8=======>

2022-08-30 · +30d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1406
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-5.31%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
71.7%
in alpha space · 75.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.10%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.072.0548-0.74%2.26+9.18%0.1008✗0.5197k2022-09-29
CBKCobakEthereum0.883310.873279-1.14%0.79841-9.61%0.0784✓1.0214k2022-09-29
SOLSolanaSolana31.4831.0672-1.31%33.93+7.78%0.1010✗1.1665.9M2022-09-29
GTGateEthereum4.25494.1989-1.32%4.3212+1.56%0.0372✗0.77775k2022-09-29
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.153790.15168-1.37%0.16928+10.07%0.1323✗2.046042022-09-29
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,869.3019,566.06-1.53%19,440.70-2.16%0.0040✓0.9413k2022-09-29
TRXTRONTron0.0647050.063566-1.76%0.06102-5.70%0.0341✓0.61129k2022-09-29
STEEMSteemnative0.2260.221946-1.79%0.2258-0.09%0.0272✗0.91501k2022-09-29
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4970.48762-1.89%0.351-29.38%0.3153✓1.222,7102022-09-29
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10270.100621-2.02%0.0989-3.70%0.0077✓0.86192k2022-09-29
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.39185.2682-2.29%4.2072-21.97%0.2238✓0.10115k2022-09-29
XVSVenusEthereum4.864.7481-2.30%4.84-0.41%0.0286✗0.861.5M2022-09-29
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071090.069424-2.34%0.0618-13.07%0.1034✓1.1726k2022-09-29
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,813.1719,319.91-2.49%19,595.57-1.10%0.0252✗1.00490.8M2022-09-29
LCXLCXEthereum0.05760.056137-2.54%0.0465-19.27%0.1758✓1.13258k2022-09-29
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20890.203325-2.67%0.1955-6.41%0.0278✓1.0459k2022-09-29
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03530.034315-2.79%0.0337-4.53%0.0079✓0.9287k2022-09-29
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08150.079205-2.82%0.0852+4.54%0.0834✗0.9513k2022-09-29
SUNSun TokenTron0.0057870.005623-2.85%0.005204-10.07%0.0696✓0.692,3002022-09-29
DIADIAEthereum0.376440.365581-2.88%0.38393+1.99%0.0596✗0.9640k2022-09-29
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.33410.32417-2.97%0.325-2.72%0.0163✓1.24176k2022-09-29
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12270.119047-2.98%0.1269+3.42%0.0756✗1.0625k2022-09-29
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061420.059535-3.07%0.060801-1.01%0.0327✗1.061.6M2022-09-29
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0214610.020792-3.12%0.019573-8.80%0.0514✓0.8114k2022-09-29
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.275112-3.13%0.257-9.51%0.0601✓0.72686k2022-09-29
PHAPHALAEthereum0.0970.093947-3.15%0.0913-5.88%0.0206✓0.722,7842022-09-29
DODODODOEthereum0.12760.123574-3.16%0.1254-1.72%0.0260✓1.031.7M2022-09-29
FORTFortaEthereum0.24610.238305-3.17%0.1473-40.15%0.4710✓0.9176k2022-09-29
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2989690.289492-3.17%0.26995-9.71%0.0578✓1.09549k2022-09-29
GITCOINGITCOIN2.07682.0083-3.30%1.7819-14.20%0.1073✓1.1113k2022-09-29
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4250.410844-3.33%0.403-5.18%0.0080✓1.028,1172022-09-29
XEMNEMnative0.0434150.041943-3.39%0.041615-4.15%0.0015✓0.8530k2022-09-29
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.44710.431805-3.42%0.4413-1.30%0.0343✓1.14364k2022-09-29
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05790.05591-3.44%0.0525-9.33%0.0527✓0.9398k2022-09-29
COTICOTIEthereum0.08890.08583-3.45%0.1076+21.03%0.2366✗0.95393k2022-09-29
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.49e-7-3.47%8.00e-7-9.09%0.0512✓0.8016k2022-09-29
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.321.2741-3.48%1.17-11.36%0.0751✓0.91121k2022-09-29
ADACardanoCardano0.4530.437167-3.50%0.4381-3.29%0.0126✓0.9537.8M2022-09-29
GLMGolemEthereum0.24420.235639-3.51%0.2651+8.56%0.1286✗0.9881k2022-09-29
QTUMQtumQtum3.11583.0056-3.54%2.872-7.82%0.0343✓1.0125k2022-09-29
RADRadworksEthereum2.061.9866-3.56%2.04-0.97%0.0349✓0.76329k2022-09-29
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015480.001493-3.58%0.001531-1.10%0.0362✓0.98433k2022-09-29
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.211.7614-3.60%15.71+28.77%0.3012✗1.061.9M2022-09-29
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037990.036612-3.63%0.0395+3.97%0.0849✗0.812,8422022-09-29
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.319820.308138-3.65%0.42396+32.56%0.3285✗0.85350k2022-09-29
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04290.041319-3.69%0.0423-1.40%0.0341✓0.97156k2022-09-29
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131480.012656-3.74%0.012066-8.23%0.0408✓0.631.0M2022-09-29
DASHDashDash45.5143.7885-3.78%42.28-7.10%0.0244✓0.97438k2022-09-29
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6690.643628-3.79%0.565-15.55%0.1171✓1.204.3M2022-09-29
ZENHorizenBase15.815.2005-3.79%14-11.39%0.0700✓1.1193k2022-09-29
SGBSongbirdnative0.02490.023951-3.81%0.0198-20.48%0.1839✓0.5849k2022-09-29
XLMStellarStellar0.1024110.098507-3.81%0.1155+12.78%0.1681✗0.817.0M2022-09-29
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash114.69110.2964-3.83%117+2.01%0.0716✗1.144.6M2022-09-29
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18110.174052-3.89%0.1493-17.56%0.1382✓1.382,2912022-09-29
XVGVergenative0.002920.002806-3.91%0.00332+13.70%0.1792✗1.00486k2022-09-29
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008640.008297-3.96%0.00664-23.15%0.2148✓0.735.6M2022-09-29
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.13520.129744-4.04%0.12886-4.69%0.0064✓1.20200k2022-09-29
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19560.187684-4.05%0.1692-13.50%0.0926✓1.00121k2022-09-29
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.0150.8407-4.09%53.98+1.83%0.0707✗0.9812.7M2022-09-29
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29170.279727-4.10%0.355+21.70%0.2483✗0.916.5M2022-09-29
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012180.000011679-4.12%0.00001112-8.70%0.0385✓0.95828k2022-09-29
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96330.922659-4.22%0.9035-6.21%0.0154✓0.503.6M2022-09-29
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04840.046356-4.22%0.0393-18.80%0.1541✓0.99796k2022-09-29
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13250.126895-4.23%0.118-10.94%0.0668✓0.533.6M2022-09-29
BANDBandEthereum1.2331.1807-4.24%1.231-0.16%0.0548✗1.19460k2022-09-29
APEApeCoinEthereum4.8094.6038-4.27%5.436+13.04%0.1810✗1.348.7M2022-09-29
SUSHISushiEthereum1.05061.0057-4.27%1.1086+5.52%0.1109✗1.23973k2022-09-29
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.42e-7-4.35%7.90e-7-10.23%0.0547✓0.792.0M2022-09-29
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6520.62363-4.35%0.584-10.43%0.0550✓0.97207k2022-09-29
KCSKuCoinnative8.9738.5814-4.36%9.274+3.35%0.0882✗0.961.5M2022-09-29
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.474.2739-4.39%4.84+8.28%0.1302✗0.531.1M2022-09-29
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2575.9798-4.43%6.14-1.87%0.0364✓0.905.0M2022-09-29
STORJStorjEthereum0.54020.51624-4.44%0.45393-15.97%0.1141✓1.3237k2022-09-29
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5150.492079-4.45%0.461-10.49%0.0526✓1.1483k2022-09-29
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06250.059714-4.46%0.061-2.40%0.0310✓0.87105k2022-09-29
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28790.275062-4.46%0.292+1.42%0.0704✗0.963.1M2022-09-29
STXStacksnative0.36130.345056-4.50%0.3287-9.02%0.0357✓1.17393k2022-09-29
ETHEthereumEthereum1,524.811,456.10-4.51%1,336.02-12.38%0.0709✓1.37628.3M2022-09-29
MANADecentralandEthereum0.770640.73591-4.51%0.70986-7.89%0.0263✓0.88509k2022-09-29
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024740.023625-4.51%0.02259-8.69%0.0306✓1.283,3752022-09-29
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336470.321295-4.51%0.3073-8.67%0.0335✓1.0046k2022-09-29
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046610.0445-4.53%0.04045-13.22%0.0876✓0.7116k2022-09-29
UMAUMAEthereum2.7752.6493-4.53%2.334-15.89%0.1170✓0.88706k2022-09-29
AAVEAaveEthereum84.3880.5559-4.53%76.93-8.83%0.0292✓1.526.3M2022-09-29
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.58249.2424-4.54%49.569-3.90%0.0149✓0.75322k2022-09-29
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06170.058896-4.54%0.0574-6.97%0.0117✓1.27908k2022-09-29
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22110.211047-4.55%0.1721-22.16%0.1896✓1.31135k2022-09-29
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0360.03436-4.56%0.0389+8.06%0.1329✗0.809,5472022-09-29
XMRMoneroMonero148.87142.0095-4.61%148.2-0.45%0.0539✗1.021.3M2022-09-29
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066520.063447-4.62%0.06107-8.19%0.0292✓0.829142022-09-29
COMPCompoundEthereum4744.8253-4.63%62.31+32.57%0.3431✗1.2411k2022-09-29
CVCCivicEthereum0.14640.139565-4.67%0.1287-12.09%0.0696✓1.03138k2022-09-29
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020380.019416-4.73%0.02298+12.76%0.1778✗0.8411.4M2022-09-29
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95130.906013-4.76%0.8528-10.35%0.0471✓1.21963k2022-09-29
MOVRMoonriverBase12.316711.7302-4.76%10.6337-13.66%0.0875✓0.9732k2022-09-29
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5586.2447-4.78%7.901+20.48%0.2469✗1.0617.7M2022-09-29
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5190.494104-4.80%0.454-12.52%0.0729✓1.0677k2022-09-29
BORABORAKlay Token0.293320.279182-4.82%0.23831-18.75%0.1468✓1.0412k2022-09-29
AVTAventusEthereum1.611.5322-4.83%1.43-11.18%0.0703✓-0.11116k2022-09-29
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1745.8739-4.86%6.376+3.27%0.0964✗1.309.5M2022-09-29
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029930.002844-4.97%0.002029-32.21%0.3276✓0.921.1M2022-09-29
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13890.131974-4.99%0.1424+2.52%0.0872✗1.01510k2022-09-29
API3Api3Ethereum1.6321.5504-5.00%1.668+2.21%0.0833✗0.93579k2022-09-29
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1881.1283-5.03%1.062-10.61%0.0495✓0.991.7M2022-09-29
NANOnanopayBase0.9005080.855183-5.03%0.774811-13.96%0.0895✓0.8363k2022-09-29
XTZTezosTezos1.49731.421-5.10%1.441-3.76%0.0264✓1.12296k2022-09-29
XYMSymbolnative0.0429660.040769-5.11%0.036221-15.70%0.1126✓0.5228k2022-09-29
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.32520.308461-5.15%0.291-10.52%0.0453✓1.17138k2022-09-29
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.81681.7219-5.22%1.7283-4.87%0.0157✓1.0833k2022-09-29
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1690.160135-5.25%0.14769-12.61%0.0701✓0.98340k2022-09-29
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0086.6392-5.26%6.432-8.22%0.0202✓1.0411.6M2022-09-29
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0491.9404-5.30%1.708-16.64%0.1150✓1.1444k2022-09-29
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.987.5564-5.31%6.45-19.17%0.1463✓1.09462k2022-09-29
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3316.4083-5.32%14.94-13.79%0.0861✓0.69880k2022-09-29
LSKLiskEthereum1.04580.989975-5.34%0.958808-8.32%0.0224✓0.8748k2022-09-29
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.18811.1244-5.36%1.2118+1.99%0.0847✗0.891.3M2022-09-29
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0065370.006186-5.37%0.00641-1.94%0.0402✓0.4258k2022-09-29
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014860.001404-5.50%0.001441-3.03%0.0335✓0.699,0932022-09-29
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.003797-5.55%0.00349-13.18%0.0732✓1.00152k2022-09-29
QNTQuantEthereum95.6390.2523-5.62%134.14+40.27%0.4058✗0.863.5M2022-09-29
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.3818.2863-5.64%17.35-10.47%0.0382✓1.3023.0M2022-09-29
ZECZcashZcash59.8756.4841-5.66%56.65-5.38%0.0157✓1.161.7M2022-09-29
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.099.519-5.66%9.04-10.41%0.0381✓1.22318k2022-09-29
GMTGMTEthereum0.65660.618969-5.73%0.649-1.16%0.0627✗1.39226k2022-09-29
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.06351.0023-5.76%0.9263-12.90%0.0621✓1.514.5M2022-09-29
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024050.022655-5.80%0.01877-21.95%0.1792✓0.81459k2022-09-29
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6710.631672-5.86%0.595-11.33%0.0503✓0.86228k2022-09-29
FTTFTXEthereum26.625.0382-5.87%24.3-8.65%0.0192✓0.977.3M2022-09-29
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.317.8216-5.88%8.46+1.81%0.0838✗0.481.9M2022-09-29
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1332.9482-5.90%3.094-1.24%0.0539✓0.51650k2022-09-29
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11150.1049-5.92%0.08-28.25%0.2631✓0.71220k2022-09-29
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26080.245275-5.95%0.1168-55.21%0.7418✓0.0191k2022-09-29
OPTIMOptimism1.0831.0183-5.97%0.905-16.44%0.0986✓1.753.2M2022-09-29
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43010.404364-5.98%0.3568-17.04%0.1124✓1.1596k2022-09-29
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5561.4624-6.01%1.27-18.38%0.1281✓1.1877k2022-09-29
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013480.001267-6.02%0.001018-24.46%0.2097✓0.792.1M2022-09-29
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0227850.021411-6.03%0.024673+8.29%0.1429✗0.10266k2022-09-29
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.431.3437-6.04%1.552+8.53%0.1571✗1.17123k2022-09-29
AMPAmpEthereum0.00620.005825-6.05%0.0048-22.58%0.1865✓0.631.0M2022-09-29
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9772.7949-6.12%2.418-18.78%0.1278✓1.543.8M2022-09-29
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.891.7739-6.14%1.574-16.72%0.1010✓1.6890k2022-09-29
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.014220.013341-6.18%0.01028-27.71%0.2532✓0.67174k2022-09-29
GALAGALAEthereum0.05070.047565-6.18%0.0408-19.53%0.1426✓0.98237k2022-09-29
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.194.8676-6.21%5.1-1.73%0.0515✓0.442.0M2022-09-29
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1030.096584-6.23%0.099-3.88%0.0366✓1.083.3M2022-09-29
PROPropyEthereum0.740.693574-6.27%0.62-16.22%0.1089✓0.2979k2022-09-29
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35610.333678-6.30%0.302-15.19%0.0878✓1.09131k2022-09-29
ELAElastosEthereum1.8231.708-6.31%1.725-5.38%0.0200✓0.91121k2022-09-29
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.3130.267-6.32%27.79-13.99%0.0688✓1.5012.9M2022-09-29
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30980.290099-6.36%0.2612-15.69%0.0931✓1.07111k2022-09-29
FLOWFlownative2.0121.8815-6.48%1.692-15.90%0.0913✓1.351.3M2022-09-29
KSMKusamaHydration47.4744.3472-6.58%43.13-9.14%0.0169✓0.99543k2022-09-29
UOSUltraEthereum0.345820.32207-6.87%0.3421-1.08%0.0706✓0.93347k2022-09-29
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,874.588,261.82-6.90%8,135.04-8.33%0.0003✓1.376.2M2022-09-29
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7115.316-6.92%5.782+1.24%0.0936✗0.869.5M2022-09-29
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7515.3482-7.00%5.41-5.93%0.0166✓0.474.4M2022-09-29
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0993.8117-7.01%3.906-4.71%0.0295✓0.462.0M2022-09-29
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.113.8214-7.02%3.892-5.30%0.0208✓0.232.3M2022-09-29
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.3120.7383-7.05%15.99-28.33%0.2520✓0.721.5M2022-09-29
HIVEHivenative0.54890.509881-7.11%0.4901-10.71%0.0301✓0.861.3M2022-09-29
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008060.007487-7.11%0.00692-14.14%0.0663✓1.12477k2022-09-29
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.071.9223-7.13%1.79-13.53%0.0587✓1.14232k2022-09-29
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.92811.0755-7.15%12.774+7.09%0.1550✗1.1110.8M2022-09-29
WOOWOOEthereum0.14870.137927-7.25%0.1358-8.68%0.0033✓1.111,5282022-09-29
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.082370.076328-7.34%0.07404-10.11%0.0299✓0.05478k2022-09-29
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.035.5693-7.64%6.08+0.83%0.0931✗0.482.1M2022-09-29
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.73011.5976-7.66%1.1489-33.59%0.3190✓0.971.2M2022-09-29
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.145.6612-7.80%6.62+7.82%0.1616✗0.471.7M2022-09-29
IMXImmutableEthereum0.83240.767489-7.80%0.7585-8.88%0.0003✓1.041.8M2022-09-29
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.063270.058298-7.86%0.06205-1.93%0.0742✓1.072.1M2022-09-29
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035290.032489-7.94%0.03099-12.18%0.0360✓1.0240k2022-09-29
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51230.471536-7.96%0.4283-16.40%0.0878✓0.76579k2022-09-29
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8612.6829-8.49%12.74-8.08%0.0166✓1.10909k2022-09-29
METISMetisEthereum31.0528.3638-8.65%24.91-19.77%0.1088✓1.90288k2022-09-29
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.84293.4974-8.99%4.0567+5.56%0.1549✗0.603.8M2022-09-29
ORCAOrcaSolana0.91920.831308-9.56%0.851-7.42%0.0394✓1.45167k2022-09-29
XECeCashnative0.000045890.000041498-9.57%0.00004151-9.54%0.0099✓0.871.7M2022-09-29
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9940.893545-10.11%0.873-12.17%0.0190✓0.384.2M2022-09-29
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.31863.8791-10.18%5.9139+36.94%0.4328✗1.00147k2022-09-29
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0190.909221-10.77%0.926-9.13%0.0321✓1.251.4M2022-09-29
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.7953.3846-10.81%4.002+5.45%0.1784✗0.98252k2022-09-29
CHZChilizEthereum0.19670.172584-12.26%0.2412+22.62%0.3440✗0.843.1M2022-09-29
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.61894.9158-12.51%5.7748+2.77%0.1634✗0.215.4M2022-09-29
LUNATerraTerra 20.000158370.000135815-14.24%0.00028475+79.80%0.7481✗0.70429k2022-09-29
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.00235.0737-15.47%6.8634+14.35%0.3056✗0.326.5M2022-09-29
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.48110.386-16.79%17.491+40.14%0.5270✗0.528.9M2022-09-29
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000010898.55e-7-21.49%5.49e-7-49.53%0.4325✓0.851.1M2022-09-29
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.