ARCSOL

? · · gru_s8

token id: #958
symbol: ARCSOL
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-12-11
predictions: 1,986

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

45.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1774

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0252

actual +0.0282

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.050705	0.049721	-1.94%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-10-20	oos	0.05179	0.050699	-2.11%	–	pending	–	–	-0.14
2026-10-19	oos	0.04402	0.043372	-1.47%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-18	oos	0.041255	0.040787	-1.13%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-17	oos	0.040095	0.039777	-0.79%	–	pending	–	–	-0.21
2026-10-16	oos	0.035465	0.035329	-0.38%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.03882	0.038612	-0.54%	–	pending	–	–	-0.22
2026-10-14	oos	0.036985	0.036839	-0.39%	0.050705	+37.10%	0.3226	✗	-0.23
2026-10-13	oos	0.031545	0.031143	-1.27%	0.05179	+64.18%	0.5084	✗	-0.13
2026-10-12	oos	0.05973	0.059221	-0.85%	0.04402	-26.30%	0.2968	✓	0.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.06296	0.06239	-0.91%	0.041255	-34.47%	0.4099	✓	0.18
2026-10-10	oos	0.061445	0.060952	-0.80%	0.040095	-34.75%	0.4149	✓	0.21
2026-10-09	oos	0.062975	0.062394	-0.92%	0.035465	-43.68%	0.5622	✓	0.21
2026-10-08	oos	0.060855	0.060386	-0.77%	0.03882	-36.21%	0.4429	✓	0.21
2026-10-07	oos	0.06405	0.06352	-0.83%	0.036985	-42.26%	0.5371	✓	0.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.071945	0.071167	-1.08%	0.031545	-56.15%	0.8112	✓	0.08
2026-10-05	oos	0.070345	0.069671	-0.96%	0.05973	-15.09%	0.1500	✓	0.08
2026-10-04	oos	0.073015	0.072213	-1.10%	0.06296	-13.77%	0.1346	✓	0.08
2026-10-03	oos	0.071135	0.070288	-1.19%	0.061445	-13.62%	0.1330	✓	0.07
2026-10-02	oos	0.070635	0.069748	-1.26%	0.062975	-10.84%	0.1005	✓	0.07
2026-10-01	oos	0.07224	0.071261	-1.36%	0.060855	-15.76%	0.1554	✓	0.06
2026-09-30	oos	0.07045	0.069494	-1.36%	0.06405	-9.08%	0.0814	✓	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.07265	0.071531	-1.54%	0.071945	-0.97%	0.0050	✓	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.06992	0.068983	-1.34%	0.070345	+0.61%	0.0187	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.07275	0.071698	-1.45%	0.073015	+0.36%	0.0180	✗	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.07069	0.069808	-1.25%	0.071135	+0.63%	0.0188	✗	0.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.07175	0.070795	-1.33%	0.070635	-1.55%	0.0022	✓	-0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.07354	0.072512	-1.40%	0.07224	-1.77%	0.0037	✓	-0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.07853	0.077135	-1.78%	0.07045	-10.29%	0.0909	✓	-0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.078215	0.076996	-1.56%	0.07265	-7.12%	0.0590	✓	-0.03
2026-09-21	oos	0.07816	0.076976	-1.51%	0.06992	-10.54%	0.0972	✓	-0.03
2026-09-20	oos	0.073655	0.072484	-1.59%	0.07275	-1.23%	0.0089	✓	-0.13
2026-09-19	oos	0.063745	0.063443	-0.47%	0.07069	+10.89%	0.1122	✗	-0.10
2026-09-18	oos	0.070975	0.070262	-1.00%	0.07175	+1.09%	0.0249	✗	-0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.07026	0.069585	-0.96%	0.07354	+4.67%	0.0678	✗	-0.13
2026-09-16	oos	0.07422	0.073229	-1.34%	0.07853	+5.81%	0.0835	✗	-0.13
2026-09-15	oos	0.07934	0.077711	-2.05%	0.078215	-1.42%	0.0188	✓	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.07305	0.072434	-0.84%	0.07816	+7.00%	0.0853	✗	-0.09
2026-09-13	oos	0.06938	0.06915	-0.33%	0.073655	+6.16%	0.0686	✗	-0.10
2026-09-12	oos	0.07315	0.072701	-0.61%	0.063745	-12.86%	0.1252	✓	-0.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.07391	0.073488	-0.57%	0.070975	-3.97%	0.0269	✓	-0.17
2026-09-10	oos	0.07355	0.073177	-0.51%	0.07026	-4.47%	0.0411	✓	-0.17
2026-09-09	oos	0.071975	0.071937	-0.05%	0.07422	+3.12%	0.0269	✗	-0.16
2026-09-08	oos	0.07252	0.072476	-0.06%	0.07934	+9.40%	0.0846	✗	-0.16
2026-09-07	oos	0.07476	0.074567	-0.26%	0.07305	-2.29%	0.0225	✓	-0.17
2026-09-06	oos	0.07195	0.072105	+0.21%	0.06938	-3.57%	0.0448	✗	-0.14
2026-09-05	oos	0.074015	0.074051	+0.05%	0.07315	-1.17%	0.0168	✗	-0.14
2026-09-04	oos	0.07428	0.074385	+0.14%	0.07391	-0.50%	0.0102	✗	-0.12
2026-09-03	oos	0.07189	0.072424	+0.74%	0.07355	+2.31%	0.0092	✓	-0.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.07274	0.072873	+0.18%	0.071975	-1.05%	0.0100	✗	-0.19
2026-09-01	oos	0.06482	0.065525	+1.09%	0.07252	+11.88%	0.1039	✓	-0.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.06939	0.069972	+0.84%	0.07476	+7.74%	0.0680	✓	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.06761	0.068202	+0.88%	0.07195	+6.42%	0.0572	✓	-0.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.07057	0.071089	+0.74%	0.074015	+4.88%	0.0434	✓	-0.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.06989	0.0704	+0.73%	0.07428	+6.28%	0.0570	✓	-0.15
2026-08-27	oos	0.06683	0.067684	+1.28%	0.07189	+7.57%	0.0616	✓	-0.11
2026-08-26	oos	0.07115	0.071703	+0.78%	0.07274	+2.23%	0.0124	✓	-0.09
2026-08-25	oos	0.07217	0.07261	+0.61%	0.06482	-10.18%	0.1152	✗	-0.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.07048	0.071032	+0.78%	0.06939	-1.55%	0.0240	✗	-0.11
2026-08-23	oos	0.0693	0.069729	+0.62%	0.06761	-2.44%	0.0310	✗	-0.11
2026-08-22	oos	0.06685	0.06729	+0.66%	0.07057	+5.56%	0.0494	✓	-0.12
2026-08-21	oos	0.0681	0.068594	+0.73%	0.06989	+2.63%	0.0179	✓	-0.13
2026-08-20	oos	0.06936	0.068998	-0.52%	0.06683	-3.65%	0.0223	✓	-0.10
2026-08-19	oos	0.0691	0.06818	-1.33%	0.07115	+2.97%	0.0572	✗	-0.11
2026-08-18	oos	0.06936	0.067968	-2.01%	0.07217	+4.05%	0.0834	✗	-0.12
2026-08-17	oos	0.07402	0.072312	-2.31%	0.07048	-4.78%	0.0043	✓	-0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.07188	0.070239	-2.28%	0.0693	-3.59%	0.0155	✓	-0.14
2026-08-15	oos	0.07187	0.07019	-2.34%	0.06685	-6.98%	0.0221	✓	-0.13
2026-08-14	oos	0.07702	0.074844	-2.83%	0.0681	-11.58%	0.0626	✓	-0.15
2026-08-13	oos	0.0757	0.073521	-2.88%	0.06936	-8.38%	0.0469	✓	-0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.07193	0.06994	-2.77%	0.0691	-3.93%	0.0096	✓	-0.24
2026-08-11	oos	0.06592	0.064447	-2.23%	0.06936	+5.22%	0.0787	✗	-0.29
2026-08-10	oos	0.06458	0.063133	-2.24%	0.07402	+14.62%	0.1614	✗	-0.27
2026-08-09	oos	0.0662	0.064583	-2.44%	0.07188	+8.58%	0.0977	✗	-0.30
2026-08-08	oos	0.06342	0.061737	-2.65%	0.07187	+13.32%	0.1431	✗	-0.30
2026-08-07	oos	0.05236	0.051651	-1.35%	0.07702	+47.10%	0.3883	✗	-0.38
2026-08-06	oos	0.05468	0.05387	-1.48%	0.0757	+38.44%	0.3354	✗	-0.36
2026-08-05	oos	0.0513	0.050655	-1.26%	0.07193	+40.21%	0.3441	✗	-0.35
2026-08-04	oos	0.053	0.052325	-1.27%	0.06592	+24.38%	0.2283	✗	-0.33
2026-08-03	oos	0.0509	0.050267	-1.24%	0.06458	+26.88%	0.2530	✗	-0.35
2026-08-02	oos	0.05129	0.050707	-1.14%	0.0662	+29.07%	0.2732	✗	-0.31
2026-08-01	oos	0.05185	0.051276	-1.11%	0.06342	+22.31%	0.2235	✗	-0.32
2026-07-31	oos	0.05344	0.052841	-1.12%	0.05236	-2.02%	0.0014	✓	-0.32
2026-07-30	oos	0.05276	0.052242	-0.98%	0.05468	+3.64%	0.0433	✗	-0.33
2026-07-29	oos	0.0537	0.053206	-0.92%	0.0513	-4.47%	0.0331	✓	-0.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.05151	0.051109	-0.78%	0.053	+2.89%	0.0373	✗	-0.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.05404	0.053593	-0.83%	0.0509	-5.81%	0.0527	✓	-0.33
2026-07-26	oos	0.05593	0.055498	-0.77%	0.05129	-8.30%	0.0872	✓	-0.29
2026-07-25	oos	0.06002	0.059501	-0.87%	0.05185	-13.61%	0.1454	✓	-0.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.06223	0.061664	-0.91%	0.05344	-14.13%	0.1491	✓	-0.30
2026-07-23	oos	0.06145	0.06096	-0.80%	0.05276	-14.14%	0.1459	✓	-0.29
2026-07-22	oos	0.06452	0.063971	-0.85%	0.0537	-16.77%	0.1853	✓	-0.31
2026-07-21	oos	0.0666	0.065987	-0.92%	0.05151	-22.66%	0.2603	✓	-0.31
2026-07-20	oos	0.07012	0.069267	-1.22%	0.05404	-22.93%	0.2551	✓	-0.29
2026-07-19	oos	0.07069	0.069769	-1.30%	0.05593	-20.88%	0.2182	✓	-0.29
2026-07-18	oos	0.07093	0.069991	-1.32%	0.06002	-15.38%	0.1557	✓	-0.26
2026-07-17	oos	0.07314	0.072088	-1.44%	0.06223	-14.92%	0.1464	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.07475	0.073628	-1.50%	0.06145	-17.79%	0.1769	✓	-0.19
2026-07-15	oos	0.07579	0.074628	-1.53%	0.06452	-14.87%	0.1406	✓	-0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.08041	0.078983	-1.77%	0.0666	-17.17%	0.1651	✓	-0.23
2026-07-13	oos	0.07419	0.0731	-1.47%	0.07012	-5.49%	0.0245	✓	-0.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.07814	0.0769	-1.59%	0.07069	-9.53%	0.0782	✓	-0.41
2026-07-11	oos	0.07879	0.077517	-1.62%	0.07093	-9.98%	0.0819	✓	-0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.07946	0.07816	-1.64%	0.07314	-7.95%	0.0678	✓	-0.40
2026-07-09	oos	0.0791	0.077803	-1.64%	0.07475	-5.50%	0.0363	✓	-0.40
2026-07-08	oos	0.08115	0.079731	-1.75%	0.07579	-6.61%	0.0358	✓	-0.38
2026-07-07	oos	0.08095	0.079527	-1.76%	0.08041	-0.67%	0.0195	✗	-0.33
2026-07-06	oos	0.08236	0.080849	-1.83%	0.07419	-9.92%	0.0953	✓	-0.34
2026-07-05	oos	0.08139	0.0799	-1.83%	0.07814	-3.99%	0.0216	✓	-0.29
2026-07-04	oos	0.07808	0.076756	-1.70%	0.07879	+0.91%	0.0294	✗	-0.30
2026-07-03	oos	0.07906	0.077709	-1.71%	0.07946	+0.51%	0.0303	✗	-0.32
2026-07-02	oos	0.08274	0.081206	-1.85%	0.0791	-4.40%	0.0183	✓	-0.29
2026-07-01	oos	0.08328	0.081728	-1.86%	0.08115	-2.56%	0.0036	✓	-0.29
2026-06-30	oos	0.0839	0.082378	-1.81%	0.08095	-3.52%	0.0028	✓	-0.26
2026-06-29	oos	0.08357	0.081993	-1.89%	0.08236	-1.45%	0.0207	✗	-0.26
2026-06-28	oos	0.08813	0.086165	-2.23%	0.08139	-7.65%	0.0437	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.08415	0.082444	-2.03%	0.07808	-7.21%	0.0446	✓	-0.19
2026-06-26	oos	0.08425	0.082487	-2.09%	0.07906	-6.16%	0.0348	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.08372	0.081985	-2.07%	0.08274	-1.17%	0.0146	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.08263	0.080936	-2.05%	0.08328	+0.79%	0.0239	✗	-0.28
2026-06-23	oos	0.08268	0.08093	-2.12%	0.0839	+1.48%	0.0205	✓	-0.23
2026-06-22	oos	0.08369	0.081869	-2.18%	0.08357	-0.14%	0.0048	✓	-0.26
2026-06-21	oos	0.08017	0.078585	-1.98%	0.08813	+9.93%	0.0981	✗	-0.27
2026-06-20	oos	0.07994	0.078312	-2.04%	0.08415	+5.27%	0.0524	✗	-0.28
2026-06-19	oos	0.07887	0.077321	-1.96%	0.08425	+6.82%	0.0707	✗	-0.27
2026-06-18	oos	0.08197	0.080229	-2.12%	0.08372	+2.13%	0.0288	✗	-0.27
2026-06-17	oos	0.08464	0.082571	-2.44%	0.08263	-2.37%	0.0144	✓	-0.27
2026-06-16	oos	0.07379	0.072497	-1.75%	0.08268	+12.05%	0.1197	✗	-0.25
2026-06-15	oos	0.07726	0.075764	-1.94%	0.08369	+8.32%	0.0866	✗	-0.36
2026-06-14	oos	0.08196	0.080155	-2.20%	0.08017	-2.18%	0.0109	✓	-0.29
2026-06-13	oos	0.08941	0.086943	-2.76%	0.07994	-10.59%	0.0849	✓	-0.30
2026-06-12	oos	0.08883	0.085898	-3.30%	0.07887	-11.21%	0.0857	✓	-0.33
2026-06-11	oos	0.08349	0.081598	-2.27%	0.08197	-1.82%	0.0012	✓	-0.31
2026-06-10	oos	0.08397	0.082011	-2.33%	0.08464	+0.80%	0.0467	✗	-0.32
2026-06-09	oos	0.08311	0.081212	-2.28%	0.07379	-11.21%	0.0766	✓	-0.31
2026-06-08	oos	0.08395	0.081841	-2.51%	0.07726	-7.97%	0.0413	✓	-0.33
2026-06-07	oos	0.08357	0.081395	-2.60%	0.08196	-1.93%	0.0168	✓	-0.27
2026-06-06	oos	0.08278	0.080797	-2.40%	0.08941	+8.01%	0.1112	✗	-0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.08116	0.079144	-2.48%	0.08883	+9.45%	0.1214	✗	-0.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.07524	0.073742	-1.99%	0.08349	+10.96%	0.1240	✗	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.07419	0.072711	-1.99%	0.08397	+13.18%	0.1409	✗	-0.08
2026-06-02	oos	0.0709	0.069542	-1.92%	0.08311	+17.22%	0.1789	✗	0.01
2026-06-01	oos	0.07662	0.07449	-2.78%	0.08395	+9.57%	0.1141	✗	-0.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.07343	0.07156	-2.55%	0.08357	+13.81%	0.1648	✗	0.06
2026-05-30	oos	0.07835	0.075738	-3.33%	0.08278	+5.65%	0.1459	✗	0.30
2026-05-29	oos	0.07464	0.072354	-3.06%	0.08116	+8.74%	0.1307	✗	0.09
2026-05-28	oos	0.07173	0.069831	-2.65%	0.07524	+4.89%	0.0812	✗	0.05
2026-05-27	oos	0.06396	0.062756	-1.88%	0.07419	+15.99%	0.1794	✗	0.08
2026-05-26	oos	0.06433	0.063062	-1.97%	0.0709	+10.21%	0.1460	✗	0.22
2026-05-25	oos	0.06502	0.063674	-2.07%	0.07662	+17.84%	0.1349	✗	-0.63
2026-05-24	oos	0.06402	0.062685	-2.08%	0.07343	+14.70%	0.1283	✗	-0.66
2026-05-23	oos	0.06449	0.063054	-2.23%	0.07835	+21.49%	0.1929	✗	-0.63
2026-05-22	oos	0.06401	0.062617	-2.18%	0.07464	+16.61%	0.1569	✗	-0.67
2026-05-21	oos	0.0641	0.062655	-2.25%	0.07173	+11.90%	0.0986	✗	-0.69
2026-05-20	oos	0.06525	0.063677	-2.41%	0.06396	-1.98%	0.0246	✓	-0.70
2026-05-19	oos	0.06462	0.063119	-2.32%	0.06433	-0.45%	0.0103	✓	-0.70
2026-05-18	oos	0.06589	0.064292	-2.43%	0.06502	-1.32%	0.0140	✓	-0.70
2026-05-17	oos	0.06769	0.065886	-2.66%	0.06402	-5.42%	0.0326	✓	-0.69
2026-05-16	oos	0.06178	0.060591	-1.92%	0.06449	+4.39%	0.0498	✗	-0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.07376	0.071245	-3.41%	0.06401	-13.22%	0.1403	✓	-0.71
2026-05-14	oos	0.06026	0.059442	-1.36%	0.0641	+6.37%	0.0488	✗	-0.60
2026-05-13	oos	0.06384	0.062628	-1.90%	0.06525	+2.21%	0.0300	✗	-0.48
2026-05-12	oos	0.06714	0.065723	-2.11%	0.06462	-3.75%	0.0423	✓	-0.54
2026-05-11	oos	0.06406	0.062973	-1.70%	0.06589	+2.86%	0.0169	✓	-0.47
2026-05-10	oos	0.06287	0.061896	-1.55%	0.06769	+7.67%	0.0586	✗	-0.51
2026-05-09	oos	0.06858	0.067053	-2.23%	0.06178	-9.92%	0.0969	✓	-0.47
2026-05-08	oos	0.06956	0.067945	-2.32%	0.07376	+6.04%	0.0764	✗	-0.40
2026-05-07	oos	0.06741	0.065936	-2.19%	0.06026	-10.61%	0.0862	✓	-0.28
2026-05-06	oos	0.06943	0.067885	-2.22%	0.06384	-8.05%	0.0591	✓	0.09
2026-05-05	oos	0.07004	0.068338	-2.43%	0.06714	-4.14%	0.0181	✓	-0.08
2026-05-04	oos	0.06657	0.064996	-2.36%	0.06406	-3.77%	0.0137	✓	-0.04
2026-05-03	oos	0.06844	0.066661	-2.60%	0.06287	-8.14%	0.0483	✓	-0.23
2026-05-02	oos	0.0717	0.069718	-2.76%	0.06858	-4.35%	0.0116	✓	-0.20
2026-05-01	oos	0.07521	0.07299	-2.95%	0.06956	-7.51%	0.0436	✓	-0.18
2026-04-30	oos	0.07485	0.072535	-3.09%	0.06741	-9.94%	0.0647	✓	-0.18
2026-04-29	oos	0.07517	0.072857	-3.08%	0.06943	-7.64%	0.0355	✓	-0.18
2026-04-28	oos	0.06678	0.065077	-2.55%	0.07004	+4.88%	0.0784	✗	-0.08
2026-04-27	oos	0.07902	0.076159	-3.62%	0.06657	-15.76%	0.1312	✓	-0.11
2026-04-26	oos	0.06856	0.066899	-2.42%	0.06844	-0.18%	0.0227	✓	-0.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.06671	0.065114	-2.39%	0.0717	+7.48%	0.0975	✗	-0.09
2026-04-24	oos	0.06458	0.063085	-2.32%	0.07521	+16.46%	0.1762	✗	-0.04
2026-04-23	oos	0.06653	0.064958	-2.36%	0.07485	+12.51%	0.1406	✗	-0.05
2026-04-22	oos	0.06516	0.063638	-2.34%	0.07517	+15.36%	0.1650	✗	-0.05
2026-04-21	oos	0.06662	0.064861	-2.64%	0.06678	+0.24%	0.0291	✗	-0.04
2026-04-20	oos	0.0665	0.064725	-2.67%	0.07902	+18.83%	0.2009	✗	-0.07
2026-04-19	oos	0.06537	0.063621	-2.68%	0.06856	+4.88%	0.0856	✗	-0.17
2026-04-18	oos	0.06838	0.0665	-2.75%	0.06671	-2.44%	0.0082	✓	-0.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.06957	0.067698	-2.69%	0.06458	-7.17%	0.0461	✓	-0.22
2026-04-16	oos	0.07276	0.070575	-3.00%	0.06653	-8.56%	0.0506	✓	-0.21
2026-04-15	oos	0.06959	0.06761	-2.84%	0.06516	-6.37%	0.0275	✓	-0.21
2026-04-14	oos	0.07018	0.068166	-2.87%	0.06662	-5.07%	0.0170	✓	-0.21
2026-04-13	oos	0.07211	0.069945	-3.00%	0.0665	-7.78%	0.0460	✓	-0.24
2026-04-12	oos	0.07456	0.071842	-3.65%	0.06537	-12.33%	0.0922	✓	-0.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.07646	0.073645	-3.68%	0.06838	-10.57%	0.0720	✓	-0.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.071	0.06863	-3.34%	0.06957	-2.01%	0.0166	✓	-0.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.07094	0.068229	-3.82%	0.07276	+2.57%	0.0668	✗	-0.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.05996	0.058468	-2.49%	0.06959	+16.06%	0.1784	✗	-0.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.05853	0.057172	-2.32%	0.07018	+19.90%	0.2075	✗	-0.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.05693	0.055461	-2.58%	0.07211	+26.66%	0.2680	✗	-0.07
2026-04-05	oos	0.05355	0.052373	-2.20%	0.07456	+39.23%	0.3550	✗	-0.07
2026-04-04	oos	0.05503	0.053602	-2.60%	0.07646	+38.94%	0.3602	✗	-0.06
2026-04-03	oos	0.05465	0.053178	-2.69%	0.071	+29.92%	0.2942	✗	-0.06
2026-04-02	oos	0.05233	0.051046	-2.45%	0.07094	+35.56%	0.3330	✗	-0.06
2026-04-01	oos	0.05479	0.053256	-2.80%	0.05996	+9.44%	0.1217	✗	-0.07
2026-03-31	oos	0.05374	0.052276	-2.72%	0.05853	+8.91%	0.1169	✗	-0.07
2026-03-30	oos	0.05065	0.049446	-2.38%	0.05693	+12.40%	0.1438	✗	-0.09
2026-03-29	oos	0.05037	0.049169	-2.38%	0.05355	+6.31%	0.0901	✗	-0.11
2026-03-28	oos	0.0517	0.05027	-2.77%	0.05503	+6.44%	0.0919	✗	-0.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.04745	0.04645	-2.11%	0.05465	+15.17%	0.1636	✗	-0.11
2026-03-26	oos	0.04267	0.042089	-1.36%	0.05233	+22.64%	0.2160	✗	-0.06
2026-03-25	oos	0.04459	0.043933	-1.47%	0.05479	+22.88%	0.2169	✗	-0.09
2026-03-24	oos	0.04665	0.045792	-1.84%	0.05374	+15.20%	0.1573	✗	-0.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.04747	0.046523	-2.00%	0.05065	+6.70%	0.0801	✗	-0.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.04813	0.047023	-2.30%	0.05037	+4.65%	0.0670	✗	-0.06
2026-03-21	oos	0.0497	0.048415	-2.59%	0.0517	+4.02%	0.0631	✗	-0.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.04846	0.047193	-2.61%	0.04745	-2.08%	0.0017	✓	-0.06
2026-03-19	oos	0.04463	0.043568	-2.38%	0.04267	-4.39%	0.0220	✓	-0.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.04082	0.040005	-2.00%	0.04459	+9.24%	0.1085	✗	-0.03
2026-03-17	oos	0.03639	0.035831	-1.54%	0.04665	+28.19%	0.2644	✗	0.01
2026-03-16	oos	0.042995	0.042197	-1.86%	0.04747	+10.41%	0.1206	✗	0.05
2026-03-15	oos	0.04655	0.045583	-2.08%	0.04813	+3.39%	0.0632	✗	0.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.04861	0.047449	-2.39%	0.0497	+2.24%	0.0494	✗	0.09
2026-03-13	oos	0.04251	0.0416	-2.14%	0.04846	+14.00%	0.1530	✗	0.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.04395	0.042942	-2.29%	0.04463	+1.55%	0.0391	✗	0.07
2026-03-11	oos	0.04198	0.041004	-2.32%	0.04082	-2.76%	0.0055	✓	0.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.04267	0.041545	-2.64%	0.03639	-14.72%	0.1363	✓	0.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.0386	0.037726	-2.26%	0.042995	+11.39%	0.1268	✗	0.04
2026-03-08	oos	0.03482	0.034255	-1.62%	0.04655	+33.69%	0.3093	✗	-0.03
2026-03-07	oos	0.03611	0.035417	-1.92%	0.04861	+34.62%	0.3185	✗	-0.03
2026-03-06	oos	0.03847	0.0376	-2.26%	0.04251	+10.50%	0.1246	✗	-0.04
2026-03-05	oos	0.03718	0.036218	-2.59%	0.04395	+18.21%	0.1933	✗	-0.03
2026-03-04	oos	0.03949	0.038347	-2.89%	0.04198	+6.31%	0.0890	✗	-0.04
2026-03-03	oos	0.03686	0.035945	-2.48%	0.04267	+15.76%	0.1737	✗	-0.09
2026-03-02	oos	0.05133	0.049175	-4.20%	0.0386	-24.80%	0.2428	✓	-0.11
2026-03-01	oos	0.04186	0.040666	-2.85%	0.03482	-16.82%	0.1546	✓	-0.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.02815	0.02743	-2.56%	0.03611	+28.28%	0.2750	✗	-0.02
2026-02-27	oos	0.03078	0.030065	-2.32%	0.03847	+24.98%	0.2466	✗	-0.00
2026-02-26	oos	0.03057	0.02974	-2.72%	0.03718	+21.62%	0.2235	✗	-0.00
2026-02-25	oos	0.05789	0.056217	-2.89%	0.03949	-31.78%	0.3504	✓	-0.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.10322	0.096629	-6.39%	0.03686	-64.29%	0.9942	✓	0.47
2026-02-23	oos	0.09076	0.08627	-4.95%	0.05133	-43.44%	0.5481	✓	0.46
2026-02-22	oos	0.09047	0.085399	-5.60%	0.04186	-53.73%	0.7003	✓	0.46
2026-02-21	oos	0.07352	0.070996	-3.43%	0.02815	-61.71%	0.9174	✓	0.52
2026-02-20	oos	0.07318	0.070567	-3.57%	0.03078	-57.94%	0.8171	✓	0.40
2026-02-19	oos	0.07658	0.073624	-3.86%	0.03057	-60.08%	0.8821	✓	0.41
2026-02-18	oos	0.07777	0.074426	-4.30%	0.05789	-25.56%	0.2605	✓	0.39
2026-02-17	oos	0.07714	0.074005	-4.06%	0.10322	+33.81%	0.3556	✗	0.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.07932	0.075794	-4.44%	0.09076	+14.42%	0.2085	✗	0.45
2026-02-15	oos	0.0769	0.073552	-4.35%	0.09047	+17.65%	0.2149	✗	0.46
2026-02-14	oos	0.07943	0.075494	-4.95%	0.07352	-7.44%	0.0145	✓	0.45
2026-02-13	oos	0.08241	0.077357	-6.13%	0.07318	-11.20%	0.0499	✓	0.46
2026-02-12	oos	0.07515	0.07141	-4.98%	0.07658	+1.90%	0.0651	✗	0.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.06673	0.06414	-3.88%	0.07777	+16.54%	0.1967	✗	0.44
2026-02-10	oos	0.0712	0.067525	-5.16%	0.07714	+8.34%	0.1412	✗	0.41
2026-02-09	oos	0.06393	0.061177	-4.31%	0.07932	+24.07%	0.2674	✗	0.43
2026-02-08	oos	0.0755	0.070169	-7.06%	0.0769	+1.85%	0.1005	✗	0.42
2026-02-07	oos	0.06176	0.059243	-4.07%	0.07943	+28.61%	0.2905	✗	0.35
2026-02-06	oos	0.07968	0.073407	-7.87%	0.08241	+3.43%	0.1233	✗	0.31
2026-02-05	oos	0.06819	0.064613	-5.25%	0.07515	+10.21%	0.1462	✗	0.09
2026-02-04	oos	0.06337	0.060209	-4.99%	0.06673	+5.30%	0.1373	✗	0.40
2026-02-03	oos	0.07037	0.065638	-6.72%	0.0712	+1.18%	0.1200	✗	0.41
2026-02-02	oos	0.04656	0.046001	-1.20%	0.06393	+37.31%	0.4189	✗	0.78
2026-02-01	oos	0.04173	0.041755	+0.06%	0.0755	+80.92%	0.6476	✓	0.61
2026-01-31	oos	0.0431	0.042832	-0.62%	0.06176	+43.29%	0.4211	✗	0.43
2026-01-30	oos	0.04241	0.041631	-1.84%	0.07968	+87.88%	0.7379	✗	0.50
2026-01-29	oos	0.04793	0.046775	-2.41%	0.06819	+42.27%	0.5285	✗	0.51
2026-01-28	oos	0.05456	0.05269	-3.43%	0.06337	+16.15%	0.2691	✗	0.42
2026-01-27	oos	0.05158	0.049872	-3.31%	0.07037	+36.43%	0.4140	✗	0.43
2026-01-26	oos	0.04991	0.048269	-3.29%	0.04656	-6.71%	0.0156	✓	0.45
2026-01-25	oos	0.05037	0.048722	-3.27%	0.04173	-17.15%	0.0975	✓	0.48
2026-01-24	oos	0.05777	0.055538	-3.86%	0.0431	-25.39%	0.2053	✓	0.39
2026-01-23	oos	0.06047	0.057932	-4.20%	0.04241	-29.87%	0.2926	✓	0.31
2026-01-22	oos	0.06253	0.059768	-4.42%	0.04793	-23.35%	0.2009	✓	0.35
2026-01-21	oos	0.0701	0.066454	-5.20%	0.05456	-22.17%	0.1964	✓	0.35
2026-01-20	oos	0.08145	0.075452	-7.36%	0.05158	-36.67%	0.3847	✓	0.47
2026-01-19	oos	0.06695	0.063234	-5.55%	0.04991	-25.45%	0.2015	✓	0.74
2026-01-18	oos	0.05477	0.052586	-3.99%	0.05037	-8.03%	0.0199	✓	0.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.04908	0.04745	-3.32%	0.05777	+17.71%	0.2508	✗	0.82
2026-01-16	oos	0.05165	0.0498	-3.58%	0.06047	+17.08%	0.2467	✗	0.81
2026-01-15	oos	0.05462	0.052496	-3.89%	0.06253	+14.48%	0.2303	✗	0.84
2026-01-14	oos	0.05716	0.054714	-4.28%	0.0701	+22.64%	0.3144	✗	0.82
2026-01-13	oos	0.06727	0.06251	-7.08%	0.08145	+21.08%	0.3377	✗	0.95
2026-01-12	oos	0.04898	0.047196	-3.64%	0.06695	+36.69%	0.3404	✗	0.62
2026-01-11	oos	0.04891	0.046953	-4.00%	0.05477	+11.98%	0.1343	✗	0.66
2026-01-10	oos	0.044	0.042561	-3.27%	0.04908	+11.55%	0.1095	✗	0.65
2026-01-09	oos	0.04275	0.041348	-3.28%	0.05165	+20.82%	0.1885	✗	0.63
2026-01-08	oos	0.03731	0.036417	-2.39%	0.05462	+46.40%	0.3748	✗	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.03251	0.032036	-1.46%	0.05716	+75.82%	0.4815	✗	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	0.03523	0.034652	-1.64%	0.06727	+90.95%	0.6353	✗	1.60
2026-01-05	oos	0.03633	0.035678	-1.79%	0.04898	+34.82%	0.3644	✗	1.64
2026-01-04	oos	0.03601	0.035304	-1.96%	0.04891	+35.82%	0.3376	✗	1.70
2026-01-03	oos	0.03574	0.035033	-1.98%	0.044	+23.11%	0.2321	✗	1.70
2026-01-02	oos	0.03374	0.033188	-1.64%	0.04275	+26.70%	0.2429	✗	1.67
2026-01-01	oos	0.03516	0.034551	-1.73%	0.03731	+6.11%	0.0337	✗	1.70
2025-12-31	oos	0.03534	0.034731	-1.72%	0.03251	-8.01%	0.1380	✓	1.70
2025-12-30	oos	0.03487	0.03427	-1.72%	0.03523	+1.03%	0.0736	✓	1.73
2025-12-29	oos	0.03703	0.036329	-1.89%	0.03633	-1.89%	0.1280	✓	1.71
2025-12-28	oos	0.04027	0.039251	-2.53%	0.03601	-10.58%	0.1548	✓	1.70
2025-12-27	oos	0.04554	0.043983	-3.42%	0.03574	-21.52%	0.2600	✓	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.04354	0.042103	-3.30%	0.03374	-22.51%	0.2709	✓	1.65
2025-12-25	oos	0.04617	0.044415	-3.80%	0.03516	-23.85%	0.2630	✓	1.65
2025-12-24	oos	0.04127	0.039994	-3.09%	0.03534	-14.37%	0.1216	✓	1.66
2025-12-23	oos	0.0401	0.038926	-2.93%	0.03487	-13.04%	0.1268	✓	1.52
2025-12-22	oos	0.04472	0.042997	-3.85%	0.03703	-17.20%	0.1246	✓	1.50
2025-12-21	oos	0.04437	0.042605	-3.98%	0.04027	-9.24%	0.0434	✓	1.51
2025-12-20	oos	0.04508	0.043097	-4.40%	0.04554	+1.02%	0.0643	✗	1.56
2025-12-19	oos	0.0423	0.040459	-4.35%	0.04354	+2.93%	0.0875	✗	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	0.04002	0.038544	-3.69%	0.04617	+15.37%	0.1497	✗	1.56
2025-12-17	oos	0.036	0.034886	-3.09%	0.04127	+14.64%	0.1424	✗	1.59
2025-12-16	oos	0.04841	0.045557	-5.89%	0.0401	-17.17%	0.1204	✓	1.48
2025-12-15	oos	0.04002	0.038274	-4.36%	0.04472	+11.74%	0.1211	✗	1.41
2025-12-14	oos	0.03232	0.031403	-2.84%	0.04437	+37.28%	0.3377	✗	1.50
2025-12-13	oos	0.03009	0.029234	-2.85%	0.04508	+49.82%	0.4664	✗	1.54
2025-12-12	oos	0.03156	0.03058	-3.10%	0.0423	+34.03%	0.3624	✗	1.55
2025-12-11	oos	0.03257	0.031509	-3.26%	0.04002	+22.87%	0.3625	✗	1.55
2025-12-10	oos	0.03374	0.032627	-3.30%	0.036	+6.70%	0.2013	✗	1.57
2025-12-09	oos	0.0371	0.035835	-3.41%	0.04841	+30.49%	0.3842	✗	1.56
2025-12-08	oos	0.03916	0.037547	-4.12%	0.04002	+2.20%	0.1392	✗	1.58
2025-12-07	oos	0.03906	0.037453	-4.12%	0.03232	-17.26%	0.1080	✓	1.58
2025-12-06	oos	0.04	0.038362	-4.10%	0.03009	-24.78%	0.2606	✓	1.61
2025-12-05	oos	0.04029	0.038638	-4.10%	0.03156	-21.67%	0.2191	✓	1.61
2025-12-04	oos	0.0406	0.038951	-4.06%	0.03257	-19.78%	0.1868	✓	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	0.04414	0.042174	-4.45%	0.03374	-23.56%	0.1985	✓	1.61
2025-12-02	oos	0.04418	0.042103	-4.70%	0.0371	-16.03%	0.1513	✓	1.65
2025-12-01	oos	0.04214	0.040243	-4.50%	0.03916	-7.07%	0.1131	✓	1.74
2025-11-30	oos	0.05073	0.047491	-6.39%	0.03906	-23.00%	0.1960	✓	1.63
2025-11-29	oos	0.04066	0.038827	-4.51%	0.04	-1.62%	0.0577	✗	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.04525	0.042489	-6.10%	0.04029	-10.96%	0.0252	✓	1.62
2025-11-27	oos	0.03818	0.036391	-4.69%	0.0406	+6.34%	0.0956	✗	1.64
2025-11-26	oos	0.03594	0.034124	-5.05%	0.04414	+22.82%	0.2037	✗	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.03641	0.034471	-5.33%	0.04418	+21.34%	0.1702	✗	1.75
2025-11-24	oos	0.03441	0.032709	-4.94%	0.04214	+22.46%	0.2934	✗	1.76
2025-11-23	oos	0.02719	0.026307	-3.25%	0.05073	+86.58%	0.5894	✗	1.67
2025-11-22	oos	0.03725	0.035153	-5.63%	0.04066	+9.15%	0.0033	✓	2.03
2025-11-21	oos	0.03157	0.030283	-4.08%	0.04525	+43.33%	0.2653	✗	2.05
2025-11-20	oos	0.02838	0.027504	-3.09%	0.03818	+34.53%	0.2149	✗	2.10
2025-11-19	oos	0.0308	0.0296	-3.89%	0.03594	+16.69%	0.2178	✗	2.18
2025-11-18	oos	0.03265	0.031208	-4.42%	0.03641	+11.52%	0.2893	✗	2.18
2025-11-17	oos	0.03008	0.028848	-4.09%	0.03441	+14.39%	0.2687	✗	2.17
2025-11-16	oos	0.03037	0.029098	-4.19%	0.02719	-10.47%	0.1101	✗	2.18
2025-11-15	oos	0.02951	0.028183	-4.50%	0.03725	+26.23%	0.5449	✗	2.20
2025-11-14	oos	0.03099	0.029557	-4.62%	0.03157	+1.87%	0.3009	✗	2.23
2025-11-13	oos	0.03208	0.030347	-5.40%	0.02838	-11.53%	0.2629	✗	2.34
2025-11-12	oos	0.02999	0.02862	-4.57%	0.0308	+2.70%	0.3268	✗	2.40
2025-11-11	oos	0.02939	0.028026	-4.64%	0.03265	+11.09%	0.4020	✗	2.42
2025-11-10	oos	0.02816	0.026874	-4.57%	0.03008	+6.82%	0.4641	✗	2.50
2025-11-09	oos	0.03016	0.028237	-6.38%	0.03037	+0.70%	0.3424	✗	2.55
2025-11-08	oos	0.02936	0.02768	-5.72%	0.02951	+0.51%	0.2398	✗	2.58
2025-11-07	oos	0.02507	0.023978	-4.36%	0.03099	+23.61%	0.4896	✗	2.62
2025-11-06	oos	0.02259	0.021757	-3.69%	0.03208	+42.01%	0.4315	✗	2.59
2025-11-05	oos	0.02642	0.025069	-5.11%	0.02999	+13.51%	0.2339	✗	2.52
2025-11-04	oos	0.02557	0.02405	-5.95%	0.02939	+14.94%	0.1625	✗	2.52
2025-11-03	oos	0.02367	0.022374	-5.48%	0.02816	+18.97%	0.2457	✗	2.88
2025-11-02	oos	0.01919	0.018517	-3.51%	0.03016	+57.17%	0.6673	✗	3.31
2025-11-01	oos	0.01756	0.016981	-3.30%	0.02936	+67.20%	0.7887	✗	3.30
2025-10-31	oos	0.01618	0.015654	-3.25%	0.02507	+54.94%	0.6636	✗	3.27
2025-10-30	oos	0.013	0.012734	-2.05%	0.02259	+73.77%	0.7875	✗	3.20
2025-10-29	oos	0.01309	0.012823	-2.04%	0.02642	+101.83%	0.9079	✗	3.21
2025-10-28	oos	0.01363	0.013338	-2.14%	0.02557	+87.60%	1.0014	✗	3.28
2025-10-27	oos	0.01453	0.014194	-2.31%	0.02367	+62.90%	0.7349	✗	3.27
2025-10-26	oos	0.01458	0.014242	-2.32%	0.01919	+31.62%	0.4150	✗	3.28
2025-10-25	oos	0.01564	0.015188	-2.89%	0.01756	+12.28%	0.1955	✗	3.46
2025-10-24	oos	0.01313	0.01288	-1.91%	0.01618	+23.23%	0.2748	✗	3.46
2025-10-23	oos	0.0135	0.01323	-2.00%	0.013	-3.70%	0.0400	✗	3.47
2025-10-22	oos	0.01197	0.011814	-1.30%	0.01309	+9.36%	0.0254	✗	3.43
2025-10-21	oos	0.01301	0.012771	-1.83%	0.01363	+4.77%	0.0757	✓	3.43
2025-10-20	oos	0.01334	0.013109	-1.73%	0.01453	+8.92%	0.0069	✓	3.50
2025-10-19	oos	0.0134	0.013186	-1.60%	0.01458	+8.81%	0.0832	✓	3.49
2025-10-18	oos	0.0135	0.013295	-1.52%	0.01564	+15.85%	0.0189	✗	3.52
2025-10-17	oos	0.01155	0.011556	+0.05%	0.01313	+13.68%	0.0186	✗	3.47
2025-10-16	oos	0.01146	0.011446	-0.12%	0.0135	+17.80%	0.1033	✗	3.52
2025-10-15	oos	0.01216	0.012067	-0.77%	0.01197	-1.56%	0.0963	✗	3.54
2025-10-14	oos	0.01252	0.012368	-1.21%	0.01301	+3.91%	0.2025	✗	3.57
2025-10-13	oos	0.01343	0.013214	-1.61%	0.01334	-0.67%	0.1588	✗	3.58
2025-10-12	oos	0.01231	0.012109	-1.63%	0.0134	+8.85%	0.3032	✗	3.53
2025-10-11	oos	0.01196	0.011794	-1.39%	0.0135	+12.88%	0.2560	✗	3.70
2025-10-10	oos	0.01147	0.01124	-2.00%	0.01155	+0.70%	0.2510	✗	3.76
2025-10-09	oos	0.02132	0.020912	-1.91%	0.01146	-46.25%	0.3222	✓	2.37
2025-10-08	oos	0.02238	0.0219	-2.14%	0.01216	-45.67%	0.3458	✓	2.26
2025-10-07	oos	0.01976	0.019416	-1.74%	0.01252	-36.64%	0.2696	✓	2.38
2025-10-06	oos	0.02155	0.021157	-1.82%	0.01343	-37.68%	0.2611	✓	2.46
2025-10-05	oos	0.02113	0.020735	-1.87%	0.01231	-41.74%	0.3479	✓	2.45
2025-10-04	oos	0.02253	0.022015	-2.29%	0.01196	-46.92%	0.3602	✓	2.49
2025-10-03	oos	0.02337	0.022768	-2.58%	0.01147	-50.92%	0.4883	✓	2.49
2025-10-02	oos	0.02322	0.022561	-2.84%	0.02132	-8.18%	0.0791	✓	2.50
2025-10-01	oos	0.02106	0.020538	-2.48%	0.02238	+6.27%	0.0095	✓	2.47
2025-09-30	oos	0.02064	0.020097	-2.63%	0.01976	-4.26%	0.1785	✓	2.60
2025-09-29	oos	0.0199	0.019405	-2.49%	0.02155	+8.29%	0.1399	✓	2.82
2025-09-28	oos	0.02045	0.019915	-2.62%	0.02113	+3.33%	0.2274	✓	2.98
2025-09-27	oos	0.02037	0.019841	-2.60%	0.02253	+10.60%	0.2052	✓	3.02
2025-09-26	oos	0.02103	0.020425	-2.88%	0.02337	+11.13%	0.1963	✓	3.04
2025-09-25	oos	0.02033	0.019739	-2.91%	0.02322	+14.22%	0.1447	✓	3.04
2025-09-24	oos	0.01793	0.017493	-2.44%	0.02106	+17.46%	0.0184	✓	3.65
2025-09-23	oos	0.01685	0.01645	-2.37%	0.02064	+22.49%	0.1609	✗	3.64
2025-09-22	oos	0.01713	0.016718	-2.41%	0.0199	+16.17%	0.1236	✗	3.53
2025-09-21	oos	0.0195	0.019006	-2.53%	0.02045	+4.87%	0.1676	✗	3.48
2025-09-20	oos	0.02021	0.019685	-2.60%	0.02037	+0.79%	0.2260	✗	3.56
2025-09-19	oos	0.01988	0.01937	-2.56%	0.02103	+5.78%	0.2715	✗	3.56
2025-09-18	oos	0.02217	0.021528	-2.90%	0.02033	-8.30%	0.1953	✗	3.53
2025-09-17	oos	0.02326	0.022484	-3.34%	0.01793	-22.91%	0.1290	✓	3.57

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.