ERG

Ergo · native · gru_s8

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,667

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

63.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0947

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0257

actual -0.0220

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.31945	0.300909	-5.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.326634	-6.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.301754	-5.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.297814	-5.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.303727	-6.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.290239	-6.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.302827	-6.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.276226	-6.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.29105	-6.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.299129	-6.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.304551	-6.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.303164	-7.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.273957	-6.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.284945	-7.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.277332	-6.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.300998	-6.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.294964	-6.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.305308	-5.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.286854	-6.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.303572	-6.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.307402	-6.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.307827	-7.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.311737	-7.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.30096	-7.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.308382	-6.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.305453	-6.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.314455	-7.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.315653	-7.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.322021	-7.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.318731	-6.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.30571	-5.48%	0.31945	-1.24%	0.1044	✗	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.26184	-5.44%	0.3475	+25.50%	0.2578	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.26611	-5.52%	0.32025	+13.70%	0.1766	✗	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.269597	-5.78%	0.31585	+10.38%	0.1423	✗	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.240665	-4.95%	0.32405	+27.98%	0.2297	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.237939	-4.48%	0.3098	+24.37%	0.1919	✗	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.23261	-3.90%	0.3241	+33.90%	0.2439	✗	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.256154	-4.63%	0.2956	+10.05%	0.1013	✗	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.24878	-4.20%	0.311	+19.75%	0.1453	✗	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.25048	-3.88%	0.3215	+23.37%	0.1936	✗	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.246541	-3.28%	0.32625	+27.99%	0.2001	✗	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.247419	-3.35%	0.3262	+27.42%	0.1971	✗	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.244284	-2.05%	0.2942	+17.96%	0.1314	✗	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.247112	-2.02%	0.3076	+21.97%	0.1768	✗	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.221372	-0.06%	0.2978	+34.45%	0.2403	✗	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.259384	-1.97%	0.32115	+21.37%	0.1526	✗	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.2564	-1.12%	0.3138	+21.02%	0.1327	✗	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.253713	-0.03%	0.32445	+27.84%	0.1681	✗	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.266022	+1.00%	0.3062	+16.25%	0.1014	✓	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.261138	+0.23%	0.3255	+24.93%	0.1307	✓	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.255368	+1.50%	0.32945	+30.94%	0.1613	✓	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.263382	+1.93%	0.3314	+28.25%	0.1656	✓	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.251558	+1.89%	0.3359	+36.05%	0.2130	✓	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.255935	+2.09%	0.3236	+29.08%	0.1692	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.260158	+1.51%	0.3311	+29.18%	0.1584	✓	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.265586	+2.70%	0.3278	+26.76%	0.1584	✓	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.267231	+1.80%	0.33875	+29.05%	0.1722	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.266591	+1.60%	0.3396	+29.42%	0.1662	✓	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.271498	+1.57%	0.3478	+30.12%	0.1772	✓	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.270006	+1.24%	0.3403	+27.60%	0.1225	✓	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.272593	+0.63%	0.32345	+19.40%	0.0478	✓	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.272944	+2.04%	0.2769	+3.51%	0.0236	✗	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.243501	+0.25%	0.28165	+15.95%	0.0368	✓	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.213606	-0.88%	0.28615	+32.78%	0.1560	✗	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.195141	-3.11%	0.2532	+25.72%	0.1179	✗	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.196051	-3.23%	0.2491	+22.95%	0.0964	✗	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.196978	-3.96%	0.24205	+18.02%	0.0412	✗	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.194839	-3.78%	0.2686	+32.64%	0.1290	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.198938	-3.89%	0.2597	+25.46%	0.0887	✗	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.201148	-3.76%	0.2606	+24.69%	0.0796	✗	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.207344	-3.96%	0.2549	+18.06%	0.0293	✓	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.21253	-4.09%	0.256	+15.52%	0.0213	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.227111	-4.66%	0.2494	+4.70%	0.0837	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.225963	-4.17%	0.2522	+6.96%	0.0605	✓	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.228561	-4.29%	0.2215	-7.24%	0.2076	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.225879	-4.13%	0.2646	+12.31%	0.0309	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.223924	-4.35%	0.2593	+10.76%	0.0452	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.216771	-3.79%	0.2538	+12.65%	0.0288	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.213362	-3.89%	0.2634	+18.65%	0.0012	✓	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.207843	-3.87%	0.26055	+20.51%	0.0527	✗	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.206069	-3.75%	0.2516	+17.52%	0.0210	✓	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.194925	-3.50%	0.2584	+27.92%	0.0853	✗	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.197339	-3.55%	0.2469	+20.67%	0.0384	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.201509	-2.79%	0.2507	+20.94%	0.0501	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.201544	-3.29%	0.2563	+22.98%	0.0638	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.20053	-3.31%	0.2586	+24.69%	0.0500	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.194246	-3.22%	0.2625	+30.79%	0.1091	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.202891	-2.69%	0.2624	+25.85%	0.0964	✗	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.208386	-3.21%	0.2673	+24.15%	0.0628	✗	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.209301	-3.24%	0.2667	+23.30%	0.0701	✗	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.213832	-2.94%	0.2709	+22.97%	0.0853	✗	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.212769	-2.44%	0.2675	+22.65%	0.0753	✗	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.218163	-2.39%	0.2429	+8.68%	0.0235	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.213867	-2.70%	0.2155	-1.96%	0.0467	✓	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.21433	-2.84%	0.2014	-8.70%	0.0622	✓	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.215013	-2.75%	0.2026	-8.37%	0.0552	✓	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.214617	-2.93%	0.2051	-7.24%	0.0309	✓	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.213753	-2.84%	0.2025	-7.95%	0.0438	✓	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.21439	-2.55%	0.207	-5.91%	0.0112	✓	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.208261	-2.18%	0.209	-1.83%	0.0250	✗	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.20507	-2.49%	0.2159	+2.66%	0.0347	✗	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.216031	-2.47%	0.2216	+0.05%	0.0284	✗	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.215069	-2.33%	0.2382	+8.17%	0.1003	✗	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.214252	-2.12%	0.2358	+7.72%	0.0861	✗	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.213431	-2.19%	0.2388	+9.44%	0.0885	✗	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.21645	-2.32%	0.2356	+6.32%	0.0473	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.21685	-2.10%	0.2341	+5.69%	0.0632	✗	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.218633	-2.00%	0.2253	+0.99%	0.0216	✗	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.212166	-1.73%	0.222	+2.83%	0.0391	✗	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.209483	-1.60%	0.2162	+1.55%	0.0265	✗	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.209367	-1.61%	0.2141	+0.61%	0.0095	✓	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.204838	-1.47%	0.202	-2.84%	0.0310	✓	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.200647	-1.35%	0.2046	+0.59%	0.0190	✓	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.188772	-0.86%	0.2073	+8.88%	0.0143	✗	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.199969	-1.25%	0.2084	+2.91%	0.0044	✓	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.200184	-1.24%	0.2074	+2.32%	0.0188	✓	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.202087	-1.32%	0.2007	-2.00%	0.0535	✓	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.202347	-1.34%	0.2085	+1.66%	0.0356	✓	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.208966	-1.62%	0.2153	+1.37%	0.0276	✓	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.215786	-1.96%	0.2163	-1.73%	0.0348	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.216932	-2.06%	0.2203	-0.54%	0.0128	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.216388	-2.09%	0.2181	-1.31%	0.0171	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.213356	-2.00%	0.2235	+2.66%	0.0082	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.213162	-2.04%	0.2198	+1.01%	0.0189	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.210155	-1.93%	0.2206	+2.94%	0.0341	✗	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.209453	-1.90%	0.2211	+3.56%	0.0314	✗	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.214922	-2.22%	0.2211	+0.59%	0.0347	✗	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.219999	-2.48%	0.22	-2.48%	0.0215	✓	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.226735	-2.81%	0.22	-5.70%	0.0120	✓	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.220385	-2.66%	0.2129	-5.96%	0.0262	✓	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.216471	-2.53%	0.2103	-5.31%	0.0030	✓	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.216418	-2.56%	0.2215	-0.27%	0.0208	✓	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.214835	-2.61%	0.2202	-0.18%	0.0221	✓	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.206209	-1.95%	0.2189	+4.09%	0.0277	✗	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.211131	-2.34%	0.2182	+0.93%	0.0151	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.207075	-2.51%	0.2216	+4.33%	0.0779	✗	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.207103	-2.63%	0.2215	+4.14%	0.0670	✗	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.205436	-1.99%	0.2231	+6.44%	0.0447	✗	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.209728	-2.27%	0.2159	+0.61%	0.0011	✓	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.219486	-3.44%	0.2129	-6.34%	0.0225	✓	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.227767	-3.81%	0.2128	-10.14%	0.0523	✓	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.241574	-4.59%	0.2079	-17.89%	0.1001	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.25818	-4.84%	0.2034	-25.03%	0.1568	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.262992	-4.61%	0.1904	-30.94%	0.2141	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.259921	-4.48%	0.2025	-25.58%	0.1629	✓	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.251979	-4.34%	0.2027	-23.04%	0.1273	✓	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.24852	-4.19%	0.2048	-21.05%	0.1036	✓	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.258609	-4.25%	0.2051	-24.07%	0.1385	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.271848	-4.25%	0.2124	-25.18%	0.1473	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.268345	-3.58%	0.2201	-20.91%	0.0599	✓	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.274297	-3.79%	0.2215	-22.31%	0.0970	✓	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.274251	-3.81%	0.221	-22.48%	0.1206	✓	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.272109	-3.98%	0.2177	-23.18%	0.1294	✓	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.272666	-3.24%	0.2176	-22.78%	0.1226	✓	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.278973	-3.44%	0.2143	-25.82%	0.1565	✓	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.277497	-3.51%	0.2135	-25.76%	0.1560	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.275698	-3.26%	0.2198	-22.88%	0.1309	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.275235	-2.92%	0.2256	-20.42%	0.1105	✓	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.281406	-2.73%	0.2333	-19.36%	0.1002	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.295932	-2.78%	0.2264	-25.62%	0.1643	✓	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.3015	-1.89%	0.2221	-27.73%	0.1755	✓	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.299602	-2.47%	0.2221	-27.70%	0.1720	✓	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.303812	-1.90%	0.2206	-28.77%	0.1851	✓	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.316636	-1.67%	0.2103	-34.69%	0.2430	✓	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.309391	-0.84%	0.2162	-30.71%	0.1894	✓	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.305113	-1.23%	0.2124	-31.24%	0.2170	✓	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.305448	-1.28%	0.2127	-31.25%	0.2237	✓	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.304712	-1.10%	0.2096	-31.97%	0.2142	✓	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.31446	-0.46%	0.2146	-32.07%	0.1739	✓	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.316433	-0.62%	0.2273	-28.61%	0.1994	✓	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.300186	-0.20%	0.2368	-21.28%	0.1190	✓	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.296904	-0.57%	0.2532	-15.20%	0.0747	✓	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.299901	-0.43%	0.2713	-9.93%	0.0490	✓	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.300908	-0.53%	0.2757	-8.86%	0.0549	✓	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.293149	-1.20%	0.2721	-8.29%	0.0558	✓	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.29305	-1.33%	0.2634	-11.31%	0.0888	✓	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.301089	-1.12%	0.2594	-14.81%	0.1281	✓	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.303624	-0.39%	0.2701	-11.38%	0.0945	✓	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.312654	+0.27%	0.2839	-8.95%	0.0759	✗	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.315656	-0.42%	0.2783	-12.21%	0.1231	✓	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.312056	-0.27%	0.2851	-8.88%	0.0868	✓	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.315564	+0.24%	0.2851	-9.43%	0.0898	✗	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.319747	+0.05%	0.2834	-11.33%	0.1006	✗	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.312644	-0.94%	0.2818	-10.71%	0.1125	✓	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.312277	-1.27%	0.2889	-8.66%	0.0896	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.311071	-2.61%	0.2876	-9.96%	0.1010	✓	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.319704	-1.66%	0.285	-12.33%	0.1241	✓	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.327644	-0.92%	0.2835	-14.27%	0.1470	✓	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.317503	-1.61%	0.2893	-10.35%	0.1151	✓	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.311746	-1.41%	0.3044	-3.73%	0.0553	✓	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.30643	-1.56%	0.3073	-1.28%	0.0484	✓	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.303331	-1.23%	0.3072	+0.03%	0.0250	✓	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.291737	-3.05%	0.3097	+2.92%	0.0178	✓	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.307831	-2.21%	0.322	+2.29%	0.0213	✓	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.299627	-1.92%	0.312	+2.13%	0.0298	✓	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.292687	-2.40%	0.3089	+3.00%	0.0146	✓	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.292423	-2.78%	0.3094	+2.86%	0.0146	✓	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.292309	-2.30%	0.3081	+2.97%	0.0104	✓	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.287881	-3.82%	0.3159	+5.55%	0.0100	✓	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.285435	-3.67%	0.3184	+7.46%	0.0119	✓	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.283966	-4.23%	0.3008	+1.45%	0.0481	✓	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.274305	-4.02%	0.2986	+4.48%	0.0134	✓	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.2766	-3.99%	0.3012	+4.55%	0.0144	✓	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.283374	-3.65%	0.3025	+2.86%	0.0200	✓	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.270775	-3.09%	0.2967	+6.19%	0.0219	✓	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.266357	-3.11%	0.297	+8.04%	0.0300	✓	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.263049	-2.90%	0.3045	+12.40%	0.0546	✗	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.27242	-2.78%	0.3048	+8.78%	0.0157	✓	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.278124	-2.72%	0.3118	+9.06%	0.0065	✓	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.283787	-2.11%	0.317	+9.35%	0.0332	✗	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.29074	-1.31%	0.3129	+6.21%	0.0203	✗	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.288997	-1.43%	0.3148	+7.37%	0.0186	✗	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.292559	-1.30%	0.3196	+7.83%	0.0252	✗	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.280688	-1.69%	0.3156	+10.54%	0.0419	✗	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.284068	-1.47%	0.3163	+9.71%	0.0461	✗	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.286485	-1.04%	0.3194	+10.33%	0.0793	✗	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.295898	-1.20%	0.3251	+8.55%	0.0426	✗	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.311322	-1.10%	0.3307	+5.05%	0.0082	✓	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.326951	-0.68%	0.3227	-1.97%	0.0239	✓	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.333211	-0.56%	0.3162	-5.64%	0.0520	✓	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.324037	-0.63%	0.3113	-4.54%	0.0519	✓	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.313844	-0.71%	0.3071	-2.85%	0.0502	✓	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.320482	-0.84%	0.3009	-6.90%	0.0613	✓	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.314233	-0.72%	0.3148	-0.54%	0.0210	✓	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.316263	-0.76%	0.3055	-4.14%	0.0597	✓	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.319214	-0.83%	0.2999	-6.83%	0.0790	✓	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.318122	-0.96%	0.3008	-6.35%	0.0805	✓	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.317545	-1.14%	0.2992	-6.85%	0.1154	✓	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.315812	-0.97%	0.2993	-6.15%	0.0690	✓	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.317001	-0.91%	0.2963	-7.38%	0.0761	✓	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.312828	-0.63%	0.2965	-5.81%	0.0183	✓	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.321426	-0.70%	0.2858	-11.71%	0.0624	✓	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.327178	-1.07%	0.2881	-12.88%	0.1118	✓	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.333459	-1.23%	0.2941	-12.89%	0.1182	✓	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.340362	-1.54%	0.2794	-19.18%	0.2255	✓	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.349152	-1.79%	0.2749	-22.67%	0.2364	✓	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.341635	-1.63%	0.2709	-22.00%	0.2331	✓	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.348869	-1.87%	0.2802	-21.18%	0.2055	✓	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.35245	-2.07%	0.2859	-20.56%	0.1902	✓	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.313828	-0.84%	0.2899	-8.40%	0.1291	✓	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.296057	-0.35%	0.2946	-0.84%	0.0730	✓	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.292757	-0.49%	0.2932	-0.34%	0.0287	✓	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.301893	-0.73%	0.2964	-2.53%	0.0480	✓	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.302845	-0.74%	0.2855	-6.42%	0.0574	✓	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.30841	-0.77%	0.2883	-7.24%	0.0891	✓	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.317767	-0.95%	0.2895	-9.76%	0.1386	✓	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.325172	-1.25%	0.2995	-9.05%	0.1094	✓	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.324873	-1.40%	0.3148	-4.46%	0.0579	✓	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.327369	-1.45%	0.3292	-0.90%	0.0505	✓	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.365137	-2.58%	0.3351	-10.59%	0.1398	✓	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.36171	-2.45%	0.3261	-12.06%	0.1470	✓	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.355022	-1.95%	0.3161	-12.70%	0.1721	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.35332	-2.02%	0.3232	-10.37%	0.1342	✓	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.369368	-2.75%	0.3165	-16.67%	0.1741	✓	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.372832	-3.01%	0.3187	-17.09%	0.1581	✓	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.382167	-3.37%	0.3219	-18.61%	0.1680	✓	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.387069	-3.47%	0.3212	-19.90%	0.1772	✓	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.391502	-3.88%	0.3212	-21.14%	0.1456	✓	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.352841	-0.94%	0.3189	-10.47%	0.1490	✓	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.353457	-3.08%	0.3199	-12.28%	0.0300	✓	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.352397	-3.43%	0.3148	-13.73%	0.0448	✓	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.344777	-3.51%	0.3237	-9.40%	0.0289	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.335198	-3.07%	0.3307	-4.37%	0.1135	✗	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.349949	-3.46%	0.3376	-6.87%	0.1105	✗	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.374828	-3.91%	0.3457	-11.38%	0.1886	✗	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.391835	-4.08%	0.3555	-12.97%	0.1573	✗	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.409402	-3.44%	0.3473	-18.09%	0.1744	✗	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.416542	-3.51%	0.3555	-17.65%	0.1474	✗	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.410579	-3.62%	0.3599	-15.52%	0.1486	✗	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.411367	-4.00%	0.3165	-26.14%	0.0732	✗	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.418239	-3.56%	0.2971	-31.50%	0.0214	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.417978	-3.49%	0.2942	-32.07%	0.0207	✓	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.422512	-3.47%	0.3041	-30.52%	0.0049	✓	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.431804	-3.83%	0.3051	-32.05%	0.0229	✓	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.414877	-4.10%	0.3108	-28.16%	0.0460	✗	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.441148	-2.87%	0.3208	-29.37%	0.0880	✗	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.451581	-2.45%	0.3293	-28.86%	0.0897	✗	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.465288	-1.84%	0.3295	-30.49%	0.0492	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.471662	-1.63%	0.3322	-30.72%	0.0583	✗	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.482207	-1.73%	0.3748	-23.62%	0.1407	✗	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.50328	-1.45%	0.3708	-27.39%	0.1198	✗	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.45381	-1.02%	0.3621	-21.03%	0.2149	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.435625	-2.65%	0.3606	-19.42%	0.1952	✗	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.439933	-2.80%	0.3798	-16.08%	0.2019	✗	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.440532	-2.97%	0.3844	-15.33%	0.1824	✗	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.446466	-3.07%	0.3955	-14.13%	0.2212	✗	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.439748	-2.84%	0.401	-11.40%	0.2685	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.44537	-2.91%	0.4073	-11.21%	0.2737	✗	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.472055	-2.55%	0.3562	-26.47%	0.2808	✗	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.485632	-2.78%	0.3647	-26.99%	0.0657	✗	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.475237	-3.31%	0.3649	-25.76%	0.0050	✓	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.46954	-3.51%	0.3573	-26.57%	0.0722	✓	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.474215	-3.67%	0.3458	-29.76%	0.0926	✓	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.465819	-3.60%	0.3625	-24.98%	0.0793	✓	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.451572	-3.18%	0.3901	-16.36%	0.0911	✓	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.47992	-3.22%	0.4085	-17.62%	0.0986	✓	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.462363	-2.86%	0.424	-10.92%	0.1189	✓	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.464195	-2.93%	0.4317	-9.72%	0.0920	✓	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.421267	-2.37%	0.426	-1.27%	0.0044	✓	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.418638	-2.26%	0.4285	+0.05%	0.0347	✗	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.421982	-2.16%	0.4337	+0.56%	0.0019	✓	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.432682	-2.26%	0.4331	-2.17%	0.0274	✓	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.435714	-2.26%	0.4377	-1.82%	0.0265	✓	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.454832	-2.29%	0.449	-3.54%	0.0251	✓	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.465042	-2.30%	0.4326	-9.12%	0.0673	✓	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.482825	-2.66%	0.4542	-8.43%	0.1251	✓	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.47484	-2.52%	0.4629	-4.97%	0.1087	✓	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.443314	-2.09%	0.474	+4.68%	0.0765	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.452568	-2.23%	0.4795	+3.59%	0.0793	✓	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.44551	-2.13%	0.4907	+7.80%	0.0183	✓	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.441123	-2.08%	0.5107	+13.36%	0.0107	✓	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.464592	-2.34%	0.4585	-3.62%	0.1191	✓	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.465903	-2.29%	0.4475	-6.15%	0.0543	✓	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.470462	-2.31%	0.4526	-6.02%	0.0476	✓	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.48378	-2.31%	0.454	-8.32%	0.0312	✓	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.501201	-2.64%	0.4606	-10.53%	0.0616	✓	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.50707	-2.65%	0.4526	-13.11%	0.0888	✓	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.509815	-2.76%	0.4587	-12.51%	0.1151	✓	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.519073	-2.87%	0.4844	-9.36%	0.1189	✓	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.51101	-2.74%	0.4995	-4.93%	0.0922	✓	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.492256	-2.37%	0.4915	-2.52%	0.0344	✓	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.498154	-2.32%	0.4866	-4.59%	0.0005	✓	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.50723	-2.32%	0.4923	-5.20%	0.0238	✗	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.524497	-2.60%	0.4832	-10.27%	0.0407	✓	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.490761	-1.97%	0.4664	-6.83%	0.0713	✓	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.527589	-2.55%	0.4959	-8.40%	0.0300	✓	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.533698	-2.63%	0.476	-13.15%	0.0542	✓	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.565941	-3.16%	0.4782	-18.17%	0.1196	✓	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.582064	-3.46%	0.4315	-28.43%	0.2428	✓	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.59413	-3.85%	0.4283	-30.68%	0.2762	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.598528	-4.22%	0.4313	-30.98%	0.3251	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.580368	-3.93%	0.4427	-26.72%	0.2596	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.591725	-4.56%	0.4458	-28.10%	0.2940	✓	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.517102	-2.58%	0.4655	-12.30%	0.1701	✓	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.447391	-0.98%	0.476	+5.36%	0.0026	✓	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.44628	-1.13%	0.496	+9.88%	0.0758	✗	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.463017	-1.97%	0.4871	+3.13%	0.1084	✗	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.496826	-2.66%	0.4528	-11.29%	0.0348	✗	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.488467	-2.50%	0.4629	-7.60%	0.0470	✗	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.499187	-2.88%	0.4552	-11.44%	0.0158	✓	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.504568	-3.02%	0.4505	-13.42%	0.0428	✗	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.506534	-2.87%	0.4757	-8.78%	0.0454	✗	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.547609	-3.57%	0.4768	-16.04%	0.0156	✓	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.57419	-3.82%	0.4816	-19.33%	0.0082	✓	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.596511	-4.01%	0.4952	-20.31%	0.0203	✓	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.598847	-3.85%	0.5148	-17.34%	0.0723	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.614886	-4.18%	0.5209	-18.82%	0.0294	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.61263	-4.37%	0.5243	-18.15%	0.0409	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.615117	-4.47%	0.5344	-17.01%	0.0768	✗	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.58898	-4.28%	0.5254	-14.61%	0.0906	✗	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.613628	-4.70%	0.5042	-21.70%	0.0468	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.548458	-4.05%	0.51	-10.78%	0.0761	✗	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.539185	-4.01%	0.5193	-7.55%	0.1849	✗	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.584975	-4.07%	0.5385	-11.69%	0.2399	✗	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.602243	-4.21%	0.5006	-20.38%	0.2290	✗	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.598713	-4.16%	0.5414	-13.33%	0.2273	✗	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.603692	-4.22%	0.5481	-13.04%	0.2049	✗	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.586064	-3.77%	0.5844	-4.04%	0.3322	✗	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.584088	-3.14%	0.6029	-0.02%	0.4071	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.665958	-3.48%	0.6179	-10.45%	0.3261	✗	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.712191	-4.00%	0.6249	-15.77%	0.3363	✗	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.652158	-3.92%	0.6041	-11.00%	0.3192	✗	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.655925	-3.95%	0.62	-9.21%	0.3545	✗	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.637923	-3.85%	0.5308	-20.00%	0.2531	✗	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.592324	-3.72%	0.4518	-26.56%	0.1091	✗	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.608894	-3.73%	0.4514	-28.63%	0.0640	✗	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.640944	-3.78%	0.4723	-29.09%	0.0052	✓	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.644674	-4.22%	0.5104	-24.17%	0.0227	✓	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.598101	-3.95%	0.501	-19.54%	0.0659	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.588571	-3.92%	0.514	-16.10%	0.0597	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.601114	-3.85%	0.5203	-16.78%	0.0545	✗	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.630275	-3.73%	0.5215	-20.35%	0.0609	✗	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.651347	-3.66%	0.5679	-16.00%	0.0637	✗	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.674892	-3.46%	0.597	-14.60%	0.0797	✗	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.679703	-3.78%	0.6214	-12.03%	0.0901	✗	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.589549	-4.39%	0.6228	+1.01%	0.1219	✗	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.562257	-4.15%	0.6417	+9.39%	0.2551	✗	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.670826	-1.60%	0.6406	-6.03%	0.2165	✗	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.704295	-1.15%	0.6439	-9.63%	0.1723	✗	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.690047	-2.08%	0.6153	-12.69%	0.1485	✗	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.730252	-0.78%	0.6439	-12.51%	0.1388	✗	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.705149	-1.25%	0.5716	-19.96%	0.0724	✗	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.708753	-1.77%	0.5617	-22.15%	0.0341	✓	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.718985	-1.89%	0.6098	-16.78%	0.0189	✓	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.725672	-2.70%	0.6287	-15.70%	0.0095	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.701553	-3.63%	0.6247	-14.19%	0.0008	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.649139	-5.48%	0.6303	-8.23%	0.0456	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.654795	-5.51%	0.609	-12.12%	0.0132	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.666974	-5.99%	0.603	-15.01%	0.1112	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.648472	-6.68%	0.69	-0.71%	0.0031	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.635578	-6.89%	0.7419	+8.69%	0.0831	✗	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.64776	-6.81%	0.6788	-2.34%	0.0068	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.696604	-5.53%	0.6829	-7.39%	0.0150	✓	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.673979	-5.83%	0.6635	-7.29%	0.0135	✓	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.71	-4.97%	0.6152	-17.65%	0.0605	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.75433	-3.83%	0.6325	-19.37%	0.0647	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.776577	-3.46%	0.6661	-17.19%	0.0751	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.774774	-3.37%	0.6731	-16.05%	0.0321	✓	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.789993	-2.83%	0.6227	-23.41%	0.0849	✓	1.73
2025-09-17	oos	0.778	0.753806	-3.11%	0.6126	-21.26%	0.0520	✓	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.