8=======>

WARD

Warden · Base · gru_s7

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
756
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +7d

assessed
245
of 252 predictions shown
direction hit
76.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2330
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0316
actual -0.0866

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22oos0.0027550.002712-1.55%–pending––1.00
2026-10-21oos0.0027650.002726-1.42%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002682-1.40%–pending––1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.00268-1.65%–pending––1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.002973-3.32%–pending––1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002662-1.23%–pending––0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002664-1.15%–pending––0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002713-1.18%0.002755+0.36%0.0088✓0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002735-1.09%0.002765+0.00%0.0178✓0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002811-0.86%0.00272-4.06%0.0308✓0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002728-0.80%0.002725-0.91%0.0022✓0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002803-0.78%0.003075+8.85%0.1083✗0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002814-0.91%0.002695-5.11%0.0287✓0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002767-0.84%0.002695-3.41%0.0162✓0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.00272-0.90%0.002745+0.00%0.0048✓0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002855-1.21%0.002765-4.33%0.0167✓0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002913-0.90%0.002835-3.57%0.0049✓0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003191-1.82%0.00275-15.38%0.1063✓0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003092-1.21%0.002825-9.74%0.0583✓0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.002983-1.54%0.00284-6.27%0.0286✓0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002876-1.86%0.00279-4.78%0.0079✓0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.002969-1.37%0.002745-8.80%0.0427✓0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002916-1.49%0.00289-2.36%0.0058✓0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002877-1.31%0.00294+0.86%0.0000✓0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002951-1.63%0.00325+8.33%0.0717✗0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003087-1.69%0.00313-0.32%0.0081✓0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.00332-2.91%0.00303-11.40%0.0953✓0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002863-1.12%0.00293+1.21%0.0185✗0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002778-0.79%0.00301+7.50%0.0748✗1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002814-0.93%0.00296+4.23%0.0605✗1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002915-1.01%0.002915-1.02%0.0291✗0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002864-1.07%0.003+3.63%0.0837✗1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002519-0.03%0.00314+24.60%0.1860✗0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002626-0.16%0.00342+30.04%0.2310✗0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002866-1.02%0.002895+0.00%0.0250✓0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002654-0.23%0.0028+5.26%0.0297✓0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002423+0.98%0.00284+18.33%0.0725✓0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002477+0.92%0.002945+19.96%0.0576✓0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002572+1.07%0.002895+13.75%0.0264✓0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002609+1.11%0.00252-2.33%0.0828✗0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002726+0.98%0.00263-2.59%0.0809✗0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002773+1.03%0.002895+5.46%0.0045✓0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002639+1.31%0.00266+2.11%0.0101✓0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.00288+0.70%0.0024-16.08%0.1586✗0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.00276+1.48%0.002455-9.74%0.0863✗0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002676+1.96%0.002545-3.05%0.0408✗0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002738+2.37%0.00258-3.55%0.0204✓0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002821+2.77%0.0027-1.64%0.0149✓0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002702+2.55%0.002745+4.17%0.0419✓0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002956+2.64%0.002605-9.55%0.0793✗0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002959+0.97%0.00286-2.39%0.0456✗0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003205-0.17%0.00272-15.26%0.1765✓0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.00303+0.18%0.002625-13.22%0.1503✗0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002587+1.06%0.002675+4.49%0.0085✓1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002572+1.07%0.002745+7.86%0.0454✓0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.0028+0.55%0.002635-5.39%0.0837✗0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002868+0.98%0.00288+1.41%0.0077✓0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002708+0.85%0.00293+9.12%0.0992✓0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002723+0.67%0.00321+18.67%0.1779✓0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.002882+0.61%0.003025+5.58%0.0531✓0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003059+0.15%0.00256-16.20%0.1774✗1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.00296+0.16%0.002545-13.87%0.1658✗0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.00305+0.32%0.002785-8.39%0.0848✗0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.003008-1.06%0.00284-6.58%0.1542✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.003044-1.80%0.002685-13.39%0.2804✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.00296-2.62%0.002705-11.02%0.3425✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.00313-3.09%0.002865-11.30%0.3314✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.002959-2.67%0.003055+0.49%0.2127✓1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.002998-2.65%0.002955-4.06%0.2409✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.00285-2.56%0.00304+3.93%0.1802✓1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002844-2.78%0.00304+3.93%0.1009✓1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003091-3.12%0.0031-2.82%0.0804✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002851-3.18%0.00304+3.23%0.0510✗0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003292-3.87%0.00323-5.69%0.0209✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.002934-3.49%0.00304+0.00%0.0376✗0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.002974-3.74%0.00308-0.32%0.0350✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003185-3.78%0.002925-11.63%0.0848✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003555-4.56%0.002925-21.48%0.1943✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004497-9.71%0.00319-35.94%0.3425✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002903-2.92%0.002945-1.51%0.0133✓-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.003076-3.26%0.003425+7.70%0.1083✗-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003166-3.76%0.00304-7.60%0.0381✓-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003141-3.37%0.00309-4.92%0.0109✓-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.003036-3.00%0.00331+5.75%0.0916✗-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.00312-2.96%0.003725+15.86%0.1759✗-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003343-3.09%0.00498+44.35%0.4010✗-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003517-3.11%0.00299-17.63%0.1616✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003532-3.22%0.00318-12.88%0.1059✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.00366-3.16%0.00329-12.96%0.1141✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003579-3.14%0.00325-12.04%0.1022✓-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003578-3.03%0.00313-15.18%0.1373✓-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003719-3.04%0.003215-16.17%0.1466✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.003875-3.14%0.00345-13.75%0.1238✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003858-3.07%0.00363-8.79%0.0704✓-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003763-3.00%0.00365-5.93%0.0355✓-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.003966-3.50%0.00378-8.03%0.0460✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.003923-3.50%0.003695-9.10%0.0614✓-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004054-3.82%0.00369-12.46%0.0935✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004139-4.20%0.003835-11.23%0.0726✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004309-4.88%0.004-11.70%0.0687✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.00361-2.15%0.00398+7.86%0.1031✗-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.004024-1.85%0.00388-5.37%0.0321✓-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004154-2.13%0.00411-3.18%0.0089✓-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004266-2.04%0.004065-6.66%0.0432✓-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004614-2.24%0.004215-10.70%0.0916✓-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005213-2.19%0.00432-18.95%0.1857✓-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004819-2.05%0.00453-7.93%0.0521✓-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.006084-2.50%0.00369-40.87%0.4900✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007243-2.51%0.0041-44.82%0.5804✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.007891-2.69%0.004245-47.66%0.6196✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.00759-2.70%0.004355-44.17%0.5533✓-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.008025-2.90%0.00472-42.89%0.5256✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.008291-3.14%0.00533-37.73%0.4369✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007673-3.00%0.00492-37.80%0.4354✓-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.008303-3.45%0.00624-27.44%0.2730✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.008645-4.90%0.00743-18.26%0.1382✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.006941-2.38%0.00811+14.06%0.1747✗-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007588-2.97%0.0078-0.26%0.0432✗-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.007838-3.23%0.008265+2.04%0.0652✗-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007742-3.16%0.00856+7.07%0.1093✗-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007613-3.39%0.00791+0.38%0.0347✗-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.008267-3.98%0.0086-0.12%0.0208✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008584-4.52%0.00909+1.11%0.0382✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.008315-4.32%0.00711-18.18%0.1760✓-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.009065-4.88%0.00782-17.94%0.1705✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.008733-4.51%0.0081-11.43%0.0935✓-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.00854-4.36%0.007995-10.47%0.0819✓-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.009231-4.93%0.00788-18.85%0.1784✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.009607-5.62%0.00861-15.42%0.1250✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.008991-5.95%0.00899-5.96%0.0099✓-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.008048-4.19%0.00869+3.45%0.0647✗-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.008928-5.72%0.00953+0.63%0.0644✗-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.007314-2.35%0.009145+22.10%0.2231✗-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.007258-1.93%0.00893+20.68%0.2038✗-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.007431-1.44%0.00971+28.78%0.2828✗-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.006522-0.13%0.01018+55.90%0.4646✗-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.00713-0.98%0.00956+32.78%0.3122✗-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.007712-1.50%0.0084+7.28%0.1028✗-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.007993-1.08%0.00947+17.20%0.1968✗-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007821-0.87%0.00749-5.07%0.0261✓-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.008675-1.87%0.0074-16.29%0.1611✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.0089-2.10%0.00754-17.05%0.1809✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.009467-2.90%0.00653-33.03%0.3943✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.011544-7.87%0.0072-42.54%0.6159✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.009033-3.75%0.00783-16.57%0.2785✓-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.008622-3.23%0.00808-9.32%0.2296✓-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.010209-7.19%0.00789-28.27%0.3996✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.007148-1.95%0.00884+21.26%0.1134✗-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.007328-2.62%0.00909+20.80%0.1187✗-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.007401-3.50%0.00975+27.12%0.1873✗-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.008588-3.83%0.01253+40.31%0.3526✗-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.009594-3.72%0.009385-5.82%0.0343✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.010268-3.59%0.00891-16.34%0.1465✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.011773-3.30%0.011-9.65%0.0699✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.013308-3.78%0.00729-47.29%0.6105✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.012738-3.57%0.007525-43.04%0.5321✓-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.016933-4.36%0.00767-56.68%0.7930✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.018995-7.57%0.00893-56.55%0.7553✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.01634-6.31%0.009965-42.86%0.4929✓0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.01691-7.19%0.01065-41.55%0.4569✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.020124-11.31%0.012175-46.34%0.4914✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.015485-9.92%0.01383-19.55%0.0946✓0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.018681-14.39%0.01321-39.46%0.3365✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.006161-9.20%0.017705+160.94%1.1092✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004082-7.22%0.02055+367.05%1.6966✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002441+0.03%0.01744+614.75%2.0558✓1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002427-0.14%0.01822+649.79%2.0631✗1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002372-0.33%0.02269+853.36%2.2799✗1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002277+0.31%0.01719+657.27%2.0012✓1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002251+0.48%0.02182+874.11%2.3140✓1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002362+0.30%0.006785+188.11%1.0602✓0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002306+0.28%0.0044+91.30%0.6236✓0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002409-0.06%0.00244+1.24%0.0308✓0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002472-0.31%0.00243-2.02%0.0411✓0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002415-0.22%0.00238-1.65%0.0382✓0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002619-0.97%0.00227-14.18%0.1897✓0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002706-1.42%0.00224-18.40%0.2602✓0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002906-1.50%0.002355-20.17%0.2675✓0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002874-1.56%0.0023-21.23%0.2544✓0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.003047-2.35%0.00241-22.76%0.2329✓0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.002669-2.94%0.00248-9.82%0.0863✓0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003195-2.29%0.00242-25.99%0.2875✓0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.00328-2.37%0.002645-21.28%0.1904✓0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003366-2.28%0.002745-20.32%0.1730✓0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003153-3.58%0.00295-9.79%0.0662✓0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003423-3.85%0.00292-17.98%0.1776✓0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003368-5.00%0.00312-11.99%0.1367✓0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003327-4.27%0.00275-20.86%0.2148✓0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003379-4.29%0.00327-7.37%0.0373✓0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003653-4.86%0.00336-12.50%0.1248✓1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003436-4.69%0.003445-4.44%0.0417✓1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003385-5.44%0.00327-8.66%0.0635✓1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003322-6.16%0.00356+0.56%0.0502✓1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003786-5.71%0.003545-11.71%0.1122✓1.10
2026-04-11oos0.0041150.003868-5.99%0.003475-15.55%0.1472✓1.12
2026-04-10oos0.0040450.003789-6.32%0.00353-12.73%0.1321✓1.12
2026-04-09oos0.003850.003599-6.53%0.00384-0.26%0.0145✓1.10
2026-04-08oos0.004030.003766-6.56%0.003605-10.55%0.1003✓1.10
2026-04-07oos0.0043550.004045-7.12%0.00358-17.80%0.1563✓1.10
2026-04-06oos0.0037850.003582-5.35%0.00354-6.47%0.0907✓1.01
2026-04-05oos0.004090.003852-5.81%0.004015-1.83%0.0161✓1.01
2026-04-04oos0.00420.003993-4.94%0.004115-2.02%0.0532✓1.01
2026-04-03oos0.0041250.003961-3.98%0.004045-1.94%0.0656✓1.00
2026-04-02oos0.0040950.003954-3.45%0.00385-5.98%0.0975✓1.00
2026-04-01oos0.004180.004018-3.88%0.00403-3.59%0.0403✓1.01
2026-03-31oos0.004240.004082-3.72%0.004355+2.71%0.0113✓1.01
2026-03-30oos0.00410.004011-2.17%0.003785-7.68%0.0889✓0.99
2026-03-29oos0.004090.004027-1.53%0.00409+0.00%0.0289✓0.98
2026-03-28oos0.004270.004184-2.00%0.0042-1.64%0.0106✓0.98
2026-03-27oos0.00450.004384-2.57%0.004125-8.33%0.0699✓0.98
2026-03-26oos0.004830.00462-4.35%0.004095-15.22%0.0932✓0.99
2026-03-25oos0.004820.00456-5.40%0.00418-13.28%0.0391✓1.05
2026-03-24oos0.004920.00467-5.07%0.00424-13.82%0.0620✓1.04
2026-03-23oos0.005190.004899-5.61%0.0041-21.00%0.1154✓1.04
2026-03-22oos0.005110.004906-4.00%0.00409-19.96%0.1530✓1.02
2026-03-21oos0.005290.005042-4.68%0.00427-19.28%0.1268✓1.03
2026-03-20oos0.005440.00514-5.52%0.0045-17.28%0.0693✓1.05
2026-03-19oos0.00530.00504-4.90%0.00483-8.87%0.0254✓1.04
2026-03-18oos0.005910.005535-6.34%0.00482-18.44%0.1391✓1.03
2026-03-17oos0.006090.005611-7.87%0.00492-19.21%0.0807✓1.08
2026-03-16oos0.00590.005436-7.87%0.00519-12.03%0.0143✓1.10
2026-03-15oos0.005870.005486-6.54%0.00511-12.95%0.0055✓1.08
2026-03-14oos0.005840.005543-5.09%0.00529-9.42%0.0115✓1.06
2026-03-13oos0.005930.005659-4.56%0.00544-8.26%0.0328✓1.06
2026-03-12oos0.005840.005621-3.76%0.0053-9.25%0.0496✓1.05
2026-03-11oos0.005870.005681-3.21%0.00591+0.68%0.0242✓1.04
2026-03-10oos0.006180.005986-3.14%0.00609-1.46%0.0401✓1.04
2026-03-09oos0.00710.007012-1.24%0.0059-16.90%0.2694✓1.07
2026-03-08oos0.007380.007436+0.76%0.00587-20.46%0.3431✗1.08
2026-03-07oos0.008070.008036-0.43%0.00584-27.63%0.3811✓1.08
2026-03-06oos0.008660.008502-1.83%0.00593-31.52%0.4044✓1.08
2026-03-05oos0.010240.009712-5.16%0.00584-42.97%0.5036✓1.00
2026-03-04oos0.012950.012179-5.95%0.00587-54.67%0.6952✓1.00
2026-03-03oos0.016320.015673-3.96%0.00618-62.13%0.9541✓1.00
2026-03-02oos0.018640.017704-5.02%0.0071-61.91%0.9079✓1.00
2026-03-01oos0.018920.018196-3.82%0.00738-60.99%0.9055✓1.00
2026-02-28oos0.021070.019927-5.43%0.00807-61.70%0.9083✓1.00
2026-02-27oos0.019730.018876-4.33%0.00866-56.11%0.8127✓1.00
2026-02-26oos0.021360.01994-6.65%0.01024-52.06%0.7155✓1.00
2026-02-25oos0.019490.018342-5.89%0.01295-33.56%0.4148✓1.00
2026-02-24oos0.014960.014704-1.71%0.01632+9.09%0.0398✗1.00
2026-02-23oos0.01740.016974-2.45%0.01864+7.13%0.0306✗1.00
2026-02-22oos0.019720.01868-5.27%0.01892-4.06%0.0405✓1.00
2026-02-21oos0.020690.019245-6.98%0.02107+1.84%0.1052✗1.00
2026-02-20oos0.019840.017973-9.41%0.01973-0.55%0.1250✗1.00
2026-02-19oos0.018650.016345-12.36%0.02136+14.53%0.2599✗1.00
2026-02-18oos0.018040.015319-15.08%0.01949+8.04%0.2174✗1.00
2026-02-17oos0.031660.028919-8.66%0.01496-52.75%0.6074✓1.00
2026-02-16oos0.041390.038267-7.54%0.0174-57.96%0.7247✓1.00
2026-02-15oos0.044530.041196-7.49%0.01972-55.72%0.7195✓1.00
2026-02-14oos0.046550.042816-8.02%0.02069-55.55%0.7007✓1.00
2026-02-13oos0.048740.044949-7.78%0.01984-59.29%0.8057✓1.00