ERG

Ergo · native · gru_s8

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,667

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

61.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0622

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0121

actual -0.0072

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.31945	0.311825	-2.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.338382	-2.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.312696	-2.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.30846	-2.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.315705	-2.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.302027	-2.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.315237	-2.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.288077	-2.55%	0.31945	+8.07%	0.0851	✗	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.302777	-2.64%	0.3475	+11.74%	0.1403	✗	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.31245	-2.81%	0.32025	-0.39%	0.0231	✓	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.316891	-2.87%	0.31585	-3.19%	0.0224	✓	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.316215	-3.06%	0.32405	-0.66%	0.0486	✗	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.286205	-2.72%	0.3098	+5.30%	0.0956	✗	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.298527	-2.95%	0.3241	+5.36%	0.0754	✗	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.289779	-2.69%	0.2956	-0.74%	0.0474	✗	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.312531	-2.68%	0.311	-3.16%	0.0322	✗	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.305561	-2.63%	0.3215	+2.45%	0.1118	✗	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.315722	-2.69%	0.32625	+0.55%	0.0748	✗	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.298258	-2.59%	0.3262	+6.53%	0.1169	✗	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.316313	-2.82%	0.2942	-9.62%	0.0431	✓	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.320225	-2.80%	0.3076	-6.63%	0.0071	✓	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.321643	-2.94%	0.2978	-10.14%	0.0728	✓	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.325633	-3.06%	0.32115	-4.39%	0.0419	✓	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.314154	-2.92%	0.3138	-3.03%	0.0355	✓	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.321375	-2.94%	0.32445	-2.01%	0.0213	✓	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.318423	-2.86%	0.3062	-6.59%	0.0441	✓	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.328354	-3.07%	0.3255	-3.91%	0.0150	✓	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.329134	-3.08%	0.32945	-2.99%	0.0061	✓	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.33594	-3.41%	0.3314	-4.72%	0.0010	✓	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.33009	-3.00%	0.3359	-1.29%	0.0573	✗	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.314278	-2.84%	0.3236	+0.05%	0.0776	✗	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.270815	-2.20%	0.3311	+19.57%	0.1545	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.275261	-2.27%	0.3278	+16.39%	0.1299	✗	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.279248	-2.41%	0.33875	+18.38%	0.1481	✗	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.249976	-1.27%	0.3396	+34.12%	0.2002	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.246726	-0.95%	0.3478	+39.62%	0.2345	✗	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.241015	-0.43%	0.3403	+40.59%	0.2059	✗	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.264894	-1.38%	0.32345	+20.42%	0.0987	✗	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.257438	-0.87%	0.2769	+6.62%	0.0183	✗	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.258643	-0.75%	0.28165	+8.08%	0.0354	✗	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.253912	-0.39%	0.28615	+12.26%	0.0734	✗	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.254917	-0.42%	0.2532	-1.09%	0.0043	✓	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.249616	+0.09%	0.2491	-0.12%	0.0264	✓	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.252236	+0.01%	0.24205	-4.02%	0.0025	✗	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.223955	+1.11%	0.2686	+21.26%	0.1945	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.264113	-0.18%	0.2597	-1.85%	0.0269	✗	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.259764	+0.18%	0.2606	+0.50%	0.0349	✓	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.255343	+0.61%	0.2549	+0.43%	0.0280	✓	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.265634	+0.85%	0.256	-2.81%	0.0192	✓	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.261733	+0.45%	0.2494	-4.28%	0.0609	✗	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.253857	+0.90%	0.2522	+0.24%	0.0202	✗	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.260784	+0.92%	0.2215	-14.28%	0.1703	✗	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.249084	+0.88%	0.2646	+7.17%	0.0257	✓	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.252745	+0.82%	0.2593	+3.43%	0.0051	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.257354	+0.41%	0.2538	-0.98%	0.0375	✗	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.260382	+0.69%	0.2634	+1.86%	0.0011	✓	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.262885	+0.15%	0.26055	-0.74%	0.0141	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.26206	-0.13%	0.2516	-4.12%	0.0255	✓	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.26635	-0.36%	0.2584	-3.33%	0.0246	✓	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.264811	-0.71%	0.2469	-7.42%	0.0692	✓	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.267898	-1.11%	0.2507	-7.46%	0.0824	✓	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.264858	-0.99%	0.2563	-4.19%	0.0262	✓	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.239616	-1.35%	0.2586	+6.46%	0.0204	✓	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.213332	-1.01%	0.2625	+21.81%	0.0914	✗	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.198479	-1.45%	0.2624	+30.29%	0.1125	✗	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.199609	-1.48%	0.2673	+31.93%	0.1175	✗	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.201755	-1.63%	0.2667	+30.03%	0.0892	✗	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.199381	-1.54%	0.2709	+33.78%	0.1273	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.203724	-1.58%	0.2675	+29.23%	0.0769	✗	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.205749	-1.56%	0.2429	+16.22%	0.0380	✗	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.212345	-1.65%	0.2155	-0.19%	0.0652	✓	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.217811	-1.71%	0.2014	-9.12%	0.0942	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.233401	-2.01%	0.2026	-14.95%	0.1492	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.231341	-1.89%	0.2051	-13.02%	0.0922	✓	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.234075	-1.98%	0.2025	-15.20%	0.1186	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.231052	-1.93%	0.207	-12.14%	0.0834	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.229378	-2.02%	0.209	-10.72%	0.0814	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.221318	-1.77%	0.2159	-4.17%	0.0082	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.218045	-1.78%	0.2216	-0.18%	0.0234	✗	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.212482	-1.72%	0.2382	+10.18%	0.1081	✗	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.210502	-1.68%	0.2358	+10.14%	0.0945	✗	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.199056	-1.46%	0.2388	+18.22%	0.1526	✗	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.201562	-1.49%	0.2356	+15.15%	0.1277	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.2045	-1.35%	0.2341	+12.93%	0.1414	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.205296	-1.49%	0.2253	+8.11%	0.0831	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.204292	-1.50%	0.222	+7.04%	0.0803	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.197851	-1.42%	0.2162	+7.72%	0.0919	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.205685	-1.35%	0.2141	+2.69%	0.0651	✗	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.212056	-1.51%	0.202	-6.18%	0.0268	✓	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.213037	-1.51%	0.2046	-5.41%	0.0227	✓	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.217048	-1.48%	0.2073	-5.90%	0.0414	✓	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.215159	-1.35%	0.2084	-4.45%	0.0014	✓	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.220403	-1.39%	0.2074	-7.20%	0.0239	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.216655	-1.43%	0.2007	-8.69%	0.0554	✓	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.217388	-1.46%	0.2085	-5.49%	0.0508	✓	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.217912	-1.44%	0.2153	-2.62%	0.0054	✓	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.217859	-1.47%	0.2163	-2.17%	0.0097	✓	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.216853	-1.43%	0.2203	+0.14%	0.0014	✓	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.216945	-1.39%	0.2181	-0.86%	0.0130	✓	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.21022	-1.26%	0.2235	+4.98%	0.0408	✗	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.207746	-1.21%	0.2198	+4.52%	0.0139	✗	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.218599	-1.31%	0.2206	-0.41%	0.0040	✓	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.217405	-1.27%	0.2211	+0.41%	0.0032	✓	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.216241	-1.21%	0.2211	+1.01%	0.0254	✗	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.2156	-1.19%	0.22	+0.82%	0.0119	✓	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.21892	-1.21%	0.22	-0.72%	0.0301	✓	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.218861	-1.19%	0.2129	-3.88%	0.0510	✓	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.220409	-1.21%	0.2103	-5.74%	0.0222	✓	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.213591	-1.07%	0.2215	+2.59%	0.0343	✗	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.210764	-1.00%	0.2202	+3.43%	0.0347	✗	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.210707	-0.98%	0.2189	+2.87%	0.0171	✗	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.206096	-0.87%	0.2182	+4.95%	0.0346	✗	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.201939	-0.72%	0.2216	+8.95%	0.0622	✗	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.189696	-0.37%	0.2215	+16.33%	0.0929	✗	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.201221	-0.63%	0.2231	+10.17%	0.0563	✗	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.201552	-0.57%	0.2159	+6.51%	0.0178	✗	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.203571	-0.60%	0.2129	+3.96%	0.0056	✓	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.203899	-0.59%	0.2128	+3.75%	0.0111	✗	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.210986	-0.67%	0.2079	-2.12%	0.0375	✓	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.218198	-0.86%	0.2034	-7.59%	0.0576	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.219334	-0.98%	0.1904	-14.04%	0.0905	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.218761	-1.01%	0.2025	-8.37%	0.0309	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.215692	-0.92%	0.2027	-6.89%	0.0157	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.215502	-0.96%	0.2048	-5.88%	0.0023	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.212466	-0.86%	0.2051	-4.29%	0.0078	✓	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.211839	-0.78%	0.2124	-0.52%	0.0419	✗	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.217663	-0.97%	0.2201	+0.14%	0.0521	✗	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.223094	-1.11%	0.2215	-1.82%	0.0278	✗	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.230316	-1.28%	0.221	-5.27%	0.0141	✓	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.223806	-1.15%	0.2177	-3.84%	0.0013	✓	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.219921	-0.98%	0.2176	-2.03%	0.0082	✓	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.220098	-0.90%	0.2143	-3.51%	0.0259	✓	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.2187	-0.86%	0.2135	-3.22%	0.0157	✓	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.209806	-0.24%	0.2198	+4.52%	0.0108	✗	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.215449	-0.35%	0.2256	+4.35%	0.0001	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.211555	-0.40%	0.2333	+9.84%	0.0597	✗	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.21196	-0.35%	0.2264	+6.44%	0.0376	✗	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.210436	+0.40%	0.2221	+5.96%	0.0111	✓	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.215332	+0.34%	0.2221	+3.49%	0.0013	✓	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.226152	-0.51%	0.2206	-2.95%	0.0222	✓	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.235208	-0.67%	0.2103	-11.19%	0.0849	✓	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.249917	-1.30%	0.2162	-14.61%	0.0970	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.26654	-1.75%	0.2124	-21.71%	0.1691	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.270794	-1.78%	0.2127	-22.85%	0.1700	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.267486	-1.70%	0.2096	-22.97%	0.1619	✓	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.259311	-1.55%	0.2146	-18.53%	0.1100	✓	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.255698	-1.43%	0.2273	-12.37%	0.0554	✓	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.266036	-1.50%	0.2368	-12.33%	0.0515	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.279271	-1.63%	0.2532	-10.81%	0.0444	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.274318	-1.43%	0.2713	-2.52%	0.0357	✗	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.280833	-1.50%	0.2757	-3.30%	0.0072	✓	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.280962	-1.45%	0.2721	-4.56%	0.0119	✓	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.279501	-1.38%	0.2634	-7.06%	0.0445	✓	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.278393	-1.21%	0.2594	-7.95%	0.0415	✓	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.285226	-1.27%	0.2701	-6.51%	0.0321	✓	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.284123	-1.21%	0.2839	-1.29%	0.0058	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.281954	-1.07%	0.2783	-2.35%	0.0152	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.280851	-0.93%	0.2851	+0.56%	0.0180	✗	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.286675	-0.91%	0.2851	-1.45%	0.0045	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.301209	-1.05%	0.2834	-6.90%	0.0348	✓	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.304731	-0.84%	0.2818	-8.30%	0.0530	✓	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.304306	-0.94%	0.2889	-5.96%	0.0387	✓	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.307217	-0.80%	0.2876	-7.14%	0.0390	✓	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.319296	-0.84%	0.285	-11.49%	0.0785	✓	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.310399	-0.51%	0.2835	-9.13%	0.0553	✓	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.307124	-0.58%	0.2893	-6.35%	0.0408	✓	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.307632	-0.57%	0.3044	-1.62%	0.0023	✓	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.306578	-0.49%	0.3073	-0.26%	0.0054	✓	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.314731	-0.37%	0.3072	-2.75%	0.0049	✓	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.317018	-0.43%	0.3097	-2.73%	0.0205	✓	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.300274	-0.17%	0.322	+7.05%	0.0574	✗	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.297844	-0.25%	0.312	+4.49%	0.0231	✗	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.300513	-0.23%	0.3089	+2.56%	0.0146	✗	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.301704	-0.26%	0.3094	+2.28%	0.0121	✗	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.295447	-0.42%	0.3081	+3.84%	0.0157	✗	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.295618	-0.47%	0.3159	+6.36%	0.0261	✗	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.303104	-0.46%	0.3184	+4.56%	0.0166	✗	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.304053	-0.25%	0.3008	-1.31%	0.0285	✓	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.311515	-0.09%	0.2986	-4.23%	0.0415	✓	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.315838	-0.37%	0.3012	-4.98%	0.0548	✓	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.311865	-0.33%	0.3025	-3.32%	0.0360	✓	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.314147	-0.21%	0.2967	-5.75%	0.0429	✓	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.318536	-0.33%	0.297	-7.07%	0.0522	✓	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.313459	-0.68%	0.3045	-3.52%	0.0288	✓	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.313695	-0.82%	0.3048	-3.64%	0.0397	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.315313	-1.28%	0.3118	-2.38%	0.0480	✓	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.321682	-1.05%	0.317	-2.49%	0.0291	✓	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.32771	-0.90%	0.3129	-5.38%	0.0490	✓	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.319032	-1.14%	0.3148	-2.45%	0.0368	✓	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.312732	-1.10%	0.3196	+1.08%	0.0036	✓	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.307746	-1.14%	0.3156	+1.38%	0.0086	✓	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.303884	-1.05%	0.3163	+3.00%	0.0288	✗	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.296385	-1.50%	0.3194	+6.15%	0.0492	✗	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.31046	-1.38%	0.3251	+3.27%	0.0249	✗	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.301619	-1.27%	0.3307	+8.25%	0.0597	✗	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.295756	-1.38%	0.3227	+7.60%	0.0602	✗	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.296306	-1.49%	0.3162	+5.12%	0.0347	✗	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.295077	-1.38%	0.3113	+4.04%	0.0352	✗	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.293984	-1.78%	0.3071	+2.61%	0.0042	✓	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.291184	-1.73%	0.3009	+1.55%	0.0175	✗	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.29103	-1.84%	0.3148	+6.17%	0.0275	✗	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.280932	-1.70%	0.3055	+6.89%	0.0307	✗	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.283225	-1.69%	0.2999	+4.10%	0.0138	✓	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.289198	-1.67%	0.3008	+2.28%	0.0130	✓	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.275459	-1.41%	0.2992	+7.09%	0.0500	✗	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.271348	-1.29%	0.2993	+8.88%	0.0786	✗	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.267842	-1.13%	0.2963	+9.38%	0.0726	✗	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.277011	-1.14%	0.2965	+5.82%	0.0589	✗	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.282654	-1.14%	0.2858	-0.03%	0.0053	✓	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.286794	-1.07%	0.2881	-0.62%	0.0222	✗	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.291826	-0.94%	0.2941	-0.17%	0.0371	✗	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.290419	-0.95%	0.2794	-4.71%	0.0173	✓	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.293634	-0.93%	0.2749	-7.25%	0.0273	✓	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.283018	-0.87%	0.2709	-5.11%	0.0257	✓	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.285849	-0.85%	0.2802	-2.81%	0.0045	✓	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.287245	-0.78%	0.2859	-1.24%	0.0340	✗	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.297055	-0.82%	0.2899	-3.21%	0.0137	✓	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.312079	-0.86%	0.2946	-6.42%	0.0582	✓	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.326363	-0.86%	0.2932	-10.94%	0.0764	✓	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.33219	-0.87%	0.2964	-11.55%	0.0784	✓	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.323308	-0.86%	0.2855	-12.45%	0.0788	✓	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.313573	-0.80%	0.2883	-8.79%	0.0627	✓	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.320472	-0.84%	0.2895	-10.43%	0.0976	✓	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.314057	-0.77%	0.2995	-5.37%	0.0419	✓	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.31624	-0.77%	0.3148	-1.22%	0.0140	✓	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.319375	-0.78%	0.3292	+2.27%	0.0051	✓	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.31878	-0.75%	0.3351	+4.33%	0.0081	✓	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.318983	-0.69%	0.3261	+1.53%	0.0420	✓	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.316755	-0.67%	0.3161	-0.88%	0.0394	✓	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.317729	-0.68%	0.3232	+1.03%	0.0096	✓	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.312661	-0.68%	0.3165	+0.54%	0.0156	✗	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.321181	-0.78%	0.3187	-1.54%	0.0155	✗	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.328306	-0.72%	0.3219	-2.66%	0.0367	✓	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.334909	-0.80%	0.3212	-4.86%	0.0377	✓	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.34296	-0.79%	0.3212	-7.09%	0.0679	✓	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.35215	-0.94%	0.3189	-10.30%	0.1026	✓	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.34446	-0.82%	0.3199	-7.89%	0.1003	✓	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.352011	-0.98%	0.3148	-11.45%	0.1501	✓	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.355882	-1.12%	0.3237	-10.06%	0.1470	✓	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.315439	-0.34%	0.3307	+4.49%	0.0019	✓	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.296967	-0.04%	0.3376	+13.63%	0.0846	✗	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.293581	-0.21%	0.3457	+17.51%	0.1832	✗	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.303185	-0.30%	0.3555	+16.90%	0.1695	✗	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.30431	-0.26%	0.3473	+13.83%	0.1562	✗	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.31026	-0.17%	0.3555	+14.38%	0.1303	✗	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.320212	-0.18%	0.3599	+12.19%	0.0990	✗	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.328199	-0.33%	0.3165	-3.89%	0.0031	✓	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.328173	-0.40%	0.2971	-9.83%	0.0503	✓	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.331001	-0.36%	0.2942	-11.44%	0.1045	✓	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.371322	-0.93%	0.3041	-18.86%	0.1794	✓	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.36795	-0.77%	0.3051	-17.72%	0.1781	✓	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.361074	-0.28%	0.3108	-14.17%	0.1587	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.359701	-0.25%	0.3208	-11.04%	0.1073	✓	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.377251	-0.67%	0.3293	-13.30%	0.1204	✓	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.381358	-0.79%	0.3295	-14.28%	0.1319	✓	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.391901	-0.91%	0.3322	-16.01%	0.1484	✓	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.397779	-0.80%	0.3748	-6.53%	0.0656	✓	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.403092	-1.03%	0.3708	-8.96%	0.0642	✓	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.362464	+1.76%	0.3621	+1.66%	0.0379	✗	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.363509	-0.33%	0.3606	-1.12%	0.0778	✗	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.36267	-0.61%	0.3798	+4.08%	0.1454	✗	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.354575	-0.76%	0.3844	+7.58%	0.2148	✗	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.344997	-0.23%	0.3955	+14.37%	0.2335	✗	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.36025	-0.62%	0.401	+10.62%	0.2470	✗	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.385006	-1.31%	0.4073	+4.41%	0.2492	✗	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.402689	-1.42%	0.3562	-12.80%	0.2024	✗	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.417766	-1.47%	0.3647	-13.99%	0.0879	✗	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.425197	-1.51%	0.3649	-15.47%	0.0272	✗	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.419725	-1.47%	0.3573	-16.13%	0.0375	✓	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.422011	-1.51%	0.3458	-19.30%	0.0672	✓	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.427236	-1.49%	0.3625	-16.42%	0.0233	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.426728	-1.47%	0.3901	-9.93%	0.0168	✓	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.431302	-1.46%	0.4085	-6.67%	0.0127	✓	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.441707	-1.62%	0.424	-5.57%	0.0382	✓	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.425602	-1.62%	0.4317	-0.21%	0.0032	✓	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.447907	-1.39%	0.426	-6.21%	0.0083	✓	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.456955	-1.28%	0.4285	-7.43%	0.0329	✗	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.468589	-1.14%	0.4337	-8.50%	0.0026	✓	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.474198	-1.11%	0.4331	-9.68%	0.0094	✓	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.484858	-1.19%	0.4377	-10.80%	0.0197	✓	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.504442	-1.23%	0.449	-12.08%	0.0153	✓	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.454097	-0.96%	0.4326	-5.65%	0.0445	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.441418	-1.36%	0.4542	+1.50%	0.0099	✓	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.446235	-1.41%	0.4629	+2.28%	0.0009	✓	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.44743	-1.45%	0.474	+4.41%	0.0064	✓	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.453689	-1.50%	0.4795	+4.10%	0.0173	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.446155	-1.42%	0.4907	+8.42%	0.0307	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.452026	-1.45%	0.5107	+11.34%	0.0371	✗	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.477336	-1.46%	0.4585	-5.35%	0.0649	✓	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.491591	-1.58%	0.4475	-10.41%	0.0534	✓	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.483229	-1.68%	0.4526	-7.91%	0.0558	✓	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.478219	-1.72%	0.454	-6.70%	0.0485	✓	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.483526	-1.78%	0.4606	-6.44%	0.0574	✓	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.47497	-1.70%	0.4526	-6.33%	0.0844	✓	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.459529	-1.47%	0.4587	-1.65%	0.0610	✓	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.488002	-1.59%	0.4844	-2.32%	0.0888	✓	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.469376	-1.39%	0.4995	+4.94%	0.0414	✓	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.47115	-1.47%	0.4915	+2.78%	0.0137	✓	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.42641	-1.18%	0.4866	+12.77%	0.0897	✗	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.423622	-1.09%	0.4923	+14.94%	0.1097	✗	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.426814	-1.04%	0.4832	+12.03%	0.1000	✗	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.437845	-1.10%	0.4664	+5.35%	0.0649	✗	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.441014	-1.07%	0.4959	+11.24%	0.1024	✗	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.460185	-1.14%	0.476	+2.26%	0.0560	✗	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.470526	-1.15%	0.4782	+0.46%	0.0279	✗	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.489556	-1.30%	0.4315	-13.00%	0.1182	✓	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.481073	-1.24%	0.4283	-12.07%	0.1038	✓	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.448733	-0.90%	0.4313	-4.75%	0.0662	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.458364	-0.98%	0.4427	-4.36%	0.0563	✓	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.450764	-0.97%	0.4458	-2.07%	0.0045	✓	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.446657	-0.85%	0.4655	+3.33%	0.0079	✓	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.470766	-1.04%	0.476	+0.06%	0.0039	✓	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.471671	-1.08%	0.496	+4.03%	0.0797	✗	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.476436	-1.07%	0.4871	+1.14%	0.0554	✗	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.489473	-1.16%	0.4528	-8.56%	0.0306	✗	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.508325	-1.26%	0.4629	-10.08%	0.0040	✓	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.514245	-1.28%	0.4552	-12.61%	0.0486	✓	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.517764	-1.25%	0.4505	-14.08%	0.0732	✓	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.527516	-1.29%	0.4757	-10.98%	0.0689	✓	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.519164	-1.19%	0.4768	-9.25%	0.1003	✓	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.499156	-1.00%	0.4816	-4.48%	0.0502	✓	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.504584	-1.06%	0.4952	-2.90%	0.0256	✓	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.513582	-1.10%	0.5148	-0.87%	0.0239	✗	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.532279	-1.16%	0.5209	-3.27%	0.0434	✓	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.497305	-0.66%	0.5243	+4.73%	0.0191	✓	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.535718	-1.05%	0.5344	-1.29%	0.0030	✓	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.542204	-1.08%	0.5254	-4.14%	0.0065	✓	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.576775	-1.30%	0.5042	-13.72%	0.1095	✓	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.594152	-1.45%	0.51	-15.41%	0.1649	✓	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.608033	-1.60%	0.5193	-15.96%	0.2042	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.614403	-1.68%	0.5385	-13.83%	0.1980	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.594768	-1.54%	0.5006	-17.13%	0.1384	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.608237	-1.90%	0.5414	-12.68%	0.1774	✓	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.527335	-0.65%	0.5481	+3.26%	0.0631	✓	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.454423	+0.58%	0.5844	+29.35%	0.1557	✓	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.453724	+0.51%	0.6029	+33.56%	0.2057	✓	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.471032	-0.27%	0.6179	+30.83%	0.2882	✗	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.506657	-0.73%	0.6249	+22.43%	0.3044	✗	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.498426	-0.51%	0.6041	+20.58%	0.2571	✗	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.510057	-0.77%	0.62	+20.62%	0.3218	✗	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.515771	-0.87%	0.5308	+2.02%	0.2163	✗	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.517529	-0.76%	0.4518	-13.37%	0.0283	✗	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.560565	-1.29%	0.4514	-20.51%	0.0031	✓	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.588164	-1.48%	0.4723	-20.89%	0.0556	✓	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.61134	-1.62%	0.5104	-17.86%	0.0209	✓	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.612558	-1.64%	0.501	-19.56%	0.0214	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.630427	-1.76%	0.514	-19.90%	0.0345	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.629394	-1.75%	0.5203	-18.78%	0.0793	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.632055	-1.84%	0.5215	-19.01%	0.0473	✓	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.605196	-1.64%	0.5679	-7.70%	0.0366	✓	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.631205	-1.97%	0.597	-7.28%	0.0207	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.563252	-1.46%	0.6214	+8.71%	0.0751	✗	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.552761	-1.59%	0.6228	+10.88%	0.1285	✗	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.598867	-1.79%	0.6417	+5.23%	0.1607	✗	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.617022	-1.86%	0.6406	+1.89%	0.1620	✗	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.613178	-1.84%	0.6439	+3.07%	0.1493	✗	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.618094	-1.94%	0.6153	-2.38%	0.1102	✗	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.598498	-1.72%	0.6439	+5.73%	0.1743	✗	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.594299	-1.44%	0.5716	-5.21%	0.1500	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.678568	-1.66%	0.5617	-18.59%	0.0710	✓	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.72726	-1.97%	0.6098	-17.81%	0.1148	✓	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.666801	-1.77%	0.6287	-7.38%	0.0343	✓	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.670999	-1.74%	0.6247	-8.52%	0.0490	✓	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.65233	-1.68%	0.6303	-5.00%	0.0068	✓	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.605832	-1.52%	0.609	-1.01%	0.0312	✓	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.623133	-1.48%	0.603	-4.66%	0.0992	✓	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.655225	-1.63%	0.69	+3.59%	0.0004	✓	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.661309	-1.75%	0.7419	+10.22%	0.0289	✗	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.613659	-1.45%	0.6788	+9.01%	0.0357	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.604375	-1.34%	0.6829	+11.48%	0.0551	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.616536	-1.39%	0.6635	+6.13%	0.0453	✗	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.644755	-1.52%	0.6152	-6.03%	0.0006	✓	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.665196	-1.61%	0.6325	-6.45%	0.0170	✗	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.687553	-1.65%	0.6661	-4.72%	0.0353	✗	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.693471	-1.83%	0.6731	-4.71%	0.0630	✗	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.606393	-1.66%	0.6227	+0.99%	0.0761	✗	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.577077	-1.62%	0.6126	+4.43%	0.1556	✗	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.674194	-1.10%	0.6252	-8.29%	0.1023	✗	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.705185	-1.03%	0.6547	-8.11%	0.0840	✗	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.695367	-1.32%	0.6761	-4.06%	0.0752	✗	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.728618	-1.00%	0.6991	-5.01%	0.0726	✗	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.705899	-1.15%	0.7064	-1.08%	0.1025	✗	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.711896	-1.33%	0.6166	-14.54%	0.0005	✓	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.722473	-1.41%	0.5866	-19.95%	0.0941	✓	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.733127	-1.70%	0.6817	-8.59%	0.0859	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.713404	-2.00%	0.7125	-2.13%	0.0579	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.669714	-2.49%	0.7047	+2.61%	0.0392	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.675633	-2.51%	0.736	+6.20%	0.0476	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.690713	-2.65%	0.7141	+0.65%	0.1244	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.675818	-2.75%	0.7215	+3.83%	0.1170	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.663692	-2.77%	0.7328	+7.35%	0.0810	✓	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.676234	-2.71%	0.7458	+7.29%	0.0714	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.71968	-2.40%	0.728	-1.27%	0.0663	✓	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.698343	-2.43%	0.6868	-4.04%	0.0476	✓	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.730895	-2.17%	0.693	-7.24%	0.0786	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.769755	-1.87%	0.7095	-9.55%	0.0327	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.790416	-1.74%	0.6949	-13.61%	0.0367	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.788155	-1.70%	0.6826	-14.87%	0.0515	✓	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.800124	-1.58%	0.6951	-14.50%	0.0169	✓	1.73
2025-09-17	oos	0.778	0.765448	-1.61%	0.7374	-5.22%	0.0098	✓	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.