XPL

Plasma · native · gru_s7

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 945

Track record at +1d

assessed

314

of 315 predictions shown

direction hit

57.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0391

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0052

actual -0.0011

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.07959	0.07896	-0.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.077727	-0.64%	0.07959	+1.74%	0.0285	✗	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.076019	-0.41%	0.078225	+2.48%	0.0069	✗	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.076472	-0.32%	0.076335	-0.50%	0.0015	✓	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.078483	-0.23%	0.07672	-2.47%	0.0351	✓	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.082459	-0.33%	0.078665	-4.91%	0.0448	✓	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.085113	-0.67%	0.08273	-3.45%	0.0163	✓	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.080145	-0.14%	0.08569	+6.77%	0.0561	✗	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.082429	-0.28%	0.08026	-2.90%	0.0033	✗	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.080372	-0.15%	0.08266	+2.70%	0.0017	✗	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.088006	-0.45%	0.08049	-8.95%	0.0532	✓	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.086999	-0.37%	0.088405	+1.24%	0.0022	✓	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.084374	-0.28%	0.08732	+3.20%	0.0277	✗	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.083537	-0.24%	0.084615	+1.04%	0.0028	✓	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.087248	-0.40%	0.08374	-4.40%	0.0127	✓	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.089364	-0.49%	0.087595	-2.46%	0.0204	✗	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.094294	-0.54%	0.0898	-5.28%	0.0451	✓	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.095799	-0.54%	0.09481	-1.56%	0.0034	✓	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.095162	-0.51%	0.096315	+0.69%	0.0204	✓	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.09281	-0.55%	0.095655	+2.50%	0.0258	✗	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.095638	-0.53%	0.09332	-2.94%	0.0182	✓	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.094316	-0.57%	0.09615	+1.36%	0.0053	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.095216	-0.57%	0.09486	-0.95%	0.0022	✓	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.097738	-0.55%	0.095765	-2.56%	0.0239	✓	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.105514	-0.54%	0.09828	-7.36%	0.0505	✓	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.110783	-0.61%	0.10609	-4.82%	0.0442	✓	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.113404	-1.07%	0.111465	-2.76%	0.0239	✓	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.109683	-1.05%	0.11463	+3.41%	0.0502	✗	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.089578	-0.47%	0.11085	+23.17%	0.2129	✗	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.095935	-0.46%	0.09	-6.61%	0.0290	✓	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.097326	-0.68%	0.096375	-1.65%	0.0026	✓	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.088786	-0.50%	0.09799	+9.81%	0.0003	✓	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.09169	-0.54%	0.089235	-3.20%	0.0258	✓	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.093189	-0.67%	0.092185	-1.74%	0.0175	✓	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.086918	-0.57%	0.093815	+7.32%	0.0108	✓	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.080791	-0.23%	0.08742	+7.96%	0.0748	✗	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.081689	-0.23%	0.080975	-1.11%	0.0206	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.083615	-0.36%	0.08188	-2.43%	0.0291	✗	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.07769	-0.14%	0.083915	+7.87%	0.0514	✗	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.079947	-0.14%	0.077795	-2.83%	0.0186	✓	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.082409	-0.09%	0.08006	-2.93%	0.0299	✓	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.084012	-0.09%	0.08248	-1.91%	0.0312	✓	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.089088	-0.11%	0.08409	-5.71%	0.0253	✓	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.098097	-0.25%	0.089185	-9.31%	0.0919	✓	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.092789	-0.16%	0.09834	+5.81%	0.0713	✗	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.089521	-0.07%	0.09294	+3.75%	0.0635	✗	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.09309	-0.03%	0.08958	-3.80%	0.0490	✓	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.09322	+0.02%	0.09312	-0.09%	0.0043	✗	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.096433	-0.04%	0.0932	-3.39%	0.0013	✓	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.08328	-0.00%	0.09647	+15.84%	0.0582	✗	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.082631	-0.01%	0.08328	+0.77%	0.0099	✗	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.083873	+0.00%	0.08264	-1.47%	0.0093	✓	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.084039	-0.06%	0.08387	-0.26%	0.0199	✓	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.086824	-0.05%	0.08409	-3.20%	0.0212	✓	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.084511	-0.06%	0.08687	+2.73%	0.0200	✗	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.090155	-0.06%	0.084565	-6.26%	0.0188	✓	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.087641	-0.09%	0.09021	+2.84%	0.0058	✗	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.090332	-0.15%	0.08772	-3.04%	0.0385	✓	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.097167	-0.21%	0.09047	-7.09%	0.0631	✓	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.101223	-0.41%	0.09737	-4.20%	0.0617	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.093296	-0.45%	0.10164	+8.45%	0.0732	✗	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.100669	-0.92%	0.09372	-7.76%	0.0487	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.088255	-0.69%	0.1016	+14.32%	0.0475	✗	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.079963	-0.56%	0.08887	+10.52%	0.0366	✗	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.075371	-0.68%	0.08041	+5.96%	0.0325	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.07564	-0.58%	0.07589	-0.25%	0.0012	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.074309	-0.69%	0.07608	+1.68%	0.0139	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.075375	-0.61%	0.074825	-1.34%	0.0031	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.075813	-0.72%	0.07584	-0.68%	0.0007	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.074877	-0.63%	0.07636	+1.33%	0.0301	✗	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.073467	-0.61%	0.075355	+1.94%	0.0250	✗	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.077973	-0.70%	0.07392	-5.86%	0.0506	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.077989	-0.88%	0.078525	-0.20%	0.0157	✗	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.076031	-0.76%	0.07868	+2.70%	0.0565	✗	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.07557	-0.68%	0.07661	+0.69%	0.0151	✗	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.075236	-0.69%	0.076085	+0.44%	0.0108	✗	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.074518	-0.75%	0.075755	+0.90%	0.0019	✓	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.074319	-0.87%	0.07508	+0.15%	0.0181	✗	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.07718	-0.92%	0.07497	-3.76%	0.0418	✓	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.076998	-0.75%	0.077895	+0.41%	0.0023	✓	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.075532	-0.62%	0.07758	+2.08%	0.0275	✗	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.074792	-0.48%	0.076	+1.13%	0.0015	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.073285	-0.36%	0.07515	+2.18%	0.0266	✗	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.077574	-0.61%	0.07355	-5.77%	0.0092	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.076741	-0.53%	0.07805	+1.17%	0.0017	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.082899	-0.78%	0.07715	-7.66%	0.0730	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.078372	-0.61%	0.08355	+5.96%	0.0605	✗	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.084625	-0.73%	0.07885	-7.51%	0.0346	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.082698	-0.66%	0.08525	+2.40%	0.0076	✗	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.084037	-0.72%	0.08325	-1.65%	0.0141	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.080692	-0.56%	0.08465	+4.31%	0.0694	✗	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.08444	-0.54%	0.08115	-4.42%	0.0173	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.083248	-0.48%	0.0849	+1.49%	0.0289	✗	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.0846	-0.53%	0.08365	-1.65%	0.0394	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.080062	-0.42%	0.08505	+5.78%	0.0490	✗	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.082376	-0.39%	0.0804	-2.78%	0.0219	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.08487	-0.39%	0.0827	-2.93%	0.0456	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.086025	-0.43%	0.0852	-1.39%	0.0125	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.091536	-0.50%	0.0864	-6.09%	0.0380	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.092656	-0.58%	0.092	-1.29%	0.0014	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.089065	-0.49%	0.0932	+4.13%	0.0131	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.088432	-0.47%	0.0895	+0.73%	0.0448	✗	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.090492	-0.45%	0.08885	-2.26%	0.0176	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.091446	-0.44%	0.0909	-1.03%	0.0025	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.095002	-0.42%	0.09185	-3.72%	0.0571	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.090574	-0.36%	0.0954	+4.95%	0.0285	✗	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.098407	-0.40%	0.0909	-8.00%	0.0530	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.108534	-0.61%	0.0988	-9.52%	0.0779	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.106136	-0.48%	0.1092	+2.39%	0.0184	✗	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.106059	-0.51%	0.10665	+0.05%	0.0065	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.105961	-0.69%	0.1066	-0.09%	0.0078	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.094639	-0.48%	0.1067	+12.20%	0.0949	✗	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.090435	-0.40%	0.0951	+4.74%	0.0131	✗	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.0863	-0.35%	0.0908	+4.85%	0.0167	✗	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.104192	-0.67%	0.0866	-17.45%	0.1495	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.095396	-0.42%	0.1049	+9.50%	0.0804	✗	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.100371	-0.47%	0.0958	-5.01%	0.0369	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.103025	-0.65%	0.10085	-2.75%	0.0199	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.103778	-1.07%	0.1037	-1.14%	0.0071	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.091525	-0.52%	0.1049	+14.02%	0.1653	✗	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.088407	-0.44%	0.092	+3.60%	0.0785	✗	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.084517	-0.39%	0.0888	+4.66%	0.0800	✗	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.08882	-0.43%	0.08485	-4.88%	0.0627	✓	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.093879	-0.45%	0.0892	-5.41%	0.0282	✓	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.100207	-0.59%	0.0943	-6.45%	0.0785	✓	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.097307	-0.50%	0.1008	+3.07%	0.0211	✗	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.110604	-1.77%	0.0978	-13.14%	0.0883	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.090638	-0.73%	0.1126	+23.33%	0.2450	✗	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.08928	-0.97%	0.0913	+1.28%	0.0383	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.08893	-0.75%	0.09015	+0.61%	0.0002	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.086325	-0.78%	0.0896	+2.99%	0.0044	✓	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.081513	-1.32%	0.087	+5.33%	0.0425	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.074731	-0.89%	0.0826	+9.55%	0.1008	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.061183	-0.03%	0.0754	+23.20%	0.1589	✗	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.066074	-0.04%	0.0612	-7.41%	0.0709	✓	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.0699	-0.14%	0.0661	-5.57%	0.0234	✓	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.069237	-0.09%	0.07	+1.01%	0.0167	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.065603	+0.16%	0.0693	+5.80%	0.0018	✗	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.067119	+0.18%	0.0655	-2.24%	0.0202	✗	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.084228	-0.20%	0.067	-20.62%	0.1742	✓	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.093173	-0.77%	0.0844	-10.12%	0.0939	✓	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.085895	-0.35%	0.0939	+8.93%	0.1479	✗	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.092176	-0.89%	0.0862	-7.31%	0.0234	✗	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.088555	-0.61%	0.093	+4.38%	0.0925	✗	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.090329	-0.74%	0.0891	-2.09%	0.0100	✓	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.087972	-0.82%	0.091	+2.59%	0.0261	✗	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.094014	-1.56%	0.0887	-7.12%	0.0553	✓	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.084445	-0.77%	0.0955	+12.22%	0.1391	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.08731	-0.90%	0.0851	-3.41%	0.0044	✓	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.085296	-0.88%	0.0881	+2.38%	0.0629	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.080706	-0.73%	0.08605	+5.84%	0.0583	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.083543	-0.90%	0.0813	-3.56%	0.0339	✓	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.081698	-0.61%	0.0843	+2.55%	0.0061	✓	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.088734	-1.08%	0.0822	-8.36%	0.0334	✓	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.086198	-1.15%	0.0897	+2.87%	0.0384	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.081121	-0.65%	0.0872	+6.80%	0.0580	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.083198	-0.66%	0.08165	-2.51%	0.0152	✓	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.083075	-0.63%	0.08375	+0.18%	0.0176	✗	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.086054	-0.75%	0.0836	-3.58%	0.0148	✓	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.088272	-0.82%	0.0867	-2.58%	0.0012	✓	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.095322	-1.07%	0.089	-7.63%	0.0291	✓	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.093295	-0.96%	0.09635	+2.28%	0.0029	✓	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.095096	-0.99%	0.0942	-1.93%	0.0134	✗	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.101337	-1.04%	0.09605	-6.20%	0.0309	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.106233	-1.04%	0.1024	-4.61%	0.0282	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.105034	-1.10%	0.10735	+1.08%	0.0063	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.108315	-1.71%	0.1062	-3.63%	0.0283	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.104967	-1.53%	0.1102	+3.38%	0.0453	✗	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.098715	-1.33%	0.1066	+6.55%	0.0994	✗	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.091692	-0.93%	0.10005	+8.10%	0.0791	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.087811	-0.67%	0.09255	+4.69%	0.0365	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.089179	-0.58%	0.0884	-1.45%	0.0292	✓	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.090102	-0.55%	0.0897	-0.99%	0.0025	✓	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.090643	-0.50%	0.0906	-0.55%	0.0077	✓	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.090922	-0.30%	0.0911	-0.11%	0.0307	✓	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.092717	-0.36%	0.0912	-1.99%	0.0260	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.095589	-0.53%	0.09305	-3.17%	0.0169	✓	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.097722	-0.69%	0.0961	-2.34%	0.0017	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.099902	-0.79%	0.0984	-2.28%	0.0078	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.099415	-0.73%	0.1007	+0.55%	0.0051	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.099385	-0.66%	0.10015	+0.10%	0.0043	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.100372	-0.67%	0.10005	-0.99%	0.0114	✗	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.101059	-0.68%	0.10105	-0.69%	0.0014	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.101886	-0.70%	0.10175	-0.83%	0.0350	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.103795	-0.77%	0.1026	-1.91%	0.0205	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.103037	-0.78%	0.1046	+0.72%	0.0241	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.108508	-0.77%	0.10385	-5.03%	0.0074	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.126572	-0.65%	0.10935	-14.17%	0.1211	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.139416	-0.98%	0.1274	-9.52%	0.1271	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.130138	-0.70%	0.1408	+7.44%	0.0724	✗	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.133045	-0.71%	0.13105	-2.20%	0.0281	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.138659	-0.96%	0.134	-4.29%	0.0289	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.123352	-0.72%	0.14	+12.68%	0.0540	✗	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.135613	-0.80%	0.12425	-9.11%	0.0419	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.129121	-0.94%	0.1367	+4.87%	0.0553	✗	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.122131	-0.83%	0.13035	+5.85%	0.0420	✗	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.123701	-0.80%	0.12315	-1.24%	0.0184	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.129079	-0.94%	0.1247	-4.30%	0.0184	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.118863	-1.03%	0.1303	+8.49%	0.0302	✗	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.12044	-0.99%	0.1201	-1.27%	0.0003	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.116175	-1.00%	0.12165	+3.66%	0.0107	✗	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.109159	-1.03%	0.11735	+6.39%	0.0655	✗	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.115948	-2.65%	0.1103	-7.39%	0.0513	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.104465	-1.45%	0.1191	+12.36%	0.1572	✗	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.092114	-0.79%	0.106	+14.16%	0.1427	✗	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.0879	-0.51%	0.09285	+5.09%	0.0230	✗	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.086106	-0.34%	0.08835	+2.26%	0.0087	✗	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.088343	-0.35%	0.0864	-2.54%	0.0143	✓	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.089009	-0.27%	0.08865	-0.67%	0.0033	✓	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.093246	-0.43%	0.08925	-4.70%	0.0082	✗	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.099917	-0.58%	0.09365	-6.82%	0.0124	✓	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.097174	-0.54%	0.1005	+2.87%	0.0180	✗	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.096039	-0.53%	0.0977	+1.19%	0.0241	✗	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.090724	-0.36%	0.09655	+6.04%	0.0010	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.092343	-0.39%	0.09105	-1.78%	0.0085	✗	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.093905	-0.37%	0.0927	-1.64%	0.0200	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.098688	-0.32%	0.09425	-4.80%	0.0580	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.108103	-0.32%	0.099	-8.71%	0.0604	✓	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.118057	-0.42%	0.10845	-8.52%	0.0311	✓	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.12298	-0.66%	0.11855	-4.24%	0.0180	✓	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.107118	-0.31%	0.1238	+15.22%	0.1054	✗	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.109896	-0.32%	0.10745	-2.54%	0.0546	✓	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.107972	-0.35%	0.11025	+1.75%	0.0150	✗	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.106127	-0.35%	0.10835	+1.74%	0.0123	✗	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.099289	-0.31%	0.1065	+6.93%	0.0634	✗	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.098783	-0.37%	0.0996	+0.45%	0.0031	✓	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.090742	-0.28%	0.09915	+8.96%	0.0569	✗	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.092802	-0.27%	0.091	-2.20%	0.0741	✓	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.094556	-0.26%	0.09305	-1.85%	0.0128	✗	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.098469	-0.23%	0.0948	-3.95%	0.0195	✓	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.118459	-0.41%	0.0987	-17.02%	0.1261	✓	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.11372	-0.42%	0.11895	+4.16%	0.0812	✗	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.114728	-0.84%	0.1142	-1.30%	0.0990	✓	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.104095	-0.48%	0.1157	+10.61%	0.1167	✗	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.097298	-0.31%	0.1046	+7.17%	0.0030	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.101448	-0.44%	0.0976	-4.22%	0.0112	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.091462	-0.26%	0.1019	+11.12%	0.0831	✗	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.094281	-0.34%	0.0917	-3.07%	0.0089	✗	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.102531	-0.84%	0.0946	-8.51%	0.0694	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.086913	-0.22%	0.1034	+18.71%	0.0895	✗	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.086776	-0.26%	0.0871	+0.11%	0.0160	✗	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.089314	-0.26%	0.087	-2.85%	0.0390	✗	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.09634	-0.37%	0.08955	-7.39%	0.0659	✓	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.094821	-0.35%	0.0967	+1.63%	0.0202	✗	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.093341	-0.33%	0.09515	+1.60%	0.0024	✓	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.092109	-0.26%	0.09365	+1.41%	0.0047	✗	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.096279	-0.33%	0.09235	-4.40%	0.0192	✓	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.101584	-0.60%	0.0966	-5.48%	0.0211	✓	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.095877	-0.34%	0.1022	+6.24%	0.0625	✗	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.101567	-0.62%	0.0962	-5.87%	0.0339	✓	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.096815	-0.50%	0.1022	+5.04%	0.0343	✗	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.091473	-0.41%	0.0973	+5.93%	0.0075	✗	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.081728	+0.16%	0.09185	+12.56%	0.1342	✓	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.081214	+0.20%	0.0816	+0.68%	0.0425	✓	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.083804	+0.18%	0.08105	-3.11%	0.0065	✗	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.082853	+0.31%	0.08365	+1.27%	0.0132	✓	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.084159	+0.43%	0.0826	-1.43%	0.0402	✗	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.084154	+0.48%	0.0838	+0.06%	0.0225	✓	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.079591	+0.88%	0.08375	+6.15%	0.1499	✗	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.095201	+0.37%	0.0789	-16.82%	0.1423	✓	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.095464	+0.38%	0.09485	-0.26%	0.0759	✓	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.104161	+0.20%	0.0951	-8.51%	0.0012	✓	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.101775	+0.47%	0.10395	+2.62%	0.0320	✗	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.106764	+0.44%	0.1013	-4.70%	0.0002	✓	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.122674	-0.14%	0.1063	-13.47%	0.0178	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.125503	-0.16%	0.12285	-2.27%	0.0099	✓	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.143061	-1.34%	0.1257	-13.31%	0.0031	✓	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.13657	-1.32%	0.145	+4.77%	0.0587	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.124569	-0.23%	0.1384	+10.85%	0.0828	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.118777	+0.15%	0.12485	+5.27%	0.0059	✓	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.128649	-0.35%	0.1186	-8.13%	0.0168	✓	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.124181	-0.18%	0.1291	+3.78%	0.0488	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.122729	-0.10%	0.1244	+1.26%	0.0132	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.125789	-0.17%	0.12285	-2.50%	0.0262	✓	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.120604	+0.00%	0.126	+4.48%	0.0172	✓	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.13295	-0.63%	0.1206	-9.87%	0.0098	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.130508	-0.68%	0.1338	+1.83%	0.0519	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.139375	-0.73%	0.1314	-6.41%	0.0228	✓	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.143718	-0.68%	0.1404	-2.97%	0.0138	✓	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.141821	-0.69%	0.1447	+1.33%	0.0221	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.160637	-0.72%	0.1428	-11.74%	0.0867	✓	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.160494	-0.75%	0.1618	+0.06%	0.0282	✓	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.152188	-0.73%	0.1617	+5.48%	0.0495	✓	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.163289	-0.74%	0.1533	-6.81%	0.0717	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.159903	-0.68%	0.1645	+2.17%	0.0148	✗	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.168096	-0.65%	0.161	-4.85%	0.0393	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.164112	-0.60%	0.1692	+2.48%	0.0446	✗	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.177684	-0.57%	0.1651	-7.61%	0.0666	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.207217	-0.95%	0.1787	-14.58%	0.0917	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.188609	-0.63%	0.2092	+10.22%	0.1070	✗	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.191267	-0.69%	0.1898	-1.45%	0.0699	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.197308	-0.75%	0.1926	-3.12%	0.0489	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.193356	-1.15%	0.1988	+1.64%	0.0099	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.169801	-0.70%	0.1956	+14.39%	0.1101	✗	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.160099	-0.68%	0.171	+6.08%	0.0518	✗	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.162931	-0.53%	0.1612	-1.59%	0.0005	✓	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.157124	-0.68%	0.1638	+3.54%	0.0270	✗	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.154104	-0.83%	0.1582	+1.80%	0.0350	✗	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.151933	-0.76%	0.1554	+1.50%	0.0218	✗	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.13906	-0.49%	0.1531	+9.55%	0.0903	✗	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.132669	-0.40%	0.13975	+4.92%	0.0506	✗	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.132329	-0.50%	0.1332	+0.15%	0.0116	✗	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.129459	-0.34%	0.133	+2.39%	0.0249	✗	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.127995	-0.32%	0.1299	+1.17%	0.0276	✗	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.128899	-0.31%	0.1284	-0.70%	0.0029	✓	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.136335	-0.49%	0.1293	-5.62%	0.0565	✓	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.130622	-0.44%	0.137	+4.42%	0.0451	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.119111	-0.16%	0.1312	+9.97%	0.0663	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.124943	-0.25%	0.1193	-4.75%	0.0375	✓	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.133012	-0.33%	0.12525	-6.14%	0.0412	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.134895	-0.26%	0.13345	-1.33%	0.0273	✓	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.15098	-0.38%	0.13525	-10.76%	0.0899	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.155487	-0.46%	0.15155	-2.98%	0.0023	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.147794	-0.41%	0.1562	+5.26%	0.0556	✗	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.162547	-0.43%	0.1484	-9.10%	0.0663	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.