CAP
Cap · Ethereum · gru_s8
- token id
- #71
- symbol
- CAP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 327
Track record at +7d
assessed
102
of 109 predictions shown
direction hit
35.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2666
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0423
actual +0.1246
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.066581 | 0.06457 | -3.02% | – | pending | – | – | -0.52 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.068735 | 0.066714 | -2.94% | – | pending | – | – | -0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.066889 | 0.064948 | -2.90% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.070477 | 0.06837 | -2.99% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.073935 | 0.071661 | -3.07% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.072748 | 0.070552 | -3.02% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07849 | 0.075965 | -3.22% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.073752 | 0.07157 | -2.96% | 0.066581 | -9.72% | 0.0637 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.088248 | 0.085133 | -3.53% | 0.068735 | -22.11% | 0.2154 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.097059 | 0.092279 | -4.92% | 0.066889 | -31.08% | 0.3210 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.092361 | 0.088876 | -3.77% | 0.070477 | -23.69% | 0.2494 | ✓ | -0.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.092402 | 0.088101 | -4.65% | 0.073935 | -19.99% | 0.1923 | ✓ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.086635 | 0.083399 | -3.74% | 0.072748 | -16.03% | 0.1484 | ✓ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.073139 | 0.070908 | -3.05% | 0.07849 | +7.31% | 0.1063 | ✗ | -0.90 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.07128 | 0.069032 | -3.15% | 0.073752 | +3.47% | 0.0466 | ✗ | -0.94 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.087975 | 0.083024 | -5.63% | 0.088248 | +0.31% | 0.0272 | ✓ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.073941 | 0.071557 | -3.22% | 0.097059 | +31.27% | 0.2491 | ✗ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.065278 | 0.063489 | -2.74% | 0.092361 | +41.49% | 0.3378 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.069035 | 0.066916 | -3.07% | 0.092402 | +33.85% | 0.2987 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.074028 | 0.070856 | -4.29% | 0.086635 | +17.03% | 0.1753 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.069846 | 0.067153 | -3.86% | 0.073139 | +4.72% | 0.0446 | ✗ | -1.08 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069306 | 0.066762 | -3.67% | 0.07128 | +2.85% | 0.0617 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.059839 | 0.057822 | -3.37% | 0.087975 | +47.02% | 0.4448 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.056407 | 0.05452 | -3.35% | 0.073941 | +31.08% | 0.3372 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.053595 | 0.051949 | -3.07% | 0.065278 | +21.80% | 0.2574 | ✗ | -1.21 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.051578 | 0.049882 | -3.29% | 0.069035 | +33.85% | 0.3296 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.052128 | 0.050285 | -3.53% | 0.074028 | +42.01% | 0.3925 | ✗ | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.049949 | 0.04801 | -3.88% | 0.069846 | +39.83% | 0.3812 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.053106 | 0.050744 | -4.45% | 0.069306 | +30.50% | 0.3004 | ✗ | -1.16 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.046809 | 0.044875 | -4.13% | 0.059839 | +27.84% | 0.2547 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.045872 | 0.043937 | -4.22% | 0.056407 | +22.97% | 0.2093 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.044741 | 0.04274 | -4.47% | 0.053595 | +19.79% | 0.2765 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.047769 | 0.045265 | -5.24% | 0.051578 | +7.97% | 0.1793 | ✗ | -1.27 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05581 | 0.053563 | -4.03% | 0.052128 | -6.60% | 0.0221 | ✓ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.054984 | 0.052864 | -3.85% | 0.049949 | -9.16% | 0.0835 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.060022 | 0.057128 | -4.82% | 0.053106 | -11.52% | 0.0709 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.057324 | 0.054493 | -4.94% | 0.046809 | -18.34% | 0.0330 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.064413 | 0.059746 | -7.24% | 0.045872 | -28.78% | 0.0970 | ✓ | -1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.047068 | 0.046931 | -0.29% | 0.044741 | -4.94% | 0.0518 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.044869 | 0.045018 | +0.33% | 0.047769 | +6.46% | 0.1493 | ✓ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.04448 | 0.044738 | +0.58% | 0.05581 | +25.47% | 0.3044 | ✓ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.045466 | 0.045773 | +0.68% | 0.054984 | +20.93% | 0.1789 | ✓ | -1.79 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.047448 | 0.047383 | -0.14% | 0.060022 | +26.50% | 0.1843 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.046785 | 0.04678 | -0.01% | 0.057324 | +22.53% | 0.1333 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.046622 | 0.046542 | -0.17% | 0.064413 | +38.16% | 0.3029 | ✗ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.042957 | 0.042738 | -0.51% | 0.047068 | +9.57% | 0.0125 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.044706 | 0.044415 | -0.65% | 0.044869 | +0.37% | 0.0507 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.045241 | 0.04515 | -0.20% | 0.04448 | -1.68% | 0.0735 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.04878 | 0.048485 | -0.60% | 0.045466 | -6.79% | 0.1828 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.072695 | 0.070781 | -2.63% | 0.047448 | -34.73% | 0.3826 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.070557 | 0.068734 | -2.58% | 0.046785 | -33.69% | 0.3661 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.068387 | 0.066627 | -2.57% | 0.046622 | -31.83% | 0.3477 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.068164 | 0.066305 | -2.73% | 0.042957 | -36.98% | 0.3872 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.069214 | 0.067174 | -2.95% | 0.044706 | -35.41% | 0.3788 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.069928 | 0.06774 | -3.13% | 0.045241 | -35.30% | 0.3709 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.066045 | 0.064076 | -2.98% | 0.04878 | -26.14% | 0.2554 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.070614 | 0.068139 | -3.50% | 0.072695 | +2.95% | 0.0343 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.069435 | 0.066799 | -3.80% | 0.070557 | +1.62% | 0.0347 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.068823 | 0.066135 | -3.90% | 0.068387 | -0.63% | 0.0261 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.069367 | 0.066318 | -4.40% | 0.068164 | -1.73% | 0.0263 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.070097 | 0.066668 | -4.89% | 0.069214 | -1.26% | 0.0585 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.067073 | 0.063826 | -4.84% | 0.069928 | +4.26% | 0.0827 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.064753 | 0.061199 | -5.49% | 0.066045 | +2.00% | 0.2476 | ✗ | -1.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.067798 | 0.063342 | -6.57% | 0.070614 | +4.15% | 0.3579 | ✗ | -1.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.068975 | 0.063924 | -7.32% | 0.069435 | +0.67% | 0.5658 | ✗ | -2.49 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.070634 | 0.064693 | -8.41% | 0.068823 | -2.56% | 0.5660 | ✗ | -2.48 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.067132 | 0.061587 | -8.26% | 0.069367 | +3.33% | 0.6975 | ✗ | -2.72 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.062121 | 0.057007 | -8.23% | 0.070097 | +12.84% | 0.7496 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.065324 | 0.058369 | -10.65% | 0.067073 | +2.68% | 0.7284 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.056743 | 0.052033 | -8.30% | 0.064753 | +14.12% | 0.5870 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.055292 | 0.050544 | -8.59% | 0.067798 | +22.62% | 0.5259 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.054776 | 0.049355 | -9.90% | 0.068975 | +25.92% | 0.3817 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.046134 | 0.041932 | -9.11% | 0.070634 | +53.11% | 0.5436 | ✗ | -2.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.039386 | 0.036779 | -6.62% | 0.067132 | +70.45% | 0.5283 | ✗ | -2.33 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.036911 | 0.034419 | -6.75% | 0.062121 | +68.30% | 0.5220 | ✗ | -2.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.035967 | 0.033408 | -7.12% | 0.065324 | +81.62% | 0.6012 | ✗ | -2.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.030811 | 0.028724 | -6.77% | 0.056743 | +84.16% | 0.6484 | ✗ | -2.45 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02783 | 0.026426 | -5.04% | 0.055292 | +98.68% | 0.6938 | ✗ | -2.39 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.025369 | 0.024239 | -4.46% | 0.054776 | +115.92% | 0.7952 | ✗ | -2.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.027598 | 0.026193 | -5.09% | 0.046134 | +67.17% | 0.5830 | ✗ | -2.42 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.029535 | 0.027763 | -6.00% | 0.039386 | +33.36% | 0.4010 | ✗ | -2.44 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.027282 | 0.025893 | -5.09% | 0.036911 | +35.30% | 0.4404 | ✗ | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.039226 | 0.035571 | -9.32% | 0.035967 | -8.31% | 0.0967 | ✓ | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.034526 | 0.031613 | -8.44% | 0.030811 | -10.76% | 0.0433 | ✓ | -2.50 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.026065 | 0.024852 | -4.65% | 0.02783 | +6.77% | 0.1452 | ✗ | -2.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.027298 | 0.025807 | -5.46% | 0.025369 | -7.07% | 0.0078 | ✓ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.024081 | 0.023052 | -4.27% | 0.027598 | +14.60% | 0.1695 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.022534 | 0.021711 | -3.65% | 0.029535 | +31.07% | 0.2233 | ✗ | -2.95 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.020987 | 0.020272 | -3.41% | 0.027282 | +29.99% | 0.3211 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.02708 | 0.025593 | -5.49% | 0.039226 | +44.85% | 0.4468 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.023588 | 0.022581 | -4.27% | 0.034526 | +46.37% | 0.4297 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.021176 | 0.020445 | -3.45% | 0.026065 | +23.09% | 0.2766 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.019997 | 0.019349 | -3.24% | 0.027298 | +36.51% | 0.3851 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.02103 | 0.020249 | -3.72% | 0.024081 | +14.51% | 0.1969 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.018488 | 0.017875 | -3.31% | 0.022534 | +21.89% | 0.2215 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.018888 | 0.018246 | -3.40% | 0.020987 | +11.12% | 0.1478 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.018668 | 0.018043 | -3.34% | 0.02708 | +45.06% | 0.4031 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.018416 | 0.017805 | -3.32% | 0.023588 | +28.08% | 0.2613 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.018352 | 0.017758 | -3.24% | 0.021176 | +15.39% | 0.1551 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.016452 | 0.015966 | -2.95% | 0.019997 | +21.55% | 0.2019 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.019108 | 0.01849 | -3.23% | 0.02103 | +10.06% | 0.0825 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.017007 | 0.016502 | -2.97% | 0.018488 | +8.71% | 0.0990 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.015945 | 0.015475 | -2.95% | 0.018888 | +18.46% | 0.1834 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.019616 | 0.019081 | -2.72% | 0.018668 | -4.83% | 0.0183 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.021747 | 0.021117 | -2.90% | 0.018416 | -15.32% | 0.1463 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.022573 | 0.021848 | -3.21% | 0.018352 | -18.70% | 0.2134 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.020944 | 0.020359 | -2.79% | 0.016452 | -21.45% | 0.2390 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.02124 | 0.02063 | -2.87% | 0.019108 | -10.04% | 0.0491 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.023265 | 0.022463 | -3.45% | 0.017007 | -26.90% | 0.2807 | ✓ | 1.00 |