XPL

Plasma · native · gru_s7

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 945

Track record at +7d

assessed

308

of 315 predictions shown

direction hit

58.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1015

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0235

actual -0.0045

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.07959	0.076668	-3.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.075705	-3.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.074428	-2.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.074975	-2.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.077084	-2.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.080848	-2.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.083213	-2.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.079146	-1.39%	0.07959	-0.83%	0.0162	✓	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.081197	-1.77%	0.078225	-5.37%	0.0341	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.079437	-1.31%	0.076335	-5.16%	0.0417	✓	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.086396	-2.27%	0.07672	-13.22%	0.0877	✓	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.085575	-2.00%	0.078665	-9.91%	0.0562	✓	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.083051	-1.85%	0.08273	-2.23%	0.0153	✓	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.08219	-1.85%	0.08569	+2.33%	0.0338	✗	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.085504	-2.39%	0.08026	-8.37%	0.0326	✓	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.08736	-2.72%	0.08266	-7.95%	0.0117	✓	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.092121	-2.84%	0.08049	-15.10%	0.0618	✓	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.093513	-2.91%	0.088405	-8.21%	0.0043	✓	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.092656	-3.14%	0.08732	-8.71%	0.0250	✓	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.090109	-3.44%	0.084615	-9.33%	0.0260	✓	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.093134	-3.14%	0.08374	-12.91%	0.0470	✓	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.091346	-3.70%	0.087595	-7.66%	0.0365	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.09212	-3.81%	0.0898	-6.23%	0.0617	✓	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.094709	-3.63%	0.09481	-3.53%	0.0427	✓	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.102805	-3.10%	0.096315	-9.21%	0.1062	✓	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.108221	-2.91%	0.095655	-14.18%	0.1301	✓	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.110819	-3.32%	0.09332	-18.59%	0.1803	✓	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.107349	-3.16%	0.09615	-13.26%	0.1197	✓	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.087686	-2.57%	0.09486	+5.40%	0.0960	✗	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.094341	-2.11%	0.095765	-0.63%	0.0643	✗	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.095843	-2.19%	0.09828	+0.30%	0.0829	✗	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.087176	-2.31%	0.10609	+18.89%	0.1358	✗	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.090182	-2.17%	0.111465	+20.91%	0.1543	✗	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.091718	-2.24%	0.11463	+22.19%	0.1639	✗	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.085584	-2.10%	0.11085	+26.80%	0.1073	✗	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.080061	-1.13%	0.09	+11.15%	0.0386	✓	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.081018	-1.05%	0.096375	+17.70%	0.0363	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.082857	-1.26%	0.09799	+16.77%	0.0158	✗	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.077276	-0.67%	0.089235	+14.71%	0.0640	✗	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.07959	-0.59%	0.092185	+15.14%	0.0746	✗	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.082244	-0.29%	0.093815	+13.74%	0.0646	✗	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.083822	-0.32%	0.08742	+3.96%	0.0456	✗	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.08908	-0.12%	0.080975	-9.21%	0.0556	✓	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.098038	-0.31%	0.08188	-16.74%	0.1215	✓	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.092895	-0.05%	0.083915	-9.71%	0.0828	✓	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.089852	+0.30%	0.077795	-13.16%	0.0691	✗	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.093594	+0.51%	0.08006	-14.02%	0.1017	✗	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.09402	+0.88%	0.08248	-11.50%	0.0789	✗	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.097767	+1.34%	0.08409	-12.83%	0.0512	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.083394	+0.14%	0.089185	+7.09%	0.0448	✓	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.08273	+0.11%	0.09834	+19.00%	0.1486	✓	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.084207	+0.40%	0.09294	+10.81%	0.0878	✓	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.083983	-0.13%	0.08958	+6.53%	0.0118	✗	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.086925	+0.06%	0.09312	+7.19%	0.0389	✓	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.084343	-0.26%	0.0932	+10.21%	0.0654	✗	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.090757	+0.61%	0.09647	+6.94%	0.0431	✓	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.087734	+0.02%	0.08328	-5.06%	0.0197	✗	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.090229	-0.27%	0.08264	-8.65%	0.0670	✓	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.097151	-0.23%	0.08387	-13.86%	0.1394	✓	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.100964	-0.66%	0.08409	-17.27%	0.1817	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.0929	-0.87%	0.08687	-7.31%	0.0888	✓	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.100304	-1.28%	0.084565	-16.77%	0.1620	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.087104	-1.99%	0.09021	+1.51%	0.0910	✓	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.078284	-2.64%	0.08772	+9.09%	0.0599	✓	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.073312	-3.40%	0.09047	+19.21%	0.0631	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.073632	-3.22%	0.09737	+27.98%	0.0109	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.072318	-3.35%	0.10164	+35.84%	0.0312	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.073393	-3.23%	0.09372	+23.58%	0.0475	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.07378	-3.38%	0.1016	+33.05%	0.0016	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.072847	-3.33%	0.08887	+17.94%	0.0076	✓	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.071412	-3.39%	0.08041	+8.78%	0.0145	✓	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.075824	-3.44%	0.07589	-3.36%	0.0259	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.075779	-3.69%	0.07608	-3.30%	0.0092	✓	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.073893	-3.55%	0.074825	-2.33%	0.0607	✗	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.073478	-3.43%	0.07584	-0.32%	0.0769	✗	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.073196	-3.38%	0.07636	+0.80%	0.0878	✗	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.072499	-3.44%	0.075355	+0.37%	0.0585	✗	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.072311	-3.55%	0.07392	-1.40%	0.0502	✗	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.075092	-3.60%	0.078525	+0.81%	0.0568	✗	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.075021	-3.30%	0.07868	+1.42%	0.0370	✗	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.073729	-2.99%	0.07661	+0.80%	0.0063	✓	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.073188	-2.61%	0.076085	+1.24%	0.0116	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.071848	-2.31%	0.075755	+3.00%	0.0044	✓	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.075752	-2.94%	0.07508	-3.81%	0.0015	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.0751	-2.66%	0.07497	-2.83%	0.0177	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.080962	-3.10%	0.077895	-6.77%	0.0432	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.076704	-2.72%	0.07758	-1.61%	0.0165	✓	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.082717	-2.97%	0.076	-10.85%	0.0443	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.080929	-2.79%	0.07515	-9.73%	0.0400	✓	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.0823	-2.78%	0.07355	-13.11%	0.0845	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.079153	-2.46%	0.07805	-3.82%	0.0067	✓	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.082968	-2.28%	0.07715	-9.13%	0.0247	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.081939	-2.05%	0.08355	-0.12%	0.0779	✗	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.083261	-2.10%	0.07885	-7.29%	0.0209	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.078791	-2.00%	0.08525	+6.03%	0.0646	✗	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.081108	-1.92%	0.08325	+0.67%	0.0367	✗	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.083647	-1.82%	0.08465	-0.65%	0.0078	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.084745	-1.92%	0.08115	-6.08%	0.0727	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.090095	-2.07%	0.0849	-7.72%	0.0875	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.091172	-2.18%	0.08365	-10.25%	0.1176	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.087679	-2.04%	0.08505	-4.97%	0.0936	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.086934	-2.16%	0.0804	-9.51%	0.0986	✓	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.089001	-2.09%	0.0827	-9.02%	0.0970	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.089883	-2.14%	0.0852	-7.24%	0.0479	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.093478	-2.01%	0.0864	-9.43%	0.0934	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.08908	-2.00%	0.092	+1.21%	0.0288	✓	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.096925	-1.90%	0.0932	-5.67%	0.0788	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.10695	-2.06%	0.0895	-18.04%	0.1366	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.104643	-1.88%	0.08885	-16.69%	0.1674	✓	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.104532	-1.94%	0.0909	-14.73%	0.1563	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.104335	-2.22%	0.09185	-13.92%	0.1664	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.093269	-1.93%	0.0954	+0.32%	0.0180	✓	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.089183	-1.78%	0.0909	+0.11%	0.0363	✓	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.085191	-1.63%	0.0988	+14.09%	0.0374	✗	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.102554	-2.24%	0.1092	+4.10%	0.0166	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.094066	-1.81%	0.10665	+11.33%	0.0408	✗	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.098912	-1.92%	0.1066	+5.70%	0.0102	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.101399	-2.22%	0.1067	+2.89%	0.0010	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.101956	-2.81%	0.0951	-9.34%	0.1069	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.090273	-1.88%	0.0908	-1.30%	0.0289	✗	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.087141	-1.87%	0.0866	-2.48%	0.0916	✗	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.083181	-1.97%	0.1049	+23.63%	0.3226	✗	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.087465	-1.95%	0.0958	+7.40%	0.1834	✗	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.092423	-1.99%	0.10085	+6.95%	0.1897	✗	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.098584	-2.20%	0.1037	+2.88%	0.1356	✗	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.095763	-2.08%	0.1049	+7.26%	0.1687	✗	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.108143	-3.96%	0.092	-18.29%	0.0837	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.089076	-2.44%	0.0888	-2.74%	0.0689	✗	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.087627	-2.80%	0.08485	-5.88%	0.0246	✓	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.087382	-2.48%	0.0892	-0.45%	0.0819	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.08483	-2.49%	0.0943	+8.39%	0.1112	✗	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.079981	-3.17%	0.1008	+22.03%	0.2330	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.073513	-2.50%	0.0978	+29.71%	0.3031	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.060804	-0.65%	0.1126	+83.99%	0.5457	✗	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.065592	-0.77%	0.0913	+38.12%	0.2390	✗	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.069153	-1.21%	0.09015	+28.79%	0.1920	✗	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.068502	-1.15%	0.0896	+29.29%	0.2123	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.065357	-0.22%	0.087	+32.82%	0.2042	✗	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.066819	-0.27%	0.0826	+23.28%	0.1546	✗	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.08304	-1.61%	0.0754	-10.66%	0.0918	✓	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.091488	-2.57%	0.0612	-34.82%	0.3456	✓	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.084343	-2.15%	0.0661	-23.32%	0.1299	✓	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.089665	-3.59%	0.07	-24.73%	0.0828	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.08595	-3.54%	0.0693	-22.22%	0.0056	✓	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.087574	-3.76%	0.0655	-28.02%	0.0201	✓	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.085279	-3.86%	0.067	-24.46%	0.0182	✓	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.090976	-4.74%	0.0844	-11.62%	0.1287	✗	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.08198	-3.67%	0.0939	+10.34%	0.3556	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.084606	-3.97%	0.0862	-2.16%	0.2111	✗	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.082487	-4.14%	0.093	+8.08%	0.2515	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.07806	-3.99%	0.0891	+9.59%	0.2063	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.080762	-4.20%	0.091	+7.95%	0.1801	✗	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.07931	-3.52%	0.0887	+7.91%	0.1564	✗	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.085599	-4.57%	0.0955	+6.47%	0.1931	✗	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.083185	-4.60%	0.0851	-2.41%	0.0879	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.07874	-3.56%	0.0881	+7.90%	0.1315	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.080641	-3.71%	0.08605	+2.75%	0.0587	✗	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.080423	-3.80%	0.0813	-2.75%	0.0197	✓	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.083031	-4.23%	0.0843	-2.77%	0.0447	✗	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.084953	-4.55%	0.0822	-7.64%	0.0410	✓	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.091558	-4.97%	0.0897	-6.90%	0.0493	✓	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.089671	-4.81%	0.0872	-7.43%	0.0084	✓	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.091206	-5.04%	0.08165	-14.99%	0.0385	✓	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.097219	-5.06%	0.08375	-18.21%	0.0599	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.10209	-4.90%	0.0836	-22.12%	0.1112	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.100752	-5.13%	0.0867	-18.36%	0.1026	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.103796	-5.81%	0.089	-19.24%	0.1329	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.100735	-5.50%	0.09635	-9.62%	0.0640	✓	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.094975	-5.07%	0.0942	-5.85%	0.0258	✓	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.088755	-4.10%	0.09605	+3.78%	0.0855	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.085513	-3.27%	0.1024	+15.84%	0.1518	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.087027	-2.98%	0.10735	+19.68%	0.1532	✗	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.087993	-2.88%	0.1062	+17.22%	0.1571	✗	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.088618	-2.72%	0.1102	+20.97%	0.1870	✗	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.089386	-1.99%	0.1066	+16.89%	0.1141	✗	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.091149	-2.04%	0.10005	+7.52%	0.0019	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.093527	-2.68%	0.09255	-3.69%	0.0895	✓	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.095153	-3.30%	0.0884	-10.16%	0.1165	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.096888	-3.79%	0.0897	-10.92%	0.0751	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.096364	-3.78%	0.0906	-9.54%	0.0798	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.096205	-3.84%	0.0911	-8.95%	0.0683	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.096823	-4.18%	0.0912	-9.75%	0.0244	✓	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.097297	-4.38%	0.09305	-8.55%	0.0004	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.097863	-4.62%	0.0961	-6.34%	0.0176	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.099576	-4.80%	0.0984	-5.93%	0.0394	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.09849	-5.16%	0.1007	-3.03%	0.0690	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.103767	-5.11%	0.10015	-8.41%	0.0711	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.122837	-3.58%	0.10005	-21.47%	0.2118	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.135848	-3.52%	0.10105	-28.23%	0.3550	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.126323	-3.61%	0.10175	-22.36%	0.2802	✓	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.129312	-3.50%	0.1026	-23.43%	0.2737	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.135053	-3.53%	0.1046	-25.29%	0.2831	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.119237	-4.03%	0.10385	-16.42%	0.1988	✓	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.131909	-3.50%	0.10935	-20.01%	0.2377	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.125327	-3.85%	0.1274	-2.26%	0.0604	✓	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.118303	-3.94%	0.1408	+14.33%	0.1101	✗	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.119914	-3.84%	0.13105	+5.09%	0.0168	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.125325	-3.82%	0.134	+2.84%	0.0235	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.115133	-4.14%	0.14	+16.57%	0.0847	✗	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.116805	-3.98%	0.12425	+2.14%	0.0262	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.112674	-3.98%	0.1367	+16.49%	0.0773	✗	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.105885	-4.00%	0.13035	+18.18%	0.0877	✗	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.11194	-6.01%	0.12315	+3.40%	0.0034	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.10141	-4.33%	0.1247	+17.64%	0.1450	✗	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.090063	-3.00%	0.1303	+40.33%	0.2930	✗	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.086475	-2.12%	0.1201	+35.94%	0.2834	✗	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.085131	-1.47%	0.12165	+40.80%	0.2916	✗	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.087379	-1.43%	0.11735	+32.37%	0.2739	✗	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.088216	-1.16%	0.1103	+23.59%	0.2103	✗	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.091963	-1.80%	0.1191	+27.18%	0.2988	✗	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.098207	-2.28%	0.106	+5.47%	0.1427	✗	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.095531	-2.22%	0.09285	-4.96%	0.0198	✓	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.094409	-2.22%	0.08835	-8.49%	0.0208	✓	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.089538	-1.66%	0.0864	-5.11%	0.0052	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.090955	-1.88%	0.08865	-4.37%	0.0299	✗	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.092424	-1.94%	0.08925	-5.31%	0.0528	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.097381	-1.63%	0.09365	-5.40%	0.0149	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.106814	-1.51%	0.1005	-7.33%	0.0621	✓	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.116723	-1.54%	0.0977	-17.59%	0.1095	✓	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.121603	-1.77%	0.09655	-22.01%	0.1505	✓	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.106158	-1.20%	0.09105	-15.26%	0.0535	✓	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.108976	-1.16%	0.0927	-15.92%	0.1138	✓	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.107059	-1.19%	0.09425	-13.01%	0.1183	✓	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.105219	-1.20%	0.099	-7.04%	0.0483	✓	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.098411	-1.19%	0.10845	+8.89%	0.0758	✗	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.097827	-1.33%	0.11855	+19.57%	0.1120	✗	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.089765	-1.36%	0.1238	+36.04%	0.1921	✗	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.091821	-1.32%	0.10745	+15.48%	0.0100	✓	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.093436	-1.44%	0.11025	+16.30%	0.0800	✗	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.097339	-1.38%	0.10835	+9.78%	0.0472	✗	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.117098	-1.56%	0.1065	-10.47%	0.0878	✓	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.112418	-1.56%	0.0996	-12.78%	0.0709	✓	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.113121	-2.23%	0.09915	-14.30%	0.1678	✓	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.102899	-1.63%	0.091	-13.00%	0.1140	✓	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.096317	-1.31%	0.09305	-4.66%	0.0392	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.100283	-1.59%	0.0948	-6.97%	0.0628	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.090606	-1.19%	0.0987	+7.63%	0.0353	✗	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.093274	-1.40%	0.11895	+25.74%	0.1695	✗	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.101074	-2.25%	0.1142	+10.44%	0.0223	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.086316	-0.90%	0.1157	+32.84%	0.2017	✗	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.086144	-0.98%	0.1046	+20.23%	0.1048	✗	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.088511	-1.16%	0.0976	+8.99%	0.1377	✗	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.09526	-1.49%	0.1019	+5.38%	0.0885	✗	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.093769	-1.45%	0.0917	-3.63%	0.0234	✗	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.092369	-1.37%	0.0946	+1.01%	0.0128	✓	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.091235	-1.21%	0.1034	+11.97%	0.0915	✗	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.095153	-1.50%	0.0871	-9.83%	0.0142	✓	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.100016	-2.14%	0.087	-14.87%	0.0487	✓	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.094687	-1.57%	0.08955	-6.91%	0.0312	✓	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.099875	-2.27%	0.0967	-5.38%	0.0054	✓	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.095515	-1.83%	0.09515	-2.21%	0.0132	✓	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.090886	-1.05%	0.09365	+1.96%	0.0138	✗	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.082105	+0.62%	0.09235	+13.17%	0.1305	✓	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.081653	+0.74%	0.0966	+19.19%	0.1964	✓	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.084132	+0.58%	0.1022	+22.18%	0.2203	✓	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.083466	+1.05%	0.0962	+16.46%	0.1728	✓	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.085117	+1.57%	0.1022	+21.96%	0.1716	✓	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.085231	+1.77%	0.0973	+16.18%	0.1683	✓	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.08195	+3.87%	0.09185	+16.41%	0.0225	✓	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.095772	+0.97%	0.0816	-13.97%	0.0269	✓	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.095864	+0.80%	0.08105	-14.77%	0.0505	✓	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.103746	-0.20%	0.08365	-19.53%	0.0505	✗	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.102288	+0.98%	0.0826	-18.46%	0.0040	✓	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.106979	+0.64%	0.0838	-21.17%	0.0537	✓	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.12044	-1.96%	0.08375	-31.83%	0.0592	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.123212	-1.98%	0.0789	-37.23%	0.2665	✗	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.137469	-5.19%	0.09485	-34.59%	0.1006	✗	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.131966	-4.65%	0.0951	-31.29%	0.0579	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.122701	-1.72%	0.10395	-16.74%	0.0980	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.118293	-0.26%	0.1013	-14.59%	0.1146	✗	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.126497	-2.02%	0.1063	-17.66%	0.1062	✗	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.122651	-1.41%	0.12285	-1.25%	0.1416	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.121498	-1.10%	0.1257	+2.32%	0.1629	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.124389	-1.28%	0.145	+15.08%	0.1584	✗	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.119793	-0.67%	0.1384	+14.76%	0.1240	✗	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.129765	-3.02%	0.12485	-6.69%	0.0702	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.126783	-3.51%	0.1186	-9.74%	0.1170	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.135169	-3.73%	0.1291	-8.05%	0.1051	✗	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.139441	-3.63%	0.1244	-14.03%	0.0359	✓	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.137256	-3.88%	0.12285	-13.97%	0.0418	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.156433	-3.32%	0.126	-22.13%	0.0386	✓	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.155914	-3.58%	0.1206	-25.42%	0.0855	✓	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.147401	-3.85%	0.1338	-12.72%	0.1333	✓	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.158518	-3.64%	0.1314	-20.12%	0.2619	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.155026	-3.71%	0.1404	-12.80%	0.2254	✓	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.163374	-3.44%	0.1447	-14.48%	0.2536	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.159412	-3.45%	0.1428	-13.51%	0.2319	✓	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.173288	-3.03%	0.1618	-9.46%	0.2175	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.202737	-3.09%	0.1617	-22.71%	0.2637	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.184655	-2.71%	0.1533	-19.23%	0.1233	✓	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.187196	-2.81%	0.1645	-14.59%	0.1127	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.193113	-2.86%	0.161	-19.01%	0.1757	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.189018	-3.37%	0.1692	-13.50%	0.1263	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.166332	-2.73%	0.1651	-3.45%	0.0659	✓	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.156869	-2.69%	0.1787	+10.86%	0.0880	✗	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.159827	-2.43%	0.2092	+27.72%	0.2107	✗	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.154047	-2.63%	0.1898	+19.97%	0.1340	✗	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.15106	-2.79%	0.1926	+23.94%	0.2026	✗	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.149049	-2.65%	0.1988	+29.85%	0.2567	✗	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.136646	-2.22%	0.1956	+39.96%	0.3286	✗	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.130506	-2.02%	0.171	+28.38%	0.2524	✗	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.130144	-2.15%	0.1612	+21.20%	0.2153	✗	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.127579	-1.79%	0.1638	+26.10%	0.2389	✗	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.126088	-1.80%	0.1582	+23.21%	0.2433	✗	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.126975	-1.80%	0.1554	+20.19%	0.2107	✗	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.134188	-2.05%	0.1531	+11.75%	0.1377	✗	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.128625	-1.96%	0.13975	+6.52%	0.0920	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.117713	-1.33%	0.1332	+11.65%	0.1038	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.123029	-1.77%	0.133	+6.19%	0.0618	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.130569	-2.16%	0.1299	-2.66%	0.0003	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.132703	-1.88%	0.1284	-5.06%	0.0574	✓	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.148621	-1.93%	0.1293	-14.68%	0.1446	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.15294	-2.09%	0.137	-12.29%	0.0884	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.145099	-2.22%	0.1312	-11.59%	0.0762	✓	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.159844	-2.09%	0.1193	-26.92%	0.2129	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.