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2022-09-14 · +30d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 190 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2795
190 of 190 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+13.33%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
84.7%
in alpha space · 88.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.19%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (190 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000300410.000251383-16.32%0.00027202-9.45%0.0797✓0.012.4M2022-10-14
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.20450.176512-13.69%0.1348-34.08%0.2285✓0.7730k2022-10-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.58e-75.79e-7-12.02%4.84e-7-26.38%0.1359✓0.792.1M2022-10-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain65.3303-11.16%4.5087-24.85%0.1540✓0.2512.5M2022-10-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.9555.3021-10.96%5.068-14.90%0.0063✓0.975.9M2022-10-14
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.060490.053909-10.88%0.05442-10.03%0.0725✓1.181.1M2022-10-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain11.1729.9723-10.74%12.749+14.12%0.2644✗0.3515.8M2022-10-14
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0117310.010487-10.61%0.009888-15.71%0.0055✓1.007452022-10-14
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0171470.015431-10.01%0.013974-18.50%0.0459✓1.001,0682022-10-14
METISMetisEthereum27.5824.8811-9.79%24.63-10.70%0.0717✓1.54155k2022-10-14
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.5184.1015-9.22%3.003-33.53%0.2585✓1.001.4M2022-10-14
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82340.749929-8.92%0.6293-23.57%0.1173✓1.09920k2022-10-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.3112.159-8.65%10.81-18.78%0.0595✓1.09874k2022-10-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.3736.0585-8.41%23.13-41.25%0.3636✓1.5110.6M2022-10-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.041.8706-8.30%1.59-22.06%0.0944✓1.28226k2022-10-14
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,547.051,421.69-8.10%1,258.83-18.63%0.0684✓1.003.3M2022-10-14
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1024.6923-8.03%4.517-11.47%0.0273✓1.236.4M2022-10-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.54385.0988-8.03%4.1388-25.34%0.2034✓0.109.6M2022-10-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.19240.17716-7.92%0.1801-6.39%0.0645✓0.903.1M2022-10-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.1216.6978-7.85%14.99-17.27%0.0687✓0.741.4M2022-10-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11280.103968-7.83%0.0853-24.38%0.1300✓1.272.4M2022-10-14
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6320.582612-7.81%0.528-16.46%0.0452✓1.00114k2022-10-14
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9280.856069-7.75%0.827-10.88%0.0096✓0.472.5M2022-10-14
OPTIMOptimism1.2161.1227-7.67%0.719-40.87%0.3621✓1.572.7M2022-10-14
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13050.120623-7.57%0.1129-13.49%0.0384✓0.5283k2022-10-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.14870.137449-7.57%0.1493+0.40%0.1423✗1.128922022-10-14
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8141.6795-7.41%1.454-19.85%0.0584✓1.6160k2022-10-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14820.13722-7.41%0.1319-11.00%0.0105✓0.94322k2022-10-14
GMTGMTEthereum0.67510.625372-7.37%0.5741-14.96%0.0054✓1.50194k2022-10-14
XECeCashnative0.000046160.00004278-7.32%0.00003692-20.02%0.1032✓0.833.5M2022-10-14
COMPCompoundEthereum60.0955.7185-7.27%54.51-9.29%0.0357✓1.088,4972022-10-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,194.008,528.07-7.24%7,558.88-17.78%0.0498✓1.334.0M2022-10-14
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.48484.1602-7.24%3.7821-15.67%0.0252✓1.31118k2022-10-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.3871.2876-7.17%1.532+10.45%0.2356✗1.1643k2022-10-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.83353.5637-7.04%2.9723-22.47%0.1485✓0.626.3M2022-10-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.2850.265299-6.91%0.2031-28.74%0.2131✓1.0172k2022-10-14
FLOWFlownative1.8681.7412-6.79%1.48-20.77%0.0908✓1.35967k2022-10-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.34.0088-6.77%3.774-12.23%0.0113✓0.92223k2022-10-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.04870.045435-6.70%0.0366-24.85%0.1605✓1.05177k2022-10-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.97413.0486-6.62%11.643-16.68%0.0489✓1.2220.3M2022-10-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.269010.251226-6.61%0.21178-21.27%0.1259✓0.8415k2022-10-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.48530.453348-6.58%0.3733-23.08%0.1516✓0.80396k2022-10-14
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.068760.064242-6.57%0.06559-4.61%0.0314✓0.20351k2022-10-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.33660.314555-6.55%0.2521-25.10%0.1634✓1.0972k2022-10-14
HIVEHivenative0.55510.519339-6.44%0.4831-12.97%0.0422✓0.57836k2022-10-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5130.480011-6.43%0.431-15.98%0.0481✓1.1266k2022-10-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.30960.290023-6.32%0.2572-16.93%0.0712✓0.9289k2022-10-14
PROPropyEthereum0.720.674759-6.28%0.54-25.00%0.2113✓0.2242k2022-10-14
XTZTezosTezos1.61041.5101-6.23%1.3651-15.23%0.0472✓1.01236k2022-10-14
ELAElastosEthereum1.5361.442-6.12%1.501-2.28%0.0770✗0.6929k2022-10-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.005610.005267-6.11%0.00482-14.08%0.0555✓0.62911k2022-10-14
UOSUltraEthereum0.412960.387739-6.11%0.3101-24.91%0.1710✓0.98379k2022-10-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02060.019348-6.08%0.01992-3.30%0.0787✗0.939.2M2022-10-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.93791.8205-6.06%0.9248-52.28%0.6415✓0.671.5M2022-10-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.9815.9634-5.99%14.25-16.08%0.0844✓0.55384k2022-10-14
XYMSymbolnative0.0404550.038092-5.84%0.035376-12.55%0.0432✓0.5824k2022-10-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1318.0261-5.77%15.67-18.09%0.0689✓1.3317.5M2022-10-14
ZECZcashZcash61.9658.3884-5.76%49.94-19.40%0.0994✓1.071.1M2022-10-14
KSMKusamaHydration47.5844.8414-5.76%39.92-16.10%0.0654✓0.95363k2022-10-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0259570.024476-5.70%0.024857-4.24%0.0130✓-0.04485k2022-10-14
STXStacksnative0.35220.332244-5.67%0.2998-14.88%0.0464✓1.06298k2022-10-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum109.435-5.65%8.44-15.60%0.0426✓1.29288k2022-10-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4661.3838-5.61%1.404-4.23%0.0738✗1.1168k2022-10-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.331.2554-5.61%1.04-21.80%0.1362✓0.9856k2022-10-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1671.1016-5.61%0.961-17.65%0.0887✓0.901.1M2022-10-14
ORCAOrcaSolana0.85150.803895-5.59%0.8303-2.49%0.1051✗1.3789k2022-10-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03910.036914-5.59%0.0348-11.00%0.0202✓0.739,5132022-10-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034420.03251-5.55%0.02697-21.64%0.1304✓1.0629k2022-10-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.163480.154437-5.53%0.13698-16.21%0.0655✓1.02262k2022-10-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0291.9175-5.49%1.522-24.99%0.1705✓1.1327k2022-10-14
NANOnanopayBase0.8707160.823385-5.44%0.741825-14.80%0.0602✓0.8347k2022-10-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063250.005982-5.43%0.0058-8.30%0.0136✓0.3229k2022-10-14
GITCOINGITCOIN2.02441.9158-5.36%1.5821-21.85%0.1328✓1.1013k2022-10-14
QTUMQtumQtum3.09632.9304-5.36%2.6157-15.52%0.0602✓1.0019k2022-10-14
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9170.868196-5.32%0.866-5.56%0.0546✓1.071.5M2022-10-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0133.8004-5.30%3.032-24.45%0.2077✓0.342.0M2022-10-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.086.7085-5.25%5.78-18.36%0.0934✓1.04210k2022-10-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.4587.0677-5.23%6.89-7.62%0.0319✓1.0818.0M2022-10-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2086.8315-5.22%6.044-16.15%0.0669✓1.049.9M2022-10-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.25.8842-5.09%5.59-9.84%0.0283✓0.432.1M2022-10-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.875.5713-5.09%4.45-24.19%0.1976✓0.512.1M2022-10-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11380.108037-5.06%0.0686-39.72%0.4292✓0.47182k2022-10-14
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33940.322403-5.01%0.2801-17.47%0.0875✓1.0079k2022-10-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7395.4519-5.00%3.784-34.07%0.3382✓0.513.1M2022-10-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9383.741-5.00%3.062-22.24%0.1739✓0.492.1M2022-10-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.335.0654-4.97%3.92-26.45%0.2319✓0.462.4M2022-10-14
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1825.879-4.90%6.285+1.67%0.1380✗1.346.9M2022-10-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.22861.1685-4.90%1.0714-12.80%0.0311✓1.04844k2022-10-14
BANDBandEthereum1.2571.1955-4.89%1.054-16.15%0.0624✓1.19303k2022-10-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.80881.721-4.86%1.5603-13.74%0.0402✓1.0928k2022-10-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.01730.968024-4.84%0.9771-3.95%0.0333✓0.452.8M2022-10-14
FTTFTXEthereum25.524.2661-4.84%23.45-8.04%0.0194✓1.016.8M2022-10-14
MANADecentralandEthereum0.744320.708364-4.83%0.62338-16.25%0.0714✓1.06584k2022-10-14
MOVRMoonriverBase12.057111.4752-4.83%9.9729-17.29%0.0907✓0.9321k2022-10-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.326110.310382-4.82%0.29045-10.93%0.0120✓1.0233k2022-10-14
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.89860.855547-4.79%0.7535-16.15%0.0634✓1.19874k2022-10-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.6913.9886-4.77%19.69+34.04%0.3880✗0.871.9M2022-10-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.428.0187-4.77%6.54-22.33%0.1756✓0.532.4M2022-10-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6120.583004-4.74%0.56-8.50%0.0134✓1.01178k2022-10-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008050.007672-4.70%0.00585-27.33%0.2108✓1.13463k2022-10-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028720.002737-4.69%0.002103-26.78%0.2150✓0.911.2M2022-10-14
API3Api3Ethereum1.6641.5863-4.67%1.533-7.87%0.0121✓0.87578k2022-10-14
SUSHISushiEthereum1.18891.1334-4.67%1.4654+23.26%0.3133✗1.061.2M2022-10-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00850.008104-4.66%0.00513-39.65%0.4098✓0.893.3M2022-10-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7192.5925-4.65%2.07-23.87%0.1448✓1.512.9M2022-10-14
KCSKuCoinnative9.3688.9325-4.65%9.765+4.24%0.1343✗0.851.2M2022-10-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1092.9648-4.64%2.739-11.90%0.0623✓0.32676k2022-10-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30320.289288-4.59%0.3174+4.68%0.1425✗0.935.9M2022-10-14
FISStafiEthereum0.32090.306568-4.47%0.292-9.01%0.0022✓0.957782022-10-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.07061.0228-4.46%0.814-23.97%0.1499✓1.474.5M2022-10-14
QNTQuantEthereum99.0594.6935-4.40%165.76+67.35%0.6066✗0.883.5M2022-10-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06010.057475-4.37%0.0525-12.65%0.0254✓1.22608k2022-10-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04310.04123-4.34%0.03705-14.04%0.0654✓0.7814k2022-10-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.36650.1024-4.32%49.267-5.92%0.0285✓0.85221k2022-10-14
SCSiacoinnative0.003890.003722-4.32%0.00322-17.22%0.0958✓0.9289k2022-10-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.257.6109-4.30%51.32-14.75%0.0656✓0.9414.4M2022-10-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.0950.090933-4.28%0.0968+1.89%0.1153✗0.99319k2022-10-14
RADRadworksEthereum2.352.2502-4.25%1.93-17.87%0.1217✓0.60200k2022-10-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09530.09128-4.22%0.1617+69.67%0.6123✗0.762,9132022-10-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06070.05814-4.22%0.0667+9.88%0.1940✗1.0677k2022-10-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04650.044544-4.21%0.0313-32.69%0.3084✓0.83142k2022-10-14
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.43e-7-4.20%8.00e-7-9.09%0.0155✓0.691.7M2022-10-14
LSKLiskEthereum1.01710.974426-4.20%0.909812-10.55%0.0260✓0.8039k2022-10-14
XVGVergenative0.003370.00323-4.15%0.00305-9.50%0.0103✓0.88483k2022-10-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.103164-4.12%0.0958-10.97%0.0299✓0.83188k2022-10-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.05530.053041-4.09%0.0532-3.80%0.0404✓0.70234k2022-10-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.13990.134279-4.02%0.1151-17.73%0.1011✓1.00119k2022-10-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5080.487955-3.95%0.42-17.32%0.0873✓1.1870k2022-10-14
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015560.001495-3.93%0.001483-4.69%0.0318✓0.75340k2022-10-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0430.041314-3.92%0.0338-21.40%0.1394✓1.15546k2022-10-14
DODODODOEthereum0.12490.120022-3.91%0.1189-4.80%0.0492✗1.101.4M2022-10-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27190.261314-3.89%0.2484-8.64%0.0012✓0.972.7M2022-10-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001530.001471-3.87%0.001262-17.52%0.1118✓0.785,8832022-10-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3116.0667-3.87%4.86-22.99%0.1715✓0.944.3M2022-10-14
UMAUMAEthereum2.6142.5132-3.85%2.169-17.02%0.1028✓0.83464k2022-10-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020420.019634-3.85%0.01711-16.21%0.1078✓0.56173k2022-10-14
RARESuperRareEthereum0.18890.181722-3.80%0.1475-21.92%0.1542✓1.0286k2022-10-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012250.001178-3.80%0.0008958-26.87%0.2331✓0.772.1M2022-10-14
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40620.390865-3.78%0.3242-20.19%0.1264✓1.1466k2022-10-14
XLMStellarStellar0.1052090.101246-3.77%0.112512+6.94%0.1511✗0.866.5M2022-10-14
DASHDashDash45.5843.8639-3.76%40.19-11.83%0.0318✓1.04299k2022-10-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2938680.282815-3.76%0.244239-16.89%0.0921✓1.02430k2022-10-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.322810.310755-3.73%0.34725+7.57%0.1521✗0.77326k2022-10-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19750.190287-3.65%0.17-13.92%0.0620✓0.95130k2022-10-14
ADACardanoCardano0.4810.463649-3.61%0.3667-23.76%0.1840✓0.9536.8M2022-10-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2680.258406-3.58%0.229-14.55%0.0807✓0.75512k2022-10-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37760.364093-3.58%0.3071-18.67%0.1190✓0.96202k2022-10-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059760.005762-3.58%0.0079+32.21%0.3479✗0.611,9622022-10-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash119.99115.709-3.57%107.52-10.39%0.0143✓1.114.3M2022-10-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21190.204468-3.51%0.1796-15.24%0.0809✓0.9257k2022-10-14
ZENHorizenBase15.114.572-3.50%12.32-18.41%0.1059✓1.1675k2022-10-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6280.606236-3.47%0.523-16.72%0.0917✓1.053.2M2022-10-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206930.01998-3.45%0.017637-14.77%0.0901✓0.6512k2022-10-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012370.011951-3.39%0.00989-20.05%0.1570✓0.61233k2022-10-14
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066740.064499-3.36%0.05449-18.35%0.1182✓0.958692022-10-14
XMRMoneroMonero149.8144.7931-3.34%140.46-6.23%0.0220✓0.981.5M2022-10-14
AAVEAaveEthereum83.9281.1162-3.34%72.83-13.21%0.0308✓1.446.2M2022-10-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.384.2344-3.32%3.43-21.69%0.1833✓0.511.4M2022-10-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48830.472118-3.31%0.4145-15.11%0.0768✓1.00366k2022-10-14
XEMNEMnative0.0427140.0413-3.31%0.037936-11.19%0.0369✓0.9028k2022-10-14
XVSVenusEthereum4.674.5176-3.26%4.51-3.43%0.0418✗0.82808k2022-10-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.136320.131889-3.25%0.12084-11.36%0.0272✓1.13146k2022-10-14
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023240.022489-3.23%0.02065-11.14%0.0284✓1.072,9142022-10-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121830.011794-3.19%0.01404+15.24%0.2207✗0.87851k2022-10-14
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.52e-7-3.15%8.00e-7-9.09%0.0262✓0.7015k2022-10-14
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4310.417511-3.13%0.386-10.44%0.0210✓1.087,9852022-10-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.514520.498722-3.07%0.40748-20.80%0.1223✓1.5039k2022-10-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012190.000011817-3.06%0.00001019-16.41%0.0971✓0.96951k2022-10-14
ETHEthereumEthereum1,639.141,589.27-3.04%1,296.36-20.91%0.1348✓1.29569.9M2022-10-14
SOLSolanaSolana34.1233.1202-2.93%29.99-12.10%0.0365✓1.1852.2M2022-10-14
DIADIAEthereum0.380030.369222-2.84%0.38981+2.57%0.1050✗0.9529k2022-10-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12520.121845-2.68%0.1172-6.39%0.0163✓1.032.6M2022-10-14
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.373-2.63%1.7+20.57%0.2036✗-0.19113k2022-10-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03660.035651-2.59%0.0315-13.93%0.0704✓1.0093k2022-10-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05820.056731-2.52%0.0541-7.04%0.0065✓0.7782k2022-10-14
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09140.089108-2.51%0.0798-12.69%0.0660✓0.8310k2022-10-14
FORTFortaEthereum0.20990.204719-2.47%0.1539-26.68%0.2558✓0.5666k2022-10-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0611250.059644-2.42%0.058661-4.03%0.0329✗0.931.1M2022-10-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,227.7719,772.94-2.25%19,178.00-5.19%0.0227✓1.00480.9M2022-10-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.87874.7712-2.20%4.4399-8.99%0.0663✓0.11135k2022-10-14
CBKCobakEthereum0.811750.793916-2.20%0.74011-8.83%0.0296✓0.7613k2022-10-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.07090.069453-2.04%0.05883-17.02%0.1147✓0.9625k2022-10-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.036310.035584-2.00%0.03213-11.51%0.0642✓0.712,2982022-10-14
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.811.775-1.93%2.25+24.31%0.2615✗0.4656k2022-10-14
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16370.160621-1.88%0.1465-10.51%0.0331✓1.111,5602022-10-14
STEEMSteemnative0.21950.215851-1.66%0.2237+1.91%0.0836✗0.90504k2022-10-14
GTGateEthereum4.30854.2514-1.32%4.3878+1.84%0.0684✗0.69696k2022-10-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4430.438669-0.98%0.302-31.83%0.3103✓1.184,5592022-10-14
TRXTRONTron0.0616450.06126-0.62%0.064+3.82%0.0666✗0.43129k2022-10-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,259.0020,174.32-0.42%19,147.40-5.49%0.0038✓0.9113k2022-10-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.