DRV

Derive · Ethereum · gru_s8

token id: #111
symbol: DRV
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71be
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-28
predictions: 414

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

108

of 138 predictions shown

direction hit

28.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4504

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0670

actual +0.3218

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.386075	0.355612	-7.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-20	oos	0.398745	0.368251	-7.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-19	oos	0.39882	0.367334	-7.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-18	oos	0.38187	0.349941	-8.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.403015	0.368462	-8.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.387205	0.349995	-9.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.41127	0.372338	-9.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.416385	0.380092	-8.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.450845	0.399946	-11.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-12	oos	0.4408	0.388235	-11.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.49633	0.43625	-12.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-10	oos	0.538615	0.468338	-13.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.515775	0.447461	-13.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.436745	0.383809	-12.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.373545	0.333192	-10.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.407595	0.363225	-10.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-05	oos	0.41208	0.36601	-11.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-04	oos	0.41695	0.369193	-11.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-03	oos	0.38453	0.339075	-11.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.39644	0.349196	-11.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.395175	0.347701	-12.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.38983	0.341651	-12.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.381685	0.334492	-12.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.36952	0.325718	-11.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-09-27	oos	0.43524	0.376748	-13.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.412955	0.359193	-13.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-25	oos	0.44425	0.381627	-14.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.45364	0.386391	-14.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.48606	0.408149	-16.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-22	oos	0.436315	0.372429	-14.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.4043	0.34763	-14.02%	0.386075	-4.51%	0.1703	✗	1.42
2026-09-20	oos	0.391515	0.331961	-15.21%	0.398745	+1.85%	0.1498	✓	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.446505	0.369464	-17.25%	0.39882	-10.68%	0.0652	✓	1.51
2026-09-18	oos	0.29519	0.257517	-12.76%	0.38187	+29.36%	0.3727	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.25509	0.223985	-12.19%	0.403015	+57.99%	0.4950	✗	1.45
2026-09-16	oos	0.24457	0.214589	-12.26%	0.387205	+58.32%	0.4921	✗	1.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.13705	0.127653	-6.86%	0.41127	+200.09%	1.0571	✗	1.36
2026-09-14	oos	0.140985	0.132888	-5.74%	0.416385	+195.34%	1.0836	✗	1.38
2026-09-13	oos	0.14356	0.134462	-6.34%	0.450845	+214.05%	1.0993	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.14992	0.141459	-5.64%	0.4408	+194.02%	1.0581	✗	1.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.148505	0.141337	-4.83%	0.49633	+234.22%	1.1453	✗	1.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.147705	0.140252	-5.05%	0.538615	+264.66%	1.2363	✗	1.37
2026-09-09	oos	0.154095	0.147662	-4.17%	0.515775	+234.71%	1.1788	✗	1.36
2026-09-08	oos	0.16393	0.156388	-4.60%	0.436745	+166.42%	0.9720	✗	1.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.1575	0.151569	-3.77%	0.373545	+137.17%	0.8305	✗	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.16514	0.160115	-3.04%	0.407595	+146.82%	0.8470	✗	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.17224	0.166412	-3.38%	0.41208	+139.25%	0.8078	✗	1.38
2026-09-04	oos	0.14964	0.147403	-1.49%	0.41695	+178.64%	0.9197	✗	1.46
2026-09-03	oos	0.15856	0.157332	-0.77%	0.38453	+142.51%	0.8337	✗	1.43
2026-09-02	oos	0.14371	0.139847	-2.69%	0.39644	+175.86%	0.9076	✗	1.51
2026-09-01	oos	0.14284	0.13945	-2.37%	0.395175	+176.66%	0.9027	✗	1.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.153755	0.150304	-2.24%	0.38983	+153.54%	0.8756	✗	1.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.15632	0.151607	-3.01%	0.381685	+144.17%	0.8298	✗	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.1719	0.165622	-3.65%	0.36952	+114.96%	0.7325	✗	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.16944	0.162874	-3.88%	0.43524	+156.87%	0.8945	✗	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.17649	0.170637	-3.32%	0.412955	+133.98%	0.8301	✗	1.07
2026-08-26	oos	0.166915	0.161145	-3.46%	0.44425	+166.15%	0.9484	✗	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.14804	0.14494	-2.09%	0.45364	+206.43%	1.0660	✗	1.04
2026-08-24	oos	0.163815	0.156715	-4.33%	0.48606	+196.71%	1.0641	✗	1.03
2026-08-23	oos	0.13109	0.129539	-1.18%	0.436315	+232.84%	1.1162	✗	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.11334	0.113778	+0.39%	0.4043	+256.71%	1.1603	✓	0.92
2026-08-21	oos	0.11888	0.119573	+0.58%	0.391515	+229.34%	1.1539	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.098475	0.097098	-1.40%	0.446505	+353.42%	1.4553	✗	0.66
2026-08-19	oos	0.09869	0.095004	-3.73%	0.29519	+199.11%	1.0217	✗	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.093475	0.088565	-5.25%	0.25509	+172.90%	0.9382	✗	0.72
2026-08-17	oos	0.095765	0.090217	-5.79%	0.24457	+155.39%	0.8764	✗	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.10351	0.095483	-7.75%	0.13705	+32.40%	0.2075	✗	0.83
2026-08-15	oos	0.092975	0.087898	-5.46%	0.140985	+51.64%	0.2921	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.09274	0.087738	-5.39%	0.14356	+54.80%	0.3262	✗	0.84
2026-08-13	oos	0.09498	0.089913	-5.33%	0.14992	+57.84%	0.3469	✗	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.09864	0.0931	-5.62%	0.148505	+50.55%	0.3023	✗	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.097635	0.092163	-5.60%	0.147705	+51.28%	0.3159	✗	0.84
2026-08-10	oos	0.093365	0.088291	-5.43%	0.154095	+65.05%	0.3858	✗	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.09707	0.091615	-5.62%	0.16393	+68.88%	0.4241	✗	0.83
2026-08-08	oos	0.09736	0.091994	-5.51%	0.1575	+61.77%	0.3739	✗	0.83
2026-08-07	oos	0.096885	0.091729	-5.32%	0.16514	+70.45%	0.4110	✗	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.097805	0.092271	-5.66%	0.17224	+76.11%	0.4423	✗	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.100875	0.095236	-5.59%	0.14964	+48.34%	0.2769	✗	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.10167	0.095964	-5.61%	0.15856	+55.96%	0.3016	✗	0.84
2026-08-03	oos	0.09716	0.091655	-5.67%	0.14371	+47.91%	0.2864	✗	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.0997	0.093771	-5.95%	0.14284	+43.27%	0.2566	✗	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	0.105755	0.098935	-6.45%	0.153755	+45.39%	0.2453	✗	0.87
2026-07-31	oos	0.116685	0.107727	-7.68%	0.15632	+33.97%	0.1863	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.094575	0.089321	-5.56%	0.1719	+81.76%	0.4393	✗	1.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.09668	0.091082	-5.79%	0.16944	+75.26%	0.3915	✗	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.10316	0.09685	-6.12%	0.17649	+71.08%	0.3320	✗	1.17
2026-07-27	oos	0.105835	0.099153	-6.31%	0.166915	+57.71%	0.2668	✗	1.18
2026-07-26	oos	0.114575	0.107262	-6.38%	0.14804	+29.21%	0.1161	✗	1.12
2026-07-25	oos	0.113675	0.105936	-6.81%	0.163815	+44.11%	0.2022	✗	1.14
2026-07-24	oos	0.11498	0.107075	-6.88%	0.13109	+14.01%	0.0180	✓	1.14
2026-07-23	oos	0.119115	0.110664	-7.09%	0.11334	-4.85%	0.1669	✓	1.13
2026-07-22	oos	0.121595	0.112898	-7.15%	0.11888	-2.23%	0.1385	✓	1.12
2026-07-21	oos	0.11994	0.11135	-7.16%	0.098475	-17.90%	0.2274	✓	1.12
2026-07-20	oos	0.123715	0.113955	-7.89%	0.09869	-20.23%	0.2157	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.12307	0.113105	-8.10%	0.093475	-24.05%	0.1906	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.1261	0.115654	-8.28%	0.095765	-24.06%	0.1828	✓	1.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.129925	0.118572	-8.74%	0.10351	-20.33%	0.1152	✓	1.24
2026-07-16	oos	0.135285	0.122902	-9.15%	0.092975	-31.27%	0.2643	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.145845	0.131035	-10.15%	0.09274	-36.41%	0.3127	✓	1.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.1552	0.137272	-11.55%	0.09498	-38.80%	0.3390	✓	1.20
2026-07-13	oos	0.116895	0.10765	-7.91%	0.09864	-15.62%	0.1002	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.12333	0.113176	-8.23%	0.097635	-20.83%	0.1456	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.12402	0.113763	-8.27%	0.093365	-24.72%	0.1990	✓	0.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.11772	0.108258	-8.04%	0.09707	-17.54%	0.1164	✓	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.11437	0.105658	-7.62%	0.09736	-14.87%	0.0994	✓	0.65
2026-07-08	oos	0.10905	0.101052	-7.33%	0.096885	-11.16%	0.0681	✓	0.62
2026-07-07	oos	0.11054	0.102369	-7.39%	0.097805	-11.52%	0.0547	✓	0.61
2026-07-06	oos	0.11365	0.10503	-7.58%	0.100875	-11.24%	0.0460	✓	0.60
2026-07-05	oos	0.11218	0.103781	-7.49%	0.10167	-9.37%	0.0249	✓	0.60
2026-07-04	oos	0.10767	0.099825	-7.29%	0.09716	-9.76%	0.0306	✓	0.58
2026-07-03	oos	0.11031	0.101676	-7.83%	0.0997	-9.62%	0.0292	✓	0.61
2026-07-02	oos	0.112105	0.103094	-8.04%	0.105755	-5.66%	0.0119	✓	0.66
2026-07-01	oos	0.10732	0.098452	-8.26%	0.116685	+8.73%	0.1403	✗	0.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.11361	0.103545	-8.86%	0.094575	-16.75%	0.1715	✓	0.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.10568	0.097848	-7.41%	0.09668	-8.52%	0.0670	✓	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.10167	0.094048	-7.50%	0.10316	+1.47%	0.0289	✓	0.90
2026-06-27	oos	0.08732	0.082367	-5.67%	0.105835	+21.20%	0.1956	✗	0.91
2026-06-26	oos	0.08296	0.078517	-5.36%	0.114575	+38.11%	0.2927	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.08304	0.078602	-5.34%	0.113675	+36.89%	0.2949	✗	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.082775	0.078299	-5.41%	0.11498	+38.91%	0.3346	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.08616	0.081265	-5.68%	0.119115	+38.25%	0.3447	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.087275	0.082206	-5.81%	0.121595	+39.32%	0.3586	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.090795	0.085258	-6.10%	0.11994	+32.10%	0.2907	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.098535	0.091968	-6.66%	0.123715	+25.55%	0.2812	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.09513	0.088908	-6.54%	0.12307	+29.37%	0.3063	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.09407	0.087846	-6.62%	0.1261	+34.05%	0.3315	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.09792	0.091195	-6.87%	0.129925	+32.68%	0.3626	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.10043	0.093381	-7.02%	0.135285	+34.71%	0.3992	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.102	0.09465	-7.21%	0.145845	+42.99%	0.4562	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.10087	0.093346	-7.46%	0.1552	+53.86%	0.5194	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.10077	0.093029	-7.68%	0.116895	+16.00%	0.2626	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.10217	0.094194	-7.81%	0.12333	+20.71%	0.2663	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.10434	0.095857	-8.13%	0.12402	+18.86%	0.2543	✗	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0986	0.090935	-7.77%	0.11772	+19.39%	0.2154	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.10506	0.096127	-8.50%	0.11437	+8.86%	0.1499	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.11139	0.100345	-9.92%	0.10905	-2.10%	0.0964	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.10365	0.094287	-9.03%	0.11054	+6.65%	0.1587	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.09153	0.084139	-8.08%	0.11365	+24.17%	0.2502	✗	1.00