ARK

ARK · native · gru_s8

token id: #261
symbol: ARK
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-09-26
predictions: 3,270

Track record at +7d

assessed

381

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

69.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0547

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0191

actual -0.0094

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.173565	0.169662	-2.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-20	oos	0.17451	0.170484	-2.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-19	oos	0.173985	0.169546	-2.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-18	oos	0.16914	0.165233	-2.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-17	oos	0.173255	0.168957	-2.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-16	oos	0.17946	0.174647	-2.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.177198	-2.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-14	oos	0.18125	0.176231	-2.77%	0.173565	-4.24%	0.0278	✓	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.19077	0.185034	-3.01%	0.17451	-8.52%	0.0568	✓	0.89
2026-10-12	oos	0.188815	0.183337	-2.90%	0.173985	-7.85%	0.0534	✓	0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.20696	0.198811	-3.94%	0.16914	-18.27%	0.1450	✓	0.83
2026-10-10	oos	0.21283	0.204547	-3.89%	0.173255	-18.59%	0.1505	✓	0.84
2026-10-09	oos	0.21456	0.205888	-4.04%	0.17946	-16.36%	0.1267	✓	0.84
2026-10-08	oos	0.22464	0.212383	-5.46%	0.18215	-18.91%	0.1580	✓	0.85
2026-10-07	oos	0.2145	0.203351	-5.20%	0.18125	-15.50%	0.0967	✓	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.208695	0.200977	-3.70%	0.19077	-8.59%	0.0254	✓	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.21823	0.209238	-4.12%	0.188815	-13.48%	0.0584	✓	0.93
2026-10-04	oos	0.22409	0.214254	-4.39%	0.20696	-7.64%	0.0037	✓	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.231185	0.217326	-5.99%	0.21283	-7.94%	0.0000	✓	0.96
2026-10-02	oos	0.21165	0.201048	-5.01%	0.21456	+1.37%	0.0874	✗	0.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.243225	0.227416	-6.50%	0.22464	-7.64%	0.0227	✓	0.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.26057	0.240376	-7.75%	0.2145	-17.68%	0.1107	✓	0.95
2026-09-29	oos	0.251205	0.234955	-6.47%	0.208695	-16.92%	0.1401	✓	0.96
2026-09-28	oos	0.23865	0.221656	-7.12%	0.21823	-8.56%	0.0402	✓	0.91
2026-09-27	oos	0.247355	0.232861	-5.86%	0.22409	-9.41%	0.0599	✓	0.90
2026-09-26	oos	0.260575	0.238714	-8.39%	0.231185	-11.28%	0.0355	✓	0.89
2026-09-25	oos	0.25433	0.232125	-8.73%	0.21165	-16.78%	0.0967	✓	0.90
2026-09-24	oos	0.1933	0.183147	-5.25%	0.243225	+25.83%	0.2785	✗	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.15873	0.152659	-3.82%	0.26057	+64.16%	0.5442	✗	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	0.158	0.151381	-4.19%	0.251205	+58.99%	0.5363	✗	0.99
2026-09-21	oos	0.154	0.147706	-4.09%	0.23865	+54.97%	0.5163	✗	0.99
2026-09-20	oos	0.15176	0.146814	-3.26%	0.247355	+62.99%	0.4785	✗	1.08
2026-09-19	oos	0.15344	0.147945	-3.58%	0.260575	+69.82%	0.5248	✗	1.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.142255	0.137541	-3.31%	0.25433	+78.78%	0.5726	✗	1.08
2026-09-17	oos	0.13709	0.132428	-3.40%	0.1933	+41.00%	0.2657	✗	1.12
2026-09-16	oos	0.149755	0.14145	-5.55%	0.15873	+5.99%	0.0004	✓	1.12
2026-09-15	oos	0.145165	0.137989	-4.94%	0.158	+8.84%	0.0132	✓	1.13
2026-09-14	oos	0.168585	0.156888	-6.94%	0.154	-8.65%	0.1215	✓	1.01
2026-09-13	oos	0.13775	0.131616	-4.45%	0.15176	+10.17%	0.0920	✗	0.91
2026-09-12	oos	0.132925	0.129512	-2.57%	0.15344	+15.43%	0.1233	✗	0.92
2026-09-11	oos	0.114605	0.112696	-1.67%	0.142255	+24.13%	0.1896	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.11005	0.109108	-0.86%	0.13709	+24.57%	0.2306	✗	0.93
2026-09-09	oos	0.117645	0.117534	-0.09%	0.149755	+27.29%	0.2671	✗	0.90
2026-09-08	oos	0.116325	0.116395	+0.06%	0.145165	+24.79%	0.2536	✓	0.88
2026-09-07	oos	0.114495	0.114845	+0.31%	0.168585	+47.24%	0.3941	✓	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.1178	0.118329	+0.45%	0.13775	+16.94%	0.1913	✓	0.87
2026-09-05	oos	0.1176	0.118116	+0.44%	0.132925	+13.03%	0.1467	✓	0.87
2026-09-04	oos	0.117595	0.118162	+0.48%	0.114605	-2.54%	0.0031	✓	0.87
2026-09-03	oos	0.11391	0.115061	+1.01%	0.11005	-3.39%	0.0101	✓	0.91
2026-09-02	oos	0.10991	0.11045	+0.49%	0.117645	+7.04%	0.0515	✓	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.10899	0.109647	+0.60%	0.116325	+6.73%	0.0467	✓	0.92
2026-08-31	oos	0.110155	0.111017	+0.78%	0.114495	+3.94%	0.0247	✓	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.1093	0.110011	+0.65%	0.1178	+7.78%	0.0376	✓	0.91
2026-08-29	oos	0.111545	0.11257	+0.92%	0.1176	+5.43%	0.0261	✓	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.112455	0.113269	+0.72%	0.117595	+4.57%	0.0172	✓	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.114335	0.115515	+1.03%	0.11391	-0.37%	0.0248	✗	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.11256	0.113355	+0.71%	0.10991	-2.35%	0.0115	✗	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.106795	0.107437	+0.60%	0.10899	+2.06%	0.0270	✓	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.107195	0.107764	+0.53%	0.110155	+2.76%	0.0266	✓	0.88
2026-08-23	oos	0.108375	0.108392	+0.02%	0.1093	+0.85%	0.0091	✓	0.89
2026-08-22	oos	0.1085	0.108037	-0.43%	0.111545	+2.81%	0.0183	✗	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.106915	0.106424	-0.46%	0.112455	+5.18%	0.0608	✗	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.097025	0.095561	-1.51%	0.114335	+17.84%	0.1002	✗	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	0.09194	0.090321	-1.76%	0.11256	+22.43%	0.1130	✗	0.82
2026-08-18	oos	0.08602	0.08482	-1.39%	0.106795	+24.15%	0.0799	✗	0.78
2026-08-17	oos	0.08748	0.085841	-1.87%	0.107195	+22.54%	0.0633	✗	0.78
2026-08-16	oos	0.08796	0.086941	-1.16%	0.108375	+23.21%	0.0482	✗	0.81
2026-08-15	oos	0.08962	0.088525	-1.22%	0.1085	+21.07%	0.0412	✗	0.81
2026-08-14	oos	0.088395	0.087314	-1.22%	0.106915	+20.95%	0.0259	✗	0.81
2026-08-13	oos	0.090045	0.088827	-1.35%	0.097025	+7.75%	0.0259	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.089295	0.087946	-1.51%	0.09194	+2.96%	0.0292	✓	0.83
2026-08-11	oos	0.09124	0.089602	-1.79%	0.08602	-5.72%	0.0556	✓	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	0.092525	0.091349	-1.27%	0.08748	-5.45%	0.0506	✓	0.83
2026-08-09	oos	0.093465	0.092239	-1.31%	0.08796	-5.89%	0.0208	✓	0.85
2026-08-08	oos	0.094535	0.09289	-1.74%	0.08962	-5.20%	0.0109	✓	0.84
2026-08-07	oos	0.094245	0.092807	-1.53%	0.088395	-6.21%	0.0234	✓	0.84
2026-08-06	oos	0.09463	0.093548	-1.14%	0.090045	-4.85%	0.0270	✓	0.85
2026-08-05	oos	0.093025	0.092593	-0.46%	0.089295	-4.01%	0.0204	✓	0.85
2026-08-04	oos	0.093385	0.092912	-0.51%	0.09124	-2.30%	0.0113	✓	0.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.094775	0.094211	-0.60%	0.092525	-2.37%	0.0241	✓	0.86
2026-08-02	oos	0.09291	0.09241	-0.54%	0.093465	+0.60%	0.0068	✓	0.86
2026-08-01	oos	0.092585	0.092103	-0.52%	0.094535	+2.11%	0.0023	✓	0.84
2026-07-31	oos	0.09376	0.093221	-0.57%	0.094245	+0.52%	0.0164	✓	0.84
2026-07-30	oos	0.09442	0.09388	-0.57%	0.09463	+0.22%	0.0141	✗	0.87
2026-07-29	oos	0.09288	0.092361	-0.56%	0.093025	+0.16%	0.0021	✓	0.84
2026-07-28	oos	0.09666	0.095982	-0.70%	0.093385	-3.39%	0.0301	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.097625	0.096837	-0.81%	0.094775	-2.92%	0.0185	✓	0.85
2026-07-26	oos	0.10425	0.103221	-0.99%	0.09291	-10.88%	0.0830	✓	0.78
2026-07-25	oos	0.1036	0.102502	-1.06%	0.092585	-10.63%	0.0828	✓	0.78
2026-07-24	oos	0.102	0.100865	-1.11%	0.09376	-8.08%	0.0574	✓	0.79
2026-07-23	oos	0.10346	0.102236	-1.18%	0.09442	-8.74%	0.0755	✓	0.79
2026-07-22	oos	0.105135	0.103908	-1.17%	0.09288	-11.66%	0.0858	✓	0.78
2026-07-21	oos	0.10553	0.104311	-1.16%	0.09666	-8.41%	0.0441	✓	0.78
2026-07-20	oos	0.102865	0.101649	-1.18%	0.097625	-5.09%	0.0227	✓	0.75
2026-07-19	oos	0.102685	0.101397	-1.25%	0.10425	+1.52%	0.0201	✗	0.75
2026-07-18	oos	0.105435	0.103927	-1.43%	0.1036	-1.74%	0.0028	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.10409	0.102475	-1.55%	0.102	-2.01%	0.0070	✓	0.78
2026-07-16	oos	0.104335	0.102548	-1.71%	0.10346	-0.84%	0.0068	✓	0.79
2026-07-15	oos	0.1069	0.104633	-2.12%	0.105135	-1.65%	0.0116	✓	0.78
2026-07-14	oos	0.107745	0.106282	-1.36%	0.10553	-2.06%	0.0254	✓	0.79
2026-07-13	oos	0.10499	0.103408	-1.51%	0.102865	-2.02%	0.0425	✓	0.80
2026-07-12	oos	0.107	0.105341	-1.55%	0.102685	-4.03%	0.0374	✓	0.81
2026-07-11	oos	0.1078	0.105921	-1.74%	0.105435	-2.19%	0.0176	✓	0.81
2026-07-10	oos	0.1084	0.106333	-1.91%	0.10409	-3.98%	0.0183	✓	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.10599	0.103648	-2.21%	0.104335	-1.56%	0.0009	✓	0.80
2026-07-08	oos	0.10426	0.103079	-1.13%	0.1069	+2.53%	0.0052	✓	0.80
2026-07-07	oos	0.106835	0.105526	-1.23%	0.107745	+0.85%	0.0002	✓	0.79
2026-07-06	oos	0.110765	0.109221	-1.39%	0.10499	-5.21%	0.0179	✓	0.79
2026-07-05	oos	0.110715	0.10908	-1.48%	0.107	-3.36%	0.0212	✓	0.78
2026-07-04	oos	0.11172	0.109814	-1.71%	0.1078	-3.51%	0.0270	✓	0.79
2026-07-03	oos	0.112	0.109897	-1.88%	0.1084	-3.21%	0.0335	✓	0.78
2026-07-02	oos	0.1092	0.106953	-2.06%	0.10599	-2.94%	0.0299	✓	0.77
2026-07-01	oos	0.10592	0.10339	-2.39%	0.10426	-1.57%	0.0199	✓	0.76
2026-06-30	oos	0.11245	0.110361	-1.86%	0.106835	-4.99%	0.0985	✓	0.84
2026-06-28	oos	0.110405	0.10771	-2.44%	0.110715	+0.28%	0.0280	✓	0.83
2026-06-27	oos	0.112845	0.109496	-2.97%	0.11172	-1.00%	0.0227	✓	0.84
2026-06-26	oos	0.10684	0.105649	-1.11%	0.112	+4.83%	0.0239	✗	0.84
2026-06-25	oos	0.10414	0.103113	-0.99%	0.1092	+4.86%	0.0329	✗	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	0.106585	0.105382	-1.13%	0.10592	-0.62%	0.0190	✗	0.83
2026-06-23	oos	0.108595	0.106958	-1.51%	0.11245	+3.55%	0.1070	✗	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.11121	0.109378	-1.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-06-21	oos	0.11287	0.110942	-1.71%	0.110405	-2.18%	0.0469	✗	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.116545	0.114418	-1.82%	0.112845	-3.17%	0.0447	✗	0.85
2026-06-19	oos	0.113975	0.111953	-1.77%	0.10684	-6.26%	0.0012	✓	0.85
2026-06-18	oos	0.115755	0.112773	-2.58%	0.10414	-10.03%	0.0348	✓	0.87
2026-06-17	oos	0.121285	0.119115	-1.79%	0.106585	-12.12%	0.0644	✓	0.85
2026-06-16	oos	0.1241	0.121658	-1.97%	0.108595	-12.49%	0.0745	✓	0.84
2026-06-15	oos	0.124935	0.12231	-2.10%	0.11121	-10.99%	0.0641	✓	0.87
2026-06-14	oos	0.1246	0.121743	-2.29%	0.11287	-9.41%	0.0426	✓	0.86
2026-06-13	oos	0.121495	0.120413	-0.89%	0.116545	-4.07%	0.0297	✓	0.90
2026-06-12	oos	0.11965	0.118866	-0.66%	0.113975	-4.74%	0.0411	✓	0.91
2026-06-11	oos	0.121415	0.120528	-0.73%	0.115755	-4.66%	0.0306	✓	0.90
2026-06-10	oos	0.120205	0.11969	-0.43%	0.121285	+0.90%	0.0307	✓	0.92
2026-06-09	oos	0.115155	0.114976	-0.16%	0.1241	+7.77%	0.0190	✗	0.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.14344	0.139865	-2.49%	0.120205	-16.20%	0.1155	✓	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.14843	0.144405	-2.71%	0.115155	-22.42%	0.1590	✓	0.87
2026-06-01	oos	0.15781	0.154041	-2.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-05-31	oos	0.156685	0.151228	-3.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.151745	0.147776	-2.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-05-29	oos	0.149	0.14489	-2.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-05-28	oos	0.14687	0.144417	-1.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-05-27	oos	0.151	0.148278	-1.80%	0.14344	-5.01%	0.0845	✗	0.79
2026-05-26	oos	0.15437	0.150551	-2.47%	0.14843	-3.85%	0.0875	✗	0.79
2026-05-25	oos	0.15909	0.15484	-2.67%	0.15781	-0.80%	0.0833	✗	0.80
2026-05-24	oos	0.158125	0.155507	-1.66%	0.156685	-0.91%	0.0439	✗	0.80
2026-05-23	oos	0.163095	0.160059	-1.86%	0.151745	-6.96%	0.0222	✓	0.81
2026-05-22	oos	0.15824	0.15537	-1.81%	0.149	-5.84%	0.0193	✓	0.81
2026-05-21	oos	0.16376	0.16082	-1.80%	0.14687	-10.31%	0.0478	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	0.16008	0.157725	-1.47%	0.151	-5.67%	0.0101	✓	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	0.1582	0.155841	-1.49%	0.15437	-2.42%	0.0004	✓	0.80
2026-05-18	oos	0.16315	0.160522	-1.61%	0.15909	-2.49%	0.0122	✓	0.81
2026-05-17	oos	0.162445	0.159918	-1.56%	0.158125	-2.66%	0.0068	✓	0.81
2026-05-16	oos	0.166865	0.164347	-1.51%	0.163095	-2.26%	0.0075	✓	0.80
2026-05-15	oos	0.17048	0.16815	-1.37%	0.15824	-7.18%	0.0222	✓	0.82
2026-05-14	oos	0.1781	0.176557	-0.87%	0.16376	-8.05%	0.0389	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.17641	0.17429	-1.20%	0.16008	-9.26%	0.0651	✓	0.86
2026-05-12	oos	0.18261	0.181832	-0.43%	0.1582	-13.37%	0.0993	✓	0.84
2026-05-11	oos	0.189155	0.188276	-0.46%	0.16315	-13.75%	0.0930	✓	0.83
2026-05-10	oos	0.18791	0.187386	-0.28%	0.162445	-13.55%	0.0936	✓	0.82
2026-05-07	oos	0.179	0.177232	-0.99%	0.1781	-0.50%	0.0058	✓	0.80
2026-05-06	oos	0.1802	0.178634	-0.87%	0.17641	-2.10%	0.0119	✗	0.91
2026-05-05	oos	0.177505	0.175866	-0.92%	0.18261	+2.88%	0.0434	✗	1.10
2026-05-04	oos	0.175	0.17345	-0.89%	0.189155	+8.09%	0.0613	✗	1.09
2026-05-03	oos	0.17779	0.175563	-1.25%	0.18791	+5.69%	0.0182	✗	1.10
2026-05-01	oos	0.17355	0.171193	-1.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-04-30	oos	0.17367	0.17176	-1.10%	0.179	+3.07%	0.0111	✓	1.11
2026-04-29	oos	0.17556	0.173189	-1.35%	0.1802	+2.64%	0.0405	✓	1.11
2026-04-28	oos	0.181895	0.178995	-1.59%	0.177505	-2.41%	0.0734	✓	1.11
2026-04-27	oos	0.17189	0.171127	-0.44%	0.175	+1.81%	0.0132	✓	1.12
2026-04-26	oos	0.176575	0.175983	-0.34%	0.17779	+0.69%	0.0119	✗	1.12
2026-04-25	oos	0.173675	0.172832	-0.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-24	oos	0.17244	0.171734	-0.41%	0.17355	+0.64%	0.0006	✓	1.12
2026-04-23	oos	0.171695	0.171505	-0.11%	0.17367	+1.15%	0.0413	✗	1.13
2026-04-22	oos	0.172625	0.172208	-0.24%	0.17556	+1.70%	0.0552	✗	1.13
2026-04-21	oos	0.17375	0.172683	-0.61%	0.181895	+4.69%	0.0524	✗	1.14
2026-04-20	oos	0.17181	0.170551	-0.73%	0.17189	+0.05%	0.0144	✓	1.13
2026-04-19	oos	0.16685	0.165305	-0.93%	0.176575	+5.83%	0.0045	✓	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1744	0.172774	-0.93%	0.173675	-0.42%	0.0224	✓	1.11
2026-04-17	oos	0.17886	0.177159	-0.95%	0.17244	-3.59%	0.0322	✓	1.11
2026-04-16	oos	0.175965	0.173759	-1.25%	0.171695	-2.43%	0.0572	✓	1.11
2026-04-15	oos	0.17247	0.170322	-1.25%	0.172625	+0.09%	0.0356	✓	1.11
2026-04-14	oos	0.168605	0.166403	-1.31%	0.17375	+3.05%	0.0112	✓	1.11
2026-04-13	oos	0.17076	0.167924	-1.66%	0.17181	+0.61%	0.0019	✓	1.11
2026-04-12	oos	0.16379	0.160182	-2.20%	0.16685	+1.87%	0.0072	✓	1.13
2026-04-11	oos	0.16851	0.166231	-1.35%	0.1744	+3.50%	0.0076	✓	1.13
2026-04-10	oos	0.17066	0.168156	-1.47%	0.17886	+4.80%	0.0000	✓	1.13
2026-04-09	oos	0.16953	0.166802	-1.61%	0.175965	+3.80%	0.0016	✓	1.13
2026-04-08	oos	0.168575	0.165643	-1.74%	0.17247	+2.31%	0.0178	✓	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.171065	0.167642	-2.00%	0.168605	-1.44%	0.0294	✓	1.13
2026-04-06	oos	0.16605	0.161755	-2.59%	0.17076	+2.84%	0.0336	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.166055	0.161873	-2.52%	0.16379	-1.36%	0.0164	✓	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.165295	0.162753	-1.54%	0.16851	+1.95%	0.0588	✓	1.13
2026-04-03	oos	0.16679	0.163868	-1.75%	0.17066	+2.32%	0.0573	✓	1.13
2026-04-02	oos	0.160885	0.157546	-2.08%	0.16953	+5.37%	0.0065	✓	1.13
2026-04-01	oos	0.16651	0.164332	-1.31%	0.168575	+1.24%	0.0230	✓	1.13
2026-03-31	oos	0.16275	0.160653	-1.29%	0.171065	+5.11%	0.0031	✓	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.16123	0.15908	-1.33%	0.16605	+2.99%	0.0073	✓	1.14
2026-03-29	oos	0.15744	0.15561	-1.16%	0.166055	+5.47%	0.0138	✗	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.161465	0.159501	-1.22%	0.165295	+2.37%	0.0192	✗	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.161995	0.16001	-1.23%	0.16679	+2.96%	0.0312	✗	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.166535	0.16443	-1.26%	0.160885	-3.39%	0.0097	✓	1.14
2026-03-25	oos	0.1729	0.170638	-1.31%	0.16651	-3.70%	0.0278	✗	1.14
2026-03-24	oos	0.17146	0.16906	-1.40%	0.16275	-5.08%	0.0001	✓	1.14
2026-03-23	oos	0.17144	0.168904	-1.48%	0.16123	-5.96%	0.0223	✗	1.14
2026-03-22	oos	0.164175	0.161375	-1.71%	0.15744	-4.10%	0.0077	✓	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.17075	0.168225	-1.48%	0.161465	-5.44%	0.0028	✓	1.14
2026-03-20	oos	0.176025	0.173188	-1.61%	0.161995	-7.97%	0.0023	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.17606	0.172879	-1.81%	0.166535	-5.41%	0.0184	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.17895	0.17485	-2.29%	0.1729	-3.38%	0.0121	✓	1.15
2026-03-17	oos	0.18915	0.184702	-2.35%	0.17146	-9.35%	0.0204	✓	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.18851	0.186105	-1.28%	0.17144	-9.06%	0.0187	✓	1.15
2026-03-15	oos	0.17487	0.172706	-1.24%	0.164175	-6.12%	0.0293	✗	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.17057	0.168236	-1.37%	0.17075	+0.11%	0.0522	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.17268	0.169848	-1.64%	0.176025	+1.94%	0.0429	✗	1.13
2026-03-12	oos	0.17447	0.17066	-2.18%	0.17606	+0.91%	0.0410	✗	1.13
2026-03-11	oos	0.17011	0.16827	-1.08%	0.17895	+5.20%	0.0450	✗	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.165995	0.164097	-1.14%	0.18915	+13.95%	0.0801	✗	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.163925	0.161459	-1.50%	0.18851	+15.00%	0.0534	✗	1.13
2026-03-08	oos	0.162995	0.161842	-0.71%	0.17487	+7.29%	0.0359	✓	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.164055	0.16283	-0.75%	0.17057	+3.97%	0.0194	✓	1.15
2026-03-06	oos	0.169885	0.168339	-0.91%	0.17268	+1.65%	0.0211	✓	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.171755	0.170229	-0.89%	0.17447	+1.58%	0.0304	✗	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.17464	0.172993	-0.94%	0.17011	-2.59%	0.0228	✗	1.14
2026-03-03	oos	0.172185	0.170318	-1.08%	0.165995	-3.59%	0.0537	✓	1.19
2026-03-02	oos	0.17192	0.170022	-1.10%	0.163925	-4.65%	0.0296	✓	1.19
2026-03-01	oos	0.171345	0.169417	-1.13%	0.162995	-4.87%	0.0423	✓	1.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.175335	0.173135	-1.25%	0.164055	-6.43%	0.0591	✓	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.17458	0.172285	-1.31%	0.169885	-2.69%	0.0545	✓	1.21
2026-02-26	oos	0.17904	0.176371	-1.49%	0.171755	-4.07%	0.0860	✓	1.21
2026-02-25	oos	0.18074	0.178451	-1.27%	0.17464	-3.38%	0.1023	✓	1.21
2026-02-24	oos	0.170555	0.169155	-0.82%	0.172185	+0.96%	0.0613	✓	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.172325	0.17048	-1.07%	0.17192	-0.24%	0.0675	✓	1.20
2026-02-22	oos	0.18046	0.177956	-1.39%	0.171345	-5.05%	0.0043	✓	1.21
2026-02-21	oos	0.185815	0.183008	-1.51%	0.175335	-5.64%	0.0251	✓	1.21
2026-02-20	oos	0.184385	0.18161	-1.51%	0.17458	-5.32%	0.0009	✓	1.21
2026-02-19	oos	0.182425	0.179719	-1.48%	0.17904	-1.86%	0.0132	✓	1.22
2026-02-18	oos	0.181725	0.178995	-1.50%	0.18074	-0.54%	0.0188	✓	1.22
2026-02-17	oos	0.189235	0.185832	-1.80%	0.170555	-9.87%	0.0243	✓	1.19
2026-02-16	oos	0.191405	0.18759	-1.99%	0.172325	-9.97%	0.0091	✓	1.19
2026-02-15	oos	0.189955	0.185701	-2.24%	0.18046	-5.00%	0.0081	✓	1.19
2026-02-14	oos	0.20493	0.20083	-2.00%	0.185815	-9.33%	0.0464	✓	1.18
2026-02-13	oos	0.20067	0.19628	-2.19%	0.184385	-8.12%	0.0483	✓	1.18
2026-02-12	oos	0.18518	0.18227	-1.57%	0.182425	-1.49%	0.0124	✓	1.15
2026-02-11	oos	0.181585	0.178344	-1.78%	0.181725	+0.08%	0.0290	✗	1.13
2026-02-10	oos	0.18496	0.182702	-1.22%	0.189235	+2.31%	0.0574	✗	1.13
2026-02-09	oos	0.182105	0.179762	-1.29%	0.191405	+5.11%	0.0832	✗	1.14
2026-02-08	oos	0.18154	0.179092	-1.35%	0.189955	+4.64%	0.0829	✗	1.12
2026-02-07	oos	0.18568	0.182868	-1.51%	0.20493	+10.37%	0.1051	✗	1.13
2026-02-06	oos	0.18501	0.182818	-1.18%	0.20067	+8.46%	0.1212	✗	1.14
2026-02-05	oos	0.160015	0.160968	+0.60%	0.18518	+15.73%	0.0813	✓	1.11
2026-02-04	oos	0.20325	0.202306	-0.46%	0.181585	-10.66%	0.0323	✓	0.89
2026-02-03	oos	0.20823	0.206534	-0.81%	0.18496	-11.18%	0.0286	✓	0.86
2026-02-02	oos	0.21705	0.212798	-1.96%	0.182105	-16.10%	0.0567	✓	0.86
2026-02-01	oos	0.2103	0.207885	-1.15%	0.18154	-13.68%	0.0581	✓	0.86
2026-01-31	oos	0.219565	0.217635	-0.88%	0.18568	-15.43%	0.0406	✓	0.93
2026-01-30	oos	0.23511	0.230828	-1.82%	0.18501	-21.31%	0.0598	✓	0.92
2026-01-29	oos	0.23785	0.234963	-1.21%	0.160015	-32.72%	0.1099	✓	0.92
2026-01-28	oos	0.255955	0.251513	-1.74%	0.20325	-20.59%	0.0359	✓	0.89
2026-01-27	oos	0.26027	0.255511	-1.83%	0.20823	-19.99%	0.0582	✓	0.89
2026-01-26	oos	0.25924	0.254508	-1.83%	0.21705	-16.27%	0.0578	✓	0.88
2026-01-25	oos	0.24934	0.245223	-1.65%	0.2103	-15.66%	0.0504	✓	0.87
2026-01-24	oos	0.25788	0.252944	-1.91%	0.219565	-14.86%	0.0337	✓	0.87
2026-01-23	oos	0.25693	0.252001	-1.92%	0.23511	-8.49%	0.0157	✓	0.87
2026-01-22	oos	0.259115	0.254039	-1.96%	0.23785	-8.21%	0.0163	✓	0.87
2026-01-20	oos	0.26255	0.256007	-2.49%	0.26027	-0.87%	0.0085	✓	0.88
2026-01-19	oos	0.26284	0.256465	-2.43%	0.25924	-1.37%	0.0552	✗	0.93
2026-01-18	oos	0.27386	0.267024	-2.50%	0.24934	-8.95%	0.0046	✓	0.93
2026-01-17	oos	0.28892	0.28122	-2.67%	0.25788	-10.74%	0.0268	✓	0.91
2026-01-16	oos	0.28677	0.278967	-2.72%	0.25693	-10.41%	0.0225	✓	0.92
2026-01-15	oos	0.28772	0.279575	-2.83%	0.259115	-9.94%	0.0153	✓	0.92
2026-01-14	oos	0.29702	0.287979	-3.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-01-13	oos	0.296395	0.286635	-3.29%	0.26255	-11.42%	0.0151	✓	0.94
2026-01-12	oos	0.27538	0.26652	-3.22%	0.26284	-4.55%	0.0274	✓	0.90
2026-01-11	oos	0.2824	0.273121	-3.29%	0.27386	-3.02%	0.0250	✓	0.93
2026-01-10	oos	0.28944	0.279711	-3.36%	0.28892	-0.18%	0.0153	✓	0.93
2026-01-09	oos	0.28973	0.279831	-3.42%	0.28677	-1.02%	0.0290	✓	1.00
2026-01-08	oos	0.29088	0.278811	-4.15%	0.28772	-1.09%	0.0170	✓	0.99
2026-01-07	oos	0.29302	0.280541	-4.26%	0.29702	+1.37%	0.0154	✓	1.20
2026-01-06	oos	0.2836	0.272691	-3.85%	0.296395	+4.51%	0.0616	✗	1.24
2026-01-05	oos	0.28016	0.269709	-3.73%	0.27538	-1.71%	0.0564	✗	1.23
2026-01-03	oos	0.27195	0.260874	-4.07%	0.28944	+6.43%	0.1069	✗	1.23
2026-01-02	oos	0.27572	0.263923	-4.28%	0.28973	+5.08%	0.0857	✗	1.23
2026-01-01	oos	0.26246	0.252323	-3.86%	0.29088	+10.83%	0.1113	✗	1.21
2025-12-31	oos	0.257905	0.24843	-3.67%	0.29302	+13.62%	0.1142	✗	1.20
2025-12-30	oos	0.264	0.255011	-3.41%	0.2836	+7.42%	0.0352	✗	1.21
2025-12-29	oos	0.264925	0.255787	-3.45%	0.28016	+5.75%	0.0015	✓	1.20
2025-12-28	oos	0.26149	0.253263	-3.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2025-12-27	oos	0.26159	0.257148	-1.70%	0.27195	+3.96%	0.0190	✗	1.18
2025-12-26	oos	0.250025	0.246117	-1.56%	0.27572	+10.28%	0.0784	✗	1.17
2025-12-25	oos	0.250575	0.246304	-1.70%	0.26246	+4.74%	0.0427	✗	1.17
2025-12-24	oos	0.25811	0.253037	-1.97%	0.257905	-0.08%	0.0205	✗	1.17
2025-12-23	oos	0.25794	0.252786	-2.00%	0.264	+2.35%	0.0304	✗	1.19
2025-12-22	oos	0.26017	0.254587	-2.15%	0.264925	+1.83%	0.0592	✗	1.18
2025-12-21	oos	0.25406	0.248606	-2.15%	0.26149	+2.92%	0.0607	✗	1.17
2025-12-20	oos	0.258335	0.252131	-2.40%	0.26159	+1.26%	0.0438	✗	1.19
2025-12-19	oos	0.25433	0.24781	-2.56%	0.250025	-1.69%	0.0197	✓	1.19
2025-12-18	oos	0.24288	0.239048	-1.58%	0.250575	+3.17%	0.0236	✗	1.18
2025-12-17	oos	0.253725	0.249085	-1.83%	0.25811	+1.73%	0.0165	✓	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.2625	0.256502	-2.28%	0.25794	-1.74%	0.0113	✓	1.18
2025-12-15	oos	0.26616	0.258298	-2.95%	0.26017	-2.25%	0.0221	✓	1.20
2025-12-14	oos	0.2745	0.269865	-1.69%	0.25406	-7.45%	0.0667	✓	1.19
2025-12-13	oos	0.28291	0.277742	-1.83%	0.258335	-8.69%	0.0468	✓	1.18
2025-12-12	oos	0.28005	0.27505	-1.79%	0.25433	-9.18%	0.0495	✓	1.18
2025-12-11	oos	0.28642	0.281312	-1.78%	0.24288	-15.20%	0.0528	✓	1.18
2025-12-10	oos	0.292285	0.286173	-2.09%	0.253725	-13.19%	0.0428	✓	1.19
2025-12-09	oos	0.29326	0.287099	-2.10%	0.2625	-10.49%	0.0262	✓	1.18
2025-12-08	oos	0.284875	0.279069	-2.04%	0.26616	-6.57%	0.0087	✓	1.17
2025-12-07	oos	0.28704	0.28162	-1.89%	0.2745	-4.37%	0.0037	✓	1.17
2025-12-06	oos	0.29035	0.284713	-1.94%	0.28291	-2.56%	0.0195	✓	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.296505	0.290754	-1.94%	0.28005	-5.55%	0.0499	✓	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.292345	0.285949	-2.19%	0.28642	-2.03%	0.0043	✓	1.23
2025-12-03	oos	0.29318	0.285979	-2.46%	0.292285	-0.31%	0.0406	✗	1.23
2025-12-02	oos	0.287035	0.279318	-2.69%	0.29326	+2.17%	0.0301	✗	1.24
2025-12-01	oos	0.27774	0.269654	-2.91%	0.284875	+2.57%	0.0089	✓	1.29
2025-11-30	oos	0.296985	0.288385	-2.90%	0.28704	-3.35%	0.0051	✓	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.31041	0.299623	-3.48%	0.29035	-6.46%	0.0094	✓	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.2863	0.278395	-2.76%	0.296505	+3.56%	0.0849	✗	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.282945	0.277468	-1.94%	0.292345	+3.32%	0.0415	✗	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.274165	0.26929	-1.78%	0.29318	+6.94%	0.0441	✗	1.26
2025-11-25	oos	0.273475	0.268719	-1.74%	0.287035	+4.96%	0.0079	✓	1.30
2025-11-24	oos	0.27588	0.269988	-2.14%	0.27774	+0.67%	0.0579	✗	1.30
2025-11-23	oos	0.27126	0.264574	-2.46%	0.296985	+9.48%	0.0626	✗	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.25884	0.255922	-1.13%	0.31041	+19.92%	0.0993	✗	1.34
2025-11-21	oos	0.26148	0.257359	-1.58%	0.2863	+9.49%	0.0179	✗	1.34
2025-11-20	oos	0.26911	0.265333	-1.40%	0.282945	+5.14%	0.0070	✓	1.33
2025-11-19	oos	0.27749	0.273234	-1.53%	0.274165	-1.20%	0.0190	✗	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.28673	0.281276	-1.90%	0.273475	-4.62%	0.0605	✗	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.289155	0.282785	-2.20%	0.27588	-4.59%	0.0372	✗	1.46
2025-11-16	oos	0.289095	0.282622	-2.24%	0.27126	-6.17%	0.0785	✗	1.47
2025-11-15	oos	0.29537	0.288882	-2.20%	0.25884	-12.37%	0.0673	✗	1.47
2025-11-14	oos	0.29554	0.288191	-2.49%	0.26148	-11.52%	0.0577	✗	1.47
2025-11-13	oos	0.300075	0.292482	-2.53%	0.26911	-10.32%	0.1378	✗	1.57
2025-11-12	oos	0.31321	0.30605	-2.29%	0.27749	-11.40%	0.0670	✗	1.56
2025-11-11	oos	0.32233	0.313076	-2.87%	0.28673	-11.04%	0.0728	✗	1.56
2025-11-10	oos	0.311865	0.305238	-2.12%	0.289155	-7.28%	0.1709	✗	1.60
2025-11-07	oos	0.31026	0.300903	-3.02%	0.29554	-4.74%	0.1177	✗	1.53
2025-11-06	oos	0.285505	0.278915	-2.31%	0.300075	+5.10%	0.0980	✗	1.49
2025-11-05	oos	0.274	0.269847	-1.52%	0.31321	+14.31%	0.1825	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.26582	0.264729	-0.41%	0.32233	+21.26%	0.1735	✗	1.55
2025-11-03	oos	0.27914	0.276183	-1.06%	0.311865	+11.72%	0.1302	✗	1.60
2025-11-02	oos	0.318915	0.314078	-1.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.52
2025-11-01	oos	0.320415	0.315837	-1.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2025-10-31	oos	0.309865	0.306223	-1.18%	0.31026	+0.13%	0.1032	✗	1.53
2025-10-30	oos	0.308515	0.305278	-1.05%	0.285505	-7.46%	0.0358	✗	1.53
2025-10-29	oos	0.319275	0.315481	-1.19%	0.274	-14.18%	0.0534	✓	1.52
2025-10-28	oos	0.31918	0.316224	-0.93%	0.26582	-16.72%	0.0068	✓	1.56
2025-10-27	oos	0.328305	0.324865	-1.05%	0.27914	-14.98%	0.0453	✓	1.56
2025-10-26	oos	0.33998	0.336116	-1.14%	0.318915	-6.20%	0.0030	✓	1.56
2025-10-25	oos	0.33173	0.3281	-1.09%	0.320415	-3.41%	0.0007	✓	1.58
2025-10-24	oos	0.327525	0.324498	-0.92%	0.309865	-5.39%	0.0248	✓	1.59
2025-10-23	oos	0.32564	0.323366	-0.70%	0.308515	-5.26%	0.0208	✓	1.59
2025-10-22	oos	0.31558	0.313859	-0.55%	0.319275	+1.17%	0.0186	✓	1.59
2025-10-21	oos	0.32218	0.319976	-0.68%	0.31918	-0.93%	0.0678	✓	1.59
2025-10-20	oos	0.332165	0.329865	-0.69%	0.328305	-1.16%	0.0541	✓	1.58
2025-10-19	oos	0.327595	0.325581	-0.61%	0.33998	+3.78%	0.0379	✓	1.54
2025-10-18	oos	0.32185	0.320047	-0.56%	0.33173	+3.07%	0.0270	✓	1.54
2025-10-17	oos	0.3212	0.319186	-0.63%	0.327525	+1.97%	0.0391	✓	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	0.337535	0.334386	-0.93%	0.32564	-3.52%	0.0534	✓	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	0.352265	0.348267	-1.14%	0.31558	-10.41%	0.0540	✓	1.51
2025-10-14	oos	0.36235	0.356934	-1.49%	0.32218	-11.09%	0.0381	✓	1.51
2025-10-13	oos	0.38349	0.375557	-2.07%	0.332165	-13.38%	0.0606	✓	1.49
2025-10-12	oos	0.385365	0.379075	-1.63%	0.327595	-14.99%	0.0621	✓	1.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.35246	0.345589	-1.95%	0.32185	-8.68%	0.0253	✓	1.40
2025-10-10	oos	0.35363	0.347373	-1.77%	0.3212	-9.17%	0.0033	✓	1.37
2025-10-09	oos	0.42924	0.421768	-1.74%	0.337535	-21.36%	0.0997	✓	1.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.438	0.43062	-1.69%	0.352265	-19.57%	0.0890	✓	1.04
2025-10-07	oos	0.439955	0.430674	-2.11%	0.36235	-17.64%	0.1012	✓	1.01
2025-10-06	oos	0.452595	0.443066	-2.11%	0.38349	-15.27%	0.0653	✓	1.00
2025-10-05	oos	0.44116	0.431249	-2.25%	0.385365	-12.65%	0.0417	✓	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	0.443395	0.433465	-2.24%	0.35246	-20.51%	0.1053	✓	1.01
2025-10-03	oos	0.451335	0.444261	-1.57%	0.35363	-21.65%	0.1474	✓	1.02
2025-10-02	oos	0.45289	0.444429	-1.87%	0.42924	-5.22%	0.0440	✓	1.03
2025-10-01	oos	0.433395	0.425534	-1.81%	0.438	+1.06%	0.0070	✓	0.93
2025-09-30	oos	0.424195	0.415962	-1.94%	0.439955	+3.72%	0.0029	✓	0.95
2025-09-29	oos	0.41666	0.408131	-2.05%	0.452595	+8.62%	0.0104	✓	1.07
2025-09-28	oos	0.42299	0.413128	-2.33%	0.44116	+4.30%	0.0416	✓	1.12
2025-09-27	oos	0.415515	0.404069	-2.75%	0.443395	+6.71%	0.0326	✓	1.14
2025-09-26	oos	0.42021	0.408591	-2.76%	0.451335	+7.41%	0.0246	✓	1.14
2025-09-25	oos	0.40847	0.398687	-2.40%	0.45289	+10.87%	0.0131	✓	1.13
2025-09-24	oos	0.43509	0.425644	-2.17%	0.433395	-0.39%	0.0318	✓	1.09
2025-09-23	oos	0.442055	0.431137	-2.47%	0.424195	-4.04%	0.0363	✓	1.11
2025-09-22	oos	0.42058	0.407627	-3.08%	0.41666	-0.93%	0.0057	✓	1.13
2025-09-21	oos	0.45137	0.441542	-2.18%	0.42299	-6.29%	0.0136	✓	1.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.462155	0.451992	-2.20%	0.415515	-10.09%	0.0238	✓	1.12
2025-09-19	oos	0.453095	0.442656	-2.30%	0.42021	-7.26%	0.0076	✓	1.12
2025-09-18	oos	0.47161	0.458734	-2.73%	0.40847	-13.39%	0.0355	✓	1.13
2025-09-17	oos	0.466725	0.453165	-2.91%	0.43509	-6.78%	0.0095	✓	1.14
2025-09-16	oos	0.458205	0.44325	-3.26%	0.442055	-3.52%	0.0454	✗	1.14
2025-09-15	oos	0.459515	0.447397	-2.64%	0.42058	-8.47%	0.0351	✓	1.15
2025-09-14	oos	0.494815	0.474366	-4.13%	0.45137	-8.78%	0.0494	✓	1.19
2025-09-13	oos	0.45655	0.442728	-3.03%	0.462155	+1.23%	0.0452	✗	1.21
2025-09-12	oos	0.453335	0.440168	-2.90%	0.453095	-0.05%	0.0333	✗	1.22
2025-09-11	oos	0.4556	0.4453	-2.26%	0.47161	+3.51%	0.0409	✗	1.22
2025-09-10	oos	0.45231	0.443125	-2.03%	0.466725	+3.19%	0.0255	✗	1.22
2025-09-09	oos	0.449115	0.438534	-2.36%	0.458205	+2.02%	0.0136	✓	1.24
2025-09-08	oos	0.450765	0.437007	-3.05%	0.459515	+1.94%	0.0139	✓	1.25
2025-09-07	oos	0.42992	0.416939	-3.02%	0.494815	+15.09%	0.1256	✗	1.23
2025-09-06	oos	0.42645	0.41273	-3.22%	0.45655	+7.06%	0.0408	✗	1.18
2025-09-05	oos	0.42821	0.412834	-3.59%	0.453335	+5.87%	0.0369	✗	1.18
2025-09-04	oos	0.425515	0.416754	-2.06%	0.4556	+7.07%	0.0387	✗	1.18

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.