XEF

Xeffy · native · gru_s7

token id: #633
symbol: XEF
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-15
predictions: 360

Track record at +30d

assessed

90

of 120 predictions shown

direction hit

70.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2269

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0657

actual -0.0978

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004362	0.004103	-5.94%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.00434	0.004088	-5.82%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.004365	0.004111	-5.82%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-18	oos	0.0043	0.004044	-5.94%	–	pending	–	–	-0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.004521	0.004258	-5.82%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.004544	0.004278	-5.87%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-15	oos	0.004581	0.004311	-5.89%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-14	oos	0.004339	0.00407	-6.21%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.004166	0.003897	-6.46%	–	pending	–	–	-0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.00412	0.003846	-6.67%	–	pending	–	–	-0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.004012	0.003735	-6.91%	–	pending	–	–	-0.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.004044	0.003759	-7.05%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.004051	0.003758	-7.24%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.003918	0.003609	-7.88%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-07	oos	0.004142	0.003836	-7.39%	–	pending	–	–	-0.11
2026-10-06	oos	0.00412	0.003826	-7.14%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-05	oos	0.004078	0.003779	-7.32%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.004432	0.004176	-5.79%	–	pending	–	–	-0.13
2026-10-03	oos	0.003817	0.00348	-8.82%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-02	oos	0.004988	0.004709	-5.59%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-01	oos	0.005017	0.004752	-5.28%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-09-30	oos	0.005013	0.004723	-5.78%	–	pending	–	–	-0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.004268	0.003943	-7.60%	–	pending	–	–	-0.56
2026-09-28	oos	0.004541	0.004232	-6.82%	–	pending	–	–	-0.53
2026-09-27	oos	0.004455	0.004165	-6.50%	–	pending	–	–	-0.40
2026-09-26	oos	0.004617	0.004338	-6.04%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.004728	0.004458	-5.70%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-09-24	oos	0.005116	0.00489	-4.42%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-09-23	oos	0.004436	0.004183	-5.70%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-09-22	oos	0.004354	0.004151	-4.67%	–	pending	–	–	-0.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.004336	0.00415	-4.30%	0.004362	+0.58%	0.0373	✓	-0.27
2026-09-20	oos	0.004372	0.004067	-6.97%	0.00434	-0.73%	0.0727	✗	-0.36
2026-09-19	oos	0.004563	0.004282	-6.16%	0.004365	-4.34%	0.0219	✓	-0.37
2026-09-18	oos	0.004794	0.004522	-5.67%	0.0043	-10.32%	0.0459	✓	-0.33
2026-09-17	oos	0.005449	0.005067	-7.01%	0.004521	-17.03%	0.1024	✓	-0.18
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004179	-3.79%	0.004544	+4.61%	0.0960	✗	-0.18
2026-09-15	oos	0.003837	0.003709	-3.33%	0.004581	+19.39%	0.2465	✗	-0.43
2026-09-14	oos	0.003874	0.003766	-2.79%	0.004339	+12.01%	0.1546	✗	-0.30
2026-09-13	oos	0.003645	0.003558	-2.39%	0.004166	+14.28%	0.1767	✗	-0.24
2026-09-12	oos	0.003056	0.003002	-1.75%	0.00412	+34.84%	0.3276	✗	-0.19
2026-09-11	oos	0.003884	0.003797	-2.24%	0.004012	+3.30%	0.0715	✗	-0.20
2026-09-10	oos	0.003968	0.003866	-2.59%	0.004044	+1.89%	0.0611	✗	-0.20
2026-09-09	oos	0.00401	0.003926	-2.09%	0.004051	+1.04%	0.0421	✗	-0.20
2026-09-08	oos	0.004901	0.004767	-2.74%	0.003918	-20.06%	0.1870	✓	-0.22
2026-09-07	oos	0.004835	0.004703	-2.72%	0.004142	-14.32%	0.1158	✓	-0.22
2026-09-06	oos	0.004718	0.004617	-2.14%	0.00412	-12.67%	0.1015	✓	-0.20
2026-09-05	oos	0.004529	0.004461	-1.50%	0.004078	-9.97%	0.0754	✓	-0.20
2026-09-04	oos	0.004744	0.004693	-1.08%	0.004432	-6.56%	0.0402	✓	-0.20
2026-09-03	oos	0.005066	0.005058	-0.17%	0.003817	-24.66%	0.2712	✓	-0.24
2026-09-02	oos	0.005016	0.004929	-1.73%	0.004988	-0.55%	0.0391	✗	-0.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.004993	0.004937	-1.11%	0.005017	+0.48%	0.0439	✗	-0.30
2026-08-31	oos	0.004669	0.00459	-1.69%	0.005013	+7.36%	0.1039	✗	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.005046	0.004963	-1.65%	0.004268	-15.43%	0.1334	✓	-0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.005104	0.005031	-1.44%	0.004541	-11.03%	0.0871	✓	-0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.005199	0.005118	-1.55%	0.004455	-14.32%	0.1197	✓	-0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.005385	0.00539	+0.09%	0.004617	-14.26%	0.1412	✗	-0.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.005417	0.005376	-0.76%	0.004728	-12.72%	0.1113	✓	-0.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.005231	0.005148	-1.58%	0.005116	-2.20%	0.0141	✓	-0.28
2026-08-24	oos	0.005276	0.005205	-1.35%	0.004436	-15.93%	0.1413	✓	-0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.005177	0.005039	-2.65%	0.004354	-15.89%	0.1149	✓	-0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.005087	0.004901	-3.65%	0.004336	-14.75%	0.0861	✓	-0.31
2026-08-21	oos	0.004926	0.004753	-3.52%	0.004372	-11.25%	0.0735	✓	-0.28
2026-08-20	oos	0.00578	0.005507	-4.72%	0.004563	-21.05%	0.2007	✓	0.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.005749	0.005375	-6.50%	0.004794	-16.60%	0.1265	✓	0.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.00582	0.005403	-7.15%	0.005449	-6.36%	0.0065	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.00589	0.005467	-7.19%	0.004344	-26.25%	0.2448	✓	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.00599	0.005565	-7.09%	0.003837	-35.94%	0.3897	✓	0.10
2026-08-15	oos	0.005993	0.00556	-7.22%	0.003874	-35.35%	0.3826	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.005916	0.005477	-7.43%	0.003645	-38.39%	0.4261	✓	0.10
2026-08-13	oos	0.005929	0.005472	-7.71%	0.003056	-48.46%	0.6030	✓	0.10
2026-08-12	oos	0.006068	0.005611	-7.54%	0.003884	-35.99%	0.3882	✓	0.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006474	0.006033	-6.81%	0.003968	-38.70%	0.4374	✓	0.10
2026-08-10	oos	0.006798	0.006362	-6.41%	0.00401	-41.02%	0.4791	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.006782	0.006338	-6.55%	0.004901	-27.73%	0.2773	✓	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.006455	0.005993	-7.15%	0.004835	-25.10%	0.2363	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006942	0.006492	-6.48%	0.004718	-32.04%	0.3431	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.007076	0.006631	-6.29%	0.004529	-35.99%	0.4062	✓	0.12
2026-08-05	oos	0.00732	0.006866	-6.21%	0.004744	-35.20%	0.3926	✓	0.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.006568	0.006116	-6.89%	0.005066	-22.87%	0.1930	✓	0.02
2026-08-03	oos	0.006383	0.005933	-7.04%	0.005016	-21.42%	0.1648	✓	-0.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.00607	0.005618	-7.43%	0.004993	-17.74%	0.1144	✓	-0.02
2026-08-01	oos	0.005956	0.005518	-7.36%	0.004669	-21.61%	0.1539	✓	-0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.006009	0.005572	-7.27%	0.005046	-16.03%	0.0868	✓	-0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.005979	0.005518	-7.72%	0.005104	-14.63%	0.0783	✓	0.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.006029	0.005586	-7.36%	0.005199	-13.77%	0.0691	✓	-0.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.005854	0.005414	-7.51%	0.005385	-8.01%	0.0007	✓	-0.02
2026-07-27	oos	0.006121	0.005688	-7.07%	0.005417	-11.50%	0.0456	✓	-0.01
2026-07-26	oos	0.006336	0.005892	-7.02%	0.005231	-17.44%	0.1109	✓	-0.04
2026-07-25	oos	0.006314	0.005881	-6.85%	0.005276	-16.43%	0.0909	✓	-0.09
2026-07-24	oos	0.006277	0.005846	-6.88%	0.005177	-17.53%	0.1028	✓	-0.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.006211	0.005774	-7.04%	0.005087	-18.09%	0.1180	✓	-0.05
2026-07-22	oos	0.006132	0.005687	-7.25%	0.004926	-19.66%	0.1445	✓	0.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.006357	0.005863	-7.77%	0.00578	-9.08%	0.0142	✓	-0.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.00625	0.005714	-8.59%	0.005749	-8.03%	0.0116	✓	-0.09
2026-07-19	oos	0.005801	0.005298	-8.67%	0.00582	+0.32%	0.0939	✗	-0.18
2026-07-18	oos	0.005801	0.005275	-9.07%	0.00589	+1.54%	0.1095	✗	-0.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.005798	0.005246	-9.53%	0.00599	+3.30%	0.1287	✗	-0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.006041	0.005432	-10.09%	0.005993	-0.80%	0.0955	✓	-0.23
2026-07-15	oos	0.006107	0.005447	-10.80%	0.005916	-3.12%	0.0770	✓	-0.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.00645	0.005697	-11.67%	0.005929	-8.08%	0.0642	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.00544	0.004805	-11.67%	0.006068	+11.55%	0.2151	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.005863	0.005121	-12.65%	0.006474	+10.43%	0.2377	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.005483	0.004746	-13.45%	0.006798	+23.98%	0.3572	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.005	0.004317	-13.65%	0.006782	+35.64%	0.4404	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.005597	0.004817	-13.93%	0.006455	+15.32%	0.2655	✗	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.004082	0.003651	-10.55%	0.006942	+70.08%	0.6008	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.003864	0.003443	-10.89%	0.007076	+83.15%	0.7057	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.00324	0.002818	-13.03%	0.00732	+125.94%	0.9453	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.003242	0.002772	-14.49%	0.006568	+102.62%	0.8553	✗	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.003	0.002486	-17.15%	0.006383	+112.76%	0.9371	✗	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.002442	0.001954	-20.00%	0.00607	+148.53%	1.1180	✗	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.006625	0.006229	-5.97%	0.005956	-10.09%	0.0653	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.007189	0.006813	-5.23%	0.006009	-16.41%	0.1721	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.006933	0.006564	-5.32%	0.005979	-13.75%	0.1939	✓	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.007913	0.007499	-5.23%	0.006029	-23.81%	0.2784	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.008785	0.008389	-4.51%	0.005854	-33.37%	0.4308	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.008992	0.008579	-4.59%	0.006121	-31.93%	0.3984	✓	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.009169	0.00875	-4.57%	0.006336	-30.90%	0.4080	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.009313	0.008897	-4.47%	0.006314	-32.21%	0.4171	✓	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.010452	0.010014	-4.19%	0.006277	-39.94%	0.5166	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.