PROS

Pharos · native · gru_s7

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 507

Track record at +1d

assessed

168

of 169 predictions shown

direction hit

56.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0380

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0035

actual +0.0003

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.59875	0.595362	-0.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-21	oos	0.59595	0.593065	-0.48%	0.59875	+0.47%	0.0080	✗	0.68
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.616243	-0.53%	0.59595	-3.80%	0.0422	✓	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.630591	-0.56%	0.6195	-2.31%	0.0266	✓	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.628153	-0.64%	0.63415	+0.31%	0.0109	✗	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.611777	-0.49%	0.6322	+2.83%	0.0278	✗	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.648027	-0.82%	0.6148	-5.91%	0.0517	✓	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.589561	-0.42%	0.6534	+10.36%	0.1079	✗	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.582538	-0.34%	0.59205	+1.28%	0.0117	✗	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.620704	-0.42%	0.58455	-6.22%	0.0485	✓	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.614113	-0.42%	0.62335	+1.08%	0.0047	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.674103	-0.53%	0.6167	-9.00%	0.0772	✓	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.675621	-0.56%	0.6777	-0.26%	0.0020	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.657622	-0.53%	0.67945	+2.78%	0.0302	✗	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.637783	-0.52%	0.6611	+3.12%	0.0303	✗	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.654142	-0.65%	0.6411	-2.63%	0.0098	✓	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.65429	-0.53%	0.6584	+0.10%	0.0208	✗	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.737026	-0.54%	0.65775	-11.24%	0.1125	✓	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.804552	-1.14%	0.74105	-8.95%	0.0778	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.714476	-0.53%	0.81385	+13.31%	0.1210	✗	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.742544	-0.60%	0.71825	-3.85%	0.0345	✓	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.698238	-0.54%	0.747	+6.41%	0.0693	✗	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.71154	-0.75%	0.702	-2.09%	0.0206	✓	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.675917	-0.61%	0.71695	+5.42%	0.0594	✗	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.665014	-0.84%	0.6801	+1.41%	0.0215	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.648632	-1.14%	0.67065	+2.22%	0.0396	✗	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.613942	-0.60%	0.6561	+6.23%	0.0661	✗	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.65439	-1.08%	0.61765	-6.64%	0.0598	✓	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.614289	-0.73%	0.66155	+6.91%	0.0759	✗	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.57504	-0.84%	0.6188	+6.71%	0.0733	✗	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.575508	-0.50%	0.5799	+0.26%	0.0198	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.569789	-0.71%	0.5784	+0.79%	0.0179	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.509987	-0.50%	0.57385	+11.96%	0.0827	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.53531	-0.58%	0.51255	-4.81%	0.0430	✓	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.535236	-0.61%	0.53845	-0.01%	0.0036	✓	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.513337	-0.38%	0.5385	+4.50%	0.0187	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.513625	-0.34%	0.5153	-0.02%	0.0019	✓	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.486176	-0.20%	0.5154	+5.80%	0.0554	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.494739	-0.40%	0.48715	-1.93%	0.0021	✓	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.473931	-0.14%	0.49675	+4.67%	0.0401	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.4802	-0.10%	0.4746	-1.27%	0.0094	✓	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.489256	-0.16%	0.4807	-1.91%	0.0179	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.48956	-0.56%	0.49005	-0.46%	0.0022	✓	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.474829	-0.72%	0.4923	+2.94%	0.0448	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.437743	-0.08%	0.47825	+9.16%	0.0892	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.446692	-0.40%	0.4381	-2.32%	0.0168	✓	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.424395	+0.33%	0.4485	+6.03%	0.0612	✓	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.417302	+0.46%	0.423	+1.83%	0.0111	✓	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.413933	+0.54%	0.4154	+0.90%	0.0028	✓	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.411558	+0.70%	0.4117	+0.73%	0.0078	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.408349	+0.55%	0.4087	+0.64%	0.0132	✗	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.415913	+0.49%	0.4061	-1.88%	0.0235	✗	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.41487	+0.56%	0.4139	+0.33%	0.0015	✓	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.418876	+0.44%	0.41255	-1.08%	0.0186	✗	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.426615	+0.37%	0.41705	-1.88%	0.0207	✗	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.421596	+0.36%	0.42505	+1.18%	0.0068	✓	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.418091	+0.50%	0.4201	+0.99%	0.0138	✓	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.410062	+0.41%	0.416	+1.86%	0.0099	✓	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.421184	+0.27%	0.4084	-2.77%	0.0327	✗	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.447692	+0.04%	0.42005	-6.13%	0.0623	✗	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.407673	+0.24%	0.4475	+10.03%	0.0897	✓	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.393878	+0.33%	0.4067	+3.59%	0.0302	✓	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.421724	+0.27%	0.3926	-6.66%	0.0686	✗	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.398092	+0.17%	0.4206	+5.84%	0.0483	✓	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.397386	-0.08%	0.3974	-0.08%	0.0060	✓	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.386514	-0.36%	0.3977	+2.53%	0.0241	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.367723	-0.21%	0.3879	+5.26%	0.0531	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.366566	-0.27%	0.3685	+0.26%	0.0030	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.375318	-0.26%	0.36755	-2.33%	0.0206	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.368484	-0.19%	0.3763	+1.92%	0.0209	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.377255	-0.21%	0.3692	-2.34%	0.0210	✓	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.378188	-0.19%	0.37805	-0.22%	0.0004	✓	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.390745	-0.23%	0.3789	-3.26%	0.0305	✓	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.399707	-0.26%	0.39165	-2.27%	0.0192	✓	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.407668	-0.30%	0.40075	-1.99%	0.0142	✓	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.392234	-0.16%	0.4089	+4.09%	0.0418	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.39262	-0.15%	0.39285	-0.09%	0.0005	✓	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.394258	-0.18%	0.3932	-0.44%	0.0045	✓	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.393846	-0.14%	0.39495	+0.14%	0.0040	✗	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.400695	-0.18%	0.3944	-1.74%	0.0179	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.41372	-0.26%	0.4014	-3.23%	0.0326	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.438507	-0.38%	0.4148	-5.77%	0.0554	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.44322	-0.40%	0.4402	-1.08%	0.0094	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.43395	-0.38%	0.445	+2.16%	0.0254	✗	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.449356	-0.42%	0.4356	-3.47%	0.0251	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.431896	-0.54%	0.45125	+3.91%	0.0424	✗	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.423126	-0.84%	0.43425	+1.77%	0.0259	✗	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.397234	-0.31%	0.4267	+7.09%	0.0713	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.377866	-0.06%	0.39845	+5.38%	0.0569	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.385206	-0.18%	0.3781	-2.02%	0.0212	✓	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.384466	-0.26%	0.3859	+0.12%	0.0032	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.378782	-0.33%	0.38545	+1.42%	0.0200	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.364451	+0.08%	0.38005	+4.37%	0.0450	✓	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.342483	+0.35%	0.36415	+6.69%	0.0627	✓	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.32562	+0.39%	0.3413	+5.23%	0.0438	✓	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.350891	+0.28%	0.32435	-7.30%	0.0802	✗	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.36736	+0.22%	0.3499	-4.54%	0.0484	✗	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.395044	+0.06%	0.36655	-7.16%	0.0780	✗	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.393911	+0.08%	0.3948	+0.30%	0.0018	✓	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.387899	+0.17%	0.3936	+1.64%	0.0181	✓	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.384861	+0.20%	0.38725	+0.82%	0.0072	✓	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.390932	+0.05%	0.3841	-1.70%	0.0291	✗	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.415556	-0.03%	0.39075	-6.00%	0.0562	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.416837	-0.06%	0.4157	-0.34%	0.0026	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.414009	-0.05%	0.4171	+0.70%	0.0087	✗	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.393146	+0.04%	0.4142	+5.39%	0.0493	✓	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.399393	-0.03%	0.393	-1.63%	0.0191	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.413917	-0.14%	0.3995	-3.62%	0.0323	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.405042	-0.14%	0.4145	+2.19%	0.0252	✗	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.391157	+0.04%	0.4056	+3.73%	0.0351	✓	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.420259	+0.04%	0.391	-6.93%	0.0738	✗	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.424417	+0.00%	0.4201	-1.01%	0.0121	✗	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.416453	+0.02%	0.4244	+1.93%	0.0159	✓	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.416036	+0.01%	0.41635	+0.08%	0.0035	✗	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.417474	-0.01%	0.416	-0.36%	0.0076	✓	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.453723	-0.24%	0.4175	-8.20%	0.0807	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.45746	-0.53%	0.4548	-1.11%	0.0069	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.458436	-0.31%	0.4599	+0.01%	0.0039	✗	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.427833	+0.01%	0.45985	+7.49%	0.0723	✓	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.434588	-0.00%	0.4278	-1.56%	0.0161	✓	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.458775	-0.03%	0.4346	-5.30%	0.0531	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.501508	-0.11%	0.4589	-8.59%	0.0899	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.540483	-0.20%	0.50205	-7.29%	0.0758	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.549527	-0.27%	0.54155	-1.72%	0.0136	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.556901	-0.29%	0.551	-1.34%	0.0121	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.562335	-0.32%	0.5585	-1.00%	0.0057	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.59829	-0.78%	0.56415	-6.44%	0.0582	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.550593	-0.24%	0.603	+9.26%	0.0922	✗	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.556539	-0.22%	0.5519	-1.05%	0.0075	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.582752	-0.34%	0.55775	-4.62%	0.0435	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.580959	-0.26%	0.58475	+0.39%	0.0063	✗	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.590856	-0.34%	0.5825	-1.75%	0.0150	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.612907	-0.63%	0.5929	-3.87%	0.0342	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.552574	-0.19%	0.6168	+11.42%	0.1100	✗	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.584511	-0.32%	0.5536	-5.59%	0.0598	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.580376	-0.30%	0.5864	+0.74%	0.0109	✗	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.600629	-0.34%	0.5821	-3.42%	0.0283	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.632901	-0.50%	0.6027	-5.25%	0.0484	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.640099	-0.62%	0.6361	-1.24%	0.0130	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.640411	-0.99%	0.6441	-0.42%	0.0062	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.610361	-0.50%	0.6468	+5.45%	0.0755	✗	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.606604	-0.49%	0.6134	+0.62%	0.0126	✗	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.60247	-0.50%	0.6096	+0.68%	0.0318	✗	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.627364	-0.69%	0.6055	-4.15%	0.0008	✓	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.621779	-0.60%	0.6317	+0.98%	0.0376	✗	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.614518	-0.58%	0.62555	+1.21%	0.0197	✗	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.605744	-0.54%	0.6181	+1.49%	0.0165	✗	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.622166	-0.68%	0.60905	-2.77%	0.0200	✓	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.633926	-0.79%	0.6264	-1.97%	0.0011	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.605121	-0.59%	0.639	+4.98%	0.0746	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.61369	-0.60%	0.6087	-1.41%	0.0104	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.61386	-0.56%	0.6174	+0.02%	0.0022	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.648003	-0.67%	0.6173	-5.38%	0.0528	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.634821	-0.61%	0.6524	+2.14%	0.0115	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.654663	-0.84%	0.6387	-3.26%	0.0028	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.627598	-0.63%	0.6602	+4.53%	0.0497	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.572402	-0.43%	0.6316	+9.86%	0.0892	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.631408	-0.52%	0.5749	-9.42%	0.0915	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.717449	-0.66%	0.6347	-12.12%	0.1165	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.755795	-0.94%	0.7222	-5.35%	0.0365	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.706326	-0.77%	0.763	+7.19%	0.0893	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.73353	-0.91%	0.7118	-3.85%	0.0048	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.696475	-0.84%	0.7403	+5.40%	0.0387	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.760401	-0.85%	0.7024	-8.41%	0.0644	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.793954	-0.81%	0.7669	-4.19%	0.0194	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.898503	-1.35%	0.8004	-12.12%	0.1098	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.970645	-3.25%	0.9108	-9.21%	0.0826	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.833592	-3.78%	1.0032	+15.80%	0.1794	✗	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.628252	-0.62%	0.8663	+37.03%	0.3190	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.