XEF

Xeffy · native · gru_s7

token id: #633
symbol: XEF
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-15
predictions: 360

Track record at +7d

assessed

113

of 120 predictions shown

direction hit

56.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1834

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0288

actual -0.0467

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004362	0.004243	-2.71%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.00434	0.004224	-2.68%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.004365	0.00425	-2.64%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-18	oos	0.0043	0.004184	-2.68%	–	pending	–	–	-0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.004521	0.004401	-2.66%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.004544	0.004421	-2.71%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-15	oos	0.004581	0.004455	-2.75%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-14	oos	0.004339	0.004218	-2.79%	0.004362	+0.52%	0.0377	✗	-0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.004166	0.004046	-2.87%	0.00434	+4.19%	0.0696	✗	-0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.00412	0.004002	-2.86%	0.004365	+5.95%	0.0871	✗	-0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.004012	0.003891	-3.03%	0.0043	+7.15%	0.0986	✗	-0.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.004044	0.003921	-3.04%	0.004521	+11.81%	0.1424	✗	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.004051	0.003925	-3.10%	0.004544	+12.18%	0.1463	✗	-0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.003918	0.003789	-3.29%	0.004581	+16.92%	0.1900	✗	-0.04
2026-10-07	oos	0.004142	0.004009	-3.23%	0.004339	+4.75%	0.0769	✗	-0.11
2026-10-06	oos	0.00412	0.003988	-3.20%	0.004166	+1.11%	0.0434	✗	-0.00
2026-10-05	oos	0.004078	0.003943	-3.29%	0.00412	+1.05%	0.0422	✗	-0.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.004432	0.004313	-2.69%	0.004012	-9.48%	0.0766	✓	-0.13
2026-10-03	oos	0.003817	0.003665	-3.97%	0.004044	+5.94%	0.0938	✗	-0.20
2026-10-02	oos	0.004988	0.004859	-2.58%	0.004051	-18.79%	0.1865	✓	-0.20
2026-10-01	oos	0.005017	0.004893	-2.47%	0.003918	-21.90%	0.2286	✓	-0.17
2026-09-30	oos	0.005013	0.004875	-2.76%	0.004142	-17.37%	0.1646	✓	-0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.004268	0.00412	-3.46%	0.00412	-3.46%	0.0125	✓	-0.56
2026-09-28	oos	0.004541	0.004398	-3.16%	0.004078	-10.21%	0.0612	✓	-0.53
2026-09-27	oos	0.004455	0.004319	-3.04%	0.004432	-0.50%	0.0356	✗	-0.40
2026-09-26	oos	0.004617	0.004486	-2.83%	0.003817	-17.32%	0.1599	✓	-0.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.004728	0.004599	-2.72%	0.004988	+5.50%	0.0832	✗	-0.42
2026-09-24	oos	0.005116	0.004993	-2.41%	0.005017	-1.93%	0.0072	✓	-0.43
2026-09-23	oos	0.004436	0.004312	-2.80%	0.005013	+13.01%	0.1466	✗	-0.42
2026-09-22	oos	0.004354	0.004249	-2.41%	0.004268	-1.98%	0.0054	✓	-0.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.004336	0.004237	-2.29%	0.004541	+4.73%	0.0594	✗	-0.27
2026-09-20	oos	0.004372	0.004229	-3.27%	0.004455	+1.88%	0.0662	✗	-0.36
2026-09-19	oos	0.004563	0.004428	-2.96%	0.004617	+1.17%	0.0559	✗	-0.37
2026-09-18	oos	0.004794	0.00466	-2.80%	0.004728	-1.38%	0.0275	✓	-0.33
2026-09-17	oos	0.005449	0.005241	-3.82%	0.005116	-6.12%	0.0061	✓	-0.18
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004274	-1.62%	0.004436	+2.11%	0.0557	✗	-0.18
2026-09-15	oos	0.003837	0.00381	-0.70%	0.004354	+13.47%	0.1894	✗	-0.43
2026-09-14	oos	0.003874	0.003846	-0.72%	0.004336	+11.93%	0.1509	✗	-0.30
2026-09-13	oos	0.003645	0.003649	+0.10%	0.004372	+19.94%	0.1942	✓	-0.24
2026-09-12	oos	0.003056	0.003096	+1.33%	0.004563	+49.34%	0.3976	✓	-0.19
2026-09-11	oos	0.003884	0.00388	-0.10%	0.004794	+23.43%	0.2209	✗	-0.20
2026-09-10	oos	0.003968	0.003958	-0.26%	0.005449	+37.31%	0.3192	✗	-0.20
2026-09-09	oos	0.00401	0.003992	-0.43%	0.004344	+8.34%	0.0789	✗	-0.20
2026-09-08	oos	0.004901	0.004842	-1.21%	0.003837	-21.71%	0.2410	✓	-0.22
2026-09-07	oos	0.004835	0.004778	-1.17%	0.003874	-19.87%	0.2123	✓	-0.22
2026-09-06	oos	0.004718	0.004678	-0.85%	0.003645	-22.73%	0.2582	✓	-0.20
2026-09-05	oos	0.004529	0.004503	-0.58%	0.003056	-32.54%	0.3944	✓	-0.20
2026-09-04	oos	0.004744	0.00472	-0.49%	0.003884	-18.12%	0.2014	✓	-0.20
2026-09-03	oos	0.005066	0.005051	-0.30%	0.003968	-21.67%	0.2560	✓	-0.24
2026-09-02	oos	0.005016	0.00497	-0.91%	0.00401	-20.06%	0.2109	✓	-0.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.004993	0.004956	-0.73%	0.004901	-1.83%	0.0071	✓	-0.30
2026-08-31	oos	0.004669	0.004622	-1.00%	0.004835	+3.54%	0.0466	✗	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.005046	0.004996	-1.00%	0.004718	-6.51%	0.0493	✓	-0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.005104	0.005054	-0.99%	0.004529	-11.27%	0.1049	✓	-0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.005199	0.005142	-1.09%	0.004744	-8.76%	0.0752	✓	-0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.005385	0.005351	-0.62%	0.005066	-5.91%	0.0514	✓	-0.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.005417	0.005365	-0.96%	0.005016	-7.41%	0.0734	✓	-0.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.005231	0.005163	-1.30%	0.004993	-4.55%	0.0376	✓	-0.28
2026-08-24	oos	0.005276	0.005208	-1.29%	0.004669	-11.50%	0.1108	✓	-0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.005177	0.005085	-1.77%	0.005046	-2.52%	0.0079	✓	-0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.005087	0.004976	-2.17%	0.005104	+0.35%	0.0301	✗	-0.31
2026-08-21	oos	0.004926	0.004818	-2.20%	0.005199	+5.53%	0.0743	✗	-0.28
2026-08-20	oos	0.00578	0.005636	-2.48%	0.005385	-6.84%	0.0570	✓	0.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.005749	0.00557	-3.11%	0.005417	-5.76%	0.0381	✓	0.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.00582	0.005631	-3.23%	0.005231	-10.11%	0.0913	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.00589	0.0057	-3.23%	0.005276	-10.42%	0.0954	✓	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.00599	0.005804	-3.11%	0.005177	-13.58%	0.1350	✓	0.10
2026-08-15	oos	0.005993	0.005804	-3.14%	0.005087	-15.11%	0.1519	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.005916	0.005728	-3.18%	0.004926	-16.73%	0.1716	✓	0.10
2026-08-13	oos	0.005929	0.005733	-3.30%	0.00578	-2.51%	0.0064	✓	0.10
2026-08-12	oos	0.006068	0.005874	-3.21%	0.005749	-5.27%	0.0307	✓	0.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006474	0.006284	-2.93%	0.00582	-10.11%	0.0786	✓	0.10
2026-08-10	oos	0.006798	0.006606	-2.82%	0.00589	-13.35%	0.1155	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.006782	0.006585	-2.91%	0.00599	-11.68%	0.0913	✓	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.006455	0.006254	-3.11%	0.005993	-7.16%	0.0394	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006942	0.006742	-2.89%	0.005916	-14.78%	0.1273	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.007076	0.00688	-2.78%	0.005929	-16.21%	0.1472	✓	0.12
2026-08-05	oos	0.00732	0.007109	-2.88%	0.006068	-17.10%	0.1563	✓	0.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.006568	0.006371	-3.01%	0.006474	-1.44%	0.0163	✓	0.02
2026-08-03	oos	0.006383	0.00619	-3.01%	0.006798	+6.50%	0.0937	✗	-0.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.00607	0.005881	-3.11%	0.006782	+11.74%	0.1430	✗	-0.02
2026-08-01	oos	0.005956	0.005777	-3.01%	0.006455	+8.37%	0.1129	✗	-0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.006009	0.00583	-2.99%	0.006942	+15.52%	0.1766	✗	-0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.005979	0.005785	-3.26%	0.007076	+18.34%	0.2015	✗	0.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.006029	0.005845	-3.06%	0.00732	+21.41%	0.2253	✗	-0.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.005854	0.005672	-3.11%	0.006568	+12.21%	0.1468	✗	-0.02
2026-07-27	oos	0.006121	0.005941	-2.94%	0.006383	+4.27%	0.0717	✗	-0.01
2026-07-26	oos	0.006336	0.006143	-3.05%	0.00607	-4.21%	0.0133	✓	-0.04
2026-07-25	oos	0.006314	0.006125	-2.99%	0.005956	-5.66%	0.0299	✓	-0.09
2026-07-24	oos	0.006277	0.006084	-3.08%	0.006009	-4.27%	0.0143	✓	-0.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.006211	0.00601	-3.23%	0.005979	-3.72%	0.0054	✓	-0.05
2026-07-22	oos	0.006132	0.005925	-3.38%	0.006029	-1.67%	0.0176	✓	0.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.006357	0.006109	-3.91%	0.005854	-7.92%	0.0427	✓	-0.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.00625	0.005972	-4.45%	0.006121	-2.07%	0.0225	✓	-0.09
2026-07-19	oos	0.005801	0.005565	-4.07%	0.006336	+9.22%	0.1316	✗	-0.18
2026-07-18	oos	0.005801	0.005553	-4.27%	0.006314	+8.84%	0.1270	✗	-0.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.005798	0.005538	-4.48%	0.006277	+8.26%	0.1259	✗	-0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.006041	0.00575	-4.81%	0.006211	+2.81%	0.0816	✗	-0.23
2026-07-15	oos	0.006107	0.005786	-5.25%	0.006132	+0.41%	0.0624	✗	-0.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.00645	0.006058	-6.08%	0.006357	-1.44%	0.0250	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.00544	0.005144	-5.45%	0.00625	+14.89%	0.1486	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.005863	0.0055	-6.18%	0.005801	-1.05%	0.0386	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.005483	0.005126	-6.50%	0.005801	+5.80%	0.1076	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.005	0.004682	-6.37%	0.005798	+15.97%	0.2176	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.005597	0.005193	-7.22%	0.006041	+7.93%	0.1419	✗	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.004082	0.003934	-3.63%	0.006107	+49.61%	0.4007	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.003864	0.003713	-3.89%	0.00645	+66.95%	0.5262	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.00324	0.003067	-5.34%	0.00544	+67.91%	0.6006	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.003242	0.003041	-6.19%	0.005863	+80.84%	0.6539	✗	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.003	0.002771	-7.64%	0.005483	+82.76%	0.6716	✗	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.002442	0.002219	-9.15%	0.005	+104.73%	0.7871	✗	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.006625	0.00647	-2.34%	0.005597	-15.51%	0.1720	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.007189	0.007068	-1.69%	0.004082	-43.22%	0.5863	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.006933	0.006831	-1.47%	0.003864	-44.27%	0.6487	✓	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.007913	0.007757	-1.97%	0.00324	-59.06%	0.9349	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.008785	0.008627	-1.79%	0.003242	-63.10%	1.0456	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.008992	0.008823	-1.88%	0.003	-66.64%	1.1300	✓	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.009169	0.008995	-1.90%	0.002442	-73.37%	1.3449	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.009313	0.009141	-1.85%	0.006625	-28.87%	0.3513	✓	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.010452	0.010254	-1.90%	0.007189	-31.22%	0.3382	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.