SWM
Swarm · · gru_s7
- token id
- #257
- symbol
- SWM
- variant
- –
- chain
- address
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-19
- predictions
- 165
Track record at +7d
assessed
48
of 55 predictions shown
direction hit
56.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2647
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0469
actual +0.0240
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.09181 | 0.088542 | -3.56% | – | pending | – | – | -1.57 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.091445 | 0.088157 | -3.60% | – | pending | – | – | -1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.09194 | 0.088709 | -3.51% | – | pending | – | – | -1.57 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.093595 | 0.090247 | -3.58% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.09361 | 0.090328 | -3.51% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.09504 | 0.091588 | -3.63% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.08869 | 0.085611 | -3.47% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.089875 | 0.08683 | -3.39% | 0.09181 | +2.15% | 0.0772 | ✗ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.10361 | 0.099203 | -4.25% | 0.091445 | -11.74% | 0.0848 | ✓ | -1.69 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.100975 | 0.09705 | -3.89% | 0.09194 | -8.95% | 0.0521 | ✓ | -1.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.10023 | 0.096111 | -4.11% | 0.093595 | -6.62% | 0.0618 | ✓ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.100065 | 0.096103 | -3.96% | 0.09361 | -6.45% | 0.0589 | ✓ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.09889 | 0.095323 | -3.61% | 0.09504 | -3.89% | 0.0253 | ✓ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.099015 | 0.095757 | -3.29% | 0.08869 | -10.43% | 0.0674 | ✓ | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.096365 | 0.093327 | -3.15% | 0.089875 | -6.73% | 0.0741 | ✓ | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.098365 | 0.094768 | -3.66% | 0.10361 | +5.33% | 0.0362 | ✓ | -1.83 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.084465 | 0.082669 | -2.13% | 0.100975 | +19.55% | 0.1146 | ✗ | -1.78 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.092855 | 0.089929 | -3.15% | 0.10023 | +7.94% | 0.0472 | ✗ | -1.84 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.090795 | 0.088431 | -2.60% | 0.100065 | +10.21% | 0.0823 | ✗ | -1.89 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.09368 | 0.090837 | -3.04% | 0.09889 | +5.56% | 0.0405 | ✗ | -1.89 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.095145 | 0.091777 | -3.54% | 0.099015 | +4.07% | 0.0040 | ✓ | -1.90 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.10818 | 0.103753 | -4.09% | 0.096365 | -10.92% | 0.0801 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.12674 | 0.120586 | -4.86% | 0.098365 | -22.39% | 0.1611 | ✓ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.123535 | 0.117587 | -4.82% | 0.084465 | -31.63% | 0.2797 | ✓ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.15819 | 0.149177 | -5.70% | 0.092855 | -41.30% | 0.4241 | ✓ | -2.09 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.127905 | 0.121398 | -5.09% | 0.090795 | -29.01% | 0.2826 | ✓ | -2.04 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.10542 | 0.100761 | -4.42% | 0.09368 | -11.14% | 0.0629 | ✓ | -2.03 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.10401 | 0.098939 | -4.88% | 0.095145 | -8.52% | 0.0280 | ✓ | -2.02 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.10388 | 0.098233 | -5.44% | 0.10818 | +4.14% | 0.0767 | ✗ | -2.02 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.094815 | 0.088289 | -6.88% | 0.12674 | +33.67% | 0.3030 | ✗ | -1.94 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.10284 | 0.095671 | -6.97% | 0.123535 | +20.12% | 0.1824 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.11312 | 0.106026 | -6.27% | 0.15819 | +39.84% | 0.4852 | ✗ | -2.13 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.11891 | 0.111339 | -6.37% | 0.127905 | +7.56% | 0.2212 | ✗ | -2.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1196 | 0.111663 | -6.64% | 0.10542 | -11.86% | 0.0262 | ✓ | -2.15 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.12931 | 0.121407 | -6.11% | 0.10401 | -19.57% | 0.2547 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.14044 | 0.131916 | -6.07% | 0.10388 | -26.03% | 0.3416 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.129815 | 0.121411 | -6.47% | 0.094815 | -26.96% | 0.3787 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.15573 | 0.146185 | -6.13% | 0.10284 | -33.96% | 0.4540 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.156615 | 0.146672 | -6.35% | 0.11312 | -27.77% | 0.3150 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.18555 | 0.172775 | -6.88% | 0.11891 | -35.91% | 0.4237 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.196105 | 0.181094 | -7.65% | 0.1196 | -39.01% | 0.4613 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.18591 | 0.170146 | -8.48% | 0.12931 | -30.44% | 0.2720 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.1367 | 0.126657 | -7.35% | 0.14044 | +2.74% | 0.1310 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.13717 | 0.126551 | -7.74% | 0.129815 | -5.36% | 0.0627 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.117485 | 0.108136 | -7.96% | 0.15573 | +32.55% | 0.3764 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.102915 | 0.095216 | -7.48% | 0.156615 | +52.18% | 0.5427 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.07698 | 0.073374 | -4.68% | 0.18555 | +141.04% | 0.9605 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.07564 | 0.072731 | -3.85% | 0.196105 | +159.26% | 1.0233 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.07329 | 0.071022 | -3.09% | 0.18591 | +153.66% | 1.0222 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.07012 | 0.069328 | -1.13% | 0.1367 | +94.95% | 0.6664 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.06978 | 0.069391 | -0.56% | 0.13717 | +96.57% | 0.6680 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.06946 | 0.069293 | -0.24% | 0.117485 | +69.14% | 0.5213 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.07144 | 0.071314 | -0.18% | 0.102915 | +44.06% | 0.3330 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.07166 | 0.071637 | -0.03% | 0.07698 | +7.42% | 0.0517 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.07463 | 0.074462 | -0.22% | 0.07564 | +1.35% | 0.0076 | ✓ | 1.00 |