XPL

Plasma · native · gru_s7

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 948

Track record at +30d

assessed

286

of 316 predictions shown

direction hit

61.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1841

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0705

actual -0.0190

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.082275	0.073619	-10.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-21	oos	0.08196	0.073504	-10.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.070318	-10.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.068623	-10.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.068875	-10.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.070521	-10.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.073954	-10.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.076176	-11.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.072202	-10.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.074624	-9.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.072846	-9.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.079897	-9.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.079137	-9.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.077042	-8.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.076436	-8.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.08023	-8.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.082879	-7.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.087355	-7.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.089055	-7.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.088054	-7.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.086071	-7.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.088375	-8.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.085885	-9.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.086365	-9.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.088375	-10.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.096327	-9.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.101731	-8.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.104719	-8.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.102014	-7.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.085502	-5.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.092826	-3.68%	0.082275	-14.63%	0.0827	✓	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.095116	-2.93%	0.08196	-16.36%	0.1017	✓	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.084371	-5.45%	0.078225	-12.34%	0.1085	✓	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.087276	-5.32%	0.076335	-17.19%	0.1451	✓	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.08868	-5.47%	0.07672	-18.22%	0.1659	✓	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.081195	-7.12%	0.078665	-10.01%	0.1282	✓	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.075977	-6.17%	0.08273	+2.17%	0.0179	✓	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.076724	-6.30%	0.08569	+4.65%	0.0220	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.07957	-5.18%	0.08026	-4.36%	0.0545	✓	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.073824	-5.10%	0.08266	+6.25%	0.0011	✓	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.076373	-4.61%	0.08049	+0.54%	0.0288	✓	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.079247	-3.92%	0.088405	+7.18%	0.0069	✓	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.080545	-4.22%	0.08732	+3.84%	0.0363	✓	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.085989	-3.58%	0.084615	-5.12%	0.0923	✓	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.093769	-4.65%	0.08374	-14.85%	0.1770	✓	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.089659	-3.53%	0.087595	-5.75%	0.1064	✓	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.087487	-2.34%	0.0898	+0.25%	0.0783	✓	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.09092	-2.36%	0.09481	+1.81%	0.0772	✓	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.092255	-1.01%	0.096315	+3.34%	0.0932	✓	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.096526	+0.06%	0.095655	-0.84%	0.0786	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.083134	-0.18%	0.09332	+12.06%	0.0429	✓	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.083443	+0.97%	0.09615	+16.35%	0.0235	✗	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.085413	+1.84%	0.09486	+13.10%	0.0054	✓	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.085433	+1.60%	0.095765	+13.88%	0.0012	✓	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.088965	+2.41%	0.09828	+13.13%	0.0039	✓	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.08759	+3.58%	0.10609	+25.45%	0.0707	✓	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.095895	+6.30%	0.111465	+23.56%	0.0766	✓	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.092621	+5.59%	0.11463	+30.68%	0.1218	✓	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.094635	+4.60%	0.11085	+22.53%	0.0546	✓	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.101123	+3.85%	0.09	-7.57%	0.2111	✗	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.104108	+2.43%	0.096375	-5.18%	0.2255	✗	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.097152	+3.66%	0.09799	+4.56%	0.1577	✗	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.104445	+2.80%	0.089235	-12.17%	0.2070	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.087742	-1.27%	0.092185	+3.73%	0.0924	✓	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.077172	-4.03%	0.093815	+16.67%	0.0090	✓	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.070464	-7.15%	0.08742	+15.19%	0.0182	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.070585	-7.22%	0.080975	+6.43%	0.1007	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.068956	-7.84%	0.08188	+9.43%	0.0967	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.069992	-7.71%	0.083915	+10.65%	0.1316	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.070139	-8.15%	0.077795	+1.88%	0.1860	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.069304	-8.03%	0.08006	+6.24%	0.1452	✓	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.067877	-8.18%	0.08248	+11.58%	0.1004	✓	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.071841	-8.51%	0.08409	+7.09%	0.1201	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.071908	-8.61%	0.089185	+13.35%	0.0870	✓	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.070364	-8.15%	0.09834	+28.36%	0.0438	✓	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.070063	-7.91%	0.09294	+22.15%	0.0202	✓	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.070029	-7.56%	0.08958	+18.25%	0.0780	✓	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.069251	-7.76%	0.09312	+24.03%	0.0309	✓	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.069316	-7.54%	0.0932	+24.32%	0.0214	✓	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.071536	-8.16%	0.09647	+23.85%	0.0550	✓	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.071181	-8.25%	0.08328	+7.35%	0.1414	✓	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.069958	-7.95%	0.08264	+8.74%	0.1349	✓	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.069049	-8.12%	0.08387	+11.60%	0.1427	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.06769	-7.97%	0.08409	+14.33%	0.1011	✓	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.072757	-6.78%	0.08687	+11.30%	0.1035	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.071943	-6.75%	0.084565	+9.61%	0.1245	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.077634	-7.08%	0.09021	+7.97%	0.1813	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.073528	-6.75%	0.08772	+11.25%	0.1349	✓	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.080099	-6.04%	0.09047	+6.12%	0.1378	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.07809	-6.20%	0.09737	+16.96%	0.0699	✓	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.079439	-6.16%	0.10164	+20.07%	0.0256	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.077253	-4.80%	0.09372	+15.49%	0.0500	✓	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.081528	-3.97%	0.1016	+19.67%	0.0219	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.081133	-3.01%	0.08887	+6.24%	0.0419	✓	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.081639	-4.01%	0.08041	-5.46%	0.1016	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.077367	-3.77%	0.07589	-5.61%	0.0193	✓	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.0798	-3.51%	0.07608	-8.00%	0.0410	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.082117	-3.62%	0.074825	-12.18%	0.0695	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.083205	-3.70%	0.07584	-12.22%	0.0752	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.088387	-3.93%	0.07636	-17.00%	0.1097	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.089405	-4.07%	0.075355	-19.15%	0.1380	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.085021	-5.00%	0.07392	-17.41%	0.1648	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.084916	-4.43%	0.078525	-11.62%	0.0737	✓	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.086883	-4.42%	0.07868	-13.44%	0.1024	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.087844	-4.36%	0.07661	-16.59%	0.1539	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.090858	-4.76%	0.076085	-20.25%	0.2196	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.086664	-4.66%	0.075755	-16.66%	0.1998	✓	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.094251	-4.60%	0.07508	-24.01%	0.2500	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.103368	-5.34%	0.07497	-31.35%	0.3353	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.100977	-5.32%	0.077895	-26.96%	0.2707	✓	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.100657	-5.57%	0.07758	-27.22%	0.2696	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.10019	-6.10%	0.076	-28.77%	0.3002	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.089981	-5.38%	0.07515	-20.98%	0.2110	✓	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.085892	-5.40%	0.07355	-19.00%	0.2244	✓	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.081882	-5.45%	0.07805	-9.87%	0.1894	✓	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.097556	-7.00%	0.07715	-26.45%	0.3119	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.089818	-6.24%	0.08355	-12.79%	0.1623	✓	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.094185	-6.61%	0.07885	-21.81%	0.2545	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.096187	-7.24%	0.08525	-17.79%	0.2285	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.096026	-8.46%	0.08325	-20.64%	0.2367	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.086232	-6.27%	0.08465	-7.99%	0.0861	✓	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.083817	-5.61%	0.08115	-8.61%	0.0865	✓	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.080579	-5.03%	0.0849	+0.06%	0.0035	✓	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.084384	-5.40%	0.08365	-6.22%	0.0849	✓	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.089033	-5.58%	0.08505	-9.81%	0.0685	✓	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.094353	-6.40%	0.0804	-20.24%	0.1885	✓	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.091746	-6.19%	0.0827	-15.44%	0.1488	✓	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.101643	-9.73%	0.0852	-24.33%	0.1643	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.085611	-6.23%	0.0864	-5.37%	0.0535	✓	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.084078	-6.74%	0.092	+2.05%	0.1279	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.083287	-7.05%	0.0932	+4.02%	0.1300	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.080597	-7.36%	0.0895	+2.87%	0.1620	✗	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.075822	-8.21%	0.08885	+7.57%	0.1534	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.069831	-7.39%	0.0909	+20.56%	0.2583	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.058182	-4.93%	0.09185	+50.08%	0.3934	✗	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.062289	-5.77%	0.0954	+44.33%	0.3909	✗	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.065295	-6.72%	0.0909	+29.86%	0.3502	✗	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.06439	-7.09%	0.0988	+42.57%	0.4277	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.061115	-6.69%	0.1092	+66.72%	0.5081	✗	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.062266	-7.07%	0.10665	+59.18%	0.4797	✗	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.077232	-8.49%	0.1066	+26.30%	0.3362	✗	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.084919	-9.56%	0.1067	+13.63%	0.2611	✗	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.078432	-9.01%	0.0951	+10.32%	0.3113	✗	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.083896	-9.79%	0.0908	-2.37%	0.3114	✗	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.080825	-9.29%	0.0866	-2.81%	0.3883	✗	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.082192	-9.68%	0.1049	+15.27%	0.5302	✗	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.080193	-9.59%	0.0958	+8.00%	0.4737	✗	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.085318	-10.66%	0.10085	+5.60%	0.4610	✗	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.077462	-8.98%	0.1037	+21.86%	0.6077	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.079959	-9.24%	0.1049	+19.07%	0.6285	✗	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.07814	-9.19%	0.092	+6.91%	0.5522	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.074008	-8.97%	0.0888	+9.23%	0.5196	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.076432	-9.33%	0.08485	+0.65%	0.3919	✗	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.074719	-9.10%	0.0892	+8.52%	0.4587	✗	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.08096	-9.74%	0.0943	+5.13%	0.4478	✗	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.078648	-9.81%	0.1008	+15.60%	0.5601	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.074217	-9.10%	0.0978	+19.78%	0.5865	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.076067	-9.17%	0.1126	+34.45%	0.6690	✗	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.075791	-9.34%	0.0913	+9.21%	0.4464	✗	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.078357	-9.62%	0.09015	+3.98%	0.3979	✗	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.080109	-9.99%	0.0896	+0.67%	0.4044	✗	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.087091	-9.61%	0.087	-9.70%	0.3591	✗	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.084322	-10.49%	0.0826	-12.31%	0.3274	✗	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.086149	-10.31%	0.0754	-21.50%	0.2272	✗	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.09256	-9.61%	0.0612	-40.23%	0.0084	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.097564	-9.12%	0.0661	-38.43%	0.0341	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.095894	-9.70%	0.07	-34.09%	0.0495	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.099105	-10.07%	0.0693	-37.11%	0.0093	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.096257	-9.70%	0.0655	-38.56%	0.0148	✓	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.091636	-8.41%	0.067	-33.03%	0.0533	✓	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.084991	-8.17%	0.0844	-8.81%	0.2898	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.081004	-8.37%	0.0939	+6.22%	0.4181	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.081681	-8.94%	0.0862	-3.90%	0.2593	✗	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.082775	-8.64%	0.093	+2.65%	0.2394	✗	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.083147	-8.73%	0.0891	-2.20%	0.1463	✗	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.082969	-9.03%	0.091	-0.22%	0.1367	✗	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.084643	-9.03%	0.0887	-4.67%	0.0888	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.087348	-9.11%	0.0955	-0.62%	0.1399	✗	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.089549	-8.99%	0.0851	-13.52%	0.0035	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.091831	-8.81%	0.0881	-12.51%	0.0089	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.090906	-9.23%	0.08605	-14.08%	0.0478	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.090948	-9.10%	0.0813	-18.74%	0.1034	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.091938	-9.02%	0.0843	-16.58%	0.0575	✓	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.09242	-9.17%	0.0822	-19.21%	0.0673	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.091917	-10.41%	0.0897	-12.57%	0.0462	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.093022	-11.07%	0.0872	-16.63%	0.0941	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.090752	-12.61%	0.08165	-21.38%	0.1617	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.096029	-12.18%	0.08375	-23.41%	0.1594	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.11524	-9.54%	0.0836	-34.38%	0.3266	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.127062	-9.76%	0.0867	-38.42%	0.4381	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.117915	-10.02%	0.089	-32.09%	0.3609	✓	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.120642	-9.97%	0.09635	-28.10%	0.3554	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.126349	-9.75%	0.0942	-32.71%	0.3858	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.109751	-11.67%	0.09605	-22.70%	0.3174	✓	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.123039	-9.99%	0.1024	-25.09%	0.3408	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.117326	-9.99%	0.10735	-17.64%	0.2558	✓	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.110561	-10.22%	0.1062	-13.76%	0.2029	✓	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.11208	-10.12%	0.1102	-11.63%	0.1857	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.117692	-9.68%	0.1066	-18.19%	0.2481	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.10753	-10.47%	0.10005	-16.69%	0.3103	✓	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.109268	-10.18%	0.09255	-23.92%	0.3922	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.105179	-10.37%	0.0884	-24.67%	0.4141	✓	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.099053	-10.20%	0.0897	-18.68%	0.3215	✓	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.10401	-12.67%	0.0906	-23.93%	0.3647	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.095568	-9.84%	0.0911	-14.06%	0.2479	✓	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.085336	-8.09%	0.0912	-1.78%	0.0959	✓	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.081307	-7.97%	0.09305	+5.32%	0.0481	✓	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.079797	-7.64%	0.0961	+11.23%	0.0251	✓	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.082089	-7.40%	0.0984	+11.00%	0.0411	✓	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.083061	-6.93%	0.1007	+12.83%	0.0534	✓	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.08787	-6.17%	0.10015	+6.94%	0.0459	✓	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.095043	-5.43%	0.10005	-0.45%	0.0688	✓	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.092736	-5.08%	0.10105	+3.43%	0.0650	✓	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.092335	-4.37%	0.10175	+5.39%	0.0456	✓	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.086674	-4.81%	0.1026	+12.69%	0.0023	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.088653	-4.37%	0.1046	+12.84%	0.0262	✓	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.091034	-3.41%	0.10385	+10.19%	0.0650	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.09528	-3.76%	0.10935	+10.45%	0.0212	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.104426	-3.71%	0.1274	+17.47%	0.0832	✗	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.114429	-3.48%	0.1408	+18.77%	0.1834	✗	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.118857	-3.99%	0.13105	+5.86%	0.0986	✗	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.104466	-2.78%	0.134	+24.71%	0.2231	✗	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.106319	-3.57%	0.14	+26.98%	0.2113	✗	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.104638	-3.43%	0.12425	+14.67%	0.1756	✗	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.102812	-3.46%	0.1367	+28.36%	0.2334	✗	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.09674	-2.87%	0.13035	+30.87%	0.2414	✗	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.096097	-3.08%	0.12315	+24.21%	0.2104	✗	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.088321	-2.94%	0.1247	+37.03%	0.2903	✗	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.089646	-3.66%	0.1303	+40.03%	0.2457	✗	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.091424	-3.56%	0.1201	+26.69%	0.2379	✗	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.095219	-3.53%	0.12165	+23.25%	0.2257	✗	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.113625	-4.48%	0.11735	-1.35%	0.1057	✗	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.109793	-3.86%	0.1103	-3.42%	0.1234	✗	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.108931	-5.85%	0.1191	+2.94%	0.1219	✗	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.099802	-4.59%	0.106	+1.34%	0.0763	✗	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.093049	-4.66%	0.09285	-4.87%	0.0579	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.096781	-5.02%	0.08835	-13.30%	0.0859	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.08785	-4.20%	0.0864	-5.78%	0.0189	✓	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.090552	-4.28%	0.08865	-6.29%	0.0050	✓	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.097277	-5.92%	0.08925	-13.68%	0.0496	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.08314	-4.55%	0.09365	+7.52%	0.0188	✓	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.083048	-4.54%	0.1005	+15.52%	0.0514	✗	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.08548	-4.54%	0.0977	+9.10%	0.0728	✗	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.091477	-5.40%	0.09655	-0.16%	0.0066	✓	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.089897	-5.52%	0.09105	-4.31%	0.0157	✓	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.08828	-5.73%	0.0927	-1.01%	0.0077	✓	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.08694	-5.86%	0.09425	+2.06%	0.0050	✓	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.09025	-6.57%	0.099	+2.48%	0.0413	✓	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.094283	-7.75%	0.10845	+6.12%	0.0913	✗	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.089521	-6.94%	0.11855	+23.23%	0.1781	✗	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.093824	-8.20%	0.1238	+21.14%	0.1772	✗	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.089625	-7.89%	0.10745	+10.43%	0.1014	✗	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.08494	-7.52%	0.11025	+20.03%	0.1580	✗	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.07685	-5.82%	0.10835	+32.78%	0.2626	✗	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.076305	-5.85%	0.1065	+31.40%	0.2977	✗	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.07841	-6.26%	0.0996	+19.07%	0.2370	✗	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.077502	-6.17%	0.09915	+20.04%	0.2529	✗	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.078513	-6.31%	0.091	+8.59%	0.1647	✗	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.078266	-6.55%	0.09305	+11.10%	0.2704	✗	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.074622	-5.42%	0.0948	+20.15%	0.1205	✗	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.087049	-8.22%	0.0987	+4.06%	0.2776	✗	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.087072	-8.44%	0.11895	+25.08%	0.4618	✗	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.094176	-9.40%	0.1142	+9.86%	0.3752	✗	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.092076	-9.11%	0.1157	+14.22%	0.5036	✗	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.09601	-9.68%	0.1046	-1.60%	0.3975	✗	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.108915	-11.34%	0.0976	-20.55%	0.4804	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.111272	-11.48%	0.1019	-18.93%	0.4699	✗	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.127012	-12.41%	0.0917	-36.76%	0.3887	✗	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.12103	-12.55%	0.0946	-31.65%	0.4083	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.111245	-10.90%	0.1034	-17.18%	0.5255	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.106377	-10.31%	0.0871	-26.56%	0.4853	✗	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.115654	-10.41%	0.087	-32.61%	0.4372	✗	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.112141	-9.85%	0.08955	-28.01%	0.4094	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.111238	-9.45%	0.0967	-21.29%	0.4825	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.114344	-9.25%	0.09515	-24.48%	0.4360	✗	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.10985	-8.91%	0.09365	-22.35%	0.4611	✗	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.122334	-8.57%	0.09235	-30.98%	0.4762	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.12048	-8.31%	0.0966	-26.48%	0.5459	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.129713	-7.61%	0.1022	-27.21%	0.5068	✗	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.134549	-7.02%	0.0962	-33.52%	0.4194	✗	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.132902	-6.93%	0.1022	-28.43%	0.4625	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.151326	-6.47%	0.0973	-39.86%	0.3058	✗	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.150248	-7.08%	0.09185	-43.20%	0.3195	✗	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.140979	-8.04%	0.0816	-46.77%	0.2066	✗	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.151213	-8.08%	0.08105	-50.73%	0.0662	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.147656	-8.29%	0.08365	-48.04%	0.0597	✓	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.155401	-8.16%	0.0826	-51.18%	0.0082	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.151576	-8.19%	0.0838	-49.24%	0.0891	✗	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.164798	-7.78%	0.08375	-53.13%	0.0400	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.192935	-7.77%	0.0789	-62.28%	0.0389	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.176304	-7.11%	0.09485	-50.03%	0.0749	✓	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.177847	-7.66%	0.0951	-50.62%	0.1648	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.182812	-8.04%	0.10395	-47.71%	0.2097	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.177923	-9.04%	0.1013	-48.21%	0.1683	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.15692	-8.23%	0.1063	-37.84%	0.1123	✓	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.147777	-8.33%	0.12285	-23.79%	0.1453	✓	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.150421	-8.17%	0.1257	-23.26%	0.1346	✓	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.14451	-8.65%	0.145	-8.34%	0.0199	✓	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.141274	-9.09%	0.1384	-10.94%	0.0346	✓	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.13895	-9.24%	0.12485	-18.45%	0.1120	✓	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.127671	-8.64%	0.1186	-15.13%	0.0653	✓	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.12175	-8.60%	0.1291	-3.08%	0.0369	✓	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.120984	-9.03%	0.1244	-6.47%	0.0068	✓	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.118425	-8.83%	0.12285	-5.43%	0.0137	✓	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.11696	-8.91%	0.126	-1.87%	0.0654	✓	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.11774	-8.94%	0.1206	-6.73%	0.0277	✓	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.124239	-9.31%	0.1338	-2.34%	0.0273	✓	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.118591	-9.61%	0.1314	+0.15%	0.0416	✓	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.108299	-9.22%	0.1404	+17.69%	0.1526	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.113683	-9.23%	0.1447	+15.53%	0.1389	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.121228	-9.16%	0.1428	+7.01%	0.0794	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.123163	-8.94%	0.1618	+19.63%	0.1578	✗	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.138906	-8.34%	0.1617	+6.70%	0.0733	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.143678	-8.02%	0.1533	-1.86%	0.0545	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.136353	-8.12%	0.1645	+10.85%	0.1811	✗	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.151779	-7.03%	0.161	-1.38%	0.0827	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.