PROS

Pharos · native · gru_s7

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 504

Track record at +7d

assessed

161

of 168 predictions shown

direction hit

60.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0941

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0247

actual -0.0041

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.62925	0.604367	-3.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.598891	-3.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.614187	-3.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.613341	-2.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.601084	-2.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.633218	-3.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.582189	-1.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.576096	-1.45%	0.62925	+7.65%	0.0791	✗	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.608267	-2.42%	0.6195	-0.62%	0.0195	✓	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.602449	-2.31%	0.63415	+2.83%	0.0506	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.65489	-3.37%	0.6322	-6.71%	0.0251	✓	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.656855	-3.33%	0.6148	-9.52%	0.0560	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.639035	-3.34%	0.6534	-1.16%	0.0292	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.619404	-3.38%	0.59205	-7.65%	0.0480	✓	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.633189	-3.83%	0.58455	-11.22%	0.0687	✓	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.630511	-4.14%	0.62335	-5.23%	0.0042	✓	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.714498	-3.58%	0.6167	-16.78%	0.1214	✓	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.781394	-3.99%	0.6777	-16.73%	0.1258	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.691826	-3.68%	0.67945	-5.40%	0.0082	✓	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.720415	-3.56%	0.6611	-11.50%	0.0756	✓	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.676128	-3.69%	0.6411	-8.68%	0.0362	✓	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.689012	-3.90%	0.6584	-8.17%	0.0439	✓	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.653961	-3.84%	0.65775	-3.29%	0.0045	✓	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.643325	-4.07%	0.74105	+10.50%	0.1293	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.626318	-4.54%	0.81385	+24.04%	0.2494	✗	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.591209	-4.28%	0.71825	+16.29%	0.1926	✗	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.630892	-4.63%	0.747	+12.92%	0.1664	✗	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.591947	-4.34%	0.702	+13.45%	0.1676	✗	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.552525	-4.72%	0.71695	+23.63%	0.2657	✗	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.554008	-4.22%	0.6801	+17.58%	0.2223	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.547423	-4.61%	0.67065	+16.87%	0.2264	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.487582	-4.87%	0.6561	+28.01%	0.2751	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.512672	-4.79%	0.61765	+14.71%	0.1657	✗	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.512995	-4.74%	0.66155	+22.85%	0.2334	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.493342	-4.26%	0.6188	+20.09%	0.1759	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.494708	-4.01%	0.5799	+12.51%	0.1085	✗	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.469297	-3.66%	0.5784	+18.73%	0.1565	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.477657	-3.84%	0.57385	+15.52%	0.1430	✗	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.459443	-3.19%	0.51255	+8.00%	0.0878	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.466804	-2.89%	0.53845	+12.01%	0.1233	✗	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.476829	-2.70%	0.5385	+9.89%	0.1042	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.477685	-2.97%	0.5153	+4.67%	0.0767	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.464954	-2.78%	0.5154	+7.77%	0.1137	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.432083	-1.37%	0.48715	+11.20%	0.1324	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.440469	-1.79%	0.49675	+10.76%	0.1240	✗	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.421607	-0.33%	0.4746	+12.20%	0.1355	✗	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.416249	+0.20%	0.4807	+15.72%	0.1566	✓	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.413648	+0.47%	0.49005	+19.03%	0.1809	✓	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.412538	+0.94%	0.4923	+20.46%	0.1994	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.408327	+0.55%	0.47825	+17.77%	0.1545	✓	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.414766	+0.21%	0.4381	+5.85%	0.0510	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.413732	+0.29%	0.4485	+8.71%	0.0790	✓	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.416736	-0.08%	0.423	+1.43%	0.0050	✗	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.423753	-0.31%	0.4154	-2.27%	0.0254	✓	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.418773	-0.32%	0.4117	-2.00%	0.0233	✓	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.417528	+0.37%	0.4087	-1.75%	0.0249	✗	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.40857	+0.04%	0.4061	-0.56%	0.0002	✓	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.419402	-0.15%	0.4139	-1.46%	0.0090	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.445815	-0.38%	0.41255	-7.81%	0.0762	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.404773	-0.47%	0.41705	+2.54%	0.0301	✗	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.390095	-0.64%	0.42505	+8.27%	0.0826	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.417563	-0.72%	0.4201	-0.12%	0.0072	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.391274	-1.54%	0.416	+4.68%	0.0523	✗	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.388615	-2.28%	0.4084	+2.69%	0.0345	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.37616	-3.03%	0.42005	+8.29%	0.0978	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.358311	-2.76%	0.4475	+21.44%	0.2034	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.357285	-2.79%	0.4067	+10.65%	0.1108	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.366374	-2.64%	0.3926	+4.33%	0.0482	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.360359	-2.39%	0.4206	+13.92%	0.1301	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.368848	-2.43%	0.3974	+5.12%	0.0629	✗	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.369668	-2.44%	0.3977	+4.96%	0.0637	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.381625	-2.56%	0.3879	-0.96%	0.0135	✓	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.390304	-2.61%	0.3685	-8.05%	0.0591	✓	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.397706	-2.74%	0.36755	-10.11%	0.0726	✓	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.382431	-2.65%	0.3763	-4.21%	0.0100	✓	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.382803	-2.64%	0.3692	-6.10%	0.0320	✓	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.384264	-2.71%	0.37805	-4.28%	0.0139	✓	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.383936	-2.65%	0.3789	-3.93%	0.0088	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.390765	-2.65%	0.39165	-2.43%	0.0042	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.403257	-2.78%	0.40075	-3.39%	0.0080	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.428056	-2.76%	0.4089	-7.11%	0.0511	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.432828	-2.74%	0.39285	-11.72%	0.1044	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.424684	-2.51%	0.3932	-9.73%	0.0843	✓	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.440569	-2.37%	0.39495	-12.48%	0.1079	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.424449	-2.26%	0.3944	-9.18%	0.0747	✓	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.416077	-2.49%	0.4014	-5.93%	0.0362	✓	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.391602	-1.72%	0.4148	+4.10%	0.0579	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.372646	-1.44%	0.4402	+16.42%	0.1709	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.380599	-1.37%	0.445	+15.31%	0.1601	✗	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.380544	-1.27%	0.4356	+13.01%	0.1382	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.374512	-1.46%	0.45125	+18.73%	0.1873	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.359984	-1.14%	0.43425	+19.25%	0.1941	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.337769	-1.03%	0.4267	+25.02%	0.2422	✗	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.321272	-0.95%	0.39845	+22.85%	0.2191	✗	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.346292	-1.03%	0.3781	+8.06%	0.0860	✗	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.362334	-1.15%	0.3859	+5.28%	0.0645	✗	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.389737	-1.28%	0.38545	-2.37%	0.0117	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.388751	-1.23%	0.38005	-3.44%	0.0271	✓	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.382368	-1.26%	0.36415	-5.97%	0.0538	✓	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.37935	-1.24%	0.3413	-11.14%	0.1112	✓	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.386746	-1.02%	0.32435	-16.99%	0.1883	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.410436	-1.27%	0.3499	-15.83%	0.1630	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.411574	-1.32%	0.36655	-12.12%	0.1195	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.408091	-1.47%	0.3948	-4.68%	0.0323	✓	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.387427	-1.42%	0.3936	+0.15%	0.0140	✓	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.394447	-1.26%	0.38725	-3.07%	0.0261	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.408224	-1.51%	0.3841	-7.33%	0.0657	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.398643	-1.72%	0.39075	-3.66%	0.0147	✓	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.38435	-1.70%	0.4157	+6.32%	0.0780	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.412841	-1.73%	0.4171	-0.71%	0.0081	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.417265	-1.68%	0.4142	-2.40%	0.0125	✓	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.410176	-1.48%	0.393	-5.61%	0.0477	✓	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.41143	-1.10%	0.3995	-3.97%	0.0358	✓	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.414358	-0.75%	0.4145	-0.72%	0.0127	✓	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.449336	-1.20%	0.4056	-10.82%	0.1079	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.453664	-1.36%	0.391	-14.98%	0.1546	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.454402	-1.18%	0.4201	-8.64%	0.0832	✓	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.424434	-0.79%	0.4244	-0.79%	0.0034	✓	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.431092	-0.81%	0.41635	-4.20%	0.0372	✓	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.453381	-1.20%	0.416	-9.35%	0.0852	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.493308	-1.74%	0.4175	-16.84%	0.1696	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.529931	-2.15%	0.4548	-16.02%	0.1588	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.539476	-2.09%	0.4599	-16.53%	0.1653	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.546023	-2.23%	0.45985	-17.66%	0.1784	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.552476	-2.07%	0.4278	-24.17%	0.2612	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.587596	-2.55%	0.4346	-27.93%	0.3046	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.540443	-2.08%	0.4589	-16.85%	0.1608	✓	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.545041	-2.28%	0.50205	-9.99%	0.0798	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.569708	-2.57%	0.54155	-7.39%	0.0494	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.568345	-2.43%	0.551	-5.41%	0.0299	✓	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.579002	-2.34%	0.5585	-5.80%	0.0359	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.600362	-2.67%	0.56415	-8.54%	0.0621	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.543231	-1.87%	0.603	+8.92%	0.1049	✗	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.575469	-1.86%	0.5519	-5.88%	0.0495	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.571599	-1.80%	0.55775	-4.18%	0.0344	✓	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.589795	-2.14%	0.58475	-2.98%	0.0154	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.620199	-2.50%	0.5825	-8.43%	0.0679	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.629915	-2.20%	0.5929	-7.95%	0.0703	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.630284	-2.55%	0.6168	-4.64%	0.0284	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.600888	-2.04%	0.5536	-9.75%	0.0805	✓	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.597903	-1.92%	0.5864	-3.81%	0.0032	✓	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.591359	-2.34%	0.5821	-3.86%	0.0229	✓	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.606692	-3.96%	0.6027	-4.59%	0.0566	✗	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.598739	-4.29%	0.6361	+1.69%	0.1656	✗	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.593507	-3.98%	0.6441	+4.21%	0.2177	✗	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.587913	-3.47%	0.6468	+6.20%	0.2205	✗	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.602708	-3.78%	0.6134	-2.08%	0.1135	✗	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.61269	-4.12%	0.6096	-4.60%	0.1438	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.587205	-3.53%	0.6055	-0.53%	0.1595	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.593883	-3.81%	0.6317	+2.32%	0.1417	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.595758	-3.49%	0.62555	+1.34%	0.0940	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.627449	-3.82%	0.6181	-5.26%	0.0233	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.617862	-3.26%	0.60905	-4.64%	0.0136	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.634009	-3.97%	0.6264	-5.12%	0.0414	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.60879	-3.61%	0.639	+1.17%	0.0901	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.555929	-3.30%	0.6087	+5.88%	0.1030	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.610477	-3.82%	0.6174	-2.73%	0.0073	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.693216	-4.01%	0.6173	-14.53%	0.1104	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.732003	-4.06%	0.6524	-14.50%	0.0963	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.685431	-3.70%	0.6387	-10.27%	0.0238	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.715173	-3.39%	0.6602	-10.82%	0.0354	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.676413	-3.70%	0.6316	-10.08%	0.0454	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.740188	-3.48%	0.5749	-25.04%	0.2054	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.775192	-3.15%	0.6347	-20.70%	0.1397	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.87592	-3.83%	0.7222	-20.71%	0.1329	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.939513	-6.35%	0.763	-23.94%	0.1760	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.81305	-6.15%	0.7118	-17.83%	0.1188	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.614874	-2.74%	0.7403	+17.10%	0.1723	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.