos	0.9798	0.948591	-3.19%	0.8812	-10.06%	0.0572	✓	0.89
2026-10-09	oos	0.9222	0.895534	-2.89%	0.922	-0.02%	0.0404	✗	0.88
2026-10-08	oos	0.8936	0.869317	-2.72%	0.9549	+6.86%	0.0893	✗	0.88
2026-10-07	oos	0.99505	0.961126	-3.41%	0.93775	-5.76%	0.0072	✓	0.84
2026-10-06	oos	0.9847	0.951078	-3.41%	1.0017	+1.73%	0.0766	✗	0.86
2026-10-05	oos	1.0559	1.0178	-3.62%	1.0128	-4.09%	0.0354	✓	0.84
2026-10-04	oos	1.1169	1.075	-3.75%	0.9873	-11.60%	0.0576	✓	0.83
2026-10-03	oos	1.0857	1.043	-3.93%	0.9798	-9.75%	0.0446	✓	0.82
2026-10-02	oos	1.0794	1.0352	-4.09%	0.9222	-14.56%	0.0964	✓	0.82
2026-10-01	oos	1.0735	1.0292	-4.13%	0.8936	-16.76%	0.1103	✓	0.82
2026-09-30	oos	1.0859	1.0404	-4.20%	0.99505	-8.37%	0.0418	✓	0.82
2026-09-29	oos	1.0804	1.036	-4.11%	0.9847	-8.86%	0.0687	✓	0.80
2026-09-28	oos	1.2496	1.1951	-4.37%	1.0559	-15.50%	0.1447	✓	0.77
2026-09-27	oos	1.2486	1.1949	-4.30%	1.1169	-10.55%	0.0851	✓	0.74
2026-09-26	oos	1.2486	1.1955	-4.25%	1.0857	-13.04%	0.0992	✓	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	1.3131	1.2521	-4.64%	1.0794	-17.80%	0.1520	✓	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	1.2151	1.1646	-4.15%	1.0735	-11.65%	0.0855	✓	0.73
2026-09-23	oos	1.2796	1.2227	-4.45%	1.0859	-15.13%	0.1114	✓	0.73
2026-09-22	oos	1.3302	1.2676	-4.70%	1.0804	-18.78%	0.1385	✓	0.71
2026-09-21	oos	1.2501	1.1937	-4.52%	1.2496	-0.04%	0.0734	✗	0.75
2026-09-20	oos	1.1219	1.0727	-4.39%	1.2486	+11.29%	0.1258	✗	0.65
2026-09-19	oos	1.217	1.1532	-5.24%	1.2486	+2.59%	0.0550	✗	0.64
2026-09-18	oos	1.199	1.1261	-6.08%	1.3131	+9.51%	0.1293	✗	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.9257	0.891242	-3.72%	1.2151	+31.26%	0.2852	✗	0.25
2026-09-16	oos	0.8081	0.789789	-2.27%	1.2796	+58.35%	0.4580	✗	0.24
2026-09-15	oos	0.8086	0.789727	-2.33%	1.3302	+64.51%	0.4863	✗	0.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.7633	0.75215	-1.46%	1.2501	+63.78%	0.4717	✗	0.36
2026-09-13	oos	0.7143	0.70944	-0.68%	1.1219	+57.06%	0.4403	✗	0.33
2026-09-12	oos	0.7453	0.738347	-0.93%	1.217	+63.29%	0.4838	✗	0.32
2026-09-11	oos	0.7486	0.742244	-0.85%	1.199	+60.17%	0.4650	✗	0.31
2026-09-10	oos	0.73085	0.726899	-0.54%	0.9257	+26.66%	0.2425	✗	0.32
2026-09-09	oos	0.77315	0.766947	-0.80%	0.8081	+4.52%	0.0599	✗	0.27
2026-09-08	oos	0.8507	0.835496	-1.79%	0.8086	-4.95%	0.0225	✓	0.27
2026-09-07	oos	0.8843	0.865066	-2.18%	0.7633	-13.68%	0.1221	✓	0.26
2026-09-06	oos	1.0139	0.972673	-4.07%	0.7143	-29.55%	0.3001	✓	0.19
2026-09-05	oos	0.88455	0.859924	-2.78%	0.7453	-15.74%	0.1374	✓	0.17
2026-09-04	oos	0.6999	0.702414	+0.36%	0.7486	+6.96%	0.0677	✓	0.13
2026-09-03	oos	0.6648	0.671437	+1.00%	0.73085	+9.94%	0.0947	✓	0.17
2026-09-02	oos	0.6575	0.66181	+0.66%	0.77315	+17.59%	0.1522	✓	0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.6566	0.661214	+0.70%	0.8507	+29.56%	0.2482	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.6867	0.691359	+0.68%	0.8843	+28.78%	0.2445	✓	0.24
2026-08-30	oos	0.6726	0.676301	+0.55%	1.0139	+50.74%	0.3953	✓	0.28
2026-08-29	oos	0.6713	0.675075	+0.56%	0.88455	+31.77%	0.2651	✓	0.26
2026-08-28	oos	0.6639	0.666952	+0.46%	0.6999	+5.42%	0.0422	✓	0.26
2026-08-27	oos	0.6748	0.679427	+0.69%	0.6648	-1.48%	0.0248	✗	0.25
2026-08-26	oos	0.6745	0.67681	+0.34%	0.6575	-2.52%	0.0235	✗	0.25
2026-08-25	oos	0.6911	0.691833	+0.11%	0.6566	-4.99%	0.0487	✗	0.25
2026-08-24	oos	0.676	0.676952	+0.14%	0.6867	+1.58%	0.0157	✓	0.26
2026-08-23	oos	0.7136	0.710776	-0.40%	0.6726	-5.75%	0.0550	✓	0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.7006	0.697377	-0.46%	0.6713	-4.18%	0.0427	✓	0.30
2026-08-21	oos	0.6643	0.663779	-0.08%	0.6639	-0.06%	0.0023	✗	0.33
2026-08-20	oos	0.6627	0.657098	-0.85%	0.6748	+1.83%	0.0078	✓	0.36
2026-08-19	oos	0.6468	0.638047	-1.35%	0.6745	+4.28%	0.0093	✓	0.35
2026-08-18	oos	0.6224	0.611004	-1.83%	0.6911	+11.04%	0.0654	✗	0.30
2026-08-17	oos	0.6235	0.611795	-1.88%	0.676	+8.42%	0.0327	✗	0.33
2026-08-16	oos	0.6239	0.611335	-2.01%	0.7136	+14.38%	0.0833	✗	0.34
2026-08-15	oos	0.6215	0.609026	-2.01%	0.7006	+12.73%	0.0732	✗	0.33
2026-08-14	oos	0.629	0.615919	-2.08%	0.6643	+5.61%	0.0024	✓	0.36
2026-08-13	oos	0.6267	0.613493	-2.11%	0.6627	+5.74%	0.0202	✓	0.40
2026-08-12	oos	0.6273	0.613884	-2.14%	0.6468	+3.11%	0.0137	✓	0.43
2026-08-11	oos	0.6415	0.627316	-2.21%	0.6224	-2.98%	0.0166	✓	0.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.6254	0.611914	-2.16%	0.6235	-0.30%	0.0139	✓	0.55
2026-08-09	oos	0.6305	0.617261	-2.10%	0.6239	-1.05%	0.0257	✗	0.48
2026-08-08	oos	0.6489	0.634827	-2.17%	0.6215	-4.22%	0.0071	✓	0.48
2026-08-07	oos	0.6318	0.61838	-2.12%	0.629	-0.44%	0.0316	✗	0.48
2026-08-06	oos	0.6206	0.607196	-2.16%	0.6267	+0.98%	0.0379	✗	0.48
2026-08-05	oos	0.6237	0.610082	-2.18%	0.6273	+0.58%	0.0367	✗	0.48
2026-08-04	oos	0.6509	0.635735	-2.33%	0.6415	-1.44%	0.0130	✓	0.48
2026-08-03	oos	0.656	0.64019	-2.41%	0.6254	-4.66%	0.0271	✓	0.53
2026-08-02	oos	0.6586	0.642835	-2.39%	0.6305	-4.27%	0.0318	✓	0.59
2026-08-01	oos	0.6603	0.644307	-2.42%	0.6489	-1.73%	0.0129	✓	0.60
2026-07-31	oos	0.6649	0.648364	-2.49%	0.6318	-4.98%	0.0452	✓	0.60
2026-07-30	oos	0.6688	0.653422	-2.30%	0.6206	-7.21%	0.0472	✓	0.62
2026-07-29	oos	0.6391	0.624834	-2.23%	0.6237	-2.41%	0.0086	✓	0.62
2026-07-28	oos	0.6317	0.618168	-2.14%	0.6509	+3.04%	0.0496	✗	0.62
2026-07-27	oos	0.6857	0.66805	-2.57%	0.656	-4.33%	0.0159	✓	0.65
2026-07-26	oos	0.666	0.6526	-2.01%	0.6586	-1.11%	0.0281	✗	0.66
2026-07-25	oos	0.6855	0.670623	-2.17%	0.6603	-3.68%	0.0020	✓	0.73
2026-07-24	oos	0.75	0.727825	-2.96%	0.6649	-11.35%	0.0742	✓	0.82
2026-07-23	oos	0.6247	0.614241	-1.67%	0.6688	+7.06%	0.0897	✗	0.92
2026-07-22	oos	0.6896	0.675593	-2.03%	0.6391	-7.32%	0.0255	✓	0.89
2026-07-21	oos	0.651	0.639992	-1.69%	0.6317	-2.96%	0.0237	✗	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.6351	0.624839	-1.62%	0.6857	+7.97%	0.1147	✗	0.92
2026-07-19	oos	0.6101	0.601437	-1.42%	0.666	+9.16%	0.0927	✗	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.6132	0.604488	-1.42%	0.6855	+11.79%	0.1328	✗	0.90
2026-07-17	oos	0.6091	0.600761	-1.37%	0.75	+23.13%	0.2192	✗	0.89
2026-07-16	oos	0.6314	0.622376	-1.43%	0.6247	-1.06%	0.0140	✓	0.89
2026-07-15	oos	0.6589	0.648683	-1.55%	0.6896	+4.66%	0.0416	✗	0.93
2026-07-14	oos	0.6501	0.640626	-1.46%	0.651	+0.14%	0.0054	✓	0.92
2026-07-13	oos	0.636	0.627318	-1.37%	0.6351	-0.14%	0.0309	✓	0.93
2026-07-12	oos	0.6463	0.637075	-1.43%	0.6101	-5.60%	0.0571	✓	0.94
2026-07-11	oos	0.6453	0.636113	-1.42%	0.6132	-4.97%	0.0512	✓	0.91
2026-07-10	oos	0.6517	0.641982	-1.49%	0.6091	-6.54%	0.0492	✓	0.91
2026-07-09	oos	0.6119	0.604184	-1.26%	0.6314	+3.19%	0.0356	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	0.6209	0.613269	-1.23%	0.6589	+6.12%	0.0353	✗	0.93
2026-07-07	oos	0.6265	0.618619	-1.26%	0.6501	+3.77%	0.0254	✗	0.94
2026-07-06	oos	0.63	0.621898	-1.29%	0.636	+0.95%	0.0482	✗	0.94
2026-07-05	oos	0.6357	0.627696	-1.26%	0.6463	+1.67%	0.0269	✗	0.95
2026-07-04	oos	0.6459	0.637558	-1.29%	0.6453	-0.09%	0.0018	✓	0.95
2026-07-03	oos	0.6386	0.630847	-1.21%	0.6517	+2.05%	0.0095	✓	0.91
2026-07-02	oos	0.6473	0.639713	-1.17%	0.6119	-5.47%	0.0695	✓	0.92
2026-07-01	oos	0.6503	0.643684	-1.02%	0.6209	-4.52%	0.0712	✓	0.94
2026-06-30	oos	0.6606	0.654504	-0.92%	0.6265	-5.16%	0.1195	✓	0.96
2026-06-29	oos	0.642	0.636238	-0.90%	0.63	-1.87%	0.0719	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.6702	0.663838	-0.95%	0.6357	-5.15%	0.1106	✓	1.01
2026-06-27	oos	0.6664	0.660069	-0.95%	0.6459	-3.08%	0.0726	✓	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.6523	0.646853	-0.84%	0.6386	-2.10%	0.0536	✓	0.99
2026-06-25	oos	0.6487	0.643877	-0.74%	0.6473	-0.22%	0.0239	✓	0.99
2026-06-24	oos	0.653	0.64742	-0.85%	0.6503	-0.41%	0.0211	✗	0.99
2026-06-23	oos	0.6854	0.67743	-1.16%	0.6606	-3.62%	0.0458	✗	1.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.6992	0.690168	-1.29%	0.642	-8.18%	0.0076	✓	1.06
2026-06-21	oos	0.7204	0.710759	-1.34%	0.6702	-6.97%	0.0073	✓	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.7058	0.696383	-1.33%	0.6664	-5.58%	0.0309	✗	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.7008	0.69224	-1.22%	0.6523	-6.92%	0.0030	✓	1.11
2026-06-18	oos	0.7193	0.710581	-1.21%	0.6487	-9.82%	0.0341	✓	1.10
2026-06-17	oos	0.7489	0.737827	-1.48%	0.653	-12.81%	0.0617	✓	1.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.7709	0.757998	-1.67%	0.6854	-11.09%	0.0500	✓	1.09
2026-06-15	oos	0.7762	0.76208	-1.82%	0.6992	-9.92%	0.0487	✓	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.7691	0.756877	-1.59%	0.7204	-6.33%	0.0091	✓	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.7705	0.759507	-1.43%	0.7058	-8.40%	0.0699	✓	1.08
2026-06-12	oos	0.756	0.747296	-1.15%	0.7008	-7.30%	0.0632	✓	1.08
2026-06-11	oos	0.732	0.726125	-0.80%	0.7193	-1.73%	0.0022	✓	1.08
2026-06-10	oos	0.7157	0.714984	-0.10%	0.7489	+4.64%	0.0054	✓	1.09
2026-06-09	oos	0.7293	0.728671	-0.09%	0.7709	+5.70%	0.0113	✓	1.09
2026-06-08	oos	0.7329	0.731575	-0.18%	0.7762	+5.91%	0.0047	✗	1.10
2026-06-07	oos	0.7127	0.714055	+0.19%	0.7691	+7.91%	0.0353	✓	1.04
2026-06-06	oos	0.7402	0.745454	+0.71%	0.7705	+4.09%	0.0329	✗	1.15
2026-06-05	oos	0.7405	0.747131	+0.90%	0.756	+2.09%	0.0344	✗	1.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.8074	0.806648	-0.09%	0.732	-9.34%	0.0928	✓	1.12
2026-06-03	oos	0.875	0.868636	-0.73%	0.7157	-18.21%	0.1466	✓	1.14
2026-06-02	oos	0.874	0.864104	-1.13%	0.7293	-16.56%	0.0818	✓	1.13
2026-06-01	oos	0.9156	0.894605	-2.29%	0.7329	-19.95%	0.0718	✓	1.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.895	0.872958	-2.46%	0.7127	-20.37%	0.0369	✓	1.10
2026-05-30	oos	0.912	0.88925	-2.49%	0.7402	-18.84%	0.0034	✓	0.93
2026-05-29	oos	0.9561	0.93008	-2.72%	0.7405	-22.55%	0.0610	✓	0.91
2026-05-28	oos	0.9597	0.933156	-2.77%	0.8074	-15.87%	0.0186	✓	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.9509	0.924221	-2.81%	0.875	-7.98%	0.0656	✗	0.81
2026-05-26	oos	0.9861	0.954325	-3.22%	0.874	-11.37%	0.0157	✓	0.80
2026-05-25	oos	1.0307	0.99445	-3.52%	0.9156	-11.17%	0.0127	✓	0.87
2026-05-24	oos	1.0175	0.981172	-3.57%	0.895	-12.04%	0.0523	✓	0.88
2026-05-23	oos	0.927	0.899585	-2.96%	0.912	-1.62%	0.0474	✗	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	0.9386	0.911317	-2.91%	0.9561	+1.86%	0.0730	✗	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.9575	0.926736	-3.21%	0.9597	+0.23%	0.0831	✗	0.90
2026-05-20	oos	1.0566	1.0172	-3.73%	0.9509	-10.00%	0.0303	✓	0.89
2026-05-19	oos	0.9715	0.938801	-3.37%	0.9861	+1.50%	0.0599	✗	0.87
2026-05-18	oos	0.9539	0.922421	-3.30%	1.0307	+8.05%	0.1075	✗	0.88
2026-05-17	oos	0.9369	0.90678	-3.21%	1.0175	+8.60%	0.1202	✗	0.90
2026-05-16	oos	1.0445	1.01	-3.30%	0.927	-11.25%	0.0693	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	1.201	1.1575	-3.62%	0.9386	-21.85%	0.1704	✓	0.84
2026-05-14	oos	1.2687	1.2209	-3.77%	0.9575	-24.53%	0.2069	✓	0.81
2026-05-13	oos	1.1912	1.1484	-3.59%	1.0566	-11.30%	0.0636	✓	0.85
2026-05-12	oos	1.3903	1.3252	-4.68%	0.9715	-30.12%	0.2727	✓	0.80
2026-05-11	oos	1.1881	1.1465	-3.50%	0.9539	-19.71%	0.1301	✓	0.89
2026-05-10	oos	1.1859	1.1458	-3.38%	0.9369	-21.00%	0.1468	✓	0.91
2026-05-09	oos	1.1651	1.1246	-3.47%	1.0445	-10.35%	0.0447	✓	0.91
2026-05-08	oos	1.168	1.1252	-3.66%	1.201	+2.83%	0.0777	✗	0.88
2026-05-07	oos	1.1705	1.1273	-3.69%	1.2687	+8.39%	0.1061	✗	0.90
2026-05-06	oos	1.1673	1.1194	-4.11%	1.1912	+2.05%	0.0918	✗	1.11
2026-05-05	oos	1.0047	0.973681	-3.09%	1.3903	+38.38%	0.3624	✗	1.18
2026-05-04	oos	0.9014	0.879454	-2.43%	1.1881	+31.81%	0.2742	✗	1.15
2026-05-03	oos	0.891	0.868547	-2.52%	1.1859	+33.10%	0.2595	✗	1.15
2026-05-02	oos	0.8907	0.867939	-2.56%	1.1651	+30.81%	0.2661	✗	1.14
2026-05-01	oos	0.8571	0.836447	-2.41%	1.168	+36.27%	0.3058	✗	1.14
2026-04-30	oos	0.829	0.8089	-2.42%	1.1705	+41.19%	0.3171	✗	1.11
2026-04-29	oos	0.821	0.801406	-2.39%	1.1673	+42.18%	0.2960	✗	1.11
2026-04-28	oos	0.9136	0.887239	-2.89%	1.0047	+9.97%	0.0585	✗	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.8744	0.852497	-2.50%	0.9014	+3.09%	0.0198	✓	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.9573	0.926547	-3.21%	0.891	-6.93%	0.0375	✓	1.12
2026-04-25	oos	0.8181	0.801474	-2.03%	0.8907	+8.87%	0.0910	✗	1.11
2026-04-24	oos	0.7601	0.747951	-1.60%	0.8571	+12.76%	0.1250	✗	1.13
2026-04-23	oos	0.8087	0.793965	-1.82%	0.829	+2.51%	0.0719	✗	1.12
2026-04-22	oos	0.8333	0.816163	-2.06%	0.821	-1.48%	0.0418	✗	1.12
2026-04-21	oos	0.7887	0.772531	-2.05%	0.9136	+15.84%	0.1682	✗	1.11
2026-04-20	oos	0.7759	0.760604	-1.97%	0.8744	+12.69%	0.1178	✗	1.11
2026-04-19	oos	0.7667	0.750015	-2.18%	0.9573	+24.86%	0.1753	✗	1.08
2026-04-18	oos	0.7735	0.758119	-1.99%	0.8181	+5.77%	0.0493	✗	1.08
2026-04-17	oos	0.7731	0.758785	-1.85%	0.7601	-1.68%	0.0034	✓	1.09
2026-04-16	oos	0.7084	0.697007	-1.61%	0.8087	+14.16%	0.1053	✗	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.7505	0.735855	-1.95%	0.8333	+11.03%	0.0771	✗	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.7751	0.757922	-2.22%	0.7887	+1.75%	0.0088	✓	1.08
2026-04-13	oos	0.8106	0.790498	-2.48%	0.7759	-4.28%	0.0400	✓	1.13
2026-04-12	oos	0.7887	0.767072	-2.74%	0.7667	-2.79%	0.0492	✓	1.15
2026-04-11	oos	0.8128	0.789357	-2.88%	0.7735	-4.84%	0.0615	✓	1.16
2026-04-10	oos	0.6947	0.681075	-1.96%	0.7731	+11.29%	0.0633	✗	1.16
2026-04-09	oos	0.6567	0.644473	-1.86%	0.7084	+7.87%	0.0418	✗	1.15
2026-04-08	oos	0.6537	0.641284	-1.90%	0.7505	+14.81%	0.0980	✗	1.15
2026-04-07	oos	0.6643	0.651891	-1.87%	0.7751	+16.68%	0.1373	✗	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	0.6347	0.621304	-2.11%	0.8106	+27.71%	0.1753	✗	1.16
2026-04-05	oos	0.6043	0.592674	-1.92%	0.7887	+30.51%	0.2567	✗	1.16
2026-04-04	oos	0.6245	0.611474	-2.09%	0.8128	+30.15%	0.1877	✗	1.17
2026-04-03	oos	0.6235	0.610747	-2.05%	0.6947	+11.42%	0.0274	✗	1.17
2026-04-02	oos	0.6293	0.615842	-2.14%	0.6567	+4.35%	0.0188	✓	1.17
2026-04-01	oos	0.6221	0.609162	-2.08%	0.6537	+5.08%	0.0207	✓	1.17
2026-03-31	oos	0.6198	0.606951	-2.07%	0.6643	+7.18%	0.0292	✗	1.16
2026-03-30	oos	0.6208	0.608223	-2.03%	0.6347	+2.24%	0.0062	✓	1.17
2026-03-29	oos	0.6376	0.624658	-2.03%	0.6043	-5.22%	0.0853	✓	1.16
2026-03-28	oos	0.6315	0.618967	-1.98%	0.6245	-1.11%	0.0078	✓	1.15
2026-03-27	oos	0.6051	0.594646	-1.73%	0.6235	+3.04%	0.0370	✗	1.14
2026-03-26	oos	0.6183	0.606751	-1.87%	0.6293	+1.78%	0.0684	✗	1.15
2026-03-25	oos	0.6875	0.672548	-2.17%	0.6221	-9.51%	0.0265	✓	1.13
2026-03-24	oos	0.6465	0.633887	-1.95%	0.6198	-4.13%	0.0147	✓	1.11
2026-03-23	oos	0.6555	0.642369	-2.00%	0.6208	-5.29%	0.0328	✗	1.11
2026-03-22	oos	0.6279	0.616545	-1.81%	0.6376	+1.54%	0.0650	✗	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.6771	0.663146	-2.06%	0.6315	-6.73%	0.0065	✓	1.11
2026-03-20	oos	0.669	0.655131	-2.07%	0.6051	-9.55%	0.0119	✓	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.6529	0.639531	-2.05%	0.6183	-5.30%	0.0154	✓	1.11
2026-03-18	oos	0.6722	0.658298	-2.07%	0.6875	+2.28%	0.0425	✗	1.09
2026-03-17	oos	0.6644	0.65109	-2.00%	0.6465	-2.69%	0.0458	✗	1.12
2026-03-16	oos	0.6809	0.666599	-2.10%	0.6555	-3.73%	0.0443	✗	1.11
2026-03-15	oos	0.6459	0.63319	-1.97%	0.6279	-2.79%	0.0691	✗	1.09
2026-03-14	oos	0.6292	0.61743	-1.87%	0.6771	+7.61%	0.1282	✗	1.09
2026-03-13	oos	0.642	0.629635	-1.93%	0.669	+4.21%	0.0676	✗	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.6526	0.639197	-2.05%	0.6529	+0.05%	0.0308	✗	1.09
2026-03-11	oos	0.612	0.601566	-1.70%	0.6722	+9.84%	0.0948	✗	1.11
2026-03-10	oos	0.6458	0.634287	-1.78%	0.6644	+2.88%	0.0146	✓	1.10
2026-03-09	oos	0.6859	0.67359	-1.79%	0.6809	-0.73%	0.0911	✓	1.13
2026-03-08	oos	0.6458	0.637429	-1.30%	0.6459	+0.02%	0.0988	✓	1.13
2026-03-07	oos	0.6502	0.641508	-1.34%	0.6292	-3.23%	0.0845	✓	1.13
2026-03-06	oos	0.7077	0.6966	-1.57%	0.642	-9.28%	0.1275	✓	1.13
2026-03-05	oos	0.7517	0.737376	-1.91%	0.6526	-13.18%	0.1165	✓	1.12
2026-03-04	oos	0.7127	0.699616	-1.84%	0.612	-14.13%	0.0945	✓	1.14
2026-03-03	oos	0.721	0.710663	-1.43%	0.6458	-10.43%	0.1235	✓	1.18
2026-03-02	oos	0.7801	0.767387	-1.63%	0.6859	-12.08%	0.1053	✓	1.20
2026-03-01	oos	0.8504	0.836349	-1.65%	0.6458	-24.06%	0.2624	✓	1.24
2026-02-28	oos	0.81	0.797513	-1.54%	0.6502	-19.73%	0.2095	✓	1.22
2026-02-27	oos	0.8276	0.814761	-1.55%	0.7077	-14.49%	0.1820	✓	1.23
2026-02-26	oos	0.7424	0.734098	-1.12%	0.7517	+1.25%	0.0385	✓	1.27
2026-02-25	oos	0.7725	0.762776	-1.26%	0.7127	-7.74%	0.1524	✓	1.27
2026-02-24	oos	0.692	0.693259	+0.18%	0.721	+4.19%	0.0393	✗	1.22
2026-02-23	oos	0.7031	0.704419	+0.19%	0.7801	+10.95%	0.0263	✓	1.20
2026-02-22	oos	0.7356	0.732682	-0.40%	0.8504	+15.61%	0.1829	✗	1.22
2026-02-21	oos	0.7696	0.766005	-0.47%	0.81	+5.25%	0.0743	✗	1.26
2026-02-20	oos	0.7956	0.792011	-0.45%	0.8276	+4.02%	0.0866	✗	1.34
2026-02-19	oos	0.8029	0.801943	-0.12%	0.7424	-7.54%	0.0876	✓	1.35
2026-02-18	oos	0.8113	0.812669	+0.17%	0.7725	-4.78%	0.0831	✗	1.39
2026-02-17	oos	0.822	0.823318	+0.16%	0.692	-15.82%	0.0987	✗	1.45
2026-02-16	oos	0.8702	0.868541	-0.19%	0.7031	-19.20%	0.1198	✓	1.44
2026-02-15	oos	0.9231	0.919909	-0.35%	0.7356	-20.31%	0.1993	✓	1.41
2026-02-14	oos	0.9424	0.938235	-0.44%	0.7696	-18.34%	0.1610	✓	1.40
2026-02-13	oos	0.9471	0.947573	+0.05%	0.7956	-16.00%	0.1584	✗	1.35
2026-02-12	oos	0.8499	0.863062	+1.55%	0.8029	-5.53%	0.0875	✗	1.33
2026-02-11	oos	0.8637	0.877015	+1.54%	0.8113	-6.07%	0.0661	✗	1.30
2026-02-10	oos	0.9149	0.92504	+1.11%	0.822	-10.15%	0.0930	✗	1.28
2026-02-09	oos	0.9577	0.965201	+0.78%	0.8702	-9.14%	0.0806	✗	1.28
2026-02-08	oos	0.9885	0.99565	+0.72%	0.9231	-6.62%	0.0488	✗	1.26
2026-02-07	oos	1.0725	1.0783	+0.54%	0.9424	-12.13%	0.1452	✗	1.35
2026-02-06	oos	1.1406	1.1398	-0.07%	0.9471	-16.96%	0.1506	✓	1.40
2026-02-05	oos	0.9324	0.961594	+3.13%	0.8499	-8.85%	0.1939	✗	1.33
2026-02-04	oos	1.1532	1.1504	-0.25%	0.8637	-25.10%	0.1690	✓	1.38
2026-02-03	oos	1.1517	1.1428	-0.77%	0.9149	-20.56%	0.0781	✓	1.52
2026-02-02	oos	1.208	1.1868	-1.76%	0.9577	-20.72%	0.0413	✓	1.50
2026-02-01	oos	1.2018	1.1845	-1.44%	0.9885	-17.75%	0.0675	✓	1.26
2026-01-31	oos	1.2276	1.2015	-2.13%	1.0725	-12.63%	0.0557	✗	1.33
2026-01-30	oos	1.2832	1.2429	-3.14%	1.1406	-11.11%	0.1652	✗	1.43
2026-01-29	oos	1.2912	1.248	-3.34%	0.9324	-27.79%	0.1395	✗	1.45
2026-01-28	oos	1.4375	1.3847	-3.67%	1.1532	-19.78%	0.1021	✗	1.43
2026-01-27	oos	1.4171	1.3651	-3.67%	1.1517	-18.73%	0.0717	✗	1.48
2026-01-26	oos	1.5084	1.4508	-3.82%	1.208	-19.92%	0.0153	✓	1.46
2026-01-25	oos	1.3886	1.3374	-3.69%	1.2018	-13.45%	0.0665	✗	1.46
2026-01-24	oos	1.5632	1.5005	-4.01%	1.2276	-21.47%	0.0256	✓	1.41
2026-01-23	oos	1.6004	1.5324	-4.25%	1.2832	-19.82%	0.0886	✓	1.44
2026-01-22	oos	1.7155	1.6326	-4.83%	1.2912	-24.73%	0.1528	✓	1.44
2026-01-21	oos	1.705	1.619	-5.05%	1.4375	-15.69%	0.1157	✓	1.43
2026-01-20	oos	1.7586	1.6639	-5.38%	1.4171	-19.42%	0.1744	✓	1.52
2026-01-19	oos	1.7548	1.653	-5.80%	1.5084	-14.04%	0.0155	✓	1.60
2026-01-18	oos	1.6001	1.518	-5.13%	1.3886	-13.22%	0.0393	✓	1.64
2026-01-17	oos	1.7004	1.6133	-5.12%	1.5632	-8.07%	0.0773	✗	1.66
2026-01-16	oos	1.911	1.7949	-6.08%	1.6004	-16.25%	0.0088	✓	1.62
2026-01-15	oos	1.8505	1.7488	-5.50%	1.7155	-7.30%	0.0872	✗	1.61
2026-01-14	oos	1.8977	1.7776	-6.33%	1.705	-10.15%	0.0920	✗	1.64
2026-01-13	oos	1.4442	1.3659	-5.42%	1.7586	+21.77%	0.3722	✗	1.55
2026-01-12	oos	1.3797	1.3035	-5.52%	1.7548	+27.19%	0.2743	✗	1.54
2026-01-11	oos	1.2505	1.1922	-4.66%	1.6001	+27.96%	0.2478	✗	1.55
2026-01-10	oos	1.1019	1.063	-3.53%	1.7004	+54.32%	0.3913	✗	1.54
2026-01-09	oos	1.155	1.1114	-3.78%	1.911	+65.45%	0.4673	✗	1.39
2026-01-08	oos	1.1722	1.1266	-3.89%	1.8505	+57.87%	0.4364	✗	1.22
2026-01-07	oos	1.2265	1.1745	-4.24%	1.8977	+54.72%	0.4299	✗	0.83
2026-01-06	oos	1.3002	1.2376	-4.82%	1.4442	+11.08%	0.1411	✗	0.76
2026-01-05	oos	1.2657	1.2064	-4.68%	1.3797	+9.01%	0.1560	✗	0.75
2026-01-04	oos	1.2551	1.2006	-4.34%	1.2505	-0.37%	0.0456	✗	0.71
2026-01-03	oos	1.2419	1.1913	-4.08%	1.1019	-11.27%	0.0762	✓	0.71
2026-01-02	oos	1.2407	1.1932	-3.83%	1.155	-6.91%	0.0369	✓	0.71
2026-01-01	oos	1.3103	1.2578	-4.01%	1.1722	-10.54%	0.0893	✓	0.74
2025-12-31	oos	1.3419	1.2888	-3.95%	1.2265	-8.60%	0.0811	✓	0.74
2025-12-30	oos	1.3547	1.2988	-4.12%	1.3002	-4.02%	0.0454	✓	0.79
2025-12-29	oos	1.4501	1.3849	-4.49%	1.2657	-12.72%	0.1496	✓	0.80
2025-12-28	oos	1.2472	1.221	-2.10%	1.2551	+0.63%	0.0054	✓	0.82
2025-12-27	oos	1.2406	1.2195	-1.70%	1.2419	+0.10%	0.0086	✓	0.86
2025-12-26	oos	1.2271	1.2141	-1.06%	1.2407	+1.11%	0.0032	✓	0.83
2025-12-25	oos	1.373	1.3457	-1.99%	1.3103	-4.57%	0.0416	✓	0.84
2025-12-24	oos	1.2847	1.2714	-1.03%	1.3419	+4.45%	0.0550	✗	0.85
2025-12-23	oos	1.3175	1.3069	-0.80%	1.3547	+2.82%	0.0266	✗	0.85
2025-12-22	oos	1.3396	1.3267	-0.97%	1.4501	+8.25%	0.1028	✗	0.84
2025-12-21	oos	1.3321	1.3237	-0.63%	1.2472	-6.37%	0.0523	✓	0.84
2025-12-20	oos	1.352	1.3465	-0.41%	1.2406	-8.24%	0.0769	✓	0.85
2025-12-19	oos	1.3798	1.3758	-0.29%	1.2271	-11.07%	0.1066	✓	0.86
2025-12-18	oos	1.4117	1.4171	+0.38%	1.373	-2.74%	0.0494	✗	0.90
2025-12-17	oos	1.5658	1.5557	-0.65%	1.2847	-17.95%	0.2054	✓	0.87
2025-12-16	oos	1.5189	1.5103	-0.57%	1.3175	-13.26%	0.1324	✓	0.86
2025-12-15	oos	1.547	1.5431	-0.25%	1.3396	-13.41%	0.1630	✓	0.88
2025-12-14	oos	1.5612	1.551	-0.65%	1.3321	-14.67%	0.1567	✓	0.85
2025-12-13	oos	1.6587	1.6326	-1.57%	1.352	-18.49%	0.1707	✓	0.83
2025-12-12	oos	1.6998	1.6702	-1.74%	1.3798	-18.83%	0.1707	✓	0.83
2025-12-11	oos	1.9007	1.849	-2.72%	1.4117	-25.73%	0.2080	✓	0.78
2025-12-10	oos	2.0681	2.0049	-3.06%	1.5658	-24.29%	0.1955	✓	0.79
2025-12-09	oos	2.2147	2.14	-3.37%	1.5189	-31.42%	0.3009	✓	0.78
2025-12-08	oos	2.0749	2.0093	-3.16%	1.547	-25.44%	0.2250	✓	0.76
2025-12-07	oos	2.1585	2.0873	-3.30%	1.5612	-27.67%	0.2712	✓	0.77
2025-12-06	oos	2.1753	2.1022	-3.36%	1.6587	-23.75%	0.2454	✓	0.76
2025-12-05	oos	2.3701	2.2772	-3.92%	1.6998	-28.28%	0.3004	✓	0.77
2025-12-04	oos	2.4001	2.2983	-4.24%	1.9007	-20.81%	0.1937	✓	0.77
2025-12-03	oos	2.2141	2.1171	-4.38%	2.0681	-6.59%	0.0113	✓	0.79
2025-12-02	oos	2.0663	1.984	-3.98%	2.2147	+7.18%	0.0984	✗	0.77
2025-12-01	oos	2.0424	1.9693	-3.58%	2.0749	+1.59%	0.0102	✓	0.85
2025-11-30	oos	2.0181	1.9404	-3.85%	2.1585	+6.96%	0.1062	✗	0.91
2025-11-29	oos	2.1995	2.105	-4.30%	2.1753	-1.10%	0.0484	✗	0.90
2025-11-28	oos	2.2508	2.147	-4.61%	2.3701	+5.30%	0.1145	✗	0.91
2025-11-27	oos	2.65	2.5194	-4.93%	2.4001	-9.43%	0.0561	✓	0.89
2025-11-26	oos	2.8145	2.6621	-5.41%	2.2141	-21.33%	0.2140	✓	0.92
2025-11-25	oos	2.8099	2.652	-5.62%	2.0663	-26.46%	0.2918	✓	0.95
2025-11-24	oos	3.1104	2.8996	-6.78%	2.0424	-34.34%	0.3296	✓	0.92
2025-11-23	oos	2.6466	2.4943	-5.75%	2.0181	-23.75%	0.2450	✓	0.82
2025-11-22	oos	2.0862	1.9902	-4.60%	2.1995	+5.43%	0.0575	✗	0.61
2025-11-21	oos	2.3982	2.2824	-4.83%	2.2508	-6.15%	0.0542	✓	0.61
2025-11-20	oos	2.928	2.76	-5.74%	2.65	-9.49%	0.0693	✓	0.53
2025-11-19	oos	3.509	3.2666	-6.91%	2.8145	-19.79%	0.1462	✓	0.25
2025-11-18	oos	3.5056	3.2574	-7.08%	2.8099	-19.85%	0.1325	✓	0.25
2025-11-17	oos	4.2919	3.8846	-9.49%	3.1104	-27.53%	0.2097	✓	0.30
2025-11-16	oos	4.1796	3.7789	-9.59%	2.6466	-36.68%	0.3289	✓	0.33
2025-11-15	oos	3.103	2.8849	-7.03%	2.0862	-32.77%	0.2722	✓	0.43
2025-11-14	oos	2.8813	2.6913	-6.60%	2.3982	-16.77%	0.0719	✓	0.41
2025-11-13	oos	2.939	2.742	-6.70%	2.928	-0.37%	0.1199	✗	0.39
2025-11-12	oos	2.8393	2.6404	-7.00%	3.509	+23.59%	0.3263	✗	0.40
2025-11-11	oos	3.1359	2.8739	-8.36%	3.5056	+11.79%	0.2356	✗	0.36
2025-11-10	oos	3.0174	2.7352	-9.35%	4.2919	+42.24%	0.5039	✗	0.38
2025-11-09	oos	2.1958	2.063	-6.05%	4.1796	+90.35%	0.7334	✗	0.26
2025-11-08	oos	1.794	1.7095	-4.71%	3.103	+72.97%	0.6043	✗	0.12
2025-11-07	oos	1.7824	1.6929	-5.02%	2.8813	+61.65%	0.5423	✗	0.12
2025-11-06	oos	1.4682	1.4118	-3.84%	2.939	+100.18%	0.7332	✗	-0.00
2025-11-05	oos	1.8578	1.761	-5.21%	2.8393	+52.83%	0.4735	✗	-0.19
2025-11-04	oos	1.8728	1.7552	-6.28%	3.1359	+67.44%	0.5832	✗	-0.19
2025-11-03	oos	1.5803	1.5143	-4.18%	3.0174	+90.94%	0.6897	✗	0.05
2025-11-02	oos	1.8033	1.7087	-5.24%	2.1958	+21.77%	0.2433	✗	-0.14
2025-11-01	oos	1.5727	1.4978	-4.76%	1.794	+14.07%	0.1691	✗	-0.15
2025-10-31	oos	1.3608	1.3067	-3.97%	1.7824	+30.98%	0.2995	✗	-0.18
2025-10-30	oos	1.2619	1.214	-3.80%	1.4682	+16.35%	0.1765	✗	-0.20
2025-10-29	oos	1.4833	1.4189	-4.34%	1.8578	+25.25%	0.2529	✗	-0.29
2025-10-28	oos	1.4321	1.3719	-4.20%	1.8728	+30.77%	0.2843	✗	-0.25
2025-10-27	oos	1.7264	1.6349	-5.30%	1.5803	-8.46%	0.0561	✓	-0.32
2025-10-26	oos	1.5906	1.5151	-4.74%	1.8033	+13.37%	0.1629	✗	-0.32
2025-10-25	oos	1.4643	1.3992	-4.45%	1.5727	+7.40%	0.1116	✗	-0.36
2025-10-24	oos	1.4757	1.4026	-4.95%	1.3608	-7.79%	0.0356	✓	-0.40
2025-10-23	oos	1.4768	1.3986	-5.29%	1.2619	-14.55%	0.1094	✓	-0.39
2025-10-22	oos	1.2884	1.2279	-4.69%	1.4833	+15.13%	0.2005	✗	-0.52
2025-10-21	oos	1.2338	1.1793	-4.42%	1.4321	+16.07%	0.2151	✗	-0.51
2025-10-20	oos	1.2969	1.233	-4.93%	1.7264	+33.12%	0.3535	✗	-0.54
2025-10-19	oos	1.1538	1.1023	-4.46%	1.5906	+37.86%	0.3985	✗	-0.61
2025-10-18	oos	1.2065	1.1505	-4.64%	1.4643	+21.37%	0.2647	✗	-0.58
2025-10-17	oos	1.2667	1.2046	-4.90%	1.4757	+16.50%	0.2267	✗	-0.56
2025-10-16	oos	1.4108	1.3301	-5.72%	1.4768	+4.68%	0.1158	✗	-0.64
2025-10-15	oos	1.5306	1.4314	-6.48%	1.2884	-15.82%	0.1265	✓	-0.72
2025-10-14	oos	1.447	1.3537	-6.45%	1.2338	-14.73%	0.1225	✓	-0.70
2025-10-13	oos	1.5624	1.4358	-8.10%	1.2969	-16.99%	0.1343	✓	-0.78
2025-10-12	oos	1.4058	1.2977	-7.69%	1.1538	-17.93%	0.1616	✓	-0.77
2025-10-11	oos	1.5112	1.3601	-10.00%	1.2065	-20.16%	0.1422	✓	-0.68
2025-10-10	oos	1.0842	1.0025	-7.54%	1.2667	+16.83%	0.2071	✗	-0.45
2025-10-09	oos	0.9355	0.891764	-4.68%	1.4108	+50.81%	0.4591	✗	0.00
2025-10-08	oos	0.7801	0.757595	-2.88%	1.5306	+96.21%	0.7221	✗	0.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.7782	0.753439	-3.18%	1.447	+85.94%	0.6704	✗	0.25
2025-10-06	oos	0.717	0.70038	-2.32%	1.5624	+117.91%	0.8313	✗	0.37
2025-10-05	oos	0.6989	0.683012	-2.27%	1.4058	+101.14%	0.7469	✗	0.35
2025-10-04	oos	0.7039	0.686966	-2.41%	1.5112	+114.69%	0.8231	✗	0.35
2025-10-03	oos	0.701	0.683718	-2.47%	1.0842	+54.66%	0.4882	✗	0.34
2025-10-02	oos	0.7127	0.692174	-2.88%	0.9355	+31.26%	0.2980	✗	0.36
2025-10-01	oos	0.6238	0.609999	-2.21%	0.7801	+25.06%	0.2361	✗	0.25
2025-09-30	oos	0.6189	0.60447	-2.33%	0.7782	+25.74%	0.2370	✗	0.25
2025-09-29	oos	0.6369	0.620778	-2.53%	0.717	+12.58%	0.1208	✗	0.27
2025-09-28	oos	0.5722	0.559941	-2.14%	0.6989	+22.14%	0.2048	✗	0.18
2025-09-27	oos	0.5832	0.570884	-2.11%	0.7039	+20.70%	0.1891	✗	0.18
2025-09-26	oos	0.6207	0.606269	-2.32%	0.701	+12.94%	0.1268	✗	0.17
2025-09-25	oos	0.5954	0.582597	-2.15%	0.7127	+19.70%	0.1860	✗	0.15
2025-09-24	oos	0.6084	0.594458	-2.29%	0.6238	+2.53%	0.0428	✗	0.12
2025-09-23	oos	0.6103	0.596096	-2.33%	0.6189	+1.41%	0.0351	✗	0.13
2025-09-22	oos	0.5926	0.579298	-2.24%	0.6369	+7.48%	0.0931	✗	0.12
2025-09-21	oos	0.6157	0.60148	-2.31%	0.5722	-7.07%	0.0479	✓	0.07
2025-09-20	oos	0.6	0.586572	-2.24%	0.5832	-2.80%	0.0159	✓	0.40
2025-09-19	oos	0.6327	0.61789	-2.34%	0.6207	-1.90%	0.0292	✗	0.46
2025-09-18	oos	0.5919	0.57904	-2.17%	0.5954	+0.59%	0.0649	✗	0.52
2025-09-17	oos	0.641	0.626272	-2.30%	0.6084	-5.09%	0.0153	✓	0.50

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.