CAP

Cap · Ethereum · gru_s8

token id: #71
symbol: CAP
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-26
predictions: 327

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

108

of 109 predictions shown

direction hit

38.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0841

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0107

actual +0.0133

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.066581	0.066122	-0.69%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-20	oos	0.068735	0.068288	-0.65%	0.066581	-3.13%	0.0270	✓	-0.57
2026-10-19	oos	0.066889	0.066484	-0.61%	0.068735	+2.76%	0.0412	✗	-0.59
2026-10-18	oos	0.070477	0.070029	-0.64%	0.066889	-5.09%	0.0472	✓	-0.62
2026-10-17	oos	0.073935	0.073451	-0.65%	0.070477	-4.68%	0.0368	✓	-0.60
2026-10-16	oos	0.072748	0.072295	-0.62%	0.073935	+1.63%	0.0216	✗	-0.59
2026-10-15	oos	0.07849	0.077934	-0.71%	0.072748	-7.32%	0.0736	✓	-0.62
2026-10-14	oos	0.073752	0.073311	-0.60%	0.07849	+6.42%	0.0725	✗	-0.63
2026-10-13	oos	0.088248	0.087533	-0.81%	0.073752	-16.43%	0.1851	✓	-0.74
2026-10-12	oos	0.097059	0.095659	-1.44%	0.088248	-9.08%	0.0688	✓	-0.72
2026-10-11	oos	0.092361	0.091495	-0.94%	0.097059	+5.09%	0.0388	✗	-0.86
2026-10-10	oos	0.092402	0.091134	-1.37%	0.092361	-0.04%	0.0218	✗	-0.92
2026-10-09	oos	0.086635	0.085798	-0.97%	0.092402	+6.66%	0.0782	✗	-0.92
2026-10-08	oos	0.073139	0.072602	-0.73%	0.086635	+18.45%	0.1861	✗	-0.90
2026-10-07	oos	0.07128	0.070696	-0.82%	0.073139	+2.61%	0.0159	✗	-0.94
2026-10-06	oos	0.087975	0.086119	-2.11%	0.07128	-18.98%	0.2205	✓	-1.17
2026-10-05	oos	0.073941	0.073275	-0.90%	0.087975	+18.98%	0.1800	✗	-1.17
2026-10-04	oos	0.065278	0.064812	-0.71%	0.073941	+13.27%	0.1220	✗	-1.12
2026-10-03	oos	0.069035	0.068489	-0.79%	0.065278	-5.44%	0.0253	✓	-1.10
2026-10-02	oos	0.074028	0.072976	-1.42%	0.069035	-6.74%	0.0524	✓	-1.10
2026-10-01	oos	0.069846	0.068983	-1.24%	0.074028	+5.99%	0.0662	✗	-1.08
2026-09-30	oos	0.069306	0.068552	-1.09%	0.069846	+0.78%	0.0358	✗	-1.12
2026-09-29	oos	0.059839	0.059276	-0.94%	0.069306	+15.82%	0.1552	✗	-1.12
2026-09-28	oos	0.056407	0.055884	-0.93%	0.059839	+6.09%	0.0710	✗	-1.20
2026-09-27	oos	0.053595	0.053169	-0.79%	0.056407	+5.25%	0.0446	✗	-1.21
2026-09-26	oos	0.051578	0.05116	-0.81%	0.053595	+3.91%	0.0471	✗	-1.20
2026-09-25	oos	0.052128	0.051664	-0.89%	0.051578	-1.05%	0.0028	✓	-1.17
2026-09-24	oos	0.049949	0.049462	-0.97%	0.052128	+4.36%	0.0485	✗	-1.15
2026-09-23	oos	0.053106	0.052423	-1.29%	0.049949	-5.94%	0.0483	✓	-1.16
2026-09-22	oos	0.046809	0.046345	-0.99%	0.053106	+13.45%	0.1127	✗	-1.10
2026-09-21	oos	0.045872	0.045421	-0.98%	0.046809	+2.04%	0.0251	✗	-1.10
2026-09-20	oos	0.044741	0.044323	-0.93%	0.045872	+2.53%	0.1159	✗	-1.26
2026-09-19	oos	0.047769	0.047101	-1.40%	0.044741	-6.34%	0.0526	✓	-1.27
2026-09-18	oos	0.05581	0.055262	-0.98%	0.047769	-14.41%	0.1401	✓	-1.26
2026-09-17	oos	0.054984	0.054472	-0.93%	0.05581	+1.50%	0.1050	✗	-1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.060022	0.059196	-1.38%	0.054984	-8.39%	0.0701	✓	-1.40
2026-09-15	oos	0.057324	0.056448	-1.53%	0.060022	+4.71%	0.0718	✗	-1.41
2026-09-14	oos	0.064413	0.062564	-2.87%	0.057324	-11.01%	0.1426	✓	-1.64
2026-09-13	oos	0.047068	0.047025	-0.09%	0.064413	+36.85%	0.3466	✗	-1.80
2026-09-12	oos	0.044869	0.044888	+0.04%	0.047068	+4.90%	0.0366	✓	-1.80
2026-09-11	oos	0.04448	0.044521	+0.09%	0.044869	+0.87%	0.0091	✓	-1.80
2026-09-10	oos	0.045466	0.045514	+0.10%	0.04448	-2.17%	0.0073	✗	-1.79
2026-09-09	oos	0.047448	0.047419	-0.06%	0.045466	-4.18%	0.0845	✓	-1.88
2026-09-08	oos	0.046785	0.046773	-0.03%	0.047448	+1.42%	0.0104	✗	-1.88
2026-09-07	oos	0.046622	0.046598	-0.05%	0.046785	+0.35%	0.0115	✓	-1.89
2026-09-06	oos	0.042957	0.042922	-0.08%	0.046622	+8.53%	0.0535	✗	-1.86
2026-09-05	oos	0.044706	0.044658	-0.11%	0.042957	-3.91%	0.0270	✓	-1.86
2026-09-04	oos	0.045241	0.045244	+0.01%	0.044706	-1.18%	0.0083	✗	-1.86
2026-09-03	oos	0.04878	0.048727	-0.11%	0.045241	-7.25%	0.1133	✓	-1.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.072695	0.072187	-0.70%	0.04878	-32.90%	0.3231	✓	-1.38
2026-09-01	oos	0.070557	0.070075	-0.68%	0.072695	+3.03%	0.0351	✗	-1.38
2026-08-31	oos	0.068387	0.067922	-0.68%	0.070557	+3.17%	0.0174	✗	-1.38
2026-08-30	oos	0.068164	0.067676	-0.72%	0.068387	+0.33%	0.0264	✗	-1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.069214	0.068672	-0.78%	0.068164	-1.52%	0.0177	✓	-1.41
2026-08-28	oos	0.069928	0.069345	-0.83%	0.069214	-1.02%	0.0052	✓	-1.40
2026-08-27	oos	0.066045	0.065519	-0.80%	0.069928	+5.88%	0.0216	✗	-1.41
2026-08-26	oos	0.070614	0.069933	-0.96%	0.066045	-6.47%	0.0355	✓	-1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.069435	0.068713	-1.04%	0.070614	+1.70%	0.0361	✗	-1.38
2026-08-24	oos	0.068823	0.068094	-1.06%	0.069435	+0.89%	0.0115	✗	-1.39
2026-08-23	oos	0.069367	0.068538	-1.20%	0.068823	-0.78%	0.0263	✗	-1.39
2026-08-22	oos	0.070097	0.069164	-1.33%	0.069367	-1.04%	0.0150	✗	-1.38
2026-08-21	oos	0.067073	0.06619	-1.32%	0.070097	+4.51%	0.0347	✗	-1.38
2026-08-20	oos	0.064753	0.063857	-1.38%	0.067073	+3.58%	0.1761	✗	-1.81
2026-08-19	oos	0.067798	0.066669	-1.67%	0.064753	-4.49%	0.0698	✗	-1.90
2026-08-18	oos	0.068975	0.067785	-1.73%	0.067798	-1.71%	0.1720	✗	-2.49
2026-08-17	oos	0.070634	0.069092	-2.18%	0.068975	-2.35%	0.0062	✓	-2.48
2026-08-16	oos	0.067132	0.065783	-2.01%	0.070634	+5.22%	0.1413	✗	-2.72
2026-08-15	oos	0.062121	0.060887	-1.99%	0.067132	+8.07%	0.0898	✗	-2.70
2026-08-14	oos	0.065324	0.06315	-3.33%	0.062121	-4.90%	0.0146	✓	-2.70
2026-08-13	oos	0.056743	0.055564	-2.08%	0.065324	+15.12%	0.1432	✗	-2.62
2026-08-12	oos	0.055292	0.054061	-2.23%	0.056743	+2.62%	0.0490	✗	-2.62
2026-08-11	oos	0.054776	0.053137	-2.99%	0.055292	+0.94%	0.0348	✗	-2.62
2026-08-10	oos	0.046134	0.044888	-2.70%	0.054776	+18.73%	0.1841	✗	-2.52
2026-08-09	oos	0.039386	0.038778	-1.54%	0.046134	+17.13%	0.1398	✗	-2.33
2026-08-08	oos	0.036911	0.036309	-1.63%	0.039386	+6.70%	0.0792	✗	-2.32
2026-08-07	oos	0.035967	0.035307	-1.84%	0.036911	+2.62%	0.0451	✗	-2.31
2026-08-06	oos	0.030811	0.030265	-1.77%	0.035967	+16.74%	0.1963	✗	-2.45
2026-08-05	oos	0.02783	0.027535	-1.06%	0.030811	+10.71%	0.0999	✗	-2.39
2026-08-04	oos	0.025369	0.025154	-0.85%	0.02783	+9.70%	0.1223	✗	-2.47
2026-08-03	oos	0.027598	0.027322	-1.00%	0.025369	-8.08%	0.0520	✓	-2.42
2026-08-02	oos	0.029535	0.029146	-1.32%	0.027598	-6.56%	0.0559	✓	-2.44
2026-08-01	oos	0.027282	0.027011	-0.99%	0.029535	+8.26%	0.1191	✗	-2.55
2026-07-31	oos	0.039226	0.038182	-2.66%	0.027282	-30.45%	0.3387	✓	-2.65
2026-07-30	oos	0.034526	0.033644	-2.55%	0.039226	+13.61%	0.0791	✗	-2.50
2026-07-29	oos	0.026065	0.025785	-1.08%	0.034526	+32.46%	0.3293	✗	-2.91
2026-07-28	oos	0.027298	0.026913	-1.41%	0.026065	-4.52%	0.0298	✓	-2.92
2026-07-27	oos	0.024081	0.023829	-1.05%	0.027298	+13.36%	0.1429	✗	-2.92
2026-07-26	oos	0.022534	0.022333	-0.89%	0.024081	+6.87%	0.0000	✓	-2.95
2026-07-25	oos	0.020987	0.02082	-0.80%	0.022534	+7.37%	0.0630	✗	1.00
2026-07-24	oos	0.02708	0.026668	-1.52%	0.020987	-22.50%	0.2428	✓	1.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.023588	0.023311	-1.17%	0.02708	+14.81%	0.1649	✗	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.021176	0.02098	-0.92%	0.023588	+11.39%	0.1329	✗	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.019997	0.019824	-0.87%	0.021176	+5.90%	0.0725	✗	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.02103	0.020818	-1.01%	0.019997	-4.91%	0.0600	✓	1.00
2026-07-19	oos	0.018488	0.01833	-0.85%	0.02103	+13.75%	0.1292	✗	1.00
2026-07-18	oos	0.018888	0.01872	-0.89%	0.018488	-2.12%	0.0107	✓	1.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.018668	0.018509	-0.85%	0.018888	+1.18%	0.0063	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.018416	0.018261	-0.84%	0.018668	+1.37%	0.0201	✗	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.018352	0.018199	-0.83%	0.018416	+0.35%	0.0266	✗	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.016452	0.016337	-0.70%	0.018352	+11.55%	0.1205	✗	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.019108	0.018954	-0.81%	0.016452	-13.90%	0.1844	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.017007	0.016891	-0.68%	0.019108	+12.35%	0.1467	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.015945	0.015848	-0.61%	0.017007	+6.66%	0.0711	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.019616	0.01949	-0.64%	0.015945	-18.71%	0.1952	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.021747	0.021594	-0.70%	0.019616	-9.80%	0.1111	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.022573	0.022388	-0.82%	0.021747	-3.66%	0.0440	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.020944	0.020803	-0.67%	0.022573	+7.78%	0.0989	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.02124	0.021079	-0.76%	0.020944	-1.39%	0.0042	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.023265	0.023026	-1.03%	0.02124	-8.70%	0.0873	✓	1.00