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2022-09-11 · +30d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2763
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+14.97%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
75.4%
in alpha space · 93.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.70%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065210.056391-13.52%0.05586-14.34%0.1606✗1.251.3M2022-10-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.4175.5916-12.86%5.133-20.01%0.0455✓0.966.2M2022-10-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.30e-76.44e-7-11.72%4.94e-7-32.35%0.1489✓0.862.3M2022-10-11
METISMetisEthereum31.9828.5992-10.57%24.24-24.20%0.0661✓1.70168k2022-10-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.000431380.000390917-9.38%0.00028097-34.87%0.2798✓0.372.1M2022-10-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.5634.9845-9.27%23.73-38.46%0.1728✓1.5910.6M2022-10-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.636.9358-9.10%5.83-23.59%0.0237✓1.10230k2022-10-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6860.624423-8.98%0.555-19.10%0.0286✓1.08111k2022-10-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.26110.237762-8.94%0.1306-49.98%0.4900✓0.8024k2022-10-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.461.3301-8.89%1.09-25.34%0.0537✓1.0779k2022-10-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6481.5072-8.54%1.424-13.59%0.1119✗1.2443k2022-10-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.14686.5503-8.35%4.4242-38.10%0.3783✓0.109.1M2022-10-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.59411.5606-8.21%14.164+12.47%0.2541✗0.3816.0M2022-10-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33280.305868-8.09%0.2783-16.38%0.0479✓1.0575k2022-10-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5613.3855-8.07%11.52-20.88%0.0118✓1.19925k2022-10-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.0520.047872-7.94%0.0393-24.42%0.0385✓1.17190k2022-10-11
OPTIMOptimism1.4021.2908-7.93%0.738-47.36%0.3245✓1.732.7M2022-10-11
FLOWFlownative2.1161.949-7.89%1.581-25.28%0.0155✓1.43967k2022-10-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.332.1474-7.84%1.67-28.33%0.0762✓1.29227k2022-10-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.73510.677539-7.83%0.6398-12.96%0.1512✗1.53226k2022-10-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5130.473659-7.67%0.383-25.34%0.0680✓1.067,7812022-10-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0240.945742-7.64%0.853-16.70%0.0480✓0.412.7M2022-10-11
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86630.800987-7.54%0.6867-20.73%0.0063✓1.18946k2022-10-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.69914.5608-7.25%12.174-22.45%0.0029✓1.3018.7M2022-10-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.67894.3415-7.21%3.1333-33.03%0.2439✓0.618.1M2022-10-11
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,656.911,537.81-7.19%1,240.98-25.10%0.0786✓1.003.4M2022-10-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.60947.0655-7.15%5.0794-33.25%0.2958✓0.2511.9M2022-10-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12540.116502-7.10%0.0677-46.01%0.4585✓0.62191k2022-10-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51570.479702-6.98%0.3748-27.32%0.1306✓0.85418k2022-10-11
QTUMQtumQtum3.30663.0776-6.93%2.6817-18.90%0.0043✓1.0419k2022-10-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2783.0523-6.88%2.858-12.81%0.0148✓0.38720k2022-10-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.9317.6522-6.75%14.03-25.88%0.1555✓0.55384k2022-10-11
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.8964.5729-6.60%3.171-35.23%0.2302✓1.001.4M2022-10-11
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.8474.5277-6.59%3.9604-18.29%0.0745✗1.53129k2022-10-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.991.8595-6.56%1.515-23.87%0.0287✓1.7260k2022-10-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.632.4583-6.53%1.94-26.24%0.1523✓0.62262k2022-10-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36190.338409-6.49%0.2662-26.44%0.0795✓1.1872k2022-10-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,194.939,544.16-6.38%7,823.46-23.26%0.0031✓1.444.2M2022-10-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5014.2168-6.31%3.85-14.46%0.0375✓0.95286k2022-10-11
BANDBandEthereum1.3691.2827-6.30%1.115-18.55%0.0325✓1.27343k2022-10-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.291460.273363-6.21%0.21515-26.18%0.1176✓0.9015k2022-10-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15450.144999-6.15%0.1354-12.36%0.0697✗1.02336k2022-10-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5171.4237-6.15%1.432-5.60%0.1584✗1.1271k2022-10-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5950.558669-6.11%0.454-23.70%0.0501✓1.1664k2022-10-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2022.0681-6.08%1.57-28.70%0.1014✓1.2832k2022-10-11
STXStacksnative0.39030.366723-6.04%0.3122-20.01%0.0145✓1.08324k2022-10-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0239730.022542-5.97%0.025016+4.35%0.1140✗0.07455k2022-10-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023320.021945-5.89%0.0222-4.80%0.1559✗1.069.7M2022-10-11
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.018280.017207-5.87%0.014339-21.56%0.0465✓1.008742022-10-11
APEApeCoinEthereum5.6825.35-5.84%4.693-17.41%0.0605✗1.416.4M2022-10-11
API3Api3Ethereum1.8381.7309-5.83%1.592-13.38%0.0556✓1.02627k2022-10-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.803760.757017-5.82%0.64753-19.44%0.0016✓1.14584k2022-10-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11670.109953-5.78%0.0886-24.08%0.0478✓1.242.5M2022-10-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29290.276019-5.76%0.2043-30.25%0.1542✓1.0883k2022-10-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7027.2604-5.73%6.18-19.76%0.0024✓1.1710.0M2022-10-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.435.1308-5.51%4.18-23.02%0.1151✓0.662.0M2022-10-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1736.7781-5.51%5.226-27.14%0.1228✓1.014.3M2022-10-11
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4916.136-5.47%5.992-7.69%0.1663✗1.406.9M2022-10-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.037.5938-5.43%7.132-11.18%0.0907✗1.1317.5M2022-10-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.714.8578-5.36%16.63+5.92%0.2505✗1.011.8M2022-10-11
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30572.1847-5.25%1.6843-26.95%0.1057✓1.1413k2022-10-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046640.044201-5.23%0.03846-17.54%0.0516✓0.6414k2022-10-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.177890.168673-5.18%0.14363-19.26%0.0159✓1.07268k2022-10-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.20830.197571-5.15%0.1946-6.58%0.1208✗1.003.2M2022-10-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9632.8111-5.13%2.062-30.41%0.0971✓1.572.9M2022-10-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.456780.433367-5.13%0.30021-34.28%0.2304✓1.01379k2022-10-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.30291.2363-5.12%1.2564-3.57%0.1724✗1.151.1M2022-10-11
XVGVergenative0.003810.003617-5.07%0.00325-14.70%0.0305✓1.01481k2022-10-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013670.0013-4.91%0.000927-32.21%0.2239✓0.842.2M2022-10-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.92411.83-4.89%1.6014-16.77%0.0187✓1.1223k2022-10-11
PROPropyEthereum0.720.684942-4.87%0.56-22.22%0.1699✓0.2346k2022-10-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.351690.334926-4.77%0.2823-19.73%0.0244✓1.0834k2022-10-11
CBKCobakEthereum0.85180.811234-4.76%0.75273-11.63%0.0326✓0.7913k2022-10-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.31451.2523-4.73%1.105-15.94%0.0205✓1.071.0M2022-10-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037810.036021-4.73%0.02814-25.58%0.1016✓1.0745k2022-10-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029040.002767-4.71%0.002081-28.34%0.1629✓0.901.2M2022-10-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0423220.040328-4.71%0.036015-14.90%0.0414✓0.5323k2022-10-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06620.063099-4.68%0.0548-17.22%0.0258✓1.23555k2022-10-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1831.1278-4.66%0.8192-30.75%0.1078✓1.564.4M2022-10-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11560.110257-4.62%0.0922-20.24%0.0598✓0.88169k2022-10-11
XVSVenusEthereum5.14.8651-4.60%4.82-5.49%0.1081✗0.86859k2022-10-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44450.424031-4.60%0.355-20.13%0.0187✓1.1781k2022-10-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.576.2686-4.59%4.92-25.11%0.1685✓0.542.1M2022-10-11
KSMKusamaHydration51.949.521-4.58%40.86-21.27%0.0542✓1.02395k2022-10-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.00771.9162-4.56%1.0218-49.11%0.5131✓0.851.4M2022-10-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.35124.4633-4.52%111.17-14.71%0.0481✗1.194.4M2022-10-11
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0113140.010807-4.48%0.009663-14.59%0.0239✓1.006302022-10-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009440.009018-4.47%0.00556-41.10%0.3526✓0.963.2M2022-10-11
COMPCompoundEthereum55.2552.7848-4.46%55.84+1.07%0.2313✗1.298,9662022-10-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6490.620372-4.41%0.562-13.41%0.0410✓1.03178k2022-10-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0637030.060901-4.40%0.060216-5.47%0.1260✗1.011.3M2022-10-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2850.272503-4.38%0.233-18.25%0.0504✓0.78563k2022-10-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1395.872-4.35%4.3-29.96%0.2219✓0.663.1M2022-10-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.33080.316551-4.31%0.255-22.91%0.1126✓0.7684k2022-10-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6760.647064-4.28%0.553-18.20%0.0015✓1.153.5M2022-10-11
MOVRMoonriverBase12.886612.3354-4.28%10.4764-18.70%0.0244✓1.0222k2022-10-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4054.2208-4.18%3.254-26.13%0.1867✓0.542.3M2022-10-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3137870.300721-4.16%0.252068-19.67%0.0425✓0.99471k2022-10-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015580.001493-4.15%0.001486-4.62%0.0994✗0.77353k2022-10-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9740.93383-4.12%0.833-14.48%0.0489✗1.201.5M2022-10-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.644.4489-4.12%3.71-20.04%0.0976✓0.621.4M2022-10-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5430.520638-4.12%0.426-21.55%0.0343✓1.2274k2022-10-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6919.8403-4.11%15.96-22.86%0.0313✓1.3718.0M2022-10-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.006610.006339-4.10%0.00472-28.59%0.2079✓0.64911k2022-10-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2511.2003-4.05%1.022-18.31%0.0339✓0.931.1M2022-10-11
ZECZcashZcash64.2761.6773-4.03%51.54-19.81%0.0193✓1.181.2M2022-10-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06450.061914-4.01%0.0631-2.17%0.1592✗1.0379k2022-10-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.736.463-3.97%5.78-14.12%0.0435✓0.502.1M2022-10-11
ORCAOrcaSolana0.88850.853246-3.97%0.8294-6.65%0.1848✗1.5794k2022-10-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97480.936147-3.97%0.7788-20.11%0.0114✓1.27899k2022-10-11
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.74e-7-3.96%7.60e-7-16.48%0.0385✓0.741.7M2022-10-11
XECeCashnative0.000045620.000043819-3.95%0.000038-16.70%0.0224✓0.882.5M2022-10-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143820.138162-3.93%0.12111-15.79%0.0330✓1.21151k2022-10-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05010.048135-3.92%0.0362-27.74%0.1266✓1.17536k2022-10-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3544.1861-3.86%3.34-23.29%0.1752✓0.372.2M2022-10-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32640.313824-3.85%0.3177-2.67%0.1464✗0.995.9M2022-10-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.6551.5915-3.83%1.496-9.61%0.0395✗0.7536k2022-10-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016360.001573-3.83%0.001366-16.50%0.0487✓0.686,5532022-10-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.074140.071305-3.82%0.07114-4.05%0.0161✓0.14378k2022-10-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.1680.16165-3.78%0.1567-6.73%0.1489✗1.321,0012022-10-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.7822.6778-3.74%2.134-23.29%0.1202✓0.79586k2022-10-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008440.008124-3.74%0.00619-26.66%0.1116✓1.18406k2022-10-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.09970.095981-3.73%0.105+5.32%0.2267✗1.01336k2022-10-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10270.098898-3.70%0.0794-22.69%0.1152✓0.772,6892022-10-11
XEMNEMnative0.0467850.045069-3.67%0.039437-15.71%0.0120✓0.8928k2022-10-11
ZENHorizenBase16.4715.8678-3.66%12.5-24.10%0.0683✓1.2584k2022-10-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.988.652-3.65%7.02-21.83%0.1275✓0.602.4M2022-10-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073070.070404-3.65%0.05605-23.29%0.0958✓0.977022022-10-11
STEEMSteemnative0.2350.226434-3.65%0.2305-1.91%0.1359✗0.87503k2022-10-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218870.021091-3.64%0.018475-15.59%0.0481✓0.6212k2022-10-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04970.047897-3.63%0.0383-22.94%0.1080✓0.85138k2022-10-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.08631.0469-3.62%0.922593-15.07%0.0219✓0.7734k2022-10-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02750.990585-3.59%0.9454-7.99%0.0310✓0.572.6M2022-10-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004190.004041-3.56%0.00336-19.81%0.0560✓0.95103k2022-10-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21410.206498-3.55%0.1798-16.02%0.0095✓1.09138k2022-10-11
XMRMoneroMonero159.22153.5854-3.54%144.57-9.20%0.0729✗0.981.3M2022-10-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42550.410456-3.54%0.313-26.44%0.1206✓1.11202k2022-10-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.174140.167985-3.53%0.15473-11.15%0.0243✓0.783512022-10-11
NANOnanopayBase0.9277880.895078-3.53%0.762754-17.79%0.0417✓0.8749k2022-10-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,831.7221,076.17-3.46%19,058.11-12.70%0.0352✓1.00473.4M2022-10-11
FTTFTXEthereum27.8926.9288-3.45%23.25-16.64%0.0084✓1.026.8M2022-10-11
DASHDashDash48.3546.6866-3.44%41.25-14.68%0.0227✓1.08321k2022-10-11
HIVEHivenative0.57920.559331-3.43%0.5306-8.39%0.0318✓0.62826k2022-10-11
XTZTezosTezos1.68551.6282-3.40%1.3396-20.52%0.0506✓1.06241k2022-10-11
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21060.203647-3.30%0.1451-31.10%0.1822✓1.15108k2022-10-11
ADACardanoCardano0.51010.49342-3.27%0.3906-23.43%0.0967✓1.0138.3M2022-10-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075460.072997-3.26%0.06085-19.36%0.0443✓1.0124k2022-10-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.05080.049143-3.26%0.0515+1.38%0.1750✗0.94234k2022-10-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.1860.1553-3.26%52.01-16.36%0.0037✓1.0413.5M2022-10-11
QNTQuantEthereum108.82105.3234-3.21%153.96+41.48%0.5092✗0.953.5M2022-10-11
DIADIAEthereum0.405260.392479-3.15%0.38304-5.48%0.1135✗1.0132k2022-10-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.03960.038353-3.15%0.03308-16.46%0.0541✓0.692,1832022-10-11
KCSKuCoinnative9.7559.4492-3.14%8.744-10.36%0.0398✗0.861.2M2022-10-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.331390.321159-3.09%0.33684+1.64%0.1431✗0.70326k2022-10-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131930.012787-3.08%0.010365-21.44%0.0951✓0.85920k2022-10-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1830.177449-3.03%0.148-19.13%0.0227✓1.171,7442022-10-11
DODODODOEthereum0.13330.129258-3.03%0.118-11.48%0.0701✗1.191.4M2022-10-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.15180.147227-3.01%0.122-19.63%0.0516✓1.00110k2022-10-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.23120.224263-3.00%0.1522-34.17%0.2834✓0.7766k2022-10-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,766.951,713.94-3.00%1,279.94-27.56%0.1056✓1.37575.8M2022-10-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13780.13371-2.97%0.1203-12.70%0.0465✗1.122.9M2022-10-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23030.223488-2.96%0.1864-19.06%0.0599✓0.8957k2022-10-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29230.283679-2.95%0.2614-10.57%0.0561✗1.022.6M2022-10-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02550.024765-2.88%0.02204-13.57%0.0369✗1.132,9142022-10-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03930.038171-2.87%0.0324-17.56%0.0252✓1.0288k2022-10-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0065370.006349-2.86%0.005604-14.27%0.0338✓0.672,0442022-10-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.06274.9198-2.82%4.1004-19.01%0.1737✓0.06117k2022-10-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.421.3818-2.69%1.52+7.04%0.0760✗-0.14124k2022-10-11
AAVEAaveEthereum91.6389.2105-2.64%71.42-22.06%0.0140✓1.535.6M2022-10-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5150.501514-2.62%0.336-34.76%0.2334✓1.234,2692022-10-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1143870.111433-2.58%0.116096+1.49%0.1613✗0.896.4M2022-10-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063090.006151-2.51%0.006021-4.56%0.0310✗0.3830k2022-10-11
GTGateEthereum4.33014.2224-2.49%4.365+0.81%0.1328✗0.73690k2022-10-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5816.1689-2.48%14.48-12.67%0.0036✓0.791.5M2022-10-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09410.091871-2.37%0.0796-15.41%0.0089✓0.9914k2022-10-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2310.9644-2.37%8.81-21.55%0.0337✓1.36298k2022-10-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.89e-7-2.33%7.70e-7-15.38%0.0416✓0.7515k2022-10-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03720.036339-2.31%0.0355-4.57%0.0955✗0.877,8252022-10-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.45453.2068-2.29%47.915-12.01%0.0130✓0.87275k2022-10-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012990.000012696-2.26%0.00001023-21.25%0.0777✓1.021.0M2022-10-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.555060.543287-2.12%0.42218-23.94%0.0700✓1.3439k2022-10-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06110.059808-2.12%0.0499-18.33%0.0647✓0.8682k2022-10-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.5120.50191-1.97%0.4268-16.64%0.0020✓1.18384k2022-10-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.91.8628-1.96%2.27+19.47%0.2626✗0.4861k2022-10-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,663.6021,303.61-1.66%19,028.40-12.16%0.0117✓0.9213k2022-10-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.1270.125103-1.49%0.1155-9.06%0.0792✓0.0183k2022-10-11
SOLSolanaSolana35.0134.5066-1.44%30.8-12.03%0.0504✗1.2154.5M2022-10-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012930.012757-1.34%0.0104-19.57%0.1147✓0.66233k2022-10-11
TRXTRONTron0.064190.063384-1.26%0.06166-3.94%0.0390✗0.49123k2022-10-11
FISStafiEthereum0.35010.345815-1.22%0.3202-8.54%0.0659✗1.057782022-10-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.021067-1.09%0.0178-16.43%0.0870✓0.60206k2022-10-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.