ARK

ARK · native · gru_s8

token id: #261
symbol: ARK
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-09-26
predictions: 3,270

Track record at +30d

assessed

359

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

76.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1318

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0379

actual -0.0248

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.173565	0.162432	-6.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-20	oos	0.17451	0.163539	-6.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-19	oos	0.173985	0.16185	-6.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-18	oos	0.16914	0.158318	-6.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-17	oos	0.173255	0.161771	-6.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-16	oos	0.17946	0.167258	-6.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.170075	-6.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-14	oos	0.18125	0.169114	-6.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.19077	0.178178	-6.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-12	oos	0.188815	0.175831	-6.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.20696	0.190441	-7.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-10	oos	0.21283	0.194615	-8.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-09	oos	0.21456	0.195907	-8.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-08	oos	0.22464	0.201517	-10.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-07	oos	0.2145	0.193908	-9.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.208695	0.191818	-8.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.21823	0.199182	-8.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-04	oos	0.22409	0.203839	-9.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.231185	0.205645	-11.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-02	oos	0.21165	0.190908	-9.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.243225	0.213924	-12.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.26057	0.224365	-13.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-29	oos	0.251205	0.219381	-12.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-28	oos	0.23865	0.208086	-12.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-09-27	oos	0.247355	0.218162	-11.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-26	oos	0.260575	0.222637	-14.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-09-25	oos	0.25433	0.217083	-14.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-24	oos	0.1933	0.174917	-9.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.15873	0.147293	-7.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	0.158	0.147499	-6.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-21	oos	0.154	0.144339	-6.27%	0.173565	+12.70%	0.2300	✗	0.99
2026-09-20	oos	0.15176	0.141091	-7.03%	0.17451	+14.99%	0.1891	✗	1.08
2026-09-19	oos	0.15344	0.141933	-7.50%	0.173985	+13.39%	0.1957	✗	1.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.142255	0.132404	-6.92%	0.16914	+18.90%	0.2299	✗	1.08
2026-09-17	oos	0.13709	0.126579	-7.67%	0.173255	+26.38%	0.2422	✗	1.12
2026-09-16	oos	0.149755	0.134274	-10.34%	0.17946	+19.84%	0.2140	✗	1.12
2026-09-15	oos	0.145165	0.131225	-9.60%	0.18215	+25.48%	0.2341	✗	1.13
2026-09-14	oos	0.168585	0.148335	-12.01%	0.18125	+7.51%	0.1577	✗	1.01
2026-09-13	oos	0.13775	0.126847	-7.91%	0.19077	+38.49%	0.3362	✗	0.91
2026-09-12	oos	0.132925	0.125696	-5.44%	0.188815	+42.05%	0.3549	✗	0.92
2026-09-11	oos	0.114605	0.111226	-2.95%	0.20696	+80.59%	0.5458	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.11005	0.107713	-2.12%	0.21283	+93.39%	0.6067	✗	0.93
2026-09-09	oos	0.117645	0.115427	-1.88%	0.21456	+82.38%	0.5725	✗	0.90
2026-09-08	oos	0.116325	0.114516	-1.55%	0.22464	+93.11%	0.6381	✗	0.88
2026-09-07	oos	0.114495	0.11338	-0.97%	0.2145	+87.34%	0.5922	✗	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.1178	0.11722	-0.49%	0.208695	+77.16%	0.5221	✗	0.87
2026-09-05	oos	0.1176	0.11709	-0.43%	0.21823	+85.57%	0.5602	✗	0.87
2026-09-04	oos	0.117595	0.117407	-0.16%	0.22409	+90.56%	0.5746	✗	0.87
2026-09-03	oos	0.11391	0.115329	+1.25%	0.231185	+102.95%	0.6572	✓	0.91
2026-09-02	oos	0.10991	0.110042	+0.12%	0.21165	+92.57%	0.5720	✓	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.10899	0.109688	+0.64%	0.243225	+123.16%	0.7115	✓	0.92
2026-08-31	oos	0.110155	0.1118	+1.49%	0.26057	+136.55%	0.7896	✓	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.1093	0.11111	+1.66%	0.251205	+129.83%	0.7484	✓	0.91
2026-08-29	oos	0.111545	0.11451	+2.66%	0.23865	+113.95%	0.6780	✓	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.112455	0.114805	+2.09%	0.247355	+119.96%	0.6967	✓	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.114335	0.116941	+2.28%	0.260575	+127.90%	0.7569	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.11256	0.114814	+2.00%	0.25433	+125.95%	0.7407	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.106795	0.109283	+2.33%	0.1933	+81.00%	0.5072	✓	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.107195	0.110166	+2.77%	0.15873	+48.08%	0.3071	✓	0.88
2026-08-23	oos	0.108375	0.110758	+2.20%	0.158	+45.79%	0.2628	✓	0.89
2026-08-22	oos	0.1085	0.110664	+1.99%	0.154	+41.94%	0.2259	✓	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.106915	0.110626	+3.47%	0.15176	+41.94%	0.2839	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.097025	0.098242	+1.25%	0.15344	+58.14%	0.3568	✓	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	0.09194	0.091342	-0.65%	0.142255	+54.73%	0.3170	✗	0.82
2026-08-18	oos	0.08602	0.084399	-1.88%	0.13709	+59.37%	0.3564	✗	0.78
2026-08-17	oos	0.08748	0.085474	-2.29%	0.149755	+71.19%	0.4306	✗	0.78
2026-08-16	oos	0.08796	0.085884	-2.36%	0.145165	+65.04%	0.3753	✗	0.81
2026-08-15	oos	0.08962	0.087505	-2.36%	0.168585	+88.11%	0.4819	✗	0.81
2026-08-14	oos	0.088395	0.086408	-2.25%	0.13775	+55.83%	0.3057	✗	0.81
2026-08-13	oos	0.090045	0.087985	-2.29%	0.132925	+47.62%	0.2525	✗	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.089295	0.087097	-2.46%	0.114605	+28.34%	0.1113	✗	0.83
2026-08-11	oos	0.09124	0.08911	-2.33%	0.11005	+20.62%	0.0576	✗	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	0.092525	0.090751	-1.92%	0.117645	+27.15%	0.0907	✗	0.83
2026-08-09	oos	0.093465	0.091744	-1.84%	0.116325	+24.46%	0.0764	✗	0.85
2026-08-08	oos	0.094535	0.092806	-1.83%	0.114495	+21.11%	0.0433	✗	0.84
2026-08-07	oos	0.094245	0.092726	-1.61%	0.1178	+24.99%	0.0593	✗	0.84
2026-08-06	oos	0.09463	0.093086	-1.63%	0.1176	+24.27%	0.0501	✗	0.85
2026-08-05	oos	0.093025	0.091976	-1.13%	0.117595	+26.41%	0.0675	✗	0.85
2026-08-04	oos	0.093385	0.092136	-1.34%	0.11391	+21.98%	0.0109	✓	0.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.094775	0.093221	-1.64%	0.10991	+15.97%	0.0048	✓	0.86
2026-08-02	oos	0.09291	0.09145	-1.57%	0.10899	+17.31%	0.0049	✓	0.86
2026-08-01	oos	0.092585	0.091028	-1.68%	0.110155	+18.98%	0.0014	✓	0.84
2026-07-31	oos	0.09376	0.092065	-1.81%	0.1093	+16.57%	0.0073	✓	0.84
2026-07-30	oos	0.09442	0.09296	-1.55%	0.111545	+18.14%	0.0175	✗	0.87
2026-07-29	oos	0.09288	0.091324	-1.67%	0.112455	+21.08%	0.0416	✗	0.84
2026-07-28	oos	0.09666	0.094803	-1.92%	0.114335	+18.29%	0.0057	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.097625	0.095475	-2.20%	0.11256	+15.30%	0.0187	✓	0.85
2026-07-26	oos	0.10425	0.10183	-2.32%	0.106795	+2.44%	0.0951	✓	0.78
2026-07-25	oos	0.1036	0.100942	-2.57%	0.107195	+3.47%	0.1014	✓	0.78
2026-07-24	oos	0.102	0.099216	-2.73%	0.108375	+6.25%	0.0637	✓	0.79
2026-07-23	oos	0.10346	0.100619	-2.75%	0.1085	+4.87%	0.0583	✓	0.79
2026-07-22	oos	0.105135	0.102523	-2.48%	0.106915	+1.69%	0.0912	✓	0.78
2026-07-21	oos	0.10553	0.103112	-2.29%	0.097025	-8.06%	0.1339	✓	0.78
2026-07-20	oos	0.102865	0.100392	-2.40%	0.09194	-10.62%	0.1335	✓	0.75
2026-07-19	oos	0.102685	0.100097	-2.52%	0.08602	-16.23%	0.1516	✓	0.75
2026-07-18	oos	0.105435	0.102525	-2.76%	0.08748	-17.03%	0.1549	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.10409	0.100993	-2.98%	0.08796	-15.50%	0.1251	✓	0.78
2026-07-16	oos	0.104335	0.101112	-3.09%	0.08962	-14.10%	0.1113	✓	0.79
2026-07-15	oos	0.1069	0.103466	-3.21%	0.088395	-17.31%	0.1361	✓	0.78
2026-07-14	oos	0.107745	0.104766	-2.76%	0.090045	-16.43%	0.1322	✓	0.79
2026-07-13	oos	0.10499	0.101463	-3.36%	0.089295	-14.95%	0.1424	✓	0.80
2026-07-12	oos	0.107	0.103626	-3.15%	0.09124	-14.73%	0.1246	✓	0.81
2026-07-11	oos	0.1078	0.104068	-3.46%	0.092525	-14.17%	0.1193	✓	0.81
2026-07-10	oos	0.1084	0.104626	-3.48%	0.093465	-13.78%	0.1219	✓	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.10599	0.10212	-3.65%	0.094535	-10.81%	0.0990	✓	0.80
2026-07-08	oos	0.10426	0.101336	-2.80%	0.094245	-9.61%	0.1059	✓	0.80
2026-07-07	oos	0.106835	0.1038	-2.84%	0.09463	-11.42%	0.1042	✓	0.79
2026-07-06	oos	0.110765	0.107372	-3.06%	0.093025	-16.02%	0.1508	✓	0.79
2026-07-05	oos	0.110715	0.10723	-3.15%	0.093385	-15.65%	0.1440	✓	0.78
2026-07-04	oos	0.11172	0.107886	-3.43%	0.094775	-15.17%	0.1343	✓	0.79
2026-07-03	oos	0.112	0.107617	-3.91%	0.09291	-17.04%	0.1591	✓	0.78
2026-07-02	oos	0.1092	0.104629	-4.19%	0.092585	-15.22%	0.1381	✓	0.77
2026-07-01	oos	0.10592	0.101122	-4.53%	0.09376	-11.48%	0.1110	✓	0.76
2026-06-30	oos	0.11245	0.107189	-4.68%	0.09442	-16.03%	0.2112	✓	0.84
2026-06-28	oos	0.110405	0.104642	-5.22%	0.09666	-12.45%	0.1384	✓	0.83
2026-06-27	oos	0.112845	0.106587	-5.55%	0.097625	-13.49%	0.1387	✓	0.84
2026-06-26	oos	0.10684	0.102867	-3.72%	0.10425	-2.42%	0.0581	✓	0.84
2026-06-25	oos	0.10414	0.100426	-3.57%	0.1036	-0.52%	0.0306	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	0.106585	0.102925	-3.43%	0.102	-4.30%	0.0500	✓	0.83
2026-06-23	oos	0.108595	0.104424	-3.84%	0.10346	-4.73%	0.0408	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.11121	0.106588	-4.16%	0.105135	-5.46%	0.0412	✓	0.83
2026-06-21	oos	0.11287	0.108022	-4.30%	0.10553	-6.50%	0.0660	✓	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.116545	0.111555	-4.28%	0.102865	-11.74%	0.0941	✓	0.85
2026-06-19	oos	0.113975	0.109266	-4.13%	0.102685	-9.91%	0.0782	✓	0.85
2026-06-18	oos	0.115755	0.109905	-5.05%	0.105435	-8.92%	0.0675	✓	0.87
2026-06-17	oos	0.121285	0.116015	-4.34%	0.10409	-14.18%	0.1012	✓	0.85
2026-06-16	oos	0.1241	0.118575	-4.45%	0.104335	-15.93%	0.1039	✓	0.84
2026-06-15	oos	0.124935	0.119418	-4.42%	0.1069	-14.44%	0.0901	✓	0.87
2026-06-14	oos	0.1246	0.118953	-4.53%	0.107745	-13.53%	0.0895	✓	0.86
2026-06-13	oos	0.121495	0.117422	-3.35%	0.10499	-13.58%	0.0810	✓	0.90
2026-06-12	oos	0.11965	0.116047	-3.01%	0.107	-10.57%	0.0840	✓	0.91
2026-06-11	oos	0.121415	0.11761	-3.13%	0.1078	-11.21%	0.0901	✓	0.90
2026-06-10	oos	0.120205	0.116205	-3.33%	0.1084	-9.82%	0.1089	✓	0.92
2026-06-09	oos	0.115155	0.11224	-2.53%	0.10599	-7.96%	0.0795	✓	0.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.14344	0.134521	-6.22%	0.112	-21.92%	0.1623	✓	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.14843	0.139108	-6.28%	0.1092	-26.43%	0.1718	✓	0.87
2026-06-01	oos	0.15781	0.148692	-5.78%	0.10592	-32.88%	0.2004	✓	0.80
2026-05-31	oos	0.156685	0.146419	-6.55%	0.11245	-28.23%	0.0740	✓	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.151745	0.14323	-5.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-05-29	oos	0.149	0.140829	-5.48%	0.110405	-25.90%	0.0765	✓	0.79
2026-05-28	oos	0.14687	0.140101	-4.61%	0.112845	-23.17%	0.0542	✓	0.79
2026-05-27	oos	0.151	0.14415	-4.54%	0.10684	-29.25%	0.1304	✓	0.79
2026-05-26	oos	0.15437	0.146868	-4.86%	0.10414	-32.54%	0.1552	✓	0.79
2026-05-25	oos	0.15909	0.151372	-4.85%	0.106585	-33.00%	0.1607	✓	0.80
2026-05-24	oos	0.158125	0.151356	-4.28%	0.108595	-31.32%	0.1664	✓	0.80
2026-05-23	oos	0.163095	0.155651	-4.56%	0.11121	-31.81%	0.1889	✓	0.81
2026-05-22	oos	0.15824	0.151102	-4.51%	0.11287	-28.67%	0.1489	✓	0.81
2026-05-21	oos	0.16376	0.157156	-4.03%	0.116545	-28.83%	0.1476	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	0.16008	0.154958	-3.20%	0.113975	-28.80%	0.1470	✓	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	0.1582	0.15327	-3.12%	0.115755	-26.83%	0.1206	✓	0.80
2026-05-18	oos	0.16315	0.158133	-3.08%	0.121285	-25.66%	0.1217	✓	0.81
2026-05-17	oos	0.162445	0.158308	-2.55%	0.1241	-23.60%	0.1100	✓	0.81
2026-05-16	oos	0.166865	0.163946	-1.75%	0.124935	-25.13%	0.1398	✓	0.80
2026-05-15	oos	0.17048	0.16808	-1.41%	0.1246	-26.91%	0.1470	✓	0.82
2026-05-14	oos	0.1781	0.176798	-0.73%	0.121495	-31.78%	0.1877	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.17641	0.17428	-1.21%	0.11965	-32.18%	0.1849	✓	0.86
2026-05-12	oos	0.18261	0.18072	-1.04%	0.121415	-33.51%	0.1983	✓	0.84
2026-05-11	oos	0.189155	0.187722	-0.76%	0.120205	-36.45%	0.2081	✓	0.83
2026-05-10	oos	0.18791	0.188045	+0.07%	0.115155	-38.72%	0.2550	✗	0.82
2026-05-07	oos	0.179	0.177919	-0.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-05-06	oos	0.1802	0.181384	+0.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-05-05	oos	0.177505	0.180081	+1.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-05-04	oos	0.175	0.176742	+1.00%	0.14344	-18.03%	0.0326	✓	1.09
2026-05-03	oos	0.17779	0.17772	-0.04%	0.14843	-16.51%	0.0003	✓	1.10
2026-05-01	oos	0.17355	0.173044	-0.29%	0.156685	-9.72%	0.0315	✓	1.10
2026-04-30	oos	0.17367	0.171333	-1.35%	0.151745	-12.62%	0.0840	✓	1.11
2026-04-29	oos	0.17556	0.172755	-1.60%	0.149	-15.13%	0.1125	✓	1.11
2026-04-28	oos	0.181895	0.179624	-1.25%	0.14687	-19.26%	0.1596	✓	1.11
2026-04-27	oos	0.17189	0.171765	-0.07%	0.151	-12.15%	0.0837	✓	1.12
2026-04-26	oos	0.176575	0.177446	+0.49%	0.15437	-12.58%	0.0980	✗	1.12
2026-04-25	oos	0.173675	0.174269	+0.34%	0.15909	-8.40%	0.0853	✗	1.13
2026-04-24	oos	0.17244	0.172827	+0.22%	0.158125	-8.30%	0.0818	✗	1.12
2026-04-23	oos	0.171695	0.172337	+0.37%	0.163095	-5.01%	0.0314	✗	1.13
2026-04-22	oos	0.172625	0.172932	+0.18%	0.15824	-8.33%	0.0483	✗	1.13
2026-04-21	oos	0.17375	0.172333	-0.82%	0.16376	-5.75%	0.0687	✓	1.14
2026-04-20	oos	0.17181	0.170018	-1.04%	0.16008	-6.83%	0.0841	✓	1.13
2026-04-19	oos	0.16685	0.164095	-1.65%	0.1582	-5.18%	0.0799	✓	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1744	0.172205	-1.26%	0.16315	-6.45%	0.0715	✓	1.11
2026-04-17	oos	0.17886	0.176557	-1.29%	0.162445	-9.18%	0.0878	✓	1.11
2026-04-16	oos	0.175965	0.17231	-2.08%	0.166865	-5.17%	0.0749	✓	1.11
2026-04-15	oos	0.17247	0.169312	-1.83%	0.17048	-1.15%	0.0542	✓	1.11
2026-04-14	oos	0.168605	0.165709	-1.72%	0.1781	+5.63%	0.0268	✓	1.11
2026-04-13	oos	0.17076	0.167004	-2.20%	0.17641	+3.31%	0.0151	✓	1.11
2026-04-12	oos	0.16379	0.158468	-3.25%	0.18261	+11.49%	0.0038	✓	1.13
2026-04-11	oos	0.16851	0.164373	-2.46%	0.189155	+12.25%	0.0139	✓	1.13
2026-04-10	oos	0.17066	0.166259	-2.58%	0.18791	+10.11%	0.0118	✓	1.13
2026-04-09	oos	0.16953	0.164643	-2.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-08	oos	0.168575	0.163408	-3.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.171065	0.165585	-3.20%	0.179	+4.64%	0.0429	✓	1.13
2026-04-06	oos	0.16605	0.159386	-4.01%	0.1802	+8.52%	0.0660	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.166055	0.159498	-3.95%	0.177505	+6.90%	0.0720	✓	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.165295	0.159772	-3.34%	0.175	+5.87%	0.1027	✓	1.13
2026-04-03	oos	0.16679	0.160717	-3.64%	0.17779	+6.60%	0.0801	✓	1.13
2026-04-02	oos	0.160885	0.154655	-3.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-01	oos	0.16651	0.161025	-3.29%	0.17355	+4.23%	0.0822	✓	1.13
2026-03-31	oos	0.16275	0.15741	-3.28%	0.17367	+6.71%	0.0287	✓	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.16123	0.15547	-3.57%	0.17556	+8.89%	0.0228	✓	1.14
2026-03-29	oos	0.15744	0.152322	-3.25%	0.181895	+15.53%	0.0122	✓	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.161465	0.156248	-3.23%	0.17189	+6.46%	0.0788	✓	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.161995	0.156792	-3.21%	0.176575	+9.00%	0.0738	✓	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.166535	0.161607	-2.96%	0.173675	+4.29%	0.0666	✓	1.14
2026-03-25	oos	0.1729	0.168252	-2.69%	0.17244	-0.27%	0.0701	✓	1.14
2026-03-24	oos	0.17146	0.166541	-2.87%	0.171695	+0.14%	0.0887	✓	1.14
2026-03-23	oos	0.17144	0.166595	-2.83%	0.172625	+0.69%	0.0771	✓	1.14
2026-03-22	oos	0.164175	0.158653	-3.36%	0.17375	+5.83%	0.0444	✓	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.17075	0.165167	-3.27%	0.17181	+0.62%	0.0705	✓	1.14
2026-03-20	oos	0.176025	0.170302	-3.25%	0.16685	-5.21%	0.0731	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.17606	0.169846	-3.53%	0.1744	-0.94%	0.0650	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.17895	0.172535	-3.58%	0.17886	-0.05%	0.0548	✓	1.15
2026-03-17	oos	0.18915	0.182991	-3.26%	0.175965	-6.97%	0.0581	✓	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.18851	0.18422	-2.28%	0.17247	-8.51%	0.0651	✓	1.15
2026-03-15	oos	0.17487	0.17083	-2.31%	0.168605	-3.58%	0.0338	✓	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.17057	0.166047	-2.65%	0.17076	+0.11%	0.0218	✓	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.17268	0.167468	-3.02%	0.16379	-5.15%	0.0192	✓	1.13
2026-03-12	oos	0.17447	0.168707	-3.30%	0.16851	-3.42%	0.0414	✓	1.13
2026-03-11	oos	0.17011	0.166196	-2.30%	0.17066	+0.32%	0.0174	✓	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.165995	0.162128	-2.33%	0.16953	+2.13%	0.0155	✓	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.163925	0.159101	-2.94%	0.168575	+2.84%	0.0150	✓	1.13
2026-03-08	oos	0.162995	0.158524	-2.74%	0.171065	+4.95%	0.0226	✓	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.164055	0.159759	-2.62%	0.16605	+1.22%	0.0117	✓	1.15
2026-03-06	oos	0.169885	0.165157	-2.78%	0.166055	-2.25%	0.0095	✓	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.171755	0.167737	-2.34%	0.165295	-3.76%	0.0456	✗	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.17464	0.170768	-2.22%	0.16679	-4.49%	0.0703	✗	1.14
2026-03-03	oos	0.172185	0.166966	-3.03%	0.160885	-6.56%	0.0117	✓	1.19
2026-03-02	oos	0.17192	0.166826	-2.96%	0.16651	-3.15%	0.0106	✓	1.19
2026-03-01	oos	0.171345	0.165488	-3.42%	0.16275	-5.02%	0.0604	✓	1.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.175335	0.169512	-3.32%	0.16123	-8.04%	0.0459	✓	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.17458	0.16808	-3.72%	0.15744	-9.82%	0.0672	✓	1.21
2026-02-26	oos	0.17904	0.172559	-3.62%	0.161465	-9.82%	0.0453	✓	1.21
2026-02-25	oos	0.18074	0.174336	-3.54%	0.161995	-10.37%	0.0439	✓	1.21
2026-02-24	oos	0.170555	0.165217	-3.13%	0.166535	-2.36%	0.0789	✓	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.172325	0.166392	-3.44%	0.1729	+0.33%	0.0800	✓	1.20
2026-02-22	oos	0.18046	0.173504	-3.85%	0.17146	-4.99%	0.0629	✓	1.21
2026-02-21	oos	0.185815	0.178476	-3.95%	0.17144	-7.74%	0.0910	✓	1.21
2026-02-20	oos	0.184385	0.177164	-3.92%	0.164175	-10.96%	0.0736	✓	1.21
2026-02-19	oos	0.182425	0.175179	-3.97%	0.17075	-6.40%	0.0603	✓	1.22
2026-02-18	oos	0.181725	0.174363	-4.05%	0.176025	-3.14%	0.0631	✓	1.22
2026-02-17	oos	0.189235	0.180842	-4.44%	0.17606	-6.96%	0.0693	✓	1.19
2026-02-16	oos	0.191405	0.182687	-4.55%	0.17895	-6.51%	0.0614	✓	1.19
2026-02-15	oos	0.189955	0.18113	-4.65%	0.18915	-0.42%	0.0425	✓	1.19
2026-02-14	oos	0.20493	0.19503	-4.83%	0.18851	-8.01%	0.1170	✓	1.18
2026-02-13	oos	0.20067	0.190631	-5.00%	0.17487	-12.86%	0.1530	✓	1.18
2026-02-12	oos	0.18518	0.176803	-4.52%	0.17057	-7.89%	0.1202	✓	1.15
2026-02-11	oos	0.181585	0.173416	-4.50%	0.17268	-4.90%	0.0683	✓	1.13
2026-02-10	oos	0.18496	0.177127	-4.23%	0.17447	-5.67%	0.0433	✓	1.13
2026-02-09	oos	0.182105	0.174271	-4.30%	0.17011	-6.59%	0.0259	✓	1.14
2026-02-08	oos	0.18154	0.173458	-4.45%	0.165995	-8.56%	0.0389	✓	1.12
2026-02-07	oos	0.18568	0.176985	-4.68%	0.163925	-11.72%	0.0633	✓	1.13
2026-02-06	oos	0.18501	0.176975	-4.34%	0.162995	-11.90%	0.0063	✓	1.14
2026-02-05	oos	0.160015	0.155937	-2.55%	0.164055	+2.52%	0.0255	✓	1.11
2026-02-04	oos	0.20325	0.194067	-4.52%	0.169885	-16.42%	0.0716	✓	0.89
2026-02-03	oos	0.20823	0.198164	-4.83%	0.171755	-17.52%	0.0870	✓	0.86
2026-02-02	oos	0.21705	0.204066	-5.98%	0.17464	-19.54%	0.0877	✓	0.86
2026-02-01	oos	0.2103	0.199229	-5.26%	0.172185	-18.12%	0.0444	✓	0.86
2026-01-31	oos	0.219565	0.208434	-5.07%	0.17192	-21.70%	0.0688	✓	0.93
2026-01-30	oos	0.23511	0.22137	-5.84%	0.171345	-27.12%	0.0307	✓	0.92
2026-01-29	oos	0.23785	0.224854	-5.46%	0.175335	-26.28%	0.0339	✓	0.92
2026-01-28	oos	0.255955	0.241916	-5.48%	0.17458	-31.79%	0.0579	✓	0.89
2026-01-27	oos	0.26027	0.24579	-5.56%	0.17904	-31.21%	0.0681	✓	0.89
2026-01-26	oos	0.25924	0.244751	-5.59%	0.18074	-30.28%	0.0730	✓	0.88
2026-01-25	oos	0.24934	0.235718	-5.46%	0.170555	-31.60%	0.0613	✓	0.87
2026-01-24	oos	0.25788	0.243593	-5.54%	0.172325	-33.18%	0.0684	✓	0.87
2026-01-23	oos	0.25693	0.243024	-5.41%	0.18046	-29.76%	0.0546	✓	0.87
2026-01-22	oos	0.259115	0.245268	-5.34%	0.185815	-28.29%	0.0382	✓	0.87
2026-01-20	oos	0.26255	0.245595	-6.46%	0.182425	-30.52%	0.0544	✓	0.88
2026-01-19	oos	0.26284	0.24728	-5.92%	0.181725	-30.86%	0.0015	✓	0.93
2026-01-18	oos	0.27386	0.257896	-5.83%	0.189235	-30.90%	0.0045	✓	0.93
2026-01-17	oos	0.28892	0.2718	-5.93%	0.191405	-33.75%	0.0553	✓	0.91
2026-01-16	oos	0.28677	0.269833	-5.91%	0.189955	-33.76%	0.0500	✓	0.92
2026-01-15	oos	0.28772	0.270544	-5.97%	0.20493	-28.77%	0.0105	✓	0.92
2026-01-14	oos	0.29702	0.279007	-6.06%	0.20067	-32.44%	0.0128	✓	0.92
2026-01-13	oos	0.296395	0.277459	-6.39%	0.18518	-37.52%	0.0598	✓	0.94
2026-01-12	oos	0.27538	0.257769	-6.40%	0.181585	-34.06%	0.0725	✓	0.90
2026-01-11	oos	0.2824	0.263568	-6.67%	0.18496	-34.50%	0.0963	✓	0.93
2026-01-10	oos	0.28944	0.269145	-7.01%	0.182105	-37.08%	0.1535	✓	0.93
2026-01-09	oos	0.28973	0.269041	-7.14%	0.18154	-37.34%	0.1410	✓	1.00
2026-01-08	oos	0.29088	0.268095	-7.83%	0.18568	-36.17%	0.0965	✓	0.99
2026-01-07	oos	0.29302	0.269613	-7.99%	0.18501	-36.86%	0.0667	✓	1.20
2026-01-06	oos	0.2836	0.263689	-7.02%	0.160015	-43.58%	0.0034	✓	1.24
2026-01-05	oos	0.28016	0.261301	-6.73%	0.20325	-27.45%	0.0572	✓	1.23
2026-01-03	oos	0.27195	0.250916	-7.73%	0.21705	-20.19%	0.0284	✓	1.23
2026-01-02	oos	0.27572	0.253359	-8.11%	0.2103	-23.73%	0.0066	✓	1.23
2026-01-01	oos	0.26246	0.24249	-7.61%	0.219565	-16.34%	0.0470	✓	1.21
2025-12-31	oos	0.257905	0.238571	-7.50%	0.23511	-8.84%	0.0329	✓	1.20
2025-12-30	oos	0.264	0.246517	-6.62%	0.23785	-9.91%	0.0188	✓	1.21
2025-12-29	oos	0.264925	0.246873	-6.81%	0.255955	-3.39%	0.0082	✓	1.20
2025-12-28	oos	0.26149	0.2452	-6.23%	0.26027	-0.47%	0.0428	✓	1.20
2025-12-27	oos	0.26159	0.249206	-4.73%	0.25924	-0.90%	0.0335	✓	1.18
2025-12-26	oos	0.250025	0.238654	-4.55%	0.24934	-0.27%	0.0537	✗	1.17
2025-12-25	oos	0.250575	0.238785	-4.71%	0.25788	+2.92%	0.0516	✗	1.17
2025-12-24	oos	0.25811	0.244486	-5.28%	0.25693	-0.46%	0.0249	✓	1.17
2025-12-23	oos	0.25794	0.244489	-5.21%	0.259115	+0.46%	0.0308	✓	1.19
2025-12-22	oos	0.26017	0.246495	-5.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2025-12-21	oos	0.25406	0.240945	-5.16%	0.26255	+3.34%	0.0902	✗	1.17
2025-12-20	oos	0.258335	0.244169	-5.48%	0.26284	+1.74%	0.0178	✓	1.19
2025-12-19	oos	0.25433	0.240385	-5.48%	0.27386	+7.68%	0.0577	✗	1.19
2025-12-18	oos	0.24288	0.231109	-4.85%	0.28892	+18.96%	0.0966	✗	1.18
2025-12-17	oos	0.253725	0.24076	-5.11%	0.28677	+13.02%	0.0536	✗	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.2625	0.247839	-5.59%	0.28772	+9.61%	0.0494	✓	1.18
2025-12-15	oos	0.26616	0.249009	-6.44%	0.29702	+11.59%	0.0385	✓	1.20
2025-12-14	oos	0.2745	0.260199	-5.21%	0.296395	+7.98%	0.0367	✓	1.19
2025-12-13	oos	0.28291	0.268417	-5.12%	0.27538	-2.66%	0.0134	✓	1.18
2025-12-12	oos	0.28005	0.26613	-4.97%	0.2824	+0.84%	0.0516	✗	1.18
2025-12-11	oos	0.28642	0.273166	-4.63%	0.28944	+1.05%	0.0859	✗	1.18
2025-12-10	oos	0.292285	0.276819	-5.29%	0.28973	-0.87%	0.0653	✗	1.19
2025-12-09	oos	0.29326	0.278119	-5.16%	0.29088	-0.81%	0.0663	✗	1.18
2025-12-08	oos	0.284875	0.270239	-5.14%	0.29302	+2.86%	0.0729	✗	1.17
2025-12-07	oos	0.28704	0.27382	-4.61%	0.2836	-1.20%	0.0072	✓	1.17
2025-12-06	oos	0.29035	0.276772	-4.68%	0.28016	-3.51%	0.0477	✓	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.296505	0.283294	-4.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.292345	0.279184	-4.50%	0.27195	-6.98%	0.0062	✓	1.23
2025-12-03	oos	0.29318	0.279014	-4.83%	0.27572	-5.96%	0.0351	✓	1.23
2025-12-02	oos	0.287035	0.272038	-5.22%	0.26246	-8.56%	0.0006	✓	1.24
2025-12-01	oos	0.27774	0.262493	-5.49%	0.257905	-7.14%	0.0357	✓	1.29
2025-11-30	oos	0.296985	0.2803	-5.62%	0.264	-11.11%	0.0316	✓	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.31041	0.291793	-6.00%	0.264925	-14.65%	0.0435	✓	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.2863	0.272404	-4.85%	0.26149	-8.67%	0.0020	✓	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.282945	0.271538	-4.03%	0.26159	-7.55%	0.0124	✓	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.274165	0.263329	-3.95%	0.250025	-8.80%	0.0068	✓	1.26
2025-11-25	oos	0.273475	0.26277	-3.91%	0.250575	-8.37%	0.0452	✓	1.30
2025-11-24	oos	0.27588	0.263339	-4.55%	0.25811	-6.44%	0.0103	✓	1.30
2025-11-23	oos	0.27126	0.258076	-4.86%	0.25794	-4.91%	0.0099	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.25884	0.2489	-3.84%	0.26017	+0.51%	0.0156	✓	1.34
2025-11-21	oos	0.26148	0.249773	-4.48%	0.25406	-2.84%	0.0380	✓	1.34
2025-11-20	oos	0.26911	0.256715	-4.61%	0.258335	-4.00%	0.0208	✓	1.33
2025-11-19	oos	0.27749	0.266033	-4.13%	0.25433	-8.35%	0.0085	✓	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.28673	0.273246	-4.70%	0.24288	-15.29%	0.0016	✓	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.289155	0.27384	-5.30%	0.253725	-12.25%	0.0200	✓	1.46
2025-11-16	oos	0.289095	0.274293	-5.12%	0.2625	-9.20%	0.0580	✗	1.47
2025-11-15	oos	0.29537	0.281204	-4.80%	0.26616	-9.89%	0.0924	✗	1.47
2025-11-14	oos	0.29554	0.27966	-5.37%	0.2745	-7.12%	0.0836	✗	1.47
2025-11-13	oos	0.300075	0.284569	-5.17%	0.28291	-5.72%	0.1491	✗	1.57
2025-11-12	oos	0.31321	0.297508	-5.01%	0.28005	-10.59%	0.1248	✗	1.56
2025-11-11	oos	0.32233	0.304437	-5.55%	0.28642	-11.14%	0.1060	✗	1.56
2025-11-10	oos	0.311865	0.297935	-4.47%	0.292285	-6.28%	0.2070	✗	1.60
2025-11-07	oos	0.31026	0.292092	-5.86%	0.28704	-7.48%	0.1860	✗	1.53
2025-11-06	oos	0.285505	0.270837	-5.14%	0.29035	+1.70%	0.2582	✗	1.49
2025-11-05	oos	0.274	0.264231	-3.57%	0.296505	+8.21%	0.3473	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.26582	0.258701	-2.68%	0.292345	+9.98%	0.2727	✗	1.55
2025-11-03	oos	0.27914	0.269505	-3.45%	0.29318	+5.03%	0.2944	✗	1.60
2025-11-02	oos	0.318915	0.307857	-3.47%	0.287035	-10.00%	0.2213	✗	1.52
2025-11-01	oos	0.320415	0.309447	-3.42%	0.27774	-13.32%	0.2651	✗	1.53
2025-10-31	oos	0.309865	0.300758	-2.94%	0.296985	-4.16%	0.2818	✗	1.53
2025-10-30	oos	0.308515	0.298603	-3.21%	0.31041	+0.61%	0.3088	✗	1.53
2025-10-29	oos	0.319275	0.309405	-3.09%	0.2863	-10.33%	0.2124	✗	1.52
2025-10-28	oos	0.31918	0.312318	-2.15%	0.282945	-11.35%	0.2327	✗	1.56
2025-10-27	oos	0.328305	0.320523	-2.37%	0.274165	-16.49%	0.2053	✗	1.56
2025-10-26	oos	0.33998	0.330382	-2.82%	0.273475	-19.56%	0.2333	✗	1.56
2025-10-25	oos	0.33173	0.321654	-3.04%	0.27588	-16.84%	0.2180	✗	1.58
2025-10-24	oos	0.327525	0.318726	-2.69%	0.27126	-17.18%	0.2292	✗	1.59
2025-10-23	oos	0.32564	0.318464	-2.20%	0.25884	-20.51%	0.2090	✗	1.59
2025-10-22	oos	0.31558	0.308923	-2.11%	0.26148	-17.14%	0.2063	✗	1.59
2025-10-21	oos	0.32218	0.314871	-2.27%	0.26911	-16.47%	0.2003	✗	1.59
2025-10-20	oos	0.332165	0.324316	-2.36%	0.27749	-16.46%	0.1430	✗	1.58
2025-10-19	oos	0.327595	0.31993	-2.34%	0.28673	-12.47%	0.1323	✗	1.54
2025-10-18	oos	0.32185	0.313667	-2.54%	0.289155	-10.16%	0.1531	✗	1.54
2025-10-17	oos	0.3212	0.312318	-2.77%	0.289095	-10.00%	0.1117	✗	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	0.337535	0.327133	-3.08%	0.29537	-12.49%	0.0882	✗	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	0.352265	0.34158	-3.03%	0.29554	-16.10%	0.0960	✗	1.51
2025-10-14	oos	0.36235	0.350324	-3.32%	0.300075	-17.19%	0.0368	✗	1.51
2025-10-13	oos	0.38349	0.368702	-3.86%	0.31321	-18.33%	0.0246	✓	1.49
2025-10-12	oos	0.385365	0.371313	-3.65%	0.32233	-16.36%	0.0209	✓	1.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.35246	0.337973	-4.11%	0.311865	-11.52%	0.0183	✓	1.40
2025-10-10	oos	0.35363	0.339976	-3.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2025-10-09	oos	0.42924	0.412797	-3.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.438	0.422827	-3.46%	0.31026	-29.16%	0.1243	✓	1.04
2025-10-07	oos	0.439955	0.421224	-4.26%	0.285505	-35.11%	0.2067	✓	1.01
2025-10-06	oos	0.452595	0.435319	-3.82%	0.274	-39.46%	0.2792	✓	1.00
2025-10-05	oos	0.44116	0.424186	-3.85%	0.26582	-39.75%	0.2710	✓	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	0.443395	0.427499	-3.59%	0.27914	-37.04%	0.2854	✓	1.01
2025-10-03	oos	0.451335	0.436363	-3.32%	0.318915	-29.34%	0.2104	✓	1.02
2025-10-02	oos	0.45289	0.435411	-3.86%	0.320415	-29.25%	0.2125	✓	1.03
2025-10-01	oos	0.433395	0.415887	-4.04%	0.309865	-28.50%	0.2202	✓	0.93
2025-09-30	oos	0.424195	0.405136	-4.49%	0.308515	-27.27%	0.2234	✓	0.95
2025-09-29	oos	0.41666	0.397253	-4.66%	0.319275	-23.37%	0.1771	✓	1.07
2025-09-28	oos	0.42299	0.400858	-5.23%	0.31918	-24.54%	0.2349	✓	1.12
2025-09-27	oos	0.415515	0.390865	-5.93%	0.328305	-20.99%	0.2193	✓	1.14
2025-09-26	oos	0.42021	0.396096	-5.74%	0.33998	-19.09%	0.2021	✓	1.14
2025-09-25	oos	0.40847	0.386518	-5.37%	0.33173	-18.79%	0.1799	✓	1.13
2025-09-24	oos	0.43509	0.413516	-4.96%	0.327525	-24.72%	0.2107	✓	1.09
2025-09-23	oos	0.442055	0.417401	-5.58%	0.32564	-26.33%	0.2293	✓	1.11
2025-09-22	oos	0.42058	0.395728	-5.91%	0.31558	-24.97%	0.1736	✓	1.13
2025-09-21	oos	0.45137	0.427724	-5.24%	0.32218	-28.62%	0.2164	✓	1.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.462155	0.438087	-5.21%	0.332165	-28.13%	0.2254	✓	1.12
2025-09-19	oos	0.453095	0.428755	-5.37%	0.327595	-27.70%	0.1989	✓	1.12
2025-09-18	oos	0.47161	0.443183	-6.03%	0.32185	-31.76%	0.2203	✓	1.13
2025-09-17	oos	0.466725	0.437294	-6.31%	0.3212	-31.18%	0.2058	✓	1.14
2025-09-16	oos	0.458205	0.428788	-6.42%	0.337535	-26.34%	0.1516	✓	1.14
2025-09-15	oos	0.459515	0.431554	-6.08%	0.352265	-23.34%	0.1563	✓	1.15
2025-09-14	oos	0.494815	0.455099	-8.03%	0.36235	-26.77%	0.2045	✓	1.19
2025-09-13	oos	0.45655	0.428685	-6.10%	0.38349	-16.00%	0.1041	✓	1.21
2025-09-12	oos	0.453335	0.427493	-5.70%	0.385365	-14.99%	0.0928	✓	1.22
2025-09-11	oos	0.4556	0.43213	-5.15%	0.35246	-22.64%	0.1525	✓	1.22
2025-09-10	oos	0.45231	0.428827	-5.19%	0.35363	-21.82%	0.1821	✓	1.22
2025-09-09	oos	0.449115	0.422764	-5.87%	0.42924	-4.43%	0.0931	✓	1.24
2025-09-08	oos	0.450765	0.420448	-6.73%	0.438	-2.83%	0.0787	✓	1.25
2025-09-07	oos	0.42992	0.400691	-6.80%	0.439955	+2.33%	0.0155	✓	1.23
2025-09-06	oos	0.42645	0.39628	-7.07%	0.452595	+6.13%	0.0132	✓	1.18
2025-09-05	oos	0.42821	0.397154	-7.25%	0.44116	+3.02%	0.0247	✓	1.18
2025-09-04	oos	0.425515	0.400913	-5.78%	0.443395	+4.20%	0.0185	✓	1.18

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.