ARCSOL

? · · gru_s8

token id: #958
symbol: ARCSOL
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-12-11
predictions: 1,986

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

41.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3974

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0712

actual +0.1748

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.050705	0.048411	-4.52%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-10-20	oos	0.05179	0.049475	-4.47%	–	pending	–	–	-0.14
2026-10-19	oos	0.04402	0.042208	-4.12%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-18	oos	0.041255	0.039621	-3.96%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-17	oos	0.040095	0.038475	-4.04%	–	pending	–	–	-0.21
2026-10-16	oos	0.035465	0.033897	-4.42%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.03882	0.03738	-3.71%	–	pending	–	–	-0.22
2026-10-14	oos	0.036985	0.035457	-4.13%	–	pending	–	–	-0.23
2026-10-13	oos	0.031545	0.029484	-6.53%	–	pending	–	–	-0.13
2026-10-12	oos	0.05973	0.057854	-3.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.06296	0.061243	-2.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.18
2026-10-10	oos	0.061445	0.059745	-2.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-09	oos	0.062975	0.061045	-3.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-08	oos	0.060855	0.059002	-3.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-07	oos	0.06405	0.062305	-2.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.071945	0.069989	-2.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.08
2026-10-05	oos	0.070345	0.068651	-2.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.08
2026-10-04	oos	0.073015	0.071191	-2.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.08
2026-10-03	oos	0.071135	0.069035	-2.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-10-02	oos	0.070635	0.06839	-3.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-10-01	oos	0.07224	0.069776	-3.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.06
2026-09-30	oos	0.07045	0.06795	-3.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.07265	0.069845	-3.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.06992	0.067489	-3.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.07275	0.070228	-3.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.07069	0.06854	-3.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.07175	0.069413	-3.26%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.07354	0.071128	-3.28%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.07853	0.075403	-3.98%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.078215	0.075793	-3.10%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-09-21	oos	0.07816	0.076128	-2.60%	0.050705	-35.13%	0.4077	✓	-0.03
2026-09-20	oos	0.073655	0.070823	-3.84%	0.05179	-29.69%	0.3102	✓	-0.13
2026-09-19	oos	0.063745	0.062502	-1.95%	0.04402	-30.94%	0.3498	✓	-0.10
2026-09-18	oos	0.070975	0.068816	-3.04%	0.041255	-41.87%	0.5103	✓	-0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.07026	0.067479	-3.96%	0.040095	-42.93%	0.5126	✓	-0.13
2026-09-16	oos	0.07422	0.070804	-4.60%	0.035465	-52.22%	0.6824	✓	-0.13
2026-09-15	oos	0.07934	0.074687	-5.86%	0.03882	-51.07%	0.6466	✓	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.07305	0.070563	-3.40%	0.036985	-49.37%	0.6422	✓	-0.09
2026-09-13	oos	0.06938	0.067364	-2.91%	0.031545	-54.53%	0.7509	✓	-0.10
2026-09-12	oos	0.07315	0.070782	-3.24%	0.05973	-18.35%	0.1628	✓	-0.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.07391	0.071627	-3.09%	0.06296	-14.82%	0.1153	✓	-0.17
2026-09-10	oos	0.07355	0.07128	-3.09%	0.061445	-16.46%	0.1351	✓	-0.17
2026-09-09	oos	0.071975	0.0706	-1.91%	0.062975	-12.50%	0.1059	✓	-0.16
2026-09-08	oos	0.07252	0.07116	-1.88%	0.060855	-16.09%	0.1500	✓	-0.16
2026-09-07	oos	0.07476	0.073286	-1.97%	0.06405	-14.33%	0.1259	✓	-0.17
2026-09-06	oos	0.07195	0.07113	-1.14%	0.071945	-0.01%	0.0202	✗	-0.14
2026-09-05	oos	0.074015	0.073048	-1.31%	0.070345	-4.96%	0.0278	✓	-0.14
2026-09-04	oos	0.07428	0.073598	-0.92%	0.073015	-1.70%	0.0020	✓	-0.12
2026-09-03	oos	0.07189	0.072389	+0.69%	0.071135	-1.05%	0.0131	✗	-0.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.07274	0.072175	-0.78%	0.070635	-2.89%	0.0042	✓	-0.19
2026-09-01	oos	0.06482	0.065421	+0.93%	0.07224	+11.45%	0.1162	✓	-0.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.06939	0.069955	+0.81%	0.07045	+1.53%	0.0234	✓	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.06761	0.068204	+0.88%	0.07265	+7.45%	0.0713	✓	-0.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.07057	0.071249	+0.96%	0.06992	-0.92%	0.0092	✓	-0.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.06989	0.07068	+1.13%	0.07275	+4.09%	0.0407	✓	-0.15
2026-08-27	oos	0.06683	0.068693	+2.79%	0.07069	+5.78%	0.0340	✓	-0.11
2026-08-26	oos	0.07115	0.072502	+1.90%	0.07175	+0.84%	0.0050	✓	-0.09
2026-08-25	oos	0.07217	0.073444	+1.77%	0.07354	+1.90%	0.0098	✓	-0.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.07048	0.072078	+2.27%	0.07853	+11.42%	0.0930	✓	-0.11
2026-08-23	oos	0.0693	0.070669	+1.98%	0.078215	+12.86%	0.1129	✓	-0.11
2026-08-22	oos	0.06685	0.068344	+2.23%	0.07816	+16.92%	0.1478	✓	-0.12
2026-08-21	oos	0.0681	0.069893	+2.63%	0.073655	+8.16%	0.0569	✓	-0.13
2026-08-20	oos	0.06936	0.068903	-0.66%	0.063745	-8.10%	0.0669	✓	-0.10
2026-08-19	oos	0.0691	0.067082	-2.92%	0.070975	+2.71%	0.0736	✗	-0.11
2026-08-18	oos	0.06936	0.065828	-5.09%	0.07026	+1.30%	0.0852	✗	-0.12
2026-08-17	oos	0.07402	0.069818	-5.68%	0.07422	+0.27%	0.0787	✗	-0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.07188	0.067659	-5.87%	0.07934	+10.38%	0.1844	✗	-0.14
2026-08-15	oos	0.07187	0.067618	-5.92%	0.07305	+1.64%	0.1058	✗	-0.13
2026-08-14	oos	0.07702	0.071697	-6.91%	0.06938	-9.92%	0.0039	✓	-0.15
2026-08-13	oos	0.0757	0.070554	-6.80%	0.07315	-3.37%	0.0521	✓	-0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.07193	0.067343	-6.38%	0.07391	+2.75%	0.1411	✗	-0.24
2026-08-11	oos	0.06592	0.062396	-5.35%	0.07355	+11.57%	0.2188	✗	-0.29
2026-08-10	oos	0.06458	0.061218	-5.21%	0.071975	+11.45%	0.2159	✗	-0.27
2026-08-09	oos	0.0662	0.062867	-5.03%	0.07252	+9.55%	0.1993	✗	-0.30
2026-08-08	oos	0.06342	0.060313	-4.90%	0.07476	+17.88%	0.2742	✗	-0.30
2026-08-07	oos	0.05236	0.050663	-3.24%	0.07195	+37.41%	0.4311	✗	-0.38
2026-08-06	oos	0.05468	0.052775	-3.48%	0.074015	+35.36%	0.4171	✗	-0.36
2026-08-05	oos	0.0513	0.049741	-3.04%	0.07428	+44.80%	0.4748	✗	-0.35
2026-08-04	oos	0.053	0.051247	-3.31%	0.07189	+35.64%	0.4161	✗	-0.33
2026-08-03	oos	0.0509	0.049103	-3.53%	0.07274	+42.91%	0.4612	✗	-0.35
2026-08-02	oos	0.05129	0.0495	-3.49%	0.06482	+26.38%	0.3318	✗	-0.31
2026-08-01	oos	0.05185	0.049953	-3.66%	0.06939	+33.83%	0.4015	✗	-0.32
2026-07-31	oos	0.05344	0.051495	-3.64%	0.06761	+26.52%	0.3411	✗	-0.32
2026-07-30	oos	0.05276	0.051242	-2.88%	0.07057	+33.76%	0.3824	✗	-0.33
2026-07-29	oos	0.0537	0.052129	-2.93%	0.06989	+30.15%	0.3541	✗	-0.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.05151	0.050026	-2.88%	0.06683	+29.74%	0.3610	✗	-0.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.05404	0.052487	-2.87%	0.07115	+31.66%	0.3749	✗	-0.33
2026-07-26	oos	0.05593	0.054675	-2.24%	0.07217	+29.04%	0.3313	✗	-0.29
2026-07-25	oos	0.06002	0.05842	-2.67%	0.07048	+17.43%	0.2542	✗	-0.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.06223	0.060539	-2.72%	0.0693	+11.36%	0.1931	✗	-0.30
2026-07-23	oos	0.06145	0.060044	-2.29%	0.06685	+8.79%	0.1566	✗	-0.29
2026-07-22	oos	0.06452	0.063149	-2.13%	0.0681	+5.55%	0.1275	✗	-0.31
2026-07-21	oos	0.0666	0.06518	-2.13%	0.06936	+4.14%	0.0910	✗	-0.31
2026-07-20	oos	0.07012	0.067985	-3.04%	0.0691	-1.45%	0.0338	✗	-0.29
2026-07-19	oos	0.07069	0.06833	-3.34%	0.06936	-1.88%	0.0150	✓	-0.29
2026-07-18	oos	0.07093	0.06853	-3.38%	0.07402	+4.36%	0.0758	✗	-0.26
2026-07-17	oos	0.07314	0.070376	-3.78%	0.07188	-1.72%	0.0177	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.07475	0.071842	-3.89%	0.07187	-3.85%	0.0019	✓	-0.19
2026-07-15	oos	0.07579	0.072968	-3.72%	0.07702	+1.62%	0.0476	✗	-0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.08041	0.077122	-4.09%	0.0757	-5.86%	0.0243	✓	-0.23
2026-07-13	oos	0.07419	0.071063	-4.22%	0.07193	-3.05%	0.0189	✓	-0.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.07814	0.074815	-4.25%	0.06592	-15.64%	0.1279	✓	-0.41
2026-07-11	oos	0.07879	0.075388	-4.32%	0.06458	-18.04%	0.1538	✓	-0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.07946	0.076039	-4.30%	0.0662	-16.69%	0.1341	✓	-0.40
2026-07-09	oos	0.0791	0.075582	-4.45%	0.06342	-19.82%	0.1647	✓	-0.40
2026-07-08	oos	0.08115	0.077272	-4.78%	0.05236	-35.48%	0.3732	✓	-0.38
2026-07-07	oos	0.08095	0.077147	-4.70%	0.05468	-32.45%	0.3394	✓	-0.33
2026-07-06	oos	0.08236	0.078428	-4.77%	0.0513	-37.71%	0.4213	✓	-0.34
2026-07-05	oos	0.08139	0.077464	-4.82%	0.053	-34.88%	0.3774	✓	-0.29
2026-07-04	oos	0.07808	0.074438	-4.66%	0.0509	-34.81%	0.3783	✓	-0.30
2026-07-03	oos	0.07906	0.075296	-4.76%	0.05129	-35.13%	0.3790	✓	-0.32
2026-07-02	oos	0.08274	0.078509	-5.11%	0.05185	-37.33%	0.4088	✓	-0.29
2026-07-01	oos	0.08328	0.078856	-5.31%	0.05344	-35.83%	0.3756	✓	-0.29
2026-06-30	oos	0.0839	0.0793	-5.48%	0.05276	-37.12%	0.3816	✓	-0.26
2026-06-29	oos	0.08357	0.079003	-5.47%	0.0537	-35.74%	0.3702	✓	-0.26
2026-06-28	oos	0.08813	0.082692	-6.17%	0.05151	-41.55%	0.4592	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.08415	0.079289	-5.78%	0.05404	-35.78%	0.3717	✓	-0.19
2026-06-26	oos	0.08425	0.079283	-5.90%	0.05593	-33.61%	0.3330	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.08372	0.078692	-6.01%	0.06002	-28.31%	0.2571	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.08263	0.077835	-5.80%	0.06223	-24.69%	0.2100	✓	-0.28
2026-06-23	oos	0.08268	0.077918	-5.76%	0.06145	-25.68%	0.2288	✓	-0.23
2026-06-22	oos	0.08369	0.078781	-5.87%	0.06452	-22.91%	0.1912	✓	-0.26
2026-06-21	oos	0.08017	0.075631	-5.66%	0.0666	-16.93%	0.1135	✓	-0.27
2026-06-20	oos	0.07994	0.075401	-5.68%	0.07012	-12.28%	0.0683	✓	-0.28
2026-06-19	oos	0.07887	0.074381	-5.69%	0.07069	-10.37%	0.0458	✓	-0.27
2026-06-18	oos	0.08197	0.077053	-6.00%	0.07093	-13.47%	0.0748	✓	-0.27
2026-06-17	oos	0.08464	0.079227	-6.40%	0.07314	-13.59%	0.0823	✓	-0.27
2026-06-16	oos	0.07379	0.069982	-5.16%	0.07475	+1.30%	0.0587	✗	-0.25
2026-06-15	oos	0.07726	0.073054	-5.44%	0.07579	-1.90%	0.0282	✓	-0.36
2026-06-14	oos	0.08196	0.077027	-6.02%	0.08041	-1.89%	0.0398	✓	-0.29
2026-06-13	oos	0.08941	0.08297	-7.20%	0.07419	-17.02%	0.1221	✓	-0.30
2026-06-12	oos	0.08883	0.081849	-7.86%	0.07814	-12.03%	0.0453	✓	-0.33
2026-06-11	oos	0.08349	0.07802	-6.55%	0.07879	-5.63%	0.0108	✓	-0.31
2026-06-10	oos	0.08397	0.078152	-6.93%	0.07946	-5.37%	0.0302	✓	-0.32
2026-06-09	oos	0.08311	0.077309	-6.98%	0.0791	-4.82%	0.0303	✓	-0.31
2026-06-08	oos	0.08395	0.077776	-7.35%	0.08115	-3.34%	0.0381	✓	-0.33
2026-06-07	oos	0.08357	0.077173	-7.65%	0.08095	-3.14%	0.0479	✓	-0.27
2026-06-06	oos	0.08278	0.076398	-7.71%	0.08236	-0.51%	0.0839	✗	-0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.08116	0.074837	-7.79%	0.08139	+0.28%	0.0900	✗	-0.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.07524	0.070156	-6.76%	0.07808	+3.77%	0.1064	✗	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.07419	0.069122	-6.83%	0.07906	+6.56%	0.1325	✗	-0.08
2026-06-02	oos	0.0709	0.066322	-6.46%	0.08274	+16.70%	0.2219	✗	0.01
2026-06-01	oos	0.07662	0.070823	-7.57%	0.08328	+8.69%	0.1543	✗	-0.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.07343	0.06837	-6.89%	0.0839	+14.26%	0.2194	✗	0.06
2026-05-30	oos	0.07835	0.071994	-8.11%	0.08357	+6.66%	0.2095	✗	0.30
2026-05-29	oos	0.07464	0.068959	-7.61%	0.08813	+18.07%	0.2634	✗	0.09
2026-05-28	oos	0.07173	0.066669	-7.06%	0.08415	+17.31%	0.2424	✗	0.05
2026-05-27	oos	0.06396	0.060246	-5.81%	0.08425	+31.72%	0.3527	✗	0.08
2026-05-26	oos	0.06433	0.060613	-5.78%	0.08372	+30.14%	0.3765	✗	0.22
2026-05-25	oos	0.06502	0.061278	-5.75%	0.08263	+27.08%	0.1507	✗	-0.63
2026-05-24	oos	0.06402	0.060229	-5.92%	0.08268	+29.15%	0.1805	✗	-0.66
2026-05-23	oos	0.06449	0.060433	-6.29%	0.08369	+29.77%	0.2106	✗	-0.63
2026-05-22	oos	0.06401	0.05983	-6.53%	0.08017	+25.25%	0.1740	✗	-0.67
2026-05-21	oos	0.0641	0.06006	-6.30%	0.07994	+24.71%	0.1567	✗	-0.69
2026-05-20	oos	0.06525	0.060939	-6.61%	0.07887	+20.87%	0.1190	✗	-0.70
2026-05-19	oos	0.06462	0.060295	-6.69%	0.08197	+26.85%	0.1671	✗	-0.70
2026-05-18	oos	0.06589	0.061362	-6.87%	0.08464	+28.46%	0.1971	✗	-0.70
2026-05-17	oos	0.06769	0.062926	-7.04%	0.07379	+9.01%	0.0458	✓	-0.69
2026-05-16	oos	0.06178	0.05832	-5.60%	0.07726	+25.06%	0.1719	✗	-0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.07376	0.068004	-7.80%	0.08196	+11.12%	0.0554	✓	-0.71
2026-05-14	oos	0.06026	0.05774	-4.18%	0.08941	+48.37%	0.2999	✗	-0.60
2026-05-13	oos	0.06384	0.060304	-5.54%	0.08883	+39.14%	0.2817	✗	-0.48
2026-05-12	oos	0.06714	0.06334	-5.66%	0.08349	+24.35%	0.1493	✗	-0.54
2026-05-11	oos	0.06406	0.06109	-4.64%	0.08397	+31.08%	0.1839	✗	-0.47
2026-05-10	oos	0.06287	0.060198	-4.25%	0.08311	+32.19%	0.1748	✗	-0.51
2026-05-09	oos	0.06858	0.064634	-5.75%	0.08395	+22.41%	0.1466	✗	-0.47
2026-05-08	oos	0.06956	0.065407	-5.97%	0.08357	+20.14%	0.1499	✗	-0.40
2026-05-07	oos	0.06741	0.063546	-5.73%	0.08278	+22.80%	0.1868	✗	-0.28
2026-05-06	oos	0.06943	0.06563	-5.47%	0.08116	+16.89%	0.2375	✗	0.09
2026-05-05	oos	0.07004	0.065899	-5.91%	0.07524	+7.42%	0.1142	✗	-0.08
2026-05-04	oos	0.06657	0.062577	-6.00%	0.07419	+11.45%	0.1623	✗	-0.04
2026-05-03	oos	0.06844	0.06387	-6.68%	0.0709	+3.59%	0.0672	✓	-0.23
2026-05-02	oos	0.0717	0.066769	-6.88%	0.07662	+6.86%	0.1182	✗	-0.20
2026-05-01	oos	0.07521	0.06983	-7.15%	0.07343	-2.37%	0.0391	✓	-0.18
2026-04-30	oos	0.07485	0.069217	-7.53%	0.07835	+4.68%	0.1178	✗	-0.18
2026-04-29	oos	0.07517	0.069459	-7.60%	0.07464	-0.71%	0.0663	✓	-0.18
2026-04-28	oos	0.06678	0.062365	-6.61%	0.07173	+7.41%	0.1367	✗	-0.08
2026-04-27	oos	0.07902	0.072835	-7.83%	0.06396	-19.06%	0.1342	✓	-0.11
2026-04-26	oos	0.06856	0.064504	-5.92%	0.06433	-6.17%	0.0056	✓	-0.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.06671	0.062728	-5.97%	0.06502	-2.53%	0.0354	✓	-0.09
2026-04-24	oos	0.06458	0.060857	-5.77%	0.06402	-0.87%	0.0504	✓	-0.04
2026-04-23	oos	0.06653	0.062713	-5.74%	0.06449	-3.07%	0.0270	✓	-0.05
2026-04-22	oos	0.06516	0.061464	-5.67%	0.06401	-1.76%	0.0389	✓	-0.05
2026-04-21	oos	0.06662	0.062313	-6.46%	0.0641	-3.78%	0.0290	✓	-0.04
2026-04-20	oos	0.0665	0.062054	-6.69%	0.06525	-1.88%	0.0516	✓	-0.07
2026-04-19	oos	0.06537	0.060764	-7.05%	0.06462	-1.15%	0.0682	✓	-0.17
2026-04-18	oos	0.06838	0.063728	-6.80%	0.06589	-3.64%	0.0366	✓	-0.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.06957	0.065123	-6.39%	0.06769	-2.70%	0.0396	✓	-0.22
2026-04-16	oos	0.07276	0.067522	-7.20%	0.06178	-15.09%	0.0809	✓	-0.21
2026-04-15	oos	0.06959	0.064832	-6.84%	0.07376	+5.99%	0.1407	✗	-0.21
2026-04-14	oos	0.07018	0.06526	-7.01%	0.06026	-14.14%	0.0615	✓	-0.21
2026-04-13	oos	0.07211	0.066927	-7.19%	0.06384	-11.47%	0.0321	✓	-0.24
2026-04-12	oos	0.07456	0.067879	-8.96%	0.06714	-9.95%	0.0044	✓	-0.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.07646	0.069928	-8.54%	0.06406	-16.22%	0.0807	✓	-0.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.071	0.06553	-7.70%	0.06287	-11.45%	0.0348	✓	-0.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.07094	0.06495	-8.44%	0.06858	-3.33%	0.0607	✓	-0.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.05996	0.056239	-6.21%	0.06956	+16.01%	0.2225	✗	-0.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.05853	0.055159	-5.76%	0.06741	+15.17%	0.2092	✗	-0.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.05693	0.053143	-6.65%	0.06943	+21.96%	0.2792	✗	-0.07
2026-04-05	oos	0.05355	0.050388	-5.91%	0.07004	+30.79%	0.3408	✗	-0.07
2026-04-04	oos	0.05503	0.051198	-6.96%	0.06657	+20.97%	0.2728	✗	-0.06
2026-04-03	oos	0.05465	0.05073	-7.17%	0.06844	+25.23%	0.3090	✗	-0.06
2026-04-02	oos	0.05233	0.048842	-6.66%	0.0717	+37.02%	0.3929	✗	-0.06
2026-04-01	oos	0.05479	0.05086	-7.17%	0.07521	+37.27%	0.4013	✗	-0.07
2026-03-31	oos	0.05374	0.049972	-7.01%	0.07485	+39.28%	0.4124	✗	-0.07
2026-03-30	oos	0.05065	0.047338	-6.54%	0.07517	+48.41%	0.4741	✗	-0.09
2026-03-29	oos	0.05037	0.047015	-6.66%	0.06678	+32.58%	0.3663	✗	-0.11
2026-03-28	oos	0.0517	0.047973	-7.21%	0.07902	+52.84%	0.5146	✗	-0.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.04745	0.044633	-5.94%	0.06856	+44.49%	0.4478	✗	-0.11
2026-03-26	oos	0.04267	0.040902	-4.14%	0.06671	+56.34%	0.4970	✗	-0.06
2026-03-25	oos	0.04459	0.042796	-4.02%	0.06458	+44.83%	0.4186	✗	-0.09
2026-03-24	oos	0.04665	0.044359	-4.91%	0.06653	+42.62%	0.4139	✗	-0.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.04747	0.045005	-5.19%	0.06516	+37.27%	0.3781	✗	-0.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.04813	0.045185	-6.12%	0.06662	+38.42%	0.3954	✗	-0.06
2026-03-21	oos	0.0497	0.046444	-6.55%	0.0665	+33.80%	0.3653	✗	-0.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.04846	0.045382	-6.35%	0.06537	+34.89%	0.3678	✗	-0.06
2026-03-19	oos	0.04463	0.041962	-5.98%	0.06838	+53.22%	0.4938	✗	-0.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.04082	0.038742	-5.09%	0.06957	+70.43%	0.5876	✗	-0.03
2026-03-17	oos	0.03639	0.034933	-4.00%	0.07276	+99.95%	0.7335	✗	0.01
2026-03-16	oos	0.042995	0.041007	-4.62%	0.06959	+61.86%	0.5289	✗	0.05
2026-03-15	oos	0.04655	0.044175	-5.10%	0.07018	+50.76%	0.4606	✗	0.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.04861	0.045815	-5.75%	0.07211	+48.34%	0.4495	✗	0.09
2026-03-13	oos	0.04251	0.040265	-5.28%	0.07456	+75.39%	0.6163	✗	0.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.04395	0.041514	-5.54%	0.07646	+73.97%	0.6084	✗	0.07
2026-03-11	oos	0.04198	0.039642	-5.57%	0.071	+69.13%	0.5800	✗	0.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.04267	0.040096	-6.03%	0.07094	+66.25%	0.5688	✗	0.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.0386	0.036366	-5.79%	0.05996	+55.34%	0.4984	✗	0.04
2026-03-08	oos	0.03482	0.032928	-5.43%	0.05853	+68.09%	0.5775	✗	-0.03
2026-03-07	oos	0.03611	0.034014	-5.80%	0.05693	+57.66%	0.5158	✗	-0.03
2026-03-06	oos	0.03847	0.036042	-6.31%	0.05355	+39.20%	0.3965	✗	-0.04
2026-03-05	oos	0.03718	0.03462	-6.89%	0.05503	+48.01%	0.4619	✗	-0.03
2026-03-04	oos	0.03949	0.036615	-7.28%	0.05465	+38.39%	0.3969	✗	-0.04
2026-03-03	oos	0.03686	0.034196	-7.23%	0.05233	+41.97%	0.4235	✗	-0.09
2026-03-02	oos	0.05133	0.046475	-9.46%	0.05479	+6.74%	0.1634	✗	-0.11
2026-03-01	oos	0.04186	0.038349	-8.39%	0.05374	+28.38%	0.3449	✗	-0.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.02815	0.025401	-9.77%	0.05065	+79.93%	0.6901	✗	-0.02
2026-02-27	oos	0.03078	0.027964	-9.15%	0.05037	+63.65%	0.5885	✗	-0.00
2026-02-26	oos	0.03057	0.027675	-9.47%	0.0517	+69.12%	0.6249	✗	-0.00
2026-02-25	oos	0.05789	0.05298	-8.48%	0.04745	-18.03%	0.1112	✓	-0.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.10322	0.088501	-14.26%	0.04267	-58.66%	0.7629	✓	0.47
2026-02-23	oos	0.09076	0.079854	-12.02%	0.04459	-50.87%	0.6277	✓	0.46
2026-02-22	oos	0.09047	0.079464	-12.16%	0.04665	-48.44%	0.5520	✓	0.46
2026-02-21	oos	0.07352	0.066683	-9.30%	0.04747	-35.43%	0.3618	✓	0.52
2026-02-20	oos	0.07318	0.066087	-9.69%	0.04813	-34.23%	0.3162	✓	0.40
2026-02-19	oos	0.07658	0.068601	-10.42%	0.0497	-35.10%	0.3340	✓	0.41
2026-02-18	oos	0.07777	0.069099	-11.15%	0.04846	-37.69%	0.3782	✓	0.39
2026-02-17	oos	0.07714	0.068722	-10.91%	0.04463	-42.14%	0.4475	✓	0.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.07932	0.070188	-11.51%	0.04082	-48.54%	0.5572	✓	0.45
2026-02-15	oos	0.0769	0.068057	-11.50%	0.03639	-52.68%	0.6589	✓	0.46
2026-02-14	oos	0.07943	0.069386	-12.64%	0.042995	-45.87%	0.5105	✓	0.45
2026-02-13	oos	0.08241	0.070656	-14.26%	0.04655	-43.51%	0.4435	✓	0.46
2026-02-12	oos	0.07515	0.065603	-12.70%	0.04861	-35.32%	0.3301	✓	0.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.06673	0.059224	-11.25%	0.04251	-36.30%	0.3566	✓	0.44
2026-02-10	oos	0.0712	0.061596	-13.49%	0.04395	-38.27%	0.3477	✓	0.41
2026-02-09	oos	0.06393	0.056082	-12.28%	0.04198	-34.33%	0.2903	✓	0.43
2026-02-08	oos	0.0755	0.063025	-16.52%	0.04267	-43.48%	0.3881	✓	0.42
2026-02-07	oos	0.06176	0.054255	-12.15%	0.0386	-37.50%	0.3363	✓	0.35
2026-02-06	oos	0.07968	0.065406	-17.91%	0.03482	-56.30%	0.6098	✓	0.31
2026-02-05	oos	0.06819	0.058532	-14.16%	0.03611	-47.05%	0.4894	✓	0.09
2026-02-04	oos	0.06337	0.055166	-12.95%	0.03847	-39.29%	0.3324	✓	0.40
2026-02-03	oos	0.07037	0.059795	-15.03%	0.03718	-47.16%	0.4486	✓	0.41
2026-02-02	oos	0.04656	0.043035	-7.57%	0.03949	-15.18%	0.0244	✓	0.78
2026-02-01	oos	0.04173	0.038976	-6.60%	0.03686	-11.67%	0.0167	✓	0.61
2026-01-31	oos	0.0431	0.039864	-7.51%	0.05133	+19.10%	0.3105	✗	0.43
2026-01-30	oos	0.04241	0.038737	-8.66%	0.04186	-1.30%	0.2014	✗	0.50
2026-01-29	oos	0.04793	0.043634	-8.96%	0.02815	-41.27%	0.3196	✓	0.51
2026-01-28	oos	0.05456	0.049394	-9.47%	0.03078	-43.59%	0.3449	✓	0.42
2026-01-27	oos	0.05158	0.046683	-9.49%	0.03057	-40.73%	0.3050	✓	0.43
2026-01-26	oos	0.04991	0.044989	-9.86%	0.05789	+15.99%	0.3694	✗	0.45
2026-01-25	oos	0.05037	0.045184	-10.30%	0.10322	+104.92%	0.9720	✗	0.48
2026-01-24	oos	0.05777	0.051628	-10.63%	0.09076	+57.11%	0.6884	✗	0.39
2026-01-23	oos	0.06047	0.053703	-11.19%	0.09047	+49.61%	0.6088	✗	0.31
2026-01-22	oos	0.06253	0.05519	-11.74%	0.07352	+17.58%	0.3827	✗	0.35
2026-01-21	oos	0.0701	0.060987	-13.00%	0.07318	+4.39%	0.2771	✗	0.35
2026-01-20	oos	0.08145	0.068547	-15.84%	0.07658	-5.98%	0.2418	✗	0.47
2026-01-19	oos	0.06695	0.058777	-12.21%	0.07777	+16.16%	0.5243	✗	0.74
2026-01-18	oos	0.05477	0.049446	-9.72%	0.07714	+40.84%	0.7076	✗	0.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.04908	0.044907	-8.50%	0.07932	+61.61%	0.8353	✗	0.82
2026-01-16	oos	0.05165	0.047056	-8.89%	0.0769	+48.89%	0.7555	✗	0.81
2026-01-15	oos	0.05462	0.049444	-9.48%	0.07943	+45.42%	0.7372	✗	0.84
2026-01-14	oos	0.05716	0.051555	-9.81%	0.08241	+44.17%	0.7491	✗	0.82
2026-01-13	oos	0.06727	0.058143	-13.57%	0.07515	+11.71%	0.6025	✗	0.95
2026-01-12	oos	0.04898	0.044592	-8.96%	0.06673	+36.24%	0.5935	✗	0.62
2026-01-11	oos	0.04891	0.044321	-9.38%	0.0712	+45.57%	0.6568	✗	0.66
2026-01-10	oos	0.044	0.040429	-8.12%	0.06393	+45.30%	0.6223	✗	0.65
2026-01-09	oos	0.04275	0.039347	-7.96%	0.0755	+76.61%	0.8119	✗	0.63
2026-01-08	oos	0.03731	0.034918	-6.41%	0.06176	+65.53%	0.7413	✗	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.03251	0.030916	-4.90%	0.07968	+145.09%	1.3636	✗	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	0.03523	0.033592	-4.65%	0.06819	+93.56%	1.3482	✗	1.60
2026-01-05	oos	0.03633	0.034563	-4.86%	0.06337	+74.43%	1.0185	✗	1.64
2026-01-04	oos	0.03601	0.034003	-5.57%	0.07037	+95.42%	1.0505	✗	1.70
2026-01-03	oos	0.03574	0.033681	-5.76%	0.04656	+30.27%	0.5645	✗	1.70
2026-01-02	oos	0.03374	0.031946	-5.32%	0.04173	+23.68%	0.5292	✗	1.67
2026-01-01	oos	0.03516	0.03314	-5.75%	0.0431	+22.58%	0.4674	✗	1.70
2025-12-31	oos	0.03534	0.03324	-5.94%	0.04241	+20.01%	0.3108	✗	1.70
2025-12-30	oos	0.03487	0.032817	-5.89%	0.04793	+37.45%	0.4566	✗	1.73
2025-12-29	oos	0.03703	0.034712	-6.26%	0.05456	+47.34%	0.4124	✗	1.71
2025-12-28	oos	0.04027	0.037358	-7.23%	0.05158	+28.09%	0.2988	✗	1.70
2025-12-27	oos	0.04554	0.041456	-8.97%	0.04991	+9.60%	0.1772	✗	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.04354	0.039708	-8.80%	0.05037	+15.69%	0.2517	✗	1.65
2025-12-25	oos	0.04617	0.04172	-9.64%	0.05777	+25.12%	0.2897	✗	1.65
2025-12-24	oos	0.04127	0.037743	-8.55%	0.06047	+46.52%	0.4364	✗	1.66
2025-12-23	oos	0.0401	0.036754	-8.34%	0.06253	+55.94%	0.4965	✗	1.52
2025-12-22	oos	0.04472	0.040291	-9.90%	0.0701	+56.75%	0.5401	✗	1.50
2025-12-21	oos	0.04437	0.039847	-10.19%	0.08145	+83.57%	0.7205	✗	1.51
2025-12-20	oos	0.04508	0.040121	-11.00%	0.06695	+48.51%	0.4391	✗	1.56
2025-12-19	oos	0.0423	0.037874	-10.46%	0.05477	+29.48%	0.2742	✗	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	0.04002	0.035915	-10.26%	0.04908	+22.64%	0.1458	✗	1.56
2025-12-17	oos	0.036	0.032605	-9.43%	0.05165	+43.47%	0.2973	✗	1.59
2025-12-16	oos	0.04841	0.042096	-13.04%	0.05462	+12.83%	0.1356	✓	1.48
2025-12-15	oos	0.04002	0.035628	-10.98%	0.05716	+42.83%	0.3102	✗	1.41
2025-12-14	oos	0.03232	0.02934	-9.22%	0.06727	+108.14%	0.7119	✗	1.50
2025-12-13	oos	0.03009	0.027287	-9.31%	0.04898	+62.78%	0.5692	✗	1.54
2025-12-12	oos	0.03156	0.028586	-9.42%	0.04891	+54.97%	0.5269	✗	1.55
2025-12-11	oos	0.03257	0.029627	-9.04%	0.044	+35.09%	0.4322	✗	1.55
2025-12-10	oos	0.03374	0.030696	-9.02%	0.04275	+26.70%	0.3575	✗	1.57
2025-12-09	oos	0.0371	0.033835	-8.80%	0.03731	+0.57%	0.1260	✗	1.56
2025-12-08	oos	0.03916	0.035086	-10.40%	0.03251	-16.98%	0.0871	✓	1.58
2025-12-07	oos	0.03906	0.034953	-10.51%	0.03523	-9.81%	0.0490	✓	1.58
2025-12-06	oos	0.04	0.035763	-10.59%	0.03633	-9.18%	0.0651	✓	1.61
2025-12-05	oos	0.04029	0.036007	-10.63%	0.03601	-10.62%	0.0382	✓	1.61
2025-12-04	oos	0.0406	0.036397	-10.35%	0.03574	-11.97%	0.0085	✓	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	0.04414	0.039356	-10.84%	0.03374	-23.56%	0.0926	✓	1.61
2025-12-02	oos	0.04418	0.039102	-11.49%	0.03516	-20.42%	0.0592	✓	1.65
2025-12-01	oos	0.04214	0.037133	-11.88%	0.03534	-16.14%	0.0738	✓	1.74
2025-11-30	oos	0.05073	0.043673	-13.91%	0.03487	-31.26%	0.1892	✓	1.63
2025-11-29	oos	0.04066	0.036097	-11.22%	0.03703	-8.93%	0.0928	✓	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.04525	0.039228	-13.31%	0.04027	-11.01%	0.0810	✓	1.62
2025-11-27	oos	0.03818	0.033816	-11.43%	0.04554	+19.28%	0.3618	✗	1.64
2025-11-26	oos	0.03594	0.031667	-11.89%	0.04354	+21.15%	0.3775	✗	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.03641	0.031843	-12.54%	0.04617	+26.81%	0.3746	✗	1.75
2025-11-24	oos	0.03441	0.030312	-11.91%	0.04127	+19.94%	0.3218	✗	1.76
2025-11-23	oos	0.02719	0.024399	-10.27%	0.0401	+47.48%	0.4849	✗	1.67
2025-11-22	oos	0.03725	0.032358	-13.13%	0.04472	+20.05%	0.2327	✗	2.03
2025-11-21	oos	0.03157	0.028023	-11.23%	0.04437	+40.54%	0.3750	✗	2.05
2025-11-20	oos	0.02838	0.025436	-10.37%	0.04508	+58.84%	0.5293	✗	2.10
2025-11-19	oos	0.0308	0.027409	-11.01%	0.0423	+37.34%	0.5157	✗	2.18
2025-11-18	oos	0.03265	0.028831	-11.70%	0.04002	+22.57%	0.5101	✗	2.18
2025-11-17	oos	0.03008	0.026609	-11.54%	0.036	+19.68%	0.4459	✗	2.17
2025-11-16	oos	0.03037	0.026822	-11.68%	0.04841	+59.40%	0.7423	✗	2.18
2025-11-15	oos	0.02951	0.025999	-11.90%	0.04002	+35.62%	0.6527	✗	2.20
2025-11-14	oos	0.03099	0.027185	-12.28%	0.03232	+4.29%	0.3280	✗	2.23
2025-11-13	oos	0.03208	0.027993	-12.74%	0.03009	-6.20%	0.3035	✗	2.34
2025-11-12	oos	0.02999	0.026527	-11.55%	0.03156	+5.24%	0.4584	✗	2.40
2025-11-11	oos	0.02939	0.025955	-11.69%	0.03257	+10.82%	0.4861	✗	2.42
2025-11-10	oos	0.02816	0.024956	-11.38%	0.03374	+19.82%	0.6547	✗	2.50
2025-11-09	oos	0.03016	0.026023	-13.72%	0.0371	+23.01%	0.6649	✗	2.55
2025-11-08	oos	0.02936	0.025495	-13.16%	0.03916	+33.38%	0.7405	✗	2.58
2025-11-07	oos	0.02507	0.02235	-10.85%	0.03906	+55.80%	0.9078	✗	2.62
2025-11-06	oos	0.02259	0.020346	-9.94%	0.04	+77.07%	1.0035	✗	2.59
2025-11-05	oos	0.02642	0.023126	-12.47%	0.04029	+52.50%	0.9344	✗	2.52
2025-11-04	oos	0.02557	0.022134	-13.44%	0.0406	+58.78%	0.8512	✗	2.52
2025-11-03	oos	0.02367	0.020886	-11.76%	0.04414	+86.48%	1.1263	✗	2.88
2025-11-02	oos	0.01919	0.01765	-8.03%	0.04418	+130.22%	1.5492	✗	3.31
2025-11-01	oos	0.01756	0.016259	-7.41%	0.04214	+139.98%	1.7542	✗	3.30
2025-10-31	oos	0.01618	0.01504	-7.05%	0.05073	+213.54%	1.8452	✗	3.27
2025-10-30	oos	0.013	0.012298	-5.40%	0.04066	+212.77%	1.7587	✗	3.20
2025-10-29	oos	0.01309	0.012402	-5.26%	0.04525	+245.68%	1.9074	✗	3.21
2025-10-28	oos	0.01363	0.012933	-5.12%	0.03818	+180.12%	1.7792	✗	3.28
2025-10-27	oos	0.01453	0.013763	-5.28%	0.03594	+147.35%	1.7192	✗	3.27
2025-10-26	oos	0.01458	0.013821	-5.20%	0.03641	+149.73%	1.8575	✗	3.28
2025-10-25	oos	0.01564	0.014636	-6.42%	0.03441	+120.01%	1.6694	✗	3.46
2025-10-24	oos	0.01313	0.01248	-4.95%	0.02719	+107.08%	1.6306	✗	3.46
2025-10-23	oos	0.0135	0.012798	-5.20%	0.03725	+175.93%	1.9807	✗	3.47
2025-10-22	oos	0.01197	0.011417	-4.62%	0.03157	+163.74%	1.8225	✗	3.43
2025-10-21	oos	0.01301	0.012327	-5.25%	0.02838	+118.14%	1.6044	✗	3.43
2025-10-20	oos	0.01334	0.012641	-5.24%	0.0308	+130.88%	1.5555	✗	3.50
2025-10-19	oos	0.0134	0.012683	-5.35%	0.03265	+143.66%	1.4929	✗	3.49
2025-10-18	oos	0.0135	0.01275	-5.56%	0.03008	+122.81%	1.3935	✗	3.52
2025-10-17	oos	0.01155	0.011047	-4.35%	0.03037	+162.94%	1.4369	✗	3.47
2025-10-16	oos	0.01146	0.010948	-4.47%	0.02951	+157.50%	1.4288	✗	3.52
2025-10-15	oos	0.01216	0.011575	-4.81%	0.03099	+154.85%	1.5481	✗	3.54
2025-10-14	oos	0.01252	0.011868	-5.21%	0.03208	+156.23%	1.4469	✗	3.57
2025-10-13	oos	0.01343	0.012714	-5.33%	0.02999	+123.31%	1.3091	✗	3.58
2025-10-12	oos	0.01231	0.01157	-6.01%	0.02939	+138.75%	1.3233	✗	3.53
2025-10-11	oos	0.01196	0.011175	-6.56%	0.02816	+135.45%	1.0878	✗	3.70
2025-10-10	oos	0.01147	0.010601	-7.58%	0.03016	+162.95%	1.3325	✗	3.76
2025-10-09	oos	0.02132	0.020364	-4.48%	0.02936	+37.71%	0.7784	✗	2.37
2025-10-08	oos	0.02238	0.021343	-4.63%	0.02507	+12.02%	0.5625	✗	2.26
2025-10-07	oos	0.01976	0.018939	-4.16%	0.02259	+14.32%	0.6074	✗	2.38
2025-10-06	oos	0.02155	0.020708	-3.91%	0.02642	+22.60%	0.6928	✗	2.46
2025-10-05	oos	0.02113	0.020261	-4.11%	0.02557	+21.01%	0.7141	✗	2.45
2025-10-04	oos	0.02253	0.021409	-4.98%	0.02367	+5.06%	0.4469	✗	2.49
2025-10-03	oos	0.02337	0.022091	-5.47%	0.01919	-17.89%	0.1110	✗	2.49
2025-10-02	oos	0.02322	0.021825	-6.01%	0.01756	-24.38%	0.0119	✓	2.50
2025-10-01	oos	0.02106	0.019886	-5.57%	0.01618	-23.17%	0.0094	✓	2.47
2025-09-30	oos	0.02064	0.019334	-6.33%	0.013	-37.02%	0.2624	✓	2.60
2025-09-29	oos	0.0199	0.018686	-6.10%	0.01309	-34.22%	0.2468	✓	2.82
2025-09-28	oos	0.02045	0.019118	-6.51%	0.01363	-33.35%	0.3571	✓	2.98
2025-09-27	oos	0.02037	0.019008	-6.68%	0.01453	-28.67%	0.3874	✓	3.02
2025-09-26	oos	0.02103	0.019537	-7.10%	0.01458	-30.67%	0.4242	✓	3.04
2025-09-25	oos	0.02033	0.018887	-7.10%	0.01564	-23.07%	0.2612	✓	3.04
2025-09-24	oos	0.01793	0.016811	-6.24%	0.01313	-26.77%	0.1721	✓	3.65
2025-09-23	oos	0.01685	0.015755	-6.50%	0.0135	-19.88%	0.0922	✓	3.64
2025-09-22	oos	0.01713	0.016023	-6.46%	0.01197	-30.12%	0.1263	✓	3.53
2025-09-21	oos	0.0195	0.018281	-6.25%	0.01301	-33.28%	0.1247	✓	3.48
2025-09-20	oos	0.02021	0.018927	-6.35%	0.01334	-33.99%	0.1867	✓	3.56
2025-09-19	oos	0.01988	0.018634	-6.27%	0.0134	-32.60%	0.1071	✓	3.56
2025-09-18	oos	0.02217	0.020686	-6.69%	0.0135	-39.11%	0.1145	✓	3.53
2025-09-17	oos	0.02326	0.021532	-7.43%	0.01155	-50.34%	0.3021	✓	3.57

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.