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WARD

Warden · Base · gru_s7

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
756
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +1d

assessed
251
of 252 predictions shown
direction hit
61.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0773
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0078
actual -0.0139

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22oos0.0027550.002744-0.41%–pending––1.00
2026-10-21oos0.0027650.002755-0.36%0.002755-0.36%0.0024✓1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002711-0.34%0.002765+1.65%0.0065✗1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002712-0.48%0.00272-0.18%0.0106✓1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.003032-1.40%0.002725-11.38%0.1047✓1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002687-0.29%0.003075+14.10%0.1273✗0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002687-0.28%0.002695+0.00%0.0043✗0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002736-0.31%0.002695-1.82%0.0079✓0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002756-0.31%0.002745-0.72%0.0107✓0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002828-0.26%0.002765-2.47%0.0042✓0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002744-0.24%0.002835+3.09%0.0175✗0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002819-0.22%0.00275-2.65%0.0065✓0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002833-0.25%0.002825-0.53%0.0100✓0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002784-0.21%0.00284+1.79%0.0164✗0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002739-0.21%0.00279+1.64%0.0100✗0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.00288-0.36%0.002745-5.02%0.0337✓0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002933-0.23%0.00289-1.70%0.0059✗0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003228-0.67%0.00294-9.54%0.0914✓0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003119-0.37%0.00325+3.83%0.0498✗0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.003015-0.48%0.00313+3.30%0.0178✗0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002909-0.71%0.00303+3.41%0.0380✗0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.002999-0.35%0.00293-2.66%0.0196✓0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.00295-0.35%0.00301+1.69%0.0061✗0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002906-0.30%0.00296+1.54%0.0193✗0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002986-0.46%0.002915-2.83%0.0261✓0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003125-0.47%0.003-4.46%0.0299✓0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003379-1.20%0.00314-8.19%0.0739✓0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002885-0.35%0.00342+18.13%0.1664✗0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002794-0.22%0.002895+3.39%0.0391✗1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002832-0.29%0.0028-1.41%0.0114✓1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002934-0.39%0.00284-3.57%0.0118✓0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.00288-0.51%0.002945+1.73%0.0269✗1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.00252+0.02%0.002895+14.88%0.0829✓0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002629-0.04%0.00252-4.18%0.0415✓0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002883-0.43%0.00263-9.15%0.0957✓0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002654-0.22%0.002895+8.83%0.0388✗0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002405+0.21%0.00266+10.83%0.0985✓0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002459+0.15%0.0024-2.24%0.0306✗0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002551+0.22%0.002455-3.54%0.0080✗0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002586+0.22%0.002545-1.36%0.0314✗0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002705+0.18%0.00258-4.44%0.0418✗0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.00275+0.18%0.0027-1.64%0.0189✗0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002611+0.22%0.002745+5.37%0.0422✓0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002854-0.20%0.002605-8.92%0.0721✓0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002725+0.18%0.00286+5.15%0.0502✓0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002633+0.32%0.00272+3.62%0.0390✓0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002685+0.38%0.002625-1.87%0.0090✗0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002758+0.46%0.002675-2.55%0.0361✗0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002647+0.44%0.002745+4.17%0.0349✓0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002892+0.40%0.002635-8.51%0.0774✗0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002931+0.03%0.00288-1.71%0.0642✗0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003193-0.52%0.00293-8.72%0.0850✓0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.003008-0.55%0.00321+6.12%0.0797✗0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002563+0.12%0.003025+18.16%0.1515✓1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002548+0.12%0.00256+0.59%0.0118✓0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002785-0.01%0.002545-8.62%0.0949✓0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002842+0.07%0.002785-1.94%0.0097✓0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002688+0.13%0.00284+5.77%0.0404✓0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002708+0.12%0.002685-0.74%0.0145✗0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.002868+0.12%0.002705-5.58%0.0534✗0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003055-0.01%0.002865-6.22%0.0801✓1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.002957+0.07%0.003055+3.38%0.0241✓0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003043+0.11%0.002955-2.80%0.0136✗0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.003033-0.24%0.00304+0.00%0.0693✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.003088-0.39%0.00304-1.94%0.0772✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.003022-0.60%0.0031+1.97%0.0642✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003203-0.84%0.00304-5.88%0.0560✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.003021-0.62%0.00323+6.25%0.0372✗1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.003061-0.63%0.00304-1.30%0.0035✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002909-0.56%0.00308+5.30%0.0564✗1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002907-0.60%0.002925+0.00%0.0145✗1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003165-0.77%0.002925-8.31%0.0792✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002925-0.67%0.00319+8.32%0.0881✗0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003388-1.09%0.002945-14.01%0.1388✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.003017-0.76%0.003425+12.66%0.1278✗0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.003065-0.80%0.00304-1.62%0.0083✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003282-0.83%0.00309-6.65%0.0604✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003678-1.26%0.00331-11.14%0.1061✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004764-4.34%0.003725-25.20%0.2457✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002972-0.59%0.00498+66.56%0.5173✗-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.003157-0.72%0.00299-5.97%0.0531✓-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003258-0.99%0.00318-3.34%0.0242✓-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003225-0.76%0.00329+1.23%0.0217✗-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.00311-0.64%0.00325+3.83%0.0439✗-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.003194-0.64%0.00313-2.64%0.0259✓-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003428-0.64%0.003215-6.81%0.0612✓-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003605-0.68%0.00345-4.96%0.0438✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003624-0.71%0.00363-0.55%0.0022✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003752-0.73%0.00365-3.44%0.0343✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.00367-0.69%0.00378+2.30%0.0335✗-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003666-0.66%0.003695+0.14%0.0086✗-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003809-0.67%0.00369-3.78%0.0351✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.00397-0.75%0.003835-4.13%0.0383✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.00395-0.74%0.004+0.50%0.0110✗-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003855-0.64%0.00398+2.58%0.0360✗-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.004075-0.85%0.00388-5.60%0.0474✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.004031-0.85%0.00411+1.11%0.0192✗-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004175-0.96%0.004065-3.56%0.0239✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004269-1.18%0.004215-2.43%0.0124✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.00446-1.54%0.00432-4.64%0.0360✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003679-0.30%0.00453+22.76%0.2070✗-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.004088-0.29%0.00369-10.00%0.0983✓-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.00423-0.35%0.0041-3.42%0.0341✓-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004341-0.32%0.004245-2.53%0.0226✓-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004704-0.34%0.004355-7.73%0.0787✓-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005311-0.36%0.00472-11.44%0.1144✓-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004909-0.23%0.00533+8.33%0.0861✗-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.006214-0.42%0.00492-21.15%0.2402✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007392-0.51%0.00624-16.02%0.1738✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.008059-0.63%0.00743-8.38%0.0800✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007756-0.57%0.00811+3.97%0.0462✗-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.00821-0.66%0.0078-5.63%0.0494✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.008495-0.76%0.008265-3.45%0.0244✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007856-0.69%0.00856+8.22%0.0919✗-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.008524-0.89%0.00791-8.02%0.0708✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.008935-1.70%0.0086-5.39%0.0441✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.00708-0.43%0.00909+27.85%0.2532✗-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.00777-0.63%0.00711-9.08%0.0912✓-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.008042-0.71%0.00782-3.46%0.0284✓-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007944-0.64%0.0081+1.31%0.0210✗-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007829-0.65%0.007995+1.46%0.0165✗-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.008537-0.85%0.00788-8.48%0.0874✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008894-1.07%0.00861-4.23%0.0389✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.008611-0.91%0.00899+3.45%0.0467✗-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.009413-1.22%0.00869-8.81%0.0851✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.009055-0.99%0.00953+4.21%0.0550✗-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.00885-0.90%0.009145+2.41%0.0357✗-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.0096-1.13%0.00893-8.03%0.0813✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.010025-1.53%0.00971-4.62%0.0379✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.009389-1.79%0.01018+6.49%0.0781✗-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.008325-0.89%0.00956+13.81%0.1410✗-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.009306-1.73%0.0084-11.30%0.0977✓-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.007462-0.38%0.00947+26.44%0.2430✗-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.007381-0.26%0.00749+1.22%0.0145✗-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.007525-0.19%0.0074-1.86%0.0059✓-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.006545+0.23%0.00754+15.47%0.1403✓-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.007201+0.01%0.00653-9.31%0.1062✗-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.00782-0.13%0.0072-8.05%0.0843✓-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.00808-0.00%0.00783-3.09%0.0126✓-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007898+0.10%0.00808+2.41%0.0215✓-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.008826-0.16%0.00789-10.75%0.1371✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.009071-0.21%0.00884-2.75%0.0271✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.009712-0.39%0.00909-6.77%0.0780✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.012161-2.94%0.00975-22.19%0.3000✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.009307-0.83%0.01253+33.51%0.2692✗-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.008859-0.57%0.009385+5.33%0.0554✗-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.010684-2.87%0.00891-19.00%0.1773✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.007276-0.19%0.011+50.89%0.4119✗-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.007495-0.40%0.00729-3.12%0.0347✓-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.007628-0.55%0.007525-1.89%0.0273✓-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.008871-0.66%0.00767-14.11%0.1513✓-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.009899-0.67%0.00893-10.39%0.1020✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.010586-0.60%0.009965-6.43%0.0600✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.012105-0.57%0.01065-12.53%0.1269✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.0137-0.94%0.012175-11.97%0.1224✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.013104-0.80%0.01383+4.69%0.0540✗-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.01748-1.27%0.01321-25.39%0.2793✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.019867-3.32%0.017705-13.84%0.1149✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.017001-2.52%0.02055+17.83%0.1914✗0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.017673-3.00%0.01744-4.28%0.0106✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.021416-5.61%0.01822-19.70%0.1588✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.016382-4.70%0.02269+32.00%0.3362✗0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.020209-7.38%0.01719-21.22%0.1715✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.006447-4.99%0.02182+221.59%1.2362✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004199-4.56%0.006785+54.20%0.5002✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002433-0.27%0.0044+80.33%0.6009✗1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002423-0.29%0.00244+0.41%0.0208✓1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002371-0.37%0.00243+2.10%0.0156✗1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.00227+0.00%0.00238+4.85%0.0438✓1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002242+0.08%0.00227+1.34%0.0407✓1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002356+0.03%0.00224-4.88%0.0567✗0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002301+0.04%0.002355+2.39%0.0106✓0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.00241+0.01%0.0023-4.56%0.0625✗0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002478-0.08%0.00241-2.82%0.0263✓0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002421+0.02%0.00248+2.48%0.0188✓0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.00264-0.20%0.00242-8.51%0.1114✓0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002734-0.38%0.002645-3.64%0.0404✓0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002939-0.38%0.002745-6.95%0.0609✓0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002907-0.44%0.00295+1.03%0.0282✗0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.003091-0.94%0.00292-6.41%0.0402✓0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.002725-0.91%0.00312+13.45%0.1227✗0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003251-0.59%0.00275-15.90%0.1696✓0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003336-0.72%0.00327-2.68%0.0097✓0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003426-0.56%0.00336-2.47%0.0203✓0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003243-0.84%0.003445+5.35%0.0376✗0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003528-0.91%0.00327-8.15%0.0819✓0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003499-1.30%0.00356+0.42%0.0086✓0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003441-0.97%0.003545+2.01%0.0547✗0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.00349-1.13%0.003475-1.56%0.0133✗0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003785-1.43%0.00353-8.07%0.0955✓1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003567-1.05%0.00384+6.52%0.0693✗1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003536-1.22%0.003605+0.70%0.0104✓1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003485-1.56%0.00358+1.13%0.0306✗1.00
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