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WARD

Warden · Base · gru_s7

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
753
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
221
of 251 predictions shown
direction hit
78.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.5931
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0575
actual -0.2476

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos0.0027350.002639-3.52%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002635-3.13%–pending––1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002635-3.29%–pending––1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.002932-4.64%–pending––1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002598-3.59%–pending––0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002603-3.43%–pending––0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002654-3.33%–pending––0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002683-2.96%–pending––0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.00277-2.29%–pending––0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002676-2.68%–pending––0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002748-2.72%–pending––0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002755-2.98%–pending––0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002707-2.97%–pending––0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002667-2.84%–pending––0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002811-2.73%–pending––0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002868-2.44%–pending––0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003165-2.62%–pending––0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003053-2.46%–pending––0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.002949-2.67%–pending––0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002848-2.81%–pending––0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.002918-3.05%–pending––0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002876-2.82%–pending––0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002847-2.33%–pending––0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002932-2.28%–pending––0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003072-2.17%–pending––0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003336-2.46%–pending––0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002852-1.49%–pending––0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002763-1.32%–pending––1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002808-1.12%–pending––1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002927-0.61%–pending––0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002892-0.09%0.002735-5.53%0.0094✓1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002498-0.88%0.00272+7.94%0.0666✗0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002614-0.62%0.002725+3.61%0.0353✗0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002868-0.93%0.003075+6.22%0.0571✗0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002618-1.57%0.002695+1.32%0.0243✓0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002375-1.02%0.002695+12.29%0.0692✗0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002424-1.25%0.002745+11.81%0.0514✗0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002521-0.93%0.002765+8.64%0.0541✗0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002552-1.10%0.002835+9.88%0.0365✗0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002669-1.13%0.00275+1.85%0.0207✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.00272-0.90%0.002825+2.91%0.0289✓0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002591-0.53%0.00284+9.02%0.0194✗0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.00285-0.36%0.00279-2.45%0.0664✓0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.00271-0.38%0.002745+0.92%0.0207✓0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002619-0.22%0.00289+10.10%0.0563✗0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002685+0.38%0.00294+9.91%0.0361✓0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002775+1.09%0.00325+18.40%0.0947✓0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002656+0.80%0.00313+18.79%0.0958✓0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002933+1.85%0.00303+5.21%0.0005✓0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002933+0.09%0.00293+0.00%0.0841✗0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003217+0.23%0.00301-6.23%0.1520✗0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.003053+0.91%0.00296-2.15%0.0919✗0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002555-0.20%0.002915+13.87%0.0403✗1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002542-0.14%0.003+17.88%0.1029✗0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.00276-0.89%0.00314+12.75%0.0492✗0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002866+0.92%0.00342+20.42%0.1278✓0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002702+0.65%0.002895+7.82%0.0115✓0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002727+0.80%0.0028+3.51%0.0400✗0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.002893+0.97%0.00284-0.87%0.0788✗0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.00306+0.15%0.002945-3.60%0.1412✗1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.002947-0.26%0.002895-2.03%0.1323✓0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003074+1.13%0.00252-17.11%0.2335✗0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.002947-3.06%0.00263-13.49%0.2228✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.00296-4.52%0.002895-6.61%0.2043✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.002858-5.99%0.00266-12.50%0.2876✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003028-6.25%0.0024-25.70%0.4315✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.002852-6.19%0.002455-19.24%0.3623✓1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.002898-5.92%0.002545-17.37%0.3723✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002748-6.04%0.00258-11.79%0.2859✓1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002739-6.36%0.0027-7.69%0.2495✓1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.002988-6.35%0.002745-13.95%0.2696✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002748-6.68%0.002605-11.54%0.1896✓0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003199-6.60%0.00286-16.50%0.1540✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.00284-6.59%0.00272-10.53%0.0558✓0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.002884-6.66%0.002625-15.05%0.0949✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003105-6.20%0.002675-19.18%0.1513✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003481-6.55%0.002745-26.31%0.2518✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004479-10.07%0.002635-47.09%0.5397✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002851-4.64%0.00288-3.68%0.0452✓-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.003017-5.13%0.00293-7.86%0.0018✓-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003104-5.64%0.00321-2.43%0.0582✗-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003079-5.25%0.003025-6.92%0.0180✓-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.002993-4.39%0.00256-18.21%0.1218✓-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.003056-4.94%0.002545-20.84%0.1474✓-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003271-5.19%0.002785-19.28%0.1153✓-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003451-4.92%0.00284-21.76%0.1405✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003469-4.95%0.002685-26.44%0.2082✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003587-5.10%0.002705-28.44%0.2346✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003519-4.75%0.002865-22.46%0.1567✓-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.00353-4.33%0.003055-17.21%0.1112✓-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003655-4.71%0.002955-22.95%0.1755✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.003802-4.96%0.00304-24.00%0.1843✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003791-4.74%0.00304-23.62%0.1991✓-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003718-4.18%0.0031-20.10%0.1692✓-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.003928-4.42%0.00304-26.03%0.2564✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.003897-4.14%0.00323-20.54%0.1886✓-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004035-4.27%0.00304-27.88%0.2864✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004134-4.31%0.00308-28.70%0.2964✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004291-5.28%0.002925-35.43%0.3906✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003574-3.15%0.002925-20.73%0.2062✓-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.003989-2.72%0.00319-22.20%0.2217✓-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004097-3.48%0.002945-30.62%0.3307✓-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004185-3.91%0.003425-21.35%0.1997✓-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.00449-4.86%0.00304-35.59%0.3868✓-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005067-4.93%0.00309-42.03%0.4882✓-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004731-3.84%0.00331-32.72%0.3468✓-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.005945-4.73%0.003725-40.30%0.4617✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007122-4.14%0.00498-32.97%0.3540✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.00778-4.07%0.00299-63.13%0.9549✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.00747-4.24%0.00318-59.23%0.8528✓-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.007911-4.28%0.00329-60.19%0.8742✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.008189-4.34%0.00325-62.03%0.9203✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007554-4.50%0.00313-60.43%0.8698✓-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.008183-4.84%0.003215-62.62%0.9181✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.00856-5.83%0.00345-62.05%0.8959✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.006786-4.56%0.00363-48.95%0.6054✓-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007427-5.02%0.00365-53.32%0.6919✓-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.007651-5.54%0.00378-53.33%0.6797✓-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007553-5.53%0.003695-53.78%0.6927✓-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007427-5.75%0.00369-53.17%0.6890✓-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.008079-6.17%0.003835-55.46%0.7347✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008366-6.94%0.004-55.51%0.7276✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.008101-6.78%0.00398-54.20%0.6946✓-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.008844-7.20%0.00388-59.29%0.8189✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.008509-6.95%0.00411-55.06%0.7216✓-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.008294-7.12%0.004065-54.48%0.7039✓-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.009009-7.22%0.004215-56.59%0.7627✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.009402-7.64%0.00432-57.56%0.7872✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.008801-7.94%0.00453-52.62%0.6707✓-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.00779-7.26%0.00369-56.07%0.7507✓-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.008637-8.79%0.0041-56.71%0.7534✓-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.007016-6.32%0.004245-43.32%0.5014✓-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.006949-6.09%0.004355-41.15%0.4662✓-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.007097-5.87%0.00472-37.40%0.3942✓-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.006223-4.71%0.00533-18.38%0.1473✓-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.006794-5.64%0.00492-31.67%0.3278✓-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.007347-6.17%0.00624-20.31%0.1631✓-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.007621-5.68%0.00743-8.04%0.0014✓-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007458-5.47%0.00811+2.79%0.1013✗-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.008243-6.76%0.0078-11.76%0.0616✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.008451-7.03%0.008265-9.08%0.0310✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.008943-8.28%0.00856-12.21%0.0676✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.010961-12.52%0.00791-36.87%0.5290✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.008489-9.55%0.0086-8.36%0.1933✓-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.00811-8.98%0.00909+2.02%0.0603✓-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.009737-11.48%0.00711-35.36%0.4763✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.006769-7.15%0.00782+7.27%0.0015✓-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.00693-7.91%0.0081+7.64%0.0170✓-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.007027-8.39%0.007995+4.24%0.0347✓-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.00813-8.95%0.00788-11.76%0.1058✓-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.009058-9.11%0.00861-13.60%0.1066✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.0097-8.92%0.00899-15.59%0.0983✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.011087-8.93%0.00869-28.62%0.2565✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.012551-9.25%0.00953-31.09%0.3058✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.011982-9.29%0.009145-30.77%0.2979✓-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.016057-9.31%0.00893-49.56%0.6028✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.018397-10.48%0.00971-52.75%0.6149✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.015656-10.23%0.01018-41.63%0.3810✓0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.016248-10.83%0.00956-47.53%0.4824✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.019785-12.80%0.0084-62.98%0.8127✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.015028-12.58%0.00947-44.91%0.3664✓0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.018538-15.04%0.00749-65.67%0.8107✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.006177-8.96%0.0074+9.06%0.4477✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004305-2.17%0.00754+71.36%0.9409✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002526+3.52%0.00653+167.62%1.3767✓1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002481+2.10%0.0072+196.30%1.4264✓1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002403+0.98%0.00783+228.99%1.5446✓1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002283+0.56%0.00808+255.95%1.6796✓1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002244+0.20%0.00789+252.23%1.7151✓1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002334-0.89%0.00884+275.37%1.5617✗0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002251-2.12%0.00909+295.22%1.6077✗0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002314-3.97%0.00975+304.56%1.5966✗0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002369-4.49%0.01253+405.24%1.7607✗0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002299-4.99%0.009385+287.81%1.4656✗0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002501-5.46%0.00891+236.86%1.3039✗0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002596-5.43%0.011+300.73%1.4754✗0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002793-5.34%0.00729+147.12%0.9963✗0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002779-4.83%0.007525+157.71%1.0361✗0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.002956-5.25%0.00767+145.83%0.9900✗0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.002559-6.95%0.00893+224.73%1.2548✗0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003068-6.18%0.009965+204.74%1.1842✗0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.00317-5.66%0.01065+216.96%1.2324✗0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003242-5.89%0.012175+253.41%1.3582✗0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003036-7.17%0.01383+322.94%1.5016✗0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003308-7.07%0.01321+271.07%1.3644✗0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003288-7.26%0.017705+399.44%1.6467✗0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003235-6.90%0.02055+491.37%1.8333✗0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003293-6.71%0.01744+394.05%1.6629✗0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003585-6.65%0.01822+374.48%1.5870✗1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003363-6.72%0.02269+529.40%1.8540✗1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003325-7.11%0.01719+380.17%1.5538✗1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003261-7.88%0.02182+516.38%1.8375✗1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.00371-7.61%0.006785+68.99%0.4627✗1.10
2026-04-11oos0.0041150.00378-8.14%0.0044+6.93%0.0265✓1.12
2026-04-10oos0.0040450.003709-8.31%0.00244-39.68%0.5517✓1.12
2026-04-09oos0.003850.003521-8.55%0.00243-36.88%0.4990✓1.10
2026-04-08oos0.004030.00367-8.94%0.00238-40.94%0.5659✓1.10
2026-04-07oos0.0043550.003934-9.66%0.00227-47.88%0.6673✓1.10
2026-04-06oos0.0037850.003485-7.93%0.00224-40.82%0.6113✓1.01
2026-04-05oos0.004090.003737-8.63%0.002355-42.42%0.6223✓1.01
2026-04-04oos0.00420.003851-8.30%0.0023-45.24%0.6883✓1.01
2026-04-03oos0.0041250.003827-7.23%0.00241-41.58%0.6227✓1.00
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