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2022-09-08 · +30d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 190 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3008
190 of 190 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+16.44%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
80.5%
in alpha space · 79.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.50%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (190 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000516290.000450154-12.81%0.00029525-42.81%0.4254✓0.721.2M2022-10-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.48e-76.58e-7-12.00%5.29e-7-29.30%0.2231✓0.842.3M2022-10-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.89376.2107-9.91%5.2565-23.75%0.1681✓0.268.4M2022-10-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.41611.2774-9.17%15.367+23.77%0.3066✗0.5516.0M2022-10-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4744.0866-8.66%3.5435-20.80%0.1458✓0.637.3M2022-10-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.060430.055379-8.36%0.05844-3.29%0.0483✓1.101.5M2022-10-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.41.2834-8.33%1.14-18.57%0.1233✓0.9681k2022-10-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.68227.048-8.26%6.0322-21.48%0.1575✓0.369.9M2022-10-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8655.3955-8.01%5.399-7.95%0.0037✓0.876.2M2022-10-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.130.119671-7.95%0.0685-47.31%0.5619✓0.79203k2022-10-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.134.164-7.91%26.96-27.33%0.2446✓1.5511.8M2022-10-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.88312.7935-7.85%13.15-5.28%0.0218✓1.1414.8M2022-10-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.16240.149858-7.72%0.1363-16.07%0.1001✓1.0524k2022-10-08
GMTGMTEthereum0.65330.603064-7.69%0.6385-2.27%0.0500✓1.40210k2022-10-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7224.3615-7.63%3.746-20.67%0.1571✓0.99298k2022-10-08
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6520.602527-7.59%0.58-11.04%0.0424✓0.86134k2022-10-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.376.8183-7.49%6.43-12.75%0.0643✓1.13276k2022-10-08
RADRadworksEthereum2.62.4061-7.46%2.02-22.31%0.1788✓0.77262k2022-10-08
METISMetisEthereum29.1327.0032-7.30%25.79-11.47%0.0552✓1.83186k2022-10-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.272.1048-7.28%1.8-20.70%0.1628✓1.26232k2022-10-08
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0380.963065-7.22%0.85-18.11%0.1270✓0.422.9M2022-10-08
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31490.292188-7.21%0.288-8.54%0.0201✓1.1387k2022-10-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8512.8539-7.19%12.34-10.90%0.0464✓1.11925k2022-10-08
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.44514.1256-7.19%4.7846+7.64%0.1373✗2.17129k2022-10-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.0490.045546-7.05%0.0408-16.73%0.1146✓0.91204k2022-10-08
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0176190.016392-6.96%0.015261-13.38%0.0765✓1.001512022-10-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0244250.022741-6.89%0.026408+8.12%0.1489✗0.11465k2022-10-08
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,491.781,389.46-6.86%1,276.54-14.43%0.0898✓1.003.5M2022-10-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.451.3557-6.50%1.23-15.17%0.1032✓1.1745k2022-10-08
BANDBandEthereum1.2731.1904-6.49%1.2-5.73%0.0019✓1.21429k2022-10-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.324.9763-6.46%4.87-8.46%0.0241✓0.492.0M2022-10-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50670.474147-6.42%0.3931-22.42%0.1911✓0.73467k2022-10-08
API3Api3Ethereum1.7631.6498-6.42%1.758-0.28%0.0588✓0.94578k2022-10-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.30120.281953-6.39%0.2731-9.33%0.0367✓0.9683k2022-10-08
IMXImmutableEthereum0.81840.767316-6.24%0.7275-11.11%0.0585✓1.041.0M2022-10-08
FLOWFlownative1.9561.834-6.24%1.686-13.80%0.0910✓1.381.1M2022-10-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14910.140017-6.09%0.1437-3.62%0.0204✓1.11469k2022-10-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.1870.175657-6.07%0.2155+15.24%0.2001✗0.863.1M2022-10-08
QTUMQtumQtum3.16922.979-6.00%2.8264-10.81%0.0578✓1.0319k2022-10-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.345.9639-5.93%5.63-11.20%0.0602✓0.512.2M2022-10-08
OPTIMOptimism1.1781.1082-5.92%0.836-29.03%0.2901✓1.642.8M2022-10-08
SUSHISushiEthereum1.32731.249-5.90%1.3699+3.21%0.0862✗1.221.1M2022-10-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4151.3323-5.85%1.618+14.35%0.1884✗1.1771k2022-10-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5010.472207-5.75%0.49-2.20%0.0316✓1.0857k2022-10-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.34260.322961-5.73%0.2851-16.78%0.1301✓1.0671k2022-10-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3816.3883-5.71%15-13.69%0.0920✓0.68396k2022-10-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.7114.8257-5.63%17.73+12.86%0.1738✗1.011.7M2022-10-08
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8431.7396-5.61%1.562-15.25%0.1162✓1.6965k2022-10-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013350.00126-5.59%0.0009955-25.43%0.2399✓0.802.5M2022-10-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.4076.9936-5.58%7.454+0.63%0.0584✗1.0618.0M2022-10-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044380.041921-5.54%0.04056-8.61%0.0368✓0.7514k2022-10-08
KSMKusamaHydration50.2647.479-5.53%42.64-15.16%0.1125✓1.00409k2022-10-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035150.033207-5.53%0.03008-14.42%0.1040✓1.0159k2022-10-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0932.9221-5.53%2.98-3.65%0.0168✓0.56720k2022-10-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3896.9808-5.52%6.312-14.58%0.1060✓1.0510.0M2022-10-08
PROPropyEthereum0.730.689821-5.50%0.6-17.81%0.1412✓0.3453k2022-10-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4180.395436-5.40%0.412-1.44%0.0358✓1.057,7812022-10-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.376.03-5.34%6.41+0.63%0.0586✗0.502.1M2022-10-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.77211.6775-5.34%1.1244-36.55%0.4049✓0.951.2M2022-10-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.12791.0677-5.34%0.8838-21.64%0.1968✓1.554.5M2022-10-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4786.1343-5.31%5.811-10.30%0.0584✓0.854.4M2022-10-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0721.9621-5.30%1.708-17.57%0.1446✓1.1734k2022-10-08
C98Coin98Ethereum0.39930.378176-5.29%0.3541-11.32%0.0716✓1.1775k2022-10-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.381180.361068-5.28%0.31877-16.37%0.1295✓0.97392k2022-10-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.21291.1495-5.23%1.2118-0.09%0.0480✓0.951.3M2022-10-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0563.8444-5.22%3.706-8.63%0.0392✓0.502.1M2022-10-08
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0105630.010013-5.20%0.010527-0.34%0.0450✓1.005382022-10-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash126.62120.0706-5.17%117.04-7.57%0.0315✓1.184.4M2022-10-08
MANADecentralandEthereum0.772840.732977-5.16%0.68921-10.82%0.0659✓0.87537k2022-10-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11090.10519-5.15%0.0979-11.72%0.0762✓0.87169k2022-10-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.279690.265386-5.11%0.2332-16.62%0.1346✓1.0514k2022-10-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.8511.7565-5.11%1.6788-9.30%0.0508✓1.1123k2022-10-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008860.008408-5.10%0.00626-29.35%0.2988✓0.743.5M2022-10-08
UMAUMAEthereum2.6562.5208-5.09%2.269-14.57%0.1097✓0.88671k2022-10-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1125.8013-5.08%5.085-16.80%0.1345✓0.543.9M2022-10-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,266.668,796.63-5.07%8,043.91-13.20%0.0966✓1.424.5M2022-10-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.170340.161766-5.03%0.15272-10.34%0.0626✓1.00268k2022-10-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.330340.313761-5.02%0.29691-10.12%0.0602✓1.0035k2022-10-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.544.3123-5.02%4.39-3.30%0.0149✓0.581.3M2022-10-08
SCSiacoinnative0.003990.003792-4.96%0.00349-12.53%0.0879✓0.98123k2022-10-08
STXStacksnative0.36210.344165-4.95%0.3278-9.47%0.0546✓1.17365k2022-10-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29840.283751-4.91%0.2372-20.51%0.1847✓1.0997k2022-10-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.294.0795-4.91%3.701-13.73%0.0991✓0.352.2M2022-10-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.005670.005392-4.90%0.00499-11.99%0.0808✓0.65951k2022-10-08
XVGVergenative0.003160.003005-4.89%0.00335+6.01%0.1034✗1.02483k2022-10-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0609780.058012-4.87%0.06163+1.07%0.0551✗1.071.3M2022-10-08
NEXONEXOEthereum0.8940.85127-4.78%0.872-2.46%0.0176✓1.291.5M2022-10-08
MOVRMoonriverBase12.798512.1925-4.73%10.8961-14.86%0.1174✓0.9925k2022-10-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9312.7937-4.68%2.215-24.43%0.2398✓1.533.3M2022-10-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1881.133-4.63%1.058-10.94%0.0733✓0.951.1M2022-10-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001520.00145-4.60%0.00137-9.87%0.0602✓0.677,1022022-10-08
XECeCashnative0.000042190.000040252-4.59%0.00004095-2.94%0.0129✓0.842.5M2022-10-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6380.608907-4.56%0.6-5.96%0.0197✓0.99178k2022-10-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.05171.0041-4.52%0.977066-7.09%0.0316✓0.8637k2022-10-08
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1735.8948-4.51%6.512+5.49%0.0929✗1.326.9M2022-10-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10430.099604-4.50%0.0962-7.77%0.0402✓1.082.7M2022-10-08
XVSVenusEthereum4.84.584-4.50%5.09+6.04%0.1005✗0.85943k2022-10-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6430.614367-4.45%0.585-9.02%0.0548✓1.163.9M2022-10-08
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17670.168845-4.45%0.1582-10.47%0.0720✓1.361,5202022-10-08
ELAElastosEthereum1.6851.6104-4.43%1.589-5.70%0.0177✓0.8759k2022-10-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5250.501813-4.42%0.446-15.05%0.1238✓1.1774k2022-10-08
STEEMSteemnative0.22190.212112-4.41%0.2332+5.09%0.0900✗0.94503k2022-10-08
XYMSymbolnative0.0409740.03917-4.40%0.037113-9.42%0.0565✓0.5125k2022-10-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02090.019989-4.36%0.02161+3.40%0.0740✗0.799.2M2022-10-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30780.294401-4.35%0.335+8.84%0.1246✗0.915.8M2022-10-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.788.3985-4.35%7.98-9.11%0.0537✓0.522.2M2022-10-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.136630.130695-4.34%0.12627-7.58%0.0405✓1.20167k2022-10-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21350.204226-4.34%0.1991-6.74%0.0305✓1.0157k2022-10-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40450.387044-4.32%0.3252-19.60%0.1799✓1.15215k2022-10-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05990.057316-4.31%0.0615+2.67%0.0663✗0.8382k2022-10-08
NANOnanopayBase0.8753490.83785-4.28%0.786751-10.12%0.0671✓0.8352k2022-10-08
XMRMoneroMonero152.39145.8779-4.27%147.42-3.26%0.0052✓1.051.3M2022-10-08
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.43e-7-4.20%7.80e-7-11.36%0.0818✓0.801.8M2022-10-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.09720.093122-4.20%0.1123+15.53%0.1823✗0.99368k2022-10-08
DASHDashDash46.2844.3448-4.18%42.37-8.45%0.0506✓1.00338k2022-10-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3052980.292581-4.17%0.270386-11.44%0.0844✓1.09514k2022-10-08
CBKCobakEthereum0.854290.818712-4.16%0.80978-5.21%0.0160✓1.0014k2022-10-08
APEApeCoinEthereum4.54.3128-4.16%5.166+14.80%0.1738✗1.336.4M2022-10-08
ORCAOrcaSolana0.83170.797166-4.15%0.8303-0.17%0.0333✓1.4899k2022-10-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20420.195801-4.11%0.1872-8.33%0.0515✓1.31139k2022-10-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.15620.149783-4.11%0.1422-8.96%0.0570✓1.001,2532022-10-08
ADACardanoCardano0.4790.459323-4.11%0.4221-11.88%0.0892✓0.9438.4M2022-10-08
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19920.191033-4.10%0.1568-21.29%0.2042✓1.33111k2022-10-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06180.059284-4.07%0.057-7.77%0.0457✓1.27617k2022-10-08
QNTQuantEthereum101.9297.7719-4.07%148.85+46.05%0.4159✗0.873.4M2022-10-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1418.363-4.06%16.79-12.28%0.0960✓1.2719.2M2022-10-08
HIVEHivenative0.55180.529447-4.05%0.535-3.04%0.0064✓0.81867k2022-10-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027280.002618-4.04%0.00215-21.19%0.2015✓0.921.2M2022-10-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207260.019892-4.02%0.019332-6.73%0.0326✓0.8113k2022-10-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09930.095321-4.01%0.0858-13.60%0.1089✓0.742,7842022-10-08
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.157780.151471-4.00%0.1645+4.26%0.0723✗2.022952022-10-08
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024090.023129-3.99%0.02311-4.07%0.0073✓1.292,9142022-10-08
DIADIAEthereum0.379080.363959-3.99%0.39246+3.53%0.0705✗0.9832k2022-10-08
FTTFTXEthereum26.0525.0111-3.99%24.12-7.41%0.0412✓0.976.8M2022-10-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97410.935365-3.98%0.9356-3.95%0.0024✓0.532.8M2022-10-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007430.007136-3.96%0.00635-14.54%0.1223✓1.12389k2022-10-08
ETHEthereumEthereum1,635.731,571.10-3.95%1,315.71-19.56%0.1843✓1.38660.9M2022-10-08
ZECZcashZcash61.1358.7182-3.95%54.42-10.98%0.0820✓1.191.2M2022-10-08
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066060.063454-3.95%0.06058-8.30%0.0511✓0.956022022-10-08
XEMNEMnative0.0443210.042581-3.93%0.041135-7.19%0.0388✓0.8429k2022-10-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,321.8718,564.89-3.92%19,419.39+0.50%0.0400✗1.00480.9M2022-10-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.9955.7227-3.91%52.82-8.92%0.0586✓1.0113.1M2022-10-08
GITCOINGITCOIN2.25442.1663-3.91%1.7914-20.54%0.1961✓1.2013k2022-10-08
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.91480.879082-3.90%0.8295-9.32%0.0642✓1.22908k2022-10-08
COMPCompoundEthereum48.4346.5415-3.90%58.49+20.77%0.2221✗1.289,1802022-10-08
XTZTezosTezos1.58771.5264-3.86%1.4096-11.22%0.0853✓1.12247k2022-10-08
ZENHorizenBase15.5314.9334-3.84%13.54-12.81%0.1036✓1.1287k2022-10-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03820.036737-3.83%0.0339-11.26%0.0851✓0.9466k2022-10-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037460.036027-3.83%0.03529-5.79%0.0248✓0.822,5652022-10-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070730.068028-3.82%0.06169-12.78%0.1037✓1.1825k2022-10-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04830.046461-3.81%0.0382-20.91%0.2009✓1.01620k2022-10-08
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09260.089089-3.79%0.0808-12.74%0.1026✓0.9811k2022-10-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04650.044738-3.79%0.0411-11.61%0.0897✓0.97138k2022-10-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.326610.31428-3.78%0.36616+12.11%0.1487✗0.82327k2022-10-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.05170.04976-3.75%0.0567+9.67%0.1251✗1.09234k2022-10-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.14020.134945-3.75%0.1309-6.63%0.0355✓1.01128k2022-10-08
AVTAventusEthereum1.421.3669-3.74%1.53+7.75%0.1138✗-0.22124k2022-10-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2630.253362-3.66%0.246-6.46%0.0333✓0.76581k2022-10-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96724.7874-3.62%4.0878-17.70%0.1585✓0.10115k2022-10-08
KCSKuCoinnative9.2778.9434-3.60%8.997-3.02%0.0011✓0.961.2M2022-10-08
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.067870.065477-3.53%0.06886+1.46%0.0501✗0.05389k2022-10-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1310.126393-3.52%0.1313+0.23%0.0355✓0.523.2M2022-10-08
AAVEAaveEthereum88.2985.1966-3.50%74.71-15.38%0.1391✓1.546.0M2022-10-08
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0014630.001412-3.47%0.001536+4.99%0.0801✗0.78397k2022-10-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0061910.005979-3.43%0.006309+1.91%0.0515✗0.4538k2022-10-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012230.000011816-3.39%0.000011-10.06%0.0764✓0.96898k2022-10-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27940.270023-3.36%0.2676-4.22%0.0139✓0.972.7M2022-10-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.2751.4935-3.33%49.962-6.21%0.0342✓0.79287k2022-10-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059050.005709-3.33%0.005918+0.21%0.0324✓0.712,0942022-10-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0129740.012546-3.30%0.011067-14.70%0.1288✓0.68929k2022-10-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1043550.100965-3.25%0.12613+20.87%0.2183✗0.836.5M2022-10-08
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.62e-7-3.10%7.80e-7-12.36%0.1044✓0.7815k2022-10-08
FORTFortaEthereum0.22680.219866-3.06%0.174-23.28%0.2381✓0.8366k2022-10-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.929.6191-3.03%9.22-7.06%0.0488✓1.28281k2022-10-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47360.459867-2.90%0.4263-9.99%0.0816✓1.15384k2022-10-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05550.053908-2.87%0.0483-12.97%0.1145✓0.9280k2022-10-08
FISStafiEthereum0.32520.315923-2.85%0.325-0.06%0.0235✓0.976202022-10-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.529670.514597-2.85%0.47285-10.73%0.0912✓1.3241k2022-10-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03510.034113-2.81%0.0372+5.98%0.0829✗0.736,2432022-10-08
DODODODOEthereum0.12490.12141-2.79%0.1312+5.04%0.0722✗1.061.4M2022-10-08
GTGateEthereum4.04593.9329-2.79%4.3521+7.57%0.0974✗0.78724k2022-10-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4690.456809-2.60%0.368-21.54%0.2224✓1.244,4682022-10-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,295.1018,805.02-2.54%19,285.80-0.05%0.0205✓0.9412k2022-10-08
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.841.7948-2.46%2.46+33.70%0.3129✗0.4868k2022-10-08
SOLSolanaSolana33.6232.8379-2.33%32.59-3.06%0.0133✓1.1461.7M2022-10-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020880.020411-2.25%0.01883-9.82%0.0846✓0.79241k2022-10-08
TRXTRONTron0.0611930.059894-2.12%0.062098+1.48%0.0330✗0.62123k2022-10-08
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13970.13718-1.80%0.1205-13.74%0.1299✓0.0490k2022-10-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.011670.011463-1.77%0.0144+23.39%0.2248✗0.66228k2022-10-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.915.7138-1.17%15.04-5.41%0.0478✓0.791.6M2022-10-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.