CAP
Cap · Ethereum · gru_s8
- token id
- #71
- symbol
- CAP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 327
Track record at +30d
assessed
79
of 109 predictions shown
direction hit
13.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.7637
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1159
actual +0.6198
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.066581 | 0.060975 | -8.42% | – | pending | – | – | -0.52 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.068735 | 0.063261 | -7.96% | – | pending | – | – | -0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.066889 | 0.061395 | -8.21% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.070477 | 0.064674 | -8.23% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.073935 | 0.067721 | -8.40% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.072748 | 0.06665 | -8.38% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07849 | 0.071878 | -8.42% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.073752 | 0.067625 | -8.31% | – | pending | – | – | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.088248 | 0.080421 | -8.87% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.097059 | 0.086837 | -10.53% | – | pending | – | – | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.092361 | 0.084024 | -9.03% | – | pending | – | – | -0.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.092402 | 0.083249 | -9.91% | – | pending | – | – | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.086635 | 0.079011 | -8.80% | – | pending | – | – | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.073139 | 0.067502 | -7.71% | – | pending | – | – | -0.90 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.07128 | 0.065933 | -7.50% | – | pending | – | – | -0.94 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.087975 | 0.07915 | -10.03% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.073941 | 0.068626 | -7.19% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.065278 | 0.061152 | -6.32% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.069035 | 0.064084 | -7.17% | – | pending | – | – | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.074028 | 0.067775 | -8.45% | – | pending | – | – | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.069846 | 0.064407 | -7.79% | – | pending | – | – | -1.08 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069306 | 0.063831 | -7.90% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.059839 | 0.055342 | -7.52% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.056407 | 0.05218 | -7.49% | – | pending | – | – | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.053595 | 0.049744 | -7.18% | – | pending | – | – | -1.21 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.051578 | 0.047551 | -7.81% | – | pending | – | – | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.052128 | 0.047832 | -8.24% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.049949 | 0.04548 | -8.95% | – | pending | – | – | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.053106 | 0.0481 | -9.43% | – | pending | – | – | -1.16 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.046809 | 0.042301 | -9.63% | – | pending | – | – | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.045872 | 0.041324 | -9.91% | 0.066581 | +45.14% | 0.4264 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.044741 | 0.039467 | -11.79% | 0.068735 | +53.63% | 0.5820 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.047769 | 0.042009 | -12.06% | 0.066889 | +40.02% | 0.4745 | ✗ | -1.27 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05581 | 0.050089 | -10.25% | 0.070477 | +26.28% | 0.3591 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.054984 | 0.049066 | -10.76% | 0.073935 | +34.47% | 0.4994 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.060022 | 0.053027 | -11.65% | 0.072748 | +21.20% | 0.4115 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.057324 | 0.050655 | -11.63% | 0.07849 | +36.92% | 0.5548 | ✗ | -1.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.064413 | 0.056065 | -12.96% | 0.073752 | +14.50% | 0.3436 | ✗ | -1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.047068 | 0.043146 | -8.33% | 0.088248 | +87.49% | 0.8578 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.044869 | 0.041223 | -8.13% | 0.097059 | +116.32% | 0.9575 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.04448 | 0.040982 | -7.87% | 0.092361 | +107.64% | 0.9571 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.045466 | 0.042022 | -7.57% | 0.092402 | +103.23% | 0.9313 | ✗ | -1.79 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.047448 | 0.043835 | -7.61% | 0.086635 | +82.59% | 0.7810 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.046785 | 0.043369 | -7.30% | 0.073139 | +56.33% | 0.5989 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.046622 | 0.043367 | -6.98% | 0.07128 | +52.89% | 0.5945 | ✗ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.042957 | 0.039619 | -7.77% | 0.087975 | +104.80% | 0.9147 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.044706 | 0.041387 | -7.42% | 0.073941 | +65.39% | 0.7134 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.045241 | 0.042845 | -5.30% | 0.065278 | +44.29% | 0.5743 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.04878 | 0.046712 | -4.24% | 0.069035 | +41.52% | 0.4735 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.072695 | 0.067666 | -6.92% | 0.074028 | +1.83% | 0.2127 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.070557 | 0.065706 | -6.88% | 0.069846 | -1.01% | 0.1877 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.068387 | 0.063779 | -6.74% | 0.069306 | +1.34% | 0.1684 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.068164 | 0.063351 | -7.06% | 0.059839 | -12.21% | 0.0456 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.069214 | 0.064141 | -7.33% | 0.056407 | -18.50% | 0.0377 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.069928 | 0.064613 | -7.60% | 0.053595 | -23.36% | 0.0723 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.066045 | 0.061303 | -7.18% | 0.051578 | -21.90% | 0.1016 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.070614 | 0.064889 | -8.11% | 0.052128 | -26.18% | 0.1331 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.069435 | 0.063407 | -8.68% | 0.049949 | -28.06% | 0.1391 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.068823 | 0.062757 | -8.81% | 0.053106 | -22.84% | 0.0750 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.069367 | 0.062625 | -9.72% | 0.046809 | -32.52% | 0.1476 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.070097 | 0.062661 | -10.61% | 0.045872 | -34.56% | 0.1503 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.067073 | 0.060192 | -10.26% | 0.044741 | -33.30% | 0.2474 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.064753 | 0.056931 | -12.08% | 0.047769 | -26.23% | 0.0174 | ✓ | -1.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.067798 | 0.058058 | -14.37% | 0.05581 | -17.68% | 0.2536 | ✗ | -1.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.068975 | 0.057478 | -16.67% | 0.054984 | -20.28% | 0.3687 | ✗ | -2.49 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.070634 | 0.057866 | -18.08% | 0.060022 | -15.02% | 0.4498 | ✗ | -2.48 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.067132 | 0.054753 | -18.44% | 0.057324 | -14.61% | 0.5483 | ✗ | -2.72 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.062121 | 0.050631 | -18.50% | 0.064413 | +3.69% | 0.8227 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.065324 | 0.051887 | -20.57% | 0.047068 | -27.95% | 0.4388 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.056743 | 0.046398 | -18.23% | 0.044869 | -20.93% | 0.4828 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.055292 | 0.045015 | -18.59% | 0.04448 | -19.55% | 0.5029 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.054776 | 0.044041 | -19.60% | 0.045466 | -17.00% | 0.5196 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.046134 | 0.03779 | -18.09% | 0.047448 | +2.85% | 0.7377 | ✗ | -2.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.039386 | 0.033452 | -15.07% | 0.046785 | +18.79% | 0.7793 | ✗ | -2.33 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.036911 | 0.03133 | -15.12% | 0.046622 | +26.31% | 0.8553 | ✗ | -2.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.035967 | 0.030426 | -15.41% | 0.042957 | +19.43% | 0.8390 | ✗ | -2.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.030811 | 0.026315 | -14.59% | 0.044706 | +45.10% | 1.0623 | ✗ | -2.45 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02783 | 0.024322 | -12.60% | 0.045241 | +62.57% | 1.1223 | ✗ | -2.39 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.025369 | 0.022289 | -12.14% | 0.04878 | +92.28% | 1.3719 | ✗ | -2.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.027598 | 0.023906 | -13.38% | 0.072695 | +163.41% | 1.5900 | ✗ | -2.42 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.029535 | 0.025195 | -14.69% | 0.070557 | +138.90% | 1.5123 | ✗ | -2.44 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.027282 | 0.02354 | -13.72% | 0.068387 | +150.67% | 1.6400 | ✗ | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.039226 | 0.031503 | -19.69% | 0.068164 | +73.77% | 1.3328 | ✗ | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.034526 | 0.02857 | -17.25% | 0.069214 | +100.47% | 1.3592 | ✗ | -2.50 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.026065 | 0.022991 | -11.79% | 0.069928 | +168.28% | 1.6866 | ✗ | -2.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.027298 | 0.023797 | -12.83% | 0.066045 | +141.93% | 1.6884 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.024081 | 0.021466 | -10.86% | 0.070614 | +193.23% | 1.8212 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.022534 | 0.020376 | -9.58% | 0.069435 | +208.14% | 1.7687 | ✗ | -2.95 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.020987 | 0.018996 | -9.49% | 0.068823 | +227.92% | 1.0816 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.02708 | 0.023638 | -12.71% | 0.069367 | +156.16% | 0.8835 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.023588 | 0.021154 | -10.32% | 0.070097 | +197.18% | 1.0287 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.021176 | 0.019297 | -8.87% | 0.067073 | +216.74% | 1.0759 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.019997 | 0.0183 | -8.49% | 0.064753 | +223.81% | 1.1705 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.02103 | 0.019067 | -9.33% | 0.067798 | +222.39% | 1.2078 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.018488 | 0.016794 | -9.16% | 0.068975 | +273.09% | 1.4128 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.018888 | 0.017175 | -9.07% | 0.070634 | +273.96% | 1.4190 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.018668 | 0.016986 | -9.01% | 0.067132 | +259.62% | 1.3909 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.018416 | 0.016771 | -8.93% | 0.062121 | +237.32% | 1.3213 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.018352 | 0.016792 | -8.50% | 0.065324 | +255.95% | 1.3857 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.016452 | 0.015034 | -8.62% | 0.056743 | +244.90% | 1.3526 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.019108 | 0.017473 | -8.56% | 0.055292 | +189.36% | 1.1337 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.017007 | 0.015568 | -8.46% | 0.054776 | +222.08% | 1.2613 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.015945 | 0.014565 | -8.65% | 0.046134 | +189.33% | 1.1507 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.019616 | 0.018266 | -6.88% | 0.039386 | +100.79% | 0.7572 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.021747 | 0.020231 | -6.97% | 0.036911 | +69.73% | 0.5742 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.022573 | 0.020863 | -7.57% | 0.035967 | +59.34% | 0.5029 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.020944 | 0.019525 | -6.77% | 0.030811 | +47.11% | 0.4414 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.02124 | 0.01987 | -6.45% | 0.02783 | +31.02% | 0.3275 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.023265 | 0.021579 | -7.25% | 0.025369 | +9.04% | 0.1545 | ✗ | 1.00 |