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2022-09-13 · +30d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2824
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+12.13%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
82.7%
in alpha space · 88.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.95%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000358060.00031857-11.03%0.00027827-22.28%0.1314✓0.102.4M2022-10-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.96e-76.20e-7-10.90%4.93e-7-29.22%0.1955✓0.862.2M2022-10-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.059510.053671-9.81%0.05517-7.29%0.0759✓1.201.2M2022-10-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8715.3255-9.29%5.141-12.43%0.0038✓0.976.2M2022-10-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.31.1918-8.32%1.06-18.46%0.0762✓1.0258k2022-10-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.586.0535-8.00%3.9876-39.40%0.4109✓0.169.1M2022-10-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.66060.608964-7.82%0.5935-10.16%0.0343✓1.49210k2022-10-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.09211.1517-7.78%13.225+9.37%0.1853✗0.3715.8M2022-10-13
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.4184.0751-7.76%3.04-31.19%0.2528✓1.001.4M2022-10-13
METISMetisEthereum27.925.7442-7.73%24.71-11.43%0.0209✓1.54159k2022-10-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.976.4381-7.63%6.09-12.63%0.0132✓1.05224k2022-10-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.610.563589-7.61%0.536-12.13%0.0082✓1.04114k2022-10-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.13213.8351-7.19%2.9712-28.09%0.2288✓0.667.3M2022-10-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.89712.9023-7.16%11.342-18.39%0.0786✓1.2520.3M2022-10-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.04790.044554-6.99%0.0379-20.88%0.1174✓1.10177k2022-10-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.2932.8428-6.93%23.01-34.80%0.2953✓1.5010.6M2022-10-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9210.857245-6.92%0.836-9.23%0.0066✓0.462.7M2022-10-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.23496.7357-6.90%4.5312-37.37%0.3848✓0.2912.2M2022-10-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.1812.2736-6.88%11.09-15.86%0.0562✓1.12925k2022-10-13
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31050.289377-6.80%0.277-10.79%0.0037✓0.9982k2022-10-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.031.8922-6.79%1.6-21.18%0.1189✓1.21227k2022-10-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.19630.183043-6.75%0.1351-31.18%0.2729✓0.7730k2022-10-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.411.3153-6.72%1.531+8.58%0.1999✗1.1943k2022-10-13
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,471.371,372.79-6.70%1,248.14-15.17%0.0549✓1.003.4M2022-10-13
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0172110.016071-6.62%0.013771-19.99%0.1142✓1.001,0292022-10-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.725.3415-6.62%3.81-33.39%0.3169✓0.522.0M2022-10-13
BANDBandEthereum1.2441.1623-6.56%1.068-14.15%0.0356✓1.22323k2022-10-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11040.103167-6.55%0.0666-39.67%0.4150✓0.56182k2022-10-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.48650.455074-6.46%0.3679-24.38%0.1799✓0.81422k2022-10-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.80660.754777-6.42%0.6504-19.37%0.1041✓1.11946k2022-10-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2123.9417-6.42%3.817-9.38%0.0048✓0.92245k2022-10-13
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.60294.3121-6.32%3.7246-19.08%0.0933✓1.32118k2022-10-13
FLOWFlownative1.8641.7463-6.31%1.511-18.94%0.0887✓1.39967k2022-10-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0246920.023147-6.26%0.024977+1.15%0.0778✗0.04471k2022-10-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.815.7981-5.96%14.34-14.64%0.0741✓0.57396k2022-10-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14440.135831-5.93%0.1342-7.06%0.0271✓0.97336k2022-10-13
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.1827-5.92%1.85-20.26%0.1409✓0.61247k2022-10-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4551.3693-5.89%1.407-3.30%0.0702✗1.0771k2022-10-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4340.408527-5.87%0.38-12.44%0.0305✓1.047,9852022-10-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.33080.311402-5.86%0.2586-21.83%0.1414✓1.1072k2022-10-13
OPTIMOptimism1.1821.1129-5.85%0.732-38.07%0.3545✓1.602.8M2022-10-13
QTUMQtumQtum3.02332.8471-5.83%2.6695-11.70%0.0237✓1.0120k2022-10-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.681.5823-5.82%1.553-7.56%0.0193✓0.94627k2022-10-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.520.48981-5.81%0.439-15.58%0.0649✓1.1166k2022-10-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0552.884-5.60%2.773-9.23%0.0236✓0.39759k2022-10-13
PROPropyEthereum0.710.670412-5.58%0.52-26.76%0.2442✓0.2442k2022-10-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7851.6869-5.50%1.495-16.25%0.0557✓1.6265k2022-10-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.19340.182906-5.43%0.1844-4.65%0.0453✓0.923.2M2022-10-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.162840.154028-5.41%0.13775-15.41%0.0700✓1.04271k2022-10-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.042730.040467-5.29%0.03722-12.89%0.0561✓0.6814k2022-10-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0221.9157-5.26%1.535-24.09%0.1735✓1.1930k2022-10-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.420010.398155-5.20%0.35148-16.32%0.0871✓0.93392k2022-10-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.95861.8574-5.17%0.9616-50.90%0.6292✓0.721.5M2022-10-13
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1364.8714-5.15%4.551-11.39%0.0154✓1.316.4M2022-10-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10820.102639-5.14%0.0879-18.76%0.1033✓1.282.5M2022-10-13
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40140.380836-5.12%0.3269-18.56%0.1067✓1.1467k2022-10-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033670.031961-5.07%0.02754-18.21%0.1067✓1.0532k2022-10-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0256.6688-5.07%7.028+0.04%0.0970✗1.1118.0M2022-10-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.24291.1801-5.05%1.0884-12.43%0.0370✓1.09922k2022-10-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.076.7128-5.05%6.113-13.54%0.0490✓1.1110.0M2022-10-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008510.008082-5.03%0.00533-37.37%0.3799✓0.903.3M2022-10-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012360.001175-4.97%0.0008937-27.71%0.2410✓0.812.2M2022-10-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.34440.327281-4.97%0.2499-27.44%0.2338✓0.8989k2022-10-13
MANADecentralandEthereum0.731470.695337-4.94%0.63573-13.09%0.0462✓1.08624k2022-10-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.46.0851-4.92%5.03-21.41%0.1515✓0.974.3M2022-10-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.78661.6989-4.91%1.5752-11.84%0.0315✓1.1025k2022-10-13
COMPCompoundEthereum55.8353.0911-4.91%54.83-1.79%0.0779✗1.138,6412022-10-13
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0109980.010461-4.88%0.009275-15.67%0.0801✓1.006682022-10-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5313.8237-4.86%19.43+33.72%0.3778✗0.931.8M2022-10-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.17031.1137-4.84%1.2571+7.42%0.1652✗1.091.1M2022-10-13
UMAUMAEthereum2.6182.4924-4.80%2.208-15.66%0.0888✓0.80523k2022-10-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,017.078,584.83-4.79%7,725.27-14.33%0.0512✓1.354.1M2022-10-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.266920.254166-4.78%0.20766-22.20%0.1665✓0.8815k2022-10-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0596350.056796-4.76%0.059662+0.04%0.0879✗0.961.2M2022-10-13
XVGVergenative0.003370.00321-4.74%0.00306-9.20%0.0103✓0.94483k2022-10-13
STXStacksnative0.34970.333134-4.74%0.3005-14.07%0.0606✓1.06313k2022-10-13
KSMKusamaHydration46.3844.2126-4.67%40.69-12.27%0.0421✓1.02363k2022-10-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.2980.284113-4.66%0.2072-30.47%0.2768✓0.9774k2022-10-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.321390.306486-4.64%0.29812-7.24%0.0138✓1.0333k2022-10-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.125.8387-4.60%4.46-27.12%0.2485✓0.522.1M2022-10-13
SCSiacoinnative0.003810.003636-4.57%0.00324-14.96%0.0776✓0.9495k2022-10-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.102696-4.56%0.0911-15.33%0.0858✓0.84188k2022-10-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.15610.14907-4.50%0.153-1.99%0.0735✗1.189132022-10-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.54.298-4.49%3.53-21.56%0.1741✓0.571.4M2022-10-13
MOVRMoonriverBase11.933911.3988-4.48%10.1346-15.08%0.0781✓0.9821k2022-10-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1345.8591-4.48%3.961-35.43%0.3689✓0.563.1M2022-10-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020430.019526-4.43%0.0198-3.08%0.0553✗1.039.7M2022-10-13
XVSVenusEthereum4.664.455-4.40%4.61-1.07%0.0678✗0.83839k2022-10-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05251.0066-4.36%0.8006-23.93%0.1697✓1.474.5M2022-10-13
XECeCashnative0.000043950.000042039-4.35%0.00003711-15.56%0.0913✓0.833.0M2022-10-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0823.9047-4.34%3.097-24.13%0.2112✓0.512.3M2022-10-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7192.6011-4.34%2.183-19.71%0.1158✓1.482.9M2022-10-13
UNIUniswapEthereum6.0345.7725-4.33%6.15+1.92%0.1175✗1.356.9M2022-10-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1521.1021-4.33%0.978-15.10%0.0819✓0.931.1M2022-10-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028270.002706-4.29%0.002098-25.79%0.2180✓0.901.2M2022-10-13
XYMSymbolnative0.039870.038162-4.28%0.035845-10.10%0.0408✓0.5423k2022-10-13
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1650.15806-4.21%0.1439-12.79%0.0485✓1.131,7442022-10-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.005630.005394-4.20%0.0048-14.74%0.0901✓0.66911k2022-10-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.476.1993-4.18%5.61-13.29%0.0804✓0.482.1M2022-10-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6220.596173-4.15%0.53-14.79%0.0737✓1.093.2M2022-10-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05940.056961-4.11%0.0671+12.96%0.2062✗1.0578k2022-10-13
CBKCobakEthereum0.824730.791047-4.08%0.73564-10.80%0.0431✓0.7313k2022-10-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash117.6112.8063-4.08%108.8-7.48%0.0101✓1.154.4M2022-10-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1423.9734-4.07%3.061-26.10%0.2461✓0.372.0M2022-10-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84630.811996-4.05%0.8267-2.32%0.0774✗1.4894k2022-10-13
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.167380.160613-4.04%0.14863-11.20%0.0494✓0.703542022-10-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5950.570992-4.03%0.563-5.38%0.0260✓1.00178k2022-10-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9130.876303-4.02%0.847-7.23%0.0114✓1.131.5M2022-10-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29660.284775-3.99%0.3194+7.69%0.1532✗0.956.0M2022-10-13
NANOnanopayBase0.8462690.812648-3.97%0.761919-9.97%0.0306✓0.8446k2022-10-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015310.00147-3.97%0.001276-16.66%0.1146✓0.676,5532022-10-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2893870.277996-3.94%0.246962-14.66%0.0791✓0.97487k2022-10-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4930.473604-3.93%0.426-13.59%0.0583✓1.1877k2022-10-13
ELAElastosEthereum1.5531.4923-3.91%1.479-4.76%0.0190✓0.6929k2022-10-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02230.982449-3.90%0.9674-5.37%0.0042✓0.492.8M2022-10-13
DIADIAEthereum0.381160.366338-3.89%0.39142+2.69%0.1046✗0.9531k2022-10-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.8718.1416-3.86%15.65-17.06%0.0935✓1.3518.0M2022-10-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0590.056727-3.85%0.053-10.17%0.0197✓1.20568k2022-10-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.4147-3.83%6.57-24.91%0.2250✓0.562.4M2022-10-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.134760.129599-3.83%0.12034-10.70%0.0282✓1.14151k2022-10-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007960.007656-3.82%0.00571-28.27%0.2490✓1.10463k2022-10-13
BTTCBTTC8.60e-78.27e-7-3.81%7.70e-7-10.47%0.0432✓0.711.7M2022-10-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.1990.191445-3.80%0.1711-14.02%0.0716✓1.01132k2022-10-13
STEEMSteemnative0.21610.207903-3.79%0.225+4.12%0.1140✗0.87527k2022-10-13
HIVEHivenative0.55040.529572-3.78%0.4902-10.94%0.0530✓0.60871k2022-10-13
ZECZcashZcash58.9256.7246-3.73%50.94-13.54%0.0631✓1.101.1M2022-10-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0201910.01944-3.72%0.01784-11.64%0.0605✓0.6312k2022-10-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.00270.965746-3.69%0.905877-9.66%0.0330✓0.7741k2022-10-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2630.253299-3.69%0.23-12.55%0.0669✓0.74534k2022-10-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,174.7819,434.56-3.67%19,378.65-3.95%0.0374✓1.00480.9M2022-10-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40080.386162-3.65%0.3093-22.83%0.1819✓0.99202k2022-10-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.13920.13417-3.61%0.1172-15.80%0.0959✓0.98128k2022-10-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.09240.089104-3.57%0.0998+8.01%0.1541✗1.01336k2022-10-13
XMRMoneroMonero145.44140.257-3.56%142.89-1.75%0.0585✗0.991.4M2022-10-13
FTTFTXEthereum25.8924.9678-3.56%23.44-9.46%0.0229✓1.006.8M2022-10-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.87960.848398-3.55%0.7636-13.19%0.0565✓1.21899k2022-10-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09680.093382-3.53%0.0743-23.24%0.1998✓0.722,9132022-10-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.03291.9614-3.52%1.5924-21.67%0.1657✓1.0613k2022-10-13
DASHDashDash43.7742.2338-3.51%40.41-7.68%0.0027✓1.03312k2022-10-13
QNTQuantEthereum97.8794.4363-3.51%160.75+64.25%0.5692✗0.933.5M2022-10-13
RARESuperRareEthereum0.18980.183193-3.48%0.141-25.71%0.2206✓1.02101k2022-10-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062160.006-3.48%0.00599-3.64%0.0118✓0.3330k2022-10-13
ADACardanoCardano0.46370.447584-3.48%0.3769-18.72%0.1330✓0.9738.3M2022-10-13
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.069130.066729-3.47%0.071+2.71%0.0701✗0.20354k2022-10-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.157.0516-3.47%51.09-13.55%0.0714✓0.9714.4M2022-10-13
ZENHorizenBase14.8414.3302-3.44%12.53-15.57%0.0853✓1.2275k2022-10-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04520.043649-3.43%0.0333-26.33%0.2364✓0.85142k2022-10-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.309660.299121-3.40%0.327+5.60%0.1149✗0.64326k2022-10-13
XTZTezosTezos1.53481.4829-3.38%1.3832-9.88%0.0284✓1.02246k2022-10-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03610.034879-3.38%0.0319-11.63%0.0488✓1.0190k2022-10-13
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015190.001468-3.36%0.001497-1.45%0.0495✗0.74353k2022-10-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04410.042618-3.36%0.0344-22.00%0.1675✓1.16546k2022-10-13
XEMNEMnative0.0421630.040753-3.34%0.038379-8.97%0.0238✓0.9028k2022-10-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.064680.062524-3.33%0.05314-17.84%0.1269✓0.897802022-10-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.036480.035265-3.33%0.03232-11.40%0.0586✓0.712,2982022-10-13
KCSKuCoinnative9.2548.9458-3.33%9.399+1.57%0.0827✗0.831.2M2022-10-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.04960.047961-3.31%0.0541+9.07%0.1552✗0.86234k2022-10-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20850.201625-3.30%0.1796-13.86%0.0790✓0.9159k2022-10-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,574.711,523.05-3.28%1,286.96-18.27%0.1157✓1.31616.7M2022-10-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06790.065682-3.27%0.06122-9.84%0.0318✓0.9625k2022-10-13
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023170.022421-3.23%0.02101-9.32%0.0241✓1.022,9582022-10-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96994.8137-3.14%4.2295-14.90%0.1259✓0.09119k2022-10-13
FISStafiEthereum0.350.339081-3.12%0.319-8.86%0.0225✓0.961,1592022-10-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058990.005717-3.09%0.005472-7.24%0.0180✓0.641,9622022-10-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12430.12046-3.09%0.1168-6.03%0.0116✓1.052.6M2022-10-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3686-2.93%1.66+17.73%0.1887✗-0.11113k2022-10-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08480.082312-2.93%0.082-3.30%0.0351✗0.9711k2022-10-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04030.039126-2.91%0.0342-15.14%0.1029✓0.799,5132022-10-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1046540.10161-2.91%0.1121+7.11%0.1333✗0.876.5M2022-10-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26790.26018-2.88%0.2551-4.78%0.0200✓0.992.7M2022-10-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.739.4517-2.86%8.67-10.89%0.0328✓1.33288k2022-10-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121520.011805-2.85%0.010334-14.96%0.0997✓0.83882k2022-10-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012090.000011753-2.79%0.00001039-14.06%0.0843✓0.971.0M2022-10-13
AAVEAaveEthereum82.9780.6771-2.76%70.96-14.48%0.0694✓1.466.2M2022-10-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.56650.1572-2.73%50.036-2.97%0.0318✗0.85246k2022-10-13
DODODODOEthereum0.12530.121889-2.72%0.1164-7.10%0.0014✓1.111.4M2022-10-13
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.47e-7-2.64%7.70e-7-11.49%0.0674✓0.6915k2022-10-13
GTGateEthereum4.14324.0369-2.56%4.3617+5.27%0.1066✗0.72696k2022-10-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05720.055792-2.46%0.0499-12.76%0.0792✓0.8090k2022-10-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46250.451365-2.41%0.4211-8.95%0.0244✓1.12366k2022-10-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4490.438372-2.37%0.319-28.95%0.2712✓1.164,5592022-10-13
FORTFortaEthereum0.21030.205373-2.34%0.1528-27.34%0.2659✓0.7467k2022-10-13
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.811.768-2.32%2.79+54.14%0.4748✗0.4656k2022-10-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.507980.496963-2.17%0.41049-19.19%0.1389✓1.3041k2022-10-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,237.1019,798.56-2.17%19,353.70-4.37%0.0143✓0.9215k2022-10-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012520.012285-1.88%0.01008-19.49%0.1729✓0.62233k2022-10-13
TRXTRONTron0.0606820.059545-1.87%0.060975+0.48%0.0418✗0.45123k2022-10-13
SOLSolanaSolana33.0132.3924-1.87%30.49-7.63%0.0123✓1.2054.5M2022-10-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.214.9177-1.86%14.3-5.92%0.0107✓0.781.4M2022-10-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020070.01973-1.70%0.01727-13.95%0.1095✓0.59173k2022-10-13
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13650.134488-1.47%0.1133-17.00%0.1504✓0.5283k2022-10-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.